Aggregator

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 270508
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Fri Jul 26 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form by the middle of next
week a few hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
this system, and a tropical depression could form during the middle
or latter part of next week. This system is forecast to move
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, roughly parallel to the coast of
southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Western East Pacific:
Another area of low pressure could form by the middle of next week
well to the southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
Peninsula. Some slow development of this system is possible during
the middle and latter parts of next week while it moves westward to
west-northwestward across the western portion of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024 Valid 270100Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE DAKOTAS AND NORTHWEST MN...NORTHEAST NV INTO WESTERN UT...SOUTH-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST AZ... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms remain possible this evening across parts of the Dakotas into northwest Minnesota, Great Basin, and Arizona. ...Northern High Plains into eastern ND and northwest MN... A few strong storms have developed from eastern ND into northwest MN, in the vicinity of a weak cold front. MLCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg and effective shear of 30-40 kt could support a supercell or two through the evening, with a threat of hail, isolated damaging gusts, and possibly a tornado. See MCD 1714 for more information. Farther southwest, high-based convection is ongoing across parts of the northern High Plains, which could pose a threat of isolated strong to severe gusts through the evening. Elevated convection may increase later tonight and spread northeastward along/north of the cold front from northern SD into eastern ND and northwest MN, which could pose a threat of gusty winds and some hail. ...Central into southeast AZ... Occasional strong storms have been noted from central into southeast AZ through the afternoon, mainly in closer proximity to the higher terrain. Multiple areas of outflow are spreading southward, though with rather strong MLCINH in place, potential for substantial development into the lower elevations is uncertain. Some threat for strong to isolated severe gusts cannot be ruled out through the evening, though confidence is low. ...Great Basin... Isolated strong storms remain possible this evening across parts of west-central/northwest UT. MLCAPE of around 500 J/kg and effective shear around 30 kt were noted on the 00Z SLC sounding, and briefly organized storms could pose a threat of isolated strong/severe gusts and small to near-severe hail. Another round of convection is possible later tonight from northeast NV into western UT, in advance of an approaching shortwave trough. A residual well-mixed boundary layer could support locally gusty winds with this later convection. ..Dean.. 07/27/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024 Valid 270100Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE DAKOTAS AND NORTHWEST MN...NORTHEAST NV INTO WESTERN UT...SOUTH-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST AZ... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe storms remain possible this evening across parts of the Dakotas into northwest Minnesota, Great Basin, and Arizona. ...Northern High Plains into eastern ND and northwest MN... A few strong storms have developed from eastern ND into northwest MN, in the vicinity of a weak cold front. MLCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg and effective shear of 30-40 kt could support a supercell or two through the evening, with a threat of hail, isolated damaging gusts, and possibly a tornado. See MCD 1714 for more information. Farther southwest, high-based convection is ongoing across parts of the northern High Plains, which could pose a threat of isolated strong to severe gusts through the evening. Elevated convection may increase later tonight and spread northeastward along/north of the cold front from northern SD into eastern ND and northwest MN, which could pose a threat of gusty winds and some hail. ...Central into southeast AZ... Occasional strong storms have been noted from central into southeast AZ through the afternoon, mainly in closer proximity to the higher terrain. Multiple areas of outflow are spreading southward, though with rather strong MLCINH in place, potential for substantial development into the lower elevations is uncertain. Some threat for strong to isolated severe gusts cannot be ruled out through the evening, though confidence is low. ...Great Basin... Isolated strong storms remain possible this evening across parts of west-central/northwest UT. MLCAPE of around 500 J/kg and effective shear around 30 kt were noted on the 00Z SLC sounding, and briefly organized storms could pose a threat of isolated strong/severe gusts and small to near-severe hail. Another round of convection is possible later tonight from northeast NV into western UT, in advance of an approaching shortwave trough. A residual well-mixed boundary layer could support locally gusty winds with this later convection. ..Dean.. 07/27/2024 Read more

