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2 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0756 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025
Valid 070100Z - 071200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE HIGH
PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered storms capable of producing severe wind gusts and large
hail will continue tonight across the Plains, especially across
eastern Colorado and western parts of Nebraska and Kansas into
Oklahoma.
...Discussion...
Primary severe risk for the remainder of the night will be focused
across the Great Plains, and the central High Plains in particular.
Severe potential will continue to nocturnally wane across the
Midwest, Maine, and across North Carolina in association with
Tropical Depression Chantal.
This evening, scattered severe storms including some supercells will
persist in areas spanning near the Black Hills southward into the
Nebraska Panhandle, eastern Colorado, and western Kansas. One or
more semi-organized generally southeastward-moving clusters may
eventually evolve within/across the instability axis across far
eastern Colorado/western Kansas with an increased severe-wind
potential aside from a continued episodic large hail risk. This
scenario will be supported by a modestly increasing southerly
low-level jet. Damaging winds and some hail will also continue to be
a concern across northern Oklahoma with a couple of ongoing
clusters, at least for a few hours this evening.
..Guyer.. 07/07/2025
Read more
2 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0756 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025
Valid 070100Z - 071200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE HIGH
PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered storms capable of producing severe wind gusts and large
hail will continue tonight across the Plains, especially across
eastern Colorado and western parts of Nebraska and Kansas into
Oklahoma.
...Discussion...
Primary severe risk for the remainder of the night will be focused
across the Great Plains, and the central High Plains in particular.
Severe potential will continue to nocturnally wane across the
Midwest, Maine, and across North Carolina in association with
Tropical Depression Chantal.
This evening, scattered severe storms including some supercells will
persist in areas spanning near the Black Hills southward into the
Nebraska Panhandle, eastern Colorado, and western Kansas. One or
more semi-organized generally southeastward-moving clusters may
eventually evolve within/across the instability axis across far
eastern Colorado/western Kansas with an increased severe-wind
potential aside from a continued episodic large hail risk. This
scenario will be supported by a modestly increasing southerly
low-level jet. Damaging winds and some hail will also continue to be
a concern across northern Oklahoma with a couple of ongoing
clusters, at least for a few hours this evening.
..Guyer.. 07/07/2025
Read more
2 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0756 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025
Valid 070100Z - 071200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE HIGH
PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered storms capable of producing severe wind gusts and large
hail will continue tonight across the Plains, especially across
eastern Colorado and western parts of Nebraska and Kansas into
Oklahoma.
...Discussion...
Primary severe risk for the remainder of the night will be focused
across the Great Plains, and the central High Plains in particular.
Severe potential will continue to nocturnally wane across the
Midwest, Maine, and across North Carolina in association with
Tropical Depression Chantal.
This evening, scattered severe storms including some supercells will
persist in areas spanning near the Black Hills southward into the
Nebraska Panhandle, eastern Colorado, and western Kansas. One or
more semi-organized generally southeastward-moving clusters may
eventually evolve within/across the instability axis across far
eastern Colorado/western Kansas with an increased severe-wind
potential aside from a continued episodic large hail risk. This
scenario will be supported by a modestly increasing southerly
low-level jet. Damaging winds and some hail will also continue to be
a concern across northern Oklahoma with a couple of ongoing
clusters, at least for a few hours this evening.
..Guyer.. 07/07/2025
Read more
2 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0756 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025
Valid 070100Z - 071200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE HIGH
PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered storms capable of producing severe wind gusts and large
hail will continue tonight across the Plains, especially across
eastern Colorado and western parts of Nebraska and Kansas into
Oklahoma.
...Discussion...
Primary severe risk for the remainder of the night will be focused
across the Great Plains, and the central High Plains in particular.
Severe potential will continue to nocturnally wane across the
Midwest, Maine, and across North Carolina in association with
Tropical Depression Chantal.
This evening, scattered severe storms including some supercells will
persist in areas spanning near the Black Hills southward into the
Nebraska Panhandle, eastern Colorado, and western Kansas. One or
more semi-organized generally southeastward-moving clusters may
eventually evolve within/across the instability axis across far
eastern Colorado/western Kansas with an increased severe-wind
potential aside from a continued episodic large hail risk. This
scenario will be supported by a modestly increasing southerly
low-level jet. Damaging winds and some hail will also continue to be
a concern across northern Oklahoma with a couple of ongoing
clusters, at least for a few hours this evening.
..Guyer.. 07/07/2025
Read more
2 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0756 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025
Valid 070100Z - 071200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE HIGH
PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered storms capable of producing severe wind gusts and large
hail will continue tonight across the Plains, especially across
eastern Colorado and western parts of Nebraska and Kansas into
Oklahoma.
