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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1001 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025 Valid 231700Z - 241200Z An Elevated risk area has been introduced for portions of far West Texas and central to southern New Mexico. Morning surface observations show very dry conditions in place (dewpoints in the single digits to low teens) with a very dry residual mixed layer above a shallow nocturnal inversion sampled in the 12z EPZ sounding. Winds increasing to around 15 mph should coincide with RH minimums in the low to mid teens per recent ensemble guidance, which has trended towards higher probabilities of sustained elevated fire weather conditions over a region with slowly increasing ERCs (which currently sit at around the 80-90th percentile). Forecast concerns regarding portions of WY and NE remain on track as outlined in the previous discussion below. ..Moore.. 02/23/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025/ ...Synopsis... Warm and dry downslope winds are forecast in the lee of the Sacramento and Sandia Manzano mountains of eastern New Mexico, with winds up to 20 MPH and relative humidity values dropping below 15%. Across portions of eastern Wyoming into the Nebraska Panhandle, winds could reach as high as 25-30 MPH with relative humidity below 20%. However, current ERC fuels guidance across both regions suggests there is little support for wildfire ignition and spread, especially with some recent wetting rainfall across portions of Wyoming and Nebraska in the last 5 days. Given the lack of supportive fuels, no fire-weather highlights will be introduced at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1001 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025 Valid 231700Z - 241200Z An Elevated risk area has been introduced for portions of far West Texas and central to southern New Mexico. Morning surface observations show very dry conditions in place (dewpoints in the single digits to low teens) with a very dry residual mixed layer above a shallow nocturnal inversion sampled in the 12z EPZ sounding. Winds increasing to around 15 mph should coincide with RH minimums in the low to mid teens per recent ensemble guidance, which has trended towards higher probabilities of sustained elevated fire weather conditions over a region with slowly increasing ERCs (which currently sit at around the 80-90th percentile). Forecast concerns regarding portions of WY and NE remain on track as outlined in the previous discussion below. ..Moore.. 02/23/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025/ ...Synopsis... Warm and dry downslope winds are forecast in the lee of the Sacramento and Sandia Manzano mountains of eastern New Mexico, with winds up to 20 MPH and relative humidity values dropping below 15%. Across portions of eastern Wyoming into the Nebraska Panhandle, winds could reach as high as 25-30 MPH with relative humidity below 20%. However, current ERC fuels guidance across both regions suggests there is little support for wildfire ignition and spread, especially with some recent wetting rainfall across portions of Wyoming and Nebraska in the last 5 days. Given the lack of supportive fuels, no fire-weather highlights will be introduced at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1001 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025 Valid 231700Z - 241200Z An Elevated risk area has been introduced for portions of far West Texas and central to southern New Mexico. Morning surface observations show very dry conditions in place (dewpoints in the single digits to low teens) with a very dry residual mixed layer above a shallow nocturnal inversion sampled in the 12z EPZ sounding. Winds increasing to around 15 mph should coincide with RH minimums in the low to mid teens per recent ensemble guidance, which has trended towards higher probabilities of sustained elevated fire weather conditions over a region with slowly increasing ERCs (which currently sit at around the 80-90th percentile). Forecast concerns regarding portions of WY and NE remain on track as outlined in the previous discussion below. ..Moore.. 02/23/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025/ ...Synopsis... Warm and dry downslope winds are forecast in the lee of the Sacramento and Sandia Manzano mountains of eastern New Mexico, with winds up to 20 MPH and relative humidity values dropping below 15%. Across portions of eastern Wyoming into the Nebraska Panhandle, winds could reach as high as 25-30 MPH with relative humidity below 20%. However, current ERC fuels guidance across both regions suggests there is little support for wildfire ignition and spread, especially with some recent wetting rainfall across portions of Wyoming and Nebraska in the last 5 days. Given the lack of supportive fuels, no fire-weather highlights will be introduced at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1001 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025 Valid 231700Z - 241200Z An Elevated risk area has been introduced for portions of far West Texas and central to southern New Mexico. Morning surface observations show very dry conditions in place (dewpoints in the single digits to low teens) with a very dry residual mixed layer above a shallow nocturnal inversion sampled in the 12z EPZ sounding. Winds increasing to around 15 mph should coincide with RH minimums in the low to mid teens per recent ensemble guidance, which has trended towards higher probabilities of sustained elevated fire weather conditions over a region with slowly increasing ERCs (which currently sit at around the 80-90th percentile). Forecast concerns regarding portions of WY and NE remain on track as outlined in the previous discussion below. ..Moore.. 