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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1109 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024 Valid 131700Z - 141200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z... No changes, fire-weather conditions appear minimal. See the previous discussion for more details. ..Lyons.. 05/13/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will overspread the Lower MS Valley today, encouraging ample low-level moisture to return northward across portions of the southern Plains to the East Coast. Farther west along the lee of the Rockies into western portions of the Plains, modestly dry conditions will persist, but with a weaker surface wind field. As such, significant wildfire-spread potential should be limited over much of the CONUS. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1109 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024 Valid 131700Z - 141200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z... No changes, fire-weather conditions appear minimal. See the previous discussion for more details. ..Lyons.. 05/13/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will overspread the Lower MS Valley today, encouraging ample low-level moisture to return northward across portions of the southern Plains to the East Coast. Farther west along the lee of the Rockies into western portions of the Plains, modestly dry conditions will persist, but with a weaker surface wind field. As such, significant wildfire-spread potential should be limited over much of the CONUS. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1109 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024 Valid 131700Z - 141200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z... No changes, fire-weather conditions appear minimal. See the previous discussion for more details. ..Lyons.. 05/13/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will overspread the Lower MS Valley today, encouraging ample low-level moisture to return northward across portions of the southern Plains to the East Coast. Farther west along the lee of the Rockies into western portions of the Plains, modestly dry conditions will persist, but with a weaker surface wind field. As such, significant wildfire-spread potential should be limited over much of the CONUS. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1109 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024 Valid 131700Z - 141200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z... No changes, fire-weather conditions appear minimal. See the previous discussion for more details. ..Lyons.. 05/13/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will overspread the Lower MS Valley today, encouraging ample low-level moisture to return northward across portions of the southern Plains to the East Coast. Farther west along the lee of the Rockies into western portions of the Plains, modestly dry conditions will persist, but with a weaker surface wind field. As such, significant wildfire-spread potential should be limited over much of the CONUS. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1109 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024 Valid 131700Z - 141200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z... No changes, fire-weather conditions appear minimal. See the previous discussion for more details. ..Lyons.. 05/13/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will overspread the Lower MS Valley today, encouraging ample low-level moisture to return northward across portions of the southern Plains to the East Coast. Farther west along the lee of the Rockies into western portions of the Plains, modestly dry conditions will persist, but with a weaker surface wind field. As such, significant wildfire-spread potential should be limited over much of the CONUS. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1109 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024 Valid 131700Z - 141200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z... No changes, fire-weather conditions appear minimal. See the previous discussion for more details. ..Lyons.. 05/13/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will overspread the Lower MS Valley today, encouraging ample low-level moisture to return northward across portions of the southern Plains to the East Coast. Farther west along the lee of the Rockies into western portions of the Plains, modestly dry conditions will persist, but with a weaker surface wind field. As such, significant wildfire-spread potential should be limited over much of the CONUS. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1109 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024 Valid 131700Z - 141200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z... No changes, fire-weather conditions appear minimal. See the previous discussion for more details. ..Lyons.. 05/13/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will overspread the Lower MS Valley today, encouraging ample low-level moisture to return northward across portions of the southern Plains to the East Coast. Farther west along the lee of the Rockies into western portions of the Plains, modestly dry conditions will persist, but with a weaker surface wind field. As such, significant wildfire-spread potential should be limited over much of the CONUS. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1109 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024 Valid 131700Z - 141200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z... No changes, fire-weather conditions appear minimal. See the previous discussion for more details. ..Lyons.. 05/13/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will overspread the Lower MS Valley today, encouraging ample low-level moisture to return northward across portions of the southern Plains to the East Coast. Farther west along the lee of the Rockies into western portions of the Plains, modestly dry conditions will persist, but with a weaker surface wind field. As such, significant wildfire-spread potential should be limited over much of the CONUS. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

