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SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0220 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2024 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN EASTERN LA/FAR SOUTHWEST AL TO CENTRAL MS... ...SUMMARY... A marginal tornado/wind threat is apparent on Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night across a part of the central Gulf Coast States. ...LA/MS/AL... A broad mid/upper trough over the Great Plains on Wednesday morning will progress east across the MS Valley, likely extending from the Upper Great Lakes to at least the Mid-South/TN Valley by 12Z Thursday. Models indicate spread in just how amplified the trough will be. This would correspondingly impact the southern extent of low-level flow enhancement in the Deep South to central Gulf Coast. The weak cold front that intrudes on the central Gulf Coast D1 will stall and then advance north as a warm front late D2 into D3. Rich tropical moisture, characterized by mean-mixing ratios of 15-16 g/kg, will be present to the south of this boundary, yielding potential for modest buoyancy on Wednesday afternoon. Prior to that, extensive elevated convection is expected north of the front within the warm conveyor, slowing the north-northeast advance of the front. The spread in how far south stronger low-level flow will overlap the front/warm sector, lowers confidence in the overall forecast. Conditionally, there will be potential for the rich boundary-layer moisture to overlap moderate low-level SRH amid a veering wind profile with height. Still, strong mid/upper flow will likely be confined farther north-northwest, suggesting that sustained supercell structures should struggle. Transient low-level rotation near the outflow-modulated front is seemingly the most likely scenario, which would offer a low-probability tornado/wind threat. ..Grams.. 11/11/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0220 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2024 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN EASTERN LA/FAR SOUTHWEST AL TO CENTRAL MS... ...SUMMARY... A marginal tornado/wind threat is apparent on Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night across a part of the central Gulf Coast States. ...LA/MS/AL... A broad mid/upper trough over the Great Plains on Wednesday morning will progress east across the MS Valley, likely extending from the Upper Great Lakes to at least the Mid-South/TN Valley by 12Z Thursday. Models indicate spread in just how amplified the trough will be. This would correspondingly impact the southern extent of low-level flow enhancement in the Deep South to central Gulf Coast. The weak cold front that intrudes on the central Gulf Coast D1 will stall and then advance north as a warm front late D2 into D3. Rich tropical moisture, characterized by mean-mixing ratios of 15-16 g/kg, will be present to the south of this boundary, yielding potential for modest buoyancy on Wednesday afternoon. Prior to that, extensive elevated convection is expected north of the front within the warm conveyor, slowing the north-northeast advance of the front. The spread in how far south stronger low-level flow will overlap the front/warm sector, lowers confidence in the overall forecast. Conditionally, there will be potential for the rich boundary-layer moisture to overlap moderate low-level SRH amid a veering wind profile with height. Still, strong mid/upper flow will likely be confined farther north-northwest, suggesting that sustained supercell structures should struggle. Transient low-level rotation near the outflow-modulated front is seemingly the most likely scenario, which would offer a low-probability tornado/wind threat. ..Grams.. 11/11/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0220 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2024 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN EASTERN LA/FAR SOUTHWEST AL TO CENTRAL MS... ...SUMMARY... A marginal tornado/wind threat is apparent on Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night across a part of the central Gulf Coast States. ...LA/MS/AL... A broad mid/upper trough over the Great Plains on Wednesday morning will progress east across the MS Valley, likely extending from the Upper Great Lakes to at least the Mid-South/TN Valley by 12Z Thursday. Models indicate spread in just how amplified the trough will be. This would correspondingly impact the southern extent of low-level flow enhancement in the Deep South to central Gulf Coast. The weak cold front that intrudes on the central Gulf Coast D1 will stall and then advance north as a warm front late D2 into D3. Rich tropical moisture, characterized by mean-mixing ratios of 15-16 g/kg, will be present to the south of this boundary, yielding potential for modest buoyancy on Wednesday afternoon. Prior to that, extensive elevated convection is expected north of the front within the warm conveyor, slowing the north-northeast advance of the front. The spread in how far south stronger low-level flow will overlap the front/warm sector, lowers confidence in the overall forecast. Conditionally, there will be potential for the rich boundary-layer moisture to overlap moderate low-level SRH amid a veering wind profile with height. Still, strong mid/upper flow will likely be confined farther north-northwest, suggesting that sustained supercell structures should struggle. Transient low-level rotation near the outflow-modulated front is seemingly the most likely scenario, which would offer a low-probability tornado/wind threat. ..Grams.. 