SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 305 Status Reports

1 year 2 months ago
WW 0305 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 305 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SW LIT TO 55 ENE LIT. ..LYONS..05/25/24 ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 305 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC001-041-069-079-095-107-250140- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARKANSAS DESHA JEFFERSON LINCOLN MONROE PHILLIPS MSC011-013-015-019-027-043-071-083-097-107-119-133-135-155-161- 250140- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOLIVAR CALHOUN CARROLL CHOCTAW COAHOMA GRENADA LAFAYETTE LEFLORE MONTGOMERY PANOLA QUITMAN SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE WEBSTER YALOBUSHA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 305 Status Reports

1 year 2 months ago
WW 0305 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 305 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SW LIT TO 55 ENE LIT. ..LYONS..05/25/24 ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 305 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC001-041-069-079-095-107-250140- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARKANSAS DESHA JEFFERSON LINCOLN MONROE PHILLIPS MSC011-013-015-019-027-043-071-083-097-107-119-133-135-155-161- 250140- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOLIVAR CALHOUN CARROLL CHOCTAW COAHOMA GRENADA LAFAYETTE LEFLORE MONTGOMERY PANOLA QUITMAN SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE WEBSTER YALOBUSHA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 305 Status Reports

1 year 2 months ago
WW 0305 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 305 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SW LIT TO 55 ENE LIT. ..LYONS..05/25/24 ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 305 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC001-041-069-079-095-107-250140- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARKANSAS DESHA JEFFERSON LINCOLN MONROE PHILLIPS MSC011-013-015-019-027-043-071-083-097-107-119-133-135-155-161- 250140- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOLIVAR CALHOUN CARROLL CHOCTAW COAHOMA GRENADA LAFAYETTE LEFLORE MONTGOMERY PANOLA QUITMAN SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE WEBSTER YALOBUSHA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 305 Status Reports

1 year 2 months ago
WW 0305 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 305 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SW LIT TO 55 ENE LIT. ..LYONS..05/25/24 ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 305 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC001-041-069-079-095-107-250140- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARKANSAS DESHA JEFFERSON LINCOLN MONROE PHILLIPS MSC011-013-015-019-027-043-071-083-097-107-119-133-135-155-161- 250140- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOLIVAR CALHOUN CARROLL CHOCTAW COAHOMA GRENADA LAFAYETTE LEFLORE MONTGOMERY PANOLA QUITMAN SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE WEBSTER YALOBUSHA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 305

1 year 2 months ago
WW 305 SEVERE TSTM AR MS 242320Z - 250400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 305 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 620 PM CDT Fri May 24 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southeast Arkansas Northwest Mississippi * Effective this Friday evening from 620 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Scattered storms, some with supercell structure, may persist for a few more hours while moving southeastward across southeast Arkansas and northwest Mississippi. Occasional large hail of 1-2 inches in diameter and damaging gusts of 60-70 mph will be the main threats through late evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40 statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles northwest of Pine Bluff AR to 40 miles south southeast of Oxford MS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 302...WW 303...WW 304... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 31020. ...Thompson Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 304 Status Reports

1 year 2 months ago
WW 0304 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 304 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SE GMJ TO 30 NNW SGF TO 20 ENE JEF. ..LYONS..05/25/24 ATTN...WFO...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 304 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MOC009-029-043-059-065-067-077-091-105-109-119-125-131-149-153- 161-167-169-203-209-213-215-225-229-250140- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARRY CAMDEN CHRISTIAN DALLAS DENT DOUGLAS GREENE HOWELL LACLEDE LAWRENCE MCDONALD MARIES MILLER OREGON OZARK PHELPS POLK PULASKI SHANNON STONE TANEY TEXAS WEBSTER WRIGHT THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 302 Status Reports

1 year 2 months ago
WW 0302 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 302 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SW JEF TO 35 E COU TO 50 ENE COU TO 20 S UIN TO 10 ESE UIN TO 35 SW PIA TO 15 SSE PIA TO 15 NW BMI. ..LYONS..05/25/24 ATTN...WFO...DVN...LSX...ILX...EAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 302 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC005-009-013-017-021-025-027-049-051-061-083-107-115-117-119- 121-125-129-133-135-137-139-149-157-163-167-171-173-189- 250140- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOND BROWN CALHOUN CASS CHRISTIAN CLAY CLINTON EFFINGHAM FAYETTE GREENE JERSEY LOGAN MACON MACOUPIN MADISON MARION MASON MENARD MONROE MONTGOMERY MORGAN MOULTRIE PIKE RANDOLPH ST. CLAIR SANGAMON SCOTT SHELBY WASHINGTON MOC055-071-073-093-099-113-123-139-151-163-179-183-186-187-189- 219-221-510-250140- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 302 Status Reports

