Severe Storms

WW 0384 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 384 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE GWO TO TUP TO 30 NE MKL. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1176 ..WEINMAN..06/07/25 ATTN...WFO...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 384 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MSC003-013-017-057-081-095-117-141-071840- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALCORN CALHOUN CHICKASAW ITAWAMBA LEE MONROE PRENTISS TISHOMINGO TNC023-039-071-077-109-071840- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHESTER DECATUR HARDIN HENDERSON MCNAIRY THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0384 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 384 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE GWO TO TUP TO 30 NE MKL. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1176 ..WEINMAN..06/07/25 ATTN...WFO...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 384 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MSC003-013-017-057-081-095-117-141-071840- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALCORN CALHOUN CHICKASAW ITAWAMBA LEE MONROE PRENTISS TISHOMINGO TNC023-039-071-077-109-071840- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHESTER DECATUR HARDIN HENDERSON MCNAIRY THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0384 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 384 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE GWO TO TUP TO 30 NE MKL. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1176 ..WEINMAN..06/07/25 ATTN...WFO...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 384 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MSC003-013-017-057-081-095-117-141-071840- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALCORN CALHOUN CHICKASAW ITAWAMBA LEE MONROE PRENTISS TISHOMINGO TNC023-039-071-077-109-071840- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHESTER DECATUR HARDIN HENDERSON MCNAIRY THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 384 SEVERE TSTM AR MS TN 071450Z - 072100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 384 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 950 AM CDT Sat Jun 7 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of East central Arkansas Northern Mississippi Southwest Tennessee * Effective this Saturday morning and afternoon from 950 AM until 400 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...An organized convective line and lead cluster are expected to merge into a single, larger/bowing line of storms through early afternoon as the storms move across southwest Tennessee and northern Mississippi. Damaging winds up to 75 mph will be the main threat, though the strongest embedded storms could also produce large hail up to 1.5 inches in diameter. An isolated tornado or two may also occur with embedded circulations in the line. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles northeast of Memphis TN to 35 miles south of Oxford MS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 383... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 27035. ...Thompson Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook CORR 2 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1249 PM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH/LOWER-MID ATLANTIC PIEDMONT/COASTAL PLAIN... CORRECTED FOR LINE ERROR ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are most likely across Oklahoma and northern Texas to the Ark-La-Tex during the late afternoon and evening on Sunday. A few tornadoes, destructive wind gusts of 80-100 mph, and very large hail are possible. ...Synopsis... A vertically stacked cyclone will drift southeast in the southern MB/northwest ON to northern MN vicinity through early morning Monday. The attendant surface cold front should arc from northeast IL to the Raton Mesa by 21Z Sunday. Low-amplitude mid/upper troughing, with multiple embedded MCVs, will move east from the eastern Midwest and TN Valley into the Mid and South Atlantic States by Sunday evening. ...Southern Plains... Thunderstorm development is expected along the front in Kansas and Oklahoma by late morning/early afternoon. South of the front, daytime heating should yield a gradient of strong to extreme CAPE (3000-5000 MLCAPE) across southwestern OK into northern TX. Initial development is likely to be supercelluar, with potential for large to very large hail (some 3+ in) and damaging wind given steep lapse rates through the profile and ample deep layer shear. A couple of tornadoes remain possible where storm interactions and splitting cells occur. Through time, mode is likely to become more multicelluar before eventual upscale growth along congealing outflow to an MCS. As this moves along the gradient southeast across southwestern OK into northern TX, potential for significant winds (80-100 mph) will be possible. ...Ozarks to Mid-MS Valley... Isolated to scattered thunderstorms should form along the northeast to southwest front by late afternoon and persist through mid-evening, before likely weakening east of the MS River owing to a relatively confined MLCAPE plume. A strong mid-level jetlet is expected to be centered across IA to southern WI. More moderate deep-layer shear to the south-southeast will still be adequate for a few supercells