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3 months ago
MD 1207 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 394...396... FOR PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE
Mesoscale Discussion 1207
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0510 PM CDT Sun Jun 08 2025
Areas affected...portions of the Texas Panhandle
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 394...396...
Valid 082210Z - 082345Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 394, 396
continues.
SUMMARY...Multiple supercells will continue over the next few hours
with a significant-severe wind/hail threat. A tornado may also
accompany the more dominant, discrete supercells with unimpeded
inflow.
DISCUSSION...Multiple supercells have matured across the TX
Panhandle over the last few hours, with 4+ inch hail recently
reported with the Hall/Briscoe County, TX border storm, and a
tornado reported in Dallam County, TX. Supercells across the TX
Panhandle are gradually merging, and the development into an MCS may
occur over the next 3-4 hours. At the moment, there are two
supercells that are remaining more discrete (Hall/Briscoe County and
Hartley County). These storms have relatively pristine inflow of
4000+ J/kg MLCAPE, which will support a risk for either 4-5 inch
diameter hail or a tornado for the next few hours. Severe gusts
remain possible with all storms. 75+ mph gusts are most likely with
mature storms that merge.
..Squitieri.. 06/08/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...
LAT...LON 36310300 36510140 35990037 34949946 34509949 34260060
34780236 35000289 36310300
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...4.00+ IN
Read more
3 months ago
MD 1208 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 395... FOR NORTHEAST OK/SOUTHEAST KS INTO SOUTHWEST MO
Mesoscale Discussion 1208
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0518 PM CDT Sun Jun 08 2025
Areas affected...Northeast OK/southeast KS into southwest MO
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 395...
Valid 082218Z - 082345Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 395
continues.
SUMMARY...Strong to locally severe storms may continue into early
evening.
DISCUSSION...Scattered strong storms are ongoing in the vicinity of
a cold front from southeast KS/northeast OK into southwest MO.
Moderate to strong buoyancy (with MLCAPE of 1500-2500 J/kg) and
effective shear of 30-35 kt will continue to support strong to
locally severe storms. Large hail and locally damaging winds are the
most likely hazards in the short term, though some tornado threat
cannot be ruled out with any supercells that can be sustained and
not be undercut by outflow in this regime. Given the concentration
of ongoing storms, some modest clustering cannot be ruled out as
convection spreads southeastward with time.
With the severe threat spreading southward across northeast OK, WW
395 has been locally expanded to the south, and additional
expansions may be needed depending on convective trends.
..Dean.. 06/08/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...ICT...OUN...
LAT...LON 36719392 36479458 35989529 35889582 35849630 35899676
36339694 37359694 37499543 37479490 37459425 36719392
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
Read more
3 months ago
WW 0398 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0398 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
Read more
3 months ago
WW 0398 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0398 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
Read more
3 months ago
WW 398 SEVERE TSTM NM 082245Z - 090400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 398
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
445 PM MDT Sun Jun 8 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern New Mexico
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 445 PM until
1000 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter possible
Isolated significant damaging wind gusts to 75 mph possible
SUMMARY...Multiple supercells should pose a threat for mainly large
to very large hail this afternoon and evening as they spread slowly
east-southeastward. The largest hailstones may reach up to 2-3
inches in diameter, especially across far eastern New Mexico where
greater low-level moisture and related instability is present.
Isolated severe/damaging winds up to 65-75 mph may also occur with
any thunderstorm downdrafts.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles east northeast
of Raton NM to 80 miles south southwest of Cannon Afb NM. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 392...WW 393...WW
394...WW 395...WW 396...WW 397...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
29025.
