Severe Storms

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0154 AM CST Wed Feb 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Eastern US trough is forecast to move offshore as transient ridging shifts eastward over the central CONUS. A southern stream shortwave trough will move across the southern Plains along with a weak surface low. The post-frontal air mass over much of the Plains and central US will quickly modify as southerly winds redevelop. While widespread fire-weather concerns are not expected, dry and breezy conditions are possible. ...Central Plains and Mid MS Valley... As the surface high pressure in the post-frontal air mass to the east strengthens, southerly return flow should quickly redevelop over the Plains. With the much drier air mass from the proceeding days in place, gusty southerly winds of 15-25 mph are possible from parts of KS into western MO and southern NE. RH values may not reach critical criteria more than briefly, but dry fuels and the gusty winds could support a risk for locally elevated fire-weather concerns. ...Gulf Coast... Gusty offshore winds and dry surface conditions are also possible across parts of the Southeast and central Gulf Coast. While not overly strong or dry, lower humidity and gusty winds should overlap with areas of limited rainfall in recent weeks. Localized fire-weather concerns are possible before rain chances increase into Friday. ..Lyons.. 02/28/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0154 AM CST Wed Feb 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Eastern US trough is forecast to move offshore as transient ridging shifts eastward over the central CONUS. A southern stream shortwave trough will move across the southern Plains along with a weak surface low. The post-frontal air mass over much of the Plains and central US will quickly modify as southerly winds redevelop. While widespread fire-weather concerns are not expected, dry and breezy conditions are possible. ...Central Plains and Mid MS Valley... As the surface high pressure in the post-frontal air mass to the east strengthens, southerly return flow should quickly redevelop over the Plains. With the much drier air mass from the proceeding days in place, gusty southerly winds of 15-25 mph are possible from parts of KS into western MO and southern NE. RH values may not reach critical criteria more than briefly, but dry fuels and the gusty winds could support a risk for locally elevated fire-weather concerns. ...Gulf Coast... Gusty offshore winds and dry surface conditions are also possible across parts of the Southeast and central Gulf Coast. While not overly strong or dry, lower humidity and gusty winds should overlap with areas of limited rainfall in recent weeks. Localized fire-weather concerns are possible before rain chances increase into Friday. ..Lyons.. 02/28/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0154 AM CST Wed Feb 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Eastern US trough is forecast to move offshore as transient ridging shifts eastward over the central CONUS. A southern stream shortwave trough will move across the southern Plains along with a weak surface low. The post-frontal air mass over much of the Plains and central US will quickly modify as southerly winds redevelop. While widespread fire-weather concerns are not expected, dry and breezy conditions are possible. ...Central Plains and Mid MS Valley... As the surface high pressure in the post-frontal air mass to the east strengthens, southerly return flow should quickly redevelop over the Plains. With the much drier air mass from the proceeding days in place, gusty southerly winds of 15-25 mph are possible from parts of KS into western MO and southern NE. RH values may not reach critical criteria more than briefly, but dry fuels and the gusty winds could support a risk for locally elevated fire-weather concerns. ...Gulf Coast... Gusty offshore winds and dry surface conditions are also possible across parts of the Southeast and central Gulf Coast. While not overly strong or dry, lower humidity and gusty winds should overlap with areas of limited rainfall in recent weeks. Localized fire-weather concerns are possible before rain chances increase into Friday. ..Lyons.. 02/28/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0154 AM CST Wed Feb 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Eastern US trough is forecast to move offshore as transient ridging shifts eastward over the central CONUS. A southern stream shortwave trough will move across the southern Plains along with a weak surface low. The post-frontal air mass over much of the Plains and central US will quickly modify as southerly winds redevelop. While widespread fire-weather concerns are not expected, dry and breezy conditions are possible. ...Central Plains and Mid MS Valley... As the surface high pressure in the post-frontal air mass to the east strengthens, southerly return flow should quickly redevelop over the Plains. With the much drier air mass from the proceeding days in place, gusty southerly winds of 15-25 mph are possible from parts of KS into western MO and southern NE. RH values may not reach critical criteria more than briefly, but dry fuels and the gusty winds could support a risk for locally elevated fire-weather concerns. ...Gulf Coast... Gusty offshore winds and dry surface conditions are also possible across parts of the Southeast and central Gulf Coast. While not overly strong or dry, lower humidity and gusty winds should overlap with areas of limited rainfall in recent weeks. Localized fire-weather concerns are possible before rain chances increase into Friday. ..Lyons.. 