SPC Jun 6, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

3 months ago
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1222 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF MS/AL/GA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected from the southern Great Plains to the Southeast States on Saturday through Saturday evening. Swaths of damaging winds, a couple tornadoes, and sporadic large hail will be possible. ...Ozarks/Mid-MS Valley to the OH/TN Valleys into GA... An MCS will likely be ongoing Saturday morning across portions of OK into Ozarks. The MCV associated with this feature will likely phase with a shortwave trough developing east from the central Plains to the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley through the afternoon. This shortwave will proceed eastward across the Midwest to the central Appalachians by the end of the period. A swath of enhanced mid/upper westerly flow associated with the MCV and shortwave trough will overspread Mid-South and OH/TN Valleys, with 35-50 kt of flow between 850-700 mb depicted by most forecast guidance. This enhanced flow aloft will overlap a corridor of strong instability (MLCAPE greater than 2500 J/kg from the Mid-South into the TN Valley). Uncertainty exists in stronger destabilization with northward extent into portions of MO/IL/KY and vicinity. The expectation is that a couple of corridors of primarily damaging wind potential will develop on Saturday. The more intense convection is expected to develop along the periphery of outflow from the morning MCS over Ozark Plateau, with convection developing and rapidly intensifying across northern MS eastward into portions of northern/central AL through the afternoon, and perhaps into portions of western/central GA by early evening. Forward-propagating clusters with potential for bowing segments will produce swaths of damaging gusts and perhaps a tornado or two. Isolated large hail also may occur with any more discrete cells, mainly early in convective evolution. Another corridor of severe potential is possible in association with the remnant MCV and the ejecting upper shortwave trough moving into the Mid-MS/OH Valley during the afternoon. It is uncertain how the airmass may recover in the wake of the morning MCS and instability could remain somewhat suppressed. Nevertheless, favorable shear for organized storms will be present as large-scale ascent increases. While storm coverage and evolution is uncertain, some potential for damaging gusts, isolated hail, and a tornado or two will exist during the afternoon into early evening. ...Eastern NC/Southeast VA... A weak upper shortwave trough over the central Appalachians will shift east across the southern Mid-Atlantic vicinity through early evening. This will bring a belt of enhanced west/southwesterly flow over the VA/NC Piedmont. Enhanced flow aloft will overlap with a seasonally moist/unstable airmass ahead of southeast-advancing cold front. Vertically veering wind profiles will foster effective shear magnitudes around 30 kt, and transient supercells are possible. Strong heating will result in steep low-level lapse rates. Small bows and strong downbursts could produce damaging gusts during the afternoon. ...Southern High Plains into OK/North TX... Diurnal convection may be less prevalent across the High Plains on Saturday compared to the previous few days in the wake of the morning OK MCS and the central Plains upper trough shifting eastward. However, isolated storms may still develop in modest upslope flow across eastern NM/far west TX. Isolated strong gusts and large hail could accompany these storms. Additional storms may develop along the residual outflow extending somewhere in the vicinity of west-central TX toward the Red River. A very moist and unstable airmass will reside in the area. However, vertical shear will remain modest and capping may suppress storms coverage. Nevertheless, large hail and damaging gusts will be possible with any storms that can develop. ...Eastern Dakotas into Northwest MN... A deepening upper shortwave trough over the Canadian Prairies will develop southeast into the northern Plains/Upper Midwest on Saturday. At the surface, low pressure will move across northern Manitoba through the afternoon and a south/southwest oriented trailing cold front will sweep across the Dakotas into MN. Boundary-layer moisture will remain modest, limiting quality destabilization. Nevertheless, sufficient deep-layer flow coupled with strong forcing should support sporadic strong gusts with somewhat low-topped/high-based convection. ..Leitman.. 06/06/2025 Read more