1 year 2 months ago
WW 0302 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 302 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SW JEF TO 35 E COU TO 50 ENE COU TO 20 S UIN TO 10 ESE UIN TO 35 SW PIA TO 15 SSE PIA TO 15 NW BMI. ..LYONS..05/25/24 ATTN...WFO...DVN...LSX...ILX...EAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 302 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC005-009-013-017-021-025-027-049-051-061-083-107-115-117-119- 121-125-129-133-135-137-139-149-157-163-167-171-173-189- 250140- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOND BROWN CALHOUN CASS CHRISTIAN CLAY CLINTON EFFINGHAM FAYETTE GREENE JERSEY LOGAN MACON MACOUPIN MADISON MARION MASON MENARD MONROE MONTGOMERY MORGAN MOULTRIE PIKE RANDOLPH ST. CLAIR SANGAMON SCOTT SHELBY WASHINGTON MOC055-071-073-093-099-113-123-139-151-163-179-183-186-187-189- 219-221-510-250140- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 302 Status Reports

1 year 2 months ago
WW 0302 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 302 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SW JEF TO 35 E COU TO 50 ENE COU TO 20 S UIN TO 10 ESE UIN TO 35 SW PIA TO 15 SSE PIA TO 15 NW BMI. ..LYONS..05/25/24 ATTN...WFO...DVN...LSX...ILX...EAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 302 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC005-009-013-017-021-025-027-049-051-061-083-107-115-117-119- 121-125-129-133-135-137-139-149-157-163-167-171-173-189- 250140- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOND BROWN CALHOUN CASS CHRISTIAN CLAY CLINTON EFFINGHAM FAYETTE GREENE JERSEY LOGAN MACON MACOUPIN MADISON MARION MASON MENARD MONROE MONTGOMERY MORGAN MOULTRIE PIKE RANDOLPH ST. CLAIR SANGAMON SCOTT SHELBY WASHINGTON MOC055-071-073-093-099-113-123-139-151-163-179-183-186-187-189- 219-221-510-250140- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 302 Status Reports

1 year 2 months ago
WW 0302 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 302 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SW JEF TO 35 E COU TO 50 ENE COU TO 20 S UIN TO 10 ESE UIN TO 35 SW PIA TO 15 SSE PIA TO 15 NW BMI. ..LYONS..05/25/24 ATTN...WFO...DVN...LSX...ILX...EAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 302 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC005-009-013-017-021-025-027-049-051-061-083-107-115-117-119- 121-125-129-133-135-137-139-149-157-163-167-171-173-189- 250140- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOND BROWN CALHOUN CASS CHRISTIAN CLAY CLINTON EFFINGHAM FAYETTE GREENE JERSEY LOGAN MACON MACOUPIN MADISON MARION MASON MENARD MONROE MONTGOMERY MORGAN MOULTRIE PIKE RANDOLPH ST. CLAIR SANGAMON SCOTT SHELBY WASHINGTON MOC055-071-073-093-099-113-123-139-151-163-179-183-186-187-189- 219-221-510-250140- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 302 Status Reports

1 year 2 months ago
WW 0302 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 302 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SW JEF TO 35 E COU TO 50 ENE COU TO 20 S UIN TO 10 ESE UIN TO 35 SW PIA TO 15 SSE PIA TO 15 NW BMI. ..LYONS..05/25/24 ATTN...WFO...DVN...LSX...ILX...EAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 302 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC005-009-013-017-021-025-027-049-051-061-083-107-115-117-119- 121-125-129-133-135-137-139-149-157-163-167-171-173-189- 250140- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOND BROWN CALHOUN CASS CHRISTIAN CLAY CLINTON EFFINGHAM FAYETTE GREENE JERSEY LOGAN MACON MACOUPIN MADISON MARION MASON MENARD MONROE MONTGOMERY MORGAN MOULTRIE PIKE RANDOLPH ST. CLAIR SANGAMON SCOTT SHELBY WASHINGTON MOC055-071-073-093-099-113-123-139-151-163-179-183-186-187-189- 219-221-510-250140- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 302 Status Reports

