Severe Storms

WW 0288 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 288 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SQUITIERI..05/22/24 ATTN...WFO...LWX...BUF...BGM...CTP... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 288 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS DCC001-222240- DC . DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA MDC003-005-013-017-021-025-027-031-033-043-510-222240- MD . MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CARROLL CHARLES FREDERICK HARFORD HOWARD MONTGOMERY PRINCE GEORGES WASHINGTON MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE BALTIMORE CITY NYC007-015-017-023-045-049-053-065-107-109-222240- Read more

WW 0287 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 287 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SQUITIERI..05/22/24 ATTN...WFO...OUN...FWD...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 287 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC009-077-097-151-207-237-253-337-353-363-417-429-441-447-497- 503-222240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARCHER CLAY COOKE FISHER HASKELL JACK JONES MONTAGUE NOLAN PALO PINTO SHACKELFORD STEPHENS TAYLOR THROCKMORTON WISE YOUNG THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0286 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 286 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 W SJT TO 25 NNW SJT TO 50 W ABI. ..SQUITIERI..05/22/24 ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 286 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC001-027-035-049-059-081-083-085-093-095-099-105-113-119-121- 133-139-143-145-147-161-181-193-213-217-221-223-231-235-251-257- 277-281-293-307-309-327-333-349-367-379-397-399-411-413-425-435- 439-451-467-222240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDERSON BELL BOSQUE BROWN CALLAHAN COKE COLEMAN COLLIN COMANCHE CONCHO CORYELL CROCKETT DALLAS DELTA DENTON EASTLAND ELLIS ERATH FALLS FANNIN FREESTONE GRAYSON HAMILTON HENDERSON HILL HOOD HOPKINS HUNT IRION JOHNSON KAUFMAN LAMAR LAMPASAS LIMESTONE MCCULLOCH MCLENNAN MENARD MILLS NAVARRO PARKER RAINS ROCKWALL RUNNELS SAN SABA SCHLEICHER SOMERVELL SUTTON TARRANT TOM GREEN VAN ZANDT Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0443 PM CDT Wed May 22 2024 Valid 241200Z - 301200Z ...Day 3/Friday - Southwest... A large-scale trough will move gradually eastward across the western CONUS, while a related belt of moderate west-southwesterly midlevel flow overspreads a dry/deeply mixed air mass over the Southwest. This will promote a deepening surface low over the southern Great Basin, with a tightening pressure gradient across the Southwest. These factors will yield strong/gusty surface winds and low RH across much of AZ and NM, with the best chance for several hours of critical conditions over northeast AZ and northwest NM -- where fuels should be at least modestly receptive to large-fire spread. ...Day 4/Saturday - Southwest and southern High Plains... As the large-scale trough continues eastward across the western CONUS, a strong midlevel jet streak will cross the Southwest and southern High Plains during peak heating. This will result in a deepening lee cyclone over the central High Plains, with a sharpening dryline extending southward over the southern High Plains. West of the dryline, a tightening pressure gradient and deep boundary-layer mixing into the strong flow aloft, will support an expansive area of strong/gusty surface winds and low RH across NM into west TX. Given increasingly dry/receptive fuels over much of the area, widespread critical fire-weather conditions are expected. Strong midlevel westerly flow trailing the aforementioned trough will persist across NM on Day 5/Sunday, where warm/dry conditions will persist. As a result, elevated to locally critical conditions are expected, before winds decrease across the region through the remainder of the extended forecast period. ..Weinman.. 05/22/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0443 PM CDT Wed May 22 2024 Valid 241200Z - 301200Z ...Day 3/Friday - Southwest... A large-scale trough will move gradually eastward across the western CONUS, while a related belt of moderate west-southwesterly midlevel flow overspreads a dry/deeply mixed air mass over the Southwest. This will promote a deepening surface low over the southern Great Basin, with a tightening pressure gradient across the Southwest. These factors will yield strong/gusty surface winds and low RH across much of AZ and NM, with the best chance for several hours of critical conditions over northeast AZ and northwest NM -- where fuels should be at least modestly receptive to large-fire spread. ...Day 