MD 1714 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR NORTHWESTERN MINNESOTA AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF NORTH DAKOTA
Mesoscale Discussion 1714 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0606 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024 Areas affected...northwestern Minnesota and adjacent portions of North Dakota Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 262306Z - 270100Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...One or two supercells may evolve through the 7-9 PM CDT time frame, accompanied by potential for large hail and some risk for a brief tornado. This is not anticipated to require a severe weather watch, but trends are being monitored. DISCUSSION...Beneath a plume of very warm elevated mixed-layer air, a seasonably moist boundary-layer across parts of the Red River Valley has become characterized by CAPE on the order of 2000-3000 J/kg. This is generally focused within narrow corridors near the Red River, and immediately ahead of a weak eastward advancing cold front. Although lingering mid-level inhibition has slowed convective development, the initiation of sustained isolated to widely scattered thunderstorm development appears underway. Subtle mid-level cooling near the southern periphery of a mid-level cyclone crossing the Canadian Prairies may gradually erode inhibition further into early evening. However, based on the various model output, it remains unclear whether this will become supportive of a substantive increase in convective coverage. Even so, given at least a narrow window for continuing inflow of moderately unstable air, ongoing activity probably will continue to intensify. One or two supercells may eventually evolve in the presence of 35-50 kt southwesterly mid-level flow. Low-level hodographs appear modest, but a brief tornado may not be out of the question, in addition to a risk for large hail. ..Kerr/Hart.. 07/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FGF... LAT...LON 48439677 49859579 50169531 49399466 47809588 47819669 48439677 Read more

No watches are valid as of Fri Jul 26 23:46:02 UTC 2024.

MD 1714 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR NORTHWESTERN MINNESOTA AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF NORTH DAKOTA
Mesoscale Discussion 1714 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0606 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024 Areas affected...northwestern Minnesota and adjacent portions of North Dakota Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 262306Z - 270100Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...One or two supercells may evolve through the 7-9 PM CDT time frame, accompanied by potential for large hail and some risk for a brief tornado. This is not anticipated to require a severe weather watch, but trends are being monitored. DISCUSSION...Beneath a plume of very warm elevated mixed-layer air, a seasonably moist boundary-layer across parts of the Red River Valley has become characterized by CAPE on the order of 2000-3000 J/kg. This is generally focused within narrow corridors near the Red River, and immediately ahead of a weak eastward advancing cold front. Although lingering mid-level inhibition has slowed convective development, the initiation of sustained isolated to widely scattered thunderstorm development appears underway. Subtle mid-level cooling near the southern periphery of a mid-level cyclone crossing the Canadian Prairies may gradually erode inhibition further into early evening. However, based on the various model output, it remains unclear whether this will become supportive of a substantive increase in convective coverage. Even so, given at least a narrow window for continuing inflow of moderately unstable air, ongoing activity probably will continue to intensify. One or two supercells may eventually evolve in the presence of 35-50 kt southwesterly mid-level flow. Low-level hodographs appear modest, but a brief tornado may not be out of the question, in addition to a risk for large hail. ..Kerr/Hart.. 07/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FGF... LAT...LON 48439677 49859579 50169531 49399466 47809588 47819669 48439677 Read more

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 262313
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri Jul 26 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
Post-Tropical Cyclone Bud, located well west-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.