...Discussion...
Primary severe risk for the remainder of the night will be focused
across the Great Plains, and the central High Plains in particular.
Severe potential will continue to nocturnally wane across the
Midwest, Maine, and across North Carolina in association with
Tropical Depression Chantal.
This evening, scattered severe storms including some supercells will
persist in areas spanning near the Black Hills southward into the
Nebraska Panhandle, eastern Colorado, and western Kansas. One or
more semi-organized generally southeastward-moving clusters may
eventually evolve within/across the instability axis across far
eastern Colorado/western Kansas with an increased severe-wind
potential aside from a continued episodic large hail risk. This
scenario will be supported by a modestly increasing southerly
low-level jet. Damaging winds and some hail will also continue to be
a concern across northern Oklahoma with a couple of ongoing
clusters, at least for a few hours this evening.
..Guyer.. 07/07/2025
Read more
2 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0756 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025
Valid 070100Z - 071200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE HIGH
PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered storms capable of producing severe wind gusts and large
hail will continue tonight across the Plains, especially across
eastern Colorado and western parts of Nebraska and Kansas into
Oklahoma.
...Discussion...
Primary severe risk for the remainder of the night will be focused
across the Great Plains, and the central High Plains in particular.
Severe potential will continue to nocturnally wane across the
Midwest, Maine, and across North Carolina in association with
Tropical Depression Chantal.
This evening, scattered severe storms including some supercells will
persist in areas spanning near the Black Hills southward into the
Nebraska Panhandle, eastern Colorado, and western Kansas. One or
more semi-organized generally southeastward-moving clusters may
eventually evolve within/across the instability axis across far
eastern Colorado/western Kansas with an increased severe-wind
potential aside from a continued episodic large hail risk. This
scenario will be supported by a modestly increasing southerly
low-level jet. Damaging winds and some hail will also continue to be
a concern across northern Oklahoma with a couple of ongoing
clusters, at least for a few hours this evening.
..Guyer.. 07/07/2025
Read more
2 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0756 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025
Valid 070100Z - 071200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE HIGH
PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered storms capable of producing severe wind gusts and large
hail will continue tonight across the Plains, especially across
eastern Colorado and western parts of Nebraska and Kansas into
Oklahoma.
...Discussion...
Primary severe risk for the remainder of the night will be focused
across the Great Plains, and the central High Plains in particular.
Severe potential will continue to nocturnally wane across the
Midwest, Maine, and across North Carolina in association with
Tropical Depression Chantal.
This evening, scattered severe storms including some supercells will
persist in areas spanning near the Black Hills southward into the
Nebraska Panhandle, eastern Colorado, and western Kansas. One or
more semi-organized generally southeastward-moving clusters may
eventually evolve within/across the instability axis across far
eastern Colorado/western Kansas with an increased severe-wind
potential aside from a continued episodic large hail risk. This
scenario will be supported by a modestly increasing southerly
low-level jet. Damaging winds and some hail will also continue to be
a concern across northern Oklahoma with a couple of ongoing
clusters, at least for a few hours this evening.
..Guyer.. 07/07/2025
Read more
2 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0756 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025
Valid 070100Z - 071200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE HIGH
PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered storms capable of producing severe wind gusts and large
hail will continue tonight across the Plains, especially across
eastern Colorado and western parts of Nebraska and Kansas into
Oklahoma.
...Discussion...
Primary severe risk for the remainder of the night will be focused
across the Great Plains, and the central High Plains in particular.
Severe potential will continue to nocturnally wane across the
Midwest, Maine, and across North Carolina in association with
Tropical Depression Chantal.
This evening, scattered severe storms including some supercells will
persist in areas spanning near the Black Hills southward into the
Nebraska Panhandle, eastern Colorado, and western Kansas. One or
more semi-organized generally southeastward-moving clusters may
eventually evolve within/across the instability axis across far
eastern Colorado/western Kansas with an increased severe-wind
potential aside from a continued episodic large hail risk. This
scenario will be supported by a modestly increasing southerly
low-level jet. Damaging winds and some hail will also continue to be
a concern across northern Oklahoma with a couple of ongoing
clusters, at least for a few hours this evening.
..Guyer.. 07/07/2025
Read more
2 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0756 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025
Valid 070100Z - 071200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE HIGH
PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered storms capable of producing severe wind gusts and large
hail will continue tonight across the Plains, especially across
eastern Colorado and western parts of Nebraska and Kansas into
Oklahoma.
...Discussion...
Primary severe risk for the remainder of the night will be focused
across the Great Plains, and the central High Plains in particular.
Severe potential will continue to nocturnally wane across the
Midwest, Maine, and across North Carolina in association with
Tropical Depression Chantal.
