Severe Storms

WW 359 TORNADO KS MO 031835Z - 040100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 359 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 135 PM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Far Eastern Kansas West-Central into Northeastern Missouri * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 135 PM until 800 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...An organizing band of storms will likely move northeast across the Watch along and north of modified outflow. Moist low levels and moderately strong low-level shear across the Watch will support a risk for a couple of tornadoes. A threat for damaging gusts will probably accompany the stronger storms. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles east and west of a line from 20 miles east northeast of Kirksville MO to 45 miles south southeast of Olathe KS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Smith Read more

MD 1091 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF WI INTO UPPER MI
Mesoscale Discussion 1091 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0132 PM CDT Tue Jun 03 2025 Areas affected...portions of WI into Upper MI Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 031832Z - 032030Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Locally strong gusts to 50 mph, and small hail will be possible through the afternoon. Overall severe potential is expected to remain limited and a watch is not currently expected. DISCUSSION...A band of storms is currently moving across northern IL into southeast WI within a warm advection regime. A 30-40 kt 850 mb low-level jet is aiding in some storm organization. Isolated strong gusts will be possible with ongoing and developing convection. Temperatures have warmed into the low 80s across much of eastern WI with low 60s dewpoints, supporting modest instability. Given strong deep-layer flow and areas of steepened low-level lapse rates, locally strong gusts are possible (and a 44 kt gust was noted about 30 minutes ago at KRFD). Temperatures aloft are marginal for hail production, with around -8 to -10 C at 500 mb is noted in forecast soundings. Nevertheless, sufficient instability and elongated hodographs suggest some small hail could accompany stronger cores. Overall severe potential is expected to remain limited, and a watch is not expected at this time. ..Leitman/Smith.. 06/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...LOT...MKX...ARX... LAT...LON 44169056 45328964 46038830 46538702 46478620 46128609 44918683 43338739 42268783 42198848 42298898 42678938 43339006 43739049 44169056 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0315 PM CDT Tue Jun 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z A broad upper-level trough over the western CONUS on D3/Thursday will shift east into the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley region by D5/Saturday. Meanwhile, an upper-level ridge will build across the West. Medium range guidance suggests potential for a series of on-shoring mid-level troughs and/or cutoff lows thereafter, coupled with a surge of subtropical moisture, into portions of the western Great Basin, northern California, and the Pacific Northwest. This may increase the potential for isolated dry thunderstorms across this region by D6/Sunday and beyond, but limited predictability in the evolution of these conditions precludes introducing any highlights at this time. In addition, the amplifying ridge will promote a general warming/drying trend across most areas of the West, acting to increase fuel receptivity. However, generally weak winds beneath the ridge should keep broad fire-weather concerns low into early next week. ..Karstens.. 06/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0315 PM CDT Tue Jun 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z A broad upper-level trough over the western CONUS on D3/Thursday will shift east into the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley region by D5/Saturday. Meanwhile, an upper-level ridge will build across the West. Medium range guidance suggests potential for a series of on-shoring mid-level troughs and/or cutoff lows thereafter, coupled with a surge of subtropical moisture, into portions of the western Great Basin, northern California, and the Pacific Northwest. This may increase the potential for isolated dry thunderstorms across this region by D6/Sunday and beyond, but limited predictability in the evolution of these conditions precludes introducing any highlights at this time. In addition, the amplifying ridge will promote a general warming/drying trend across most areas of the West, acting to increase fuel receptivity. However, generally weak winds beneath the ridge should keep broad fire-weather concerns low into early next week. ..Karstens.. 06/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0315 PM CDT Tue Jun 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z A broad upper-level trough over the western CONUS on D3/Thursday will shift east into the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley region by D5/Saturday. Meanwhile, an upper-level ridge will build across the West. Medium range guidance suggests potential for a series of on-shoring mid-level troughs and/or cutoff lows thereafter, coupled with a surge of subtropical moisture, into portions of the western Great Basin, northern California, and the Pacific Northwest. This may increase the potential for isolated dry thunderstorms across this region by D6/Sunday and beyond, but limited predictability in the evolution of these conditions precludes introducing any highlights at this time. In addition, the amplifying ridge will promote a general warming/drying trend across most areas of the West, acting to increase fuel receptivity. However, generally weak winds beneath the ridge should keep broad fire-weather concerns low into early next week. ..Karstens.. 