Severe Storms

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather conditions appear mostly quiescent through the forecast period, as the potent upper-level cyclone over the central US quickly moves to the east. Strong westerly flow aloft will remain over the CONUS. However, surface winds will remain light in the dry, but relatively cool post-frontal air mass. A few hours of low-end fire weather conditions are possible from the Trans-Pecos into the Rio Grand Valley/South Texas, where lingering low humidity and occasional gusty surface winds are possible through the afternoon. However, with area fuel moisture near normal and the relatively limited overlap of dry and breezy conditions, fire-weather concerns should remain localized. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

WW 0007 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0007 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0006 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 6 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0031 ..THORNTON..01/09/24 ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 6 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC009-015-017-027-049-053-055-057-069-071-075-081-095-097-101- 103-105-115-117-119-127-091940- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BREVARD CHARLOTTE CITRUS DESOTO HARDEE HERNANDO HIGHLANDS HILLSBOROUGH LAKE LEE LEVY MANATEE ORANGE OSCEOLA PASCO PINELLAS POLK SARASOTA SEMINOLE SUMTER VOLUSIA AMZ550-552-GMZ830-836-850-853-856-091940- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM Read more

WW 0005 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 5 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SW AGS TO 5 SE AGS TO 40 WNW CAE TO 30 ENE SPA TO 15 N CLT. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0032 ..THORNTON..01/09/24 ATTN...WFO...JAX...CHS...CAE...RAH...GSP...ILM... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 5 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC001-003-007-019-031-035-083-089-107-109-125-091940- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALACHUA BAKER BRADFORD CLAY DUVAL FLAGLER MARION NASSAU PUTNAM ST. JOHNS UNION GAC001-025-029-031-033-039-043-049-051-103-109-127-165-179-183- 191-229-251-267-305-091940- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE APPLING BRANTLEY BRYAN BULLOCH BURKE CAMDEN CANDLER CHARLTON CHATHAM EFFINGHAM EVANS GLYNN JENKINS LIBERTY LONG MCINTOSH PIERCE SCREVEN Read more

MD 0029 CONCERNING HEAVY SNOW FOR EASTERN IOWA...NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...AND FAR SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN.
Mesoscale Discussion 0029 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0912 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Areas affected...Eastern Iowa...northwest Illinois...and far southwest Wisconsin. Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 091512Z - 091815Z SUMMARY...Moderate to heavy snow with rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour are expected into the early afternoon. Strong winds will lead to blowing, drifting, and reduced visibility. DISCUSSION...A 987mb surface low currently southeast of St. Louis this morning will continue to deepen through the day as it moves north into Michigan and deepens below 980mb. Within the last hour, snowfall rates have started to increase across eastern Iowa within the deformation region of the cyclone. Expect this moderate to heavy snow to shift eastward into northern Illinois and Wisconsin during the day in response to the deepening/moving cyclone. Winds are already around 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph but are expected to strengthen further to around 25 mph with gusts to 40 mph this afternoon as the pressure gradient tightens. Widespread blowing and drifting snow is expected with localized blizzard conditions possible. ..Bentley.. 01/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...MKX...DVN...ARX...DMX... LAT...LON 40859304 41019375 41789363 42189297 42798981 42608890 41898904 41178951 40559126 40859304 Read more

MD 0030 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH FL...COASTAL/EASTERN GA...MUCH OF SC...AND EXTREME SOUTH-CENTRAL NC
Mesoscale Discussion 0030 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0945 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Areas affected...Portions of north FL...coastal/eastern GA...much of SC...and extreme south-central NC Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely Valid 091545Z - 091745Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Conditions are expected to become increasingly favorable for tornadoes and severe/damaging winds over the next couple of hours. Tornado Watch issuance is likely. DISCUSSION...A broken line of convection extends from northeast GA to the FL Panhandle along/near a surface cold front. A powerful upper cyclone is centered over the mid MS Valley this morning, with associated 60-80+ kt southerly low-level jet rapidly advecting moisture northward ahead of the line. Various recent RAP/NAM forecast soundings across north FL into coastal/eastern GA and much of SC suggest that it will take at least 62-63F surface dewpoints amid modest daytime heating to aid weak boundary-layer destabilization and the potential for surface-based thunderstorms. Latest surface observations indicate that sufficient low-level moisture is already in place as far north as central GA/SC. Current expectations are that this continued low-level warm/moist advection will likely support a severe threat as far north as parts of upstate SC and towards Charlotte NC. Area VWPs ahead of the ongoing QLCS show low-level flow quickly strengthening to 60-70+ kt above 1 km, with ample low-level shear available to support updraft rotation and embedded tornadic circulations within the line. Severe/damaging downdraft winds of 60-75 mph also appear likely given the strength of the low-level flow. With the severe potential likely to increase across this region over the next few hours, Tornado Watch issuance is likely. ..Gleason/Hart.. 01/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...GSP...JAX... LAT...LON 29908244 31848219 32578194 33248219 34118244 35028094 34778040 33478014 32807960 32018073 30918133 29738123 29458216 29908244 Read more