Aggregator

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 042315
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri Jul 4 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Central East Pacific (EP96):
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms, partly
associated with a tropical wave, is centered a few hundred miles
south of southwestern Mexico. Gradual development of this system is
anticipated during the next few days, and a tropical depression is
expected to form late this weekend or early next week while it moves
generally west-northwestward well off the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

South of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form several hundred miles offshore of
southwestern Mexico late next week. Some gradual development of this
system is possible thereafter while it moves generally
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Gibbs/Hagen

WW 0486 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 486 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WSW ABR TO 55 NNE ABR TO 40 W FAR TO 45 ENE JMS TO 15 N JMS. ..SPC..07/04/25 ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF...ABR...BIS... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 486 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MNC001-005-007-011-017-021-027-029-035-051-057-061-071-075-077- 087-089-107-111-113-119-125-137-155-159-167-042340- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AITKIN BECKER BELTRAMI BIG STONE CARLTON CASS CLAY CLEARWATER CROW WING GRANT HUBBARD ITASCA KOOCHICHING LAKE LAKE OF THE WOODS MAHNOMEN MARSHALL NORMAN OTTER TAIL PENNINGTON POLK RED LAKE ST. LOUIS TRAVERSE WADENA WILKIN NDC017-031-035-039-073-077-081-091-097-042340- ND . NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CASS FOSTER GRAND FORKS GRIGGS RANSOM RICHLAND SARGENT STEELE TRAILL Read more

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Fri Jul 4 21:50:12 UTC 2025.

