Aggregator

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0226 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST TX INTO PARTS OF THE MID/UPPER MS VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Strong to potentially severe thunderstorms will be possible Sunday across a broad area from northeast Texas into parts of the upper Mississippi Valley. Large hail, damaging winds, and a couple tornadoes will all be possible. ...Northeast TX into parts of the upper MS Valley... A broad region of at least some severe potential is expected on Sunday from northeast TX into parts of the upper MS Valley. Uncertainty remains high due to the influence of extensive antecedent convection leading into the D3/Sunday period. A negatively tilted shortwave trough and attendant surface low are forecast to move from the central Plains toward the upper MS Valley on Sunday. Extensive convection will likely be ongoing at the start of the period from Texas toward the lower MO Valley, and potentially farther north into parts of the upper Midwest. Some lingering severe threat could accompany this morning convection, especially toward the ArkLaTex region where somewhat more favorable moisture/instability will be in place. Widespread cloudiness/convection across much of the warm sector will tend to limit diurnal destabilization, though deep-layer shear will remain favorable for organized storms, and some heating/destabilization will be possible in the wake of morning convection. One area of potential redevelopment will be immediately ahead of the ejecting shortwave trough from eastern KS into western MO and southern IA, where a few stronger cells/clusters could pose a threat of hail, isolated damaging gusts, and perhaps a tornado. Vigorous redevelopment will also be possible along the western/southern periphery of persistent convection near the ArkLaTex region, where rich moisture and favorable wind profiles could support at least an isolated threat for all severe hazards. Some threat could linger into Sunday night across this area, potentially aided by an upstream low-amplitude shortwave trough that will be approaching the southern Plains. ..Dean.. 04/26/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0226 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST TX INTO PARTS OF THE MID/UPPER MS VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Strong to potentially severe thunderstorms will be possible Sunday across a broad area from northeast Texas into parts of the upper Mississippi Valley. Large hail, damaging winds, and a couple tornadoes will all be possible. ...Northeast TX into parts of the upper MS Valley... A broad region of at least some severe potential is expected on Sunday from northeast TX into parts of the upper MS Valley. Uncertainty remains high due to the influence of extensive antecedent convection leading into the D3/Sunday period. A negatively tilted shortwave trough and attendant surface low are forecast to move from the central Plains toward the upper MS Valley on Sunday. Extensive convection will likely be ongoing at the start of the period from Texas toward the lower MO Valley, and potentially farther north into parts of the upper Midwest. Some lingering severe threat could accompany this morning convection, especially toward the ArkLaTex region where somewhat more favorable moisture/instability will be in place. Widespread cloudiness/convection across much of the warm sector will tend to limit diurnal destabilization, though deep-layer shear will remain favorable for organized storms, and some heating/destabilization will be possible in the wake of morning convection. One area of potential redevelopment will be immediately ahead of the ejecting shortwave trough from eastern KS into western MO and southern IA, where a few stronger cells/clusters could pose a threat of hail, isolated damaging gusts, and perhaps a tornado. Vigorous redevelopment will also be possible along the western/southern periphery of persistent convection near the ArkLaTex region, where rich moisture and favorable wind profiles could support at least an isolated threat for all severe hazards. Some threat could linger into Sunday night across this area, potentially aided by an upstream low-amplitude shortwave trough that will be approaching the southern Plains. ..Dean.. 04/26/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0226 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST TX INTO PARTS OF THE MID/UPPER MS VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Strong to potentially severe thunderstorms will be possible Sunday across a broad area from northeast Texas into parts of the upper Mississippi Valley. Large hail, damaging winds, and a couple tornadoes will all be possible. ...Northeast TX into parts of the upper MS Valley... A broad region of at least some severe potential is expected on Sunday from northeast TX into parts of the upper MS Valley. Uncertainty remains high due to the influence of extensive antecedent convection leading into