SPC Jun 6, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

3 months ago
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1222 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF MS/AL/GA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected from the southern Great Plains to the Southeast States on Saturday through Saturday evening. Swaths of damaging winds, a couple tornadoes, and sporadic large hail will be possible. ...Ozarks/Mid-MS Valley to the OH/TN Valleys into GA... An MCS will likely be ongoing Saturday morning across portions of OK into Ozarks. The MCV associated with this feature will likely phase with a shortwave trough developing east from the central Plains to the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley through the afternoon. This shortwave will proceed eastward across the Midwest to the central Appalachians by the end of the period. A swath of enhanced mid/upper westerly flow associated with the MCV and shortwave trough will overspread Mid-South and OH/TN Valleys, with 35-50 kt of flow between 850-700 mb depicted by most forecast guidance. This enhanced flow aloft will overlap a corridor of strong instability (MLCAPE greater than 2500 J/kg from the Mid-South into the TN Valley). Uncertainty exists in stronger destabilization with northward extent into portions of MO/IL/KY and vicinity. The expectation is that a couple of corridors of primarily damaging wind potential will develop on Saturday. The more intense convection is expected to develop along the periphery of outflow from the morning MCS over Ozark Plateau, with convection developing and rapidly intensifying across northern MS eastward into portions of northern/central AL through the afternoon, and perhaps into portions of western/central GA by early evening. Forward-propagating clusters with potential for bowing segments will produce swaths of damaging gusts and perhaps a tornado or two. Isolated large hail also may occur with any more discrete cells, mainly early in convective evolution. Another corridor of severe potential is possible in association with the remnant MCV and the ejecting upper shortwave trough moving into the Mid-MS/OH Valley during the afternoon. It is uncertain how the airmass may recover in the wake of the morning MCS and instability could remain somewhat suppressed. Nevertheless, favorable shear for organized storms will be present as large-scale ascent increases. While storm coverage and evolution is uncertain, some potential for damaging gusts, isolated hail, and a tornado or two will exist during the afternoon into early evening. ...Eastern NC/Southeast VA... A weak upper shortwave trough over the central Appalachians will shift east across the southern Mid-Atlantic vicinity through early evening. This will bring a belt of enhanced west/southwesterly flow over the VA/NC Piedmont. Enhanced flow aloft will overlap with a seasonally moist/unstable airmass ahead of southeast-advancing cold front. Vertically veering wind profiles will foster effective shear magnitudes around 30 kt, and transient supercells are possible. Strong heating will result in steep low-level lapse rates. Small bows and strong downbursts could produce damaging gusts during the afternoon. ...Southern High Plains into OK/North TX... Diurnal convection may be less prevalent across the High Plains on Saturday compared to the previous few days in the wake of the morning OK MCS and the central Plains upper trough shifting eastward. However, isolated storms may still develop in modest upslope flow across eastern NM/far west TX. Isolated strong gusts and large hail could accompany these storms. Additional storms may develop along the residual outflow extending somewhere in the vicinity of west-central TX toward the Red River. A very moist and unstable airmass will reside in the area. However, vertical shear will remain modest and capping may suppress storms coverage. Nevertheless, large hail and damaging gusts will be possible with any storms that can develop. ...Eastern Dakotas into Northwest MN... A deepening upper shortwave trough over the Canadian Prairies will develop southeast into the northern Plains/Upper Midwest on Saturday. At the surface, low pressure will move across northern Manitoba through the afternoon and a south/southwest oriented trailing cold front will sweep across the Dakotas into MN. Boundary-layer moisture will remain modest, limiting quality destabilization. Nevertheless, sufficient deep-layer flow coupled with strong forcing should support sporadic strong gusts with somewhat low-topped/high-based convection. ..Leitman.. 06/06/2025 Read more

