SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 394

3 months ago
WW 394 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 081905Z - 090200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 394 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 205 PM CDT Sun Jun 8 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Western Oklahoma Texas Panhandle * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 205 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3.5 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 80 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms are expected to steadily develop and increase this afternoon, initially across the Oklahoma Panhandle and northern Texas Panhandle. Intense supercells capable of very large hail are expected, with the damaging wind and possibly the tornado potential possibly increasing toward evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 120 statute miles east and west of a line from 65 miles east northeast of Guymon OK to 60 miles southeast of Amarillo TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 390...WW 391...WW 392...WW 393... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 29025. ...Guyer Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 397

3 months ago
WW 397 SEVERE TSTM LA TX 082205Z - 090200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 397 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 505 PM CDT Sun Jun 8 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Far Western Louisiana North-Central and Northeast Texas * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 505 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 4 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 80 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Supercell thunderstorms will likely continue to pose a threat for mainly very large to potentially giant hail this afternoon and evening as they move generally east-southeastward. Peak hailstone diameters may reach up to 3-4 inches in diameter given a very favorable environment. Otherwise, a tornado or two may occur with any intense supercell, along with scattered severe/damaging winds. A more substantial threat for destructive winds is still expected later this evening and overnight with an intense thunderstorm cluster that will move southeastward across north-central/northeast TX. Another Severe Thunderstorm Watch will likely be issued before 9 PM CDT to address this expected widespread significant severe wind threat. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles west northwest of Mineral Wells TX to 55 miles east southeast of Longview TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 391...WW 392...WW 393...WW 394...WW 395...WW 396... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 4 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 30025. ...Gleason Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 398

3 months ago
WW 398 SEVERE TSTM NM 082245Z - 090400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 398 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 445 PM MDT Sun Jun 8 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Eastern New Mexico * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 445 PM until 1000 PM MDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter possible Isolated significant damaging wind gusts to 75 mph possible SUMMARY...Multiple supercells should pose a threat for mainly large to very large hail this afternoon and evening as they spread slowly east-southeastward. The largest hailstones may reach up to 2-3 inches in diameter, especially across far eastern New Mexico where greater low-level moisture and related instability is present. Isolated severe/damaging winds up to 65-75 mph may also occur with any thunderstorm downdrafts. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles east northeast of Raton NM to 80 miles south southwest of Cannon Afb NM. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 392...WW 393...WW 394...WW 395...WW 396...WW 397... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 29025. ...Gleason Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 394 Status Reports

3 months ago
WW 0394 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 394 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SW DHT TO 60 ESE BGD TO 20 W END. ..SQUITIERI..06/08/25 ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 394 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC003-011-017-027-039-043-047-053-071-073-081-083-103-109-119- 125-090140- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALFALFA BLAINE CANADIAN CLEVELAND CUSTER DEWEY GARFIELD GRANT KAY KINGFISHER LINCOLN LOGAN NOBLE OKLAHOMA PAYNE POTTAWATOMIE TXC011-065-087-117-129-179-359-375-381-483-090140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARMSTRONG CARSON COLLINGSWORTH DEAF SMITH DONLEY GRAY OLDHAM POTTER RANDALL WHEELER Read more

SPC MD 1210

3 months ago
MD 1210 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 392... FOR THE MID ATLANTIC VICINITY
Mesoscale Discussion 1210 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0617 PM CDT Sun Jun 08 2025 Areas affected...the Mid Atlantic vicinity Concerning...Tornado Watch 392... Valid 082317Z - 090045Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 392 continues. SUMMARY...An isolated threat for a tornado, damaging wind, and hail may continue through the evening. DISCUSSION...Widely scattered strong storms are ongoing this evening across much of VA. The environment remains favorably moist and MLCAPE is generally in the 1000-2000 J/kg range, though weak midlevel lapse rates have tended to limit updraft strength thus far. Occasional rotation has been noted with the strongest cells, and effective shear of 30-40 kt will continue to support some supercell potential this evening. Low-level flow is not particularly strong, but effective SRH remains locally enhanced near/north of a diffuse surface boundary extending from southeast to central VA, where winds are locally backed. Supercells near/north of this boundary could still pose some tornado threat. Otherwise, locally damaging wind and isolated hail could accompany the strongest storms. ..Dean.. 06/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...MHX...LWX...RAH...RNK... LAT...LON 37977960 39587862 39497749 38937584 37847518 36367516 36037548 36457844 36757954 37497971 37977960 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more

