Severe Storms

WW 0713 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 713 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 S 7R4 TO 25 SSW MOB. ..KERR..12/02/23 ATTN...WFO...LIX...LCH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 713 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC051-057-071-075-087-089-109-020840- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE JEFFERSON LAFOURCHE ORLEANS PLAQUEMINES ST. BERNARD ST. CHARLES TERREBONNE GMZ436-455-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-020840- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM MISSISSIPPI SOUND LAKE BORGNE Read more

MD 2300 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 713... FOR SOUTHEAST LA...COASTAL MS/AL
Mesoscale Discussion 2300 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1135 PM CST Fri Dec 01 2023 Areas affected...Southeast LA...coastal MS/AL Concerning...Tornado Watch 713... Valid 020535Z - 020700Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 713 continues. SUMMARY...A brief tornado and marginally severe wind/hail will remain possible into the early morning as convection gradually shifts east from southeast LA to coastal portions of MS/AL. DISCUSSION...A pair of lower-end supercells have recently progressed into the Lake Pontchartrain vicinity, with additional deep convection lingering to the southwest in the northern Terrebonne/Lafourche Parish area. A limited severe threat should persist with this convection as it moves east towards the MS/AL coast. Surface-based instability has been subsiding amid overturning and stronger buoyancy relegated to the western Gulf, with MLCAPE holding at or below 500 J/kg east of LA. As such, the overall thermodynamic environment should gradually become less favorable for sustaining supercell structures. In addition, downstream low-level wind profiles as sampled by the KMOB VWP are still fairly modest, although an uptick remains progged during the early morning. This setup will yield a low-probability severe threat continuing east of WW 713, with uncertainty over whether another watch is needed. ..Grams.. 12/02/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MOB...LIX... LAT...LON 29539117 30179017 30358996 30668935 30798844 30908777 30588742 30438742 30348745 30198777 29898884 29408993 29299093 29539117 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1250 AM CST Sat Dec 02 2023 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms will be possible on Sunday from Florida northeastward into the eastern Carolinas, but no severe storms are expected. ...DISCUSSION... A trough at mid-levels will move across the central U.S. on Sunday, as southwesterly flow remains in place over the eastern U.S. Ahead of a cold front, a moist airmass will be in place from Florida northeastward into the eastern Carolinas. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible during the day across this moist airmass as surface temperatures warm. However, instability is expected to be insufficient for a severe threat. Elsewhere, no thunderstorm activity is forecast across the continental U.S. Sunday and Sunday night. ..Broyles.. 12/02/2023 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1250 AM CST Sat Dec 02 2023 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms will be possible on Sunday from Florida northeastward into the eastern Carolinas, but no severe storms are expected. ...DISCUSSION... A trough at mid-levels will move across the central U.S. on Sunday, as southwesterly flow remains in place over the eastern U.S. Ahead of a cold front, a moist airmass will be in place from Florida northeastward into the eastern Carolinas. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible during the day across this moist airmass as surface temperatures warm. However, instability is expected to be insufficient for a severe threat. Elsewhere, no thunderstorm activity is forecast across the continental U.S. Sunday and Sunday night. ..Broyles.. 12/02/2023 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1250 AM CST Sat Dec 02 2023 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms will be possible on Sunday from Florida northeastward into the eastern Carolinas, but no severe storms are expected. ...DISCUSSION... A trough at mid-levels will move across the central U.S. on Sunday, as southwesterly flow remains in place over the eastern U.S. Ahead of a cold front, a moist airmass will be in place from Florida northeastward into the eastern Carolinas. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible during the day across this moist airmass as surface temperatures warm. However, instability is expected to be insufficient for a severe threat. Elsewhere, no thunderstorm activity is forecast across the continental U.S. Sunday and Sunday night. ..Broyles.. 12/02/2023 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1250 AM CST Sat Dec 02 2023 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms will be possible on Sunday from Florida northeastward into the eastern Carolinas, but no severe storms are expected. ...DISCUSSION... A trough at mid-levels will move across the central U.S. on Sunday, as southwesterly flow remains in place over the eastern U.S. Ahead of a cold front, a moist airmass will be in place from Florida northeastward into the eastern Carolinas. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible during the day across this moist airmass as surface temperatures warm. However, instability is expected to be insufficient for a severe threat. Elsewhere, no thunderstorm activity is forecast across the continental U.S. Sunday and Sunday night. ..Broyles.. 