4/Saturday - Southwest and southern High Plains... As the large-scale trough continues eastward across the western CONUS, a strong midlevel jet streak will cross the Southwest and southern High Plains during peak heating. This will result in a deepening lee cyclone over the central High Plains, with a sharpening dryline extending southward over the southern High Plains. West of the dryline, a tightening pressure gradient and deep boundary-layer mixing into the strong flow aloft, will support an expansive area of strong/gusty surface winds and low RH across NM into west TX. Given increasingly dry/receptive fuels over much of the area, widespread critical fire-weather conditions are expected. Strong midlevel westerly flow trailing the aforementioned trough will persist across NM on Day 5/Sunday, where warm/dry conditions will persist. As a result, elevated to locally critical conditions are expected, before winds decrease across the region through the remainder of the extended forecast period. ..Weinman.. 05/22/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0443 PM CDT Wed May 22 2024 Valid 241200Z - 301200Z ...Day 3/Friday - Southwest... A large-scale trough will move gradually eastward across the western CONUS, while a related belt of moderate west-southwesterly midlevel flow overspreads a dry/deeply mixed air mass over the Southwest. This will promote a deepening surface low over the southern Great Basin, with a tightening pressure gradient across the Southwest. These factors will yield strong/gusty surface winds and low RH across much of AZ and NM, with the best chance for several hours of critical conditions over northeast AZ and northwest NM -- where fuels should be at least modestly receptive to large-fire spread. ...Day 4/Saturday - Southwest and southern High Plains... As the large-scale trough continues eastward across the western CONUS, a strong midlevel jet streak will cross the Southwest and southern High Plains during peak heating. This will result in a deepening lee cyclone over the central High Plains, with a sharpening dryline extending southward over the southern High Plains. West of the dryline, a tightening pressure gradient and deep boundary-layer mixing into the strong flow aloft, will support an expansive area of strong/gusty surface winds and low RH across NM into west TX. Given increasingly dry/receptive fuels over much of the area, widespread critical fire-weather conditions are expected. Strong midlevel westerly flow trailing the aforementioned trough will persist across NM on Day 5/Sunday, where warm/dry conditions will persist. As a result, elevated to locally critical conditions are expected, before winds decrease across the region through the remainder of the extended forecast period. ..Weinman.. 05/22/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0443 PM CDT Wed May 22 2024 Valid 241200Z - 301200Z ...Day 3/Friday - Southwest... A large-scale trough will move gradually eastward across the western CONUS, while a related belt of moderate west-southwesterly midlevel flow overspreads a dry/deeply mixed air mass over the Southwest. This will promote a deepening surface low over the southern Great Basin, with a tightening pressure gradient across the Southwest. These factors will yield strong/gusty surface winds and low RH across much of AZ and NM, with the best chance for several hours of critical conditions over northeast AZ and northwest NM -- where fuels should be at least modestly receptive to large-fire spread. ...Day 4/Saturday - Southwest and southern High Plains... As the large-scale trough continues eastward across the western CONUS, a strong midlevel jet streak will cross the Southwest and southern High Plains during peak heating. This will result in a deepening lee cyclone over the central High Plains, with a sharpening dryline extending southward over the southern High Plains. West of the dryline, a tightening pressure gradient and deep boundary-layer mixing into the strong flow aloft, will support an expansive area of strong/gusty surface winds and low RH across NM into west TX. Given increasingly dry/receptive fuels over much of the area, widespread critical fire-weather conditions are expected. Strong midlevel westerly flow trailing the aforementioned trough will persist across NM on Day 5/Sunday, where warm/dry conditions will persist. As a result, elevated to locally critical conditions are expected, before winds decrease across the region through the remainder of the extended forecast period. ..Weinman.. 