06/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0315 PM CDT Tue Jun 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z A broad upper-level trough over the western CONUS on D3/Thursday will shift east into the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley region by D5/Saturday. Meanwhile, an upper-level ridge will build across the West. Medium range guidance suggests potential for a series of on-shoring mid-level troughs and/or cutoff lows thereafter, coupled with a surge of subtropical moisture, into portions of the western Great Basin, northern California, and the Pacific Northwest. This may increase the potential for isolated dry thunderstorms across this region by D6/Sunday and beyond, but limited predictability in the evolution of these conditions precludes introducing any highlights at this time. In addition, the amplifying ridge will promote a general warming/drying trend across most areas of the West, acting to increase fuel receptivity. However, generally weak winds beneath the ridge should keep broad fire-weather concerns low into early next week. ..Karstens.. 06/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0315 PM CDT Tue Jun 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z A broad upper-level trough over the western CONUS on D3/Thursday will shift east into the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley region by D5/Saturday. Meanwhile, an upper-level ridge will build across the West. Medium range guidance suggests potential for a series of on-shoring mid-level troughs and/or cutoff lows thereafter, coupled with a surge of subtropical moisture, into portions of the western Great Basin, northern California, and the Pacific Northwest. This may increase the potential for isolated dry thunderstorms across this region by D6/Sunday and beyond, but limited predictability in the evolution of these conditions precludes introducing any highlights at this time. In addition, the amplifying ridge will promote a general warming/drying trend across most areas of the West, acting to increase fuel receptivity. However, generally weak winds beneath the ridge should keep broad fire-weather concerns low into early next week. ..Karstens.. 06/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0315 PM CDT Tue Jun 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z A broad upper-level trough over the western CONUS on D3/Thursday will shift east into the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley region by D5/Saturday. Meanwhile, an upper-level ridge will build across the West. Medium range guidance suggests potential for a series of on-shoring mid-level troughs and/or cutoff lows thereafter, coupled with a surge of subtropical moisture, into portions of the western Great Basin, northern California, and the Pacific Northwest. This may increase the potential for isolated dry thunderstorms across this region by D6/Sunday and beyond, but limited predictability in the evolution of these conditions precludes introducing any highlights at this time. In addition, the amplifying ridge will promote a general warming/drying trend across most areas of the West, acting to increase fuel receptivity. However, generally weak winds beneath the ridge should keep broad fire-weather concerns low into early next week. ..Karstens.. 06/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0315 PM CDT Tue Jun 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z A broad upper-level trough over the western CONUS on D3/Thursday will shift east into the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley region by D5/Saturday. Meanwhile, an upper-level ridge will build across the West. Medium range guidance suggests potential for a series of on-shoring mid-level troughs and/or cutoff lows thereafter, coupled with a surge of subtropical moisture, into portions of the western Great Basin, northern California, and the Pacific Northwest. This may increase the potential for isolated dry thunderstorms across this region by D6/Sunday and beyond, but limited predictability in the evolution of these conditions precludes introducing any highlights at this time. In addition, the amplifying ridge will promote a general warming/drying trend across most areas of the West, acting to increase fuel receptivity. However, generally weak winds beneath the ridge should keep broad fire-weather concerns low into early next week. ..Karstens.. 06/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0315 PM CDT Tue Jun 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z A broad upper-level trough over the western CONUS on D3/Thursday will shift east into the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley region by D5/Saturday. Meanwhile, an upper-level ridge will build across the West. Medium range guidance suggests potential for a series of on-shoring mid-level troughs and/or cutoff lows thereafter, coupled with a surge of subtropical moisture, into portions of the western Great Basin, northern California, and the Pacific Northwest. This may increase the potential for isolated dry thunderstorms across this region by D6/Sunday and beyond, but limited predictability in the evolution of these conditions precludes introducing any highlights at this time. In addition, the amplifying ridge will promote a general warming/drying trend across most areas of the West, acting to increase fuel receptivity. However, generally weak winds beneath the ridge should keep broad fire-weather concerns low into early next week. ..Karstens.. 