Severe Storms

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1240 AM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025 Valid 231200Z - 241200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS...MID MISSOURI VALLEY...UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES... ...SUMMARY... Storms with isolated severe wind gusts and hail will be possible today from the southern and central Plains northeastward into the Great Lakes. ...Central Plains/Mid Missouri Valley/Upper Mississippi Valley/Great Lakes... At mid-levels, an anticyclone will remain over much of the eastern U.S. today, as southwesterly flow remains over the north-central states. At the surface, a cold front will advance southeastward into the upper Mississippi and mid Missouri Valleys extending southwestward into the central Plains. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints in the lower 70s F will contribute to moderate destabilization during the day. As low-level convergence increases along the front, somewhat widely spaced convection is expected to initiate. From this convection, several clusters of storms are expected to move eastward toward an axis of instability. Along and near the instability axis from northeast Kansas into southern Wisconsin, deep-layer shear is expected to be modest. However, low-level lapse rates will become steep in the afternoon, which could support a potential for isolated severe wind gusts. The severe threat is expected to be strongly diurnal, with the greatest threat occurring in the late afternoon and early evening. ...Southern and Central High Plains... Southwesterly mid-level flow will remain in place today across much of the south-central U.S. At the surface, a cold front will advance southeastward across the central High Plains. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints will be in the 60s F. As surface temperatures warm during the day, an axis of moderate instability will develop ahead of the front from eastern New Mexico into southwest Kansas. Although deep-layer shear is forecast to be relatively weak along this corridor, the moderate instability combined with steep low to mid-level lapse rates may be enough for a marginal wind-damage threat. ...Northern Maine... At mid-levels, northwest flow will be in place today across northern New England, where heights will rise substantially. At the surface, a moist airmass will be located across much of the Northeast, where surface dewpoints will be mostly from the mid 60s to the lower 70S F. As surface temperatures warm today, isolated convection initiation may occur along an axis of low-level convergence in northern Maine. In addition to the instability, moderate deep-layer shear will be in place. This could support a marginal wind-damage threat during the early to mid afternoon. ..Broyles/Moore.. 06/23/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1240 AM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025 Valid 231200Z - 241200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS...MID MISSOURI VALLEY...UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES... ...SUMMARY... Storms with isolated severe wind gusts and hail will be possible today from the southern and central Plains northeastward into the Great Lakes. ...Central Plains/Mid Missouri Valley/Upper Mississippi Valley/Great Lakes... At mid-levels, an anticyclone will remain over much of the eastern U.S. today, as southwesterly flow remains over the north-central states. At the surface, a cold front will advance southeastward into the upper Mississippi and mid Missouri Valleys extending southwestward into the central Plains. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints in the lower 70s F will contribute to moderate destabilization during the day. As low-level convergence increases along the front, somewhat widely spaced convection is expected to initiate. From this convection, several clusters of storms are expected to move eastward toward an axis of instability. Along and near the instability axis from northeast Kansas into southern Wisconsin, deep-layer shear is expected to be modest. However, low-level lapse rates will become steep in the afternoon, which could support a potential for isolated severe wind gusts. The severe threat is expected to be strongly diurnal, with the greatest threat occurring in the late afternoon and early evening. ...Southern and Central High Plains... Southwesterly mid-level flow will remain in place today across much of the south-central U.S. At the surface, a cold front will advance southeastward across the central High Plains. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints will be in the 60s F. As surface temperatures warm during the day, an axis of moderate instability will develop ahead of the front from eastern New Mexico into southwest Kansas. Although deep-layer shear is forecast to be relatively weak along this corridor, the moderate instability combined with steep low to mid-level lapse rates may be enough for a marginal wind-damage threat. ...Northern Maine... At mid-levels, northwest flow will be in place today across northern New England, where heights will rise substantially. At the surface, a moist airmass will be located across much of the Northeast, where surface dewpoints will be mostly from the mid 60s to the lower 70S F. As surface temperatures warm today, isolated convection initiation may occur along an axis of low-level convergence in northern Maine. In addition to the instability, moderate deep-layer shear will be in place. This could support a marginal wind-damage threat during the early to mid afternoon. ..Broyles/Moore.. 06/23/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1240 AM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025 Valid 231200Z - 241200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS...MID MISSOURI VALLEY...UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES... ...SUMMARY... Storms with isolated severe wind gusts and hail will be possible today from the southern and central Plains northeastward into the Great Lakes. ...Central Plains/Mid Missouri Valley/Upper Mississippi Valley/Great Lakes... At mid-levels, an anticyclone will remain over much of the eastern U.S. today, as southwesterly flow remains over the north-central states. At the surface, a cold front will advance southeastward into the upper Mississippi and mid Missouri Valleys extending southwestward into the central Plains. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints in the lower 70s F will contribute to moderate destabilization during the day. As low-level convergence increases along the front, somewhat widely spaced convection is expected to initiate. From this convection, several clusters of storms are expected to move eastward toward an axis of instability. Along and near the instability axis from northeast Kansas into southern Wisconsin, deep-layer shear is expected to be modest. However, low-level lapse rates will become steep in the afternoon, which could support a potential for isolated severe wind gusts. The severe threat is expected to be strongly diurnal, with the greatest threat occurring in the late afternoon and early evening. ...Southern and Central High Plains... Southwesterly mid-level flow will remain in place today across much of the south-central U.S. At the surface, a cold front will advance southeastward across the central High Plains. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints will be in the 60s F. As surface temperatures warm during the day, an axis of moderate instability will develop ahead of the front from eastern New Mexico into southwest Kansas. Although deep-layer shear is forecast to be relatively weak along this corridor, the moderate instability combined with steep low to mid-level lapse rates may be enough for a marginal wind-damage threat. ...Northern Maine... At mid-levels, northwest flow will be in place today across northern New England, where heights will rise substantially. At the surface, a moist airmass will be located across much of the Northeast, where surface dewpoints will be mostly from the mid 60s to the lower 70S F. As surface temperatures warm today, isolated convection initiation may occur along an axis of low-level convergence in northern Maine. In addition to the instability, moderate deep-layer shear will be in place. This could support a marginal wind-damage threat during the early to mid afternoon. ..Broyles/Moore.. 06/23/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1240 AM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025 Valid 231200Z - 241200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS...MID MISSOURI VALLEY...UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES... ...SUMMARY... Storms with isolated severe wind gusts and hail will be possible today from the southern and central Plains northeastward into the Great Lakes. ...Central Plains/Mid Missouri Valley/Upper Mississippi Valley/Great Lakes... At mid-levels, an anticyclone will remain over much of the eastern U.S. today, as southwesterly flow remains over the north-central states. At the surface, a cold front will advance southeastward into the upper Mississippi and mid Missouri Valleys extending southwestward into the central Plains. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints in the lower 70s F will contribute to moderate destabilization during the day. As low-level convergence increases along the front, somewhat widely spaced convection is expected to initiate. From this convection, several clusters of storms are expected to move eastward toward an axis of instability. Along and near the instability axis from northeast Kansas into southern Wisconsin, deep-layer shear is expected to be modest. However, low-level lapse rates will become steep in the afternoon, which could support a potential for isolated severe wind gusts. The severe threat is expected to be strongly diurnal, with the greatest threat occurring in the late afternoon and early evening. ...Southern and Central High Plains... Southwesterly mid-level flow will remain in place today across much of the south-central U.S. At the surface, a cold front will advance southeastward across the central High Plains. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints will be in the 60s F. As surface temperatures warm during the day, an axis of moderate instability will develop ahead of the front from eastern New Mexico into southwest Kansas. Although deep-layer shear is forecast to be relatively weak along this corridor, the moderate instability combined with steep low to mid-level lapse rates may be enough for a marginal wind-damage threat. ...Northern Maine... At mid-levels, northwest flow will be in place today across northern New England, where heights will rise substantially. At the surface, a moist airmass will be located across much of the Northeast, where surface dewpoints will be mostly from the mid 60s to the lower 70S F. As surface temperatures warm today, isolated convection initiation may occur along an axis of low-level convergence in northern Maine. In addition to the instability, moderate deep-layer shear will be in place. This could support a marginal wind-damage threat during the early to mid afternoon. ..Broyles/Moore.. 06/23/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1240 AM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025 Valid 231200Z - 241200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS...MID MISSOURI VALLEY...UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES... ...SUMMARY... Storms with isolated severe wind gusts and hail will be possible today from the southern and central Plains northeastward into the Great Lakes. ...Central Plains/Mid Missouri Valley/Upper Mississippi Valley/Great Lakes... At mid-levels, an anticyclone will remain over much of the eastern U.S. today, as southwesterly flow remains over the north-central states. At the surface, a cold front will advance southeastward into the upper Mississippi and mid Missouri Valleys extending southwestward into the central Plains. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints in the lower 70s F will contribute to moderate destabilization during the day. As low-level convergence increases along the front, somewhat widely spaced convection is expected to initiate. From this convection, several clusters of storms are expected to move eastward toward an axis of instability. Along and near the instability axis from northeast Kansas into southern Wisconsin, deep-layer shear is expected to be modest. However, low-level lapse rates will become steep in the afternoon, which could support a potential for isolated severe wind gusts. The severe threat is expected to be strongly diurnal, with the greatest threat occurring in the late afternoon and early evening. ...Southern and Central High Plains... Southwesterly mid-level flow will remain in place today across much of the south-central U.S. At the surface, a cold front will advance southeastward across the central High Plains. