Aggregator

WW 0304 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 304 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 S GMJ TO 25 NW SGF TO 20 E COU. ..MOORE..05/25/24 ATTN...WFO...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 304 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MOC009-029-043-059-065-067-077-091-105-109-119-125-131-149-153- 161-167-169-203-209-213-215-225-229-250240- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARRY CAMDEN CHRISTIAN DALLAS DENT DOUGLAS GREENE HOWELL LACLEDE LAWRENCE MCDONALD MARIES MILLER OREGON OZARK PHELPS POLK PULASKI SHANNON STONE TANEY TEXAS WEBSTER WRIGHT THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0304 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 304 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 S GMJ TO 25 NW SGF TO 20 E COU. ..MOORE..05/25/24 ATTN...WFO...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 304 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MOC009-029-043-059-065-067-077-091-105-109-119-125-131-149-153- 161-167-169-203-209-213-215-225-229-250240- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARRY CAMDEN CHRISTIAN DALLAS DENT DOUGLAS GREENE HOWELL LACLEDE LAWRENCE MCDONALD MARIES MILLER OREGON OZARK PHELPS POLK PULASKI SHANNON STONE TANEY TEXAS WEBSTER WRIGHT THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0304 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 304 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 S GMJ TO 25 NW SGF TO 20 E COU. ..MOORE..05/25/24 ATTN...WFO...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 304 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MOC009-029-043-059-065-067-077-091-105-109-119-125-131-149-153- 161-167-169-203-209-213-215-225-229-250240- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARRY CAMDEN CHRISTIAN DALLAS DENT DOUGLAS GREENE HOWELL LACLEDE LAWRENCE MCDONALD MARIES MILLER OREGON OZARK PHELPS POLK PULASKI SHANNON STONE TANEY TEXAS WEBSTER WRIGHT THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0304 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 304 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 S GMJ TO 25 NW SGF TO 20 E COU. ..MOORE..05/25/24 ATTN...WFO...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 304 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MOC009-029-043-059-065-067-077-091-105-109-119-125-131-149-153- 161-167-169-203-209-213-215-225-229-250240- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARRY CAMDEN CHRISTIAN DALLAS DENT DOUGLAS GREENE HOWELL LACLEDE LAWRENCE MCDONALD MARIES MILLER OREGON OZARK PHELPS POLK PULASKI SHANNON STONE TANEY TEXAS WEBSTER WRIGHT THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0304 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 304 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 S GMJ TO 25 NW SGF TO 20 E COU. ..MOORE..05/25/24 ATTN...WFO...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 304 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MOC009-029-043-059-065-067-077-091-105-109-119-125-131-149-153- 161-167-169-203-209-213-215-225-229-250240- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARRY CAMDEN CHRISTIAN DALLAS DENT DOUGLAS GREENE HOWELL LACLEDE LAWRENCE MCDONALD MARIES MILLER OREGON OZARK PHELPS POLK PULASKI SHANNON STONE TANEY TEXAS WEBSTER WRIGHT THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 304 SEVERE TSTM KS MO 242125Z - 250400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 304 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 425 PM CDT Fri May 24 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Extreme southeast Kansas Southwest and south central Missouri * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 425 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are forming along a cold front and in the open warm sector across southwest and south central Missouri. The storm environment favors a mix of supercells and storm clusters capable of producing isolated very large hail to 2.5 inches in diameter and outflow gusts of 60-70 mph. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles north of Vichy MO to 30 miles south southwest of Monett MO. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 302...WW 303... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 29025. ...Thompson Read more

MD 0941 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 302... FOR EASTERN MISSOURI INTO WESTERN ILLINOIS
