Severe Storms

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1148 AM CDT Thu Nov 02 2023 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Friday. ...Synopsis and Discussion... With surface high pressure remaining anchored over much of the central and eastern states, thunderstorm potential will remain quite limited across a large majority of the CONUS on Friday. One exception may be across parts of south FL and the Keys, where low-level moisture will gradually increase as a weak low-level easterly wave moves over these areas and the FL Straits. Even with poor lapse rates expected, isolated thunderstorms may still occur along mesoscale boundaries/sea breezes through the period. ..Gleason.. 11/02/2023 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1148 AM CDT Thu Nov 02 2023 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Friday. ...Synopsis and Discussion... With surface high pressure remaining anchored over much of the central and eastern states, thunderstorm potential will remain quite limited across a large majority of the CONUS on Friday. One exception may be across parts of south FL and the Keys, where low-level moisture will gradually increase as a weak low-level easterly wave moves over these areas and the FL Straits. Even with poor lapse rates expected, isolated thunderstorms may still occur along mesoscale boundaries/sea breezes through the period. ..Gleason.. 11/02/2023 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1148 AM CDT Thu Nov 02 2023 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Friday. ...Synopsis and Discussion... With surface high pressure remaining anchored over much of the central and eastern states, thunderstorm potential will remain quite limited across a large majority of the CONUS on Friday. One exception may be across parts of south FL and the Keys, where low-level moisture will gradually increase as a weak low-level easterly wave moves over these areas and the FL Straits. Even with poor lapse rates expected, isolated thunderstorms may still occur along mesoscale boundaries/sea breezes through the period. ..Gleason.. 11/02/2023 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1148 AM CDT Thu Nov 02 2023 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Friday. ...Synopsis and Discussion... With surface high pressure remaining anchored over much of the central and eastern states, thunderstorm potential will remain quite limited across a large majority of the CONUS on Friday. One exception may be across parts of south FL and the Keys, where low-level moisture will gradually increase as a weak low-level easterly wave moves over these areas and the FL Straits. Even with poor lapse rates expected, isolated thunderstorms may still occur along mesoscale boundaries/sea breezes through the period. ..Gleason.. 11/02/2023 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1148 AM CDT Thu Nov 02 2023 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Friday. ...Synopsis and Discussion... With surface high pressure remaining anchored over much of the central and eastern states, thunderstorm potential will remain quite limited across a large majority of the CONUS on Friday. One exception may be across parts of south FL and the Keys, where low-level moisture will gradually increase as a weak low-level easterly wave moves over these areas and the FL Straits. Even with poor lapse rates expected, isolated thunderstorms may still occur along mesoscale boundaries/sea breezes through the period. ..Gleason.. 11/02/2023 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1148 AM CDT Thu Nov 02 2023 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Friday. ...Synopsis and Discussion... With surface high pressure remaining anchored over much of the central and eastern states, thunderstorm potential will remain quite limited across a large majority of the CONUS on Friday. One exception may be across parts of south FL and the Keys, where low-level moisture will gradually increase as a weak low-level easterly wave moves over these areas and the FL Straits. Even with poor lapse rates expected, isolated thunderstorms may still occur along mesoscale boundaries/sea breezes through the period. ..Gleason.. 11/02/2023 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1148 AM CDT Thu Nov 02 2023 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Friday. ...Synopsis and Discussion... With surface high pressure remaining anchored over much of the central and eastern states, thunderstorm potential will remain quite limited across a large majority of the CONUS on Friday. One exception may be across parts of south FL and the Keys, where low-level moisture will gradually increase as a weak low-level easterly wave moves over these areas and the FL Straits. Even with poor lapse rates expected, isolated thunderstorms may still occur along mesoscale boundaries/sea breezes through the period. ..Gleason.. 11/02/2023 Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1123 AM CDT Thu Nov 02 2023 Valid 021700Z - 031200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes will be made to the current forecast. Localized fire-weather concerns are possible over parts of the southeast within a dry air mass, but with weak winds. Otherwise, fire-weather concerns are low. ..Lyons.. 