02/23/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025/ ...Synopsis... Warm and dry downslope winds are forecast in the lee of the Sacramento and Sandia Manzano mountains of eastern New Mexico, with winds up to 20 MPH and relative humidity values dropping below 15%. Across portions of eastern Wyoming into the Nebraska Panhandle, winds could reach as high as 25-30 MPH with relative humidity below 20%. However, current ERC fuels guidance across both regions suggests there is little support for wildfire ignition and spread, especially with some recent wetting rainfall across portions of Wyoming and Nebraska in the last 5 days. Given the lack of supportive fuels, no fire-weather highlights will be introduced at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1001 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025 Valid 231700Z - 241200Z An Elevated risk area has been introduced for portions of far West Texas and central to southern New Mexico. Morning surface observations show very dry conditions in place (dewpoints in the single digits to low teens) with a very dry residual mixed layer above a shallow nocturnal inversion sampled in the 12z EPZ sounding. Winds increasing to around 15 mph should coincide with RH minimums in the low to mid teens per recent ensemble guidance, which has trended towards higher probabilities of sustained elevated fire weather conditions over a region with slowly increasing ERCs (which currently sit at around the 80-90th percentile). Forecast concerns regarding portions of WY and NE remain on track as outlined in the previous discussion below. ..Moore.. 02/23/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025/ ...Synopsis... Warm and dry downslope winds are forecast in the lee of the Sacramento and Sandia Manzano mountains of eastern New Mexico, with winds up to 20 MPH and relative humidity values dropping below 15%. Across portions of eastern Wyoming into the Nebraska Panhandle, winds could reach as high as 25-30 MPH with relative humidity below 20%. However, current ERC fuels guidance across both regions suggests there is little support for wildfire ignition and spread, especially with some recent wetting rainfall across portions of Wyoming and Nebraska in the last 5 days. Given the lack of supportive fuels, no fire-weather highlights will be introduced at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1001 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025 Valid 231700Z - 241200Z An Elevated risk area has been introduced for portions of far West Texas and central to southern New Mexico. Morning surface observations show very dry conditions in place (dewpoints in the single digits to low teens) with a very dry residual mixed layer above a shallow nocturnal inversion sampled in the 12z EPZ sounding. Winds increasing to around 15 mph should coincide with RH minimums in the low to mid teens per recent ensemble guidance, which has trended towards higher probabilities of sustained elevated fire weather conditions over a region with slowly increasing ERCs (which currently sit at around the 80-90th percentile). Forecast concerns regarding portions of WY and NE remain on track as outlined in the previous discussion below. ..Moore.. 02/23/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025/ ...Synopsis... Warm and dry downslope winds are forecast in the lee of the Sacramento and Sandia Manzano mountains of eastern New Mexico, with winds up to 20 MPH and relative humidity values dropping below 15%. Across portions of eastern Wyoming into the Nebraska Panhandle, winds could reach as high as 25-30 MPH with relative humidity below 20%. However, current ERC fuels guidance across both regions suggests there is little support for wildfire ignition and spread, especially with some recent wetting rainfall across portions of Wyoming and Nebraska in the last 5 days. Given the lack of supportive fuels, no fire-weather highlights will be introduced at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0638 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025 Valid 231300Z - 241200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are forecast across portions of Louisiana and immediate surrounding areas today. Additional isolated thunderstorms may occur in portions of Oregon/Washington. No severe weather is expected. ...Synopsis and Discussion... Satellite imagery shows a well-defined shortwave trough moving through the southern stream across TX. This shortwave is forecast to continue eastward throughout the day, progressing through the Lower MS Valley and ending the period over AL. Another shortwave trough will follow in the wake of the first wave. This second shortwave, which is currently over the central Rockies, is expected to continue quickly southeastward, reaching central TX by early tomorrow morning. Recent surface analysis places a low just off the Upper TX/southwest LA coast, with a cold front extending southwestward from this low through the northwest Gulf. This low is expected to move eastward ahead of its parent shortwave trough, remaining just offshore while gradually deepening. With this low expected to remain offshore, little if any airmass modification in anticipated onshore with offshore flow maintaining cool and stable surface conditions. Even so, moderate low-level warm-air advection (supported by 850 mb winds from 20 to 30 kt), will persist, supporting a broad area of mostly showers from the Lower MS Valley across the central Gulf Coast. Buoyancy will be limited by moist profiles and poor lapse rates, but cool mid-level temperatures should still support enough buoyancy for isolated to scattered thunderstorms throughout the day. Highest thunderstorm coverage is expected over LA Coast. Isolated thunderstorms are also possible across portions of OR and WA amid the strong westerly/southwesterly upper flow and cooling mid-level temperatures anticipated throughout the period. Greatest thunderstorm chances are expected after 00Z across WA, as a shortwave trough and associated large-scale forcing for ascent move through the region. ..Mosier/Grams.. 02/23/2025 Read more