Mesoscale Discussion 0941 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0619 PM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Areas affected...Eastern Missouri into western Illinois Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 302... Valid 242319Z - 250115Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 302 continues. SUMMARY...The severe threat will continue to shift into southern portions of WW 302 - primarily across eastern Missouri and western Illinois - over the next few hours. DISCUSSION...A consolidated outflow boundary has become evident within a cluster of semi-discrete supercells north of the St. Louis area. MRMS data (supported by recent hail reports) indicate that the more intense updrafts are associated with this boundary. Easterly cell motions combined with steady 15-20 mph southerly inflow winds are resulting in a slow southward development of this boundary, which should act as a focus for additional thunderstorm development over the next couple of hours. Areas west/northwest of the St. Louis metro area may see an increase in thunderstorm coverage and intensity over the next couple of hours as forcing for ascent along the outflow, as well as along an approaching cold front, impinge on the northern fringe of a strong buoyancy axis (MLCAPE upwards of 2500-3000 J/kg). Supportive kinematics should remain in place through late evening, which will continue to support the potential for embedded supercells along/behind the boundary with an attendant large hail risk (most likely between 1.0 to 1.75 inches in diameter) for the next 1-2 hours. Eventually, increasing forcing along the cold pool/front should favor upscale growth into a south/southeastward moving cluster down the buoyancy axis with an increasing wind threat. ..Moore.. 05/24/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PAH...ILX...LSX...SGF... LAT...LON 37819159 38189191 38469216 38759227 39059225 39389179 39689143 39909117 39989099 39849067 39639050 39559022 39518983 39548946 39638912 39688889 39478843 39238829 39028835 38828852 38678890 38548927 38388948 38158966 37838965 37668967 37438983 37358997 37269033 37309066 37589127 37819159 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0758 PM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Valid 250100Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN CENTRAL TX TO THE MID-SOUTH AND MID-MS VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms will continue this evening into early morning from central Texas to the Mid-South and Mid-MS Valley. ...Central TX to the Mid-South... Despite numerous supercells over the past few hours, reported hail magnitudes have largely held from quarter to golf ball size thus far. Recently, supercell numbers have subsided somewhat across north TX into eastern OK, with the more intense ones in an arc across northeast TX and northern MS, where baseball sized hail was reported this hour. As such, have shifted the sig severe hail to account for these recent trends. The lack of appreciable low-level jet response tonight may curtail greater organized upscale growth and tornado potential. Still, given the large number of cells along with ample MLCAPE (as sampled by the 00Z SHV sounding), some clustering appears likely into tonight. This should favor more of a mix of large hail and damaging winds. ...Mid-MS Valley... Thunderstorms clusters near the cold front/large-scale outflow intersection should evolve south-southeastward this evening along the MLCAPE gradient that extends into the Mid-South. Sporadic strong to localized severe gusts, along with occasional severe hail will remain possible into the early morning. ..Grams.. 05/25/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0758 PM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Valid 250100Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN CENTRAL TX TO THE MID-SOUTH AND MID-MS VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms will continue this evening into early morning from central Texas to the Mid-South and Mid-MS Valley. ...Central TX to the Mid-South... Despite numerous supercells over the past few hours, reported hail magnitudes have largely held from quarter to golf ball size thus far. Recently, supercell numbers have subsided somewhat across north TX into eastern OK, with the more intense ones in an arc across northeast TX and northern MS, where baseball sized hail was reported this hour. As such, have shifted the sig severe hail to account for these recent trends. The lack of appreciable low-level jet response tonight may curtail greater organized upscale growth and tornado potential. Still, given the large number of cells along with ample MLCAPE (as sampled by the 00Z SHV sounding), some clustering appears likely into tonight. This should favor more of a mix of large hail and damaging winds. ...Mid-MS Valley... Thunderstorms clusters near the cold front/large-scale outflow intersection should evolve south-southeastward this evening along the MLCAPE gradient that extends into the Mid-South. Sporadic strong to localized severe gusts, along with occasional severe hail will remain possible into the early morning. ..Grams.. 