Severe Storms

WW 0016 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0016 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0016 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0016 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0228 AM CST Sun Feb 11 2024 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the continental U.S. on Tuesday and Tuesday night. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough is forecast to move eastward away from the East Coast on Tuesday, as west-northwest mid-level flow remains established across much of the continental United States. At the surface on Tuesday, an area of high pressure will be located from the southern Plains into the Mississippi Valley. Dry air advection associated with the high pressure system and relatively cold conditions across the nation will be unfavorable for thunderstorm development Tuesday and Tuesday night. ..Broyles.. 02/11/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0228 AM CST Sun Feb 11 2024 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the continental U.S. on Tuesday and Tuesday night. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough is forecast to move eastward away from the East Coast on Tuesday, as west-northwest mid-level flow remains established across much of the continental United States. At the surface on Tuesday, an area of high pressure will be located from the southern Plains into the Mississippi Valley. Dry air advection associated with the high pressure system and relatively cold conditions across the nation will be unfavorable for thunderstorm development Tuesday and Tuesday night. ..Broyles.. 02/11/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0228 AM CST Sun Feb 11 2024 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the continental U.S. on Tuesday and Tuesday night. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough is forecast to move eastward away from the East Coast on Tuesday, as west-northwest mid-level flow remains established across much of the continental United States. At the surface on Tuesday, an area of high pressure will be located from the southern Plains into the Mississippi Valley. Dry air advection associated with the high pressure system and relatively cold conditions across the nation will be unfavorable for thunderstorm development Tuesday and Tuesday night. ..Broyles.. 02/11/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0228 AM CST Sun Feb 11 2024 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the continental U.S. on Tuesday and Tuesday night. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough is forecast to move eastward away from the East Coast on Tuesday, as west-northwest mid-level flow remains established across much of the continental United States. At the surface on Tuesday, an area of high pressure will be located from the southern Plains into the Mississippi Valley. Dry air advection associated with the high pressure system and relatively cold conditions across the nation will be unfavorable for thunderstorm development Tuesday and Tuesday night. ..Broyles.. 02/11/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0228 AM CST Sun Feb 11 2024 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the continental U.S. on Tuesday and Tuesday night. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough is forecast to move eastward away from the East Coast on Tuesday, as west-northwest mid-level flow remains established across much of the continental United States. At the surface on Tuesday, an area of high pressure will be located from the southern Plains into the Mississippi Valley. Dry air advection associated with the high pressure system and relatively cold conditions across the nation will be unfavorable for thunderstorm development Tuesday and Tuesday night. ..Broyles.. 02/11/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0228 AM CST Sun Feb 11 2024 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the continental U.S. on Tuesday and Tuesday night. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough is forecast to move eastward away from the East Coast on Tuesday, as west-northwest mid-level flow remains established across much of the continental United States. At the surface on Tuesday, an area of high pressure will be located from the southern Plains into the Mississippi Valley. Dry air advection associated with the high pressure system and relatively cold conditions across the nation will be unfavorable for thunderstorm development Tuesday and Tuesday night. ..Broyles.. 02/11/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0228 AM CST Sun Feb 11 2024 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the continental U.S. on Tuesday and Tuesday night. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough is forecast to move eastward away from the East Coast on Tuesday, as west-northwest mid-level flow remains established across much of the continental United States. At the surface on Tuesday, an area of high pressure will be located from the southern Plains into the Mississippi Valley. Dry air advection associated with the high pressure system and relatively cold conditions across the nation will be unfavorable for thunderstorm development Tuesday and Tuesday night. ..Broyles.. 02/11/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0228 AM CST Sun Feb 11 2024 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the continental U.S. on Tuesday and Tuesday night. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough is forecast to move eastward away from the East Coast on Tuesday, as west-northwest mid-level flow remains established across much of the continental United States. At the surface on Tuesday, an area of high pressure will be located from the southern Plains into the Mississippi Valley. Dry air advection associated with the high pressure system and relatively cold conditions across the nation will be unfavorable for thunderstorm development Tuesday and Tuesday night. ..Broyles.. 02/11/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0228 AM CST Sun Feb 11 2024 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the continental U.S. on Tuesday and Tuesday night. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough is forecast to move eastward away from the East Coast on Tuesday, as west-northwest mid-level flow remains established across much of the continental United States. At the surface on Tuesday, an area of high pressure will be located from the southern Plains into the Mississippi Valley. Dry air advection associated with the high pressure system and relatively cold conditions across the nation will be unfavorable for thunderstorm development Tuesday and Tuesday night. ..Broyles.. 