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0638 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025 Valid 231300Z - 241200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are forecast across portions of Louisiana and immediate surrounding areas today. Additional isolated thunderstorms may occur in portions of Oregon/Washington. No severe weather is expected. ...Synopsis and Discussion... Satellite imagery shows a well-defined shortwave trough moving through the southern stream across TX. This shortwave is forecast to continue eastward throughout the day, progressing through the Lower MS Valley and ending the period over AL. Another shortwave trough will follow in the wake of the first wave. This second shortwave, which is currently over the central Rockies, is expected to continue quickly southeastward, reaching central TX by early tomorrow morning. Recent surface analysis places a low just off the Upper TX/southwest LA coast, with a cold front extending southwestward from this low through the northwest Gulf. This low is expected to move eastward ahead of its parent shortwave trough, remaining just offshore while gradually deepening. With this low expected to remain offshore, little if any airmass modification in anticipated onshore with offshore flow maintaining cool and stable surface conditions. Even so, moderate low-level warm-air advection (supported by 850 mb winds from 20 to 30 kt), will persist, supporting a broad area of mostly showers from the Lower MS Valley across the central Gulf Coast. Buoyancy will be limited by moist profiles and poor lapse rates, but cool mid-level temperatures should still support enough buoyancy for isolated to scattered thunderstorms throughout the day. Highest thunderstorm coverage is expected over LA Coast. Isolated thunderstorms are also possible across portions of OR and WA amid the strong westerly/southwesterly upper flow and cooling mid-level temperatures anticipated throughout the period. Greatest thunderstorm chances are expected after 00Z across WA, as a shortwave trough and associated large-scale forcing for ascent move through the region. ..Mosier/Grams.. 02/23/2025 Read more

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0638 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025 Valid 231300Z - 241200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are forecast across portions of Louisiana and immediate surrounding areas today. Additional isolated thunderstorms may occur in portions of Oregon/Washington. No severe weather is expected. ...Synopsis and Discussion... Satellite imagery shows a well-defined shortwave trough moving through the southern stream across TX. This shortwave is forecast to continue eastward throughout the day, progressing through the Lower MS Valley and ending the period over AL. Another shortwave trough will follow in the wake of the first wave. This second shortwave, which is currently over the central Rockies, is expected to continue quickly southeastward, reaching central TX by early tomorrow morning. Recent surface analysis places a low just off the Upper TX/southwest LA coast, with a cold front extending southwestward from this low through the northwest Gulf. This low is expected to move eastward ahead of its parent shortwave trough, remaining just offshore while gradually deepening. With this low expected to remain offshore, little if any airmass modification in anticipated onshore with offshore flow maintaining cool and stable surface conditions. Even so, moderate low-level warm-air advection (supported by 850 mb winds from 20 to 30 kt), will persist, supporting a broad area of mostly showers from the Lower MS Valley across the central Gulf Coast. Buoyancy will be limited by moist profiles and poor lapse rates, but cool mid-level temperatures should still support enough buoyancy for isolated to scattered thunderstorms throughout the day. Highest thunderstorm coverage is expected over LA Coast. Isolated thunderstorms are also possible across portions of OR and WA amid the strong westerly/southwesterly upper flow and cooling mid-level temperatures anticipated throughout the period. Greatest thunderstorm chances are expected after 00Z across WA, as a shortwave trough and associated large-scale forcing for ascent move through the region. ..Mosier/Grams.. 02/23/2025 Read more

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0638 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025 Valid 231300Z - 241200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are forecast across portions of Louisiana and immediate surrounding areas today. Additional isolated thunderstorms may occur in portions of Oregon/Washington. No severe weather is expected. ...Synopsis and Discussion... Satellite imagery shows a well-defined shortwave trough moving through the southern stream across TX. This shortwave is forecast to continue eastward throughout the day, progressing through the Lower MS Valley and ending the period over AL. Another shortwave trough will follow in the wake of the first wave. This second shortwave, which is currently over the central Rockies, is expected to continue quickly southeastward, reaching central TX by early tomorrow morning. Recent surface analysis