SPC Mar 15, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 4 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0751 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024 Valid 150100Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST TEXAS TO NORTHEAST ARKANSAS... ...SUMMARY... Large damaging hail, wind gusts, and a few tornadoes remain a threat from far northeast Texas to the Ohio Valley. ...01z Update... An elongated corridor of strong/severe convection continues this evening from northeast TX/AR into the OH Valley. Negligible height changes are expected along this corridor the rest of the period; although, several weak transient short-wave troughs will affect this region through 12z. One noteworthy short wave has encouraged a significant MCS over southeast MO/southern IL. An MCV may be evolving near STL which will track across southern IL into the OH Valley later tonight. Radar trends exhibit a narrow swath of scattered supercells extending downstream ahead of the larger MCS across central IN into central OH. This activity has longevity and will likely spread a bit farther east than earlier indicated. Given these trends, will extend severe probs across eastern OH into western PA to account for these supercells maintaining intensity into an otherwise weaker instability regime. Much stronger instability resides across central TX into central AR early this evening. Numerous supercells have evolved from the north central TX, across southeast OK into central AR. Most of these storms are producing large hail, some in excess of 2" in diameter. 00z sounding from LZK exhibits SBCAPE around 2500 J/kg with substantial deep-layer shear and adequate 0-3km SRH. In addition to large hail, tornadoes remain a risk with these organized supercells. ..Darrow.. 03/15/2024 Read more

SPC Mar 15, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 4 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0751 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024 Valid 150100Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST TEXAS TO NORTHEAST ARKANSAS... ...SUMMARY... Large damaging hail, wind gusts, and a few tornadoes remain a threat from far northeast Texas to the Ohio Valley. ...01z Update... An elongated corridor of strong/severe convection continues this evening from northeast TX/AR into the OH Valley. Negligible height changes are expected along this corridor the rest of the period; although, several weak transient short-wave troughs will affect this region through 12z. One noteworthy short wave has encouraged a significant MCS over southeast MO/southern IL. An MCV may be evolving near STL which will track across southern IL into the OH Valley later tonight. Radar trends exhibit a narrow swath of scattered supercells extending downstream ahead of the larger MCS across central IN into central OH. This activity has longevity and will likely spread a bit farther east than earlier indicated. Given these trends, will extend severe probs across eastern OH into western PA to account for these supercells maintaining intensity into an otherwise weaker instability regime. Much stronger instability resides across central TX into central AR early this evening. Numerous supercells have evolved from the north central TX, across southeast OK into central AR. Most of these storms are producing large hail, some in excess of 2" in diameter. 00z sounding from LZK exhibits SBCAPE around 2500 J/kg with substantial deep-layer shear and adequate 0-3km SRH. In addition to large hail, tornadoes remain a risk with these organized supercells. ..Darrow.. 03/15/2024 Read more

SPC Mar 15, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 4 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0751 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024 Valid 150100Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST TEXAS TO NORTHEAST ARKANSAS... ...SUMMARY... Large damaging hail, wind gusts, and a few tornadoes remain a threat from far northeast Texas to the Ohio Valley. ...01z Update... An elongated corridor of strong/severe convection continues this evening from northeast TX/AR into the OH Valley. Negligible height changes are expected along this corridor the rest of the period; although, several weak transient short-wave troughs will affect this region through 12z. One noteworthy short wave has encouraged a significant MCS over southeast MO/southern IL. An MCV may be evolving near STL which will track across southern IL into the OH Valley later tonight. Radar trends exhibit a narrow swath of scattered supercells extending downstream ahead of the larger MCS across central IN into central OH. This activity has longevity and will likely spread a bit farther east than earlier indicated. Given these trends, will extend severe probs across eastern OH into western PA to account for these supercells maintaining intensity into an otherwise weaker instability regime. Much stronger instability resides across central TX into central AR early this evening. Numerous supercells have evolved from the north central TX, across southeast OK into central AR. Most of these storms are producing large hail, some in excess of 2" in diameter. 00z sounding from LZK exhibits SBCAPE around 2500 J/kg with substantial deep-layer shear and adequate 0-3km SRH. In addition to large hail, tornadoes remain a risk with these organized supercells. ..Darrow.. 03/15/2024 Read more