02/28/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0154 AM CST Wed Feb 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Eastern US trough is forecast to move offshore as transient ridging shifts eastward over the central CONUS. A southern stream shortwave trough will move across the southern Plains along with a weak surface low. The post-frontal air mass over much of the Plains and central US will quickly modify as southerly winds redevelop. While widespread fire-weather concerns are not expected, dry and breezy conditions are possible. ...Central Plains and Mid MS Valley... As the surface high pressure in the post-frontal air mass to the east strengthens, southerly return flow should quickly redevelop over the Plains. With the much drier air mass from the proceeding days in place, gusty southerly winds of 15-25 mph are possible from parts of KS into western MO and southern NE. RH values may not reach critical criteria more than briefly, but dry fuels and the gusty winds could support a risk for locally elevated fire-weather concerns. ...Gulf Coast... Gusty offshore winds and dry surface conditions are also possible across parts of the Southeast and central Gulf Coast. While not overly strong or dry, lower humidity and gusty winds should overlap with areas of limited rainfall in recent weeks. Localized fire-weather concerns are possible before rain chances increase into Friday. ..Lyons.. 02/28/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0154 AM CST Wed Feb 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Eastern US trough is forecast to move offshore as transient ridging shifts eastward over the central CONUS. A southern stream shortwave trough will move across the southern Plains along with a weak surface low. The post-frontal air mass over much of the Plains and central US will quickly modify as southerly winds redevelop. While widespread fire-weather concerns are not expected, dry and breezy conditions are possible. ...Central Plains and Mid MS Valley... As the surface high pressure in the post-frontal air mass to the east strengthens, southerly return flow should quickly redevelop over the Plains. With the much drier air mass from the proceeding days in place, gusty southerly winds of 15-25 mph are possible from parts of KS into western MO and southern NE. RH values may not reach critical criteria more than briefly, but dry fuels and the gusty winds could support a risk for locally elevated fire-weather concerns. ...Gulf Coast... Gusty offshore winds and dry surface conditions are also possible across parts of the Southeast and central Gulf Coast. While not overly strong or dry, lower humidity and gusty winds should overlap with areas of limited rainfall in recent weeks. Localized fire-weather concerns are possible before rain chances increase into Friday. ..Lyons.. 02/28/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0154 AM CST Wed Feb 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Eastern US trough is forecast to move offshore as transient ridging shifts eastward over the central CONUS. A southern stream shortwave trough will move across the southern Plains along with a weak surface low. The post-frontal air mass over much of the Plains and central US will quickly modify as southerly winds redevelop. While widespread fire-weather concerns are not expected, dry and breezy conditions are possible. ...Central Plains and Mid MS Valley... As the surface high pressure in the post-frontal air mass to the east strengthens, southerly return flow should quickly redevelop over the Plains. With the much drier air mass from the proceeding days in place, gusty southerly winds of 15-25 mph are possible from parts of KS into western MO and southern NE. RH values may not reach critical criteria more than briefly, but dry fuels and the gusty winds could support a risk for locally elevated fire-weather concerns. ...Gulf Coast... Gusty offshore winds and dry surface conditions are also possible across parts of the Southeast and central Gulf Coast. While not overly strong or dry, lower humidity and gusty winds should overlap with areas of limited rainfall in recent weeks. Localized fire-weather concerns are possible before rain chances increase into Friday. ..Lyons.. 