the D3/Sunday period. A negatively tilted shortwave trough and attendant surface low are forecast to move from the central Plains toward the upper MS Valley on Sunday. Extensive convection will likely be ongoing at the start of the period from Texas toward the lower MO Valley, and potentially farther north into parts of the upper Midwest. Some lingering severe threat could accompany this morning convection, especially toward the ArkLaTex region where somewhat more favorable moisture/instability will be in place. Widespread cloudiness/convection across much of the warm sector will tend to limit diurnal destabilization, though deep-layer shear will remain favorable for organized storms, and some heating/destabilization will be possible in the wake of morning convection. One area of potential redevelopment will be immediately ahead of the ejecting shortwave trough from eastern KS into western MO and southern IA, where a few stronger cells/clusters could pose a threat of hail, isolated damaging gusts, and perhaps a tornado. Vigorous redevelopment will also be possible along the western/southern periphery of persistent convection near the ArkLaTex region, where rich moisture and favorable wind profiles could support at least an isolated threat for all severe hazards. Some threat could linger into Sunday night across this area, potentially aided by an upstream low-amplitude shortwave trough that will be approaching the southern Plains. ..Dean.. 04/26/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0226 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST TX INTO PARTS OF THE MID/UPPER MS VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Strong to potentially severe thunderstorms will be possible Sunday across a broad area from northeast Texas into parts of the upper Mississippi Valley. Large hail, damaging winds, and a couple tornadoes will all be possible. ...Northeast TX into parts of the upper MS Valley... A broad region of at least some severe potential is expected on Sunday from northeast TX into parts of the upper MS Valley. Uncertainty remains high due to the influence of extensive antecedent convection leading into the D3/Sunday period. A negatively tilted shortwave trough and attendant surface low are forecast to move from the central Plains toward the upper MS Valley on Sunday. Extensive convection will likely be ongoing at the start of the period from Texas toward the lower MO Valley, and potentially farther north into parts of the upper Midwest. Some lingering severe threat could accompany this morning convection, especially toward the ArkLaTex region where somewhat more favorable moisture/instability will be in place. Widespread cloudiness/convection across much of the warm sector will tend to limit diurnal destabilization, though deep-layer shear will remain favorable for organized storms, and some heating/destabilization will be possible in the wake of morning convection. One area of potential redevelopment will be immediately ahead of the ejecting shortwave trough from eastern KS into western MO and southern IA, where a few stronger cells/clusters could pose a threat of hail, isolated damaging gusts, and perhaps a tornado. Vigorous redevelopment will also be possible along the western/southern periphery of persistent convection near the ArkLaTex region, where rich moisture and favorable wind profiles could support at least an isolated threat for all severe hazards. Some threat could linger into Sunday night across this area, potentially aided by an upstream low-amplitude shortwave trough that will be approaching the southern Plains. ..Dean.. 04/26/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0226 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST TX INTO PARTS OF THE MID/UPPER MS VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Strong to potentially severe thunderstorms will be possible Sunday across a broad area from northeast Texas into parts of the upper Mississippi Valley. Large hail, damaging winds, and a couple tornadoes will all be possible. ...Northeast TX into parts of the upper MS Valley... A broad region of at least some severe potential is expected on Sunday from northeast TX into parts of the upper MS Valley. Uncertainty remains high due to the influence of extensive antecedent convection leading into the D3/Sunday period. A negatively tilted shortwave trough and attendant surface low are forecast to move from the central Plains toward the upper MS Valley on Sunday. Extensive convection will likely be ongoing at the start of the period from Texas toward the lower MO Valley, and potentially farther north into parts of the upper Midwest. Some lingering severe threat could accompany this morning convection, especially toward the ArkLaTex region where somewhat more favorable moisture/instability will be in place. Widespread cloudiness/convection across much of the warm sector will tend to limit diurnal destabilization, though deep-layer shear will remain favorable for organized storms, and some