...Gleason
Read more
3 months ago
WW 0392 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 392
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DEAN..06/08/25
ATTN...WFO...LWX...RNK...AKQ...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 392
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DCC001-082340-
DC
. DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
MDC003-009-017-021-027-031-033-037-043-082340-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANNE ARUNDEL CALVERT CHARLES
FREDERICK HOWARD MONTGOMERY
PRINCE GEORGES ST. MARYS WASHINGTON
VAC003-013-015-029-033-036-041-043-047-049-057-059-061-065-069-
073-075-079-085-087-095-097-099-101-103-107-109-113-115-119-125-
127-133-137-139-145-153-157-159-165-171-177-179-187-193-199-510-
540-600-610-630-650-660-683-685-700-735-760-790-820-830-840-
082340-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
Read more
3 months ago
WW 0392 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 392
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DEAN..06/08/25
ATTN...WFO...LWX...RNK...AKQ...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 392
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DCC001-082340-
DC
. DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
MDC003-009-017-021-027-031-033-037-043-082340-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANNE ARUNDEL CALVERT CHARLES
FREDERICK HOWARD MONTGOMERY
PRINCE GEORGES ST. MARYS WASHINGTON
VAC003-013-015-029-033-036-041-043-047-049-057-059-061-065-069-
073-075-079-085-087-095-097-099-101-103-107-109-113-115-119-125-
127-133-137-139-145-153-157-159-165-171-177-179-187-193-199-510-
540-600-610-630-650-660-683-685-700-735-760-790-820-830-840-
082340-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
Read more
3 months ago
WW 392 TORNADO DC MD VA WV CW 081825Z - 090200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 392
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
225 PM EDT Sun Jun 8 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
District Of Columbia
Maryland
Northern and Central Virginia
Far Eastern West Virginia
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 225 PM until
1000 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to develop and
further increase through late afternoon and evening, with damaging
winds, hail, and tornadoes possible, especially near a warm front.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
east and west of a line from 20 miles north of Martinsburg WV to 20
miles southeast of Richmond VA. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 390...WW 391...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 25025.
...Guyer
Read more
3 months ago
WW 0393 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 393
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DEAN..06/08/25
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...RNK...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 393
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC015-029-041-053-073-091-131-139-143-082340-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERTIE CAMDEN CHOWAN
CURRITUCK GATES HERTFORD
NORTHAMPTON PASQUOTANK PERQUIMANS
VAC007-009-011-019-025-031-037-053-081-083-093-111-117-135-143-
147-149-163-175-181-183-530-550-570-590-595-620-670-678-680-710-
730-740-800-810-082340-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AMELIA AMHERST APPOMATTOX
BEDFORD BRUNSWICK CAMPBELL
CHARLOTTE DINWIDDIE GREENSVILLE
HALIFAX ISLE OF WIGHT LUNENBURG
MECKLENBURG NOTTOWAY PITTSYLVANIA
PRINCE EDWARD PRINCE GEORGE ROCKBRIDGE
SOUTHAMPTON SURRY SUSSEX
Read more
3 months ago
WW 0393 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 393
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DEAN..06/08/25
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...RNK...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 393
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC015-029-041-053-073-091-131-139-143-082340-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERTIE CAMDEN CHOWAN
CURRITUCK GATES HERTFORD
NORTHAMPTON PASQUOTANK PERQUIMANS
VAC007-009-011-019-025-031-037-053-081-083-093-111-117-135-143-
147-149-163-175-181-183-530-550-570-590-595-620-670-678-680-710-
730-740-800-810-082340-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AMELIA AMHERST APPOMATTOX
BEDFORD BRUNSWICK CAMPBELL
CHARLOTTE DINWIDDIE GREENSVILLE
HALIFAX ISLE OF WIGHT LUNENBURG
MECKLENBURG NOTTOWAY PITTSYLVANIA
PRINCE EDWARD PRINCE GEORGE ROCKBRIDGE
SOUTHAMPTON SURRY SUSSEX
Read more
3 months ago
WW 393 SEVERE TSTM NC VA CW 081840Z - 090200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 393
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
240 PM EDT Sun Jun 8 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northeast North Carolina
Southern Virginia
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 240 PM until
1000 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to develop
this afternoon, with mostly a damaging wind/some hail risk across
far southern Virginia and northeast North Carolina.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 35
statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles east northeast
of Elizabeth City NC to 10 miles west southwest of Lynchburg VA. For
a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 390...WW 391...WW 392...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
25025.