SPC Mar 15, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 4 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0751 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024 Valid 150100Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST TEXAS TO NORTHEAST ARKANSAS... ...SUMMARY... Large damaging hail, wind gusts, and a few tornadoes remain a threat from far northeast Texas to the Ohio Valley. ...01z Update... An elongated corridor of strong/severe convection continues this evening from northeast TX/AR into the OH Valley. Negligible height changes are expected along this corridor the rest of the period; although, several weak transient short-wave troughs will affect this region through 12z. One noteworthy short wave has encouraged a significant MCS over southeast MO/southern IL. An MCV may be evolving near STL which will track across southern IL into the OH Valley later tonight. Radar trends exhibit a narrow swath of scattered supercells extending downstream ahead of the larger MCS across central IN into central OH. This activity has longevity and will likely spread a bit farther east than earlier indicated. Given these trends, will extend severe probs across eastern OH into western PA to account for these supercells maintaining intensity into an otherwise weaker instability regime. Much stronger instability resides across central TX into central AR early this evening. Numerous supercells have evolved from the north central TX, across southeast OK into central AR. Most of these storms are producing large hail, some in excess of 2" in diameter. 00z sounding from LZK exhibits SBCAPE around 2500 J/kg with substantial deep-layer shear and adequate 0-3km SRH. In addition to large hail, tornadoes remain a risk with these organized supercells. ..Darrow.. 03/15/2024 Read more

SPC Mar 15, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 4 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0751 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024 Valid 150100Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST TEXAS TO NORTHEAST ARKANSAS... ...SUMMARY... Large damaging hail, wind gusts, and a few tornadoes remain a threat from far northeast Texas to the Ohio Valley. ...01z Update... An elongated corridor of strong/severe convection continues this evening from northeast TX/AR into the OH Valley. Negligible height changes are expected along this corridor the rest of the period; although, several weak transient short-wave troughs will affect this region through 12z. One noteworthy short wave has encouraged a significant MCS over southeast MO/southern IL. An MCV may be evolving near STL which will track across southern IL into the OH Valley later tonight. Radar trends exhibit a narrow swath of scattered supercells extending downstream ahead of the larger MCS across central IN into central OH. This activity has longevity and will likely spread a bit farther east than earlier indicated. Given these trends, will extend severe probs across eastern OH into western PA to account for these supercells maintaining intensity into an otherwise weaker instability regime. Much stronger instability resides across central TX into central AR early this evening. Numerous supercells have evolved from the north central TX, across southeast OK into central AR. Most of these storms are producing large hail, some in excess of 2" in diameter. 00z sounding from LZK exhibits SBCAPE around 2500 J/kg with substantial deep-layer shear and adequate 0-3km SRH. In addition to large hail, tornadoes remain a risk with these organized supercells. ..Darrow.. 03/15/2024 Read more

SPC Mar 15, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 4 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0751 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024 Valid 150100Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST TEXAS TO NORTHEAST ARKANSAS... ...SUMMARY... Large damaging hail, wind gusts, and a few tornadoes remain a threat from far northeast Texas to the Ohio Valley. ...01z Update... An elongated corridor of strong/severe convection continues this evening from northeast TX/AR into the OH Valley. Negligible height changes are expected along this corridor the rest of the period; although, several weak transient short-wave troughs will affect this region through 12z. One noteworthy short wave has encouraged a significant MCS over southeast MO/southern IL. An MCV may be evolving near STL which will track across southern IL into the OH Valley later tonight. Radar trends exhibit a narrow swath of scattered supercells extending downstream ahead of the larger MCS across central IN into central OH. This activity has longevity and will likely spread a bit farther east than earlier indicated. Given these trends, will extend severe probs across eastern OH into western PA to account for these supercells maintaining intensity into an otherwise weaker instability regime. Much stronger instability resides across central TX into central AR early this evening. Numerous supercells have evolved from the north central TX, across southeast OK into central AR. Most of these storms are producing large hail, some in excess of 2" in diameter. 00z sounding from LZK exhibits SBCAPE around 2500 J/kg with substantial deep-layer shear and adequate 0-3km SRH. In addition to large hail, tornadoes remain a risk with these organized supercells. ..Darrow.. 03/15/2024 Read more

SPC Mar 15, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 4 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0751 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024 Valid 150100Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST TEXAS TO NORTHEAST ARKANSAS... ...SUMMARY... Large damaging hail, wind gusts, and a few tornadoes remain a threat from far northeast Texas to the Ohio Valley. ...01z Update... An elongated corridor of strong/severe convection continues this evening from northeast TX/AR into the OH Valley. Negligible height changes are expected along this corridor the rest of the period; although, several weak transient short-wave troughs will affect this region through 12z. One noteworthy short wave has encouraged a significant MCS over southeast MO/southern IL. An MCV may be evolving near STL which will track across southern IL into the OH Valley later tonight. Radar trends exhibit a narrow swath of scattered supercells extending downstream ahead of the larger MCS across central IN into central OH. This activity has longevity and will likely spread a bit farther east than earlier indicated. Given these trends, will extend severe probs across eastern OH into western PA to account for these supercells maintaining intensity into an otherwise weaker instability regime. Much stronger instability resides across central TX into central AR early this evening. Numerous supercells have evolved from the north central TX, across southeast OK into central AR. Most of these storms are producing large hail, some in excess of 2" in diameter. 00z sounding from LZK exhibits SBCAPE around 2500 J/kg with substantial deep-layer shear and adequate 0-3km SRH. In addition to large hail, tornadoes remain a risk with these organized supercells. ..Darrow.. 03/15/2024 Read more