initially that congeal into multicell clusters. Scattered large to isolated significant severe hail is possible, along with scattered damaging winds and a brief tornado. ...South to Lower Mid-Atlantic States... Boundary-layer heating is anticipated along the Atlantic Coastal Plain and adjacent Piedmont should support MLCAPE of 1500-2500 J/kg. Multiple embedded MCVs will support at least scattered afternoon storms developing near the higher terrain and spreading east towards the coast. Enhanced mid-level westerlies will support transient/weak updraft rotation and multicell clustering. Scattered damaging winds and isolated severe hail are likely. A couple of tornadoes are also possible in the Lower Mid-Atlantic along the primary differential heating corridor, where low-level shear may be adequate ahead of a central Appalachians MCV. ..Thornton.. 06/07/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook CORR 2 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1249 PM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH/LOWER-MID ATLANTIC PIEDMONT/COASTAL PLAIN... CORRECTED FOR LINE ERROR ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are most likely across Oklahoma and northern Texas to the Ark-La-Tex during the late afternoon and evening on Sunday. A few tornadoes, destructive wind gusts of 80-100 mph, and very large hail are possible. ...Synopsis... A vertically stacked cyclone will drift southeast in the southern MB/northwest ON to northern MN vicinity through early morning Monday. The attendant surface cold front should arc from northeast IL to the Raton Mesa by 21Z Sunday. Low-amplitude mid/upper troughing, with multiple embedded MCVs, will move east from the eastern Midwest and TN Valley into the Mid and South Atlantic States by Sunday evening. ...Southern Plains... Thunderstorm development is expected along the front in Kansas and Oklahoma by late morning/early afternoon. South of the front, daytime heating should yield a gradient of strong to extreme CAPE (3000-5000 MLCAPE) across southwestern OK into northern TX. Initial development is likely to be supercelluar, with potential for large to very large hail (some 3+ in) and damaging wind given steep lapse rates through the profile and ample deep layer shear. A couple of tornadoes remain possible where storm interactions and splitting cells occur. Through time, mode is likely to become more multicelluar before eventual upscale growth along congealing outflow to an MCS. As this moves along the gradient southeast across southwestern OK into northern TX, potential for significant winds (80-100 mph) will be possible. ...Ozarks to Mid-MS Valley... Isolated to scattered thunderstorms should form along the northeast to southwest front by late afternoon and persist through mid-evening, before likely weakening east of the MS River owing to a relatively confined MLCAPE plume. A strong mid-level jetlet is expected to be centered across IA to southern WI. More moderate deep-layer shear to the south-southeast will still be adequate for a few supercells initially that congeal into multicell clusters. Scattered large to isolated significant severe hail is possible, along with scattered damaging winds and a brief tornado. ...South to Lower Mid-Atlantic States... Boundary-layer heating is anticipated along the Atlantic Coastal Plain and adjacent Piedmont should support MLCAPE of 1500-2500 J/kg. Multiple embedded MCVs will support at least scattered afternoon storms developing near the higher terrain and spreading east towards the coast. Enhanced mid-level westerlies will support transient/weak updraft rotation and multicell clustering. Scattered damaging winds and isolated severe hail are likely. A couple of tornadoes are also possible in the Lower Mid-Atlantic along the primary differential heating corridor, where low-level shear may be adequate ahead of a central Appalachians MCV. ..Thornton.. 06/07/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook CORR 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1245 PM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH/LOWER-MID ATLANTIC PIEDMONT/COASTAL PLAIN... CORRECTED FOR LINE ERROR ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are most likely across Oklahoma and northern Texas to the Ark-La-Tex during the late afternoon and evening on Sunday. A few tornadoes, destructive wind gusts of 80-100 mph, and very large hail are possible. ...Synopsis... A vertically stacked cyclone will drift southeast in the southern MB/northwest ON to northern MN vicinity through early morning Monday. The attendant surface cold front should arc from northeast IL to the Raton Mesa by 21Z Sunday. Low-amplitude mid/upper troughing, with multiple embedded MCVs, will move east from the eastern Midwest and TN Valley into the Mid and South Atlantic States by Sunday evening. ...Southern Plains... Thunderstorm development is expected along the front in Kansas and Oklahoma by late morning/early afternoon. South of the front, daytime heating should yield a gradient of strong to extreme CAPE (3000-5000 MLCAPE) across southwestern OK into northern TX. Initial development is likely to be supercelluar, with potential for large to very large hail (some 3+ in) and damaging wind given steep lapse rates through the profile and ample deep layer shear. A couple of tornadoes remain