05/25/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0758 PM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Valid 250100Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN CENTRAL TX TO THE MID-SOUTH AND MID-MS VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms will continue this evening into early morning from central Texas to the Mid-South and Mid-MS Valley. ...Central TX to the Mid-South... Despite numerous supercells over the past few hours, reported hail magnitudes have largely held from quarter to golf ball size thus far. Recently, supercell numbers have subsided somewhat across north TX into eastern OK, with the more intense ones in an arc across northeast TX and northern MS, where baseball sized hail was reported this hour. As such, have shifted the sig severe hail to account for these recent trends. The lack of appreciable low-level jet response tonight may curtail greater organized upscale growth and tornado potential. Still, given the large number of cells along with ample MLCAPE (as sampled by the 00Z SHV sounding), some clustering appears likely into tonight. This should favor more of a mix of large hail and damaging winds. ...Mid-MS Valley... Thunderstorms clusters near the cold front/large-scale outflow intersection should evolve south-southeastward this evening along the MLCAPE gradient that extends into the Mid-South. Sporadic strong to localized severe gusts, along with occasional severe hail will remain possible into the early morning. ..Grams.. 05/25/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0758 PM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Valid 250100Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN CENTRAL TX TO THE MID-SOUTH AND MID-MS VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms will continue this evening into early morning from central Texas to the Mid-South and Mid-MS Valley. ...Central TX to the Mid-South... Despite numerous supercells over the past few hours, reported hail magnitudes have largely held from quarter to golf ball size thus far. Recently, supercell numbers have subsided somewhat across north TX into eastern OK, with the more intense ones in an arc across northeast TX and northern MS, where baseball sized hail was reported this hour. As such, have shifted the sig severe hail to account for these recent trends. The lack of appreciable low-level jet response tonight may curtail greater organized upscale growth and tornado potential. Still, given the large number of cells along with ample MLCAPE (as sampled by the 00Z SHV sounding), some clustering appears likely into tonight. This should favor more of a mix of large hail and damaging winds. ...Mid-MS Valley... Thunderstorms clusters near the cold front/large-scale outflow intersection should evolve south-southeastward this evening along the MLCAPE gradient that extends into the Mid-South. Sporadic strong to localized severe gusts, along with occasional severe hail will remain possible into the early morning. ..Grams.. 05/25/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0758 PM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Valid 250100Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN CENTRAL TX TO THE MID-SOUTH AND MID-MS VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms will continue this evening into early morning from central Texas to the Mid-South and Mid-MS Valley. ...Central TX to the Mid-South... Despite numerous supercells over the past few hours, reported hail magnitudes have largely held from quarter to golf ball size thus far. Recently, supercell numbers have subsided somewhat across north TX into eastern OK, with the more intense ones in an arc across northeast TX and northern MS, where baseball sized hail was reported this hour. As such, have shifted the sig severe hail to account for these recent trends. The lack of appreciable low-level jet response tonight may curtail greater organized upscale growth and tornado potential. Still, given the large number of cells along with ample MLCAPE (as sampled by the 00Z SHV sounding), some clustering appears likely into tonight. This should favor more of a mix of large hail and damaging winds. ...Mid-MS Valley... Thunderstorms clusters near the cold front/large-scale outflow intersection should evolve south-southeastward this evening along the MLCAPE gradient that extends into the Mid-South. Sporadic strong to localized severe gusts, along with occasional severe hail will remain possible into the early morning. ..Grams.. 05/25/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0758 PM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Valid 250100Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN CENTRAL TX TO THE MID-SOUTH AND MID-MS VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms will continue this evening into early morning from central Texas to the Mid-South and Mid-MS Valley. ...Central TX to the Mid-South... Despite numerous supercells over the past few hours, reported hail magnitudes have largely held from quarter to golf ball size thus far. Recently, supercell numbers have subsided somewhat across north TX into eastern OK, with the more intense ones in an arc across northeast TX and northern MS, where baseball sized hail was reported this hour. As such, have shifted the sig severe hail to account for these recent trends. The lack of appreciable low-level jet response tonight may curtail greater organized upscale growth and tornado potential. Still, given the large number of cells along with ample MLCAPE (as sampled by the 00Z SHV sounding), some clustering appears likely into tonight. This should favor more of a mix of large hail and damaging winds. ...Mid-MS Valley... Thunderstorms clusters near the cold front/large-scale outflow intersection should evolve south-southeastward this evening along the MLCAPE gradient that extends into the Mid-South. Sporadic strong to localized severe gusts, along with occasional severe hail will remain possible into the early morning. ..Grams.. 