Severe Storms

WW 0373 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 373 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WNW ABI TO 15 SSW MWL TO 35 NNE MWL. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1132 ..SUPINIE..06/02/24 ATTN...WFO...SJT...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 373 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC059-093-113-119-133-139-143-147-221-223-231-251-257-367-379- 397-425-439-441-467-022340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALLAHAN COMANCHE DALLAS DELTA EASTLAND ELLIS ERATH FANNIN HOOD HOPKINS HUNT JOHNSON KAUFMAN PARKER RAINS ROCKWALL SOMERVELL TARRANT TAYLOR VAN ZANDT THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

MD 1132 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 372...373... FOR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...NORTHEAST TEXAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...AND NORTHWEST LOUISIANA
Mesoscale Discussion 1132 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0325 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Areas affected...southeast Oklahoma...northeast Texas...southwest Arkansas...and northwest Louisiana Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 372...373... Valid 022025Z - 022230Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...A new severe thunderstorm watch may be needed downstream of watch 272/273. DISCUSSION...The airmass ahead of a well-established line of storms continues to destabilize with mid-70s dewpoints and temperatures in the mid 80s across northeast Texas. Given this strongly unstable downstream environment (2000-3500 J/kg MLCAPE), expect this storm cluster to continue southeast with a threat for isolated large hail and severe wind gusts this evening. ..Bentley/Smith.. 06/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN... LAT...LON 34669595 34709482 34789416 34489376 33709349 33159352 32469354 32359385 32739550 32949590 34669595 Read more

MD 1133 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST TEXAS INTO SOUTHERN LOUISIANA
Mesoscale Discussion 1133 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0345 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Areas affected...central/southeast Texas into southern Louisiana Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 022045Z - 022215Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Isolated strong to severe storms are possible this evening from central Oklahoma to southern Louisiana. DISCUSSION...Storms have started to develop in a region of strong to extreme instability (3000-4000 J/kg MLCAPE) which extends from central Texas to southwest Louisiana. These storms are on the periphery of better mid-level flow and more favorable shear for supercells. Therefore, if any more robust updrafts can develop, they may mature into supercells with the potential for large hail and severe wind gusts. The relatively isolated nature of the greater severe threat should mitigate the need for a watch, but one may be needed if multiple sustained storms develop. ..Bentley/Smith.. 06/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD... LAT...LON 31669800 32079764 32159612 31959487 31419348 30679258 30339223 29859197 29529228 29919405 30219545 30649677 31009756 31669800 Read more

WW 0378 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 378 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SUPINIE..06/02/24 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 378 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC043-103-105-371-383-443-461-022240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BREWSTER CRANE CROCKETT PECOS REAGAN TERRELL UPTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0377 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 377 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SUPINIE..06/02/24 ATTN...WFO...BIS...FGF...ABR...UNR... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 377 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NDC001-003-015-017-021-025-027-029-031-035-037-039-041-043-045- 047-051-055-057-059-063-065-073-077-081-083-085-089-091-093-097- 103-022240- ND . NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS BARNES BURLEIGH CASS DICKEY DUNN EDDY EMMONS FOSTER GRAND FORKS GRANT GRIGGS HETTINGER KIDDER LAMOURE LOGAN MCINTOSH MCLEAN MERCER MORTON NELSON OLIVER RANSOM RICHLAND SARGENT SHERIDAN SIOUX STARK STEELE STUTSMAN TRAILL WELLS SDC013-021-031-041-045-055-089-093-105-107-129-137-022240- SD . SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BROWN CAMPBELL CORSON Read more

WW 0376 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 376 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SUPINIE..06/02/24 ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...DDC... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 376 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC009-017-061-063-099-125-022240- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BACA CHEYENNE KIOWA KIT CARSON PROWERS YUMA KSC023-025-039-055-057-063-065-067-069-071-075-081-083-093-101- 109-119-129-135-137-153-171-175-179-181-187-189-193-195-199-203- 022240- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHEYENNE CLARK DECATUR FINNEY FORD GOVE GRAHAM GRANT GRAY GREELEY HAMILTON HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY LANE LOGAN MEADE MORTON NESS NORTON RAWLINS SCOTT SEWARD SHERIDAN SHERMAN STANTON STEVENS THOMAS TREGO WALLACE Read more

