SPC Jul 6, 2025 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1247 AM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST COLORADO INTO WESTERN NEBRASKA AND EXTREME SOUTHERN SOUTH DAKOTA... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are likely across the central Plains tomorrow (Monday). Severe wind and hail are the main threats. Isolated strong to potentially severe storms are also possible from parts of New York into Maine. ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will eject into the Plains states as upper troughing persists across the Northeast and West Coast tomorrow (Monday). Surface lee troughs will develop over the central Plains and New England, which will encourage at least scattered thunderstorm development over both regions. Across the Plains, strong instability and appreciable vertical wind shear will be in place to support severe thunderstorms. Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms will also be possible over portions of the northern Appalachians. ...Northern Appalachians... By afternoon peak heating, surface temperatures should rise into the 70s F amid 70 F dewpoints, boosting MLCAPE to 2000 J/kg given the deep, rich low-level moisture in place. Modest westerly flow aloft will overspread the region as a mid-level trough glances the area, supporting 25-35 kts of effective bulk shear/straight hodographs. Some of the strongest storms may become organized multicells capable of producing isolated damaging gusts. ...Central High Plains into the Northern Plains... Surface lee troughing will encourage continued northward low-level moisture advection beneath 8.5+ C/km 700-500 mb lapse rates through the day, boosting MLCAPE into the 2000-3000 J/kg range by afternoon peak heating. As evening approaches, strengthening of the southerly low-level jet should ensue beneath westerly 500 mb flow, resulting in enlarged, curved hodographs and 35+ kts of effective bulk shear. The more robust storms that develop should be initially supercellular, accompanied by a severe wind/hail threat. An instance or two of 2+ inch diameter hail and/or a tornado may occur. Several storms are expected to develop along/ahead of the surface trough from the central High Plains into the northern Plains by evening, with cold pool mergers most likely across western NE. Here, an MCS may develop and produce a more focused swath of severe gusts, hence the Category 3/Enhanced risk. Multicell clusters may also develop as far northeast as MN and southwest as northeast NM, all of which may produce at least isolated severe gusts. ..Squitieri.. 07/06/2025 Read more

SPC Jul 6, 2025 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1247 AM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST COLORADO INTO WESTERN NEBRASKA AND EXTREME SOUTHERN SOUTH DAKOTA... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are likely across the central Plains tomorrow (Monday). Severe wind and hail are the main threats. Isolated strong to potentially severe storms are also possible from parts of New York into Maine. ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will eject into the Plains states as upper troughing persists across the Northeast and West Coast tomorrow (Monday). Surface lee troughs will develop over the central Plains and New England, which will encourage at least scattered thunderstorm development over both regions. Across the Plains, strong instability and appreciable vertical wind shear will be in place to support severe thunderstorms. Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms will also be possible over portions of the northern Appalachians. ...Northern Appalachians... By afternoon peak heating, surface temperatures should rise into the 70s F amid 70 F dewpoints, boosting MLCAPE to 2000 J/kg given the deep, rich low-level moisture in place. Modest westerly flow aloft will overspread the region as a mid-level trough glances the area, supporting 25-35 kts of effective bulk shear/straight hodographs. Some of the strongest storms may become organized multicells capable of producing isolated damaging gusts. ...Central High Plains into the Northern Plains... Surface lee troughing will encourage continued northward low-level moisture advection beneath 8.5+ C/km 700-500 mb lapse rates through the day, boosting MLCAPE into the 2000-3000 J/kg range by afternoon peak heating. As evening approaches, strengthening of the southerly low-level jet should ensue beneath westerly 500 mb flow, resulting in enlarged, curved hodographs and 35+ kts of effective bulk shear. The more robust storms that develop should be initially supercellular, accompanied by a severe wind/hail threat. An instance or two of 2+ inch diameter hail and/or a tornado may occur. Several storms are expected to develop along/ahead of the surface trough from the central High Plains into the northern Plains by evening, with cold pool mergers most likely across western NE. Here, an MCS may develop and produce a more focused swath of severe gusts, hence the Category 3/Enhanced risk. Multicell clusters may also develop as far northeast as MN and southwest as northeast NM, all of which may produce at least isolated severe gusts. ..Squitieri.. 07/06/2025 Read more