SPC Mar 15, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 4 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0751 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024 Valid 150100Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST TEXAS TO NORTHEAST ARKANSAS... ...SUMMARY... Large damaging hail, wind gusts, and a few tornadoes remain a threat from far northeast Texas to the Ohio Valley. ...01z Update... An elongated corridor of strong/severe convection continues this evening from northeast TX/AR into the OH Valley. Negligible height changes are expected along this corridor the rest of the period; although, several weak transient short-wave troughs will affect this region through 12z. One noteworthy short wave has encouraged a significant MCS over southeast MO/southern IL. An MCV may be evolving near STL which will track across southern IL into the OH Valley later tonight. Radar trends exhibit a narrow swath of scattered supercells extending downstream ahead of the larger MCS across central IN into central OH. This activity has longevity and will likely spread a bit farther east than earlier indicated. Given these trends, will extend severe probs across eastern OH into western PA to account for these supercells maintaining intensity into an otherwise weaker instability regime. Much stronger instability resides across central TX into central AR early this evening. Numerous supercells have evolved from the north central TX, across southeast OK into central AR. Most of these storms are producing large hail, some in excess of 2" in diameter. 00z sounding from LZK exhibits SBCAPE around 2500 J/kg with substantial deep-layer shear and adequate 0-3km SRH. In addition to large hail, tornadoes remain a risk with these organized supercells. ..Darrow.. 03/15/2024 Read more

SPC Mar 15, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 4 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0751 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024 Valid 150100Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST TEXAS TO NORTHEAST ARKANSAS... ...SUMMARY... Large damaging hail, wind gusts, and a few tornadoes remain a threat from far northeast Texas to the Ohio Valley. ...01z Update... An elongated corridor of strong/severe convection continues this evening from northeast TX/AR into the OH Valley. Negligible height changes are expected along this corridor the rest of the period; although, several weak transient short-wave troughs will affect this region through 12z. One noteworthy short wave has encouraged a significant MCS over southeast MO/southern IL. An MCV may be evolving near STL which will track across southern IL into the OH Valley later tonight. Radar trends exhibit a narrow swath of scattered supercells extending downstream ahead of the larger MCS across central IN into central OH. This activity has longevity and will likely spread a bit farther east than earlier indicated. Given these trends, will extend severe probs across eastern OH into western PA to account for these supercells maintaining intensity into an otherwise weaker instability regime. Much stronger instability resides across central TX into central AR early this evening. Numerous supercells have evolved from the north central TX, across southeast OK into central AR. Most of these storms are producing large hail, some in excess of 2" in diameter. 00z sounding from LZK exhibits SBCAPE around 2500 J/kg with substantial deep-layer shear and adequate 0-3km SRH. In addition to large hail, tornadoes remain a risk with these organized supercells. ..Darrow.. 03/15/2024 Read more