possible where storm interactions and splitting cells occur. Through time, mode is likely to become more multicelluar before eventual upscale growth along congealing outflow to an MCS. As this moves along the gradient southeast across southwestern OK into northern TX, potential for significant winds (80-100 mph) will be possible. ...Ozarks to Mid-MS Valley... Isolated to scattered thunderstorms should form along the northeast to southwest front by late afternoon and persist through mid-evening, before likely weakening east of the MS River owing to a relatively confined MLCAPE plume. A strong mid-level jetlet is expected to be centered across IA to southern WI. More moderate deep-layer shear to the south-southeast will still be adequate for a few supercells initially that congeal into multicell clusters. Scattered large to isolated significant severe hail is possible, along with scattered damaging winds and a brief tornado. ...South to Lower Mid-Atlantic States... Boundary-layer heating is anticipated along the Atlantic Coastal Plain and adjacent Piedmont should support MLCAPE of 1500-2500 J/kg. Multiple embedded MCVs will support at least scattered afternoon storms developing near the higher terrain and spreading east towards the coast. Enhanced mid-level westerlies will support transient/weak updraft rotation and multicell clustering. Scattered damaging winds and isolated severe hail are likely. A couple of tornadoes are also possible in the Lower Mid-Atlantic along the primary differential heating corridor, where low-level shear may be adequate ahead of a central Appalachians MCV. ..Thornton.. 06/07/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1235 PM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH/LOWER-MID ATLANTIC PIEDMONT/COASTAL PLAIN... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are most likely across Oklahoma and northern Texas to the Ark-La-Tex during the late afternoon and evening on Sunday. A few tornadoes, destructive wind gusts of 80-100 mph, and very large hail are possible. ...Synopsis... A vertically stacked cyclone will drift southeast in the southern MB/northwest ON to northern MN vicinity through early morning Monday. The attendant surface cold front should arc from northeast IL to the Raton Mesa by 21Z Sunday. Low-amplitude mid/upper troughing, with multiple embedded MCVs, will move east from the eastern Midwest and TN Valley into the Mid and South Atlantic States by Sunday evening. ...Southern Plains... Thunderstorm development is expected along the front in Kansas and Oklahoma by late morning/early afternoon. South of the front, daytime heating should yield a gradient of strong to extreme CAPE (3000-5000 MLCAPE) across southwestern OK into northern TX. Initial development is likely to be supercelluar, with potential for large to very large hail (some 3+ in) and damaging wind given steep lapse rates through the profile and ample deep layer shear. A couple of tornadoes remain possible where storm interactions and splitting cells occur. Through time, mode is likely to become more multicelluar before eventual upscale growth along congealing outflow to an MCS. As this moves along the gradient southeast across southwestern OK into northern TX, potential for significant winds (80-100 mph) will be possible. ...Ozarks to Mid-MS Valley... Isolated to scattered thunderstorms should form along the northeast to southwest front by late afternoon and persist through mid-evening, before likely weakening east of the MS River owing to a relatively confined MLCAPE plume. A strong mid-level jetlet is expected to be centered across IA to southern WI. More moderate deep-layer shear to the south-southeast will still be adequate for a few supercells initially that congeal into multicell clusters. Scattered large to isolated significant severe hail is possible, along with scattered damaging winds and a brief tornado. ...South to Lower Mid-Atlantic States... Boundary-layer heating is anticipated along the Atlantic Coastal Plain and adjacent Piedmont should support MLCAPE of 1500-2500 J/kg. Multiple embedded MCVs will support at least scattered afternoon storms developing near the higher terrain and spreading east towards the coast. Enhanced mid-level westerlies will support transient/weak updraft rotation and multicell clustering. Scattered damaging winds and isolated severe hail are likely. A couple of tornadoes are also possible in the Lower Mid-Atlantic along the primary differential heating corridor, where low-level shear may be adequate ahead of a central Appalachians MCV. ..Thornton.. 06/07/2025 Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1151 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 071700Z - 081200Z The current forecast for elevated fire weather conditions across portions of northeastern Montana and far northwest North Dakota is on track, with no changes needed. As of 1630 UTC, surface observations indicate gusty post-frontal surface winds ongoing across much of the area, with sustained winds of 15-20 mph. Elevated fire weather conditions are possible for a few hours this afternoon as minimum RH values fall to 20-25% amidst at least marginally receptive fuels and continued breeziness. Please see the previous discussion below for more information on today's fire weather forecast. ..Elliott.. 