National Hurricane Center (NHC) Atlantic Map

000
ABNT20 KNHC 251749
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Aug 25 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Near the Windward Islands:
A trough of low pressure located near the Windward Islands is
producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. This
system is expected to move westward at about 15 mph during the
next several days, and environmental conditions could become more
conducive for slow development when it moves across the central and
western Caribbean Sea early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located between the west coast of Africa and the
Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of disorganized showers
and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions could support some slow
development of this system through early next week while it moves
westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic at 15 to
20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hogsett/Berg

000
ABNT20 KNHC 241753
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Aug 24 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

East of The Windward Islands:
Shower and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized associated
with a tropical wave located a few hundred miles east-southeast of
the Windward Islands. Environmental conditions could become more
conducive for slow development of this system in several days after
it crosses the Windward Islands and moves across the eastern and
central Caribbean Sea late this week into early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa in
the next day or so. Environmental conditions could support some
slow development of this system late this week or over the weekend
while it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hogsett/Berg

233
ABNT20 KNHC 231734
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Aug 23 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Central Tropical Atlantic:
Shower activity remains minimal in association with a tropical
wave located several hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands.
Further development of this system is not expected during the next
several days while the system moves westward to west-northwestward
at 10 to 15 mph across the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

East of The Windward Islands:
A large area of disturbed weather has formed centered several
hundred miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands. While this
system is currently disorganized, environmental conditions could
become more conducive for development in a few days when the system
approaches the Windward Islands or southeastern Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa in
a couple of days. Environmental conditions could support some slow
development of this system late this week or over the weekend
while it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake/Hogsett

000
ABNT20 KNHC 221740
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Aug 22 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
Showers and thunderstorms have become a little more concentrated
today in association with a tropical wave located a few hundred
miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions could
support some slow development of this system while it moves westward
to west-northwestward at around 10 to 15 mph across the tropical
Atlantic during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Latto

000
ABNT20 KNHC 221740
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Aug 22 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
Showers and thunderstorms have become a little more concentrated
today in association with a tropical wave located a few hundred
miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions could
support some slow development of this system while it moves westward
to west-northwestward at around 10 to 15 mph across the tropical
Atlantic during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Latto

000
ABNT20 KNHC 211708
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Aug 21 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located just west of the Cabo Verde Islands is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions could support some slow development of this system while
it moves westward to west-northwestward at around 15 mph across the
eastern and central tropical Atlantic for the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Latto

000
ABNT20 KNHC 201739
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Aug 20 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
Tropical Cyclone Four, located over the western Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located near the west coast of Africa is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
are expected to be marginally conducive for gradual development of
this system while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 15
to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic during
the early to middle part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

&&

Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Four are issued
under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4.
Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Four are issued
under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.

$$
Forecaster Latto

Issued at 100 PM CDT Sat Aug 20 2022 000 WTNT34 KNHC 201737 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Potential Tropical Cyclone Four Intermediate Advisory Number 4A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042022 100 PM CDT Sat Aug 20 2022 ...DISTURBANCE NEARING THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED TO BE THE PRIMARY THREAT... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.1N 96.9W ABOUT 125 MI...205 KM SSE OF MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * The Gulf coast of Mexico from Boca de Catan northward to the Mouth of the Rio Grande * The Lower Texas coast from Port Mansfield southward to the Mouth of the Rio Grande A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12 to 24 hours. For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude 24.1 North, longitude 96.9 West. The system is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue, bringing the system across northeastern Mexico and southern Texas this evening through early Sunday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The disturbance could still strengthen slightly and become a short-lived tropical storm before reaching the coast of northeastern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Potential Tropical Cyclone Four can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to occur in the warning area beginning this evening. RAINFALL: The disturbance is expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches, with isolated totals of 5 inches, along the eastern coast of Mexico from the northern portions of the state of Veracruz across the state of Tamaulipas to Nuevo Leon through today. Rainfall of 1 to 3 inches will be possible in South Texas through Sunday morning, with continuing uncertainty in how far north and west these amounts will be realized. The potential exists for flash flooding elsewhere along the track of the disturbance. STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Mouth of Rio Grande to Port Mansfield TX... up to 1 ft Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. Storm surge could raise water levels by as much as 1 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate coast of northeastern Mexico near and to the north of where the center makes landfall. SURF: Swells generated by this system are forecast to affect eastern Mexico and southern Texas through early Sunday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi/Latto

...DISTURBANCE NEARING THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED TO BE THE PRIMARY THREAT... As of 1:00 PM CDT Sat Aug 20 the center of Four was located near 24.1, -96.9 with movement NW at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1010 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 20 Aug 2022 17:36:56 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 20 Aug 2022 15:22:36 GMT