...Guyer
Read more
3 months ago
WW 0395 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 395
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1208
..DEAN..06/08/25
ATTN...WFO...LSX...ICT...SGF...EAX...TSA...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 395
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC013-061-083-149-082340-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN GREENE JERSEY
PIKE
KSC001-011-019-021-035-037-049-099-107-125-133-191-205-082340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BOURBON CHAUTAUQUA
CHEROKEE COWLEY CRAWFORD
ELK LABETTE LINN
MONTGOMERY NEOSHO SUMNER
WILSON
MOC007-011-013-015-019-027-029-039-051-053-055-057-059-065-071-
073-077-083-085-097-099-101-105-109-113-125-131-135-139-141-145-
151-159-161-163-167-169-183-185-189-215-217-219-221-225-229-510-
Read more
3 months ago
WW 0395 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 395
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1208
..DEAN..06/08/25
ATTN...WFO...LSX...ICT...SGF...EAX...TSA...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 395
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC013-061-083-149-082340-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN GREENE JERSEY
PIKE
KSC001-011-019-021-035-037-049-099-107-125-133-191-205-082340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BOURBON CHAUTAUQUA
CHEROKEE COWLEY CRAWFORD
ELK LABETTE LINN
MONTGOMERY NEOSHO SUMNER
WILSON
MOC007-011-013-015-019-027-029-039-051-053-055-057-059-065-071-
073-077-083-085-097-099-101-105-109-113-125-131-135-139-141-145-
151-159-161-163-167-169-183-185-189-215-217-219-221-225-229-510-
Read more
3 months ago
WW 395 SEVERE TSTM IL KS MO OK 081930Z - 090300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 395
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
230 PM CDT Sun Jun 8 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southwest Illinois
Southeast Kansas
Missouri
Northeast Oklahoma
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 230 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected to develop
near the advancing front this afternoon, with large hail and
damaging winds being the primary hazards.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 90 miles east of
Columbia MO to 40 miles west northwest of Bartlesville OK. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 390...WW 391...WW
392...WW 393...WW 394...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
30025.
...Guyer
Read more
3 months ago
MD 1205 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN COLORADO AND NEW MEXICO
Mesoscale Discussion 1205
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0350 PM CDT Sun Jun 08 2025
Areas affected...portions of eastern Colorado and New Mexico
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible
Valid 082050Z - 082245Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent
SUMMARY...Large hail and severe wind threat possible this afternoon.
DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm development has been ongoing across the
Front Range in Colorado and across northeastern New Mexico. The air
mass across Colorado remains under the influence of MLCIN, with
temperatures cooling with northern extend behind the surface cold
front. Moisture is also somewhat limited, with dew points in the
upper 40s to 50s. A few instances of severe hail will be possible.
Across eastern New Mexico near the dryline, a gradient of more
appreciable MLCAPE 500-1500 j/kg is in place along with deep layer
shear around 30-45 kts. Temperatures are in the mid 70s to 80s amid
dew points in the 50s to upper 60s. This may support some instances
of severe wind and hail, with at least one supercell noted on radar.
Trends will be monitored for watch potential, but it appears
unlikely at this time.
..Thornton/Guyer.. 06/08/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...PUB...BOU...ABQ...
LAT...LON 35430435 35720483 36590502 37720541 38440568 38860579
40050572 40140528 40170471 39990424 39230365 38670352
37760350 36110345 35830369 35430435
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
Read more
3 months ago
MD 1206 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST TEXAS INTO WESTERN LOUISIANA
Mesoscale Discussion 1206
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0437 PM CDT Sun Jun 08 2025
Areas affected...portions of northeast Texas into western Louisiana
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely
Valid 082137Z - 082230Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent
SUMMARY...The severe threat will increase along a baroclinic
boundary over the next few hours. Severe wind/hail and perhaps a
tornado will occur with the stronger storms.