heating/destabilization will be possible in the wake of morning convection. One area of potential redevelopment will be immediately ahead of the ejecting shortwave trough from eastern KS into western MO and southern IA, where a few stronger cells/clusters could pose a threat of hail, isolated damaging gusts, and perhaps a tornado. Vigorous redevelopment will also be possible along the western/southern periphery of persistent convection near the ArkLaTex region, where rich moisture and favorable wind profiles could support at least an isolated threat for all severe hazards. Some threat could linger into Sunday night across this area, potentially aided by an upstream low-amplitude shortwave trough that will be approaching the southern Plains. ..Dean.. 04/26/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0226 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST TX INTO PARTS OF THE MID/UPPER MS VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Strong to potentially severe thunderstorms will be possible Sunday across a broad area from northeast Texas into parts of the upper Mississippi Valley. Large hail, damaging winds, and a couple tornadoes will all be possible. ...Northeast TX into parts of the upper MS Valley... A broad region of at least some severe potential is expected on Sunday from northeast TX into parts of the upper MS Valley. Uncertainty remains high due to the influence of extensive antecedent convection leading into the D3/Sunday period. A negatively tilted shortwave trough and attendant surface low are forecast to move from the central Plains toward the upper MS Valley on Sunday. Extensive convection will likely be ongoing at the start of the period from Texas toward the lower MO Valley, and potentially farther north into parts of the upper Midwest. Some lingering severe threat could accompany this morning convection, especially toward the ArkLaTex region where somewhat more favorable moisture/instability will be in place. Widespread cloudiness/convection across much of the warm sector will tend to limit diurnal destabilization, though deep-layer shear will remain favorable for organized storms, and some heating/destabilization will be possible in the wake of morning convection. One area of potential redevelopment will be immediately ahead of the ejecting shortwave trough from eastern KS into western MO and southern IA, where a few stronger cells/clusters could pose a threat of hail, isolated damaging gusts, and perhaps a tornado. Vigorous redevelopment will also be possible along the western/southern periphery of persistent convection near the ArkLaTex region, where rich moisture and favorable wind profiles could support at least an isolated threat for all severe hazards. Some threat could linger into Sunday night across this area, potentially aided by an upstream low-amplitude shortwave trough that will be approaching the southern Plains. ..Dean.. 04/26/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0226 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST TX INTO PARTS OF THE MID/UPPER MS VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Strong to potentially severe thunderstorms will be possible Sunday across a broad area from northeast Texas into parts of the upper Mississippi Valley. Large hail, damaging winds, and a couple tornadoes will all be possible. ...Northeast TX into parts of the upper MS Valley... A broad region of at least some severe potential is expected on Sunday from northeast TX into parts of the upper MS Valley. Uncertainty remains high due to the influence of extensive antecedent convection leading into the D3/Sunday period. A negatively tilted shortwave trough and attendant surface low are forecast to move from the central Plains toward the upper MS Valley on Sunday. Extensive convection will likely be ongoing at the start of the period from Texas toward the lower MO Valley, and potentially farther north into parts of the upper Midwest. Some lingering severe threat could accompany this morning convection, especially toward the ArkLaTex region where somewhat more favorable moisture/instability will be in place. Widespread cloudiness/convection across much of the warm sector will tend to limit diurnal destabilization, though deep-layer shear will remain favorable for organized storms, and some heating/destabilization will be possible in the wake of morning convection. One area of potential redevelopment will be immediately ahead of the ejecting shortwave trough from eastern KS into western MO and southern IA, where a few stronger cells/clusters could pose a threat of hail, isolated damaging gusts, and perhaps a tornado. Vigorous redevelopment will also be possible along the western/southern periphery of persistent convection near the ArkLaTex region, where rich moisture and favorable wind profiles could support at least an isolated threat for all severe hazards. Some threat could linger into Sunday night across this area, potentially aided by an upstream low-amplitude shortwave trough that will be