SPC Mar 15, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 4 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0751 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024 Valid 150100Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST TEXAS TO NORTHEAST ARKANSAS... ...SUMMARY... Large damaging hail, wind gusts, and a few tornadoes remain a threat from far northeast Texas to the Ohio Valley. ...01z Update... An elongated corridor of strong/severe convection continues this evening from northeast TX/AR into the OH Valley. Negligible height changes are expected along this corridor the rest of the period; although, several weak transient short-wave troughs will affect this region through 12z. One noteworthy short wave has encouraged a significant MCS over southeast MO/southern IL. An MCV may be evolving near STL which will track across southern IL into the OH Valley later tonight. Radar trends exhibit a narrow swath of scattered supercells extending downstream ahead of the larger MCS across central IN into central OH. This activity has longevity and will likely spread a bit farther east than earlier indicated. Given these trends, will extend severe probs across eastern OH into western PA to account for these supercells maintaining intensity into an otherwise weaker instability regime. Much stronger instability resides across central TX into central AR early this evening. Numerous supercells have evolved from the north central TX, across southeast OK into central AR. Most of these storms are producing large hail, some in excess of 2" in diameter. 00z sounding from LZK exhibits SBCAPE around 2500 J/kg with substantial deep-layer shear and adequate 0-3km SRH. In addition to large hail, tornadoes remain a risk with these organized supercells. ..Darrow.. 03/15/2024 Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 44 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0044 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 44 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW HUF TO 20 NNE IND TO 40 SW FDY TO 35 SE FDY TO 30 N MFD. ..SQUITIERI..03/15/24 ATTN...WFO...IWX...IND...ILN...LMK...CLE... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 44 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS INC005-013-021-027-029-031-037-041-047-055-059-063-065-071-079- 081-083-093-097-101-105-109-117-119-133-135-137-139-145-153-161- 167-177-150140- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARTHOLOMEW BROWN CLAY DAVIESS DEARBORN DECATUR DUBOIS FAYETTE FRANKLIN GREENE HANCOCK HENDRICKS HENRY JACKSON JENNINGS JOHNSON KNOX LAWRENCE MARION MARTIN MONROE MORGAN ORANGE OWEN PUTNAM RANDOLPH RIPLEY RUSH SHELBY SULLIVAN UNION VIGO WAYNE OHC005-017-021-023-027-033-037-041-045-047-049-057-061-073-075- 077-083-089-091-093-097-101-103-109-113-117-129-133-135-139-141- 149-151-153-159-165-169-150140- OH Read more

SPC MD 242

1 year 4 months ago
MD 0242 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND EASTERN OHIO INTO NORTHWESTERN WEST VIRGINIA
Mesoscale Discussion 0242 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0625 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024 Areas affected...Portions of southern and eastern Ohio into northwestern West Virginia Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 142325Z - 150100Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Discrete storms have tried to initiate in southwestern Ohio into northern Kentucky. Additional organized storms will eventually reach the upper Ohio Valley later this evening. The need for a watch is quite uncertain in the short term, but convective trends will be monitored. DISCUSSION...Storms have attempted to initiate in southwestern Ohio into northern Kentucky. While it is not clear whether this activity will mature, regional VAD profiles suggest that these storms would be capable of large hail and tornadoes. Later in the evening, storms currently in southern Illinois into central Indiana will likely reach the upper Ohio Valley. An airmass supportive of severe storms continues to try and work eastward. There is at least some possibility that an organized line will reach these areas and require a downstream watch. However, uncertainty remains too high to issue one at this time. Convective trends will continue to be monitored. ..Wendt/Hart.. 03/14/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN... LAT...LON 38828436 39058430 39198403 39208366 39358254 39698196 40018202 40608207 40978188 41178122 40838064 39578052 39018091 38318255 38478332 38828436 Read more

SPC MD 244

1 year 4 months ago
MD 0244 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 44... FOR SOUTHEASTERN INDIANA INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST/SOUTH-CENTRAL OHIO
Mesoscale Discussion 0244 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0656 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024 Areas affected...Southeastern Indiana into portions of southwest/south-central Ohio Concerning...Tornado Watch 44... Valid 142356Z - 150100Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 44 continues. SUMMARY...An area of greater tornado potential is evident from southeast Indiana into southwestern Ohio over the next 1-3 hours. DISCUSSION...Three supercells from just east of Indianapolis to northwest of Columbus, OH have shown a rightward turn to the southeast. Surface flow remains backed in southwestern portions of Ohio. Considering the observed storm motion and regional VAD profiles, an area of greater tornado threat is evident from southeastern Indiana into southwestern Ohio. 850 mb winds are expected to increase this evening as well. Should storms remain discrete and surface wind backed, the environment would become more favorable in the next 1-3 hours. ..Wendt.. 03/14/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...IWX...IND... LAT...LON 40018607 40428488 40648376 40398273 39908261 39438294 39198359 39288471 39418551 39698595 40018607 Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 43 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0043 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 43 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW CGI TO 5 WNW BLV TO 25 SE MTO. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0245 ..SQUITIERI..03/15/24 ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...LSX...ILX...PAH...SGF...EAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 43 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC071-150140- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE JOHNSON ILC025-027-033-047-055-077-081-101-121-145-157-159-185-189-191- 150140- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLAY CLINTON CRAWFORD EDWARDS FRANKLIN JACKSON JEFFERSON LAWRENCE MARION PERRY RANDOLPH RICHLAND WABASH WASHINGTON WAYNE MOC017-031-157-150140- Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 45 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0045 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 45 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 S FYV TO 25 SE FLP TO ARG. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0246 ..SQUITIERI..03/15/24 ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 45 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC013-019-023-027-029-039-045-051-053-057-059-061-063-067-073- 075-081-083-085-091-097-099-103-105-109-113-115-119-125-127-133- 137-139-141-145-149-150140- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALHOUN CLARK CLEBURNE COLUMBIA CONWAY DALLAS FAULKNER GARLAND GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING HOWARD INDEPENDENCE JACKSON LAFAYETTE LAWRENCE LITTLE RIVER LOGAN LONOKE MILLER MONTGOMERY NEVADA OUACHITA PERRY PIKE POLK POPE PULASKI SALINE SCOTT SEVIER STONE UNION VAN BUREN WHITE YELL OKC089-150140- Read more