05/22/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0443 PM CDT Wed May 22 2024 Valid 241200Z - 301200Z ...Day 3/Friday - Southwest... A large-scale trough will move gradually eastward across the western CONUS, while a related belt of moderate west-southwesterly midlevel flow overspreads a dry/deeply mixed air mass over the Southwest. This will promote a deepening surface low over the southern Great Basin, with a tightening pressure gradient across the Southwest. These factors will yield strong/gusty surface winds and low RH across much of AZ and NM, with the best chance for several hours of critical conditions over northeast AZ and northwest NM -- where fuels should be at least modestly receptive to large-fire spread. ...Day 4/Saturday - Southwest and southern High Plains... As the large-scale trough continues eastward across the western CONUS, a strong midlevel jet streak will cross the Southwest and southern High Plains during peak heating. This will result in a deepening lee cyclone over the central High Plains, with a sharpening dryline extending southward over the southern High Plains. West of the dryline, a tightening pressure gradient and deep boundary-layer mixing into the strong flow aloft, will support an expansive area of strong/gusty surface winds and low RH across NM into west TX. Given increasingly dry/receptive fuels over much of the area, widespread critical fire-weather conditions are expected. Strong midlevel westerly flow trailing the aforementioned trough will persist across NM on Day 5/Sunday, where warm/dry conditions will persist. As a result, elevated to locally critical conditions are expected, before winds decrease across the region through the remainder of the extended forecast period. ..Weinman.. 05/22/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0443 PM CDT Wed May 22 2024 Valid 241200Z - 301200Z ...Day 3/Friday - Southwest... A large-scale trough will move gradually eastward across the western CONUS, while a related belt of moderate west-southwesterly midlevel flow overspreads a dry/deeply mixed air mass over the Southwest. This will promote a deepening surface low over the southern Great Basin, with a tightening pressure gradient across the Southwest. These factors will yield strong/gusty surface winds and low RH across much of AZ and NM, with the best chance for several hours of critical conditions over northeast AZ and northwest NM -- where fuels should be at least modestly receptive to large-fire spread. ...Day 4/Saturday - Southwest and southern High Plains... As the large-scale trough continues eastward across the western CONUS, a strong midlevel jet streak will cross the Southwest and southern High Plains during peak heating. This will result in a deepening lee cyclone over the central High Plains, with a sharpening dryline extending southward over the southern High Plains. West of the dryline, a tightening pressure gradient and deep boundary-layer mixing into the strong flow aloft, will support an expansive area of strong/gusty surface winds and low RH across NM into west TX. Given increasingly dry/receptive fuels over much of the area, widespread critical fire-weather conditions are expected. Strong midlevel westerly flow trailing the aforementioned trough will persist across NM on Day 5/Sunday, where warm/dry conditions will persist. As a result, elevated to locally critical conditions are expected, before winds decrease across the region through the remainder of the extended forecast period. ..Weinman.. 05/22/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0443 PM CDT Wed May 22 2024 Valid 241200Z - 301200Z ...Day 3/Friday - Southwest... A large-scale trough will move gradually eastward across the western CONUS, while a related belt of moderate west-southwesterly midlevel flow overspreads a dry/deeply mixed air mass over the Southwest. This will promote a deepening surface low over the southern Great Basin, with a tightening pressure gradient across the Southwest. These factors will yield strong/gusty surface winds and low RH across much of AZ and NM, with the best chance for several hours of critical conditions over northeast AZ and northwest NM -- where fuels should be at least modestly receptive to large-fire spread. ...Day 4/Saturday - Southwest and southern High Plains... As the large-scale trough continues eastward across the western CONUS, a strong midlevel jet streak will cross the Southwest and southern High Plains during peak heating. This will result in a deepening lee cyclone over the central High Plains, with a sharpening dryline extending southward over the southern High Plains. West of the dryline, a tightening pressure gradient and deep boundary-layer mixing into the strong flow aloft, will support an expansive area of strong/gusty surface winds and low RH across NM into west TX. Given increasingly dry/receptive fuels over much of the area, widespread critical fire-weather conditions are expected. Strong midlevel westerly flow trailing the aforementioned trough will persist across NM on Day 5/Sunday, where warm/dry conditions will persist. As a result, elevated to locally critical conditions are expected, before winds decrease across the region through the remainder of the extended forecast period. ..Weinman.. 