WW 0236 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0236 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0235 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 235 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..WENDT..05/13/24 ATTN...WFO...EWX...CRP... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 235 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC013-019-021-025-029-031-055-091-123-127-137-149-163-171-175- 177-187-209-255-259-265-271-283-285-287-297-311-323-325-385-453- 463-469-479-493-507-131640- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATASCOSA BANDERA BASTROP BEE BEXAR BLANCO CALDWELL COMAL DEWITT DIMMIT EDWARDS FAYETTE FRIO GILLESPIE GOLIAD GONZALES GUADALUPE HAYS KARNES KENDALL KERR KINNEY LA SALLE LAVACA LEE LIVE OAK MCMULLEN MAVERICK MEDINA REAL TRAVIS UVALDE VICTORIA WEBB WILSON ZAVALA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0234 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 234 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW GPT TO 15 W MOB TO 20 ENE MOB TO 25 N PNS TO 15 SE GZH TO 30 WSW TOI. ..WENDT..05/13/24 ATTN...WFO...MOB...TAE...LIX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 234 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC003-031-039-041-045-053-061-069-097-131640- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN COFFEE COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE ESCAMBIA GENEVA HOUSTON MOBILE FLC005-013-033-045-059-063-091-113-131-133-131640- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAY CALHOUN ESCAMBIA GULF HOLMES JACKSON OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA WALTON WASHINGTON MSC047-059-131640- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 0234 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 234 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW GPT TO 15 W MOB TO 20 ENE MOB TO 25 N PNS TO 15 SE GZH TO 30 WSW TOI. ..WENDT..05/13/24 ATTN...WFO...MOB...TAE...LIX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 234 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC003-031-039-041-045-053-061-069-097-131640- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN COFFEE COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE ESCAMBIA GENEVA HOUSTON MOBILE FLC005-013-033-045-059-063-091-113-131-133-131640- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAY CALHOUN ESCAMBIA GULF HOLMES JACKSON OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA WALTON WASHINGTON MSC047-059-131640- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 0234 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 234 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW GPT TO 15 W MOB TO 20 ENE MOB TO 25 N PNS TO 15 SE GZH TO 30 WSW TOI. ..WENDT..05/13/24 ATTN...WFO...MOB...TAE...LIX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 234 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC003-031-039-041-045-053-061-069-097-131640- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN COFFEE COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE ESCAMBIA GENEVA HOUSTON MOBILE FLC005-013-033-045-059-063-091-113-131-133-131640- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAY CALHOUN ESCAMBIA GULF HOLMES JACKSON OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA WALTON WASHINGTON MSC047-059-131640- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 0234 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 234 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW GPT TO 15 W MOB TO 20 ENE MOB TO 25 N PNS TO 15 SE GZH TO 30 WSW TOI. ..WENDT..05/13/24 ATTN...WFO...MOB...TAE...LIX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 234 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC003-031-039-041-045-053-061-069-097-131640- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN COFFEE COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE ESCAMBIA GENEVA HOUSTON MOBILE FLC005-013-033-045-059-063-091-113-131-133-131640- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAY CALHOUN ESCAMBIA GULF HOLMES JACKSON OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA WALTON WASHINGTON MSC047-059-131640- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 0234 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 234 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW GPT TO 15 W MOB TO 20 ENE MOB TO 25 N PNS TO 15 SE GZH TO 30 WSW TOI. ..WENDT..05/13/24 ATTN...WFO...MOB...TAE...LIX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 234 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC003-031-039-041-045-053-061-069-097-131640- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN COFFEE COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE ESCAMBIA GENEVA HOUSTON MOBILE FLC005-013-033-045-059-063-091-113-131-133-131640- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAY CALHOUN ESCAMBIA GULF HOLMES JACKSON OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA WALTON