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Heat and drought have stressed tomato plants in Wisconsin, causing blossom drop, curled, twisted and discolored leaves, and limited tomato production. Wisconsin Public Radio (Madison), Aug 17, 2021

The lack of water for operating a cattle feedlot and growing hay puts one cattlewoman at risk of losing her farm. She intends to sell her 4,000 cattle in November. With water in short supply, she planted half of her fields with corn, hay and alfalfa and received 1 acre-foot of water for irrigation. The water allocation was subsequently cut to one-eighth of a foot and lost her corn crop. The prices of premium alfalfa was $190 to $250 six months ago, but has increased to $200 to $285 at present, according to Hay & Forage Grower. The president-elect of the Oregon Cattleman’s Association said that there was no hay available at any price after ranchers stocked up on hay this spring. Capital Press (Salem, Ore.), Aug 19, 2021

Officials from the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis say the biggest impact of the drought will be on agriculture. Livestock and dairy producers will hurt worse than crop producers. KVRR Fargo (N.D.), Aug 13, 2021

After a hot, dry July, feed crops, like hay, corn silage, oats and more, for livestock were severely limited, especially in the middle of the state. Without moisture, ranchers cannot plant a fall cover crop for grazing, leaving ranchers searching for feed supplies. As a result, cattle sales were up. Rapid City Journal (S.D.), Aug 13, 2021

Drought is drying out and killing some trees and plants in the Willamette Valley. The heat wiped out a lot of trees just planted in January and February even though they irrigate the trees once every three weeks, which is not frequently enough for the new trees. Some farmers lost all of their plantings from this year. KVAL-TV CBS 13 (Eugene, Ore.), Aug 16, 2021

A San Joaquin Valley almond grower in Fresno County was using “deficit irrigation,” giving trees less water than they need because he doesn’t have enough water. He also left a third of his land unplanted to leave water for the almonds. He was also considering pulling out 100 of his 600 acres of almond trees after the harvest. California produces 80% of the world’s almonds and has a $6 billion almond industry, but the lack of water is forcing almond growers to make hard decisions about whether to continue growing them as some almond orchards were planted in areas with unreliable water supplies. Numerous growers could not afford the water and have allowed the trees to die. Associated Press News (New York), Aug 17, 2021

Livestock producers should assess pasture for weeds as drought might make toxic plants more abundant. Pastures, hay fields in drought-stressed areas will likely be weedier. Those weeds may be poisonous or higher in nitrates than is okay for livestock to eat. Fertilized fields may also be high in nitrates. Beef Magazine (St. Charles, Ill.),Aug 16, 2021

Dry conditions in Goshen County delayed dryland winter wheat planting. Kiowa County Press (Eads, Colo.), Aug 18, 2021

Platte County producers were haying areas not normally hayed in an effort to get feed for livestock. Kiowa County Press (Eads, Colo.), Aug 18, 2021

The U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Aug. 12 Crop Production Report indicates significant reductions in corn and soybean yields for the Dakotas and Minnesota. Comparing 2020 yields with expected 2021 yields, North Dakota expects a decrease of 24% in corn yield, South Dakota anticipates an 18% decrease, while Minnesota expects 14% decrease. Yield reductions for soybeans are 28% for North Dakota, 14% for South Dakota, and 12% for Minnesota. The Fence Post (Greeley, Colo.), Aug 20, 2021

Almost two-thirds of North Dakota’s spring wheat crop was rated poor or very poor, while about half of the durum wheat, soybean and corn crops were rated as such. The amount of pasture and range rated poor or very poor increased from 79% last week to 87% this week. The lack of forage continued to lead ranchers to cull cattle and cut drought-damaged crops like corn for hay across the state. In an indication of how desperate ranchers are, there were two reports of stolen hay southwest of Manning in Dunn County. Hay thefts did not appear to be widespread at this point, according to the North Dakota Stockmen's Association executive vice president. The Bismarck Tribune (N.D.), Aug 19, 2021