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0422 PM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z ...Synopsis... By Day 3/Sunday, the mid-level shortwave trough responsible for ongoing thunderstorms across the northern Rockies will move into the northern Great Plains. Quasi-zonal flow is expected over the rest of the northern CONUS, while subtropical ridging impacts the Southern Plains and Southwest. Farther west off the central CA coastline, a mid to upper-level cyclone is anticipated to meander near this region for a couple of days and then slowly progress north-northeastward towards northern CA by Day5/Tuesday. ...Day 5/Tuesday... Increasing mid to low-level flow is expected to develop Day 5/Tuesday over the Great Basin region as the height gradient tightens in association with the approaching CA cyclone. Very warm and dry atmospheric profiles are expected for several days preceding this feature, which will aid in even more receptive fuels being available by this time. Extended ensemble model guidance and high confidence in a deeply mixed boundary layer suggest there is now enough evidence to introduce low critical probabilities for breezy winds and low RH across eastern NV and western UT Day 5/Tuesday. ..Barnes.. 07/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0422 PM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z ...Synopsis... By Day 3/Sunday, the mid-level shortwave trough responsible for ongoing thunderstorms across the northern Rockies will move into the northern Great Plains. Quasi-zonal flow is expected over the rest of the northern CONUS, while subtropical ridging impacts the Southern Plains and Southwest. Farther west off the central CA coastline, a mid to upper-level cyclone is anticipated to meander near this region for a couple of days and then slowly progress north-northeastward towards northern CA by Day5/Tuesday. ...Day 5/Tuesday... Increasing mid to low-level flow is expected to develop Day 5/Tuesday over the Great Basin region as the height gradient tightens in association with the approaching CA cyclone. Very warm and dry atmospheric profiles are expected for several days preceding this feature, which will aid in even more receptive fuels being available by this time. Extended ensemble model guidance and high confidence in a deeply mixed boundary layer suggest there is now enough evidence to introduce low critical probabilities for breezy winds and low RH across eastern NV and western UT Day 5/Tuesday. ..Barnes.. 07/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0422 PM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z ...Synopsis... By Day 3/Sunday, the mid-level shortwave trough responsible for ongoing thunderstorms across the northern Rockies will move into the northern Great Plains. Quasi-zonal flow is expected over the rest of the northern CONUS, while subtropical ridging impacts the Southern Plains and Southwest. Farther west off the central CA coastline, a mid to upper-level cyclone is anticipated to meander near this region for a couple of days and then slowly progress north-northeastward towards northern CA by Day5/Tuesday. ...Day 5/Tuesday... Increasing mid to low-level flow is expected to develop Day 5/Tuesday over the Great Basin region as the height gradient tightens in association with the approaching CA cyclone. Very warm and dry atmospheric profiles are expected for several days preceding this feature, which will aid in even more receptive fuels being available by this time. Extended ensemble model guidance and high confidence in a deeply mixed boundary layer suggest there is now enough evidence to introduce low critical probabilities for breezy winds and low RH across eastern NV and western UT Day 5/Tuesday. ..Barnes.. 07/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0422 PM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z ...Synopsis... By Day 3/Sunday, the mid-level shortwave trough responsible for ongoing thunderstorms across the northern Rockies will move into the northern Great Plains. Quasi-zonal flow is expected over the rest of the northern CONUS, while subtropical ridging impacts the Southern Plains and Southwest. Farther west off the central CA coastline, a mid to upper-level cyclone is anticipated to meander near this region for a couple of days and then slowly progress north-northeastward towards northern CA by Day5/Tuesday. ...Day 5/Tuesday... Increasing mid to low-level flow is expected to develop Day 5/Tuesday over the Great Basin region as the height gradient tightens in association with the approaching CA cyclone. Very warm and dry atmospheric profiles are expected for several days preceding this feature, which will aid in even more receptive fuels being available by this time. Extended ensemble model guidance and high confidence in a deeply mixed boundary layer suggest there is now enough evidence to introduce low critical probabilities for breezy winds and low RH across eastern NV and western UT Day 5/Tuesday. ..Barnes.. 07/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0422 PM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z ...Synopsis... By Day 3/Sunday, the mid-level shortwave trough responsible for ongoing thunderstorms across the northern Rockies will move into the northern Great Plains. Quasi-zonal flow is expected over the rest of the northern CONUS, while subtropical ridging impacts the Southern Plains and Southwest. Farther west off the central CA coastline, a mid to upper-level cyclone is anticipated to meander near this region for a couple of days and then slowly progress north-northeastward towards northern CA by Day5/Tuesday. ...Day 5/Tuesday... Increasing mid to low-level flow is expected to develop Day 5/Tuesday over the Great Basin region as the height gradient tightens in association with the approaching CA cyclone. Very warm and dry atmospheric profiles are expected for several days preceding this feature, which will aid in even more receptive fuels being available by this time. Extended ensemble model guidance and high confidence in a deeply mixed boundary layer suggest there is now enough evidence to introduce low critical probabilities for breezy winds and low RH across eastern NV and western UT Day 5/Tuesday. ..Barnes.. 07/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0422 PM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z ...Synopsis... By Day 3/Sunday, the mid-level shortwave trough responsible for ongoing thunderstorms across the northern Rockies will move into the northern Great Plains. Quasi-zonal flow is expected over the rest of the northern CONUS, while subtropical ridging impacts the Southern Plains and Southwest. Farther west off the central CA coastline, a mid to upper-level cyclone is anticipated to meander near this region for a couple of days and then slowly progress north-northeastward towards northern CA by Day5/Tuesday. ...Day 5/Tuesday... Increasing mid to low-level flow is expected to develop Day 5/Tuesday over the Great Basin region as the height gradient tightens in association with the approaching CA cyclone. Very warm and dry atmospheric profiles are expected for several days preceding this feature, which will aid in even more receptive fuels being available by this time. Extended ensemble model guidance and high confidence in a deeply mixed boundary layer suggest there is now enough evidence to introduce low critical probabilities for breezy winds and low RH across eastern NV and western UT Day 5/Tuesday. ..Barnes.. 07/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0422 PM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z ...Synopsis... By Day 3/Sunday, the mid-level shortwave trough responsible for ongoing thunderstorms across the northern Rockies will move into the northern Great Plains. Quasi-zonal flow is expected over the rest of the northern CONUS, while subtropical ridging impacts the Southern Plains and Southwest. Farther west off the central CA coastline, a mid to upper-level cyclone is anticipated to meander near this region for a couple of days and then slowly progress north-northeastward towards northern CA by Day5/Tuesday. ...Day 5/Tuesday... Increasing mid to low-level flow is expected to develop Day 5/Tuesday over the Great Basin region as the height gradient tightens in association with the approaching CA cyclone. Very warm and dry atmospheric profiles are expected for several days preceding this feature, which will aid in even more receptive fuels being available by this time. Extended ensemble model guidance and high confidence in a deeply mixed boundary layer suggest there is now enough evidence to introduce low critical probabilities for breezy winds and low RH across eastern NV and western UT Day 5/Tuesday. ..Barnes.. 