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SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0104 PM CST Sun Nov 03 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms will be possible Tuesday into Tuesday night from the Gulf Coast states into the lower to mid Mississippi Valley. A few storms could also occur across parts of the Great Lakes region. No severe thunderstorms are expected. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will de-amplify and move quickly northeastward into the upper Mississippi Valley on Tuesday, as a cold front advances eastward into the Sabine River and mid Mississippi Valleys. Ahead of the front, a moist airmass will be in place, but the airmass will likely remain stable along most of the front throughout the day. The only exception could be in far southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana where weak instability is expected. In that area, large-scale ascent and deep-layer shear will likely be insufficient for severe convection. ..Broyles.. 11/03/2024 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0104 PM CST Sun Nov 03 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms will be possible Tuesday into Tuesday night from the Gulf Coast states into the lower to mid Mississippi Valley. A few storms could also occur across parts of the Great Lakes region. No severe thunderstorms are expected. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will de-amplify and move quickly northeastward into the upper Mississippi Valley on Tuesday, as a cold front advances eastward into the Sabine River and mid Mississippi Valleys. Ahead of the front, a moist airmass will be in place, but the airmass will likely remain stable along most of the front throughout the day. The only exception could be in far southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana where weak instability is expected. In that area, large-scale ascent and deep-layer shear will likely be insufficient for severe convection. ..Broyles.. 11/03/2024 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0104 PM CST Sun Nov 03 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms will be possible Tuesday into Tuesday night from the Gulf Coast states into the lower to mid Mississippi Valley. A few storms could also occur across parts of the Great Lakes region. No severe thunderstorms are expected. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will de-amplify and move quickly northeastward into the upper Mississippi Valley on Tuesday, as a cold front advances eastward into the Sabine River and mid Mississippi Valleys. Ahead of the front, a moist airmass will be in place, but the airmass will likely remain stable along most of the front throughout the day. The only exception could be in far southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana where weak instability is expected. In that area, large-scale ascent and deep-layer shear will likely be insufficient for severe convection. ..Broyles.. 11/03/2024 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0104 PM CST Sun Nov 03 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms will be possible Tuesday into Tuesday night from the Gulf Coast states into the lower to mid Mississippi Valley. A few storms could also occur across parts of the Great Lakes region. No severe thunderstorms are expected. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will de-amplify and move quickly northeastward into the upper Mississippi Valley on Tuesday, as a cold front advances eastward into the Sabine River and mid Mississippi Valleys. Ahead of the front, a moist airmass will be in place, but the airmass will likely remain stable along most of the front throughout the day. The only exception could be in far southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana where weak instability is expected. In that area, large-scale ascent and deep-layer shear will likely be insufficient for severe convection. ..Broyles.. 11/03/2024 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0104 PM CST Sun Nov 03 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms will be possible Tuesday into Tuesday night from the Gulf Coast states into the lower to mid Mississippi Valley. A few storms could also occur across parts of the Great Lakes region. No severe thunderstorms are expected. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will de-amplify and move quickly northeastward into the upper Mississippi Valley on Tuesday, as a cold front advances eastward into the Sabine River and mid Mississippi Valleys. Ahead of the front, a moist airmass will be in place, but the airmass will likely remain stable along most of the front throughout the day. The only exception could be in far southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana where weak instability is expected. In that area, large-scale ascent and deep-layer shear will likely be insufficient for severe convection. ..Broyles.. 11/03/2024 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0104 PM CST Sun Nov 03 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms will be possible Tuesday into Tuesday night from the Gulf Coast states into the lower to mid Mississippi Valley. A few storms could also occur across parts of the Great Lakes region. No severe thunderstorms are expected. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will de-amplify and move quickly northeastward into the upper Mississippi Valley on Tuesday, as a cold front advances eastward into the Sabine River and mid Mississippi Valleys. Ahead of the front, a moist airmass will be in place, but the airmass will likely remain stable along most of the front throughout the day. The only exception could be in far southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana where weak instability is expected. In that area, large-scale ascent and deep-layer shear will likely be insufficient for severe convection. ..Broyles.. 11/03/2024 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0104 PM CST Sun Nov 03 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms will be possible Tuesday into Tuesday night from the Gulf Coast states into the lower to mid Mississippi Valley. A few storms could also occur across parts of the Great Lakes region. No severe thunderstorms are expected. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will de-amplify and move quickly northeastward into the upper Mississippi Valley on Tuesday, as a cold front advances eastward into the Sabine River and mid Mississippi Valleys. Ahead of the front, a moist airmass will be in place, but the airmass will likely remain stable along most of the front throughout the day. The only exception could be in far southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana where weak instability is expected. In that area, large-scale ascent and deep-layer shear will likely be insufficient for severe convection. ..Broyles.. 11/03/2024 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0104 PM CST Sun Nov 03 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms will be possible Tuesday into Tuesday night from the Gulf Coast states into the lower to mid Mississippi Valley. A few storms could also occur across parts of the Great Lakes region. No severe thunderstorms are expected. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will de-amplify and move quickly northeastward into the upper Mississippi Valley on Tuesday, as a cold front advances eastward into the Sabine River and mid Mississippi Valleys. Ahead of the front, a moist airmass will be in place, but the airmass will likely remain stable along most of the front throughout the day. The only exception could be in far southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana where weak instability is expected. In that area, large-scale ascent and deep-layer shear will likely be insufficient for severe convection. ..Broyles.. 11/03/2024 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0104 PM CST Sun Nov 03 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms will be possible Tuesday into Tuesday night from the Gulf Coast states into the lower to mid Mississippi Valley. A few storms could also occur across parts of the Great Lakes region. No severe thunderstorms are expected. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will de-amplify and move quickly northeastward into the upper Mississippi Valley on Tuesday, as a cold front advances eastward into the Sabine River and mid Mississippi Valleys. Ahead of the front, a moist airmass will be in place, but the airmass will likely remain stable along most of the front throughout the day. The only exception could be in far southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana where weak instability is expected. In that area, large-scale ascent and deep-layer shear will likely be insufficient for severe convection. ..Broyles.. 11/03/2024 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0104 PM CST Sun Nov 03 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms will be possible Tuesday into Tuesday night from the Gulf Coast states into the lower to mid Mississippi Valley. A few storms could also occur across parts of the Great Lakes region. No severe thunderstorms are expected. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will de-amplify and move quickly northeastward into the upper Mississippi Valley on Tuesday, as a cold front advances eastward into the Sabine River and mid Mississippi Valleys. Ahead of the front, a moist airmass will be in place, but the airmass will likely remain stable along most of the front throughout the day. The only exception could be in far southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana where weak instability is expected. In that area, large-scale ascent and deep-layer shear will likely be insufficient for severe convection. ..Broyles.. 11/03/2024 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0104 PM CST Sun Nov 03 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms will be possible Tuesday into Tuesday night from the Gulf Coast states into the lower to mid Mississippi Valley. A few storms could also occur across parts of the Great Lakes region. No severe thunderstorms are expected. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will de-amplify and move quickly northeastward into the upper Mississippi Valley on Tuesday, as a cold front advances eastward into the Sabine River and mid Mississippi Valleys. Ahead of the front, a moist airmass will be in place, but the airmass will likely remain stable along most of the front throughout the day. The only exception could be in far southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana where weak instability is expected. In that area, large-scale ascent and deep-layer shear will likely be insufficient for severe convection. ..Broyles.. 11/03/2024 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0104 PM CST Sun Nov 03 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms will be possible Tuesday into Tuesday night from the Gulf Coast states into the lower to mid Mississippi Valley. A few storms could also occur across parts of the Great Lakes region. No severe thunderstorms are expected. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will de-amplify and move quickly northeastward into the upper Mississippi Valley on Tuesday, as a cold front advances eastward into the Sabine River and mid Mississippi Valleys. Ahead of the front, a moist airmass will be in place, but the airmass will likely remain stable along most of the front throughout the day. The only exception could be in far southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana where weak instability is expected. In that area, large-scale ascent and deep-layer shear will likely be insufficient for severe convection. ..Broyles.. 11/03/2024 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0104 PM CST Sun Nov 03 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms will be possible Tuesday into Tuesday night from the Gulf Coast states into the lower to mid Mississippi Valley. A few storms could also occur across parts of the Great Lakes region. No severe thunderstorms are expected. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will de-amplify and move quickly northeastward into the upper Mississippi Valley on Tuesday, as a cold front advances eastward into the Sabine River and mid Mississippi Valleys. Ahead of the front, a moist airmass will be in place, but the airmass will likely remain stable along most of the front throughout the day. The only exception could be in far southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana where weak instability is expected. In that area, large-scale ascent and deep-layer shear will likely be insufficient for severe convection. ..Broyles.. 