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints will be in the 60s F. As surface temperatures warm during the day, an axis of moderate instability will develop ahead of the front from eastern New Mexico into southwest Kansas. Although deep-layer shear is forecast to be relatively weak along this corridor, the moderate instability combined with steep low to mid-level lapse rates may be enough for a marginal wind-damage threat. ...Northern Maine... At mid-levels, northwest flow will be in place today across northern New England, where heights will rise substantially. At the surface, a moist airmass will be located across much of the Northeast, where surface dewpoints will be mostly from the mid 60s to the lower 70S F. As surface temperatures warm today, isolated convection initiation may occur along an axis of low-level convergence in northern Maine. In addition to the instability, moderate deep-layer shear will be in place. This could support a marginal wind-damage threat during the early to mid afternoon. ..Broyles/Moore.. 06/23/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1240 AM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025 Valid 231200Z - 241200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS...MID MISSOURI VALLEY...UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES... ...SUMMARY... Storms with isolated severe wind gusts and hail will be possible today from the southern and central Plains northeastward into the Great Lakes. ...Central Plains/Mid Missouri Valley/Upper Mississippi Valley/Great Lakes... At mid-levels, an anticyclone will remain over much of the eastern U.S. today, as southwesterly flow remains over the north-central states. At the surface, a cold front will advance southeastward into the upper Mississippi and mid Missouri Valleys extending southwestward into the central Plains. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints in the lower 70s F will contribute to moderate destabilization during the day. As low-level convergence increases along the front, somewhat widely spaced convection is expected to initiate. From this convection, several clusters of storms are expected to move eastward toward an axis of instability. Along and near the instability axis from northeast Kansas into southern Wisconsin, deep-layer shear is expected to be modest. However, low-level lapse rates will become steep in the afternoon, which could support a potential for isolated severe wind gusts. The severe threat is expected to be strongly diurnal, with the greatest threat occurring in the late afternoon and early evening. ...Southern and Central High Plains... Southwesterly mid-level flow will remain in place today across much of the south-central U.S. At the surface, a cold front will advance southeastward across the central High Plains. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints will be in the 60s F. As surface temperatures warm during the day, an axis of moderate instability will develop ahead of the front from eastern New Mexico into southwest Kansas. Although deep-layer shear is forecast to be relatively weak along this corridor, the moderate instability combined with steep low to mid-level lapse rates may be enough for a marginal wind-damage threat. ...Northern Maine... At mid-levels, northwest flow will be in place today across northern New England, where heights will rise substantially. At the surface, a moist airmass will be located across much of the Northeast, where surface dewpoints will be mostly from the mid 60s to the lower 70S F. As surface temperatures warm today, isolated convection initiation may occur along an axis of low-level convergence in northern Maine. In addition to the instability, moderate deep-layer shear will be in place. This could support a marginal wind-damage threat during the early to mid afternoon. ..Broyles/Moore.. 06/23/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1240 AM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025 Valid 231200Z - 241200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS...MID MISSOURI VALLEY...UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES... ...SUMMARY... Storms with isolated severe wind gusts and hail will be possible today from the southern and central Plains northeastward into the Great Lakes. ...Central Plains/Mid Missouri Valley/Upper Mississippi Valley/Great Lakes... At mid-levels, an anticyclone will remain over much of the eastern U.S. today, as southwesterly flow remains over the north-central states. At the surface, a cold front will advance southeastward into the upper Mississippi and mid Missouri Valleys extending southwestward into the central Plains. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints in the lower 70s F will contribute to moderate destabilization during the day. As low-level convergence increases along the front, somewhat widely spaced convection is expected to initiate. From this convection, several clusters of storms are expected to move eastward toward an axis of instability. Along and near the instability axis from northeast Kansas into southern Wisconsin, deep-layer shear is expected to be modest. However, low-level lapse rates will become steep in the afternoon, which could support a potential for isolated severe wind gusts. The severe threat is expected to be strongly diurnal, with the greatest threat occurring in the late afternoon and early evening. ...Southern and Central High Plains... Southwesterly mid-level flow will remain in place today across much of the south-central U.S. At the surface, a cold front will advance southeastward across the central High Plains. Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints will be in the 60s F. As surface temperatures warm during the day, an axis of moderate instability will develop ahead of the front from eastern New Mexico into southwest Kansas. Although deep-layer shear is forecast to be relatively weak along this corridor, the moderate instability combined with steep low to mid-level lapse rates may be enough for a marginal wind-damage threat. ...Northern Maine... At mid-levels, northwest flow will be in place today across northern New England, where heights will rise substantially. At the surface, a moist airmass will be located across much of the Northeast, where surface dewpoints will be mostly from the mid 60s to the lower 70S F. As surface temperatures warm today, isolated convection initiation may occur along an axis of low-level convergence in northern Maine. In addition to the instability, moderate deep-layer shear will be in place. This could support a marginal wind-damage threat during the early to mid afternoon. ..Broyles/Moore.. 06/23/2025 Read more

