Severe Storms

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1242 PM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No forecast changes are needed; latest observations and guidance continue to suggest low potential for fire weather concerns on Monday. See the previous discussion for details. ..Moore.. 01/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1116 PM CST Sat Jan 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... The upper-level ridge will continue to shift eastward on Monday into more of the Plains. While high surface pressure will remain in parts of the northern/central Rockies, the pressure pattern will become more diffuse from southern California into the southern Plains. Areas of dry conditions are probable, but light winds and poorly receptive fuels will continue to keep fire weather concerns minimal. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1242 PM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No forecast changes are needed; latest observations and guidance continue to suggest low potential for fire weather concerns on Monday. See the previous discussion for details. ..Moore.. 01/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1116 PM CST Sat Jan 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... The upper-level ridge will continue to shift eastward on Monday into more of the Plains. While high surface pressure will remain in parts of the northern/central Rockies, the pressure pattern will become more diffuse from southern California into the southern Plains. Areas of dry conditions are probable, but light winds and poorly receptive fuels will continue to keep fire weather concerns minimal. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1242 PM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No forecast changes are needed; latest observations and guidance continue to suggest low potential for fire weather concerns on Monday. See the previous discussion for details. ..Moore.. 01/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1116 PM CST Sat Jan 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... The upper-level ridge will continue to shift eastward on Monday into more of the Plains. While high surface pressure will remain in parts of the northern/central Rockies, the pressure pattern will become more diffuse from southern California into the southern Plains. Areas of dry conditions are probable, but light winds and poorly receptive fuels will continue to keep fire weather concerns minimal. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1057 AM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Synopsis... A dry, continental airmass will envelop much of the CONUS in the wake of a cold frontal passage into the Gulf of Mexico and western Atlantic. Stable conditions will prevail given a dearth of boundary-layer moisture and thunderstorms are not expected. ..Leitman.. 01/28/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1057 AM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Synopsis... A dry, continental airmass will envelop much of the CONUS in the wake of a cold frontal passage into the Gulf of Mexico and western Atlantic. Stable conditions will prevail given a dearth of boundary-layer moisture and thunderstorms are not expected. ..Leitman.. 01/28/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1057 AM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Synopsis... A dry, continental airmass will envelop much of the CONUS in the wake of a cold frontal passage into the Gulf of Mexico and western Atlantic. Stable conditions will prevail given a dearth of boundary-layer moisture and thunderstorms are not expected. ..Leitman.. 01/28/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1057 AM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Synopsis... A dry, continental airmass will envelop much of the CONUS in the wake of a cold frontal passage into the Gulf of Mexico and western Atlantic. Stable conditions will prevail given a dearth of boundary-layer moisture and thunderstorms are not expected. ..Leitman.. 01/28/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1057 AM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Synopsis... A dry, continental airmass will envelop much of the CONUS in the wake of a cold frontal passage into the Gulf of Mexico and western Atlantic. Stable conditions will prevail given a dearth of boundary-layer moisture and thunderstorms are not expected. ..Leitman.. 01/28/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1057 AM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Synopsis... A dry, continental airmass will envelop much of the CONUS in the wake of a cold frontal passage into the Gulf of Mexico and western Atlantic. Stable conditions will prevail given a dearth of boundary-layer moisture and thunderstorms are not expected. ..Leitman.. 01/28/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1057 AM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Synopsis... A dry, continental airmass will envelop much of the CONUS in the wake of a cold frontal passage into the Gulf of Mexico and western Atlantic. Stable conditions will prevail given a dearth of boundary-layer moisture and thunderstorms are not expected. ..Leitman.. 01/28/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1027 AM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 281630Z - 291200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast today. ...Synopsis/Discussion... A midlevel low currently centered over the Ohio Valley will track eastward into the western Atlantic ocean as it devolves into an open wave through the period. A related cold front extending south-southwestward along the Gulf Stream into central Florida will continue southeastward across southern Florida into this evening. Along/immediately ahead of the southeastward-moving front, diurnal heating of a moist boundary layer (lower 70s dewpoints) should support isolated thunderstorm development across central/southern Florida despite poor midlevel lapse rates and dry air aloft. Organized severe thunderstorm potential appears low owing to veered surface winds/weak frontal convergence, weak instability, and modest deep-layer shear. ..Weinman/Hart.. 01/28/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1027 AM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 281630Z - 291200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast today. ...Synopsis/Discussion... A midlevel low currently centered over the Ohio Valley will track eastward into the western Atlantic ocean as it devolves into an open wave through the period. A related cold front extending south-southwestward along the Gulf Stream into central Florida will continue southeastward across southern Florida into this evening. Along/immediately ahead of the southeastward-moving front, diurnal heating of a moist boundary layer (lower 70s dewpoints) should support isolated thunderstorm development across central/southern Florida despite poor midlevel lapse rates and dry air aloft. Organized severe thunderstorm potential appears low owing to veered surface winds/weak frontal convergence, weak instability, and modest deep-layer shear. ..Weinman/Hart.. 01/28/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1027 AM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 281630Z - 291200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast today. ...Synopsis/Discussion... A midlevel low currently centered over the Ohio Valley will track eastward into the western Atlantic ocean as it devolves into an open wave through the period. A related cold front extending