approaching the southern Plains. ..Dean.. 04/26/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0226 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST TX INTO PARTS OF THE MID/UPPER MS VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Strong to potentially severe thunderstorms will be possible Sunday across a broad area from northeast Texas into parts of the upper Mississippi Valley. Large hail, damaging winds, and a couple tornadoes will all be possible. ...Northeast TX into parts of the upper MS Valley... A broad region of at least some severe potential is expected on Sunday from northeast TX into parts of the upper MS Valley. Uncertainty remains high due to the influence of extensive antecedent convection leading into the D3/Sunday period. A negatively tilted shortwave trough and attendant surface low are forecast to move from the central Plains toward the upper MS Valley on Sunday. Extensive convection will likely be ongoing at the start of the period from Texas toward the lower MO Valley, and potentially farther north into parts of the upper Midwest. Some lingering severe threat could accompany this morning convection, especially toward the ArkLaTex region where somewhat more favorable moisture/instability will be in place. Widespread cloudiness/convection across much of the warm sector will tend to limit diurnal destabilization, though deep-layer shear will remain favorable for organized storms, and some heating/destabilization will be possible in the wake of morning convection. One area of potential redevelopment will be immediately ahead of the ejecting shortwave trough from eastern KS into western MO and southern IA, where a few stronger cells/clusters could pose a threat of hail, isolated damaging gusts, and perhaps a tornado. Vigorous redevelopment will also be possible along the western/southern periphery of persistent convection near the ArkLaTex region, where rich moisture and favorable wind profiles could support at least an isolated threat for all severe hazards. Some threat could linger into Sunday night across this area, potentially aided by an upstream low-amplitude shortwave trough that will be approaching the southern Plains. ..Dean.. 04/26/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0226 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST TX INTO PARTS OF THE MID/UPPER MS VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Strong to potentially severe thunderstorms will be possible Sunday across a broad area from northeast Texas into parts of the upper Mississippi Valley. Large hail, damaging winds, and a couple tornadoes will all be possible. ...Northeast TX into parts of the upper MS Valley... A broad region of at least some severe potential is expected on Sunday from northeast TX into parts of the upper MS Valley. Uncertainty remains high due to the influence of extensive antecedent convection leading into the D3/Sunday period. A negatively tilted shortwave trough and attendant surface low are forecast to move from the central Plains toward the upper MS Valley on Sunday. Extensive convection will likely be ongoing at the start of the period from Texas toward the lower MO Valley, and potentially farther north into parts of the upper Midwest. Some lingering severe threat could accompany this morning convection, especially toward the ArkLaTex region where somewhat more favorable moisture/instability will be in place. Widespread cloudiness/convection across much of the warm sector will tend to limit diurnal destabilization, though deep-layer shear will remain favorable for organized storms, and some heating/destabilization will be possible in the wake of morning convection. One area of potential redevelopment will be immediately ahead of the ejecting shortwave trough from eastern KS into western MO and southern IA, where a few stronger cells/clusters could pose a threat of hail, isolated damaging gusts, and perhaps a tornado. Vigorous redevelopment will also be possible along the western/southern periphery of persistent convection near the ArkLaTex region, where rich moisture and favorable wind profiles could support at least an isolated threat for all severe hazards. Some threat could linger into Sunday night across this area, potentially aided by an upstream low-amplitude shortwave trough that will be approaching the southern Plains. ..Dean.. 04/26/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0226 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST TX INTO PARTS OF THE MID/UPPER MS VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Strong to potentially severe thunderstorms will be possible Sunday across a broad area from northeast Texas into parts of the upper Mississippi Valley. Large hail, damaging winds, and a couple tornadoes will all be possible. ...Northeast TX into parts of the upper MS Valley... A broad region of at least some severe potential is expected on Sunday from northeast TX into parts of the upper MS Valley. Uncertainty remains high due to the influence of extensive