11/11/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0220 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2024 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN EASTERN LA/FAR SOUTHWEST AL TO CENTRAL MS... ...SUMMARY... A marginal tornado/wind threat is apparent on Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night across a part of the central Gulf Coast States. ...LA/MS/AL... A broad mid/upper trough over the Great Plains on Wednesday morning will progress east across the MS Valley, likely extending from the Upper Great Lakes to at least the Mid-South/TN Valley by 12Z Thursday. Models indicate spread in just how amplified the trough will be. This would correspondingly impact the southern extent of low-level flow enhancement in the Deep South to central Gulf Coast. The weak cold front that intrudes on the central Gulf Coast D1 will stall and then advance north as a warm front late D2 into D3. Rich tropical moisture, characterized by mean-mixing ratios of 15-16 g/kg, will be present to the south of this boundary, yielding potential for modest buoyancy on Wednesday afternoon. Prior to that, extensive elevated convection is expected north of the front within the warm conveyor, slowing the north-northeast advance of the front. The spread in how far south stronger low-level flow will overlap the front/warm sector, lowers confidence in the overall forecast. Conditionally, there will be potential for the rich boundary-layer moisture to overlap moderate low-level SRH amid a veering wind profile with height. Still, strong mid/upper flow will likely be confined farther north-northwest, suggesting that sustained supercell structures should struggle. Transient low-level rotation near the outflow-modulated front is seemingly the most likely scenario, which would offer a low-probability tornado/wind threat. ..Grams.. 11/11/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0220 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2024 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN EASTERN LA/FAR SOUTHWEST AL TO CENTRAL MS... ...SUMMARY... A marginal tornado/wind threat is apparent on Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night across a part of the central Gulf Coast States. ...LA/MS/AL... A broad mid/upper trough over the Great Plains on Wednesday morning will progress east across the MS Valley, likely extending from the Upper Great Lakes to at least the Mid-South/TN Valley by 12Z Thursday. Models indicate spread in just how amplified the trough will be. This would correspondingly impact the southern extent of low-level flow enhancement in the Deep South to central Gulf Coast. The weak cold front that intrudes on the central Gulf Coast D1 will stall and then advance north as a warm front late D2 into D3. Rich tropical moisture, characterized by mean-mixing ratios of 15-16 g/kg, will be present to the south of this boundary, yielding potential for modest buoyancy on Wednesday afternoon. Prior to that, extensive elevated convection is expected north of the front within the warm conveyor, slowing the north-northeast advance of the front. The spread in how far south stronger low-level flow will overlap the front/warm sector, lowers confidence in the overall forecast. Conditionally, there will be potential for the rich boundary-layer moisture to overlap moderate low-level SRH amid a veering wind profile with height. Still, strong mid/upper flow will likely be confined farther north-northwest, suggesting that sustained supercell structures should struggle. Transient low-level rotation near the outflow-modulated front is seemingly the most likely scenario, which would offer a low-probability tornado/wind threat. ..Grams.. 11/11/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0220 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2024 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN EASTERN LA/FAR SOUTHWEST AL TO CENTRAL MS... ...SUMMARY... A marginal tornado/wind threat is apparent on Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night across a part of the central Gulf Coast States. ...LA/MS/AL... A broad mid/upper trough over the Great Plains on Wednesday morning will progress east across the MS Valley, likely extending from the Upper Great Lakes to at least the Mid-South/TN Valley by 12Z Thursday. Models indicate spread in just how amplified the trough will be. This would correspondingly impact the southern extent of low-level flow enhancement in the Deep South to central Gulf Coast. The weak cold front that intrudes on the central Gulf Coast D1 will stall and then advance north as a warm front late D2 into D3. Rich tropical moisture, characterized by mean-mixing ratios of 15-16 g/kg, will be present to the south of this boundary, yielding potential for modest buoyancy on Wednesday afternoon. Prior to that, extensive elevated convection is expected north of the front within the warm conveyor, slowing the north-northeast advance of the front. The spread in how far south stronger low-level flow will overlap the front/warm sector, lowers confidence in the overall forecast. Conditionally, there will be potential for the rich boundary-layer moisture to overlap moderate low-level SRH amid a veering wind profile with height. Still, strong mid/upper flow will likely be confined farther north-northwest, suggesting that sustained supercell structures should struggle. Transient low-level rotation near the outflow-modulated front is seemingly the most likely scenario, which would offer a low-probability tornado/wind threat. ..Grams.. 