12/02/2023 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1250 AM CST Sat Dec 02 2023 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms will be possible on Sunday from Florida northeastward into the eastern Carolinas, but no severe storms are expected. ...DISCUSSION... A trough at mid-levels will move across the central U.S. on Sunday, as southwesterly flow remains in place over the eastern U.S. Ahead of a cold front, a moist airmass will be in place from Florida northeastward into the eastern Carolinas. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible during the day across this moist airmass as surface temperatures warm. However, instability is expected to be insufficient for a severe threat. Elsewhere, no thunderstorm activity is forecast across the continental U.S. Sunday and Sunday night. ..Broyles.. 12/02/2023 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1250 AM CST Sat Dec 02 2023 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms will be possible on Sunday from Florida northeastward into the eastern Carolinas, but no severe storms are expected. ...DISCUSSION... A trough at mid-levels will move across the central U.S. on Sunday, as southwesterly flow remains in place over the eastern U.S. Ahead of a cold front, a moist airmass will be in place from Florida northeastward into the eastern Carolinas. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible during the day across this moist airmass as surface temperatures warm. However, instability is expected to be insufficient for a severe threat. Elsewhere, no thunderstorm activity is forecast across the continental U.S. Sunday and Sunday night. ..Broyles.. 12/02/2023 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1250 AM CST Sat Dec 02 2023 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms will be possible on Sunday from Florida northeastward into the eastern Carolinas, but no severe storms are expected. ...DISCUSSION... A trough at mid-levels will move across the central U.S. on Sunday, as southwesterly flow remains in place over the eastern U.S. Ahead of a cold front, a moist airmass will be in place from Florida northeastward into the eastern Carolinas. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible during the day across this moist airmass as surface temperatures warm. However, instability is expected to be insufficient for a severe threat. Elsewhere, no thunderstorm activity is forecast across the continental U.S. Sunday and Sunday night. ..Broyles.. 12/02/2023 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1250 AM CST Sat Dec 02 2023 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms will be possible on Sunday from Florida northeastward into the eastern Carolinas, but no severe storms are expected. ...DISCUSSION... A trough at mid-levels will move across the central U.S. on Sunday, as southwesterly flow remains in place over the eastern U.S. Ahead of a cold front, a moist airmass will be in place from Florida northeastward into the eastern Carolinas. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible during the day across this moist airmass as surface temperatures warm. However, instability is expected to be insufficient for a severe threat. Elsewhere, no thunderstorm activity is forecast across the continental U.S. Sunday and Sunday night. ..Broyles.. 12/02/2023 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1250 AM CST Sat Dec 02 2023 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms will be possible on Sunday from Florida northeastward into the eastern Carolinas, but no severe storms are expected. ...DISCUSSION... A trough at mid-levels will move across the central U.S. on Sunday, as southwesterly flow remains in place over the eastern U.S. Ahead of a cold front, a moist airmass will be in place from Florida northeastward into the eastern Carolinas. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible during the day across this moist airmass as surface temperatures warm. However, instability is expected to be insufficient for a severe threat. Elsewhere, no thunderstorm activity is forecast across the continental U.S. Sunday and Sunday night. ..Broyles.. 12/02/2023 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1250 AM CST Sat Dec 02 2023 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms will be possible on Sunday from Florida northeastward into the eastern Carolinas, but no severe storms are expected. ...DISCUSSION... A trough at mid-levels will move across the central U.S. on Sunday, as southwesterly flow remains in place over the eastern U.S. Ahead of a cold front, a moist airmass will be in place from Florida northeastward into the eastern Carolinas. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible during the day across this moist airmass as surface temperatures warm. However, instability is expected to be insufficient for a severe threat. Elsewhere, no thunderstorm activity is forecast across the continental U.S. Sunday and Sunday night. ..Broyles.. 12/02/2023 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1250 AM CST Sat Dec 02 2023 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms will be possible on Sunday from Florida northeastward into the eastern Carolinas, but no severe storms are expected. ...DISCUSSION... A trough at mid-levels will move across the central U.S. on Sunday, as southwesterly flow remains in place over the eastern U.S. Ahead of a cold front, a moist airmass will be in place from Florida northeastward into the eastern Carolinas. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible during the day across this moist airmass as surface temperatures warm. However, instability is expected to be insufficient for a severe threat. Elsewhere, no thunderstorm activity is forecast across the continental U.S. Sunday and Sunday night. ..Broyles.. 12/02/2023 Read more