05/25/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0758 PM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Valid 250100Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN CENTRAL TX TO THE MID-SOUTH AND MID-MS VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms will continue this evening into early morning from central Texas to the Mid-South and Mid-MS Valley. ...Central TX to the Mid-South... Despite numerous supercells over the past few hours, reported hail magnitudes have largely held from quarter to golf ball size thus far. Recently, supercell numbers have subsided somewhat across north TX into eastern OK, with the more intense ones in an arc across northeast TX and northern MS, where baseball sized hail was reported this hour. As such, have shifted the sig severe hail to account for these recent trends. The lack of appreciable low-level jet response tonight may curtail greater organized upscale growth and tornado potential. Still, given the large number of cells along with ample MLCAPE (as sampled by the 00Z SHV sounding), some clustering appears likely into tonight. This should favor more of a mix of large hail and damaging winds. ...Mid-MS Valley... Thunderstorms clusters near the cold front/large-scale outflow intersection should evolve south-southeastward this evening along the MLCAPE gradient that extends into the Mid-South. Sporadic strong to localized severe gusts, along with occasional severe hail will remain possible into the early morning. ..Grams.. 05/25/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0758 PM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Valid 250100Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN CENTRAL TX TO THE MID-SOUTH AND MID-MS VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms will continue this evening into early morning from central Texas to the Mid-South and Mid-MS Valley. ...Central TX to the Mid-South... Despite numerous supercells over the past few hours, reported hail magnitudes have largely held from quarter to golf ball size thus far. Recently, supercell numbers have subsided somewhat across north TX into eastern OK, with the more intense ones in an arc across northeast TX and northern MS, where baseball sized hail was reported this hour. As such, have shifted the sig severe hail to account for these recent trends. The lack of appreciable low-level jet response tonight may curtail greater organized upscale growth and tornado potential. Still, given the large number of cells along with ample MLCAPE (as sampled by the 00Z SHV sounding), some clustering appears likely into tonight. This should favor more of a mix of large hail and damaging winds. ...Mid-MS Valley... Thunderstorms clusters near the cold front/large-scale outflow intersection should evolve south-southeastward this evening along the MLCAPE gradient that extends into the Mid-South. Sporadic strong to localized severe gusts, along with occasional severe hail will remain possible into the early morning. ..Grams.. 05/25/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0758 PM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Valid 250100Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN CENTRAL TX TO THE MID-SOUTH AND MID-MS VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms will continue this evening into early morning from central Texas to the Mid-South and Mid-MS Valley. ...Central TX to the Mid-South... Despite numerous supercells over the past few hours, reported hail magnitudes have largely held from quarter to golf ball size thus far. Recently, supercell numbers have subsided somewhat across north TX into eastern OK, with the more intense ones in an arc across northeast TX and northern MS, where baseball sized hail was reported this hour. As such, have shifted the sig severe hail to account for these recent trends. The lack of appreciable low-level jet response tonight may curtail greater organized upscale growth and tornado potential. Still, given the large number of cells along with ample MLCAPE (as sampled by the 00Z SHV sounding), some clustering appears likely into tonight. This should favor more of a mix of large hail and damaging winds. ...Mid-MS Valley... Thunderstorms clusters near the cold front/large-scale outflow intersection should evolve south-southeastward this evening along the MLCAPE gradient that extends into the Mid-South. Sporadic strong to localized severe gusts, along with occasional severe hail will remain possible into the early morning. ..Grams.. 