06/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0315 PM CDT Tue Jun 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z A broad upper-level trough over the western CONUS on D3/Thursday will shift east into the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley region by D5/Saturday. Meanwhile, an upper-level ridge will build across the West. Medium range guidance suggests potential for a series of on-shoring mid-level troughs and/or cutoff lows thereafter, coupled with a surge of subtropical moisture, into portions of the western Great Basin, northern California, and the Pacific Northwest. This may increase the potential for isolated dry thunderstorms across this region by D6/Sunday and beyond, but limited predictability in the evolution of these conditions precludes introducing any highlights at this time. In addition, the amplifying ridge will promote a general warming/drying trend across most areas of the West, acting to increase fuel receptivity. However, generally weak winds beneath the ridge should keep broad fire-weather concerns low into early next week. ..Karstens.. 06/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0315 PM CDT Tue Jun 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z A broad upper-level trough over the western CONUS on D3/Thursday will shift east into the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley region by D5/Saturday. Meanwhile, an upper-level ridge will build across the West. Medium range guidance suggests potential for a series of on-shoring mid-level troughs and/or cutoff lows thereafter, coupled with a surge of subtropical moisture, into portions of the western Great Basin, northern California, and the Pacific Northwest. This may increase the potential for isolated dry thunderstorms across this region by D6/Sunday and beyond, but limited predictability in the evolution of these conditions precludes introducing any highlights at this time. In addition, the amplifying ridge will promote a general warming/drying trend across most areas of the West, acting to increase fuel receptivity. However, generally weak winds beneath the ridge should keep broad fire-weather concerns low into early next week. ..Karstens.. 06/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0315 PM CDT Tue Jun 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z A broad upper-level trough over the western CONUS on D3/Thursday will shift east into the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley region by D5/Saturday. Meanwhile, an upper-level ridge will build across the West. Medium range guidance suggests potential for a series of on-shoring mid-level troughs and/or cutoff lows thereafter, coupled with a surge of subtropical moisture, into portions of the western Great Basin, northern California, and the Pacific Northwest. This may increase the potential for isolated dry thunderstorms across this region by D6/Sunday and beyond, but limited predictability in the evolution of these conditions precludes introducing any highlights at this time. In addition, the amplifying ridge will promote a general warming/drying trend across most areas of the West, acting to increase fuel receptivity. However, generally weak winds beneath the ridge should keep broad fire-weather concerns low into early next week. ..Karstens.. 06/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0315 PM CDT Tue Jun 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z A broad upper-level trough over the western CONUS on D3/Thursday will shift east into the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley region by D5/Saturday. Meanwhile, an upper-level ridge will build across the West. Medium range guidance suggests potential for a series of on-shoring mid-level troughs and/or cutoff lows thereafter, coupled with a surge of subtropical moisture, into portions of the western Great Basin, northern California, and the Pacific Northwest. This may increase the potential for isolated dry thunderstorms across this region by D6/Sunday and beyond, but limited predictability in the evolution of these conditions precludes introducing any highlights at this time. In addition, the amplifying ridge will promote a general warming/drying trend across most areas of the West, acting to increase fuel receptivity. However, generally weak winds beneath the ridge should keep broad fire-weather concerns low into early next week. ..Karstens.. 06/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0315 PM CDT Tue Jun 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z A broad upper-level trough over the western CONUS on D3/Thursday will shift east into the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley region by D5/Saturday. Meanwhile, an upper-level ridge will build across the West. Medium range guidance suggests potential for a series of on-shoring mid-level troughs and/or cutoff lows thereafter, coupled with a surge of subtropical moisture, into portions of the western Great Basin, northern California, and the Pacific Northwest. This may increase the potential for isolated dry thunderstorms across this region by D6/Sunday and beyond, but limited predictability in the evolution of these conditions precludes introducing any highlights at this time. In addition, the amplifying ridge will promote a general warming/drying trend across most areas of the West, acting to increase fuel receptivity. However, generally weak winds beneath the ridge should keep broad fire-weather concerns low into early next week. ..Karstens.. 