06/07/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0154 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025/ ...Synopsis... Broad upper troughing will overspread the north-central to eastern CONUS today, supporting the northward return of low-level moisture, as well as scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms to much of the U.S. east of the Rockies. As such, wildfire spread concerns should be limited for much of the central and eastern CONUS. While overall dry conditions will prevail across portions of the Southwest into the Great Basin, overall fuel receptiveness and strength of the surface wind fields appear too marginal for fire weather highlights. One area for some wildfire-spread potential is northeast Montana. Here, a surface cold front will sweep across the region, with widespread 25+ mph sustained northwesterly surface winds likely during the afternoon. Since RH may dip to 20 percent with the aforementioned strong surface wind field, and given ERCs approaching the 80th percentile in spots, Elevated highlights have been introduced for far northeastern Montana. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1151 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 071700Z - 081200Z The current forecast for elevated fire weather conditions across portions of northeastern Montana and far northwest North Dakota is on track, with no changes needed. As of 1630 UTC, surface observations indicate gusty post-frontal surface winds ongoing across much of the area, with sustained winds of 15-20 mph. Elevated fire weather conditions are possible for a few hours this afternoon as minimum RH values fall to 20-25% amidst at least marginally receptive fuels and continued breeziness. Please see the previous discussion below for more information on today's fire weather forecast. ..Elliott.. 06/07/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0154 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025/ ...Synopsis... Broad upper troughing will overspread the north-central to eastern CONUS today, supporting the northward return of low-level moisture, as well as scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms to much of the U.S. east of the Rockies. As such, wildfire spread concerns should be limited for much of the central and eastern CONUS. While overall dry conditions will prevail across portions of the Southwest into the Great Basin, overall fuel receptiveness and strength of the surface wind fields appear too marginal for fire weather highlights. One area for some wildfire-spread potential is northeast Montana. Here, a surface cold front will sweep across the region, with widespread 25+ mph sustained northwesterly surface winds likely during the afternoon. Since RH may dip to 20 percent with the aforementioned strong surface wind field, and given ERCs approaching the 80th percentile in spots, Elevated highlights have been introduced for far northeastern Montana. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1151 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 071700Z - 081200Z The current forecast for elevated fire weather conditions across portions of northeastern Montana and far northwest North Dakota is on track, with no changes needed. As of 1630 UTC, surface observations indicate gusty post-frontal surface winds ongoing across much of the area, with sustained winds of 15-20 mph. Elevated fire weather conditions are possible for a few hours this afternoon as minimum RH values fall to 20-25% amidst at least marginally receptive fuels and continued breeziness. Please see the previous discussion below for more information on today's fire weather forecast. ..Elliott.. 06/07/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0154 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025/ ...Synopsis... Broad upper troughing will overspread the north-central to eastern CONUS today, supporting the northward return of low-level moisture, as well as scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms to much of the U.S. east of the Rockies. As such, wildfire spread concerns should be limited for much of the central and eastern CONUS. While overall dry conditions will prevail across portions of the Southwest into the Great Basin, overall fuel receptiveness and strength of the surface wind fields appear too marginal for fire weather highlights. One area for some wildfire-spread potential is northeast Montana. Here, a surface cold front will sweep across the region, with widespread 25+ mph sustained northwesterly surface winds likely during the afternoon. Since RH may dip to 20 percent with the aforementioned strong surface wind field, and given ERCs approaching the 80th percentile in spots, Elevated highlights have been introduced for far northeastern Montana. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1151 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 071700Z - 081200Z The current forecast for elevated fire weather conditions across portions of northeastern Montana and far northwest North Dakota is on track, with no changes needed. As of 1630 UTC, surface observations indicate gusty post-frontal surface winds ongoing across much of the area, with sustained winds of 15-20 mph. Elevated fire weather conditions are possible for a few hours this afternoon as minimum RH values fall to 20-25% amidst at least marginally receptive fuels and continued breeziness. Please see the previous discussion below for more information on today's fire weather forecast. ..Elliott.. 