This evening, scattered severe storms including some supercells will
persist in areas spanning near the Black Hills southward into the
Nebraska Panhandle, eastern Colorado, and western Kansas. One or
more semi-organized generally southeastward-moving clusters may
eventually evolve within/across the instability axis across far
eastern Colorado/western Kansas with an increased severe-wind
potential aside from a continued episodic large hail risk. This
scenario will be supported by a modestly increasing southerly
low-level jet. Damaging winds and some hail will also continue to be
a concern across northern Oklahoma with a couple of ongoing
clusters, at least for a few hours this evening.
..Guyer.. 07/07/2025
Read more
2 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0756 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025
Valid 070100Z - 071200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE HIGH
PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered storms capable of producing severe wind gusts and large
hail will continue tonight across the Plains, especially across
eastern Colorado and western parts of Nebraska and Kansas into
Oklahoma.
...Discussion...
Primary severe risk for the remainder of the night will be focused
across the Great Plains, and the central High Plains in particular.
Severe potential will continue to nocturnally wane across the
Midwest, Maine, and across North Carolina in association with
Tropical Depression Chantal.
This evening, scattered severe storms including some supercells will
persist in areas spanning near the Black Hills southward into the
Nebraska Panhandle, eastern Colorado, and western Kansas. One or
more semi-organized generally southeastward-moving clusters may
eventually evolve within/across the instability axis across far
eastern Colorado/western Kansas with an increased severe-wind
potential aside from a continued episodic large hail risk. This
scenario will be supported by a modestly increasing southerly
low-level jet. Damaging winds and some hail will also continue to be
a concern across northern Oklahoma with a couple of ongoing
clusters, at least for a few hours this evening.
..Guyer.. 07/07/2025
Read more
2 months ago
MD 1585 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 489... FOR PARTS OF EAST-CENTRAL COLORADO
Mesoscale Discussion 1585
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0654 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025
Areas affected...Parts of east-central Colorado
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489...
Valid 062354Z - 070100Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489
continues.
SUMMARY...Large hail and severe wind gusts remain possible along and
east of the I-35 corridor in Colorado -- within Severe Thunderstorm
Watch 489. A local southward extension of the watch may be
warranted.
DISCUSSION...A couple organized clusters/supercells are tracking
slowly southeastward along and east of the I-35 corridor in CO, with
a recent report of 2-inch hail. VWP and mesoanalysis data show a
long/straight hodograph (around 40 kt of effective shear), which
combined with steep deep-layer lapse rates, should support the
maintenance of these storms with southeastward extent. Large hail
and severe wind gusts are the primary concerns. It is possible that
the southern supercell tracks south-southeastward out of Severe
Thunderstorm Watch 489, and a local extension of the watch may be
warranted here.
..Weinman.. 07/06/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...BOU...
LAT...LON 38460497 38860498 39220467 39490406 39490359 39300316
38920299 38520308 38190360 38110419 38180468 38460497
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
Read more
2 months ago
WW 0490 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 490
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1585
..WEINMAN..07/07/25
ATTN...WFO...GLD...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 490
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC023-039-063-065-109-137-153-179-181-193-199-070140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DECATUR GOVE
GRAHAM LOGAN NORTON
RAWLINS SHERIDAN SHERMAN
THOMAS WALLACE
NEC057-087-145-070140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNDY HITCHCOCK RED WILLOW
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
2 months ago
WW 0489 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 489
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE LHX
TO 25 SSE AKO TO 45 ESE AKO.
..SPC..07/07/25
ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...PUB...CYS...LBF...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 489
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC011-017-025-061-063-089-099-101-125-070340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENT CHEYENNE CROWLEY
KIOWA KIT CARSON OTERO
PROWERS PUEBLO YUMA
NEC069-161-070340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GARDEN SHERIDAN
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
2 months ago
WW 0489 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 489
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE LHX
TO 25 SSE AKO TO 45 ESE AKO.
..SPC..07/07/25
ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...PUB...CYS...LBF...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 489
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC011-017-025-061-063-089-099-101-125-070340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENT CHEYENNE CROWLEY
KIOWA KIT CARSON OTERO
PROWERS PUEBLO YUMA
NEC069-161-070340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GARDEN SHERIDAN
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
2 months ago
WW 0489 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 489
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE LHX
TO 25 SSE AKO TO 45 ESE AKO.