SPC Jun 6, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

3 months ago
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1222 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF MS/AL/GA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected from the southern Great Plains to the Southeast States on Saturday through Saturday evening. Swaths of damaging winds, a couple tornadoes, and sporadic large hail will be possible. ...Ozarks/Mid-MS Valley to the OH/TN Valleys into GA... An MCS will likely be ongoing Saturday morning across portions of OK into Ozarks. The MCV associated with this feature will likely phase with a shortwave trough developing east from the central Plains to the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley through the afternoon. This shortwave will proceed eastward across the Midwest to the central Appalachians by the end of the period. A swath of enhanced mid/upper westerly flow associated with the MCV and shortwave trough will overspread Mid-South and OH/TN Valleys, with 35-50 kt of flow between 850-700 mb depicted by most forecast guidance. This enhanced flow aloft will overlap a corridor of strong instability (MLCAPE greater than 2500 J/kg from the Mid-South into the TN Valley). Uncertainty exists in stronger destabilization with northward extent into portions of MO/IL/KY and vicinity. The expectation is that a couple of corridors of primarily damaging wind potential will develop on Saturday. The more intense convection is expected to develop along the periphery of outflow from the morning MCS over Ozark Plateau, with convection developing and rapidly intensifying across northern MS eastward into portions of northern/central AL through the afternoon, and perhaps into portions of western/central GA by early evening. Forward-propagating clusters with potential for bowing segments will produce swaths of damaging gusts and perhaps a tornado or two. Isolated large hail also may occur with any more discrete cells, mainly early in convective evolution. Another corridor of severe potential is possible in association with the remnant MCV and the ejecting upper shortwave trough moving into the Mid-MS/OH Valley during the afternoon. It is uncertain how the airmass may recover in the wake of the morning MCS and instability could remain somewhat suppressed. Nevertheless, favorable shear for organized storms will be present as large-scale ascent increases. While storm coverage and evolution is uncertain, some potential for damaging gusts, isolated hail, and a tornado or two will exist during the afternoon into early evening. ...Eastern NC/Southeast VA... A weak upper shortwave trough over the central Appalachians will shift east across the southern Mid-Atlantic vicinity through early evening. This will bring a belt of enhanced west/southwesterly flow over the VA/NC Piedmont. Enhanced flow aloft will overlap with a seasonally moist/unstable airmass ahead of southeast-advancing cold front. Vertically veering wind profiles will foster effective shear magnitudes around 30 kt, and transient supercells are possible. Strong heating will result in steep low-level lapse rates. Small bows and strong downbursts could produce damaging gusts during the afternoon. ...Southern High Plains into OK/North TX... Diurnal convection may be less prevalent across the High Plains on Saturday compared to the previous few days in the wake of the morning OK MCS and the central Plains upper trough shifting eastward. However, isolated storms may still develop in modest upslope flow across eastern NM/far west TX. Isolated strong gusts and large hail could accompany these storms. Additional storms may develop along the residual outflow extending somewhere in the vicinity of west-central TX toward the Red River. A very moist and unstable airmass will reside in the area. However, vertical shear will remain modest and capping may suppress storms coverage. Nevertheless, large hail and damaging gusts will be possible with any storms that can develop. ...Eastern Dakotas into Northwest MN... A deepening upper shortwave trough over the Canadian Prairies will develop southeast into the northern Plains/Upper Midwest on Saturday. At the surface, low pressure will move across northern Manitoba through the afternoon and a south/southwest oriented trailing cold front will sweep across the Dakotas into MN. Boundary-layer moisture will remain modest, limiting quality destabilization. Nevertheless, sufficient deep-layer flow coupled with strong forcing should support sporadic strong gusts with somewhat low-topped/high-based convection. ..Leitman.. 06/06/2025 Read more