11/03/2024 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0104 PM CST Sun Nov 03 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms will be possible Tuesday into Tuesday night from the Gulf Coast states into the lower to mid Mississippi Valley. A few storms could also occur across parts of the Great Lakes region. No severe thunderstorms are expected. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will de-amplify and move quickly northeastward into the upper Mississippi Valley on Tuesday, as a cold front advances eastward into the Sabine River and mid Mississippi Valleys. Ahead of the front, a moist airmass will be in place, but the airmass will likely remain stable along most of the front throughout the day. The only exception could be in far southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana where weak instability is expected. In that area, large-scale ascent and deep-layer shear will likely be insufficient for severe convection. ..Broyles.. 11/03/2024 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0104 PM CST Sun Nov 03 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms will be possible Tuesday into Tuesday night from the Gulf Coast states into the lower to mid Mississippi Valley. A few storms could also occur across parts of the Great Lakes region. No severe thunderstorms are expected. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will de-amplify and move quickly northeastward into the upper Mississippi Valley on Tuesday, as a cold front advances eastward into the Sabine River and mid Mississippi Valleys. Ahead of the front, a moist airmass will be in place, but the airmass will likely remain stable along most of the front throughout the day. The only exception could be in far southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana where weak instability is expected. In that area, large-scale ascent and deep-layer shear will likely be insufficient for severe convection. ..Broyles.. 11/03/2024 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0104 PM CST Sun Nov 03 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms will be possible Tuesday into Tuesday night from the Gulf Coast states into the lower to mid Mississippi Valley. A few storms could also occur across parts of the Great Lakes region. No severe thunderstorms are expected. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level trough will de-amplify and move quickly northeastward into the upper Mississippi Valley on Tuesday, as a cold front advances eastward into the Sabine River and mid Mississippi Valleys. Ahead of the front, a moist airmass will be in place, but the airmass will likely remain stable along most of the front throughout the day. The only exception could be in far southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana where weak instability is expected. In that area, large-scale ascent and deep-layer shear will likely be insufficient for severe convection. ..Broyles.. 11/03/2024 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1217 PM CST Sun Nov 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 11/03/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0151 AM CDT Sun Nov 03 2024/ ...Synopsis... An amplified mid/upper-level ridge over the West Coast will favor strong surface ridging over the Great Basin, before deamplifying into the overnight hours. As a result, a continued tight offshore pressure gradient will yield strong/gusty northeasterly surface winds and low RH across portions of southern California during the morning and early afternoon hours. Gusts upwards of 60 mph (locally higher) will briefly overlap around 20 percent RH over the typical wind-prone mountains and valleys -- with elevated to locally/briefly critical fire-weather conditions expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1217 PM CST Sun Nov 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 11/03/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0151 AM CDT Sun Nov 03 2024/ ...Synopsis... An amplified mid/upper-level ridge over the West Coast will favor strong surface ridging over the Great Basin, before deamplifying into the overnight hours. As a result, a continued tight offshore pressure gradient will yield strong/gusty northeasterly surface winds and low RH across portions of southern California during the morning and early afternoon hours. Gusts upwards of 60 mph (locally higher) will briefly overlap around 20 percent RH over the typical wind-prone mountains and valleys -- with elevated to locally/briefly critical fire-weather conditions expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1217 PM CST Sun Nov 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 11/03/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0151 AM CDT Sun Nov 03 2024/ ...Synopsis... An amplified mid/upper-level ridge over the West Coast will favor strong surface ridging over the Great Basin, before deamplifying into the overnight hours. As a result, a continued tight offshore pressure gradient will yield strong/gusty northeasterly surface winds and low RH across portions of southern California during the morning and early afternoon hours. Gusts upwards of 60 mph (locally higher) will briefly overlap around 20 percent RH over the typical wind-prone mountains and valleys -- with elevated to locally/briefly critical fire-weather conditions expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1217 PM CST Sun Nov 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 11/03/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0151 AM CDT Sun Nov 03 2024/ ...Synopsis... An amplified mid/upper-level ridge over the West Coast will favor strong surface ridging over the Great Basin, before deamplifying into the overnight hours. As a result, a continued tight offshore pressure gradient will yield strong/gusty northeasterly surface winds and low RH across portions of southern California during the morning and early afternoon hours. Gusts upwards of 60 mph (locally higher) will briefly overlap around 20 percent RH over the typical wind-prone mountains and valleys -- with elevated to locally/briefly critical fire-weather conditions expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more