02/28/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0154 AM CST Wed Feb 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Eastern US trough is forecast to move offshore as transient ridging shifts eastward over the central CONUS. A southern stream shortwave trough will move across the southern Plains along with a weak surface low. The post-frontal air mass over much of the Plains and central US will quickly modify as southerly winds redevelop. While widespread fire-weather concerns are not expected, dry and breezy conditions are possible. ...Central Plains and Mid MS Valley... As the surface high pressure in the post-frontal air mass to the east strengthens, southerly return flow should quickly redevelop over the Plains. With the much drier air mass from the proceeding days in place, gusty southerly winds of 15-25 mph are possible from parts of KS into western MO and southern NE. RH values may not reach critical criteria more than briefly, but dry fuels and the gusty winds could support a risk for locally elevated fire-weather concerns. ...Gulf Coast... Gusty offshore winds and dry surface conditions are also possible across parts of the Southeast and central Gulf Coast. While not overly strong or dry, lower humidity and gusty winds should overlap with areas of limited rainfall in recent weeks. Localized fire-weather concerns are possible before rain chances increase into Friday. ..Lyons.. 02/28/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0154 AM CST Wed Feb 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Eastern US trough is forecast to move offshore as transient ridging shifts eastward over the central CONUS. A southern stream shortwave trough will move across the southern Plains along with a weak surface low. The post-frontal air mass over much of the Plains and central US will quickly modify as southerly winds redevelop. While widespread fire-weather concerns are not expected, dry and breezy conditions are possible. ...Central Plains and Mid MS Valley... As the surface high pressure in the post-frontal air mass to the east strengthens, southerly return flow should quickly redevelop over the Plains. With the much drier air mass from the proceeding days in place, gusty southerly winds of 15-25 mph are possible from parts of KS into western MO and southern NE. RH values may not reach critical criteria more than briefly, but dry fuels and the gusty winds could support a risk for locally elevated fire-weather concerns. ...Gulf Coast... Gusty offshore winds and dry surface conditions are also possible across parts of the Southeast and central Gulf Coast. While not overly strong or dry, lower humidity and gusty winds should overlap with areas of limited rainfall in recent weeks. Localized fire-weather concerns are possible before rain chances increase into Friday. ..Lyons.. 02/28/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0154 AM CST Wed Feb 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Eastern US trough is forecast to move offshore as transient ridging shifts eastward over the central CONUS. A southern stream shortwave trough will move across the southern Plains along with a weak surface low. The post-frontal air mass over much of the Plains and central US will quickly modify as southerly winds redevelop. While widespread fire-weather concerns are not expected, dry and breezy conditions are possible. ...Central Plains and Mid MS Valley... As the surface high pressure in the post-frontal air mass to the east strengthens, southerly return flow should quickly redevelop over the Plains. With the much drier air mass from the proceeding days in place, gusty southerly winds of 15-25 mph are possible from parts of KS into western MO and southern NE. RH values may not reach critical criteria more than briefly, but dry fuels and the gusty winds could support a risk for locally elevated fire-weather concerns. ...Gulf Coast... Gusty offshore winds and dry surface conditions are also possible across parts of the Southeast and central Gulf Coast. While not overly strong or dry, lower humidity and gusty winds should overlap with areas of limited rainfall in recent weeks. Localized fire-weather concerns are possible before rain chances increase into Friday. ..Lyons.. 02/28/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0154 AM CST Wed Feb 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Eastern US trough is forecast to move offshore as transient ridging shifts eastward over the central CONUS. A southern stream shortwave trough will move across the southern Plains along with a weak surface low. The post-frontal air mass over much of the Plains and central US will quickly modify as southerly winds redevelop. While widespread fire-weather concerns are not expected, dry and breezy conditions are possible. ...Central Plains and Mid MS Valley... As the surface high pressure in the post-frontal air mass to the east strengthens, southerly return flow should quickly redevelop over the Plains. With the much drier air mass from the proceeding days in place, gusty southerly winds of 15-25 mph are possible from parts of KS into western MO and southern NE. RH values may not reach critical criteria more than briefly, but dry fuels and the gusty winds could support a risk for locally elevated fire-weather concerns. ...Gulf Coast... Gusty offshore winds and dry surface conditions are also possible across parts of the Southeast and central Gulf Coast. While not overly strong or dry, lower humidity and gusty winds should overlap with areas of limited rainfall in recent weeks. Localized fire-weather concerns are possible before rain chances increase into Friday. ..Lyons.. 