South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form by the middle of next week a few
hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for some gradual development thereafter
while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, roughly
parallel to the coast of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

MD 1713 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARIZONA
Mesoscale Discussion 1713 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0521 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024 Areas affected...Central and Southern Arizona Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 262221Z - 262345Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Some severe gusts are possible as storms move off of the higher terrain into an environment characterized by hot and dry boundary-layer profiles. Due to the isolated nature of this convection, watch issuance appears unlikely at this time. DISCUSSION...Storms that developed this afternoon on the Mogollon Rim have begun to move into southern Arizona and the lower terrain, where hot and dry boundary layer profiles will support gusty thunderstorm outflow capable of 60 MPH winds. The greatest chances for severe wind gusts will be with the most intense convective cores moving towards the eastern portions of Phoenix, where some loose organization of outflow into a bowing segment has been observed. Further southeast near Tuscon, surface observations show cooler and drier air, resulting in a relative minima of ML/MUCAPE. Any storms that move into this environment may decrease in intensity more quickly than western portions of the risk area. ..Halbert/Weinman/Hart.. 07/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TWC...FGZ...PSR... LAT...LON 34061133 33931110 33861099 33861084 33841070 33801051 33771024 33571020 33351016 33081028 32731050 32221087 32031113 31951157 32021189 32161213 32501225 32891226 33181217 33701200 34001172 34161153 34061133 Read more

MD 1712 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR EASTERN WYOMING INTO NORTHWEST NEBRASKA AND SOUTHWEST SOUTH DAKOTA
Mesoscale Discussion 1712 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0345 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024 Areas affected...Eastern Wyoming into northwest Nebraska and southwest South Dakota Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 262045Z - 262245Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...Thunderstorm coverage should continue to increase across eastern Wyoming into far northwest Nebraska and southwest South Dakota through the late afternoon. The primary hazard with this convection will be sporadic severe wind gusts. Watch issuance is not expected. DISCUSSION...Recent GOES visible imagery shows a gradual build up and deepening of cumulus along a surface cold front across portions of eastern WY, northwest NE, and southwest SD, as well as within the terrain of the Black Hills. Additionally, new convective development is noted on an expanding cold pool emanating out of northern CO/far southeast WY. This activity has largely remained sub-severe thus far, likely owing to a combination of poor deep-layer shear and meager buoyancy within a well-mixed and relatively dry environment. However, increasing ascent ahead of a subtle mid-level impulse (translating eastward across southern WY) along with rapidly diminishing MLCIN will likely result in increased thunderstorm coverage along the front and outflow boundary in the next couple of hours (a few lightning flashes have already been noted with the shallow convection over the Black Hills). Mean storm motions and deep-layer shear vectors oriented largely along the front should foster storm interactions resulting in multicell clusters later this evening. Given the deeply-mixed boundary layer in place across the region, strong to severe downburst winds appear to be the predominant hazard. 25-30 knot mid-level flow may support some organization of deeper cells or more consolidated clusters, but convective outflow will likely limit the potential for long-lived, well-organized convection. ..Moore/Gleason.. 07/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...CYS... LAT...LON 42170274 41860299 41630311 41510324 41410347 41370364 41360378 41420398 41520428 41720455 42020470 42350473 43080473 43640459 44320397 44730325 44770282 44730232 44620186 44320148 44060135 43690138 43300155 42660228 42170274 Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z Multiple mid-level impulses will traverse the northwestern U.S. Days 3-5 (Sunday-Tuesday) before upper riding builds over the western and central CONUS through most of next week. The passing mid-level impulses will encourage dry and occasionally breezy conditions across areas east of the Cascades into the Great Basin. The best chance for Elevated equivalent meteorological surface conditions will be over southeast Nevada into Utah on Sunday, where 40 percent Critical probabilities have been introduced. These conditions may persist into Monday across the same areas, as well as the lee of the Cascades with the progression of a mid-level impulse. A stray dry thunderstorm or two may also occur ahead of this impulse across the northern Rockies somewhere in the Monday-Tuesday time frame, though coverage and available buoyancy appears too marginal for dry thunderstorm probabilities this outlook. Relatively quiescent fire weather conditions are expected through the rest of next week across the Interior West as mid-level impulses clear the region and upper ridging becomes established. ..Squitieri.. 