MD 1414 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 453... FOR CENTRAL NEBRASKA...SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA
Mesoscale Discussion 1414 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1003 PM CDT Sun Jun 22 2025 Areas affected...Central Nebraska...Southeast South Dakota Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 453... Valid 230303Z - 230430Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 453 continues. SUMMARY...Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will likely continue for several hours across parts of central NE and southeast SD. A few instances of large hail will remain possible, but the primary severe threat is diminishing. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms continue to persist and increase in areal coverage to the north of a surface cold front extending across central NE. All of the storms in this region are elevated, but in an environment of sufficient CAPE/shear to maintain some risk of large hail for a few more hours. While there is some potential for a watch extension beyond 04z, the primary severe concern appears to be diminishing. ..Hart.. 06/23/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...ABR...LBF...UNR... LAT...LON 42930021 44349829 44329685 43499692 42279847 40680119 41870070 42930021 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more

MD 1413 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 451... FOR NORTHERN MINNESOTA
Mesoscale Discussion 1413 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0818 PM CDT Sun Jun 22 2025 Areas affected...Northern Minnesota Concerning...Tornado Watch 451... Valid 230118Z - 230315Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 451 continues. SUMMARY...A tornado threat will continue for the next few hours as storms move along and just south of the international border in north-central Minnesota. DISCUSSION...Over the past hour, a supercell over north-central MN has reached sufficient intensity to develop a persistent mesocyclone with at least one tornado recently reported. To its immediate south, additional convective towers continue to percolate, though have not yet reached sufficient intensity to pose a robust severe threat. However, recent surface observations have shown a northward expansion of the warm sector over the past couple of hours downstream from this activity. This will maximize storm residence time within a very favorable environment for supercellular tornadoes. A modest increase in the low-level wind fields associated with the deepening surface low has also bolstered effective SRH slightly, which will also help maintain the tornado threat. Although storm coverage within this environment remains uncertain - GOES imagery shows shallow convective towers struggling to overcome residual capping within the open warm sector - any cells that can mature will likely pose a tornado threat. ..Moore.. 06/23/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF... LAT...LON 47749324 47559359 47509393 47619550 47689564 47859574 48169569 48569550 48889521 49029492 48969464 48789437 48699388 48679351 48679311 48569302 48249301 47749324 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