02/28/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0154 AM CST Wed Feb 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Eastern US trough is forecast to move offshore as transient ridging shifts eastward over the central CONUS. A southern stream shortwave trough will move across the southern Plains along with a weak surface low. The post-frontal air mass over much of the Plains and central US will quickly modify as southerly winds redevelop. While widespread fire-weather concerns are not expected, dry and breezy conditions are possible. ...Central Plains and Mid MS Valley... As the surface high pressure in the post-frontal air mass to the east strengthens, southerly return flow should quickly redevelop over the Plains. With the much drier air mass from the proceeding days in place, gusty southerly winds of 15-25 mph are possible from parts of KS into western MO and southern NE. RH values may not reach critical criteria more than briefly, but dry fuels and the gusty winds could support a risk for locally elevated fire-weather concerns. ...Gulf Coast... Gusty offshore winds and dry surface conditions are also possible across parts of the Southeast and central Gulf Coast. While not overly strong or dry, lower humidity and gusty winds should overlap with areas of limited rainfall in recent weeks. Localized fire-weather concerns are possible before rain chances increase into Friday. ..Lyons.. 02/28/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0154 AM CST Wed Feb 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Eastern US trough is forecast to move offshore as transient ridging shifts eastward over the central CONUS. A southern stream shortwave trough will move across the southern Plains along with a weak surface low. The post-frontal air mass over much of the Plains and central US will quickly modify as southerly winds redevelop. While widespread fire-weather concerns are not expected, dry and breezy conditions are possible. ...Central Plains and Mid MS Valley... As the surface high pressure in the post-frontal air mass to the east strengthens, southerly return flow should quickly redevelop over the Plains. With the much drier air mass from the proceeding days in place, gusty southerly winds of 15-25 mph are possible from parts of KS into western MO and southern NE. RH values may not reach critical criteria more than briefly, but dry fuels and the gusty winds could support a risk for locally elevated fire-weather concerns. ...Gulf Coast... Gusty offshore winds and dry surface conditions are also possible across parts of the Southeast and central Gulf Coast. While not overly strong or dry, lower humidity and gusty winds should overlap with areas of limited rainfall in recent weeks. Localized fire-weather concerns are possible before rain chances increase into Friday. ..Lyons.. 02/28/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0153 AM CST Wed Feb 28 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... An intensifying mid-level trough will quickly move eastward over the Atlantic coast as ridging develops over the western CONUS. Beneath the ridge, a low-amplitude shortwave trough will move out of northern Mexico across the Southwest and west TX. A powerful cold front over the Plains will continue south, ushering in a much colder air mass. With cooler temperatures and gradually weakening winds expected within the post-frontal air mass, overall fire-weather concerns appear low for much of the Plains. One exception may be across parts of south TX and the Rio Grande Valley. Here, area fuels are dry and RH values may still fall below 25% briefly. Combined with north/northeast winds near 20 mph, brief, locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. Dry and breezy conditions may also persist behind the front across parts of AR and the lower MS Valley. However, widespread fire-weather concerns are not expected. ..Lyons.. 02/28/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0153 AM CST Wed Feb 28 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... An intensifying mid-level trough will quickly move eastward over the Atlantic coast as ridging develops over the western CONUS. Beneath the ridge, a low-amplitude shortwave trough will move out of northern Mexico across the Southwest and west TX. A powerful cold front over the Plains will continue south, ushering in a much colder air mass. With cooler temperatures and gradually weakening winds expected within the post-frontal air mass, overall fire-weather concerns appear low for much of the Plains. One exception may be across parts of south TX and the Rio Grande Valley. Here, area fuels are dry and RH values may still fall below 25% briefly. Combined with north/northeast winds near 20 mph, brief, locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. Dry and breezy conditions may also persist behind the front across parts of AR and the lower MS Valley. However, widespread fire-weather concerns are not expected. ..Lyons.. 