07/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z Multiple mid-level impulses will traverse the northwestern U.S. Days 3-5 (Sunday-Tuesday) before upper riding builds over the western and central CONUS through most of next week. The passing mid-level impulses will encourage dry and occasionally breezy conditions across areas east of the Cascades into the Great Basin. The best chance for Elevated equivalent meteorological surface conditions will be over southeast Nevada into Utah on Sunday, where 40 percent Critical probabilities have been introduced. These conditions may persist into Monday across the same areas, as well as the lee of the Cascades with the progression of a mid-level impulse. A stray dry thunderstorm or two may also occur ahead of this impulse across the northern Rockies somewhere in the Monday-Tuesday time frame, though coverage and available buoyancy appears too marginal for dry thunderstorm probabilities this outlook. Relatively quiescent fire weather conditions are expected through the rest of next week across the Interior West as mid-level impulses clear the region and upper ridging becomes established. ..Squitieri.. 07/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z Multiple mid-level impulses will traverse the northwestern U.S. Days 3-5 (Sunday-Tuesday) before upper riding builds over the western and central CONUS through most of next week. The passing mid-level impulses will encourage dry and occasionally breezy conditions across areas east of the Cascades into the Great Basin. The best chance for Elevated equivalent meteorological surface conditions will be over southeast Nevada into Utah on Sunday, where 40 percent Critical probabilities have been introduced. These conditions may persist into Monday across the same areas, as well as the lee of the Cascades with the progression of a mid-level impulse. A stray dry thunderstorm or two may also occur ahead of this impulse across the northern Rockies somewhere in the Monday-Tuesday time frame, though coverage and available buoyancy appears too marginal for dry thunderstorm probabilities this outlook. Relatively quiescent fire weather conditions are expected through the rest of next week across the Interior West as mid-level impulses clear the region and upper ridging becomes established. ..Squitieri.. 07/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z Multiple mid-level impulses will traverse the northwestern U.S. Days 3-5 (Sunday-Tuesday) before upper riding builds over the western and central CONUS through most of next week. The passing mid-level impulses will encourage dry and occasionally breezy conditions across areas east of the Cascades into the Great Basin. The best chance for Elevated equivalent meteorological surface conditions will be over southeast Nevada into Utah on Sunday, where 40 percent Critical probabilities have been introduced. These conditions may persist into Monday across the same areas, as well as the lee of the Cascades with the progression of a mid-level impulse. A stray dry thunderstorm or two may also occur ahead of this impulse across the northern Rockies somewhere in the Monday-Tuesday time frame, though coverage and available buoyancy appears too marginal for dry thunderstorm probabilities this outlook. Relatively quiescent fire weather conditions are expected through the rest of next week across the Interior West as mid-level impulses clear the region and upper ridging becomes established. ..Squitieri.. 07/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z Multiple mid-level impulses will traverse the northwestern U.S. Days 3-5 (Sunday-Tuesday) before upper riding builds over the western and central CONUS through most of next week. The passing mid-level impulses will encourage dry and occasionally breezy conditions across areas east of the Cascades into the Great Basin. The best chance for Elevated equivalent meteorological surface conditions will be over southeast Nevada into Utah on Sunday, where 40 percent Critical probabilities have been introduced. These conditions may persist into Monday across the same areas, as well as the lee of the Cascades with the progression of a mid-level impulse. A stray dry thunderstorm or two may also occur ahead of this impulse across the northern Rockies somewhere in the Monday-Tuesday time frame, though coverage and available buoyancy appears too marginal for dry thunderstorm probabilities this outlook. Relatively quiescent fire weather conditions are expected through the rest of next week across the Interior West as mid-level impulses clear the region and upper ridging becomes established. ..Squitieri.. 