SPC Jul 6, 2025 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1247 AM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST COLORADO INTO WESTERN NEBRASKA AND EXTREME SOUTHERN SOUTH DAKOTA... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are likely across the central Plains tomorrow (Monday). Severe wind and hail are the main threats. Isolated strong to potentially severe storms are also possible from parts of New York into Maine. ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will eject into the Plains states as upper troughing persists across the Northeast and West Coast tomorrow (Monday). Surface lee troughs will develop over the central Plains and New England, which will encourage at least scattered thunderstorm development over both regions. Across the Plains, strong instability and appreciable vertical wind shear will be in place to support severe thunderstorms. Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms will also be possible over portions of the northern Appalachians. ...Northern Appalachians... By afternoon peak heating, surface temperatures should rise into the 70s F amid 70 F dewpoints, boosting MLCAPE to 2000 J/kg given the deep, rich low-level moisture in place. Modest westerly flow aloft will overspread the region as a mid-level trough glances the area, supporting 25-35 kts of effective bulk shear/straight hodographs. Some of the strongest storms may become organized multicells capable of producing isolated damaging gusts. ...Central High Plains into the Northern Plains... Surface lee troughing will encourage continued northward low-level moisture advection beneath 8.5+ C/km 700-500 mb lapse rates through the day, boosting MLCAPE into the 2000-3000 J/kg range by afternoon peak heating. As evening approaches, strengthening of the southerly low-level jet should ensue beneath westerly 500 mb flow, resulting in enlarged, curved hodographs and 35+ kts of effective bulk shear. The more robust storms that develop should be initially supercellular, accompanied by a severe wind/hail threat. An instance or two of 2+ inch diameter hail and/or a tornado may occur. Several storms are expected to develop along/ahead of the surface trough from the central High Plains into the northern Plains by evening, with cold pool mergers most likely across western NE. Here, an MCS may develop and produce a more focused swath of severe gusts, hence the Category 3/Enhanced risk. Multicell clusters may also develop as far northeast as MN and southwest as northeast NM, all of which may produce at least isolated severe gusts. ..Squitieri.. 07/06/2025 Read more

SPC Jul 6, 2025 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1247 AM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST COLORADO INTO WESTERN NEBRASKA AND EXTREME SOUTHERN SOUTH DAKOTA... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are likely across the central Plains tomorrow (Monday). Severe wind and hail are the main threats. Isolated strong to potentially severe storms are also possible from parts of New York into Maine. ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will eject into the Plains states as upper troughing persists across the Northeast and West Coast tomorrow (Monday). Surface lee troughs will develop over the central Plains and New England, which will encourage at least scattered thunderstorm development over both regions. Across the Plains, strong instability and appreciable vertical wind shear will be in place to support severe thunderstorms. Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms will also be possible over portions of the northern Appalachians. ...Northern Appalachians... By afternoon peak heating, surface temperatures should rise into the 70s F amid 70 F dewpoints, boosting MLCAPE to 2000 J/kg given the deep, rich low-level moisture in place. Modest westerly flow aloft will overspread the region as a mid-level trough glances the area, supporting 25-35 kts of effective bulk shear/straight hodographs. Some of the strongest storms may become organized multicells capable of producing isolated damaging gusts. ...Central High Plains into the Northern Plains... Surface lee troughing will encourage continued northward low-level moisture advection beneath 8.5+ C/km 700-500 mb lapse rates through the day, boosting MLCAPE into the 2000-3000 J/kg range by afternoon peak heating. As evening approaches, strengthening of the southerly low-level jet should ensue beneath westerly 500 mb flow, resulting in enlarged, curved hodographs and 35+ kts of effective bulk shear. The more robust storms that develop should be initially supercellular, accompanied by a severe wind/hail threat. An instance or two of 2+ inch diameter hail and/or a tornado may occur. Several storms are expected to develop along/ahead of the surface trough from the central High Plains into the northern Plains by evening, with cold pool mergers most likely across western NE. Here, an MCS may develop and produce a more focused swath of severe gusts, hence the Category 3/Enhanced risk. Multicell clusters may also develop as far northeast as MN and southwest as northeast NM, all of which may produce at least isolated severe gusts. ..Squitieri.. 07/06/2025 Read more