antecedent convection leading into the D3/Sunday period. A negatively tilted shortwave trough and attendant surface low are forecast to move from the central Plains toward the upper MS Valley on Sunday. Extensive convection will likely be ongoing at the start of the period from Texas toward the lower MO Valley, and potentially farther north into parts of the upper Midwest. Some lingering severe threat could accompany this morning convection, especially toward the ArkLaTex region where somewhat more favorable moisture/instability will be in place. Widespread cloudiness/convection across much of the warm sector will tend to limit diurnal destabilization, though deep-layer shear will remain favorable for organized storms, and some heating/destabilization will be possible in the wake of morning convection. One area of potential redevelopment will be immediately ahead of the ejecting shortwave trough from eastern KS into western MO and southern IA, where a few stronger cells/clusters could pose a threat of hail, isolated damaging gusts, and perhaps a tornado. Vigorous redevelopment will also be possible along the western/southern periphery of persistent convection near the ArkLaTex region, where rich moisture and favorable wind profiles could support at least an isolated threat for all severe hazards. Some threat could linger into Sunday night across this area, potentially aided by an upstream low-amplitude shortwave trough that will be approaching the southern Plains. ..Dean.. 04/26/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0226 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST TX INTO PARTS OF THE MID/UPPER MS VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Strong to potentially severe thunderstorms will be possible Sunday across a broad area from northeast Texas into parts of the upper Mississippi Valley. Large hail, damaging winds, and a couple tornadoes will all be possible. ...Northeast TX into parts of the upper MS Valley... A broad region of at least some severe potential is expected on Sunday from northeast TX into parts of the upper MS Valley. Uncertainty remains high due to the influence of extensive antecedent convection leading into the D3/Sunday period. A negatively tilted shortwave trough and attendant surface low are forecast to move from the central Plains toward the upper MS Valley on Sunday. Extensive convection will likely be ongoing at the start of the period from Texas toward the lower MO Valley, and potentially farther north into parts of the upper Midwest. Some lingering severe threat could accompany this morning convection, especially toward the ArkLaTex region where somewhat more favorable moisture/instability will be in place. Widespread cloudiness/convection across much of the warm sector will tend to limit diurnal destabilization, though deep-layer shear will remain favorable for organized storms, and some heating/destabilization will be possible in the wake of morning convection. One area of potential redevelopment will be immediately ahead of the ejecting shortwave trough from eastern KS into western MO and southern IA, where a few stronger cells/clusters could pose a threat of hail, isolated damaging gusts, and perhaps a tornado. Vigorous redevelopment will also be possible along the western/southern periphery of persistent convection near the ArkLaTex region, where rich moisture and favorable wind profiles could support at least an isolated threat for all severe hazards. Some threat could linger into Sunday night across this area, potentially aided by an upstream low-amplitude shortwave trough that will be approaching the southern Plains. ..Dean.. 04/26/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0226 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST TX INTO PARTS OF THE MID/UPPER MS VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Strong to potentially severe thunderstorms will be possible Sunday across a broad area from northeast Texas into parts of the upper Mississippi Valley. Large hail, damaging winds, and a couple tornadoes will all be possible. ...Northeast TX into parts of the upper MS Valley... A broad region of at least some severe potential is expected on Sunday from northeast TX into parts of the upper MS Valley. Uncertainty remains high due to the influence of extensive antecedent convection leading into the D3/Sunday period. A negatively tilted shortwave trough and attendant surface low are forecast to move from the central Plains toward the upper MS Valley on Sunday. Extensive convection will likely be ongoing at the start of the period from Texas toward the lower MO Valley, and potentially farther north into parts of the upper Midwest. Some lingering severe threat could accompany this morning convection, especially toward the ArkLaTex region where somewhat more favorable moisture/instability will be in place. Widespread cloudiness/convection across much of the warm sector will tend to limit diurnal destabilization, though deep-layer shear will remain favorable for