SPC Jun 6, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

3 months ago
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1222 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF MS/AL/GA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected from the southern Great Plains to the Southeast States on Saturday through Saturday evening. Swaths of damaging winds, a couple tornadoes, and sporadic large hail will be possible. ...Ozarks/Mid-MS Valley to the OH/TN Valleys into GA... An MCS will likely be ongoing Saturday morning across portions of OK into Ozarks. The MCV associated with this feature will likely phase with a shortwave trough developing east from the central Plains to the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley through the afternoon. This shortwave will proceed eastward across the Midwest to the central Appalachians by the end of the period. A swath of enhanced mid/upper westerly flow associated with the MCV and shortwave trough will overspread Mid-South and OH/TN Valleys, with 35-50 kt of flow between 850-700 mb depicted by most forecast guidance. This enhanced flow aloft will overlap a corridor of strong instability (MLCAPE greater than 2500 J/kg from the Mid-South into the TN Valley). Uncertainty exists in stronger destabilization with northward extent into portions of MO/IL/KY and vicinity. The expectation is that a couple of corridors of primarily damaging wind potential will develop on Saturday. The more intense convection is expected to develop along the periphery of outflow from the morning MCS over Ozark Plateau, with convection developing and rapidly intensifying across northern MS eastward into portions of northern/central AL through the afternoon, and perhaps into portions of western/central GA by early evening. Forward-propagating clusters with potential for bowing segments will produce swaths of damaging gusts and perhaps a tornado or two. Isolated large hail also may occur with any more discrete cells, mainly early in convective evolution. Another corridor of severe potential is possible in association with the remnant MCV and the ejecting upper shortwave trough moving into the Mid-MS/OH Valley during the afternoon. It is uncertain how the airmass may recover in the wake of the morning MCS and instability could remain somewhat suppressed. Nevertheless, favorable shear for organized storms will be present as large-scale ascent increases. While storm coverage and evolution is uncertain, some potential for damaging gusts, isolated hail, and a tornado or two will exist during the afternoon into early evening. ...Eastern NC/Southeast VA... A weak upper shortwave trough over the central Appalachians will shift east across the southern Mid-Atlantic vicinity through early evening. This will bring a belt of enhanced west/southwesterly flow over the VA/NC Piedmont. Enhanced flow aloft will overlap with a seasonally moist/unstable airmass ahead of southeast-advancing cold front. Vertically veering wind profiles will foster effective shear magnitudes around 30 kt, and transient supercells are possible. Strong heating will result in steep low-level lapse rates. Small bows and strong downbursts could produce damaging gusts during the afternoon. ...Southern High Plains into OK/North TX... Diurnal convection may be less prevalent across the High Plains on Saturday compared to the previous few days in the wake of the morning OK MCS and the central Plains upper trough shifting eastward. However, isolated storms may still develop in modest upslope flow across eastern NM/far west TX. Isolated strong gusts and large hail could accompany these storms. Additional storms may develop along the residual outflow extending somewhere in the vicinity of west-central TX toward the Red River. A very moist and unstable airmass will reside in the area. However, vertical shear will remain modest and capping may suppress storms coverage. Nevertheless, large hail and damaging gusts will be possible with any storms that can develop. ...Eastern Dakotas into Northwest MN... A deepening upper shortwave trough over the Canadian Prairies will develop southeast into the northern Plains/Upper Midwest on Saturday. At the surface, low pressure will move across northern Manitoba through the afternoon and a south/southwest oriented trailing cold front will sweep across the Dakotas into MN. Boundary-layer moisture will remain modest, limiting quality destabilization. Nevertheless, sufficient deep-layer flow coupled with strong forcing should support sporadic strong gusts with somewhat low-topped/high-based convection. ..Leitman.. 06/06/2025 Read more