11/11/2024 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1242 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2024 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHWEST TX TO FAR SOUTHWEST KS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe hail will be possible in parts of the southern High/Rolling Plains on Tuesday evening. ...Southern High/Rolling Plains... Zonal upper flow over the southern states will buckle as a full-latitude trough progresses eastward across the West. This trough should reach the Great Plains by 12Z Wednesday. Primary embedded shortwave impulse is expected to eject from the Four Corners into the central Great Plains. Low-level moisture quality downstream will be lacking, owing in part to the preceding presence of post-TC Rafael in the western Gulf. Modified moisture return will still emanate northward from northeast Mexico. Low to mid 50s surface dew points should reach the TX Panhandle by 00Z, with upper 50s farther south in west TX. This should yield a narrow ribbon of weak buoyancy (MLCAPE around 500 J/kg), ahead of a sharpening surface trough. Confidence remains low in whether surface-based storms will become sustained prior to sunset, given the limited buoyancy and rather dry mid-levels within the southwesterly flow regime. More probable convective development is expected during the evening, as large-scale ascent increases with approach of the trough and strengthening low-level warm theta-e advection occurs. Favorable speed shear in the cloud-bearing layer will support potential for a few elevated supercells. Mid-level lapse rates appear modest, and this may hold hail magnitudes to marginally severe. The severe threat will probably be confined to the early/western portion of sustained-storm activity, but small hail may persist east-northeastward in parts of OK/KS Tuesday night. ..Grams.. 11/11/2024 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1242 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2024 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHWEST TX TO FAR SOUTHWEST KS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe hail will be possible in parts of the southern High/Rolling Plains on Tuesday evening. ...Southern High/Rolling Plains... Zonal upper flow over the southern states will buckle as a full-latitude trough progresses eastward across the West. This trough should reach the Great Plains by 12Z Wednesday. Primary embedded shortwave impulse is expected to eject from the Four Corners into the central Great Plains. Low-level moisture quality downstream will be lacking, owing in part to the preceding presence of post-TC Rafael in the western Gulf. Modified moisture return will still emanate northward from northeast Mexico. Low to mid 50s surface dew points should reach the TX Panhandle by 00Z, with upper 50s farther south in west TX. This should yield a narrow ribbon of weak buoyancy (MLCAPE around 500 J/kg), ahead of a sharpening surface trough. Confidence remains low in whether surface-based storms will become sustained prior to sunset, given the limited buoyancy and rather dry mid-levels within the southwesterly flow regime. More probable convective development is expected during the evening, as large-scale ascent increases with approach of the trough and strengthening low-level warm theta-e advection occurs. Favorable speed shear in the cloud-bearing layer will support potential for a few elevated supercells. Mid-level lapse rates appear modest, and this may hold hail magnitudes to marginally severe. The severe threat will probably be confined to the early/western portion of sustained-storm activity, but small hail may persist east-northeastward in parts of OK/KS Tuesday night. ..Grams.. 11/11/2024 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1242 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2024 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHWEST TX TO FAR SOUTHWEST KS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe hail will be possible in parts of the southern High/Rolling Plains on Tuesday evening. ...Southern High/Rolling Plains... Zonal upper flow over the southern states will buckle as a full-latitude trough progresses eastward across the West. This trough should reach the Great Plains by 12Z Wednesday. Primary embedded shortwave impulse is expected to eject from the Four Corners into the central Great Plains. Low-level moisture quality downstream will be lacking, owing in part to the preceding presence of post-TC Rafael in the western Gulf. Modified moisture return will still emanate northward from northeast Mexico. Low to mid 50s surface dew points should reach the TX Panhandle by 00Z, with upper 50s farther south in west TX. This should yield a narrow ribbon of weak buoyancy (MLCAPE around 500 J/kg), ahead of a sharpening surface trough. Confidence remains low in whether surface-based storms will become sustained prior to sunset, given the limited buoyancy and rather dry mid-levels within the southwesterly flow regime. More probable convective development is expected during the evening, as large-scale ascent increases with approach of the trough and strengthening low-level warm theta-e advection occurs. Favorable speed shear in the cloud-bearing layer will support potential for a few elevated supercells. Mid-level lapse rates appear modest, and this may hold hail magnitudes to marginally severe. The severe threat will probably be confined to the early/western portion of sustained-storm activity, but small hail may persist east-northeastward in parts of OK/KS Tuesday night. ..Grams.. 