06/07/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0154 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025/ ...Synopsis... Broad upper troughing will overspread the north-central to eastern CONUS today, supporting the northward return of low-level moisture, as well as scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms to much of the U.S. east of the Rockies. As such, wildfire spread concerns should be limited for much of the central and eastern CONUS. While overall dry conditions will prevail across portions of the Southwest into the Great Basin, overall fuel receptiveness and strength of the surface wind fields appear too marginal for fire weather highlights. One area for some wildfire-spread potential is northeast Montana. Here, a surface cold front will sweep across the region, with widespread 25+ mph sustained northwesterly surface winds likely during the afternoon. Since RH may dip to 20 percent with the aforementioned strong surface wind field, and given ERCs approaching the 80th percentile in spots, Elevated highlights have been introduced for far northeastern Montana. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1151 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 071700Z - 081200Z The current forecast for elevated fire weather conditions across portions of northeastern Montana and far northwest North Dakota is on track, with no changes needed. As of 1630 UTC, surface observations indicate gusty post-frontal surface winds ongoing across much of the area, with sustained winds of 15-20 mph. Elevated fire weather conditions are possible for a few hours this afternoon as minimum RH values fall to 20-25% amidst at least marginally receptive fuels and continued breeziness. Please see the previous discussion below for more information on today's fire weather forecast. ..Elliott.. 06/07/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0154 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025/ ...Synopsis... Broad upper troughing will overspread the north-central to eastern CONUS today, supporting the northward return of low-level moisture, as well as scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms to much of the U.S. east of the Rockies. As such, wildfire spread concerns should be limited for much of the central and eastern CONUS. While overall dry conditions will prevail across portions of the Southwest into the Great Basin, overall fuel receptiveness and strength of the surface wind fields appear too marginal for fire weather highlights. One area for some wildfire-spread potential is northeast Montana. Here, a surface cold front will sweep across the region, with widespread 25+ mph sustained northwesterly surface winds likely during the afternoon. Since RH may dip to 20 percent with the aforementioned strong surface wind field, and given ERCs approaching the 80th percentile in spots, Elevated highlights have been introduced for far northeastern Montana. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1151 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 071700Z - 081200Z The current forecast for elevated fire weather conditions across portions of northeastern Montana and far northwest North Dakota is on track, with no changes needed. As of 1630 UTC, surface observations indicate gusty post-frontal surface winds ongoing across much of the area, with sustained winds of 15-20 mph. Elevated fire weather conditions are possible for a few hours this afternoon as minimum RH values fall to 20-25% amidst at least marginally receptive fuels and continued breeziness. Please see the previous discussion below for more information on today's fire weather forecast. ..Elliott.. 06/07/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0154 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025/ ...Synopsis... Broad upper troughing will overspread the north-central to eastern CONUS today, supporting the northward return of low-level moisture, as well as scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms to much of the U.S. east of the Rockies. As such, wildfire spread concerns should be limited for much of the central and eastern CONUS. While overall dry conditions will prevail across portions of the Southwest into the Great Basin, overall fuel receptiveness and strength of the surface wind fields appear too marginal for fire weather highlights. One area for some wildfire-spread potential is northeast Montana. Here, a surface cold front will sweep across the region, with widespread 25+ mph sustained northwesterly surface winds likely during the afternoon. Since RH may dip to 20 percent with the aforementioned strong surface wind field, and given ERCs approaching the 80th percentile in spots, Elevated highlights have been introduced for far northeastern Montana. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1151 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 071700Z - 081200Z The current forecast for elevated fire weather conditions across portions of northeastern Montana and far northwest North Dakota is on track, with no changes needed. As of 1630 UTC, surface observations indicate gusty post-frontal surface winds ongoing across much of the area, with sustained winds of 15-20 mph. Elevated fire weather conditions are possible for a few hours this afternoon as minimum RH values fall to 20-25% amidst at least marginally receptive fuels and continued breeziness. Please see the previous discussion below for more information on today's fire weather forecast. ..Elliott.. 