SPC Jul 6, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered storms capable of producing severe wind gusts and large hail are expected along the central High Plains. A few instances of 2+ inch diameter hail and 75+ mph wind gusts are possible. ...Central High Plains to the Southern Plains... Along the northern periphery of a large-scale ridge over the Southwest, a subtle midlevel impulse and related 30-40-kt speed maximum will overspread the northern/central High Plains during the afternoon/evening time frame. This will aid in the development of scattered eastward-moving thunderstorms off the higher terrain of southeastern WY and CO, while additional storms potentially develop/spread southward along antecedent outflow farther east in Nebraska. Ahead of this activity, steep deep-layer lapse rates will yield moderate surface-based instability, which combined with an elongated/straight hodograph (30-40 kt of effective shear), will favor a mix of semi-discrete supercells and organized clusters. Large hail (some 2+ inches in diameter) and locally severe gusts will be possible with the longer-lived storms. With time, some upscale growth into one or more convective clusters will pose an increasing risk of scattered severe gusts (some possibly 75+ mph). Over the KS/OK border, thunderstorm development is expected along a stalled surface boundary, where a strongly unstable air mass and 25-30 kt of effective shear will favor a few strong to severe storms capable of producing large hail and severe downbursts. ...Great Lakes into the Ohio Valley... Preceding a broad midlevel trough over the Midwest, a belt of 30-40-kt midlevel west-southwesterly flow will overspread the Great Lakes into the Ohio Valley through the afternoon. This will promote a few loosely organized clusters along an eastward-moving cold front, capable of producing damaging wind gusts. ...Maine... Around 40-50 kt of westerly flow will overspread Maine, while a cold front moves across the area during the afternoon. Given sufficient surface-based instability ahead of the front, a few organized cells/clusters will be capable of producing severe wind gusts. ...Coastal Carolinas... Modestly enhanced low-level flow/shear accompanying Tropical Storm Chantal may favor a couple transient low-topped supercell structures across eastern NC. While instability will be marginal, a tornado or two cannot be ruled out with any rotating storms that evolve. ..Weinman/Supinie.. 07/06/2025 Read more

SPC Jul 6, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered storms capable of producing severe wind gusts and large hail are expected along the central High Plains. A few instances of 2+ inch diameter hail and 75+ mph wind gusts are possible. ...Central High Plains to the Southern Plains... Along the northern periphery of a large-scale ridge over the Southwest, a subtle midlevel impulse and related 30-40-kt speed maximum will overspread the northern/central High Plains during the afternoon/evening time frame. This will aid in the development of scattered eastward-moving thunderstorms off the higher terrain of southeastern WY and CO, while additional storms potentially develop/spread southward along antecedent outflow farther east in Nebraska. Ahead of this activity, steep deep-layer lapse rates will yield moderate surface-based instability, which combined with an elongated/straight hodograph (30-40 kt of effective shear), will favor a mix of semi-discrete supercells and organized clusters. Large hail (some 2+ inches in diameter) and locally severe gusts will be possible with the longer-lived storms. With time, some upscale growth into one or more convective clusters will pose an increasing risk of scattered severe gusts (some possibly 75+ mph). Over the KS/OK border, thunderstorm development is expected along a stalled surface boundary, where a strongly unstable air mass and 25-30 kt of effective shear will favor a few strong to severe storms capable of producing large hail and severe downbursts. ...Great Lakes into the Ohio Valley... Preceding a broad midlevel trough over the Midwest, a belt of 30-40-kt midlevel west-southwesterly flow will overspread the Great Lakes into the Ohio Valley through the afternoon. This will promote a few loosely organized clusters along an eastward-moving cold front, capable of producing damaging wind gusts. ...Maine... Around 40-50 kt of westerly flow will overspread Maine, while a cold front moves across the area during the afternoon. Given sufficient surface-based instability ahead of the front, a few organized cells/clusters will be capable of producing severe wind gusts. ...Coastal Carolinas... Modestly enhanced low-level flow/shear accompanying Tropical Storm Chantal may favor a couple transient low-topped supercell structures across eastern NC. While instability will be marginal, a tornado or two cannot be ruled out with any rotating storms that evolve. ..Weinman/Supinie.. 07/06/2025 Read more

