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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0103 PM CST Thu Jan 02 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Latest guidance consensus shows some modestly dry and breezy conditions along the coastal Carolinas tomorrow (Friday) afternoon with the passage of a cold front. However, the marginally dry/breezy conditions, along with modest fuel receptiveness, suggests that any wildfire-spread threat that materializes should remain localized. Otherwise, the previous forecast remains on track. ..Squitieri.. 01/02/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0128 AM CST Thu Jan 02 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns should be minimal through the forecast period. A deep long-wave trough will be located across the eastern US, with a full latitude CONUS ridge over the Rockies. Although a sharp trough will approach the California coast, winds across southern California will turn more onshore, increasing relative humidity and ending the recent offshore wind event. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0103 PM CST Thu Jan 02 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Latest guidance consensus shows some modestly dry and breezy conditions along the coastal Carolinas tomorrow (Friday) afternoon with the passage of a cold front. However, the marginally dry/breezy conditions, along with modest fuel receptiveness, suggests that any wildfire-spread threat that materializes should remain localized. Otherwise, the previous forecast remains on track. ..Squitieri.. 01/02/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0128 AM CST Thu Jan 02 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns should be minimal through the forecast period. A deep long-wave trough will be located across the eastern US, with a full latitude CONUS ridge over the Rockies. Although a sharp trough will approach the California coast, winds across southern California will turn more onshore, increasing relative humidity and ending the recent offshore wind event. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0103 PM CST Thu Jan 02 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Latest guidance consensus shows some modestly dry and breezy conditions along the coastal Carolinas tomorrow (Friday) afternoon with the passage of a cold front. However, the marginally dry/breezy conditions, along with modest fuel receptiveness, suggests that any wildfire-spread threat that materializes should remain localized. Otherwise, the previous forecast remains on track. ..Squitieri.. 01/02/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0128 AM CST Thu Jan 02 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns should be minimal through the forecast period. A deep long-wave trough will be located across the eastern US, with a full latitude CONUS ridge over the Rockies. Although a sharp trough will approach the California coast, winds across southern California will turn more onshore, increasing relative humidity and ending the recent offshore wind event. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0103 PM CST Thu Jan 02 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Latest guidance consensus shows some modestly dry and breezy conditions along the coastal Carolinas tomorrow (Friday) afternoon with the passage of a cold front. However, the marginally dry/breezy conditions, along with modest fuel receptiveness, suggests that any wildfire-spread threat that materializes should remain localized. Otherwise, the previous forecast remains on track. ..Squitieri.. 01/02/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0128 AM CST Thu Jan 02 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns should be minimal through the forecast period. A deep long-wave trough will be located across the eastern US, with a full latitude CONUS ridge over the Rockies. Although a sharp trough will approach the California coast, winds across southern California will turn more onshore, increasing relative humidity and ending the recent offshore wind event. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0103 PM CST Thu Jan 02 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Latest guidance consensus shows some modestly dry and breezy conditions along the coastal Carolinas tomorrow (Friday) afternoon with the passage of a cold front. However, the marginally dry/breezy conditions, along with modest fuel receptiveness, suggests that any wildfire-spread threat that materializes should remain localized. Otherwise, the previous forecast remains on track. ..Squitieri.. 01/02/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0128 AM CST Thu Jan 02 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns should be minimal through the forecast period. A deep long-wave trough will be located across the eastern US, with a full latitude CONUS ridge over the Rockies. Although a sharp trough will approach the California coast, winds across southern California will turn more onshore, increasing relative humidity and ending the recent offshore wind event. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1118 AM CST Thu Jan 02 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Sporadic lightning flashes may occur Friday afternoon and evening over the coastal Pacific Northwest. Severe weather is not expected. ...Synopsis... The pattern on Friday will feature an upper trough over the eastern CONUS, with a western ridge breaking down late. The shortwave trough responsible for the ridge breakdown will provide rapid cooling aloft late in the day from northern CA into western WA and OR, and overnight across the Great Basin. Given favorable diurnal timing/steepening lapse rates, a few lightning flashes with low-topped convection is possible near coastal counties as a cold front approaches. Elsewhere, high pressure will maintain dry and/or stable conditions over land. A few thunderstorms may occur over the northwest Gulf of Mexico with a weak low well offshore. ..Jewell.. 