1 year 2 months ago
WW 0302 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 302 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SW JEF TO 35 E COU TO 50 ENE COU TO 20 S UIN TO 10 ESE UIN TO 35 SW PIA TO 15 SSE PIA TO 15 NW BMI. ..LYONS..05/25/24 ATTN...WFO...DVN...LSX...ILX...EAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 302 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC005-009-013-017-021-025-027-049-051-061-083-107-115-117-119- 121-125-129-133-135-137-139-149-157-163-167-171-173-189- 250140- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOND BROWN CALHOUN CASS CHRISTIAN CLAY CLINTON EFFINGHAM FAYETTE GREENE JERSEY LOGAN MACON MACOUPIN MADISON MARION MASON MENARD MONROE MONTGOMERY MORGAN MOULTRIE PIKE RANDOLPH ST. CLAIR SANGAMON SCOTT SHELBY WASHINGTON MOC055-071-073-093-099-113-123-139-151-163-179-183-186-187-189- 219-221-510-250140- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 302

1 year 2 months ago
WW 302 SEVERE TSTM IA IL MO 241940Z - 250200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 302 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 240 PM CDT Fri May 24 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southeast Iowa Western and Southern Illinois Northern and Eastern Missouri * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 240 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will continue to develop across the region in vicinity of multiple boundaries, with bouts of large hail and damaging winds as the primary hazards. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles southwest of Kirksville MO to 40 miles south southeast of Decatur IL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 25025. ...Guyer Read more

SPC MD 940

1 year 2 months ago
MD 0940 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 303... FOR EASTERN OKLAHOMA...WESTERN ARKANSAS...CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0940 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0539 PM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Areas affected...Eastern Oklahoma...Western Arkansas...Central and Northeast Texas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 303... Valid 242239Z - 250045Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 303 continues. SUMMARY...A threat for large hail and wind damage is expected to increase in coverage over the next couple of hours from northeast Texas into southeast Oklahoma and western Arkansas. DISCUSSION...The latest hi-resolution radar imagery from Fort Worth shows scattered strong to severe thunderstorms located in and around the Dallas/Fort Worth Metro extending northward into southern Oklahoma. Short-term model forecasts suggest that convective coverage will increase, as the complex moves northeastward across western parts of the Ark-La-Tex early this evening. Relatively straight hodographs will be favorable for storm splits. The airmass is extremely unstable with surface dewpoints in the mid to upper 70s F, and MLCAPE estimated by the RAP in the 4500 to 6000 J/kg range. In addition, the latest WSR-88D VWP at Fort Worth has 0-6 km shear near 50 knots. This, combined with 700-500 mb lapse rates near 7.5 C/km, estimated by the RAP, will be favorable for supercells with large hail. Hailstones greater than 2 inches in diameter will be possible with the strongest of storms. Wind damage will also be likely with supercells, and organized intense multicells. ..Broyles.. 05/24/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...HGX...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT... LAT...LON 35179645 36089515 36179405 35979344 35489310 34459318 33089338 31789432 30909676 30719759 30809825 31059850 31529854 32399805 35179645 Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 303 Status Reports

1 year 2 months ago
WW 0303 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 303 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE ADM TO 35 WSW MKO TO 20 W GMJ TO 10 NW JLN. ..LYONS..05/24/24 ATTN...WFO...TSA...SHV...LZK...OUN...FWD...EWX...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 303 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC007-015-033-047-061-081-083-087-091-113-127-131-133-143- 250040- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENTON CARROLL CRAWFORD FRANKLIN HOWARD LITTLE RIVER LOGAN MADISON MILLER POLK SCOTT SEBASTIAN SEVIER WASHINGTON OKC001-005-013-019-021-023-029-041-061-063-069-077-079-085-089- 091-095-097-099-101-115-121-123-127-135-145-250040- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR ATOKA BRYAN CARTER CHEROKEE CHOCTAW COAL DELAWARE HASKELL HUGHES JOHNSTON LATIMER LE FLORE LOVE MCCURTAIN MCINTOSH MARSHALL MAYES Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 303 Status Reports

1 year 2 months ago
WW 0303 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 303 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE ADM TO 35 WSW MKO TO 20 W GMJ TO 10 NW JLN. ..LYONS..05/24/24 ATTN...WFO...TSA...SHV...LZK...OUN...FWD...EWX...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 303 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC007-015-033-047-061-081-083-087-091-113-127-131-133-143- 250040- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENTON CARROLL CRAWFORD FRANKLIN HOWARD LITTLE RIVER LOGAN MADISON MILLER POLK SCOTT SEBASTIAN SEVIER WASHINGTON OKC001-005-013-019-021-023-029-041-061-063-069-077-079-085-089- 091-095-097-099-101-115-121-123-127-135-145-250040- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR ATOKA BRYAN CARTER CHEROKEE CHOCTAW COAL DELAWARE HASKELL HUGHES JOHNSTON LATIMER LE FLORE LOVE MCCURTAIN MCINTOSH MARSHALL MAYES Read more