places a low just off the Upper TX/southwest LA coast, with a cold front extending southwestward from this low through the northwest Gulf. This low is expected to move eastward ahead of its parent shortwave trough, remaining just offshore while gradually deepening. With this low expected to remain offshore, little if any airmass modification in anticipated onshore with offshore flow maintaining cool and stable surface conditions. Even so, moderate low-level warm-air advection (supported by 850 mb winds from 20 to 30 kt), will persist, supporting a broad area of mostly showers from the Lower MS Valley across the central Gulf Coast. Buoyancy will be limited by moist profiles and poor lapse rates, but cool mid-level temperatures should still support enough buoyancy for isolated to scattered thunderstorms throughout the day. Highest thunderstorm coverage is expected over LA Coast. Isolated thunderstorms are also possible across portions of OR and WA amid the strong westerly/southwesterly upper flow and cooling mid-level temperatures anticipated throughout the period. Greatest thunderstorm chances are expected after 00Z across WA, as a shortwave trough and associated large-scale forcing for ascent move through the region. ..Mosier/Grams.. 02/23/2025 Read more

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0638 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025 Valid 231300Z - 241200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are forecast across portions of Louisiana and immediate surrounding areas today. Additional isolated thunderstorms may occur in portions of Oregon/Washington. No severe weather is expected. ...Synopsis and Discussion... Satellite imagery shows a well-defined shortwave trough moving through the southern stream across TX. This shortwave is forecast to continue eastward throughout the day, progressing through the Lower MS Valley and ending the period over AL. Another shortwave trough will follow in the wake of the first wave. This second shortwave, which is currently over the central Rockies, is expected to continue quickly southeastward, reaching central TX by early tomorrow morning. Recent surface analysis places a low just off the Upper TX/southwest LA coast, with a cold front extending southwestward from this low through the northwest Gulf. This low is expected to move eastward ahead of its parent shortwave trough, remaining just offshore while gradually deepening. With this low expected to remain offshore, little if any airmass modification in anticipated onshore with offshore flow maintaining cool and stable surface conditions. Even so, moderate low-level warm-air advection (supported by 850 mb winds from 20 to 30 kt), will persist, supporting a broad area of mostly showers from the Lower MS Valley across the central Gulf Coast. Buoyancy will be limited by moist profiles and poor lapse rates, but cool mid-level temperatures should still support enough buoyancy for isolated to scattered thunderstorms throughout the day. Highest thunderstorm coverage is expected over LA Coast. Isolated thunderstorms are also possible across portions of OR and WA amid the strong westerly/southwesterly upper flow and cooling mid-level temperatures anticipated throughout the period. Greatest thunderstorm chances are expected after 00Z across WA, as a shortwave trough and associated large-scale forcing for ascent move through the region. ..Mosier/Grams.. 02/23/2025 Read more

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0638 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025 Valid 231300Z - 241200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are forecast across portions of Louisiana and immediate surrounding areas today. Additional isolated thunderstorms may occur in portions of Oregon/Washington. No severe weather is expected. ...Synopsis and Discussion... Satellite imagery shows a well-defined shortwave trough moving through the southern stream across TX. This shortwave is forecast to continue eastward throughout the day, progressing through the Lower MS Valley and ending the period over AL. Another shortwave trough will follow in the wake of the first wave. This second shortwave, which is currently over the central Rockies, is expected to continue quickly southeastward, reaching central TX by early tomorrow morning. Recent surface analysis places a low just off the Upper TX/southwest LA coast, with a cold front extending southwestward from this low through the northwest Gulf. This low is expected to move eastward ahead of its parent shortwave trough, remaining just offshore while gradually deepening. With this low expected to remain offshore, little if any airmass modification in anticipated onshore with offshore flow maintaining cool and stable surface conditions. Even so, moderate low-level warm-air advection (supported by 850 mb winds from 20 to 30 kt), will persist, supporting a broad area of mostly showers from the Lower MS Valley across the central Gulf Coast. Buoyancy will be limited by moist profiles and poor lapse rates, but cool mid-level temperatures should still support enough buoyancy for isolated to scattered thunderstorms throughout the day. Highest thunderstorm coverage is expected over LA Coast. Isolated thunderstorms are also possible across portions of OR and WA amid the strong westerly/southwesterly upper flow and cooling mid-level temperatures anticipated throughout the period. Greatest thunderstorm chances are expected after 00Z across WA, as a shortwave trough and associated large-scale forcing for ascent move through the region. ..Mosier/Grams.. 