07/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z Multiple mid-level impulses will traverse the northwestern U.S. Days 3-5 (Sunday-Tuesday) before upper riding builds over the western and central CONUS through most of next week. The passing mid-level impulses will encourage dry and occasionally breezy conditions across areas east of the Cascades into the Great Basin. The best chance for Elevated equivalent meteorological surface conditions will be over southeast Nevada into Utah on Sunday, where 40 percent Critical probabilities have been introduced. These conditions may persist into Monday across the same areas, as well as the lee of the Cascades with the progression of a mid-level impulse. A stray dry thunderstorm or two may also occur ahead of this impulse across the northern Rockies somewhere in the Monday-Tuesday time frame, though coverage and available buoyancy appears too marginal for dry thunderstorm probabilities this outlook. Relatively quiescent fire weather conditions are expected through the rest of next week across the Interior West as mid-level impulses clear the region and upper ridging becomes established. ..Squitieri.. 07/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z Multiple mid-level impulses will traverse the northwestern U.S. Days 3-5 (Sunday-Tuesday) before upper riding builds over the western and central CONUS through most of next week. The passing mid-level impulses will encourage dry and occasionally breezy conditions across areas east of the Cascades into the Great Basin. The best chance for Elevated equivalent meteorological surface conditions will be over southeast Nevada into Utah on Sunday, where 40 percent Critical probabilities have been introduced. These conditions may persist into Monday across the same areas, as well as the lee of the Cascades with the progression of a mid-level impulse. A stray dry thunderstorm or two may also occur ahead of this impulse across the northern Rockies somewhere in the Monday-Tuesday time frame, though coverage and available buoyancy appears too marginal for dry thunderstorm probabilities this outlook. Relatively quiescent fire weather conditions are expected through the rest of next week across the Interior West as mid-level impulses clear the region and upper ridging becomes established. ..Squitieri.. 07/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z Multiple mid-level impulses will traverse the northwestern U.S. Days 3-5 (Sunday-Tuesday) before upper riding builds over the western and central CONUS through most of next week. The passing mid-level impulses will encourage dry and occasionally breezy conditions across areas east of the Cascades into the Great Basin. The best chance for Elevated equivalent meteorological surface conditions will be over southeast Nevada into Utah on Sunday, where 40 percent Critical probabilities have been introduced. These conditions may persist into Monday across the same areas, as well as the lee of the Cascades with the progression of a mid-level impulse. A stray dry thunderstorm or two may also occur ahead of this impulse across the northern Rockies somewhere in the Monday-Tuesday time frame, though coverage and available buoyancy appears too marginal for dry thunderstorm probabilities this outlook. Relatively quiescent fire weather conditions are expected through the rest of next week across the Interior West as mid-level impulses clear the region and upper ridging becomes established. ..Squitieri.. 07/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z Multiple mid-level impulses will traverse the northwestern U.S. Days 3-5 (Sunday-Tuesday) before upper riding builds over the western and central CONUS through most of next week. The passing mid-level impulses will encourage dry and occasionally breezy conditions across areas east of the Cascades into the Great Basin. The best chance for Elevated equivalent meteorological surface conditions will be over southeast Nevada into Utah on Sunday, where 40 percent Critical probabilities have been introduced. These conditions may persist into Monday across the same areas, as well as the lee of the Cascades with the progression of a mid-level impulse. A stray dry thunderstorm or two may also occur ahead of this impulse across the northern Rockies somewhere in the Monday-Tuesday time frame, though coverage and available buoyancy appears too marginal for dry thunderstorm probabilities this outlook. Relatively quiescent fire weather conditions are expected through the rest of next week across the Interior West as mid-level impulses clear the region and upper ridging becomes established. ..Squitieri.. 07/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z Multiple mid-level impulses will traverse the northwestern U.S. Days 3-5 (Sunday-Tuesday) before upper riding builds over the western and central CONUS through most of next week. The passing mid-level impulses will encourage dry and occasionally breezy conditions across areas east of the Cascades into the Great Basin. The best chance for Elevated equivalent meteorological surface conditions will be over southeast Nevada into Utah on Sunday, where 40 percent Critical probabilities have been introduced. These conditions may persist into Monday across the same areas, as well as the lee of the Cascades with the progression of a mid-level impulse. A stray dry thunderstorm or two may also occur ahead of this impulse across the northern Rockies somewhere in the Monday-Tuesday time frame, though coverage and available buoyancy appears too marginal for dry thunderstorm probabilities this outlook. Relatively quiescent fire weather conditions are expected through the rest of next week across the Interior West as mid-level impulses clear the region and upper ridging becomes established. ..Squitieri.. 07/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more