WW 0713 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 713 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..KERR..12/02/23 ATTN...WFO...LIX...LCH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 713 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC005-007-033-045-047-051-057-063-071-075-087-089-093-095-099- 101-103-105-109-121-020740- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ASCENSION ASSUMPTION EAST BATON ROUGE IBERIA IBERVILLE JEFFERSON LAFOURCHE LIVINGSTON ORLEANS PLAQUEMINES ST. BERNARD ST. CHARLES ST. JAMES ST. JOHN THE BAPTISTST. MARTIN ST. MARY ST. TAMMANY TANGIPAHOA TERREBONNE WEST BATON ROUGE MSC045-047-059-020740- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE HANCOCK HARRISON JACKSON GMZ435-436-455-530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-020740- CW Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1231 AM CST Sat Dec 02 2023 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Enhanced west to northwesterly flow aloft will continue across the Rockies into the High Plains on Sunday. Dry downslope flow will lead to relative humidity reductions to around 15-20 percent with sustained winds around 20-25 mph across the Texas/Oklahoma Panhandles into far western Texas. While fuels in these regions remain above seasonal average for moistness, some drying can be expected in dormant fine fuels. Given low confidence in status of fuels, no areas have been included with this outlook, though Elevated meteorological conditions are possible. ..Thornton.. 12/02/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1231 AM CST Sat Dec 02 2023 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Enhanced west to northwesterly flow aloft will continue across the Rockies into the High Plains on Sunday. Dry downslope flow will lead to relative humidity reductions to around 15-20 percent with sustained winds around 20-25 mph across the Texas/Oklahoma Panhandles into far western Texas. While fuels in these regions remain above seasonal average for moistness, some drying can be expected in dormant fine fuels. Given low confidence in status of fuels, no areas have been included with this outlook, though Elevated meteorological conditions are possible. ..Thornton.. 12/02/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1231 AM CST Sat Dec 02 2023 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Enhanced west to northwesterly flow aloft will continue across the Rockies into the High Plains on Sunday. Dry downslope flow will lead to relative humidity reductions to around 15-20 percent with sustained winds around 20-25 mph across the Texas/Oklahoma Panhandles into far western Texas. While fuels in these regions remain above seasonal average for moistness, some drying can be expected in dormant fine fuels. Given low confidence in status of fuels, no areas have been included with this outlook, though Elevated meteorological conditions are possible. ..Thornton.. 12/02/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1231 AM CST Sat Dec 02 2023 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Enhanced west to northwesterly flow aloft will continue across the Rockies into the High Plains on Sunday. Dry downslope flow will lead to relative humidity reductions to around 15-20 percent with sustained winds around 20-25 mph across the Texas/Oklahoma Panhandles into far western Texas. While fuels in these regions remain above seasonal average for moistness, some drying can be expected in dormant fine fuels. Given low confidence in status of fuels, no areas have been included with this outlook, though Elevated meteorological conditions are possible. ..Thornton.. 12/02/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1231 AM CST Sat Dec 02 2023 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Enhanced west to northwesterly flow aloft will continue across the Rockies into the High Plains on Sunday. Dry downslope flow will lead to relative humidity reductions to around 15-20 percent with sustained winds around 20-25 mph across the Texas/Oklahoma Panhandles into far western Texas. While fuels in these regions remain above seasonal average for moistness, some drying can be expected in dormant fine fuels. Given low confidence in status of fuels, no areas have been included with this outlook, though Elevated meteorological conditions are possible. ..Thornton.. 12/02/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1231 AM CST Sat Dec 02 2023 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Enhanced west to northwesterly flow aloft will continue across the Rockies into the High Plains on Sunday. Dry downslope flow will lead to relative humidity reductions to around 15-20 percent with sustained winds around 20-25 mph across the Texas/Oklahoma Panhandles into far western Texas. While fuels in these regions remain above seasonal average for moistness, some drying can be expected in dormant fine fuels. Given low confidence in status of fuels, no areas have been included with this outlook, though Elevated meteorological conditions are possible. ..Thornton.. 12/02/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more