11/11/2024 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1242 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2024 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHWEST TX TO FAR SOUTHWEST KS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe hail will be possible in parts of the southern High/Rolling Plains on Tuesday evening. ...Southern High/Rolling Plains... Zonal upper flow over the southern states will buckle as a full-latitude trough progresses eastward across the West. This trough should reach the Great Plains by 12Z Wednesday. Primary embedded shortwave impulse is expected to eject from the Four Corners into the central Great Plains. Low-level moisture quality downstream will be lacking, owing in part to the preceding presence of post-TC Rafael in the western Gulf. Modified moisture return will still emanate northward from northeast Mexico. Low to mid 50s surface dew points should reach the TX Panhandle by 00Z, with upper 50s farther south in west TX. This should yield a narrow ribbon of weak buoyancy (MLCAPE around 500 J/kg), ahead of a sharpening surface trough. Confidence remains low in whether surface-based storms will become sustained prior to sunset, given the limited buoyancy and rather dry mid-levels within the southwesterly flow regime. More probable convective development is expected during the evening, as large-scale ascent increases with approach of the trough and strengthening low-level warm theta-e advection occurs. Favorable speed shear in the cloud-bearing layer will support potential for a few elevated supercells. Mid-level lapse rates appear modest, and this may hold hail magnitudes to marginally severe. The severe threat will probably be confined to the early/western portion of sustained-storm activity, but small hail may persist east-northeastward in parts of OK/KS Tuesday night. ..Grams.. 11/11/2024 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1242 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2024 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHWEST TX TO FAR SOUTHWEST KS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe hail will be possible in parts of the southern High/Rolling Plains on Tuesday evening. ...Southern High/Rolling Plains... Zonal upper flow over the southern states will buckle as a full-latitude trough progresses eastward across the West. This trough should reach the Great Plains by 12Z Wednesday. Primary embedded shortwave impulse is expected to eject from the Four Corners into the central Great Plains. Low-level moisture quality downstream will be lacking, owing in part to the preceding presence of post-TC Rafael in the western Gulf. Modified moisture return will still emanate northward from northeast Mexico. Low to mid 50s surface dew points should reach the TX Panhandle by 00Z, with upper 50s farther south in west TX. This should yield a narrow ribbon of weak buoyancy (MLCAPE around 500 J/kg), ahead of a sharpening surface trough. Confidence remains low in whether surface-based storms will become sustained prior to sunset, given the limited buoyancy and rather dry mid-levels within the southwesterly flow regime. More probable convective development is expected during the evening, as large-scale ascent increases with approach of the trough and strengthening low-level warm theta-e advection occurs. Favorable speed shear in the cloud-bearing layer will support potential for a few elevated supercells. Mid-level lapse rates appear modest, and this may hold hail magnitudes to marginally severe. The severe threat will probably be confined to the early/western portion of sustained-storm activity, but small hail may persist east-northeastward in parts of OK/KS Tuesday night. ..Grams.. 11/11/2024 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1223 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2024 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...Synopsis... A weak cold front will move across southern California D1 Monday into D2/Tuesday. Behind this frontal passage, gusty northwest winds will be enhanced near favored downslope terrain features across Santa Barbra and Ventura Counties. Relative humidity will hover around elevated thresholds. Relative humidity will decrease, especially at mid/upper slopes, below critical relative humidity thresholds with poor overnight recovery D2/Tuesday evening into D3/Wednesday morning. However, winds are expected to weaken below thresholds during this period. As such, an Elevated delineation was maintained with this outlook. ..Thornton.. 11/11/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1223 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2024 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...Synopsis... A weak cold front will move across southern California D1 Monday into D2/Tuesday. Behind this frontal passage, gusty northwest winds will be enhanced near favored downslope terrain features across Santa Barbra and Ventura Counties. Relative humidity will hover around elevated thresholds. Relative humidity will decrease, especially at mid/upper slopes, below critical relative humidity thresholds with poor overnight recovery D2/Tuesday evening into D3/Wednesday morning. However, winds are expected to weaken below thresholds during this period. As such, an Elevated delineation was maintained with this outlook. ..Thornton.. 