Aggregator

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 111134
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sat Jun 11 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Off the coast of southwestern Mexico:
A broad low pressure area located a couple of hundred miles south of
the southern coast of Mexico is producing some disorganized shower
activity. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is
likely to form during the early or middle part of next week while
the system meanders off the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

Texas A&M Forest Service received a request for assistance for the Cypress Mill Road Fire in Blanco County on the afternoon of Tuesday, June 7th. TAMFS crews are in unified command with local resources. Resources, including heavy equipment and engines were redirected from nearby Lincoln Smith Fire. Excessive heat, high winds, and critically low live fuel moisture contributed to active fire behavior. 5 structures were directly threatened and saved.

MD 1113 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 342... FOR NORTHEAST LA...SOUTHWEST MS
Mesoscale Discussion 1113 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1021 AM CDT Fri Jun 10 2022 Areas affected...northeast LA...southwest MS Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 342... Valid 101521Z - 101645Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 342 continues. SUMMARY...The highest threat for strong to severe gusts (50-65 mph) and associated wind damage will likely exist with the bow-shaped portion of the squall line as it moves south-southeastward into southwest MS through 12pm CDT. DISCUSSION...Radar imagery shows an MCS over the lower MS Valley this morning. A continued south-southeastward surge in the squall line has resulted in a bow-shaped inflection, where the risk for damaging gusts will likely concentrate over the next 1-2 hours. The airmass south-southeast of the bow has warmed in the lower 80s F (as of 10am CDT), and additional heating into the mid 80s will occur prior to the arrival of the squall line. The steepening of low-level lapse rates plus a water-loading component to the thunderstorms, will facilitate the efficient transfer of strong to locally severe gusts to the surface. ..Smith.. 06/10/2022 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX... LAT...LON 32219187 31239108 31339056 32409118 32219187 Read more

WW 0341 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 341 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW TXK TO 25 SW LLQ TO 40 E PBF. ..SMITH..06/10/22 ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 341 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC011-041-043-101500- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRADLEY DESHA DREW THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0342 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 342 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SMITH..06/10/22 ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV...LCH...LIX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 342 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC003-017-027-073-091-139-101600- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ASHLEY CHICOT COLUMBIA LAFAYETTE MILLER UNION LAC009-013-015-017-021-025-027-029-031-035-041-043-049-059-061- 065-067-069-073-079-081-083-085-107-111-115-119-123-127- 101600- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE AVOYELLES BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO CALDWELL CATAHOULA CLAIBORNE CONCORDIA DE SOTO EAST CARROLL FRANKLIN GRANT JACKSON LA SALLE LINCOLN MADISON MOREHOUSE NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA RAPIDES RED RIVER RICHLAND SABINE TENSAS UNION VERNON WEBSTER WEST CARROLL WINN Read more

WW 342 SEVERE TSTM AR LA MS TX 101350Z - 102000Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 342 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 850 AM CDT Fri Jun 10 2022 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southern Arkansas Central and northern Louisiana Central Mississippi Northeast and east-central Texas * Effective this Friday morning and afternoon from 850 AM until 300 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...A line of severe thunderstorms will move southeast across the watch area through early afternoon posing a risk for damaging wind gusts and possibly a tornado or two. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles west of Shreveport LA to 105 miles east northeast of Natchez MS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 341... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 32040. ...Bunting Read more

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0728 AM CDT Fri Jun 10 2022 Valid 101300Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND MISSISSIPPI THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms with an accompanying damaging wind risk are expected across parts of Arkansas into the lower Mississippi Valley and central Gulf Coast vicinity, mainly this morning into the afternoon. ...AR/LA/MS/AL/FL... A large and persistent MCS that affected OK overnight is beginning to re-intensify over southern AR. These storms will track southeastward across the ArkLaMiss region, where at least some daytime heating and dewpoints in the mid/upper 60s will be present. Low and mid-level wind fields are not particularly strong, but given the substantial mesoscale organization of this MCS, there will be a risk of damaging wind gusts and perhaps brief QLCS tornadoes along the leading edge of the storms. The activity is expected to track all the way to the Gulf Coast by early evening, ending the severe threat. ..Hart/Broyles.. 06/10/2022 Read more

826
ABPZ20 KNHC 101138
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Fri Jun 10 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Off the coast of southwestern Mexico:
A broad and elongated area of low pressure off the coast of
southwestern Mexico is producing limited shower and thunderstorm
activity. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is
likely to form early next week while the system meanders off the
southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

