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SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0259 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024 Valid 302000Z - 311200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MID MO VALLEY SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE MID MS VALLEY... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL DAKOTAS... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are expected this afternoon through tonight across a broad area from eastern Nebraska and Iowa into parts of the Midwest, Tennessee Valley and southern Appalachians, with multiple swaths of damaging winds likely within this corridor. Severe thunderstorms are also possible across parts of the northern Plains. ...20Z Update... ...TN Valley into the southern Appalachians... Organized convective line continues to progress southeastward across central KY, with more disorganized, multicellular convection downstream across middle and eastern TN. The convective line will likely continue southeastward for at least the next several hours. Ample low-level moisture and buoyancy exists downstream, but deep-layer vertical shear decreases with southern extent as well. This weakening shear may result in a trend towards a more disorganized character, with the outflow eventually outpacing the deep updrafts. However, this may not occur until later this evening, with damaging gusts possible along the line until this weakening occurs. ...Mid MS Valley this afternoon and evening... As mentioned in recently issued MCD #1746, some re-intensification on the southern flank of the decaying convective cluster has been noted across west-central IL over the past 30 minutes or so. Additional convection has developed near the intersection of outflow boundaries across northern MO. Ample low-level moisture exists downstream across east-central MO into southern IL with dewpoints in the mid/upper 70s F. Strong buoyancy exists in this area as well, with recent mesoanalysis estimating MLCAPE over 3000 J/kg. This suggests the developing storms across central MO could intensify, with additional new development likely across central and southern MO. There is also some chance that additional development occurs along the outflow extending from central MO into west-central IL. All of these scenarios suggest that the threat for severe thunderstorms continues across the region, with damaging gusts as the primary risk. Some isolated large hail is also possible with the initial, more cellular storms. ...Central Plains/Mid MO Valley into the Mid MS Valley overnight and early Wednesday... Evening thunderstorm development still appears probable from central NE into the Mid MO Valley as a subtle, low-amplitude shortwave trough interacts with the very moist, unstable, and uncapped airmass over the region. Large to very large hail is possible with the initial development, with a trend towards an organized line thereafter. Given the continued severe potential, no changes are needed to the severe probabilities over the region. ...Northern/Central Plains... Thunderstorm development is anticipated in the next 1-2 hours across the western Dakotas. Storms are expected to intensify as they migrate east into central North and South Dakota. High cloud bases and steep low-level lapse rates will support strong downbursts. ..Mosier.. 07/30/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1130 AM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024/ ...Mid Missouri Valley into the Midwest/Ohio Valley/Southeast... A larger than usual amount of uncertainty remains regarding convective evolution this afternoon though tonight. Ongoing cluster in southern IA will move southeastward across the mid MS Valley into a rapidly destabilizing airmass with enhanced northwesterly winds at mid/upper-levels supporting sufficient deep-layer shear for continued updraft organization. A swath of severe/damaging winds appears likely with this cluster given the favorable parameter space. Therefore, the Enhanced Risk for damaging winds has been extended southeastward to account for the forecast evolution of this MCS. Another ongoing cluster over the lower OH Valley should also pose some threat for severe/damaging winds as it and associated outflow on its southwest flank spreads east-southeastward across KY and perhaps parts of TN the rest of this afternoon/evening. Additional robust thunderstorm development appears possible through the period in a broad corridor from central/eastern NE through the lower OH Valley and Southeast, with swaths of damaging winds likely the main threat. Details on where/when this activity will develop remain rather uncertain. But, isolated supercells may develop across central/eastern NE late this afternoon/evening in the vicinity of a surface low/lee trough. Very large hail may occur with this convection, with a greater threat for severe/damaging winds possible if this activity can grow upscale into another cluster and spread southeastward across the mid MO and mid MS Valleys this evening/overnight. ...Northern Plains... Weak mid-level height falls amid moderate to strong instability should foster to widely scattered thunderstorm development along a surface trough/dryline across parts of the Dakotas this afternoon. Moderate mid-level westerlies should support deep-layer shear around 30-35 kt, sufficient for a few organized storms, including a few supercells, capable of both large hail and damaging gusts this afternoon and evening. ...Mid-Atlantic Vicinity... A weak mid/upper-level trough and will move across the Mid-Atlantic and vicinity through this evening. Scattered thunderstorm development should continue this afternoon from VA into parts of PA. While there is some uncertainty regarding the extent of heating and destabilization due to lingering cloudiness, a couple of stronger cells/clusters may become capable of producing isolated damaging winds. ...Northeast... Weak to locally moderate instability may develop this afternoon from parts of northern New York into northern New England. While storm coverage remains uncertain, deep-layer shear and relatively cool temperatures aloft could support a couple of modestly organized thunderstorms capable of locally damaging winds, and possibly some hail. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0259 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024 Valid 302000Z - 311200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MID MO VALLEY SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE MID MS VALLEY... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL DAKOTAS... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are expected this afternoon through tonight across a broad area from eastern Nebraska and Iowa into parts of the Midwest, Tennessee Valley and southern Appalachians, with multiple swaths of damaging winds likely within this corridor. Severe thunderstorms are also possible across parts of the northern Plains. ...20Z Update... ...TN Valley into the southern Appalachians... Organized convective line continues to progress southeastward across central KY, with more disorganized, multicellular convection downstream across middle and eastern TN. The convective line will likely continue southeastward for at least the next several hours. Ample low-level moisture and buoyancy exists downstream, but deep-layer vertical shear decreases with southern extent as well. This weakening shear may result in a trend towards a more disorganized character, with the outflow eventually outpacing the deep updrafts. However, this may not occur until later this evening, with damaging gusts possible along the line until this weakening occurs. ...Mid MS Valley this afternoon and evening... As mentioned in recently issued MCD #1746, some re-intensification on the southern flank of the decaying convective cluster has been noted across west-central IL over the past 30 minutes or so. Additional convection has developed near the intersection of outflow boundaries across northern MO. Ample low-level moisture exists downstream across east-central MO into southern IL with dewpoints in the mid/upper 70s F. Strong buoyancy exists in this area as well, with recent mesoanalysis estimating MLCAPE over 3000 J/kg. This suggests the developing storms across central MO could intensify, with additional new development likely across central and southern MO. There is also some chance that additional development occurs along the outflow extending from central MO into west-central IL. All of these scenarios suggest that the threat for severe thunderstorms continues across the region, with damaging gusts as the primary risk. Some isolated large hail is also possible with the initial, more cellular storms. ...Central Plains/Mid MO Valley into the Mid MS Valley overnight and early Wednesday... Evening thunderstorm development still appears probable from central NE into the Mid MO Valley as a subtle, low-amplitude shortwave trough interacts with the very moist, unstable, and uncapped airmass over the region. Large to very large hail is possible with the initial development, with a trend towards an organized line thereafter. Given the continued severe potential, no changes are needed to the severe probabilities over the region. ...Northern/Central Plains... Thunderstorm development is anticipated in the next 1-2 hours across the western Dakotas. Storms are expected to intensify as they migrate east into central North and South Dakota. High cloud bases and steep low-level lapse rates will support strong downbursts. ..Mosier.. 07/30/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1130 AM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024/ ...Mid Missouri Valley into the Midwest/Ohio Valley/Southeast... A larger than usual amount of uncertainty remains regarding convective evolution this afternoon though tonight. Ongoing cluster in southern IA will move southeastward across the mid MS Valley into a rapidly destabilizing airmass with enhanced northwesterly winds at mid/upper-levels supporting sufficient deep-layer shear for continued updraft organization. A swath of severe/damaging winds appears likely with this cluster given the favorable parameter space. Therefore, the Enhanced Risk for damaging winds has been extended southeastward to account for the forecast evolution of this MCS. Another ongoing cluster over the lower OH Valley should also pose some threat for severe/damaging winds as it and associated outflow on its southwest flank spreads east-southeastward across KY and perhaps parts of TN the rest of this afternoon/evening. Additional robust thunderstorm development appears possible through the period in a broad corridor from central/eastern NE through the lower OH Valley and Southeast, with swaths of damaging winds likely the main threat. Details on where/when this activity will develop remain rather uncertain. But, isolated supercells may develop across central/eastern NE late this afternoon/evening in the vicinity of a surface low/lee trough. Very large hail may occur with this convection, with a greater threat for severe/damaging winds possible if this activity can grow upscale into another cluster and spread southeastward across the mid MO and mid MS Valleys this evening/overnight. ...Northern Plains... Weak mid-level height falls amid moderate to strong instability should foster to widely scattered thunderstorm development along a surface trough/dryline across parts of the Dakotas this afternoon. Moderate mid-level westerlies should support deep-layer shear around 30-35 kt, sufficient for a few organized storms, including a few supercells, capable of both large hail and damaging gusts this afternoon and evening. ...Mid-Atlantic Vicinity... A weak mid/upper-level trough and will move across the Mid-Atlantic and vicinity through this evening. Scattered thunderstorm development should continue this afternoon from VA into parts of PA. While there is some uncertainty regarding the extent of heating and destabilization due to lingering cloudiness, a couple of stronger cells/clusters may become capable of producing isolated damaging winds. ...Northeast... Weak to locally moderate instability may develop this afternoon from parts of northern New York into northern New England. While storm coverage remains uncertain, deep-layer shear and relatively cool temperatures aloft could support a couple of modestly organized thunderstorms capable of locally damaging winds, and possibly some hail. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0259 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024 Valid 302000Z - 311200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MID MO VALLEY SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE MID MS VALLEY... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL DAKOTAS... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are expected this afternoon through tonight across a broad area from eastern Nebraska and Iowa into parts of the Midwest, Tennessee Valley and southern Appalachians, with multiple swaths of damaging winds likely within this corridor. Severe thunderstorms are also possible across parts of the northern Plains. ...20Z Update... ...TN Valley into the southern Appalachians... Organized convective line continues to progress southeastward across central KY, with more disorganized, multicellular convection downstream across middle and eastern TN. The convective line will likely continue southeastward for at least the next several hours. Ample low-level moisture and buoyancy exists downstream, but deep-layer vertical shear decreases with southern extent as well. This weakening shear may result in a trend towards a more disorganized character, with the outflow eventually outpacing the deep updrafts. However, this may not occur until later this evening, with damaging gusts possible along the line until this weakening occurs. ...Mid MS Valley this afternoon and evening... As mentioned in recently issued MCD #1746, some re-intensification on the southern flank of the decaying convective cluster has been noted across west-central IL over the past 30 minutes or so. Additional convection has developed near the intersection of outflow boundaries across northern MO. Ample low-level moisture exists downstream across east-central MO into southern IL with dewpoints in the mid/upper 70s F. Strong buoyancy exists in this area as well, with recent mesoanalysis estimating MLCAPE over 3000 J/kg. This suggests the developing storms across central MO could intensify, with additional new development likely across central and southern MO. There is also some chance that additional development occurs along the outflow extending from central MO into west-central IL. All of these scenarios suggest that the threat for severe thunderstorms continues across the region, with damaging gusts as the primary risk. Some isolated large hail is also possible with the initial, more cellular storms. ...Central Plains/Mid MO Valley into the Mid MS Valley overnight and early Wednesday... Evening thunderstorm development still appears probable from central NE into the Mid MO Valley as a subtle, low-amplitude shortwave trough interacts with the very moist, unstable, and uncapped airmass over the region. Large to very large hail is possible with the initial development, with a trend towards an organized line thereafter. Given the continued severe potential, no changes are needed to the severe probabilities over the region. ...Northern/Central Plains... Thunderstorm development is anticipated in the next 1-2 hours across the western Dakotas. Storms are expected to intensify as they migrate east into central North and South Dakota. High cloud bases and steep low-level lapse rates will support strong downbursts. ..Mosier.. 07/30/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1130 AM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024/ ...Mid Missouri Valley into the Midwest/Ohio Valley/Southeast... A larger than usual amount of uncertainty remains regarding convective evolution this afternoon though tonight. Ongoing cluster in southern IA will move southeastward across the mid MS Valley into a rapidly destabilizing airmass with enhanced northwesterly winds at mid/upper-levels supporting sufficient deep-layer shear for continued updraft organization. A swath of severe/damaging winds appears likely with this cluster given the favorable parameter space. Therefore, the Enhanced Risk for damaging winds has been extended southeastward to account for the forecast evolution of this MCS. Another ongoing cluster over the lower OH Valley should also pose some threat for severe/damaging winds as it and associated outflow on its southwest flank spreads east-southeastward across KY and perhaps parts of TN the rest of this afternoon/evening. Additional robust thunderstorm development appears possible through the period in a broad corridor from central/eastern NE through the lower OH Valley and Southeast, with swaths of damaging winds likely the main threat. Details on where/when this activity will develop remain rather uncertain. But, isolated supercells may develop across central/eastern NE late this afternoon/evening in the vicinity of a surface low/lee trough. Very large hail may occur with this convection, with a greater threat for severe/damaging winds possible if this activity can grow upscale into another cluster and spread southeastward across the mid MO and mid MS Valleys this evening/overnight. ...Northern Plains... Weak mid-level height falls amid moderate to strong instability should foster to widely scattered thunderstorm development along a surface trough/dryline across parts of the Dakotas this afternoon. Moderate mid-level westerlies should support deep-layer shear around 30-35 kt, sufficient for a few organized storms, including a few supercells, capable of both large hail and damaging gusts this afternoon and evening. ...Mid-Atlantic Vicinity... A weak mid/upper-level trough and will move across the Mid-Atlantic and vicinity through this evening. Scattered thunderstorm development should continue this afternoon from VA into parts of PA. While there is some uncertainty regarding the extent of heating and destabilization due to lingering cloudiness, a couple of stronger cells/clusters may become capable of producing isolated damaging winds. ...Northeast... Weak to locally moderate instability may develop this afternoon from parts of northern New York into northern New England. While storm coverage remains uncertain, deep-layer shear and relatively cool temperatures aloft could support a couple of modestly organized thunderstorms capable of locally damaging winds, and possibly some hail. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0259 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024 Valid 302000Z - 311200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MID MO VALLEY SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE MID MS VALLEY... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL DAKOTAS... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are expected this afternoon through tonight across a broad area from eastern Nebraska and Iowa into parts of the Midwest, Tennessee Valley and southern Appalachians, with multiple swaths of damaging winds likely within this corridor. Severe thunderstorms are also possible across parts of the northern Plains. ...20Z Update... ...TN Valley into the southern Appalachians... Organized convective line continues to progress southeastward across central KY, with more disorganized, multicellular convection downstream across middle and eastern TN. The convective line will likely continue southeastward for at least the next several hours. Ample low-level moisture and buoyancy exists downstream, but deep-layer vertical shear decreases with southern extent as well. This weakening shear may result in a trend towards a more disorganized character, with the outflow eventually outpacing the deep updrafts. However, this may not occur until later this evening, with damaging gusts possible along the line until this weakening occurs. ...Mid MS Valley this afternoon and evening... As mentioned in recently issued MCD #1746, some re-intensification on the southern flank of the decaying convective cluster has been noted across west-central IL over the past 30 minutes or so. Additional convection has developed near the intersection of outflow boundaries across northern MO. Ample low-level moisture exists downstream across east-central MO into southern IL with dewpoints in the mid/upper 70s F. Strong buoyancy exists in this area as well, with recent mesoanalysis estimating MLCAPE over 3000 J/kg. This suggests the developing storms across central MO could intensify, with additional new development likely across central and southern MO. There is also some chance that additional development occurs along the outflow extending from central MO into west-central IL. All of these scenarios suggest that the threat for severe thunderstorms continues across the region, with damaging gusts as the primary risk. Some isolated large hail is also possible with the initial, more cellular storms. ...Central Plains/Mid MO Valley into the Mid MS Valley overnight and early Wednesday... Evening thunderstorm development still appears probable from central NE into the Mid MO Valley as a subtle, low-amplitude shortwave trough interacts with the very moist, unstable, and uncapped airmass over the region. Large to very large hail is possible with the initial development, with a trend towards an organized line thereafter. Given the continued severe potential, no changes are needed to the severe probabilities over the region. ...Northern/Central Plains... Thunderstorm development is anticipated in the next 1-2 hours across the western Dakotas. Storms are expected to intensify as they migrate east into central North and South Dakota. High cloud bases and steep low-level lapse rates will support strong downbursts. ..Mosier.. 07/30/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1130 AM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024/ ...Mid Missouri Valley into the Midwest/Ohio Valley/Southeast... A larger than usual amount of uncertainty remains regarding convective evolution this afternoon though tonight. Ongoing cluster in southern IA will move southeastward across the mid MS Valley into a rapidly destabilizing airmass with enhanced northwesterly winds at mid/upper-levels supporting sufficient deep-layer shear for continued updraft organization. A swath of severe/damaging winds appears likely with this cluster given the favorable parameter space. Therefore, the Enhanced Risk for damaging winds has been extended southeastward to account for the forecast evolution of this MCS. Another ongoing cluster over the lower OH Valley should also pose some threat for severe/damaging winds as it and associated outflow on its southwest flank spreads east-southeastward across KY and perhaps parts of TN the rest of this afternoon/evening. Additional robust thunderstorm development appears possible through the period in a broad corridor from central/eastern NE through the lower OH Valley and Southeast, with swaths of damaging winds likely the main threat. Details on where/when this activity will develop remain rather uncertain. But, isolated supercells may develop across central/eastern NE late this afternoon/evening in the vicinity of a surface low/lee trough. Very large hail may occur with this convection, with a greater threat for severe/damaging winds possible if this activity can grow upscale into another cluster and spread southeastward across the mid MO and mid MS Valleys this evening/overnight. ...Northern Plains... Weak mid-level height falls amid moderate to strong instability should foster to widely scattered thunderstorm development along a surface trough/dryline across parts of the Dakotas this afternoon. Moderate mid-level westerlies should support deep-layer shear around 30-35 kt, sufficient for a few organized storms, including a few supercells, capable of both large hail and damaging gusts this afternoon and evening. ...Mid-Atlantic Vicinity... A weak mid/upper-level trough and will move across the Mid-Atlantic and vicinity through this evening. Scattered thunderstorm development should continue this afternoon from VA into parts of PA. While there is some uncertainty regarding the extent of heating and destabilization due to lingering cloudiness, a couple of stronger cells/clusters may become capable of producing isolated damaging winds. ...Northeast... Weak to locally moderate instability may develop this afternoon from parts of northern New York into northern New England. While storm coverage remains uncertain, deep-layer shear and relatively cool temperatures aloft could support a couple of modestly organized thunderstorms capable of locally damaging winds, and possibly some hail. Read more