south-southwestward along the Gulf Stream into central Florida will continue southeastward across southern Florida into this evening. Along/immediately ahead of the southeastward-moving front, diurnal heating of a moist boundary layer (lower 70s dewpoints) should support isolated thunderstorm development across central/southern Florida despite poor midlevel lapse rates and dry air aloft. Organized severe thunderstorm potential appears low owing to veered surface winds/weak frontal convergence, weak instability, and modest deep-layer shear. ..Weinman/Hart.. 01/28/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1027 AM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 281630Z - 291200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast today. ...Synopsis/Discussion... A midlevel low currently centered over the Ohio Valley will track eastward into the western Atlantic ocean as it devolves into an open wave through the period. A related cold front extending south-southwestward along the Gulf Stream into central Florida will continue southeastward across southern Florida into this evening. Along/immediately ahead of the southeastward-moving front, diurnal heating of a moist boundary layer (lower 70s dewpoints) should support isolated thunderstorm development across central/southern Florida despite poor midlevel lapse rates and dry air aloft. Organized severe thunderstorm potential appears low owing to veered surface winds/weak frontal convergence, weak instability, and modest deep-layer shear. ..Weinman/Hart.. 01/28/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1027 AM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 281630Z - 291200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast today. ...Synopsis/Discussion... A midlevel low currently centered over the Ohio Valley will track eastward into the western Atlantic ocean as it devolves into an open wave through the period. A related cold front extending south-southwestward along the Gulf Stream into central Florida will continue southeastward across southern Florida into this evening. Along/immediately ahead of the southeastward-moving front, diurnal heating of a moist boundary layer (lower 70s dewpoints) should support isolated thunderstorm development across central/southern Florida despite poor midlevel lapse rates and dry air aloft. Organized severe thunderstorm potential appears low owing to veered surface winds/weak frontal convergence, weak instability, and modest deep-layer shear. ..Weinman/Hart.. 01/28/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1027 AM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 281630Z - 291200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast today. ...Synopsis/Discussion... A midlevel low currently centered over the Ohio Valley will track eastward into the western Atlantic ocean as it devolves into an open wave through the period. A related cold front extending south-southwestward along the Gulf Stream into central Florida will continue southeastward across southern Florida into this evening. Along/immediately ahead of the southeastward-moving front, diurnal heating of a moist boundary layer (lower 70s dewpoints) should support isolated thunderstorm development across central/southern Florida despite poor midlevel lapse rates and dry air aloft. Organized severe thunderstorm potential appears low owing to veered surface winds/weak frontal convergence, weak instability, and modest deep-layer shear. ..Weinman/Hart.. 01/28/2024 Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0906 AM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 281700Z - 291200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (below) remains on track with no changes needed. Morning observations and latest forecast guidance continue to suggest low potential for fire weather concerns across the country. ..Moore.. 01/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1115 PM CST Sat Jan 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... Upper-level ridging will build into the West and extend into the High Plains region today. Surface high pressure will extend from the Northwest into the southern Plains. With some downslope flow, temperatures in the southern High Plains will warm. Given weak winds, marginal RH, and poorly receptive fuels, fire weather concerns are not expected within the region. Similarly, modest dry offshore winds are anticipated in southern California. However, poor fuels receptiveness will mitigate fire weather risk here as well. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0906 AM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 281700Z - 291200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (below) remains on track with no changes needed. Morning observations and latest forecast guidance continue to suggest low potential for fire weather concerns across the country. ..Moore.. 01/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1115 PM CST Sat Jan 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... Upper-level ridging will build into the West and extend into the High Plains region today. Surface high pressure will extend from the Northwest into the southern Plains. With some downslope flow, temperatures in the southern High Plains will warm. Given weak winds, marginal RH, and poorly receptive fuels, fire weather concerns are not expected within the region. Similarly, modest dry offshore winds are anticipated in southern California. However, poor fuels receptiveness will mitigate fire weather risk here as well. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0906 AM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 281700Z - 291200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (below) remains on track with no changes needed. Morning observations and latest forecast guidance continue to suggest low potential for fire weather concerns across the country. ..Moore.. 01/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1115 PM CST Sat Jan 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... Upper-level ridging will build into the West and extend into the High Plains region today. Surface high pressure will extend from the Northwest into the southern Plains. With some downslope flow, temperatures in the southern High Plains will warm. Given weak winds, marginal RH, and poorly receptive fuels, fire weather concerns are not expected within the region. Similarly, modest dry offshore winds are anticipated in southern California. However, poor fuels receptiveness will mitigate fire weather risk here as well. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0906 AM CST Sun Jan 28 2024 Valid 281700Z - 291200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (below) remains on track with no changes needed. Morning observations and latest forecast guidance continue to suggest low potential for fire weather concerns across the country. ..Moore.. 01/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1115 PM CST Sat Jan 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... Upper-level ridging will build into the West and extend into the High Plains region today. Surface high pressure will extend from the Northwest into the southern Plains. With some downslope flow, temperatures in the southern High Plains will warm. Given weak winds, marginal RH, and poorly receptive fuels, fire weather concerns are not expected within the region. Similarly, modest dry offshore winds are anticipated in southern California. However, poor fuels receptiveness will mitigate fire weather risk here as well. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more