SPC Jul 6, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered storms capable of producing severe wind gusts and large hail are expected along the central High Plains. A few instances of 2+ inch diameter hail and 75+ mph wind gusts are possible. ...Central High Plains to the Southern Plains... Along the northern periphery of a large-scale ridge over the Southwest, a subtle midlevel impulse and related 30-40-kt speed maximum will overspread the northern/central High Plains during the afternoon/evening time frame. This will aid in the development of scattered eastward-moving thunderstorms off the higher terrain of southeastern WY and CO, while additional storms potentially develop/spread southward along antecedent outflow farther east in Nebraska. Ahead of this activity, steep deep-layer lapse rates will yield moderate surface-based instability, which combined with an elongated/straight hodograph (30-40 kt of effective shear), will favor a mix of semi-discrete supercells and organized clusters. Large hail (some 2+ inches in diameter) and locally severe gusts will be possible with the longer-lived storms. With time, some upscale growth into one or more convective clusters will pose an increasing risk of scattered severe gusts (some possibly 75+ mph). Over the KS/OK border, thunderstorm development is expected along a stalled surface boundary, where a strongly unstable air mass and 25-30 kt of effective shear will favor a few strong to severe storms capable of producing large hail and severe downbursts. ...Great Lakes into the Ohio Valley... Preceding a broad midlevel trough over the Midwest, a belt of 30-40-kt midlevel west-southwesterly flow will overspread the Great Lakes into the Ohio Valley through the afternoon. This will promote a few loosely organized clusters along an eastward-moving cold front, capable of producing damaging wind gusts. ...Maine... Around 40-50 kt of westerly flow will overspread Maine, while a cold front moves across the area during the afternoon. Given sufficient surface-based instability ahead of the front, a few organized cells/clusters will be capable of producing severe wind gusts. ...Coastal Carolinas... Modestly enhanced low-level flow/shear accompanying Tropical Storm Chantal may favor a couple transient low-topped supercell structures across eastern NC. While instability will be marginal, a tornado or two cannot be ruled out with any rotating storms that evolve. ..Weinman/Supinie.. 07/06/2025 Read more

SPC Jul 6, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered storms capable of producing severe wind gusts and large hail are expected along the central High Plains. A few instances of 2+ inch diameter hail and 75+ mph wind gusts are possible. ...Central High Plains to the Southern Plains... Along the northern periphery of a large-scale ridge over the Southwest, a subtle midlevel impulse and related 30-40-kt speed maximum will overspread the northern/central High Plains during the afternoon/evening time frame. This will aid in the development of scattered eastward-moving thunderstorms off the higher terrain of southeastern WY and CO, while additional storms potentially develop/spread southward along antecedent outflow farther east in Nebraska. Ahead of this activity, steep deep-layer lapse rates will yield moderate surface-based instability, which combined with an elongated/straight hodograph (30-40 kt of effective shear), will favor a mix of semi-discrete supercells and organized clusters. Large hail (some 2+ inches in diameter) and locally severe gusts will be possible with the longer-lived storms. With time, some upscale growth into one or more convective clusters will pose an increasing risk of scattered severe gusts (some possibly 75+ mph). Over the KS/OK border, thunderstorm development is expected along a stalled surface boundary, where a strongly unstable air mass and 25-30 kt of effective shear will favor a few strong to severe storms capable of producing large hail and severe downbursts. ...Great Lakes into the Ohio Valley... Preceding a broad midlevel trough over the Midwest, a belt of 30-40-kt midlevel west-southwesterly flow will overspread the Great Lakes into the Ohio Valley through the afternoon. This will promote a few loosely organized clusters along an eastward-moving cold front, capable of producing damaging wind gusts. ...Maine... Around 40-50 kt of westerly flow will overspread Maine, while a cold front moves across the area during the afternoon. Given sufficient surface-based instability ahead of the front, a few organized cells/clusters will be capable of producing severe wind gusts. ...Coastal Carolinas... Modestly enhanced low-level flow/shear accompanying Tropical Storm Chantal may favor a couple transient low-topped supercell structures across eastern NC. While instability will be marginal, a tornado or two cannot be ruled out with any rotating storms that evolve. ..Weinman/Supinie.. 07/06/2025 Read more