MD 1745 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 568... FOR FAR SOUTHEAST IOWA...NORTHEAST MISSOURI...AND WEST-CENTRAL IL
Mesoscale Discussion 1745 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1249 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024 Areas affected...far southeast Iowa...northeast Missouri...and west-central IL Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 568... Valid 301749Z - 301945Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 568 continues. SUMMARY...Additional storm development is possible across Severe Thunderstorm Watch 268 this afternoon. DISCUSSION...The earlier bowing cluster of storms across Iowa has become disorganized early this afternoon. The strongest cell remains on the northern flank crossing into west-central IL. The downstream airmass was heavily impacted by early morning convection. Airmass recovery is well underway, with MLCAPE around 1000-1500 J/kg, but low-level inhibition will likely persist, perhaps limiting severe potential with eastward extent. Two outflow boundaries are apparent in observed satellite this afternoon. A more west to east oriented boundary across northern MO, related to the ongoing Iowa cluster. Another boundary is oriented northwest to southeast across MO and intersects the northern boundary. Deepening cumulus has been noted along both boundaries as strong heating and dewpoints increasing into the 70s F has resulted in a corridor of moderate to strong instability. Additional convection appears likely to develop first near the intersections of these outflow boundaries and perhaps re-organize into a southeastward-advancing cluster. Given this possibility, Severe Thunderstorm Watch 568 continues across northeast MO and west-central IL. Depending on convective trends, downstream watch issuance may be necessary later this afternoon. ..Leitman.. 07/30/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...ILX...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX... LAT...LON 40629243 41199134 41289105 40999065 40269038 39579032 39449029 39009064 38799102 38699165 39069275 39509335 40359386 40549357 40629243 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z An Elevated highlight area was introduced to portions of Colorado/Wyoming High Plains, as well as adjacent areas of Kansas and Nebraska, due to dry and windy post-frontal conditions over modestly dry fuels. ...High Plains and Portions of the Front Range... Newer forecast guidance suggests dry and windy conditions behind a cold front moving across the Central Plains on Wednesday. Rainfall over the last 3 days has resulted in the wetting of some fuels over Colorado and Wyoming, but heating and drying from Tuesday into Wednesday will result in some fuel curing, in addition to pockets of receptive fuels remaining untouched by wetting rainfall. Relative humidity values below 15% and wind gusts from 20-25 MPH are expected to result in Elevated fire weather conditions across the Front Range of the Rockies in Colorado during the morning and early afternoon hours, with downslope winds in portions of Wyoming and northern Colorado reaching maximum intensity during the late afternoon into the early evening. ..Halbert/Squitieri.. 07/30/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0139 AM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024/ ...Synopsis... A large-scale ridge will build across the western CONUS -- in the wake of an eastward-moving trough over the northern Plains. While this will promote increasingly warm/dry conditions across much of the West, generally weak surface winds (outside of terrain-favored areas) preclude any fire-weather highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z An Elevated highlight area was introduced to portions of Colorado/Wyoming High Plains, as well as adjacent areas of Kansas and Nebraska, due to dry and windy post-frontal conditions over modestly dry fuels. ...High Plains and Portions of the Front Range... Newer forecast guidance suggests dry and windy conditions behind a cold front moving across the Central Plains on Wednesday. Rainfall over the last 3 days has resulted in the wetting of some fuels over Colorado and Wyoming, but heating and drying from Tuesday into Wednesday will result in some fuel curing, in addition to pockets of receptive fuels remaining untouched by wetting rainfall. Relative humidity values below 15% and wind gusts from 20-25 MPH are expected to result in Elevated fire weather conditions across the Front Range of the Rockies in Colorado during the morning and early afternoon hours, with downslope winds in portions of Wyoming and northern Colorado reaching maximum intensity during the late afternoon into the early evening. ..Halbert/Squitieri.. 07/30/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0139 AM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024/ ...Synopsis... A large-scale ridge will build across the western CONUS -- in the wake of an eastward-moving trough over the northern Plains. While this will promote increasingly warm/dry conditions across much of the West, generally weak surface winds (outside of terrain-favored areas) preclude any fire-weather highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z An Elevated highlight area was introduced to portions of Colorado/Wyoming High Plains, as well as adjacent areas of Kansas and Nebraska, due to dry and windy post-frontal conditions over modestly dry fuels. ...High Plains and Portions of the Front Range... Newer forecast guidance suggests dry and windy conditions behind a cold front moving across the Central Plains on Wednesday. Rainfall over the last 3 days has resulted in the wetting of some fuels over Colorado and Wyoming, but heating and drying from Tuesday into Wednesday will result in some fuel curing, in addition to pockets of receptive fuels remaining untouched by wetting rainfall. Relative humidity values below 15% and wind gusts from 20-25 MPH are expected to result in Elevated fire weather conditions across the Front Range of the Rockies in Colorado during the morning and early afternoon hours, with downslope winds in portions of Wyoming and northern Colorado reaching maximum intensity during the late afternoon into the early evening. ..Halbert/Squitieri.. 