07/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0422 PM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z ...Synopsis... By Day 3/Sunday, the mid-level shortwave trough responsible for ongoing thunderstorms across the northern Rockies will move into the northern Great Plains. Quasi-zonal flow is expected over the rest of the northern CONUS, while subtropical ridging impacts the Southern Plains and Southwest. Farther west off the central CA coastline, a mid to upper-level cyclone is anticipated to meander near this region for a couple of days and then slowly progress north-northeastward towards northern CA by Day5/Tuesday. ...Day 5/Tuesday... Increasing mid to low-level flow is expected to develop Day 5/Tuesday over the Great Basin region as the height gradient tightens in association with the approaching CA cyclone. Very warm and dry atmospheric profiles are expected for several days preceding this feature, which will aid in even more receptive fuels being available by this time. Extended ensemble model guidance and high confidence in a deeply mixed boundary layer suggest there is now enough evidence to introduce low critical probabilities for breezy winds and low RH across eastern NV and western UT Day 5/Tuesday. ..Barnes.. 07/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0422 PM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z ...Synopsis... By Day 3/Sunday, the mid-level shortwave trough responsible for ongoing thunderstorms across the northern Rockies will move into the northern Great Plains. Quasi-zonal flow is expected over the rest of the northern CONUS, while subtropical ridging impacts the Southern Plains and Southwest. Farther west off the central CA coastline, a mid to upper-level cyclone is anticipated to meander near this region for a couple of days and then slowly progress north-northeastward towards northern CA by Day5/Tuesday. ...Day 5/Tuesday... Increasing mid to low-level flow is expected to develop Day 5/Tuesday over the Great Basin region as the height gradient tightens in association with the approaching CA cyclone. Very warm and dry atmospheric profiles are expected for several days preceding this feature, which will aid in even more receptive fuels being available by this time. Extended ensemble model guidance and high confidence in a deeply mixed boundary layer suggest there is now enough evidence to introduce low critical probabilities for breezy winds and low RH across eastern NV and western UT Day 5/Tuesday. ..Barnes.. 07/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0422 PM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z ...Synopsis... By Day 3/Sunday, the mid-level shortwave trough responsible for ongoing thunderstorms across the northern Rockies will move into the northern Great Plains. Quasi-zonal flow is expected over the rest of the northern CONUS, while subtropical ridging impacts the Southern Plains and Southwest. Farther west off the central CA coastline, a mid to upper-level cyclone is anticipated to meander near this region for a couple of days and then slowly progress north-northeastward towards northern CA by Day5/Tuesday. ...Day 5/Tuesday... Increasing mid to low-level flow is expected to develop Day 5/Tuesday over the Great Basin region as the height gradient tightens in association with the approaching CA cyclone. Very warm and dry atmospheric profiles are expected for several days preceding this feature, which will aid in even more receptive fuels being available by this time. Extended ensemble model guidance and high confidence in a deeply mixed boundary layer suggest there is now enough evidence to introduce low critical probabilities for breezy winds and low RH across eastern NV and western UT Day 5/Tuesday. ..Barnes.. 07/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0422 PM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z ...Synopsis... By Day 3/Sunday, the mid-level shortwave trough responsible for ongoing thunderstorms across the northern Rockies will move into the northern Great Plains. Quasi-zonal flow is expected over the rest of the northern CONUS, while subtropical ridging impacts the Southern Plains and Southwest. Farther west off the central CA coastline, a mid to upper-level cyclone is anticipated to meander near this region for a couple of days and then slowly progress north-northeastward towards northern CA by Day5/Tuesday. ...Day 5/Tuesday... Increasing mid to low-level flow is expected to develop Day 5/Tuesday over the Great Basin region as the height gradient tightens in association with the approaching CA cyclone. Very warm and dry atmospheric profiles are expected for several days preceding this feature, which will aid in even more receptive fuels being available by this time. Extended ensemble model guidance and high confidence in a deeply mixed boundary layer suggest there is now enough evidence to introduce low critical probabilities for breezy winds and low RH across eastern NV and western UT Day 5/Tuesday. ..Barnes.. 07/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0422 PM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z ...Synopsis... By Day 3/Sunday, the mid-level shortwave trough responsible for ongoing thunderstorms across the northern Rockies will move into the northern Great Plains. Quasi-zonal flow is expected over the rest of the northern CONUS, while subtropical ridging impacts the Southern Plains and Southwest. Farther west off the central CA coastline, a mid to upper-level cyclone is anticipated to meander near this region for a couple of days and then slowly progress north-northeastward towards northern CA by Day5/Tuesday. ...Day 5/Tuesday... Increasing mid to low-level flow is expected to develop Day 5/Tuesday over the Great Basin region as the height gradient tightens in association with the approaching CA cyclone. Very warm and dry atmospheric profiles are expected for several days preceding this feature, which will aid in even more receptive fuels being available by this time. Extended ensemble model guidance and high confidence in a deeply mixed boundary layer suggest there is now enough evidence to introduce low critical probabilities for breezy winds and low RH across eastern NV and western UT Day 5/Tuesday. ..Barnes.. 07/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0422 PM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z ...Synopsis... By Day 3/Sunday, the mid-level shortwave trough responsible for ongoing thunderstorms across the northern Rockies will move into the northern Great Plains. Quasi-zonal flow is expected over the rest of the northern CONUS, while subtropical ridging impacts the Southern Plains and Southwest. Farther west off the central CA coastline, a mid to upper-level cyclone is anticipated to meander near this region for a couple of days and then slowly progress north-northeastward towards northern CA by Day5/Tuesday. ...Day 5/Tuesday... Increasing mid to low-level flow is expected to develop Day 5/Tuesday over the Great Basin region as the height gradient tightens in association with the approaching CA cyclone. Very warm and dry atmospheric profiles are expected for several days preceding this feature, which will aid in even more receptive fuels being available by this time. Extended ensemble model guidance and high confidence in a deeply mixed boundary layer suggest there is now enough evidence to introduce low critical probabilities for breezy winds and low RH across eastern NV and western UT Day 5/Tuesday. ..Barnes.. 07/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