SPC Jul 6, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered storms capable of producing severe wind gusts and large hail are expected along the central High Plains. A few instances of 2+ inch diameter hail and 75+ mph wind gusts are possible. ...Central High Plains to the Southern Plains... Along the northern periphery of a large-scale ridge over the Southwest, a subtle midlevel impulse and related 30-40-kt speed maximum will overspread the northern/central High Plains during the afternoon/evening time frame. This will aid in the development of scattered eastward-moving thunderstorms off the higher terrain of southeastern WY and CO, while additional storms potentially develop/spread southward along antecedent outflow farther east in Nebraska. Ahead of this activity, steep deep-layer lapse rates will yield moderate surface-based instability, which combined with an elongated/straight hodograph (30-40 kt of effective shear), will favor a mix of semi-discrete supercells and organized clusters. Large hail (some 2+ inches in diameter) and locally severe gusts will be possible with the longer-lived storms. With time, some upscale growth into one or more convective clusters will pose an increasing risk of scattered severe gusts (some possibly 75+ mph). Over the KS/OK border, thunderstorm development is expected along a stalled surface boundary, where a strongly unstable air mass and 25-30 kt of effective shear will favor a few strong to severe storms capable of producing large hail and severe downbursts. ...Great Lakes into the Ohio Valley... Preceding a broad midlevel trough over the Midwest, a belt of 30-40-kt midlevel west-southwesterly flow will overspread the Great Lakes into the Ohio Valley through the afternoon. This will promote a few loosely organized clusters along an eastward-moving cold front, capable of producing damaging wind gusts. ...Maine... Around 40-50 kt of westerly flow will overspread Maine, while a cold front moves across the area during the afternoon. Given sufficient surface-based instability ahead of the front, a few organized cells/clusters will be capable of producing severe wind gusts. ...Coastal Carolinas... Modestly enhanced low-level flow/shear accompanying Tropical Storm Chantal may favor a couple transient low-topped supercell structures across eastern NC. While instability will be marginal, a tornado or two cannot be ruled out with any rotating storms that evolve. ..Weinman/Supinie.. 07/06/2025 Read more

SPC Jul 6, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered storms capable of producing severe wind gusts and large hail are expected along the central High Plains. A few instances of 2+ inch diameter hail and 75+ mph wind gusts are possible. ...Central High Plains to the Southern Plains... Along the northern periphery of a large-scale ridge over the Southwest, a subtle midlevel impulse and related 30-40-kt speed maximum will overspread the northern/central High Plains during the afternoon/evening time frame. This will aid in the development of scattered eastward-moving thunderstorms off the higher terrain of southeastern WY and CO, while additional storms potentially develop/spread southward along antecedent outflow farther east in Nebraska. Ahead of this activity, steep deep-layer lapse rates will yield moderate surface-based instability, which combined with an elongated/straight hodograph (30-40 kt of effective shear), will favor a mix of semi-discrete supercells and organized clusters. Large hail (some 2+ inches in diameter) and locally severe gusts will be possible with the longer-lived storms. With time, some upscale growth into one or more convective clusters will pose an increasing risk of scattered severe gusts (some possibly 75+ mph). Over the KS/OK border, thunderstorm development is expected along a stalled surface boundary, where a strongly unstable air mass and 25-30 kt of effective shear will favor a few strong to severe storms capable of producing large hail and severe downbursts. ...Great Lakes into the Ohio Valley... Preceding a broad midlevel trough over the Midwest, a belt of 30-40-kt midlevel west-southwesterly flow will overspread the Great Lakes into the Ohio Valley through the afternoon. This will promote a few loosely organized clusters along an eastward-moving cold front, capable of producing damaging wind gusts. ...Maine... Around 40-50 kt of westerly flow will overspread Maine, while a cold front moves across the area during the afternoon. Given sufficient surface-based instability ahead of the front, a few organized cells/clusters will be capable of producing severe wind gusts. ...Coastal Carolinas... Modestly enhanced low-level flow/shear accompanying Tropical Storm Chantal may favor a couple transient low-topped supercell structures across eastern NC. While instability will be marginal, a tornado or two cannot be ruled out with any rotating storms that evolve. ..Weinman/Supinie.. 07/06/2025 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1255 AM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A mid-level ridge should remain in place over the southern Rockies through the day on Monday with a cutoff low off the California coast. The height gradient between these two features is expected to strengthen throughout the day, which may allow for a corridor of stronger surface flow (15-20 mph) with 5-10% RH across portions of southern Nevada. However, confidence in the overlap of this stronger surface flow with receptive fuels is not high. Therefore, will hold off on introducing Elevated highlights at this time. ..Supinie.. 