07/30/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0139 AM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024/ ...Synopsis... A large-scale ridge will build across the western CONUS -- in the wake of an eastward-moving trough over the northern Plains. While this will promote increasingly warm/dry conditions across much of the West, generally weak surface winds (outside of terrain-favored areas) preclude any fire-weather highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z An Elevated highlight area was introduced to portions of Colorado/Wyoming High Plains, as well as adjacent areas of Kansas and Nebraska, due to dry and windy post-frontal conditions over modestly dry fuels. ...High Plains and Portions of the Front Range... Newer forecast guidance suggests dry and windy conditions behind a cold front moving across the Central Plains on Wednesday. Rainfall over the last 3 days has resulted in the wetting of some fuels over Colorado and Wyoming, but heating and drying from Tuesday into Wednesday will result in some fuel curing, in addition to pockets of receptive fuels remaining untouched by wetting rainfall. Relative humidity values below 15% and wind gusts from 20-25 MPH are expected to result in Elevated fire weather conditions across the Front Range of the Rockies in Colorado during the morning and early afternoon hours, with downslope winds in portions of Wyoming and northern Colorado reaching maximum intensity during the late afternoon into the early evening. ..Halbert/Squitieri.. 07/30/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0139 AM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024/ ...Synopsis... A large-scale ridge will build across the western CONUS -- in the wake of an eastward-moving trough over the northern Plains. While this will promote increasingly warm/dry conditions across much of the West, generally weak surface winds (outside of terrain-favored areas) preclude any fire-weather highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z An Elevated highlight area was introduced to portions of Colorado/Wyoming High Plains, as well as adjacent areas of Kansas and Nebraska, due to dry and windy post-frontal conditions over modestly dry fuels. ...High Plains and Portions of the Front Range... Newer forecast guidance suggests dry and windy conditions behind a cold front moving across the Central Plains on Wednesday. Rainfall over the last 3 days has resulted in the wetting of some fuels over Colorado and Wyoming, but heating and drying from Tuesday into Wednesday will result in some fuel curing, in addition to pockets of receptive fuels remaining untouched by wetting rainfall. Relative humidity values below 15% and wind gusts from 20-25 MPH are expected to result in Elevated fire weather conditions across the Front Range of the Rockies in Colorado during the morning and early afternoon hours, with downslope winds in portions of Wyoming and northern Colorado reaching maximum intensity during the late afternoon into the early evening. ..Halbert/Squitieri.. 07/30/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0139 AM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024/ ...Synopsis... A large-scale ridge will build across the western CONUS -- in the wake of an eastward-moving trough over the northern Plains. While this will promote increasingly warm/dry conditions across much of the West, generally weak surface winds (outside of terrain-favored areas) preclude any fire-weather highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z An Elevated highlight area was introduced to portions of Colorado/Wyoming High Plains, as well as adjacent areas of Kansas and Nebraska, due to dry and windy post-frontal conditions over modestly dry fuels. ...High Plains and Portions of the Front Range... Newer forecast guidance suggests dry and windy conditions behind a cold front moving across the Central Plains on Wednesday. Rainfall over the last 3 days has resulted in the wetting of some fuels over Colorado and Wyoming, but heating and drying from Tuesday into Wednesday will result in some fuel curing, in addition to pockets of receptive fuels remaining untouched by wetting rainfall. Relative humidity values below 15% and wind gusts from 20-25 MPH are expected to result in Elevated fire weather conditions across the Front Range of the Rockies in Colorado during the morning and early afternoon hours, with downslope winds in portions of Wyoming and northern Colorado reaching maximum intensity during the late afternoon into the early evening. ..Halbert/Squitieri.. 07/30/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0139 AM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024/ ...Synopsis... A large-scale ridge will build across the western CONUS -- in the wake of an eastward-moving trough over the northern Plains. While this will promote increasingly warm/dry conditions across much of the West, generally weak surface winds (outside of terrain-favored areas) preclude any fire-weather highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z An Elevated highlight area was introduced to portions of Colorado/Wyoming High Plains, as well as adjacent areas of Kansas and Nebraska, due to dry and windy post-frontal conditions over modestly dry fuels. ...High Plains and Portions of the Front Range... Newer forecast guidance suggests dry and windy conditions behind a cold front moving across the Central Plains on Wednesday. Rainfall over the last 3 days has resulted in the wetting of some fuels over Colorado and Wyoming, but heating and drying from Tuesday into Wednesday will result in some fuel curing, in addition to pockets of receptive fuels remaining untouched by wetting rainfall. Relative humidity values below 15% and wind gusts from 20-25 MPH are expected to result in Elevated fire weather conditions across the Front Range of the Rockies in Colorado during the morning and early afternoon hours, with downslope winds in portions of Wyoming and northern Colorado reaching maximum intensity during the late afternoon into the early evening. ..Halbert/Squitieri.. 