05/25/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0758 PM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Valid 250100Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN CENTRAL TX TO THE MID-SOUTH AND MID-MS VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms will continue this evening into early morning from central Texas to the Mid-South and Mid-MS Valley. ...Central TX to the Mid-South... Despite numerous supercells over the past few hours, reported hail magnitudes have largely held from quarter to golf ball size thus far. Recently, supercell numbers have subsided somewhat across north TX into eastern OK, with the more intense ones in an arc across northeast TX and northern MS, where baseball sized hail was reported this hour. As such, have shifted the sig severe hail to account for these recent trends. The lack of appreciable low-level jet response tonight may curtail greater organized upscale growth and tornado potential. Still, given the large number of cells along with ample MLCAPE (as sampled by the 00Z SHV sounding), some clustering appears likely into tonight. This should favor more of a mix of large hail and damaging winds. ...Mid-MS Valley... Thunderstorms clusters near the cold front/large-scale outflow intersection should evolve south-southeastward this evening along the MLCAPE gradient that extends into the Mid-South. Sporadic strong to localized severe gusts, along with occasional severe hail will remain possible into the early morning. ..Grams.. 05/25/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0758 PM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Valid 250100Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN CENTRAL TX TO THE MID-SOUTH AND MID-MS VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms will continue this evening into early morning from central Texas to the Mid-South and Mid-MS Valley. ...Central TX to the Mid-South... Despite numerous supercells over the past few hours, reported hail magnitudes have largely held from quarter to golf ball size thus far. Recently, supercell numbers have subsided somewhat across north TX into eastern OK, with the more intense ones in an arc across northeast TX and northern MS, where baseball sized hail was reported this hour. As such, have shifted the sig severe hail to account for these recent trends. The lack of appreciable low-level jet response tonight may curtail greater organized upscale growth and tornado potential. Still, given the large number of cells along with ample MLCAPE (as sampled by the 00Z SHV sounding), some clustering appears likely into tonight. This should favor more of a mix of large hail and damaging winds. ...Mid-MS Valley... Thunderstorms clusters near the cold front/large-scale outflow intersection should evolve south-southeastward this evening along the MLCAPE gradient that extends into the Mid-South. Sporadic strong to localized severe gusts, along with occasional severe hail will remain possible into the early morning. ..Grams.. 05/25/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0758 PM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Valid 250100Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN CENTRAL TX TO THE MID-SOUTH AND MID-MS VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms will continue this evening into early morning from central Texas to the Mid-South and Mid-MS Valley. ...Central TX to the Mid-South... Despite numerous supercells over the past few hours, reported hail magnitudes have largely held from quarter to golf ball size thus far. Recently, supercell numbers have subsided somewhat across north TX into eastern OK, with the more intense ones in an arc across northeast TX and northern MS, where baseball sized hail was reported this hour. As such, have shifted the sig severe hail to account for these recent trends. The lack of appreciable low-level jet response tonight may curtail greater organized upscale growth and tornado potential. Still, given the large number of cells along with ample MLCAPE (as sampled by the 00Z SHV sounding), some clustering appears likely into tonight. This should favor more of a mix of large hail and damaging winds. ...Mid-MS Valley... Thunderstorms clusters near the cold front/large-scale outflow intersection should evolve south-southeastward this evening along the MLCAPE gradient that extends into the Mid-South. Sporadic strong to localized severe gusts, along with occasional severe hail will remain possible into the early morning. ..Grams.. 05/25/2024 Read more

WW 0305 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 305 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SW LIT TO 55 ENE LIT. ..LYONS..05/25/24 ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 305 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC001-041-069-079-095-107-250140- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARKANSAS DESHA JEFFERSON LINCOLN MONROE PHILLIPS MSC011-013-015-019-027-043-071-083-097-107-119-133-135-155-161- 250140- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOLIVAR CALHOUN CARROLL CHOCTAW COAHOMA GRENADA LAFAYETTE LEFLORE MONTGOMERY PANOLA QUITMAN SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE WEBSTER YALOBUSHA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES Read more