06/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0315 PM CDT Tue Jun 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z A broad upper-level trough over the western CONUS on D3/Thursday will shift east into the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley region by D5/Saturday. Meanwhile, an upper-level ridge will build across the West. Medium range guidance suggests potential for a series of on-shoring mid-level troughs and/or cutoff lows thereafter, coupled with a surge of subtropical moisture, into portions of the western Great Basin, northern California, and the Pacific Northwest. This may increase the potential for isolated dry thunderstorms across this region by D6/Sunday and beyond, but limited predictability in the evolution of these conditions precludes introducing any highlights at this time. In addition, the amplifying ridge will promote a general warming/drying trend across most areas of the West, acting to increase fuel receptivity. However, generally weak winds beneath the ridge should keep broad fire-weather concerns low into early next week. ..Karstens.. 06/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0315 PM CDT Tue Jun 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z A broad upper-level trough over the western CONUS on D3/Thursday will shift east into the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley region by D5/Saturday. Meanwhile, an upper-level ridge will build across the West. Medium range guidance suggests potential for a series of on-shoring mid-level troughs and/or cutoff lows thereafter, coupled with a surge of subtropical moisture, into portions of the western Great Basin, northern California, and the Pacific Northwest. This may increase the potential for isolated dry thunderstorms across this region by D6/Sunday and beyond, but limited predictability in the evolution of these conditions precludes introducing any highlights at this time. In addition, the amplifying ridge will promote a general warming/drying trend across most areas of the West, acting to increase fuel receptivity. However, generally weak winds beneath the ridge should keep broad fire-weather concerns low into early next week. ..Karstens.. 06/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0315 PM CDT Tue Jun 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z A broad upper-level trough over the western CONUS on D3/Thursday will shift east into the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley region by D5/Saturday. Meanwhile, an upper-level ridge will build across the West. Medium range guidance suggests potential for a series of on-shoring mid-level troughs and/or cutoff lows thereafter, coupled with a surge of subtropical moisture, into portions of the western Great Basin, northern California, and the Pacific Northwest. This may increase the potential for isolated dry thunderstorms across this region by D6/Sunday and beyond, but limited predictability in the evolution of these conditions precludes introducing any highlights at this time. In addition, the amplifying ridge will promote a general warming/drying trend across most areas of the West, acting to increase fuel receptivity. However, generally weak winds beneath the ridge should keep broad fire-weather concerns low into early next week. ..Karstens.. 06/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0315 PM CDT Tue Jun 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z A broad upper-level trough over the western CONUS on D3/Thursday will shift east into the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley region by D5/Saturday. Meanwhile, an upper-level ridge will build across the West. Medium range guidance suggests potential for a series of on-shoring mid-level troughs and/or cutoff lows thereafter, coupled with a surge of subtropical moisture, into portions of the western Great Basin, northern California, and the Pacific Northwest. This may increase the potential for isolated dry thunderstorms across this region by D6/Sunday and beyond, but limited predictability in the evolution of these conditions precludes introducing any highlights at this time. In addition, the amplifying ridge will promote a general warming/drying trend across most areas of the West, acting to increase fuel receptivity. However, generally weak winds beneath the ridge should keep broad fire-weather concerns low into early next week. ..Karstens.. 06/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0315 PM CDT Tue Jun 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z A broad upper-level trough over the western CONUS on D3/Thursday will shift east into the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley region by D5/Saturday. Meanwhile, an upper-level ridge will build across the West. Medium range guidance suggests potential for a series of on-shoring mid-level troughs and/or cutoff lows thereafter, coupled with a surge of subtropical moisture, into portions of the western Great Basin, northern California, and the Pacific Northwest. This may increase the potential for isolated dry thunderstorms across this region by D6/Sunday and beyond, but limited predictability in the evolution of these conditions precludes introducing any highlights at this time. In addition, the amplifying ridge will promote a general warming/drying trend across most areas of the West, acting to increase fuel receptivity. However, generally weak winds beneath the ridge should keep broad fire-weather concerns low into early next week. ..Karstens.. 06/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more