WW 0375 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 375 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SUPINIE..06/02/24 ATTN...WFO...BOU...LBF...CYS... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 375 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC075-095-115-121-022240- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LOGAN PHILLIPS SEDGWICK WASHINGTON NEC005-007-009-013-015-017-029-031-033-041-045-049-063-069-071- 075-085-089-091-101-103-105-111-113-115-117-123-135-149-157-161- 171-183-022240- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARTHUR BANNER BLAINE BOX BUTTE BOYD BROWN CHASE CHERRY CHEYENNE CUSTER DAWES DEUEL FRONTIER GARDEN GARFIELD GRANT HAYES HOLT HOOKER KEITH KEYA PAHA KIMBALL LINCOLN LOGAN LOUP MCPHERSON MORRILL PERKINS ROCK SCOTTS BLUFF Read more

WW 0374 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 374 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SUPINIE..06/02/24 ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 374 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC007-025-139-022240- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAVER CIMARRON TEXAS TXC011-017-045-065-069-075-079-101-107-111-117-125-129-153-169- 179-189-191-195-205-219-233-263-269-279-303-305-341-345-357-359- 369-375-381-393-421-433-437-445-501-022240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARMSTRONG BAILEY BRISCOE CARSON CASTRO CHILDRESS COCHRAN COTTLE CROSBY DALLAM DEAF SMITH DICKENS DONLEY FLOYD GARZA GRAY HALE HALL HANSFORD HARTLEY HOCKLEY HUTCHINSON KENT KING LAMB LUBBOCK LYNN MOORE MOTLEY OCHILTREE OLDHAM PARMER POTTER Read more

WW 0373 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 373 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WNW ABI TO 35 ENE ABI TO 40 NW MWL. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1132 ..SUPINIE..06/02/24 ATTN...WFO...SJT...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 373 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC059-093-113-133-139-143-147-221-231-251-257-363-367-397-425- 429-439-441-022240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALLAHAN COMANCHE DALLAS EASTLAND ELLIS ERATH FANNIN HOOD HUNT JOHNSON KAUFMAN PALO PINTO PARKER ROCKWALL SOMERVELL STEPHENS TARRANT TAYLOR THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0379 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0379 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

MD 1130 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR EAST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO INTO WESTERN KANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 1130 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0252 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Areas affected...east-central and southeastern Colorado into western Kansas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 021952Z - 022145Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...Isolated storms -- initially developing over the southeastern Colorado area -- may require WW consideration. DISCUSSION...Latest visible satellite imagery shows TCU/CB development near and east of the Raton Mesas vicinity of southeastern Colorado and northeastern New Mexico. The convection is evolving on the western fringe of a north-south axis of 2000 to 3000 J/kg mixed-layer CAPE, and within an area of increasing large-scale UVV associated with a southwestern Colorado vort max, evident in water-vapor imagery. Mid-level flow across the discussion area remains somewhat weaker than areas both north and south, and as such, storms should remain somewhat-less organized. This, combined with the isolated coverage of stronger storms that is currently expected, suggests that overall severe risk should remain somewhat localized. Still, potential for large hail, and damaging wind gusts aided by evaporative potential within the deep surface-based mixed layer, suggests that WW issuance may need to be considered over the next 1 to 2 hours. ..Goss/Smith.. 06/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...PUB... LAT...LON 37010316 38070295 39100257 39610163 39770023 39509973 37149980 37010316 Read more