SPC MD 1211

3 months ago
MD 1211 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 397... FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND EASTERN TEXAS TO EXTREME WESTERN LOUISIANA
Mesoscale Discussion 1211 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0618 PM CDT Sun Jun 08 2025 Areas affected...portions of northern and eastern Texas to extreme western Louisiana Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 397... Valid 082318Z - 090045Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 397 continues. SUMMARY...Multiple supercells will continue to traverse a diffuse baroclinic boundary and pose a risk for severe hail and wind over the next few hours. A greater severe risk is expected to evolve later this evening with other storms that approach from the west. DISCUSSION...Multiple mature supercells are in progress across northern TX to the LA border along a diffuse baroclinic boundary. Severe hail has been reported with some storms, and current MRMS mosaic MESH data suggests that 2-3 inch hail may be falling with the more dominant supercells. Given the 4000-5000 J/kg MLCAPE and 50+ kts of effective bulk shear still in place, these storms should continue to pose a significant-severe hail and wind risk for at least a few more hours. Eventually, supercells across the southeast TX Panhandle should merge into an MCS as they approach from the west. While the exact timing and evolution of this scenario is still somewhat uncertain, the general thinking is that a bow echo with an organized significant severe wind swath will approach the region, with peak gusts in the 70-100 mph range. Future MCDs will be written for northern TX as this scenario comes closer to fruition. ..Squitieri.. 06/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...FWD... LAT...LON 32339849 33249714 33389634 32619403 31859365 31469384 31469495 31769664 32009798 32339849 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN Read more

SPC MD 1209

3 months ago
MD 1209 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 394...396... FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
Mesoscale Discussion 1209 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0603 PM CDT Sun Jun 08 2025 Areas affected...portions of western and central Oklahoma Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 394...396... Valid 082303Z - 090000Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 394, 396 continues. SUMMARY...Severe wind and hail will become common with merging multicells and supercells over the next few hours. DISCUSSION...Several multicell clusters and transient supercells have recently developed across western into central OK, with a history of at least marginally severe hail. These storms are increasing in coverage and intensity along a diffuse and broad baroclinic boundary, along the northern extent of deeper/richer moisture. MLCAPE ranges from 1500-5000 J/kg along the baroclinic boundary, and the ongoing storms are expected to move or propagate east-southeastward toward the OKC metro along this boundary over the next hour or so. Gradual upscale growth into an MCS is likely over the next 2-4 hours, where severe gusts will become the main threat. In the meantime, severe hail is likely with the more intense, semi-discrete storms. ..Squitieri.. 06/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OUN... LAT...LON 35039938 35539983 36009989 36209903 36279870 36159804 35529693 35079695 34719725 34629788 34779870 35039938 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 394

3 months ago
WW 394 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 081905Z - 090200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 394 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 205 PM CDT Sun Jun 8 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Western Oklahoma Texas Panhandle * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 205 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3.5 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 80 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms are expected to steadily develop and increase this afternoon, initially across the Oklahoma Panhandle and northern Texas Panhandle. Intense supercells capable of very large hail are expected, with the damaging wind and possibly the tornado potential possibly increasing toward evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 120 statute miles east and west of a line from 65 miles east northeast of Guymon OK to 60 miles southeast of Amarillo TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 390...WW 391...WW 392...WW 393... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 29025. ...Guyer Read more
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