Fire activity continued to be high in the state with 2,186 wildfires burning 122,724 acres, according to the acting outreach and education manager for the North Dakota Forest Service. The number of fires is more than twice the 2020 total, while the area burned was already more than 10 times the area burned in 2020. The Bismarck Tribune (N.D.), Aug 19, 2021 Statewide, 2,009 wildfires burned 118,831 acres, according to the acting outreach and education manager for the North Dakota Forest Service. The number of fires was more than twice last year's total, and the charred acres were about 10 times what burned in all of 2020. The Bismarck Tribune (N.D.), Aug 12, 2021 The North Dakota Forest Service reported 69 fires statewide in the past week burning more than 3,200 acres. KX News (Bismarck, N.D.), July 8, 2021 Dry conditions in North Dakota have driven up fire activity, with nearly 1,400 fires blackening about 156 square miles since the start of 2021, according to North Dakota Forest Service and the state Department of Emergency Services. In 2020, about 921 blazes charred roughly 18 square miles. The Associated Press (N.Y.), June 16, 2021 North Dakota has had more than 1,370 wildfires since the start of 2021. The Bismarck Tribune (N.D.), June 14, 2021 Fire activity continued in North Dakota, although rain slowed things a bit. Since the start of the year, 1,189 fires burned 92,963 acres in the state, according to the North Dakota Fire Service. The area burned in 2021 was already eight times the acreage burned in all of 2020. The Bismarck Tribune (N.D.), May 27, 2021 North Dakota continued to experience high fire activity with 1,103 wildfires burning 91,611 acres, which is more than seven times the amount of land that burned in all of 2020. The Bismarck Tribune (N.D.), May 21, 2021 More than 800 wildfires in North Dakota blackened nearly 80,000 acres, or 8 1/2 times the number of acres that burned in all of 2020, according to the acting outreach and education manager for the North Dakota Forest Service. Rapid City Journal (S.D.), May 9, 2021 North Dakota began seeing wildfires in January with no let up since then as drought intensified. Through May 3, at least 797 known fires consumed 76,474 acres since the start of the year. The area burned so far is nearly six times the roughly 13,000 acres that typically burn annually. The Dickinson Press (N.D.), May 3, 2021 Since the start of the year, 243 fires charred more than 43,000 acres in North Dakota, according to the acting outreach and education manager for the North Dakota Fire Service. The area already burned in 2021 is more than thrice the amount burned in all of 2020. The Bismarck Tribune (N.D.), April 17, 2021 Fire activity remained high with 194 fires consuming nearly 34,000 acres, per the North Dakota Forest Service, which is triple the acreage burned in 2020. The Bismarck Tribune (N.D.), April 8, 2021 More than 140 wildfires in North Dakota have burned over 46 square miles, according to the North Dakota Forest Service. A statewide fire emergency was declared on April 1. The Bismarck Tribune (N.D.), April 2, 2021 Eighty wildfires have already burned more than 24,000 acres, according to the North Dakota Forest Service. The fire activity in the first part of 2021 already exceeds the roughly 11,500 acres burned in all of 2020. The Bismarck Tribune (N.D.), March 25, 2021

Superior NF Facebook  |  Superior NF WebpageThe Gabi Fire was detected on August 23 and is located west of Gabimichigami Lake within the BWCAW.  The fire is .5 acre in size. Because of the remote location and poor access, it has been unstaffed. If the weather allows, a fire crew will be flown to the fire area today.For Superior National Forest Closures visit:  https://www.fs.usda.gov/alerts/superior/alerts-notices For Superior National Forest Fire Restrictions visit:  https://www.fs.usda.gov/alerts/superior/alerts-notices/?aid=67256For MN DNR Fire Restrictions visit: 

The Petit Fire was detected on August 23 and is located 1 mile north of Crescent Lake within the BWCAW. The fire is .5 acre in size and was contained on August 24. It is now in monitor

 All road closures in and around the Cougar Rock Complex have been lifted. There is still active fire burning within the interior of all incidents, but crews are making progress. Current tactics include direct hand line construction followed by hose lay and mop up. Diligent gridding of the green areas is necessary to identify and suppress spot fire that arise. 

No watches are valid as of Fri Aug 27 17:46:02 UTC 2021.

MD 1616 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PARTS OF THE MID ATLANTIC
Mesoscale Discussion 1616 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1241 PM CDT Fri Aug 27 2021 Areas affected...Parts of the Mid Atlantic Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 271741Z - 272015Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Storm coverage is expected to increase this afternoon, with isolated-to-scattered damaging wind gusts possible. DISCUSSION...Early this afternoon, a weak midlevel shortwave trough is moving slowly eastward toward the Mid Atlantic, with convection beginning to develop across the higher terrain. Downstream, strong heating of a very moist boundary layer is resulting in MLCAPE of 1500-2000 J/kg as of 17Z, with some further increase in buoyancy expected through the afternoon. Storm coverage is expected to gradually increase this afternoon in advance of the shortwave trough. Deep-layer shear is generally weak across the region and storms may tend to remain disorganized, with a primary risk of isolated downburst wind gusts within the high PW environment. However, slightly stronger westerly midlevel flow along the southern flank of the shortwave trough may promote some loosely organized clusters across MD/DC/northern VA, which could pose a slightly more organized damaging wind risk. Given the weak deep-layer shear across the region, watch issuance is currently considered unlikely, but this will be reevaluated if more organized outflow-driven clusters develop or appear imminent. ..Dean/Dial.. 08/27/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...CTP...LWX... LAT...LON 38837830 40037771 40287700 40327665 40127586 39927571 39657562 39107589 38797625 38447659 38147707 37957738 37897802 38367851 38837830 Read more

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 27 Aug 2021 17:35:02 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 27 Aug 2021 15:28:47 GMT