SPC Jun 6, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

3 months ago
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1222 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF MS/AL/GA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected from the southern Great Plains to the Southeast States on Saturday through Saturday evening. Swaths of damaging winds, a couple tornadoes, and sporadic large hail will be possible. ...Ozarks/Mid-MS Valley to the OH/TN Valleys into GA... An MCS will likely be ongoing Saturday morning across portions of OK into Ozarks. The MCV associated with this feature will likely phase with a shortwave trough developing east from the central Plains to the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley through the afternoon. This shortwave will proceed eastward across the Midwest to the central Appalachians by the end of the period. A swath of enhanced mid/upper westerly flow associated with the MCV and shortwave trough will overspread Mid-South and OH/TN Valleys, with 35-50 kt of flow between 850-700 mb depicted by most forecast guidance. This enhanced flow aloft will overlap a corridor of strong instability (MLCAPE greater than 2500 J/kg from the Mid-South into the TN Valley). Uncertainty exists in stronger destabilization with northward extent into portions of MO/IL/KY and vicinity. The expectation is that a couple of corridors of primarily damaging wind potential will develop on Saturday. The more intense convection is expected to develop along the periphery of outflow from the morning MCS over Ozark Plateau, with convection developing and rapidly intensifying across northern MS eastward into portions of northern/central AL through the afternoon, and perhaps into portions of western/central GA by early evening. Forward-propagating clusters with potential for bowing segments will produce swaths of damaging gusts and perhaps a tornado or two. Isolated large hail also may occur with any more discrete cells, mainly early in convective evolution. Another corridor of severe potential is possible in association with the remnant MCV and the ejecting upper shortwave trough moving into the Mid-MS/OH Valley during the afternoon. It is uncertain how the airmass may recover in the wake of the morning MCS and instability could remain somewhat suppressed. Nevertheless, favorable shear for organized storms will be present as large-scale ascent increases. While storm coverage and evolution is uncertain, some potential for damaging gusts, isolated hail, and a tornado or two will exist during the afternoon into early evening. ...Eastern NC/Southeast VA... A weak upper shortwave trough over the central Appalachians will shift east across the southern Mid-Atlantic vicinity through early evening. This will bring a belt of enhanced west/southwesterly flow over the VA/NC Piedmont. Enhanced flow aloft will overlap with a seasonally moist/unstable airmass ahead of southeast-advancing cold front. Vertically veering wind profiles will foster effective shear magnitudes around 30 kt, and transient supercells are possible. Strong heating will result in steep low-level lapse rates. Small bows and strong downbursts could produce damaging gusts during the afternoon. ...Southern High Plains into OK/North TX... Diurnal convection may be less prevalent across the High Plains on Saturday compared to the previous few days in the wake of the morning OK MCS and the central Plains upper trough shifting eastward. However, isolated storms may still develop in modest upslope flow across eastern NM/far west TX. Isolated strong gusts and large hail could accompany these storms. Additional storms may develop along the residual outflow extending somewhere in the vicinity of west-central TX toward the Red River. A very moist and unstable airmass will reside in the area. However, vertical shear will remain modest and capping may suppress storms coverage. Nevertheless, large hail and damaging gusts will be possible with any storms that can develop. ...Eastern Dakotas into Northwest MN... A deepening upper shortwave trough over the Canadian Prairies will develop southeast into the northern Plains/Upper Midwest on Saturday. At the surface, low pressure will move across northern Manitoba through the afternoon and a south/southwest oriented trailing cold front will sweep across the Dakotas into MN. Boundary-layer moisture will remain modest, limiting quality destabilization. Nevertheless, sufficient deep-layer flow coupled with strong forcing should support sporadic strong gusts with somewhat low-topped/high-based convection. ..Leitman.. 06/06/2025 Read more

SPC MD 1145

3 months ago
MD 1145 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
Mesoscale Discussion 1145 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1101 AM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Areas affected...Southern New England Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 061601Z - 061800Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Isolated wind damage and marginally severe hail will be possible with multicell storms after 18-19z (2-3p EDT) this afternoon. The need for a watch is uncertain. DISCUSSION...Strong surface heating is ongoing across southern New England along and south of a diffuse baroclinic/differential heating zone. As surface temperatures warm through the mid-upper 80s with mid-upper 60s dewpoints, MLCAPE will increase to near 2000 J/kg with minimal convective inhibition. By early-mid afternoon, widely scattered thunderstorm development will become probable along the diffuse baroclinic zone/buoyancy gradient. Steep low-level lapse rates, DCAPE of 750-1000 J/kg and precipitation loading could favor isolated wind damage with downbursts, while the moderately large buoyancy will be sufficient for marginally severe hail. Vertical shear will remain relatively weak and the storms are currently expected to remain only loosely organized, so the need for a watch this afternoon is uncertain. ..Thompson/Smith.. 06/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY... LAT...LON 42277141 41837132 41607160 41487249 41347332 41777359 42277352 42497313 42697244 42647166 42277141 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

3 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 AM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 061700Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, occasional dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of New Mexico and eastern Montana. However, recent rainfall has largely tempered fuels in both areas, precluding widespread fire-weather concerns. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1156 PM CDT Thu Jun 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... A generally zonal/low-amplitude mid-level flow pattern will be in place across the CONUS, with a well-defined impulse poised to eject into the Plains by afternoon. A moist low-level airmass, along with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms, are expected across most areas east of the Rockies, which should mitigate wildfire spread potential. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions may develop across portions of the Desert Southwest during the afternoon, though these conditions should be too brief or localized to warrant Elevated highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