organized storms, and some heating/destabilization will be possible in the wake of morning convection. One area of potential redevelopment will be immediately ahead of the ejecting shortwave trough from eastern KS into western MO and southern IA, where a few stronger cells/clusters could pose a threat of hail, isolated damaging gusts, and perhaps a tornado. Vigorous redevelopment will also be possible along the western/southern periphery of persistent convection near the ArkLaTex region, where rich moisture and favorable wind profiles could support at least an isolated threat for all severe hazards. Some threat could linger into Sunday night across this area, potentially aided by an upstream low-amplitude shortwave trough that will be approaching the southern Plains. ..Dean.. 04/26/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0226 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST TX INTO PARTS OF THE MID/UPPER MS VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Strong to potentially severe thunderstorms will be possible Sunday across a broad area from northeast Texas into parts of the upper Mississippi Valley. Large hail, damaging winds, and a couple tornadoes will all be possible. ...Northeast TX into parts of the upper MS Valley... A broad region of at least some severe potential is expected on Sunday from northeast TX into parts of the upper MS Valley. Uncertainty remains high due to the influence of extensive antecedent convection leading into the D3/Sunday period. A negatively tilted shortwave trough and attendant surface low are forecast to move from the central Plains toward the upper MS Valley on Sunday. Extensive convection will likely be ongoing at the start of the period from Texas toward the lower MO Valley, and potentially farther north into parts of the upper Midwest. Some lingering severe threat could accompany this morning convection, especially toward the ArkLaTex region where somewhat more favorable moisture/instability will be in place. Widespread cloudiness/convection across much of the warm sector will tend to limit diurnal destabilization, though deep-layer shear will remain favorable for organized storms, and some heating/destabilization will be possible in the wake of morning convection. One area of potential redevelopment will be immediately ahead of the ejecting shortwave trough from eastern KS into western MO and southern IA, where a few stronger cells/clusters could pose a threat of hail, isolated damaging gusts, and perhaps a tornado. Vigorous redevelopment will also be possible along the western/southern periphery of persistent convection near the ArkLaTex region, where rich moisture and favorable wind profiles could support at least an isolated threat for all severe hazards. Some threat could linger into Sunday night across this area, potentially aided by an upstream low-amplitude shortwave trough that will be approaching the southern Plains. ..Dean.. 04/26/2024 Read more

MD 0521 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 135... FOR TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS AND NORTHWEST TEXAS VICINITY
Mesoscale Discussion 0521 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1230 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024 Areas affected...Texas South Plains and Northwest Texas vicinity Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 135... Valid 260530Z - 260730Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 135 continues. SUMMARY...Severe risk continues across WW 135. DISCUSSION...A cluster of strong/severe storms is currently moving across the Texas South Plains region, per recent radar composite loop. The convection -- within a zone of QG ascent associated with a subtle short-wave trough moving out of eastern New Mexico -- is forecast to continue advancing northeastward across Northwest Texas toward the Red River Valley. Abundant (in excess of 2000 J/kg) CAPE is present across this area, atop a weakly stable boundary layer. This, along with sufficient cloud-layer shear for organized/severe storms, suggests that risk for large hail will continue over the next several hours. Locally damaging wind gusts will also be possible, particularly if convection expands to form an organized cold pool. ..Goss.. 04/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF... LAT...LON 31800227 32860192 34390035 34969944 33259906 32139978 31660179 31800227 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...Synopsis... A strong mid-level jet streak will round the western trough on Saturday, with strong lee cyclogenesis resulting across the High Plains. Strengthening flow amid very dry conditions will lead to Critical fire weather concerns across portions of the southern High Plains into the central High Plains. ...Southern and Central High Plains... A deeply mixed airmass is expected to be in place by Saturday afternoon across portions of eastern New Mexico into far southeastern Colorado and eastward into the Oklahoma/Texas Panhandles. In these regions, sustained surface winds 20-30 mph will overlap afternoon relative humidity reductions to around 5-10 percent. While some spotty Extremely Critical conditions are possible, fuels do not yet support inclusion of an Extremely Critical area at this time. Conditions will be monitored for higher end potential. ..Thornton.. 