WW 0486 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 486 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..JEWELL..07/04/25 ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF...ABR...BIS... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 486 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MNC001-005-007-011-017-021-027-029-035-051-057-061-071-075-077- 087-089-107-111-113-119-125-137-155-159-167-042140- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AITKIN BECKER BELTRAMI BIG STONE CARLTON CASS CLAY CLEARWATER CROW WING GRANT HUBBARD ITASCA KOOCHICHING LAKE LAKE OF THE WOODS MAHNOMEN MARSHALL NORMAN OTTER TAIL PENNINGTON POLK RED LAKE ST. LOUIS TRAVERSE WADENA WILKIN NDC003-017-021-031-035-039-045-073-077-081-091-093-097-042140- ND . NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARNES CASS DICKEY FOSTER GRAND FORKS GRIGGS LAMOURE RANSOM RICHLAND SARGENT STEELE STUTSMAN Read more

WW 0486 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 486 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..JEWELL..07/04/25 ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF...ABR...BIS... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 486 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MNC001-005-007-011-017-021-027-029-035-051-057-061-071-075-077- 087-089-107-111-113-119-125-137-155-159-167-042140- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AITKIN BECKER BELTRAMI BIG STONE CARLTON CASS CLAY CLEARWATER CROW WING GRANT HUBBARD ITASCA KOOCHICHING LAKE LAKE OF THE WOODS MAHNOMEN MARSHALL NORMAN OTTER TAIL PENNINGTON POLK RED LAKE ST. LOUIS TRAVERSE WADENA WILKIN NDC003-017-021-031-035-039-045-073-077-081-091-093-097-042140- ND . NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARNES CASS DICKEY FOSTER GRAND FORKS GRIGGS LAMOURE RANSOM RICHLAND SARGENT STEELE STUTSMAN Read more

MD 1562 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR EASTERN COLORADO INTO WESTERN NEBRASKA AND KANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 1562 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0204 PM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025 Areas affected...eastern Colorado into western Nebraska and Kansas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 041904Z - 042130Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...At least isolated storms capable of severe hail or strong gusts are likely through the afternoon. DISCUSSION...A surface trough is gradually deepening over eastern CO this afternoon, with moisture wrapping southwestward out of northeast CO. Just east, a very moist air mass exists very near the CO/KS border, with upper 60s F dewpoints into KS. A weak midlevel trough with increasing westerlies is currently moving over the area, but very little cooling aloft is occurring. However, the increasing mean winds combined with continued heating should allow existing convection near the Front Range to proceed east/southeast across the Plains. Marginally severe hail and wind will be possible initially. As these storms encounter the more unstable air mass toward the KS border, an uptick in intensity may occur, with perhaps an increased damaging wind threat. This area may need to be addressed again later today or this evening as storms evolve. ..Jewell/Mosier.. 07/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU... LAT...LON 38510460 38950469 39480452 39670421 39520300 39190212 38930155 38510119 37770084 37130100 36720163 36690239 37040250 37440226 37730281 37940371 38240440 38510460 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN Read more

MD 1560 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR MUCH OF NORTHERN MINNESOTA...EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA...FAR NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA
Mesoscale Discussion 1560 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0110 PM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025 Areas affected...much of northern Minnesota...eastern North Dakota...far northeast South Dakota Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 041810Z - 042045Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Storms will increase in coverage over northern Minnesota, with both large hail and damaging wind potential. Additional storms with damaging winds are likely to develop into the eastern Dakotas. DISCUSSION...Storms are developing near the warm front along the MN/ON border, with a supercell ongoing and likely producing large hail. Meanwhile, a line of convection is ongoing along a developing cold front/low pressure trough from central SD into south-central ND. Across the warm sector, temperatures continue to rise into the 90s, while dewpoints are firmly in the 70s F. Despite warm temperatures aloft, the high theta-e boundary layer is contributing to 2000-3000 J/kg MLCAPE. Given this uncapped air mass, storms are forecast to gradually increase in coverage from the ongoing northern MN activity southwestward toward a surface low over eastern ND. Initial cells may produce hail, but outflows will eventually merge these systems into a NE-SW oriented MCS, with scattered damaging gusts possible. ..Jewell/Mosier.. 07/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...ABR... LAT...LON 46699349 46169511 45669686 45639747 45889779 46949804 47169805 47489798 48029746 48439618 48719433 48729294 48579240 48249186 47549189 47189229 46699349 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more