07/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1255 AM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A mid-level ridge should remain in place over the southern Rockies through the day on Monday with a cutoff low off the California coast. The height gradient between these two features is expected to strengthen throughout the day, which may allow for a corridor of stronger surface flow (15-20 mph) with 5-10% RH across portions of southern Nevada. However, confidence in the overlap of this stronger surface flow with receptive fuels is not high. Therefore, will hold off on introducing Elevated highlights at this time. ..Supinie.. 07/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1255 AM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A mid-level ridge should remain in place over the southern Rockies through the day on Monday with a cutoff low off the California coast. The height gradient between these two features is expected to strengthen throughout the day, which may allow for a corridor of stronger surface flow (15-20 mph) with 5-10% RH across portions of southern Nevada. However, confidence in the overlap of this stronger surface flow with receptive fuels is not high. Therefore, will hold off on introducing Elevated highlights at this time. ..Supinie.. 07/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1255 AM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A mid-level ridge should remain in place over the southern Rockies through the day on Monday with a cutoff low off the California coast. The height gradient between these two features is expected to strengthen throughout the day, which may allow for a corridor of stronger surface flow (15-20 mph) with 5-10% RH across portions of southern Nevada. However, confidence in the overlap of this stronger surface flow with receptive fuels is not high. Therefore, will hold off on introducing Elevated highlights at this time. ..Supinie.. 07/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1255 AM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A mid-level ridge should remain in place over the southern Rockies through the day on Monday with a cutoff low off the California coast. The height gradient between these two features is expected to strengthen throughout the day, which may allow for a corridor of stronger surface flow (15-20 mph) with 5-10% RH across portions of southern Nevada. However, confidence in the overlap of this stronger surface flow with receptive fuels is not high. Therefore, will hold off on introducing Elevated highlights at this time. ..Supinie.. 07/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1255 AM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A mid-level ridge should remain in place over the southern Rockies through the day on Monday with a cutoff low off the California coast. The height gradient between these two features is expected to strengthen throughout the day, which may allow for a corridor of stronger surface flow (15-20 mph) with 5-10% RH across portions of southern Nevada. However, confidence in the overlap of this stronger surface flow with receptive fuels is not high. Therefore, will hold off on introducing Elevated highlights at this time. ..Supinie.. 07/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1255 AM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A mid-level ridge will continue to build over the southern Rockies during the day with a cutoff low west of California. Some weak flow aloft may be mixed down to the surface during the afternoon over portions of the Great Basin. However, overall surface flow is expected to remain weak, and even in the presence of low RH, any Elevated fire conditions should be localized and transient. Therefore, no highlights have been added at this time. ..Supinie.. 07/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1255 AM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A mid-level ridge will continue to build over the southern Rockies during the day with a cutoff low west of California. Some weak flow aloft may be mixed down to the surface during the afternoon over portions of the Great Basin. However, overall surface flow is expected to remain weak, and even in the presence of low RH, any Elevated fire conditions should be localized and transient. Therefore, no highlights have been added at this time. ..Supinie.. 07/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1255 AM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A mid-level ridge will continue to build over the southern Rockies during the day with a cutoff low west of California. Some weak flow aloft may be mixed down to the surface during the afternoon over portions of the Great Basin. However, overall surface flow is expected to remain weak, and even in the presence of low RH, any Elevated fire conditions should be localized and transient. Therefore, no highlights have been added at this time. ..Supinie.. 07/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more