DISCUSSION...Multiple supercell structures have become established
along a broad, diffuse baroclinic boundary in northeast TX into
western LA, with initiation evident west of the DFW Metroplex. MRMS
mosaic radar data depicts 50 dBZ echoes reaching over 50 kft, with
MESH cores exceeding 1 inch in diameter with storms closer to the
TX/LA border. MLCAPE is exceeding 4500 J/kg in proximity to these
storms, with modest northwesterly mid-level flow contributing to 45
kts of effective bulk shear per 21Z mesoanalysis. Given relatively
weak MLCINH, these storms may persist for at least a few hours
despite overall weak deep-layer ascent. Recent FWD VAD shows
modestly elongated hodographs, so supercells should remain the
predominant mode with the more isolated storms. Severe wind and hail
may accompany these storms, and 75+ mph gusts and 3+ inch diameter
hail is possible, along with a tornado.
Although a relatively greater severe threat should materialize this
evening, a shorter-term but appreciable threat does exist with the
ongoing storms, which will necessitate a WW issuance soon.
..Squitieri/Gleason.. 06/08/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...OUN...SJT...
LAT...LON 33119395 32309245 31689265 31579293 31419349 31409376
31749534 32289721 32529899 32899912 33399853 33439771
33669569 33119395
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN
Read more
3 months ago
MD 1203 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 1203
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0330 PM CDT Sun Jun 08 2025
Areas affected...portions of western Texas
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible
Valid 082030Z - 082230Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent
SUMMARY...Large hail and severe wind threat may increase through the
afternoon/early evening.
DISCUSSION...Supercells have developed across the Davis Mountains in
far western Texas this afternoon. The environment in this region is
characterized by MLCAPE around 500-1500 J/kg, steep lapse rates, and
deep layer shear around 40-45 kts. This will support potential for
supercells to produce some instances of large to very large hail and
severe winds. MLCIN does increase with eastward extent, which may
limit coverage/duration of this threat. This area will be monitored
for watch potential.
..Thornton/Guyer.. 06/08/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF...
LAT...LON 29800412 30300418 30990396 31410372 31650345 31940245
31920237 31890198 31820184 31710152 31560128 31290120
31070124 30440146 29940167 29580238 29230274 29010296
28930336 29180377 29800412
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
Read more
3 months ago
MD 1202 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN AND NORTH-CENTRAL TEXAS...SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA
Mesoscale Discussion 1202
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0317 PM CDT Sun Jun 08 2025
Areas affected...portions of southwestern and north-central
Texas...southwestern Oklahoma
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely
Valid 082017Z - 082215Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent
SUMMARY...Large hail/tornado threat to increase through the
afternoon before a more significant wind threat emerges.
DISCUSSION...Supercell thunderstorms are ongoing across portions of
the Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles as of this hour, with at least one
tornado reported in Cimarron/Dallam counties. Additional development
is ongoing west of Amarillo. It is likely some mix of supercell
clusters will advance south and eastward through time, with
potential for additional development to occur ahead of the dryline
in New Mexico.
Low-level shear improves with southward extent into Lubbock where
surface winds are backed southeasterly improving low-level curvature
of hodographs and streamwise vorticity. It is likely that as storms
develop and move southward, the tornado threat will increase through
time even with the shifting storm mode.
A sharp gradient of extreme MLCAPE exists along the Red River near
the Texas/Oklahoma border into north-central Texas amid steep low to
mid-level lapse rates. As upscale growth increases, the potential
will rapidly increase for destructive winds (80-100 mph). A Tornado
or PDS Severe Watch is likely needed to cover this potential.
..Thornton/Guyer.. 06/08/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...
LAT...LON 32989778 32499909 32520039 33030180 33140195 33260213
33570238 33970226 34220198 34450154 34640114 34890054
34990025 34859872 34689799 34259739 34119726 33449729
33079758 32989778
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...95-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.75-4.25 IN
Read more
3 months ago
WW 0397 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0397 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
Read more
3 months ago
WW 0397 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0397 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
Read more
Checked
5 years 11 months ago
Storm Prediction Center
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