07/30/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0139 AM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024/ ...Synopsis... A large-scale ridge will build across the western CONUS -- in the wake of an eastward-moving trough over the northern Plains. While this will promote increasingly warm/dry conditions across much of the West, generally weak surface winds (outside of terrain-favored areas) preclude any fire-weather highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z An Elevated highlight area was introduced to portions of Colorado/Wyoming High Plains, as well as adjacent areas of Kansas and Nebraska, due to dry and windy post-frontal conditions over modestly dry fuels. ...High Plains and Portions of the Front Range... Newer forecast guidance suggests dry and windy conditions behind a cold front moving across the Central Plains on Wednesday. Rainfall over the last 3 days has resulted in the wetting of some fuels over Colorado and Wyoming, but heating and drying from Tuesday into Wednesday will result in some fuel curing, in addition to pockets of receptive fuels remaining untouched by wetting rainfall. Relative humidity values below 15% and wind gusts from 20-25 MPH are expected to result in Elevated fire weather conditions across the Front Range of the Rockies in Colorado during the morning and early afternoon hours, with downslope winds in portions of Wyoming and northern Colorado reaching maximum intensity during the late afternoon into the early evening. ..Halbert/Squitieri.. 07/30/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0139 AM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024/ ...Synopsis... A large-scale ridge will build across the western CONUS -- in the wake of an eastward-moving trough over the northern Plains. While this will promote increasingly warm/dry conditions across much of the West, generally weak surface winds (outside of terrain-favored areas) preclude any fire-weather highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z An Elevated highlight area was introduced to portions of Colorado/Wyoming High Plains, as well as adjacent areas of Kansas and Nebraska, due to dry and windy post-frontal conditions over modestly dry fuels. ...High Plains and Portions of the Front Range... Newer forecast guidance suggests dry and windy conditions behind a cold front moving across the Central Plains on Wednesday. Rainfall over the last 3 days has resulted in the wetting of some fuels over Colorado and Wyoming, but heating and drying from Tuesday into Wednesday will result in some fuel curing, in addition to pockets of receptive fuels remaining untouched by wetting rainfall. Relative humidity values below 15% and wind gusts from 20-25 MPH are expected to result in Elevated fire weather conditions across the Front Range of the Rockies in Colorado during the morning and early afternoon hours, with downslope winds in portions of Wyoming and northern Colorado reaching maximum intensity during the late afternoon into the early evening. ..Halbert/Squitieri.. 07/30/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0139 AM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024/ ...Synopsis... A large-scale ridge will build across the western CONUS -- in the wake of an eastward-moving trough over the northern Plains. While this will promote increasingly warm/dry conditions across much of the West, generally weak surface winds (outside of terrain-favored areas) preclude any fire-weather highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z An Elevated highlight area was introduced to portions of Colorado/Wyoming High Plains, as well as adjacent areas of Kansas and Nebraska, due to dry and windy post-frontal conditions over modestly dry fuels. ...High Plains and Portions of the Front Range... Newer forecast guidance suggests dry and windy conditions behind a cold front moving across the Central Plains on Wednesday. Rainfall over the last 3 days has resulted in the wetting of some fuels over Colorado and Wyoming, but heating and drying from Tuesday into Wednesday will result in some fuel curing, in addition to pockets of receptive fuels remaining untouched by wetting rainfall. Relative humidity values below 15% and wind gusts from 20-25 MPH are expected to result in Elevated fire weather conditions across the Front Range of the Rockies in Colorado during the morning and early afternoon hours, with downslope winds in portions of Wyoming and northern Colorado reaching maximum intensity during the late afternoon into the early evening. ..Halbert/Squitieri.. 07/30/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0139 AM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024/ ...Synopsis... A large-scale ridge will build across the western CONUS -- in the wake of an eastward-moving trough over the northern Plains. While this will promote increasingly warm/dry conditions across much of the West, generally weak surface winds (outside of terrain-favored areas) preclude any fire-weather highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z An Elevated highlight area was introduced to portions of Colorado/Wyoming High Plains, as well as adjacent areas of Kansas and Nebraska, due to dry and windy post-frontal conditions over modestly dry fuels. ...High Plains and Portions of the Front Range... Newer forecast guidance suggests dry and windy conditions behind a cold front moving across the Central Plains on Wednesday. Rainfall over the last 3 days has resulted in the wetting of some fuels over Colorado and Wyoming, but heating and drying from Tuesday into Wednesday will result in some fuel curing, in addition to pockets of receptive fuels remaining untouched by wetting rainfall. Relative humidity values below 15% and wind gusts from 20-25 MPH are expected to result in Elevated fire weather conditions across the Front Range of the Rockies in Colorado during the morning and early afternoon hours, with downslope winds in portions of Wyoming and northern Colorado reaching maximum intensity during the late afternoon into the early evening. ..Halbert/Squitieri.. 