SPC MD 241

1 year 4 months ago
MD 0241 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 43...45... FOR SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...ARKANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0241 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0531 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024 Areas affected...Southeast Missouri...Arkansas Concerning...Tornado Watch 43...45... Valid 142231Z - 150030Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 43, 45 continues. SUMMARY...A severe threat will continue across southeast Missouri and Arkansas. Wind damage, large hail and an isolated tornado threat is expected over the next few hours. DISCUSSION...The latest high-resolution radar from Springfield, Missouri shows a well-developed line segment extending southward across south-central Missouri and north-central Arkansas. An intense bowing segment is located at the northern end of the line across Dent, Shannon, and Howell Counties. This feature will move eastward across southeastern Missouri over the next hour. The forward speed of the bow was measured at 47 knots, suggesting that wind damage will be likely along the leading edge. Further south into northern and western Arkansas, a cluster of strong to severe storms is ongoing. As convective coverage increases over the next hour, organization into a line will be possible. If a cold pool can develop, another bowing segment with wind damage potential would be possible. Large hail, and an isolated tornado threat may also develop with discrete storms that obtain supercell structure, and along the leading edge of any organized bow. ..Broyles.. 03/14/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...SHV...TSA... LAT...LON 34299438 33959394 33899336 34069261 34969079 35968982 36888947 37528965 37729036 37769108 37759156 37599196 37029225 36539259 36119314 35709410 35189443 34729449 34299438 Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 47 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0047 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 47 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW ARG TO 25 S FAM. ..SQUITIERI..03/15/24 ATTN...WFO...MEG...PAH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 47 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC021-031-055-093-111-150140- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLAY CRAIGHEAD GREENE MISSISSIPPI POINSETT ILC003-059-065-069-087-127-151-153-165-181-193-199-150140- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALEXANDER GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN JOHNSON MASSAC POPE PULASKI SALINE UNION WHITE WILLIAMSON INC051-125-129-147-163-173-150140- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 46 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0046 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 46 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SQUITIERI..03/15/24 ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 46 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC033-047-131-150140- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CRAWFORD FRANKLIN SEBASTIAN OKC005-013-023-029-061-063-069-077-079-091-095-101-121-123-127- 135-150140- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATOKA BRYAN CHOCTAW COAL HASKELL HUGHES JOHNSTON LATIMER LE FLORE MCINTOSH MARSHALL MUSKOGEE PITTSBURG PONTOTOC PUSHMATAHA SEQUOYAH TXC035-085-093-097-113-119-121-133-139-143-147-181-193-213-217- 221-223-231-237-251-257-277-333-349-363-367-379-397-425-439-467- 497-150140- Read more

SPC MD 242

1 year 4 months ago
MD 0242 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND EASTERN OHIO INTO NORTHWESTERN WEST VIRGINIA
Mesoscale Discussion 0242 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0625 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024 Areas affected...Portions of southern and eastern Ohio into northwestern West Virginia Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 142325Z - 150100Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Discrete storms have tried to initiate in southwestern Ohio into northern Kentucky. Additional organized storms will eventually reach the upper Ohio Valley later this evening. The need for a watch is quite uncertain in the short term, but convective trends will be monitored. DISCUSSION...Storms have attempted to initiate in southwestern Ohio into northern Kentucky. While it is not clear whether this activity will mature, regional VAD profiles suggest that these storms would be capable of large hail and tornadoes. Later in the evening, storms currently in southern Illinois into central Indiana will likely reach the upper Ohio Valley. An airmass supportive of severe storms continues to try and work eastward. There is at least some possibility that an organized line will reach these areas and require a downstream watch. However, uncertainty remains too high to issue one at this time. Convective trends will continue to be monitored. ..Wendt/Hart.. 03/14/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN... LAT...LON 38828436 39058430 39198403 39208366 39358254 39698196 40018202 40608207 40978188 41178122 40838064 39578052 39018091 38318255 38478332 38828436 Read more