02/23/2025 Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0333 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025 Valid 261200Z - 031200Z ...DISCUSSION... Moisture will start to advance inland across Texas on Wednesday/D4, but will be shunted into the Gulf on Thursday as a cold front advances south. This will result in minimal thunderstorm activity for much of the extended forecast period. By Sunday/D8 and beyond, most extended range forecast guidance suggests significant moisture recovery across the Gulf and some inland moisture intrusion across the Southern Plains and Southeast which will likely increase thunderstorm and severe weather potential. However, until that time, thunderstorm and severe weather potential remains low due to the lack of sufficient instability. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0333 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025 Valid 261200Z - 031200Z ...DISCUSSION... Moisture will start to advance inland across Texas on Wednesday/D4, but will be shunted into the Gulf on Thursday as a cold front advances south. This will result in minimal thunderstorm activity for much of the extended forecast period. By Sunday/D8 and beyond, most extended range forecast guidance suggests significant moisture recovery across the Gulf and some inland moisture intrusion across the Southern Plains and Southeast which will likely increase thunderstorm and severe weather potential. However, until that time, thunderstorm and severe weather potential remains low due to the lack of sufficient instability. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0333 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025 Valid 261200Z - 031200Z ...DISCUSSION... Moisture will start to advance inland across Texas on Wednesday/D4, but will be shunted into the Gulf on Thursday as a cold front advances south. This will result in minimal thunderstorm activity for much of the extended forecast period. By Sunday/D8 and beyond, most extended range forecast guidance suggests significant moisture recovery across the Gulf and some inland moisture intrusion across the Southern Plains and Southeast which will likely increase thunderstorm and severe weather potential. However, until that time, thunderstorm and severe weather potential remains low due to the lack of sufficient instability. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0333 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025 Valid 261200Z - 031200Z ...DISCUSSION... Moisture will start to advance inland across Texas on Wednesday/D4, but will be shunted into the Gulf on Thursday as a cold front advances south. This will result in minimal thunderstorm activity for much of the extended forecast period. By Sunday/D8 and beyond, most extended range forecast guidance suggests significant moisture recovery across the Gulf and some inland moisture intrusion across the Southern Plains and Southeast which will likely increase thunderstorm and severe weather potential. However, until that time, thunderstorm and severe weather potential remains low due to the lack of sufficient instability. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0333 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025 Valid 261200Z - 031200Z ...DISCUSSION... Moisture will start to advance inland across Texas on Wednesday/D4, but will be shunted into the Gulf on Thursday as a cold front advances south. This will result in minimal thunderstorm activity for much of the extended forecast period. By Sunday/D8 and beyond, most extended range forecast guidance suggests significant moisture recovery across the Gulf and some inland moisture intrusion across the Southern Plains and Southeast which will likely increase thunderstorm and severe weather potential. However, until that time, thunderstorm and severe weather potential remains low due to the lack of sufficient instability. Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0149 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the CONUS on Tuesday. ...Discussion... Mostly zonal flow aloft will be present across the CONUS on Tuesday with a dry airmass in place as a surface low moves off the east coast of Florida amid northerly flow across much of the Southeast into the central and eastern Gulf. Later in the period, some southerly flow will resume across the western Gulf, but moisture will remain very shallow with no instability present. Given this dry environment across much of the CONUS, no thunderstorms are anticipated on Tuesday. ..Bentley.. 02/23/2025 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0149 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the CONUS on Tuesday. ...Discussion... Mostly zonal flow aloft will be present across the CONUS on Tuesday with a dry airmass in place as a surface low moves off the east coast of Florida amid northerly flow across much of the Southeast into the central and eastern Gulf. Later in the period, some southerly flow will resume across the western Gulf, but moisture will remain very shallow with no instability present. Given this dry environment across much of the CONUS, no thunderstorms are anticipated on Tuesday. ..Bentley.. 02/23/2025 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0149 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the CONUS on Tuesday. ...Discussion... Mostly zonal flow aloft will be present across the CONUS on Tuesday with a dry airmass in place as a surface low moves off the east coast of Florida amid northerly flow across much of the Southeast into the central and eastern Gulf. Later in the period, some southerly flow will resume across the western Gulf, but moisture will remain very shallow with no instability present. Given this dry environment across much of the CONUS, no thunderstorms are anticipated on Tuesday. ..Bentley.. 02/23/2025 Read more