01/02/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1118 AM CST Thu Jan 02 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Sporadic lightning flashes may occur Friday afternoon and evening over the coastal Pacific Northwest. Severe weather is not expected. ...Synopsis... The pattern on Friday will feature an upper trough over the eastern CONUS, with a western ridge breaking down late. The shortwave trough responsible for the ridge breakdown will provide rapid cooling aloft late in the day from northern CA into western WA and OR, and overnight across the Great Basin. Given favorable diurnal timing/steepening lapse rates, a few lightning flashes with low-topped convection is possible near coastal counties as a cold front approaches. Elsewhere, high pressure will maintain dry and/or stable conditions over land. A few thunderstorms may occur over the northwest Gulf of Mexico with a weak low well offshore. ..Jewell.. 01/02/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1118 AM CST Thu Jan 02 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Sporadic lightning flashes may occur Friday afternoon and evening over the coastal Pacific Northwest. Severe weather is not expected. ...Synopsis... The pattern on Friday will feature an upper trough over the eastern CONUS, with a western ridge breaking down late. The shortwave trough responsible for the ridge breakdown will provide rapid cooling aloft late in the day from northern CA into western WA and OR, and overnight across the Great Basin. Given favorable diurnal timing/steepening lapse rates, a few lightning flashes with low-topped convection is possible near coastal counties as a cold front approaches. Elsewhere, high pressure will maintain dry and/or stable conditions over land. A few thunderstorms may occur over the northwest Gulf of Mexico with a weak low well offshore. ..Jewell.. 01/02/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1118 AM CST Thu Jan 02 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Sporadic lightning flashes may occur Friday afternoon and evening over the coastal Pacific Northwest. Severe weather is not expected. ...Synopsis... The pattern on Friday will feature an upper trough over the eastern CONUS, with a western ridge breaking down late. The shortwave trough responsible for the ridge breakdown will provide rapid cooling aloft late in the day from northern CA into western WA and OR, and overnight across the Great Basin. Given favorable diurnal timing/steepening lapse rates, a few lightning flashes with low-topped convection is possible near coastal counties as a cold front approaches. Elsewhere, high pressure will maintain dry and/or stable conditions over land. A few thunderstorms may occur over the northwest Gulf of Mexico with a weak low well offshore. ..Jewell.. 01/02/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1118 AM CST Thu Jan 02 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Sporadic lightning flashes may occur Friday afternoon and evening over the coastal Pacific Northwest. Severe weather is not expected. ...Synopsis... The pattern on Friday will feature an upper trough over the eastern CONUS, with a western ridge breaking down late. The shortwave trough responsible for the ridge breakdown will provide rapid cooling aloft late in the day from northern CA into western WA and OR, and overnight across the Great Basin. Given favorable diurnal timing/steepening lapse rates, a few lightning flashes with low-topped convection is possible near coastal counties as a cold front approaches. Elsewhere, high pressure will maintain dry and/or stable conditions over land. A few thunderstorms may occur over the northwest Gulf of Mexico with a weak low well offshore. ..Jewell.. 01/02/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1118 AM CST Thu Jan 02 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Sporadic lightning flashes may occur Friday afternoon and evening over the coastal Pacific Northwest. Severe weather is not expected. ...Synopsis... The pattern on Friday will feature an upper trough over the eastern CONUS, with a western ridge breaking down late. The shortwave trough responsible for the ridge breakdown will provide rapid cooling aloft late in the day from northern CA into western WA and OR, and overnight across the Great Basin. Given favorable diurnal timing/steepening lapse rates, a few lightning flashes with low-topped convection is possible near coastal counties as a cold front approaches. Elsewhere, high pressure will maintain dry and/or stable conditions over land. A few thunderstorms may occur over the northwest Gulf of Mexico with a weak low well offshore. ..Jewell.. 01/02/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1118 AM CST Thu Jan 02 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Sporadic lightning flashes may occur Friday afternoon and evening over the coastal Pacific Northwest. Severe weather is not expected. ...Synopsis... The pattern on Friday will feature an upper trough over the eastern CONUS, with a western ridge breaking down late. The shortwave trough responsible for the ridge breakdown will provide rapid cooling aloft late in the day from northern CA into western WA and OR, and overnight across the Great Basin. Given favorable diurnal timing/steepening lapse rates, a few lightning flashes with low-topped convection is possible near coastal counties as a cold front approaches. Elsewhere, high pressure will maintain dry and/or stable conditions over land. A few thunderstorms may occur over the northwest Gulf of Mexico with a weak low well offshore. ..Jewell.. 01/02/2025 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1021 AM CST Thu Jan 02 2025 Valid 021630Z - 031200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...Synopsis... In the mid levels, The general pattern is forecast to slowly amplify as weak troughing with broad cyclonic flow will persist over the eastern 2/3rds of the CONUS. At the same time, ridging will intensify over the West. This will favor increasingly strong (80-100 kts) northwesterly flow over the central US. As a result, strong high pressure at the surface is expected over the northern Plains and Southeast. With cold temperatures and dry/stable offshore flow, little to no buoyancy is expected inland, aside from extreme southern/coastal TX. This will suppress thunderstorm potential below 10% coverage. ..Lyons.. 