826
ABPZ20 KNHC 101138
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Fri Jun 10 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Off the coast of southwestern Mexico:
A broad and elongated area of low pressure off the coast of
southwestern Mexico is producing limited shower and thunderstorm
activity. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is
likely to form early next week while the system meanders off the
southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

Katy is in stage 1 drought conditions due to extreme heat and a lack of rain. Residents are asked to conserve water. Katy Times (Texas), June 8, 2022

A horse rescue in Amarillo is seeking help in paying for hay and feed costs as the region endures exceptional drought, which has dried up water supplies and caused widespread crop and pasture losses. Drought means that the horses cannot graze in the pasture for the first time in ten years. The rescue began buying hay in May and had to buy hay for June also. KDFA-TV Newschannel 10 (Amarillo, Texas), June 10, 2022

The new emergency water restrictions took effect in San Diego on June 10 stemming from the orders from the State Water Resources Control Board direction in May about Level 2 water restrictions. Landscape watering is limited to three or fewer days per week between certain hours. FOX 5 San Diego (Calif.), June 9, 2022

A shortage of the chili peppers used to produce Sriracha hot sauce were in short supply, so the company that produces the famous sauce will suspend sales over the summer. Customers learned in an April 19 email that all orders submitted after that date would be fulfilled after Labor Day. Peppers used in the sauce are grown in California, New Mexico and Mexico, and weather conditions were deepening the chili shortage. Associated Press News (New York), June 9, 2022

Gov. Spencer Cox on April 21 issued a State of Emergency due to “dire drought conditions” affecting Utah. The announcement activated the Drought Response Committee and increased monitoring and reporting efforts. The snowpack was 25% below normal, and 95% of the state’s water supply comes from snowpack. As of April 21, nineteen of Utah’s largest 45 reservoirs were below 55% of available capacity, with overall statewide storage at just 59%. This time last year, the reservoirs were near 67% of capacity. ABC4 (Salt Lake City, Utah), April 21, 2022

Water consumption on Oahu was up slightly, compared to the previous year, amid increased concern about drought brush fires and possible mandatory water rationing at the start of what is expected to be a dry summer. Honolulu Star-Advertiser (Hawaii), June 7, 2022 The Honolulu Board of Water Supply called for urgent voluntary water conservation in urban Honolulu and Aiea-Halawa areas as three wells remained shut down as fuel leaking from the Navy’s fuel tanks were contaminating the water supply. The combined closure of the three wells and the dry weather, were increasing water demand. There was concern that demand might exceed supply this summer. Hawaii News Now KHNL/KGMB (Honolulu, Hawaii), March 9, 2022

The Cienegita fire started on 6/3/2022, located approximately four miles northwest of the Village of Ruidoso, New Mexico, on the Mescalero Apache Indian Reservation. The fire was determined to be caused by several dry lightning strikes that hit the area that afternoon. The fire reached 37 acres the following day while both ground and aerial resources directly attacked the fire in tandem and Pecos Type 3 incident management team was assigned to the fire. Crews and aerial resources made excellent progress the following days bringing the fire’s total containment to 95% by 6/7/22. The afternoon of 6/8/22, command of the fire was handed back to the local agency.Over the next few days, the Smokey Bear Interagency Hotshot Crew (IHC) and aerial resources will remain on the scene to monitor the fire area and ensure there are no longer hotspots.    Unless there are significant new developments, this page will no longer be regularly

Unless there are significant new developments, this page will not be regularly updated. The 106-acre Perins Peak Fire is northwest of Durango, Colorado on Bureau of Land Management and Colorado Parks and Wildlife lands. The fire is 100% contained and management of the fire has been returned to the Tres Rios Field Office of the Bureau of Land Management. Smoke may continue to be visible as pockets of fuel, stumps, etc., inside the perimeter continue to smolder and/or burn. Fire danger remains very high across southwest Colorado and fire restrictions are in place on all public lands. Learn more about how to prepare your property and to help firefighters protect it, at: https://www.wildlandfirersg.org/s/are-you-wildfire-ready?

 Fore contained.  Local fire department will monitor as

Texas A&M Forest Service is in unified command with local resources on the Lincoln Smith fire in Blanco County, Texas. The fire began on Sunday, June 5th. The fire is burning in rough terrain in juniper and oak woodlands. The Marble Falls Initial Attack group of 2 dozers and overhead personnel was requested, as well as one type 1 helicopter, and Travis County Starflight to assist with water bucket drops.  No evacuations or closures are currently in