MD 1412 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 454... FOR WESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
Mesoscale Discussion 1412 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0811 PM CDT Sun Jun 22 2025 Areas affected...Western Texas Panhandle Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 454... Valid 230111Z - 230315Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 454 continues. SUMMARY...A line of thunderstorms will continue to track eastward across the western TX Panhandle, posing a risk of locally damaging wind gusts. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms have organized into a line from Deaf Smith to Dallam Counties TX, moving eastward at 35 knots. Locally damaging wind gusts have been reported in the last couple of hours. Radar presentation suggests that outflow is now surging eastward ahead of the storms. This suggests the storms may be near peak, and the threat for damaging winds should slowly diminish over the next 1-2 hours. Through that time, severe wind gusts will remain possible along the gust front and beneath strongest cores. ..Hart.. 06/23/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA... LAT...LON 34950267 36600223 36760140 35080148 34540241 34950267 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN Read more

WW 0451 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 451 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NW VVV TO 30 N DTL TO 30 NNE RRT. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1413 ..MOORE..06/23/25 ATTN...WFO...FGF...DLH...BIS... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 451 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MNC005-007-021-029-051-057-061-071-077-087-111-159-167-230240- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BECKER BELTRAMI CASS CLEARWATER GRANT HUBBARD ITASCA KOOCHICHING LAKE OF THE WOODS MAHNOMEN OTTER TAIL WADENA WILKIN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0451 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 451 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NW VVV TO 30 N DTL TO 30 NNE RRT. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1413 ..MOORE..06/23/25 ATTN...WFO...FGF...DLH...BIS... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 451 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MNC005-007-021-029-051-057-061-071-077-087-111-159-167-230240- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BECKER BELTRAMI CASS CLEARWATER GRANT HUBBARD ITASCA KOOCHICHING LAKE OF THE WOODS MAHNOMEN OTTER TAIL WADENA WILKIN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

MD 1411 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 452...453... FOR NORTHERN NEBRASKA...SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA
Mesoscale Discussion 1411 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0755 PM CDT Sun Jun 22 2025 Areas affected...Northern Nebraska...Southeast South Dakota Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 452...453... Valid 230055Z - 230300Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 452, 453 continues. SUMMARY...Severe storms continue to affect parts of northern NE and southeast SD. Large hail and damaging winds will remain a concern for a few more hours. DISCUSSION...A large cluster of severe thunderstorms, including multiple supercell structures, is affecting areas from Blaine to Holt Counties NE. The lead storm just east of O'Neill has remain anchored to the cold front and is the most intense. It remains capable of very large hail (up to baseball size) and damaging winds. The storms farther southwest appear to be slightly elevated and slightly lessened intensity. Another area of thunderstorms is developing farther north, near Winner SD. These storms are strongly elevated, but in a region of sufficient CAPE and vertical shear for some concern for hail in the strongest cells. Finally, a long-lived supercell storm has tracked across the NE Panhandle and is now in southern Sheridan County. This cell is moving into a progressively more elevated unstable layer, but has developed sufficient organization that it could persist for 2-3 more hours and pose a continued risk of hail across north-central NE. ..Hart.. 06/23/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...ABR...LBF...UNR... LAT...LON 42770120 43689924 43829766 43359712 42569789 41409987 41450075 41750169 42170214 42770120 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN Read more