01/02/2025 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1021 AM CST Thu Jan 02 2025 Valid 021630Z - 031200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...Synopsis... In the mid levels, The general pattern is forecast to slowly amplify as weak troughing with broad cyclonic flow will persist over the eastern 2/3rds of the CONUS. At the same time, ridging will intensify over the West. This will favor increasingly strong (80-100 kts) northwesterly flow over the central US. As a result, strong high pressure at the surface is expected over the northern Plains and Southeast. With cold temperatures and dry/stable offshore flow, little to no buoyancy is expected inland, aside from extreme southern/coastal TX. This will suppress thunderstorm potential below 10% coverage. ..Lyons.. 01/02/2025 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1021 AM CST Thu Jan 02 2025 Valid 021630Z - 031200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...Synopsis... In the mid levels, The general pattern is forecast to slowly amplify as weak troughing with broad cyclonic flow will persist over the eastern 2/3rds of the CONUS. At the same time, ridging will intensify over the West. This will favor increasingly strong (80-100 kts) northwesterly flow over the central US. As a result, strong high pressure at the surface is expected over the northern Plains and Southeast. With cold temperatures and dry/stable offshore flow, little to no buoyancy is expected inland, aside from extreme southern/coastal TX. This will suppress thunderstorm potential below 10% coverage. ..Lyons.. 01/02/2025 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1021 AM CST Thu Jan 02 2025 Valid 021630Z - 031200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...Synopsis... In the mid levels, The general pattern is forecast to slowly amplify as weak troughing with broad cyclonic flow will persist over the eastern 2/3rds of the CONUS. At the same time, ridging will intensify over the West. This will favor increasingly strong (80-100 kts) northwesterly flow over the central US. As a result, strong high pressure at the surface is expected over the northern Plains and Southeast. With cold temperatures and dry/stable offshore flow, little to no buoyancy is expected inland, aside from extreme southern/coastal TX. This will suppress thunderstorm potential below 10% coverage. ..Lyons.. 01/02/2025 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1021 AM CST Thu Jan 02 2025 Valid 021630Z - 031200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...Synopsis... In the mid levels, The general pattern is forecast to slowly amplify as weak troughing with broad cyclonic flow will persist over the eastern 2/3rds of the CONUS. At the same time, ridging will intensify over the West. This will favor increasingly strong (80-100 kts) northwesterly flow over the central US. As a result, strong high pressure at the surface is expected over the northern Plains and Southeast. With cold temperatures and dry/stable offshore flow, little to no buoyancy is expected inland, aside from extreme southern/coastal TX. This will suppress thunderstorm potential below 10% coverage. ..Lyons.. 01/02/2025 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1021 AM CST Thu Jan 02 2025 Valid 021630Z - 031200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...Synopsis... In the mid levels, The general pattern is forecast to slowly amplify as weak troughing with broad cyclonic flow will persist over the eastern 2/3rds of the CONUS. At the same time, ridging will intensify over the West. This will favor increasingly strong (80-100 kts) northwesterly flow over the central US. As a result, strong high pressure at the surface is expected over the northern Plains and Southeast. With cold temperatures and dry/stable offshore flow, little to no buoyancy is expected inland, aside from extreme southern/coastal TX. This will suppress thunderstorm potential below 10% coverage. ..Lyons.. 01/02/2025 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1021 AM CST Thu Jan 02 2025 Valid 021630Z - 031200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...Synopsis... In the mid levels, The general pattern is forecast to slowly amplify as weak troughing with broad cyclonic flow will persist over the eastern 2/3rds of the CONUS. At the same time, ridging will intensify over the West. This will favor increasingly strong (80-100 kts) northwesterly flow over the central US. As a result, strong high pressure at the surface is expected over the northern Plains and Southeast. With cold temperatures and dry/stable offshore flow, little to no buoyancy is expected inland, aside from extreme southern/coastal TX. This will suppress thunderstorm potential below 10% coverage. ..Lyons.. 01/02/2025 Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1011 AM CST Thu Jan 02 2025 Valid 021700Z - 031200Z The previous forecast remains on track, with no changes or additions made. ..Squitieri.. 01/02/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0128 AM CST Thu Jan 02 2025/ ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions should be ongoing across terrain-favored areas of southern California. The favorable offshore wind surface-pressure gradient should hold on a little longer today than previously expected, resulting in elevated fire weather conditions lasting into and perhaps through the day -- especially in terrain-favored areas. Here, winds may gust to near 30 mph and relative humidity may fall into the upper single digits. Late in the forecast period, winds may begin to turn more toward the southwest as a mid-level trough approaches the California coast. As the winds switch to the southwest, an inland surge of higher humidity should bring to an end this offshore wind event. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more