11/02/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0111 AM CDT Thu Nov 02 2023/ ...Synopsis... Today, a surface anticyclone will remain stationary along the East Coast as a weak but broad mid-level trough glances by to the north. The surface high will support dry air (i.e. 25-35 percent RH) meandering across the TN Valley into the central Appalachians. However, given weak surface winds, the wildfire-spread threat should remain localized at best. Surface winds will be stronger farther north across the OH Valley beneath the passing upper-level trough. However, since RH should generally remain above 30 percent, and given recent appreciable rainfall in the past 3 days, the wildfire-spread threat should be too limited to warrant fire weather highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1123 AM CDT Thu Nov 02 2023 Valid 021700Z - 031200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes will be made to the current forecast. Localized fire-weather concerns are possible over parts of the southeast within a dry air mass, but with weak winds. Otherwise, fire-weather concerns are low. ..Lyons.. 11/02/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0111 AM CDT Thu Nov 02 2023/ ...Synopsis... Today, a surface anticyclone will remain stationary along the East Coast as a weak but broad mid-level trough glances by to the north. The surface high will support dry air (i.e. 25-35 percent RH) meandering across the TN Valley into the central Appalachians. However, given weak surface winds, the wildfire-spread threat should remain localized at best. Surface winds will be stronger farther north across the OH Valley beneath the passing upper-level trough. However, since RH should generally remain above 30 percent, and given recent appreciable rainfall in the past 3 days, the wildfire-spread threat should be too limited to warrant fire weather highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1123 AM CDT Thu Nov 02 2023 Valid 021700Z - 031200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes will be made to the current forecast. Localized fire-weather concerns are possible over parts of the southeast within a dry air mass, but with weak winds. Otherwise, fire-weather concerns are low. ..Lyons.. 11/02/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0111 AM CDT Thu Nov 02 2023/ ...Synopsis... Today, a surface anticyclone will remain stationary along the East Coast as a weak but broad mid-level trough glances by to the north. The surface high will support dry air (i.e. 25-35 percent RH) meandering across the TN Valley into the central Appalachians. However, given weak surface winds, the wildfire-spread threat should remain localized at best. Surface winds will be stronger farther north across the OH Valley beneath the passing upper-level trough. However, since RH should generally remain above 30 percent, and given recent appreciable rainfall in the past 3 days, the wildfire-spread threat should be too limited to warrant fire weather highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1123 AM CDT Thu Nov 02 2023 Valid 021700Z - 031200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes will be made to the current forecast. Localized fire-weather concerns are possible over parts of the southeast within a dry air mass, but with weak winds. Otherwise, fire-weather concerns are low. ..Lyons.. 11/02/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0111 AM CDT Thu Nov 02 2023/ ...Synopsis... Today, a surface anticyclone will remain stationary along the East Coast as a weak but broad mid-level trough glances by to the north. The surface high will support dry air (i.e. 25-35 percent RH) meandering across the TN Valley into the central Appalachians. However, given weak surface winds, the wildfire-spread threat should remain localized at best. Surface winds will be stronger farther north across the OH Valley beneath the passing upper-level trough. However, since RH should generally remain above 30 percent, and given recent appreciable rainfall in the past 3 days, the wildfire-spread threat should be too limited to warrant fire weather highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1123 AM CDT Thu Nov 02 2023 Valid 021700Z - 031200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes will be made to the current forecast. Localized fire-weather concerns are possible over parts of the southeast within a dry air mass, but with weak winds. Otherwise, fire-weather concerns are low. ..Lyons.. 11/02/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0111 AM CDT Thu Nov 02 2023/ ...Synopsis... Today, a surface anticyclone will remain stationary along the East Coast as a weak but broad mid-level trough glances by to the north. The surface high will support dry air (i.e. 25-35 percent RH) meandering across the TN Valley into the central Appalachians. However, given weak surface winds, the wildfire-spread threat should remain localized at best. Surface winds will be stronger farther north across the OH Valley beneath the passing upper-level trough. However, since RH should generally remain above 30 percent, and given recent appreciable rainfall in the past 3 days, the wildfire-spread threat should be too limited to warrant fire weather highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1123 AM CDT Thu Nov 02 2023 Valid 021700Z - 031200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes will be made to the current forecast. Localized fire-weather concerns are possible over parts of the southeast within a dry air mass, but with weak winds. Otherwise, fire-weather concerns are low. ..Lyons.. 