WW 451 TORNADO MN ND 221955Z - 230300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 451 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 255 PM CDT Sun Jun 22 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of West-central and Northern Minnesota Eastern North Dakota * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 255 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms are expected to develop and move northeast across the watch area this afternoon and evening. A few tornadoes will be possible, including the potential for a couple strong tornadoes. Large hail and damaging thunderstorm wind gusts will also accompany the most intense storms. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles west northwest of International Falls MN to 55 miles south southwest of Fargo ND. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 23030. ...Bunting Read more

WW 0454 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 454 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE CVS TO 50 E TCC TO 20 ESE SPD. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1412 ..HART..06/23/25 ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 454 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC025-139-230240- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CIMARRON TEXAS TXC069-111-117-195-205-233-341-359-369-375-381-421-230240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CASTRO DALLAM DEAF SMITH HANSFORD HARTLEY HUTCHINSON MOORE OLDHAM PARMER POTTER RANDALL SHERMAN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0454 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 454 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE CVS TO 50 E TCC TO 20 ESE SPD. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1412 ..HART..06/23/25 ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 454 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC025-139-230240- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CIMARRON TEXAS TXC069-111-117-195-205-233-341-359-369-375-381-421-230240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CASTRO DALLAM DEAF SMITH HANSFORD HARTLEY HUTCHINSON MOORE OLDHAM PARMER POTTER RANDALL SHERMAN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 454 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 222345Z - 230400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 454 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 645 PM CDT Sun Jun 22 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Oklahoma Panhandle Western Half of the Texas Panhandle * Effective this Sunday evening from 645 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms evolving into one or two small clusters are forecast to gradually move east-northeast across the Watch this evening. Severe gusts (60-70 mph) are possible with the more intense downdrafts. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40 statute miles east and west of a line from Elkhart KS to 75 miles south southwest of Amarillo TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 451...WW 452...WW 453... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 24025. ...Smith Read more

WW 0453 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 453 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW OLU TO 20 SW BBW TO 25 NE LBF TO 35 SSW ANW. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1411 ..HART..06/23/25 ATTN...WFO...OAX...LBF...GID...FSD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 453 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NEC003-009-011-015-017-027-041-071-077-089-103-107-113-115-119- 139-149-171-175-183-230240- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANTELOPE BLAINE BOONE BOYD BROWN CEDAR CUSTER GARFIELD GREELEY HOLT KEYA PAHA KNOX LOGAN LOUP MADISON PIERCE ROCK THOMAS VALLEY WHEELER SDC003-005-009-011-015-023-027-035-043-053-061-067-073-077-079- 083-087-097-099-101-111-125-135-230240- SD . SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AURORA BEADLE BON HOMME BROOKINGS BRULE CHARLES MIX Read more

WW 0453 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 453 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW OLU TO 20 SW BBW TO 25 NE LBF TO 35 SSW ANW. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1411 ..HART..06/23/25 ATTN...WFO...OAX...LBF...GID...FSD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 453 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NEC003-009-011-015-017-027-041-071-077-089-103-107-113-115-119- 139-149-171-175-183-230240- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANTELOPE BLAINE BOONE BOYD BROWN CEDAR CUSTER GARFIELD GREELEY HOLT KEYA PAHA KNOX LOGAN LOUP MADISON PIERCE ROCK THOMAS VALLEY WHEELER SDC003-005-009-011-015-023-027-035-043-053-061-067-073-077-079- 083-087-097-099-101-111-125-135-230240- SD . SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AURORA BEADLE BON HOMME BROOKINGS BRULE CHARLES MIX Read more

WW 453 SEVERE TSTM NE SD 222100Z - 230400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 453 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 400 PM CDT Sun Jun 22 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Central Nebraska Southeast South Dakota * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 400 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms are expected to develop rapidly and move northeast across the watch area through this evening with a risk for damaging wind gusts and large hail. The potential for corridors of more concentrated wind damage may increase towards this evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles northeast of Mitchell SD to 60 miles south southeast of North Platte NE. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 451...WW 452... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 23030. ...Bunting Read more