06/07/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0154 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025/ ...Synopsis... Broad upper troughing will overspread the north-central to eastern CONUS today, supporting the northward return of low-level moisture, as well as scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms to much of the U.S. east of the Rockies. As such, wildfire spread concerns should be limited for much of the central and eastern CONUS. While overall dry conditions will prevail across portions of the Southwest into the Great Basin, overall fuel receptiveness and strength of the surface wind fields appear too marginal for fire weather highlights. One area for some wildfire-spread potential is northeast Montana. Here, a surface cold front will sweep across the region, with widespread 25+ mph sustained northwesterly surface winds likely during the afternoon. Since RH may dip to 20 percent with the aforementioned strong surface wind field, and given ERCs approaching the 80th percentile in spots, Elevated highlights have been introduced for far northeastern Montana. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1151 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 071700Z - 081200Z The current forecast for elevated fire weather conditions across portions of northeastern Montana and far northwest North Dakota is on track, with no changes needed. As of 1630 UTC, surface observations indicate gusty post-frontal surface winds ongoing across much of the area, with sustained winds of 15-20 mph. Elevated fire weather conditions are possible for a few hours this afternoon as minimum RH values fall to 20-25% amidst at least marginally receptive fuels and continued breeziness. Please see the previous discussion below for more information on today's fire weather forecast. ..Elliott.. 06/07/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0154 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025/ ...Synopsis... Broad upper troughing will overspread the north-central to eastern CONUS today, supporting the northward return of low-level moisture, as well as scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms to much of the U.S. east of the Rockies. As such, wildfire spread concerns should be limited for much of the central and eastern CONUS. While overall dry conditions will prevail across portions of the Southwest into the Great Basin, overall fuel receptiveness and strength of the surface wind fields appear too marginal for fire weather highlights. One area for some wildfire-spread potential is northeast Montana. Here, a surface cold front will sweep across the region, with widespread 25+ mph sustained northwesterly surface winds likely during the afternoon. Since RH may dip to 20 percent with the aforementioned strong surface wind field, and given ERCs approaching the 80th percentile in spots, Elevated highlights have been introduced for far northeastern Montana. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1151 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 071700Z - 081200Z The current forecast for elevated fire weather conditions across portions of northeastern Montana and far northwest North Dakota is on track, with no changes needed. As of 1630 UTC, surface observations indicate gusty post-frontal surface winds ongoing across much of the area, with sustained winds of 15-20 mph. Elevated fire weather conditions are possible for a few hours this afternoon as minimum RH values fall to 20-25% amidst at least marginally receptive fuels and continued breeziness. Please see the previous discussion below for more information on today's fire weather forecast. ..Elliott.. 06/07/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0154 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025/ ...Synopsis... Broad upper troughing will overspread the north-central to eastern CONUS today, supporting the northward return of low-level moisture, as well as scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms to much of the U.S. east of the Rockies. As such, wildfire spread concerns should be limited for much of the central and eastern CONUS. While overall dry conditions will prevail across portions of the Southwest into the Great Basin, overall fuel receptiveness and strength of the surface wind fields appear too marginal for fire weather highlights. One area for some wildfire-spread potential is northeast Montana. Here, a surface cold front will sweep across the region, with widespread 25+ mph sustained northwesterly surface winds likely during the afternoon. Since RH may dip to 20 percent with the aforementioned strong surface wind field, and given ERCs approaching the 80th percentile in spots, Elevated highlights have been introduced for far northeastern Montana. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1151 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 071700Z - 081200Z The current forecast for elevated fire weather conditions across portions of northeastern Montana and far northwest North Dakota is on track, with no changes needed. As of 1630 UTC, surface observations indicate gusty post-frontal surface winds ongoing across much of the area, with sustained winds of 15-20 mph. Elevated fire weather conditions are possible for a few hours this afternoon as minimum RH values fall to 20-25% amidst at least marginally receptive fuels and continued breeziness. Please see the previous discussion below for more information on today's fire weather forecast. ..Elliott.. 06/07/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0154 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025/ ...Synopsis... Broad upper troughing will overspread the north-central to eastern CONUS today, supporting the northward return of low-level moisture, as well as scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms to much of the U.S. east of the Rockies. As such, wildfire spread concerns should be limited for much of the central and eastern CONUS. While overall dry conditions will prevail across portions of the Southwest into the Great Basin, overall fuel receptiveness and strength of the surface wind fields appear too marginal for fire weather highlights. One area for some wildfire-spread potential is northeast Montana. Here, a surface cold front will sweep across the region, with widespread 25+ mph sustained northwesterly surface winds likely during the afternoon. Since RH may dip to 20 percent with the aforementioned strong surface wind field, and given ERCs approaching the 80th percentile in spots, Elevated highlights have been introduced for far northeastern Montana. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1151 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 071700Z - 081200Z The current forecast for elevated fire weather conditions across portions of northeastern Montana and far northwest North Dakota is on track, with no changes needed. As of 1630 UTC, surface observations indicate gusty post-frontal surface winds ongoing across much of the area, with sustained winds of 15-20 mph. Elevated fire weather conditions are possible for a few hours this afternoon as minimum RH values fall to 20-25% amidst at least marginally receptive fuels and continued breeziness. Please see the previous discussion below for more information on today's fire weather forecast. ..Elliott.. 06/07/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0154 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025/ ...Synopsis... Broad upper troughing will overspread the north-central to eastern CONUS today, supporting the northward return of low-level moisture, as well as scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms to much of the U.S. east of the Rockies. As such, wildfire spread concerns should be limited for much of the central and eastern CONUS. While overall dry conditions will prevail across portions of the Southwest into the Great Basin, overall fuel receptiveness and strength of the surface wind fields appear too marginal for fire weather highlights. One area for some wildfire-spread potential is northeast Montana. Here, a surface cold front will sweep across the region, with widespread 25+ mph sustained northwesterly surface winds likely during the afternoon. Since RH may dip to 20 percent with the aforementioned strong surface wind field, and given ERCs approaching the 80th percentile in spots, Elevated highlights have been introduced for far northeastern Montana. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1151 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 071700Z - 081200Z The current forecast for elevated fire weather conditions across portions of northeastern Montana and far northwest North Dakota is on track, with no changes needed. As of 1630 UTC, surface observations indicate gusty post-frontal surface winds ongoing across much of the area, with sustained winds of 15-20 mph. Elevated fire weather conditions are possible for a few hours this afternoon as minimum RH values fall to 20-25% amidst at least marginally receptive fuels and continued breeziness. Please see the previous discussion below for more information on today's fire weather forecast. ..Elliott.. 06/07/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0154 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025/ ...Synopsis... Broad upper troughing will overspread the north-central to eastern CONUS today, supporting the northward return of low-level moisture, as well as scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms to much of the U.S. east of the Rockies. As such, wildfire spread concerns should be limited for much of the central and eastern CONUS. While overall dry conditions will prevail across portions of the Southwest into the Great Basin, overall fuel receptiveness and strength of the surface wind fields appear too marginal for fire weather highlights. One area for some wildfire-spread potential is northeast Montana. Here, a surface cold front will sweep across the region, with widespread 25+ mph sustained northwesterly surface winds likely during the afternoon. Since RH may dip to 20 percent with the aforementioned strong surface wind field, and given ERCs approaching the 80th percentile in spots, Elevated highlights have been introduced for far northeastern Montana. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more