02/28/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0153 AM CST Wed Feb 28 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... An intensifying mid-level trough will quickly move eastward over the Atlantic coast as ridging develops over the western CONUS. Beneath the ridge, a low-amplitude shortwave trough will move out of northern Mexico across the Southwest and west TX. A powerful cold front over the Plains will continue south, ushering in a much colder air mass. With cooler temperatures and gradually weakening winds expected within the post-frontal air mass, overall fire-weather concerns appear low for much of the Plains. One exception may be across parts of south TX and the Rio Grande Valley. Here, area fuels are dry and RH values may still fall below 25% briefly. Combined with north/northeast winds near 20 mph, brief, locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. Dry and breezy conditions may also persist behind the front across parts of AR and the lower MS Valley. However, widespread fire-weather concerns are not expected. ..Lyons.. 02/28/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0153 AM CST Wed Feb 28 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... An intensifying mid-level trough will quickly move eastward over the Atlantic coast as ridging develops over the western CONUS. Beneath the ridge, a low-amplitude shortwave trough will move out of northern Mexico across the Southwest and west TX. A powerful cold front over the Plains will continue south, ushering in a much colder air mass. With cooler temperatures and gradually weakening winds expected within the post-frontal air mass, overall fire-weather concerns appear low for much of the Plains. One exception may be across parts of south TX and the Rio Grande Valley. Here, area fuels are dry and RH values may still fall below 25% briefly. Combined with north/northeast winds near 20 mph, brief, locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. Dry and breezy conditions may also persist behind the front across parts of AR and the lower MS Valley. However, widespread fire-weather concerns are not expected. ..Lyons.. 02/28/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0153 AM CST Wed Feb 28 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... An intensifying mid-level trough will quickly move eastward over the Atlantic coast as ridging develops over the western CONUS. Beneath the ridge, a low-amplitude shortwave trough will move out of northern Mexico across the Southwest and west TX. A powerful cold front over the Plains will continue south, ushering in a much colder air mass. With cooler temperatures and gradually weakening winds expected within the post-frontal air mass, overall fire-weather concerns appear low for much of the Plains. One exception may be across parts of south TX and the Rio Grande Valley. Here, area fuels are dry and RH values may still fall below 25% briefly. Combined with north/northeast winds near 20 mph, brief, locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. Dry and breezy conditions may also persist behind the front across parts of AR and the lower MS Valley. However, widespread fire-weather concerns are not expected. ..Lyons.. 02/28/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0153 AM CST Wed Feb 28 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... An intensifying mid-level trough will quickly move eastward over the Atlantic coast as ridging develops over the western CONUS. Beneath the ridge, a low-amplitude shortwave trough will move out of northern Mexico across the Southwest and west TX. A powerful cold front over the Plains will continue south, ushering in a much colder air mass. With cooler temperatures and gradually weakening winds expected within the post-frontal air mass, overall fire-weather concerns appear low for much of the Plains. One exception may be across parts of south TX and the Rio Grande Valley. Here, area fuels are dry and RH values may still fall below 25% briefly. Combined with north/northeast winds near 20 mph, brief, locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. Dry and breezy conditions may also persist behind the front across parts of AR and the lower MS Valley. However, widespread fire-weather concerns are not expected. ..Lyons.. 02/28/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0153 AM CST Wed Feb 28 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... An intensifying mid-level trough will quickly move eastward over the Atlantic coast as ridging develops over the western CONUS. Beneath the ridge, a low-amplitude shortwave trough will move out of northern Mexico across the Southwest and west TX. A powerful cold front over the Plains will continue south, ushering in a much colder air mass. With cooler temperatures and gradually weakening winds expected within the post-frontal air mass, overall fire-weather concerns appear low for much of the Plains. One exception may be across parts of south TX and the Rio Grande Valley. Here, area fuels are dry and RH values may still fall below 25% briefly. Combined with north/northeast winds near 20 mph, brief, locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. Dry and breezy conditions may also persist behind the front across parts of AR and the lower MS Valley. However, widespread fire-weather concerns are not expected. ..Lyons.. 02/28/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more