3 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 AM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 061700Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, occasional dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of New Mexico and eastern Montana. However, recent rainfall has largely tempered fuels in both areas, precluding widespread fire-weather concerns. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1156 PM CDT Thu Jun 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... A generally zonal/low-amplitude mid-level flow pattern will be in place across the CONUS, with a well-defined impulse poised to eject into the Plains by afternoon. A moist low-level airmass, along with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms, are expected across most areas east of the Rockies, which should mitigate wildfire spread potential. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions may develop across portions of the Desert Southwest during the afternoon, though these conditions should be too brief or localized to warrant Elevated highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

3 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 AM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 061700Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, occasional dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of New Mexico and eastern Montana. However, recent rainfall has largely tempered fuels in both areas, precluding widespread fire-weather concerns. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1156 PM CDT Thu Jun 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... A generally zonal/low-amplitude mid-level flow pattern will be in place across the CONUS, with a well-defined impulse poised to eject into the Plains by afternoon. A moist low-level airmass, along with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms, are expected across most areas east of the Rockies, which should mitigate wildfire spread potential. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions may develop across portions of the Desert Southwest during the afternoon, though these conditions should be too brief or localized to warrant Elevated highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

3 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 AM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 061700Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, occasional dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of New Mexico and eastern Montana. However, recent rainfall has largely tempered fuels in both areas, precluding widespread fire-weather concerns. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1156 PM CDT Thu Jun 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... A generally zonal/low-amplitude mid-level flow pattern will be in place across the CONUS, with a well-defined impulse poised to eject into the Plains by afternoon. A moist low-level airmass, along with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms, are expected across most areas east of the Rockies, which should mitigate wildfire spread potential. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions may develop across portions of the Desert Southwest during the afternoon, though these conditions should be too brief or localized to warrant Elevated highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

3 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 AM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 061700Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, occasional dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of New Mexico and eastern Montana. However, recent rainfall has largely tempered fuels in both areas, precluding widespread fire-weather concerns. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1156 PM CDT Thu Jun 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... A generally zonal/low-amplitude mid-level flow pattern will be in place across the CONUS, with a well-defined impulse poised to eject into the Plains by afternoon. A moist low-level airmass, along with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms, are expected across most areas east of the Rockies, which should mitigate wildfire spread potential. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions may develop across portions of the Desert Southwest during the afternoon, though these conditions should be too brief or localized to warrant Elevated highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

3 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 AM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 061700Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, occasional dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of New Mexico and eastern Montana. However, recent rainfall has largely tempered fuels in both areas, precluding widespread fire-weather concerns. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1156 PM CDT Thu Jun 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... A generally zonal/low-amplitude mid-level flow pattern will be in place across the CONUS, with a well-defined impulse poised to eject into the Plains by afternoon. A moist low-level airmass, along with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms, are expected across most areas east of the Rockies, which should mitigate wildfire spread potential. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions may develop across portions of the Desert Southwest during the afternoon, though these conditions should be too brief or localized to warrant Elevated highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

3 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 AM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 061700Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, occasional dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of New Mexico and eastern Montana. However, recent rainfall has largely tempered fuels in both areas, precluding widespread fire-weather concerns. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1156 PM CDT Thu Jun 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... A generally zonal/low-amplitude mid-level flow pattern will be in place across the CONUS, with a well-defined impulse poised to eject into the Plains by afternoon. A moist low-level airmass, along with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms, are expected across most areas east of the Rockies, which should mitigate wildfire spread potential. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions may develop across portions of the Desert Southwest during the afternoon, though these conditions should be too brief or localized to warrant Elevated highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