..SPC..07/07/25
ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...PUB...CYS...LBF...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 489
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC011-017-025-061-063-089-099-101-125-070340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENT CHEYENNE CROWLEY
KIOWA KIT CARSON OTERO
PROWERS PUEBLO YUMA
NEC069-161-070340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GARDEN SHERIDAN
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
2 months ago
WW 0489 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 489
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW DEN
TO 35 NNW AKO TO 10 ENE BFF TO 35 NW TOR.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1585
..WEINMAN..07/07/25
ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...PUB...CYS...LBF...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 489
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC001-005-017-039-041-061-063-073-075-087-095-115-121-125-
070140-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ARAPAHOE CHEYENNE
ELBERT EL PASO KIOWA
KIT CARSON LINCOLN LOGAN
MORGAN PHILLIPS SEDGWICK
WASHINGTON YUMA
NEC013-033-045-049-069-123-165-070140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOX BUTTE CHEYENNE DAWES
DEUEL GARDEN MORRILL
SIOUX
Read more
2 months ago
WW 0489 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 489
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW DEN
TO 35 NNW AKO TO 10 ENE BFF TO 35 NW TOR.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1585
..WEINMAN..07/07/25
ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...PUB...CYS...LBF...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 489
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC001-005-017-039-041-061-063-073-075-087-095-115-121-125-
070140-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ARAPAHOE CHEYENNE
ELBERT EL PASO KIOWA
KIT CARSON LINCOLN LOGAN
MORGAN PHILLIPS SEDGWICK
WASHINGTON YUMA
NEC013-033-045-049-069-123-165-070140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOX BUTTE CHEYENNE DAWES
DEUEL GARDEN MORRILL
SIOUX
Read more
2 months ago
WW 489 SEVERE TSTM CO NE WY 061920Z - 070200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 489
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
120 PM MDT Sun Jul 6 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northeast Colorado
Nebraska Panhandle
Southeast Wyoming
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 120 PM until
800 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph likely
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will intensify through the afternoon off the
foothills of northeast Colorado and southeast Wyoming. A few severe
storms are expected, capable of large hail and damaging wind gusts
through the early evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles east northeast
of Torrington WY to 50 miles south southeast of Limon CO. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27030.
...Hart
Read more
2 months ago
MD 1584 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 489...490... FOR NORTHEAST COLORADO...NORTHWEST KS...AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA
Mesoscale Discussion 1584
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0603 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025
Areas affected...Northeast Colorado...northwest KS...and southwest
Nebraska
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489...490...
Valid 062303Z - 070030Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489, 490
continues.
SUMMARY...A focused/favorable corridor for large hail and severe
wind gusts is evident over the central High Plains for the next few
hours -- within Severe Thunderstorm Watches 489/490.
DISCUSSION...An intense, nearly stationary supercell has evolved out
of a cluster of storms over far northeastern CO. Farther west, a
separate cluster of storms is showing signs of upscale growth. To
the southeast of this activity, a gradually stalling outflow
boundary is arcing northwestward from northwest KS into northeastern
CO. This outflow boundary may provide a focused mesoscale corridor
for the maintenance of the supercell (and additional nearby
convection) with southeastward extent into this evening. Along this
corridor, around 40 kt of effective shear (locally boosted/enhanced
along the boundary) and moderate surface-based instability will
favor large to very large hail (some 2+ inches in diameter) and
severe wind gusts with any established supercells/clusters. Some
upscale growth may also occur with time, as the western cluster may
have a tendency of merging with the downstream storms/supercells --
posing an increasing risk of severe-wind gusts into this evening.
..Weinman.. 07/06/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...BOU...CYS...
LAT...LON 39890262 40070379 40310432 40510443 41030408 41510398
41740355 41700294 41480238 40730187 39900146 39630170
39610203 39710228 39890262
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
Read more
2 months ago
MD 1585 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 489... FOR PARTS OF EAST-CENTRAL COLORADO
Mesoscale Discussion 1585
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0654 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025
Areas affected...Parts of east-central Colorado
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489...
Valid 062354Z - 070100Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489
continues.
SUMMARY...Large hail and severe wind gusts remain possible along and
east of the I-35 corridor in Colorado -- within Severe Thunderstorm
Watch 489. A local southward extension of the watch may be
warranted.
DISCUSSION...A couple organized clusters/supercells are tracking
slowly southeastward along and east of the I-35 corridor in CO, with
a recent report of 2-inch hail. VWP and mesoanalysis data show a
long/straight hodograph (around 40 kt of effective shear), which
combined with steep deep-layer lapse rates, should support the
maintenance of these storms with southeastward extent. Large hail
and severe wind gusts are the primary concerns. It is possible that
the southern supercell tracks south-southeastward out of Severe
Thunderstorm Watch 489, and a local extension of the watch may be
warranted here.
..Weinman.. 07/06/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...BOU...
LAT...LON 38460497 38860498 39220467 39490406 39490359 39300316
38920299 38520308 38190360 38110419 38180468 38460497
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
Read more
Checked
5 years 11 months ago
Storm Prediction Center
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