WASHINGTON MSC047-059-131640- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 0234 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 234 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW GPT TO 15 W MOB TO 20 ENE MOB TO 25 N PNS TO 15 SE GZH TO 30 WSW TOI. ..WENDT..05/13/24 ATTN...WFO...MOB...TAE...LIX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 234 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC003-031-039-041-045-053-061-069-097-131640- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN COFFEE COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE ESCAMBIA GENEVA HOUSTON MOBILE FLC005-013-033-045-059-063-091-113-131-133-131640- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAY CALHOUN ESCAMBIA GULF HOLMES JACKSON OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA WALTON WASHINGTON MSC047-059-131640- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 234 SEVERE TSTM AL FL MS CW 131000Z - 131600Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 234 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 500 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southern Alabama Florida Panhandle Far Southern Mississippi Coastal Waters * Effective this Monday morning from 500 AM until 1100 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Clusters of east/southeastward-moving storms will likely intensify this morning along and north of a northward-shifting warm front. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles north and south of a line from 55 miles northwest of Mobile AL to 20 miles southeast of Marianna FL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 28040. ...Guyer Read more

WW 0235 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 235 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..GLEASON..05/13/24 ATTN...WFO...EWX...CRP... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 235 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC013-019-021-025-029-031-055-091-123-127-137-149-163-171-175- 177-187-209-255-259-265-271-283-285-287-297-311-323-325-385-453- 463-469-479-493-507-131540- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATASCOSA BANDERA BASTROP BEE BEXAR BLANCO CALDWELL COMAL DEWITT DIMMIT EDWARDS FAYETTE FRIO GILLESPIE GOLIAD GONZALES GUADALUPE HAYS KARNES KENDALL KERR KINNEY LA SALLE LAVACA LEE LIVE OAK MCMULLEN MAVERICK MEDINA REAL TRAVIS UVALDE VICTORIA WEBB WILSON ZAVALA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

MD 0764 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 234... FOR PORTIONS OF COASTAL MS/AL INTO THE WESTERN FL PANHANDLE
Mesoscale Discussion 0764 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0900 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024 Areas affected...Portions of coastal MS/AL into the western FL Panhandle Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 234... Valid 131400Z - 131530Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 234 continues. SUMMARY...A greater threat for severe/damaging winds should focus along the Mississippi/Alabama Coast into the western Florida Panhandle this morning. DISCUSSION...A small bowing cluster is ongoing over southern/coastal AL this morning. A warm front is draped east-southeastward across southern AL into the western FL Panhandle based on latest surface observations. Recent velocity data from KMOB show strong inbound velocities at low levels. A greater threat for severe/damaging winds should be focused along and south of the warm front into parts of the western FL Panhandle, where there will be a better likelihood for downdraft winds to reach the surface. Enhanced low-level flow and strong boundary-layer shear noted on recent VWPs from KMOB may also support some threat for an embedded tornado. ..Gleason.. 05/13/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...LIX... LAT...LON 30808891 31018846 31308785 30998676 30768626 30398604 30188628 30248711 30118797 30228860 30378884 30808891 Read more

MD 0763 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH LIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL TX
Mesoscale Discussion 0763 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0833 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024 Areas affected...Portions of south-central TX Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely Valid 131333Z - 131530Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...The threat for very large hail and damaging winds should continue to increase this morning. Watch issuance is likely. DISCUSSION...The 12Z sounding from DRT shows rich low-level moisture beneath steep mid-level lapse rates, with resulting MUCAPE approaching 4000 J/kg. Strong deep-layer shear of 50-60 kt will easily support supercell structures, and multiple thunderstorms have already developed near Eagle Pass TX with a weak mid-level perturbation ejecting from northern Mexico across TX. Current expectations are for this ongoing activity to gradually spread eastward across south-central TX this morning, while posing a threat for very large hail (around 2-3 inches in diameter) with any sustained supercells. Occasional severe/damaging downdraft winds may also occur as low-level lapse rates gradually steepen with filtered daytime heating. Severe Thunderstorm Watch issuance will likely be needed to address the increasing threat for very large hail this morning. ..Gleason/Thompson.. 05/13/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX... LAT...LON 29300086 29780014 29999847 29919717 29199689 28559715 28289844 28210009 28390044 28840081 29300086 Read more