3 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 AM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 061700Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, occasional dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of New Mexico and eastern Montana. However, recent rainfall has largely tempered fuels in both areas, precluding widespread fire-weather concerns. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1156 PM CDT Thu Jun 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... A generally zonal/low-amplitude mid-level flow pattern will be in place across the CONUS, with a well-defined impulse poised to eject into the Plains by afternoon. A moist low-level airmass, along with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms, are expected across most areas east of the Rockies, which should mitigate wildfire spread potential. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions may develop across portions of the Desert Southwest during the afternoon, though these conditions should be too brief or localized to warrant Elevated highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

3 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 AM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 061700Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, occasional dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of New Mexico and eastern Montana. However, recent rainfall has largely tempered fuels in both areas, precluding widespread fire-weather concerns. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1156 PM CDT Thu Jun 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... A generally zonal/low-amplitude mid-level flow pattern will be in place across the CONUS, with a well-defined impulse poised to eject into the Plains by afternoon. A moist low-level airmass, along with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms, are expected across most areas east of the Rockies, which should mitigate wildfire spread potential. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions may develop across portions of the Desert Southwest during the afternoon, though these conditions should be too brief or localized to warrant Elevated highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

3 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 AM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 061700Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, occasional dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of New Mexico and eastern Montana. However, recent rainfall has largely tempered fuels in both areas, precluding widespread fire-weather concerns. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1156 PM CDT Thu Jun 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... A generally zonal/low-amplitude mid-level flow pattern will be in place across the CONUS, with a well-defined impulse poised to eject into the Plains by afternoon. A moist low-level airmass, along with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms, are expected across most areas east of the Rockies, which should mitigate wildfire spread potential. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions may develop across portions of the Desert Southwest during the afternoon, though these conditions should be too brief or localized to warrant Elevated highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

3 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 AM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 061700Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, occasional dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of New Mexico and eastern Montana. However, recent rainfall has largely tempered fuels in both areas, precluding widespread fire-weather concerns. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1156 PM CDT Thu Jun 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... A generally zonal/low-amplitude mid-level flow pattern will be in place across the CONUS, with a well-defined impulse poised to eject into the Plains by afternoon. A moist low-level airmass, along with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms, are expected across most areas east of the Rockies, which should mitigate wildfire spread potential. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions may develop across portions of the Desert Southwest during the afternoon, though these conditions should be too brief or localized to warrant Elevated highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

3 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 AM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 061700Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, occasional dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of New Mexico and eastern Montana. However, recent rainfall has largely tempered fuels in both areas, precluding widespread fire-weather concerns. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1156 PM CDT Thu Jun 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... A generally zonal/low-amplitude mid-level flow pattern will be in place across the CONUS, with a well-defined impulse poised to eject into the Plains by afternoon. A moist low-level airmass, along with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms, are expected across most areas east of the Rockies, which should mitigate wildfire spread potential. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions may develop across portions of the Desert Southwest during the afternoon, though these conditions should be too brief or localized to warrant Elevated highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

3 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 AM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 061700Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, occasional dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of New Mexico and eastern Montana. However, recent rainfall has largely tempered fuels in both areas, precluding widespread fire-weather concerns. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1156 PM CDT Thu Jun 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... A generally zonal/low-amplitude mid-level flow pattern will be in place across the CONUS, with a well-defined impulse poised to eject into the Plains by afternoon. A moist low-level airmass, along with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms, are expected across most areas east of the Rockies, which should mitigate wildfire spread potential. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions may develop across portions of the Desert Southwest during the afternoon, though these conditions should be too brief or localized to warrant Elevated highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

3 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 AM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 061700Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...17z Update... No changes, occasional dry and breezy conditions are possible over parts of New Mexico and eastern Montana. However, recent rainfall has largely tempered fuels in both areas, precluding widespread fire-weather concerns. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1156 PM CDT Thu Jun 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... A generally zonal/low-amplitude mid-level flow pattern will be in place across the CONUS, with a well-defined impulse poised to eject into the Plains by afternoon. A moist low-level airmass, along with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms, are expected across most areas east of the Rockies, which should mitigate wildfire spread potential. Dry and occasionally breezy conditions may develop across portions of the Desert Southwest during the afternoon, though these conditions should be too brief or localized to warrant Elevated highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more
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