02/11/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0228 AM CST Sun Feb 11 2024 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the continental U.S. on Tuesday and Tuesday night. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough is forecast to move eastward away from the East Coast on Tuesday, as west-northwest mid-level flow remains established across much of the continental United States. At the surface on Tuesday, an area of high pressure will be located from the southern Plains into the Mississippi Valley. Dry air advection associated with the high pressure system and relatively cold conditions across the nation will be unfavorable for thunderstorm development Tuesday and Tuesday night. ..Broyles.. 02/11/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0228 AM CST Sun Feb 11 2024 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the continental U.S. on Tuesday and Tuesday night. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough is forecast to move eastward away from the East Coast on Tuesday, as west-northwest mid-level flow remains established across much of the continental United States. At the surface on Tuesday, an area of high pressure will be located from the southern Plains into the Mississippi Valley. Dry air advection associated with the high pressure system and relatively cold conditions across the nation will be unfavorable for thunderstorm development Tuesday and Tuesday night. ..Broyles.. 02/11/2024 Read more

WW 0015 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 15 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW 6R6 TO 60 N DRT TO 40 E SJT TO 40 W BWD TO 20 W BWD TO 45 W MWL. ..KERR..02/11/24 ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 15 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC019-049-083-093-133-137-143-171-193-265-267-271-299-307-319- 327-333-363-385-411-429-435-463-465-110940- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BANDERA BROWN COLEMAN COMANCHE EASTLAND EDWARDS ERATH GILLESPIE HAMILTON KERR KIMBLE KINNEY LLANO MCCULLOCH MASON MENARD MILLS PALO PINTO REAL SAN SABA STEPHENS SUTTON UVALDE VAL VERDE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0015 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 15 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NE 6R6 TO 60 ENE 6R6 TO 10 ESE SJT TO 40 W BWD TO 20 ESE ABI TO 35 ENE ABI. ..KERR..02/11/24 ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 15 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC019-049-083-093-095-133-137-143-171-193-265-267-271-299-307- 319-327-333-363-385-411-413-429-435-451-463-465-110840- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BANDERA BROWN COLEMAN COMANCHE CONCHO EASTLAND EDWARDS ERATH GILLESPIE HAMILTON KERR KIMBLE KINNEY LLANO MCCULLOCH MASON MENARD MILLS PALO PINTO REAL SAN SABA SCHLEICHER STEPHENS SUTTON TOM GREEN UVALDE VAL VERDE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1246 AM CST Sun Feb 11 2024 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Organized thunderstorm clusters, associated with wind damage and a few tornadoes will be likely across parts of the Southeast on Monday. ...Southeast... An upper-level low will move into the mid Mississippi Valley on Monday, as an associated 90 to 110 knot mid-level jet translates eastward into the central Gulf Coast states. At the surface, a low will deepen and move northeastward into the southern Appalachian Mountains, as a cold front advances eastward across the central Gulf Coast states. At the start of the period, several bands or clusters of thunderstorms appear likely to be ongoing ahead of the front. These storms are expected to become organized as they move eastward across a moist airmass during the day. Surface dewpoints from near the front eastward to the southern Atlantic Seaboard will be in the 60s F, with weak destabilization taking place across the moist sector as surface temperatures gradually warm. The mid-level jet associated with the upper-level low will move eastward across Mississippi and Alabama during the day. The eastern edge of the mid-level jet is forecast to overspread the moist sector, which will create very strong deep-layer shear. Forecast soundings by 21Z from eastern Alabama into north-central Georgia have 0-6 km shear reaching the 80 to 90 knot range. In addition, the strong low-level shear already over the moist sector is forecast to be maintained, with 0-3 km storm-relative helicity values remaining in the 250 to 350 m2/s2 range. This shear environment will be favorable for severe storms, capable of producing wind damage and a few tornadoes. The severe threat is expected to continue through the late afternoon and early evening, as strong storms, associated with a potential for wind damage and a tornado or two, move northeastward into South Carolina. ..Broyles.. 02/11/2024 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1246 AM CST Sun Feb 11 2024 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Organized thunderstorm clusters, associated with wind damage and a few tornadoes will be likely across parts of the Southeast on Monday. ...Southeast... An upper-level low will move into the mid Mississippi Valley on Monday, as an associated 90 to 110 knot mid-level jet translates eastward into the central Gulf Coast states. At the surface, a low will deepen and move northeastward into the southern Appalachian Mountains, as a cold front advances eastward across the central Gulf Coast states. At the start of the period, several bands or clusters of thunderstorms appear likely to be ongoing ahead of the front. These storms are expected to become organized as they move eastward across a moist airmass during the day. Surface dewpoints from near the front eastward to the southern Atlantic Seaboard will be in the 60s F, with weak destabilization taking place across the moist sector as surface temperatures gradually warm. The mid-level jet associated with the upper-level low will move eastward across Mississippi and Alabama during the day. The eastern edge of the mid-level jet is forecast to overspread the moist sector, which will create very strong deep-layer shear. Forecast soundings by 21Z from eastern Alabama into north-central Georgia have 0-6 km shear reaching the 80 to 90 knot range. In addition, the strong low-level shear already over the moist sector is forecast to be maintained, with 0-3 km storm-relative helicity values remaining in the 250 to 350 m2/s2 range. This shear environment will be favorable for severe storms, capable of producing wind damage and a few tornadoes. The severe threat is expected to continue through the late afternoon and early evening, as strong storms, associated with a potential for wind damage and a tornado or two, move northeastward into South Carolina. ..Broyles.. 