05/22/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0443 PM CDT Wed May 22 2024 Valid 241200Z - 301200Z ...Day 3/Friday - Southwest... A large-scale trough will move gradually eastward across the western CONUS, while a related belt of moderate west-southwesterly midlevel flow overspreads a dry/deeply mixed air mass over the Southwest. This will promote a deepening surface low over the southern Great Basin, with a tightening pressure gradient across the Southwest. These factors will yield strong/gusty surface winds and low RH across much of AZ and NM, with the best chance for several hours of critical conditions over northeast AZ and northwest NM -- where fuels should be at least modestly receptive to large-fire spread. ...Day 4/Saturday - Southwest and southern High Plains... As the large-scale trough continues eastward across the western CONUS, a strong midlevel jet streak will cross the Southwest and southern High Plains during peak heating. This will result in a deepening lee cyclone over the central High Plains, with a sharpening dryline extending southward over the southern High Plains. West of the dryline, a tightening pressure gradient and deep boundary-layer mixing into the strong flow aloft, will support an expansive area of strong/gusty surface winds and low RH across NM into west TX. Given increasingly dry/receptive fuels over much of the area, widespread critical fire-weather conditions are expected. Strong midlevel westerly flow trailing the aforementioned trough will persist across NM on Day 5/Sunday, where warm/dry conditions will persist. As a result, elevated to locally critical conditions are expected, before winds decrease across the region through the remainder of the extended forecast period. ..Weinman.. 05/22/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0443 PM CDT Wed May 22 2024 Valid 241200Z - 301200Z ...Day 3/Friday - Southwest... A large-scale trough will move gradually eastward across the western CONUS, while a related belt of moderate west-southwesterly midlevel flow overspreads a dry/deeply mixed air mass over the Southwest. This will promote a deepening surface low over the southern Great Basin, with a tightening pressure gradient across the Southwest. These factors will yield strong/gusty surface winds and low RH across much of AZ and NM, with the best chance for several hours of critical conditions over northeast AZ and northwest NM -- where fuels should be at least modestly receptive to large-fire spread. ...Day 4/Saturday - Southwest and southern High Plains... As the large-scale trough continues eastward across the western CONUS, a strong midlevel jet streak will cross the Southwest and southern High Plains during peak heating. This will result in a deepening lee cyclone over the central High Plains, with a sharpening dryline extending southward over the southern High Plains. West of the dryline, a tightening pressure gradient and deep boundary-layer mixing into the strong flow aloft, will support an expansive area of strong/gusty surface winds and low RH across NM into west TX. Given increasingly dry/receptive fuels over much of the area, widespread critical fire-weather conditions are expected. Strong midlevel westerly flow trailing the aforementioned trough will persist across NM on Day 5/Sunday, where warm/dry conditions will persist. As a result, elevated to locally critical conditions are expected, before winds decrease across the region through the remainder of the extended forecast period. ..Weinman.. 05/22/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0443 PM CDT Wed May 22 2024 Valid 241200Z - 301200Z ...Day 3/Friday - Southwest... A large-scale trough will move gradually eastward across the western CONUS, while a related belt of moderate west-southwesterly midlevel flow overspreads a dry/deeply mixed air mass over the Southwest. This will promote a deepening surface low over the southern Great Basin, with a tightening pressure gradient across the Southwest. These factors will yield strong/gusty surface winds and low RH across much of AZ and NM, with the best chance for several hours of critical conditions over northeast AZ and northwest NM -- where fuels should be at least modestly receptive to large-fire spread. ...Day 4/Saturday - Southwest and southern High Plains... As the large-scale trough continues eastward across the western CONUS, a strong midlevel jet streak will cross the Southwest and southern High Plains during peak heating. This will result in a deepening lee cyclone over the central High Plains, with a sharpening dryline extending southward over the southern High Plains. West of the dryline, a tightening pressure gradient and deep boundary-layer mixing into the strong flow aloft, will support an expansive area of strong/gusty surface winds and low RH across NM into west TX. Given increasingly dry/receptive fuels over much of the area, widespread critical fire-weather conditions are expected. Strong midlevel westerly flow trailing the aforementioned trough will persist across NM on Day 5/Sunday, where warm/dry conditions will persist. As a result, elevated to locally critical conditions are expected, before winds decrease across the region through the remainder of the extended forecast period. ..Weinman.. 05/22/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0443 PM CDT Wed May 22 2024 Valid 241200Z - 301200Z ...Day 3/Friday - Southwest... A large-scale trough will move gradually eastward across the western CONUS, while a related belt of moderate west-southwesterly midlevel flow overspreads a dry/deeply mixed air mass over the Southwest. This will promote a deepening surface low over the southern Great Basin, with a tightening pressure gradient across the Southwest. These factors will yield strong/gusty surface winds and low RH across much of AZ and NM, with the best chance for several hours of critical conditions over northeast AZ and northwest NM -- where fuels should be at least modestly receptive to large-fire spread. ...Day 4/Saturday - Southwest and southern High Plains... As the large-scale trough continues eastward across the western CONUS, a strong midlevel jet streak will cross the Southwest and southern High Plains during peak heating. This will result in a deepening lee cyclone over the central High Plains, with a sharpening dryline extending southward over the southern High Plains. West of the dryline, a tightening pressure gradient and deep boundary-layer mixing into the strong flow aloft, will support an expansive area of strong/gusty surface winds and low RH across NM into west TX. Given increasingly dry/receptive fuels over much of the area, widespread critical fire-weather conditions are expected. Strong midlevel westerly flow trailing the aforementioned trough will persist across NM on Day 5/Sunday, where warm/dry conditions will persist. As a result, elevated to locally critical conditions are expected, before winds decrease across the region through the remainder of the extended forecast period. ..Weinman.. 05/22/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0443 PM CDT Wed May 22 2024 Valid 241200Z - 301200Z ...Day 3/Friday - Southwest... A large-scale trough will move gradually eastward across the western CONUS, while a related belt of moderate west-southwesterly midlevel flow overspreads a dry/deeply mixed air mass over the Southwest. This will promote a deepening surface low over the southern Great Basin, with a tightening pressure gradient across the Southwest. These factors will yield strong/gusty surface winds and low RH across much of AZ and NM, with the best chance for several hours of critical conditions over northeast AZ and northwest NM -- where fuels should be at least modestly receptive to large-fire spread. ...Day 4/Saturday - Southwest and southern High Plains... As the large-scale trough continues eastward across the western CONUS, a strong midlevel jet streak will cross the Southwest and southern High Plains during peak heating. This will result in a deepening lee cyclone over the central High Plains, with a sharpening dryline extending southward over the southern High Plains. West of the dryline, a tightening pressure gradient and deep boundary-layer mixing into the strong flow aloft, will support an expansive area of strong/gusty surface winds and low RH across NM into west TX. Given increasingly dry/receptive fuels over much of the area, widespread critical fire-weather conditions are expected. Strong midlevel westerly flow trailing the aforementioned trough will persist across NM on Day 5/Sunday, where warm/dry conditions will persist. As a result, elevated to locally critical conditions are expected, before winds decrease across the region through the remainder of the extended forecast period. ..Weinman.. 