WW 0372 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 372 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NE ABI TO 20 WNW GYI TO 40 W MLC. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1132 ..SUPINIE..06/02/24 ATTN...WFO...OUN...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 372 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC005-013-029-069-095-022240- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATOKA BRYAN COAL JOHNSTON MARSHALL TXC085-097-121-181-237-497-022240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COLLIN COOKE DENTON GRAYSON JACK WISE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0372 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 372 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NE ABI TO 20 WNW GYI TO 40 W MLC. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1132 ..SUPINIE..06/02/24 ATTN...WFO...OUN...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 372 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC005-013-029-069-095-022240- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATOKA BRYAN COAL JOHNSTON MARSHALL TXC085-097-121-181-237-497-022240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COLLIN COOKE DENTON GRAYSON JACK WISE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0372 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 372 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NE ABI TO 20 WNW GYI TO 40 W MLC. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1132 ..SUPINIE..06/02/24 ATTN...WFO...OUN...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 372 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC005-013-029-069-095-022240- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATOKA BRYAN COAL JOHNSTON MARSHALL TXC085-097-121-181-237-497-022240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COLLIN COOKE DENTON GRAYSON JACK WISE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0372 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 372 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NE ABI TO 20 WNW GYI TO 40 W MLC. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1132 ..SUPINIE..06/02/24 ATTN...WFO...OUN...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 372 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC005-013-029-069-095-022240- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATOKA BRYAN COAL JOHNSTON MARSHALL TXC085-097-121-181-237-497-022240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COLLIN COOKE DENTON GRAYSON JACK WISE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0372 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 372 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NE ABI TO 20 WNW GYI TO 40 W MLC. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1132 ..SUPINIE..06/02/24 ATTN...WFO...OUN...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 372 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC005-013-029-069-095-022240- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATOKA BRYAN COAL JOHNSTON MARSHALL TXC085-097-121-181-237-497-022240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COLLIN COOKE DENTON GRAYSON JACK WISE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0372 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 372 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NE ABI TO 20 WNW GYI TO 40 W MLC. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1132 ..SUPINIE..06/02/24 ATTN...WFO...OUN...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 372 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC005-013-029-069-095-022240- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATOKA BRYAN COAL JOHNSTON MARSHALL TXC085-097-121-181-237-497-022240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COLLIN COOKE DENTON GRAYSON JACK WISE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 372 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 021615Z - 022200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 372 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1115 AM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southern Oklahoma North Texas * Effective this Sunday morning and afternoon from 1115 AM until 500 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...A cluster of strong to severe thunderstorms will likely continue to the east-southeast along a differential heating zone and across the Watch area through the mid to late afternoon. The stronger storms will likely be capable of a risk for severe gusts (60-70 mph) and large hail (1 to 1.75 inches in diameter). The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles south of Altus OK to 15 miles east northeast of Sherman TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 28020. ...Smith Read more

MD 1131 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR THE TRANS PECOS INTO WEST TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 1131 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0301 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Areas affected...The Trans Pecos into West Texas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 022001Z - 022130Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Storms are expected to develop within the next 1 to 2 hours with a primary threat for large to very large hail. Severe wind gusts and a tornado or two are also possible. DISCUSSION...Towering cu have started to cluster over the Davis mountains with more robust storm development likely within the next 1 to 2 hours. A very moist airmass is in place which has yielded strong to extreme instability (3000-4000 J/kg MLCAPE). Moderate shear (~40 knots) beneath a subtropical jet streak should support supercells with large to very large hail possible. Storm coverage is the greater question with higher confidence of a few supercells from the Davis Mountains southward. North of Fort Stockton, storm coverage may remain more sparse given the lack of cu along the dryline and separation from the forcing associated with the mid-level shortwave trough approaching the Texas Panhandle. Nonetheless, if any supercells form, they will pose a threat for large hail up to baseball sized, severe wind gusts, and perhaps a tornado. ..Bentley/Smith.. 06/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF... LAT...LON 29190390 30680361 31960297 32460241 32560073 32100031 31250012 29590051 29120083 29560140 29690160 29710205 29700240 29700258 29360273 29040285 28900306 28900338 29190390 Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0407 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z Broadly zonal mid-level flow, with a belt of enhanced westerlies over the US-Canadian border, will continue across the West and northern Plains through the first part of the week. Thereafter the pattern is forecast to amplify considerably, with a large-scale ridge developing over the western US, and a large-scale trough developing over the East. This result will be excessive heat for many locations across the West and long burning periods (relative humidity less than 20%), especially across the Intermountain West. The lack of mid-level flow should preclude strong, gusty winds at the surface. However, given the forecast magnitude of the ridge, hot/dry conditions are likely to cure fuels resulting in elevated fire weather concerns, despite relatively weak surface winds. By late in the week/early next weekend, a cutoff mid-level low will impinge upon the southern portions of the western ridge. The mid-level low will increase mid-level flow and the associated increase in moisture/ascent should be sufficient for thunderstorm development, including dry thunderstorms. Confidence on the timing/evolution of the cutoff low is poor, thus unconditional dry thunderstorm probabilities have not been introduce, but will likely be needed at some point. ..Marsh.. 06/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more