11/11/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1223 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2024 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...Synopsis... A weak cold front will move across southern California D1 Monday into D2/Tuesday. Behind this frontal passage, gusty northwest winds will be enhanced near favored downslope terrain features across Santa Barbra and Ventura Counties. Relative humidity will hover around elevated thresholds. Relative humidity will decrease, especially at mid/upper slopes, below critical relative humidity thresholds with poor overnight recovery D2/Tuesday evening into D3/Wednesday morning. However, winds are expected to weaken below thresholds during this period. As such, an Elevated delineation was maintained with this outlook. ..Thornton.. 11/11/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1223 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2024 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...Synopsis... A weak cold front will move across southern California D1 Monday into D2/Tuesday. Behind this frontal passage, gusty northwest winds will be enhanced near favored downslope terrain features across Santa Barbra and Ventura Counties. Relative humidity will hover around elevated thresholds. Relative humidity will decrease, especially at mid/upper slopes, below critical relative humidity thresholds with poor overnight recovery D2/Tuesday evening into D3/Wednesday morning. However, winds are expected to weaken below thresholds during this period. As such, an Elevated delineation was maintained with this outlook. ..Thornton.. 11/11/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1223 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2024 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...Synopsis... A weak cold front will move across southern California D1 Monday into D2/Tuesday. Behind this frontal passage, gusty northwest winds will be enhanced near favored downslope terrain features across Santa Barbra and Ventura Counties. Relative humidity will hover around elevated thresholds. Relative humidity will decrease, especially at mid/upper slopes, below critical relative humidity thresholds with poor overnight recovery D2/Tuesday evening into D3/Wednesday morning. However, winds are expected to weaken below thresholds during this period. As such, an Elevated delineation was maintained with this outlook. ..Thornton.. 11/11/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1222 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A trough will move inland from the Pacific across the western US today. This will bring enhanced westerly flow aloft across the southern Sierra and into the Great Basin. While there is some potential for rain/snow showers, an increase in southwesterly surface winds will overlap dry conditions across portions of southern Nevada and along/east of the southern Sierra. Though relative-humidity reductions to around 15-20 percent are likely with sustained winds 10-15 mph (gusting higher), fuels in these regions are largely unreceptive to fire spread. This will preclude the need to include probabilities at this time. ..Thornton.. 11/11/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1222 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A trough will move inland from the Pacific across the western US today. This will bring enhanced westerly flow aloft across the southern Sierra and into the Great Basin. While there is some potential for rain/snow showers, an increase in southwesterly surface winds will overlap dry conditions across portions of southern Nevada and along/east of the southern Sierra. Though relative-humidity reductions to around 15-20 percent are likely with sustained winds 10-15 mph (gusting higher), fuels in these regions are largely unreceptive to fire spread. This will preclude the need to include probabilities at this time. ..Thornton.. 11/11/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1222 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A trough will move inland from the Pacific across the western US today. This will bring enhanced westerly flow aloft across the southern Sierra and into the Great Basin. While there is some potential for rain/snow showers, an increase in southwesterly surface winds will overlap dry conditions across portions of southern Nevada and along/east of the southern Sierra. Though relative-humidity reductions to around 15-20 percent are likely with sustained winds 10-15 mph (gusting higher), fuels in these regions are largely unreceptive to fire spread. This will preclude the need to include probabilities at this time. ..Thornton.. 11/11/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1222 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A trough will move inland from the Pacific across the western US today. This will bring enhanced westerly flow aloft across the southern Sierra and into the Great Basin. While there is some potential for rain/snow showers, an increase in southwesterly surface winds will overlap dry conditions across portions of southern Nevada and along/east of the southern Sierra. Though relative-humidity reductions to around 15-20 percent are likely with sustained winds 10-15 mph (gusting higher), fuels in these regions are largely unreceptive to fire spread. This will preclude the need to include probabilities at this time. ..Thornton.. 11/11/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more