07/30/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0139 AM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024/ ...Synopsis... A large-scale ridge will build across the western CONUS -- in the wake of an eastward-moving trough over the northern Plains. While this will promote increasingly warm/dry conditions across much of the West, generally weak surface winds (outside of terrain-favored areas) preclude any fire-weather highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z An Elevated highlight area was introduced to portions of Colorado/Wyoming High Plains, as well as adjacent areas of Kansas and Nebraska, due to dry and windy post-frontal conditions over modestly dry fuels. ...High Plains and Portions of the Front Range... Newer forecast guidance suggests dry and windy conditions behind a cold front moving across the Central Plains on Wednesday. Rainfall over the last 3 days has resulted in the wetting of some fuels over Colorado and Wyoming, but heating and drying from Tuesday into Wednesday will result in some fuel curing, in addition to pockets of receptive fuels remaining untouched by wetting rainfall. Relative humidity values below 15% and wind gusts from 20-25 MPH are expected to result in Elevated fire weather conditions across the Front Range of the Rockies in Colorado during the morning and early afternoon hours, with downslope winds in portions of Wyoming and northern Colorado reaching maximum intensity during the late afternoon into the early evening. ..Halbert/Squitieri.. 07/30/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0139 AM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024/ ...Synopsis... A large-scale ridge will build across the western CONUS -- in the wake of an eastward-moving trough over the northern Plains. While this will promote increasingly warm/dry conditions across much of the West, generally weak surface winds (outside of terrain-favored areas) preclude any fire-weather highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z An Elevated highlight area was introduced to portions of Colorado/Wyoming High Plains, as well as adjacent areas of Kansas and Nebraska, due to dry and windy post-frontal conditions over modestly dry fuels. ...High Plains and Portions of the Front Range... Newer forecast guidance suggests dry and windy conditions behind a cold front moving across the Central Plains on Wednesday. Rainfall over the last 3 days has resulted in the wetting of some fuels over Colorado and Wyoming, but heating and drying from Tuesday into Wednesday will result in some fuel curing, in addition to pockets of receptive fuels remaining untouched by wetting rainfall. Relative humidity values below 15% and wind gusts from 20-25 MPH are expected to result in Elevated fire weather conditions across the Front Range of the Rockies in Colorado during the morning and early afternoon hours, with downslope winds in portions of Wyoming and northern Colorado reaching maximum intensity during the late afternoon into the early evening. ..Halbert/Squitieri.. 07/30/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0139 AM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024/ ...Synopsis... A large-scale ridge will build across the western CONUS -- in the wake of an eastward-moving trough over the northern Plains. While this will promote increasingly warm/dry conditions across much of the West, generally weak surface winds (outside of terrain-favored areas) preclude any fire-weather highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z An Elevated highlight area was introduced to portions of Colorado/Wyoming High Plains, as well as adjacent areas of Kansas and Nebraska, due to dry and windy post-frontal conditions over modestly dry fuels. ...High Plains and Portions of the Front Range... Newer forecast guidance suggests dry and windy conditions behind a cold front moving across the Central Plains on Wednesday. Rainfall over the last 3 days has resulted in the wetting of some fuels over Colorado and Wyoming, but heating and drying from Tuesday into Wednesday will result in some fuel curing, in addition to pockets of receptive fuels remaining untouched by wetting rainfall. Relative humidity values below 15% and wind gusts from 20-25 MPH are expected to result in Elevated fire weather conditions across the Front Range of the Rockies in Colorado during the morning and early afternoon hours, with downslope winds in portions of Wyoming and northern Colorado reaching maximum intensity during the late afternoon into the early evening. ..Halbert/Squitieri.. 07/30/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0139 AM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024/ ...Synopsis... A large-scale ridge will build across the western CONUS -- in the wake of an eastward-moving trough over the northern Plains. While this will promote increasingly warm/dry conditions across much of the West, generally weak surface winds (outside of terrain-favored areas) preclude any fire-weather highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z An Elevated highlight area was introduced to portions of Colorado/Wyoming High Plains, as well as adjacent areas of Kansas and Nebraska, due to dry and windy post-frontal conditions over modestly dry fuels. ...High Plains and Portions of the Front Range... Newer forecast guidance suggests dry and windy conditions behind a cold front moving across the Central Plains on Wednesday. Rainfall over the last 3 days has resulted in the wetting of some fuels over Colorado and Wyoming, but heating and drying from Tuesday into Wednesday will result in some fuel curing, in addition to pockets of receptive fuels remaining untouched by wetting rainfall. Relative humidity values below 15% and wind gusts from 20-25 MPH are expected to result in Elevated fire weather conditions across the Front Range of the Rockies in Colorado during the morning and early afternoon hours, with downslope winds in portions of Wyoming and northern Colorado reaching maximum intensity during the late afternoon into the early evening. ..Halbert/Squitieri.. 07/30/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0139 AM CDT Tue Jul 30 2024/ ...Synopsis... A large-scale ridge will build across the western CONUS -- in the wake of an eastward-moving trough over the northern Plains. While this will promote increasingly warm/dry conditions across much of the West, generally weak surface winds (outside of terrain-favored areas) preclude any fire-weather highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more