Low Rio Grande River exposed green, grassy river banks at Zapata, Texas

1 year 2 months ago
The low level of the Rio Grande River at Zapata exposes green, grassy river banks, rocks, tires and other debris that would normally be underwater. Having enough water is a concern for Zapata as the town only has a day and a half worth of emergency water supplies. Drought, heat and the lack of water payments from Mexico have dropped the water level very low. Border Report (McAllen, Texas), May 24, 2024

SPC MD 941

1 year 2 months ago
MD 0941 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 302... FOR EASTERN MISSOURI INTO WESTERN ILLINOIS
Mesoscale Discussion 0941 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0619 PM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Areas affected...Eastern Missouri into western Illinois Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 302... Valid 242319Z - 250115Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 302 continues. SUMMARY...The severe threat will continue to shift into southern portions of WW 302 - primarily across eastern Missouri and western Illinois - over the next few hours. DISCUSSION...A consolidated outflow boundary has become evident within a cluster of semi-discrete supercells north of the St. Louis area. MRMS data (supported by recent hail reports) indicate that the more intense updrafts are associated with this boundary. Easterly cell motions combined with steady 15-20 mph southerly inflow winds are resulting in a slow southward development of this boundary, which should act as a focus for additional thunderstorm development over the next couple of hours. Areas west/northwest of the St. Louis metro area may see an increase in thunderstorm coverage and intensity over the next couple of hours as forcing for ascent along the outflow, as well as along an approaching cold front, impinge on the northern fringe of a strong buoyancy axis (MLCAPE upwards of 2500-3000 J/kg). Supportive kinematics should remain in place through late evening, which will continue to support the potential for embedded supercells along/behind the boundary with an attendant large hail risk (most likely between 1.0 to 1.75 inches in diameter) for the next 1-2 hours. Eventually, increasing forcing along the cold pool/front should favor upscale growth into a south/southeastward moving cluster down the buoyancy axis with an increasing wind threat. ..Moore.. 05/24/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PAH...ILX...LSX...SGF... LAT...LON 37819159 38189191 38469216 38759227 39059225 39389179 39689143 39909117 39989099 39849067 39639050 39559022 39518983 39548946 39638912 39688889 39478843 39238829 39028835 38828852 38678890 38548927 38388948 38158966 37838965 37668967 37438983 37358997 37269033 37309066 37589127 37819159 Read more

SPC MD 940

1 year 2 months ago
MD 0940 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 303... FOR EASTERN OKLAHOMA...WESTERN ARKANSAS...CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0940 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0539 PM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Areas affected...Eastern Oklahoma...Western Arkansas...Central and Northeast Texas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 303... Valid 242239Z - 250045Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 303 continues. SUMMARY...A threat for large hail and wind damage is expected to increase in coverage over the next couple of hours from northeast Texas into southeast Oklahoma and western Arkansas. DISCUSSION...The latest hi-resolution radar imagery from Fort Worth shows scattered strong to severe thunderstorms located in and around the Dallas/Fort Worth Metro extending northward into southern Oklahoma. Short-term model forecasts suggest that convective coverage will increase, as the complex moves northeastward across western parts of the Ark-La-Tex early this evening. Relatively straight hodographs will be favorable for storm splits. The airmass is extremely unstable with surface dewpoints in the mid to upper 70s F, and MLCAPE estimated by the RAP in the 4500 to 6000 J/kg range. In addition, the latest WSR-88D VWP at Fort Worth has 0-6 km shear near 50 knots. This, combined with 700-500 mb lapse rates near 7.5 C/km, estimated by the RAP, will be favorable for supercells with large hail. Hailstones greater than 2 inches in diameter will be possible with the strongest of storms. Wind damage will also be likely with supercells, and organized intense multicells. ..Broyles.. 05/24/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...HGX...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT... LAT...LON 35179645 36089515 36179405 35979344 35489310 34459318 33089338 31789432 30909676 30719759 30809825 31059850 31529854 32399805 35179645 Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 304 Status Reports

1 year 2 months ago
WW 0304 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 304 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 W GMJ TO 5 W JLN TO 50 NNW SGF TO 30 W COU. ..LYONS..05/24/24 ATTN...WFO...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 304 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MOC009-015-029-039-043-057-059-065-067-077-085-091-097-105-109- 119-125-131-141-145-149-153-161-167-169-203-209-213-215-225-229- 250040- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARRY BENTON CAMDEN CEDAR CHRISTIAN DADE DALLAS DENT DOUGLAS GREENE HICKORY HOWELL JASPER LACLEDE LAWRENCE MCDONALD MARIES MILLER MORGAN NEWTON OREGON OZARK PHELPS POLK PULASKI SHANNON STONE TANEY TEXAS WEBSTER WRIGHT THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more