Issued at 1000 AM CDT Sat Aug 20 2022 000 WTNT44 KNHC 201432 TCDAT4 Potential Tropical Cyclone Four Discussion Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042022 1000 AM CDT Sat Aug 20 2022 Data from the Air Force Hurricane Hunters and satellite images indicate that the disturbance over the western Gulf of Mexico remains disorganized. Flight-level wind data confirms that the system is still a surface trough that is not far offshore of the Gulf coast of Mexico. It should be noted that the initial position in the advisory is based on extrapolation of the mid-level center. The initial intensity remains 30 kt based on the aircraft data and Dvorak estimates. The chances of the disturbance becoming a tropical cyclone appear to be decreasing. Regardless of the system's status, the overall impacts are expected to be the same. Winds to tropical storm force and heavy rains are expected to spread across northeastern Mexico and southern Texas later today and continue into Sunday. After the system moves inland, quick weakening is expected and the disturbance is forecast to dissipate by Sunday night over southern Texas. The overall envelope of the shower and thunderstorm activity is moving northwestward at about 11 kt. This motion is expected to continue until the system dissipates in 24 to 36 hours. KEY MESSAGES: 1. Tropical storm conditions are expected across portions of northeastern Mexico and southern Texas this afternoon and evening, where a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect. 2. Rains from the disturbance may begin to affect the eastern coast of Mexico, from northern Veracruz across parts of Tamaulipas and Nuevo Leon, today. This rainfall may produce flash flooding. Heavy rain may also move to the far south Texas coast through Sunday morning, producing local flash, urban, and small stream flood impacts. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 20/1500Z 23.6N 96.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE 12H 21/0000Z 25.1N 97.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...TROPICAL CYCLONE 24H 21/1200Z 27.0N 98.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 36H 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi/Latto

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT AUG 20 2022 000 FONT14 KNHC 201432 PWSAT4 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042022 1500 UTC SAT AUG 20 2022 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MCALLEN TX 34 1 10(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) HARLINGEN TX 34 1 13(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) BROWNSVILLE TX 34 3 12(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) GFMX 250N 960W 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT AUG 20 2022 000 WTNT24 KNHC 201431 TCMAT4 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042022 1500 UTC SAT AUG 20 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM BOCA DE CATAN NORTHWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE * THE LOWER TEXAS COAST FROM PORT MANSFIELD SOUTHWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 96.4W AT 20/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 96.4W AT 20/1500Z AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 96.1W FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 25.1N 97.5W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 27.0N 98.7W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.6N 96.4W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 20/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

000
ABNT20 KNHC 191745
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Aug 19 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
Satellite imagery indicates that showers and thunderstorms
associated with the broad low pressure area over the southwestern
Gulf of Mexico and the Bay of Campeche continue to become better
organized. Environmental conditions appear favorable for
additional development, and a tropical depression could form later
today, tonight, or on Saturday while the system moves northwestward
across the southwestern and western Gulf of Mexico. However, by
Saturday night, the system is expected to move inland over
northeastern Mexico, which will end its chances of development. An
Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is currently enroute to
investigate the system. Interests along the northeastern coast of
Mexico and the lower Texas coast should monitor the progress of
this system. Regardless of development, this system could bring
locally heavy rains to portions of northeastern Mexico and southern
Texas over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven

000
ABNT20 KNHC 181745
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Aug 18 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located
over northern Guatemala and southeastern Mexico have become a little
better organized since yesterday. This system is forecast to emerge
into the Bay of Campeche tomorrow, where an area of low pressure
could form. After that, additional slow development of this system
is possible while it moves northwestward over the southwestern Gulf
of Mexico. By Saturday night, the system is expected to move
inland over northeastern Mexico. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane
Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system on Friday,
if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven

000
ABNT20 KNHC 171729
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Aug 17 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A tropical wave over the northwestern Caribbean Sea is forecast to
move across Central America during the next couple of days and
emerge over the Bay of Campeche, where an area of low pressure could
form on Friday. Some gradual development of this system is possible
while it moves northwestward over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico
through the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Bucci/Beven

000
ABNT20 KNHC 161727
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Aug 16 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A tropical wave currently located over Nicaragua is forecast to move
across Central America during the next few days and emerge over the
Bay of Campeche, where an area of low pressure could form on Friday.
Some gradual development of this system is possible while it moves
northwestward over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico through the
weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown/Bucci

000
ABNT20 KNHC 151722
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Aug 15 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown

000
ABNT20 KNHC 141719
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Aug 14 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Southern Texas:
A large area of showers and thunderstorms continues to move over
southern Texas in association with a low pressure area located
inland over South Texas. Although no additional development of
this system is expected as it moves over land, heavy rains are
likely to continue over portions of southern Texas through Monday,
which could cause localized areas of flash flooding. For more
information about the potential for heavy rainfall, please see
products issued by your local National Weather Service office and
the Weather Prediction Center.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

&&
For more information on the system, see products issued by the
National Weather Service at weather.gov and wpc.ncep.noaa.gov

$$
Forecaster Brown

000
ABNT20 KNHC 131727
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Aug 13 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Northwestern Gulf of Mexico:
Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased since early this
morning over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico in association with a
broad low pressure area. However, surface pressures remain high and
any additional development should be slow to occur while the system
moves slowly west-southwestward and approaches the Texas coast
later today and tonight. The disturbance is forecast to move
inland over southern Texas on Sunday morning. Regardless of
development, locally heavy rains are possible along portions of
the Texas coast through the weekend. For more information about the
potential for heavy rainfall, please see products issued by your
local National Weather Service office and the Weather Prediction
Center.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

&&
For more information on the system, see products issued by the
National Weather Service at weather.gov and wpc.ncep.noaa.gov

$$
Forecaster Brown