02/11/2024 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1246 AM CST Sun Feb 11 2024 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Organized thunderstorm clusters, associated with wind damage and a few tornadoes will be likely across parts of the Southeast on Monday. ...Southeast... An upper-level low will move into the mid Mississippi Valley on Monday, as an associated 90 to 110 knot mid-level jet translates eastward into the central Gulf Coast states. At the surface, a low will deepen and move northeastward into the southern Appalachian Mountains, as a cold front advances eastward across the central Gulf Coast states. At the start of the period, several bands or clusters of thunderstorms appear likely to be ongoing ahead of the front. These storms are expected to become organized as they move eastward across a moist airmass during the day. Surface dewpoints from near the front eastward to the southern Atlantic Seaboard will be in the 60s F, with weak destabilization taking place across the moist sector as surface temperatures gradually warm. The mid-level jet associated with the upper-level low will move eastward across Mississippi and Alabama during the day. The eastern edge of the mid-level jet is forecast to overspread the moist sector, which will create very strong deep-layer shear. Forecast soundings by 21Z from eastern Alabama into north-central Georgia have 0-6 km shear reaching the 80 to 90 knot range. In addition, the strong low-level shear already over the moist sector is forecast to be maintained, with 0-3 km storm-relative helicity values remaining in the 250 to 350 m2/s2 range. This shear environment will be favorable for severe storms, capable of producing wind damage and a few tornadoes. The severe threat is expected to continue through the late afternoon and early evening, as strong storms, associated with a potential for wind damage and a tornado or two, move northeastward into South Carolina. ..Broyles.. 02/11/2024 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1246 AM CST Sun Feb 11 2024 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Organized thunderstorm clusters, associated with wind damage and a few tornadoes will be likely across parts of the Southeast on Monday. ...Southeast... An upper-level low will move into the mid Mississippi Valley on Monday, as an associated 90 to 110 knot mid-level jet translates eastward into the central Gulf Coast states. At the surface, a low will deepen and move northeastward into the southern Appalachian Mountains, as a cold front advances eastward across the central Gulf Coast states. At the start of the period, several bands or clusters of thunderstorms appear likely to be ongoing ahead of the front. These storms are expected to become organized as they move eastward across a moist airmass during the day. Surface dewpoints from near the front eastward to the southern Atlantic Seaboard will be in the 60s F, with weak destabilization taking place across the moist sector as surface temperatures gradually warm. The mid-level jet associated with the upper-level low will move eastward across Mississippi and Alabama during the day. The eastern edge of the mid-level jet is forecast to overspread the moist sector, which will create very strong deep-layer shear. Forecast soundings by 21Z from eastern Alabama into north-central Georgia have 0-6 km shear reaching the 80 to 90 knot range. In addition, the strong low-level shear already over the moist sector is forecast to be maintained, with 0-3 km storm-relative helicity values remaining in the 250 to 350 m2/s2 range. This shear environment will be favorable for severe storms, capable of producing wind damage and a few tornadoes. The severe threat is expected to continue through the late afternoon and early evening, as strong storms, associated with a potential for wind damage and a tornado or two, move northeastward into South Carolina. ..Broyles.. 02/11/2024 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1246 AM CST Sun Feb 11 2024 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Organized thunderstorm clusters, associated with wind damage and a few tornadoes will be likely across parts of the Southeast on Monday. ...Southeast... An upper-level low will move into the mid Mississippi Valley on Monday, as an associated 90 to 110 knot mid-level jet translates eastward into the central Gulf Coast states. At the surface, a low will deepen and move northeastward into the southern Appalachian Mountains, as a cold front advances eastward across the central Gulf Coast states. At the start of the period, several bands or clusters of thunderstorms appear likely to be ongoing ahead of the front. These storms are expected to become organized as they move eastward across a moist airmass during the day. Surface dewpoints from near the front eastward to the southern Atlantic Seaboard will be in the 60s F, with weak destabilization taking place across the moist sector as surface temperatures gradually warm. The mid-level jet associated with the upper-level low will move eastward across Mississippi and Alabama during the day. The eastern edge of the mid-level jet is forecast to overspread the moist sector, which will create very strong deep-layer shear. Forecast soundings by 21Z from eastern Alabama into north-central Georgia have 0-6 km shear reaching the 80 to 90 knot range. In addition, the strong low-level shear already over the moist sector is forecast to be maintained, with 0-3 km storm-relative helicity values remaining in the 250 to 350 m2/s2 range. This shear environment will be favorable for severe storms, capable of producing wind damage and a few tornadoes. The severe threat is expected to continue through the late afternoon and early evening, as strong storms, associated with a potential for wind damage and a tornado or two, move northeastward into South Carolina. ..Broyles.. 02/11/2024 Read more