04/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...Synopsis... A strong mid-level jet streak will round the western trough on Saturday, with strong lee cyclogenesis resulting across the High Plains. Strengthening flow amid very dry conditions will lead to Critical fire weather concerns across portions of the southern High Plains into the central High Plains. ...Southern and Central High Plains... A deeply mixed airmass is expected to be in place by Saturday afternoon across portions of eastern New Mexico into far southeastern Colorado and eastward into the Oklahoma/Texas Panhandles. In these regions, sustained surface winds 20-30 mph will overlap afternoon relative humidity reductions to around 5-10 percent. While some spotty Extremely Critical conditions are possible, fuels do not yet support inclusion of an Extremely Critical area at this time. Conditions will be monitored for higher end potential. ..Thornton.. 04/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...Synopsis... A strong mid-level jet streak will round the western trough on Saturday, with strong lee cyclogenesis resulting across the High Plains. Strengthening flow amid very dry conditions will lead to Critical fire weather concerns across portions of the southern High Plains into the central High Plains. ...Southern and Central High Plains... A deeply mixed airmass is expected to be in place by Saturday afternoon across portions of eastern New Mexico into far southeastern Colorado and eastward into the Oklahoma/Texas Panhandles. In these regions, sustained surface winds 20-30 mph will overlap afternoon relative humidity reductions to around 5-10 percent. While some spotty Extremely Critical conditions are possible, fuels do not yet support inclusion of an Extremely Critical area at this time. Conditions will be monitored for higher end potential. ..Thornton.. 04/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...Synopsis... A strong mid-level jet streak will round the western trough on Saturday, with strong lee cyclogenesis resulting across the High Plains. Strengthening flow amid very dry conditions will lead to Critical fire weather concerns across portions of the southern High Plains into the central High Plains. ...Southern and Central High Plains... A deeply mixed airmass is expected to be in place by Saturday afternoon across portions of eastern New Mexico into far southeastern Colorado and eastward into the Oklahoma/Texas Panhandles. In these regions, sustained surface winds 20-30 mph will overlap afternoon relative humidity reductions to around 5-10 percent. While some spotty Extremely Critical conditions are possible, fuels do not yet support inclusion of an Extremely Critical area at this time. Conditions will be monitored for higher end potential. ..Thornton.. 04/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...Synopsis... A strong mid-level jet streak will round the western trough on Saturday, with strong lee cyclogenesis resulting across the High Plains. Strengthening flow amid very dry conditions will lead to Critical fire weather concerns across portions of the southern High Plains into the central High Plains. ...Southern and Central High Plains... A deeply mixed airmass is expected to be in place by Saturday afternoon across portions of eastern New Mexico into far southeastern Colorado and eastward into the Oklahoma/Texas Panhandles. In these regions, sustained surface winds 20-30 mph will overlap afternoon relative humidity reductions to around 5-10 percent. While some spotty Extremely Critical conditions are possible, fuels do not yet support inclusion of an Extremely Critical area at this time. Conditions will be monitored for higher end potential. ..Thornton.. 04/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...Synopsis... A strong mid-level jet streak will round the western trough on Saturday, with strong lee cyclogenesis resulting across the High Plains. Strengthening flow amid very dry conditions will lead to Critical fire weather concerns across portions of the southern High Plains into the central High Plains. ...Southern and Central High Plains... A deeply mixed airmass is expected to be in place by Saturday afternoon across portions of eastern New Mexico into far southeastern Colorado and eastward into the Oklahoma/Texas Panhandles. In these regions, sustained surface winds 20-30 mph will overlap afternoon relative humidity reductions to around 5-10 percent. While some spotty Extremely Critical conditions are possible, fuels do not yet support inclusion of an Extremely Critical area at this time. Conditions will be monitored for higher end potential. ..Thornton.. 04/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more