11/02/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0111 AM CDT Thu Nov 02 2023/ ...Synopsis... Today, a surface anticyclone will remain stationary along the East Coast as a weak but broad mid-level trough glances by to the north. The surface high will support dry air (i.e. 25-35 percent RH) meandering across the TN Valley into the central Appalachians. However, given weak surface winds, the wildfire-spread threat should remain localized at best. Surface winds will be stronger farther north across the OH Valley beneath the passing upper-level trough. However, since RH should generally remain above 30 percent, and given recent appreciable rainfall in the past 3 days, the wildfire-spread threat should be too limited to warrant fire weather highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1123 AM CDT Thu Nov 02 2023 Valid 021700Z - 031200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes will be made to the current forecast. Localized fire-weather concerns are possible over parts of the southeast within a dry air mass, but with weak winds. Otherwise, fire-weather concerns are low. ..Lyons.. 11/02/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0111 AM CDT Thu Nov 02 2023/ ...Synopsis... Today, a surface anticyclone will remain stationary along the East Coast as a weak but broad mid-level trough glances by to the north. The surface high will support dry air (i.e. 25-35 percent RH) meandering across the TN Valley into the central Appalachians. However, given weak surface winds, the wildfire-spread threat should remain localized at best. Surface winds will be stronger farther north across the OH Valley beneath the passing upper-level trough. However, since RH should generally remain above 30 percent, and given recent appreciable rainfall in the past 3 days, the wildfire-spread threat should be too limited to warrant fire weather highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1107 AM CDT Thu Nov 02 2023 Valid 021630Z - 031200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... No thunderstorms are expected today. Relatively dry and stable conditions will preclude thunderstorms over virtually all of the CONUS today. The one area of minor concern is across parts of western OR/WA as a shortwave trough moves ashore. However, the back edge of the forcing and moist plume is moving onshore now, and no lightning has been observed so far. Given the very marginal thermodynamic setup, have removed 10% lightning probabilities for this region. But nevertheless, an isolated flash or two cannot be ruled out. ..Hart/Thornton.. 11/02/2023 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1107 AM CDT Thu Nov 02 2023 Valid 021630Z - 031200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... No thunderstorms are expected today. Relatively dry and stable conditions will preclude thunderstorms over virtually all of the CONUS today. The one area of minor concern is across parts of western OR/WA as a shortwave trough moves ashore. However, the back edge of the forcing and moist plume is moving onshore now, and no lightning has been observed so far. Given the very marginal thermodynamic setup, have removed 10% lightning probabilities for this region. But nevertheless, an isolated flash or two cannot be ruled out. ..Hart/Thornton.. 11/02/2023 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1107 AM CDT Thu Nov 02 2023 Valid 021630Z - 031200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... No thunderstorms are expected today. Relatively dry and stable conditions will preclude thunderstorms over virtually all of the CONUS today. The one area of minor concern is across parts of western OR/WA as a shortwave trough moves ashore. However, the back edge of the forcing and moist plume is moving onshore now, and no lightning has been observed so far. Given the very marginal thermodynamic setup, have removed 10% lightning probabilities for this region. But nevertheless, an isolated flash or two cannot be ruled out. ..Hart/Thornton.. 11/02/2023 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1107 AM CDT Thu Nov 02 2023 Valid 021630Z - 031200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... No thunderstorms are expected today. Relatively dry and stable conditions will preclude thunderstorms over virtually all of the CONUS today. The one area of minor concern is across parts of western OR/WA as a shortwave trough moves ashore. However, the back edge of the forcing and moist plume is moving onshore now, and no lightning has been observed so far. Given the very marginal thermodynamic setup, have removed 10% lightning probabilities for this region. But nevertheless, an isolated flash or two cannot be ruled out. ..Hart/Thornton.. 11/02/2023 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1107 AM CDT Thu Nov 02 2023 Valid 021630Z - 031200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... No thunderstorms are expected today. Relatively dry and stable conditions will preclude thunderstorms over virtually all of the CONUS today. The one area of minor concern is across parts of western OR/WA as a shortwave trough moves ashore. However, the back edge of the forcing and moist plume is moving onshore now, and no lightning has been observed so far. Given the very marginal thermodynamic setup, have removed 10% lightning probabilities for this region. But nevertheless, an isolated flash or two cannot be ruled out. ..Hart/Thornton.. 11/02/2023 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1107 AM CDT Thu Nov 02 2023 Valid 021630Z - 031200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... No thunderstorms are expected today. Relatively dry and stable conditions will preclude thunderstorms over virtually all of the CONUS today. The one area of minor concern is across parts of western OR/WA as a shortwave trough moves ashore. However, the back edge of the forcing and moist plume is moving onshore now, and no lightning has been observed so far. Given the very marginal thermodynamic setup, have removed 10% lightning probabilities for this region. But nevertheless, an isolated flash or two cannot be ruled out. ..Hart/Thornton.. 11/02/2023 Read more