05/22/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0443 PM CDT Wed May 22 2024 Valid 241200Z - 301200Z ...Day 3/Friday - Southwest... A large-scale trough will move gradually eastward across the western CONUS, while a related belt of moderate west-southwesterly midlevel flow overspreads a dry/deeply mixed air mass over the Southwest. This will promote a deepening surface low over the southern Great Basin, with a tightening pressure gradient across the Southwest. These factors will yield strong/gusty surface winds and low RH across much of AZ and NM, with the best chance for several hours of critical conditions over northeast AZ and northwest NM -- where fuels should be at least modestly receptive to large-fire spread. ...Day 4/Saturday - Southwest and southern High Plains... As the large-scale trough continues eastward across the western CONUS, a strong midlevel jet streak will cross the Southwest and southern High Plains during peak heating. This will result in a deepening lee cyclone over the central High Plains, with a sharpening dryline extending southward over the southern High Plains. West of the dryline, a tightening pressure gradient and deep boundary-layer mixing into the strong flow aloft, will support an expansive area of strong/gusty surface winds and low RH across NM into west TX. Given increasingly dry/receptive fuels over much of the area, widespread critical fire-weather conditions are expected. Strong midlevel westerly flow trailing the aforementioned trough will persist across NM on Day 5/Sunday, where warm/dry conditions will persist. As a result, elevated to locally critical conditions are expected, before winds decrease across the region through the remainder of the extended forecast period. ..Weinman.. 05/22/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0443 PM CDT Wed May 22 2024 Valid 241200Z - 301200Z ...Day 3/Friday - Southwest... A large-scale trough will move gradually eastward across the western CONUS, while a related belt of moderate west-southwesterly midlevel flow overspreads a dry/deeply mixed air mass over the Southwest. This will promote a deepening surface low over the southern Great Basin, with a tightening pressure gradient across the Southwest. These factors will yield strong/gusty surface winds and low RH across much of AZ and NM, with the best chance for several hours of critical conditions over northeast AZ and northwest NM -- where fuels should be at least modestly receptive to large-fire spread. ...Day 4/Saturday - Southwest and southern High Plains... As the large-scale trough continues eastward across the western CONUS, a strong midlevel jet streak will cross the Southwest and southern High Plains during peak heating. This will result in a deepening lee cyclone over the central High Plains, with a sharpening dryline extending southward over the southern High Plains. West of the dryline, a tightening pressure gradient and deep boundary-layer mixing into the strong flow aloft, will support an expansive area of strong/gusty surface winds and low RH across NM into west TX. Given increasingly dry/receptive fuels over much of the area, widespread critical fire-weather conditions are expected. Strong midlevel westerly flow trailing the aforementioned trough will persist across NM on Day 5/Sunday, where warm/dry conditions will persist. As a result, elevated to locally critical conditions are expected, before winds decrease across the region through the remainder of the extended forecast period. ..Weinman.. 05/22/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0443 PM CDT Wed May 22 2024 Valid 241200Z - 301200Z ...Day 3/Friday - Southwest... A large-scale trough will move gradually eastward across the western CONUS, while a related belt of moderate west-southwesterly midlevel flow overspreads a dry/deeply mixed air mass over the Southwest. This will promote a deepening surface low over the southern Great Basin, with a tightening pressure gradient across the Southwest. These factors will yield strong/gusty surface winds and low RH across much of AZ and NM, with the best chance for several hours of critical conditions over northeast AZ and northwest NM -- where fuels should be at least modestly receptive to large-fire spread. ...Day 4/Saturday - Southwest and southern High Plains... As the large-scale trough continues eastward across the western CONUS, a strong midlevel jet streak will cross the Southwest and southern High Plains during peak heating. This will result in a deepening lee cyclone over the central High Plains, with a sharpening dryline extending southward over the southern High Plains. West of the dryline, a tightening pressure gradient and deep boundary-layer mixing into the strong flow aloft, will support an expansive area of strong/gusty surface winds and low RH across NM into west TX. Given increasingly dry/receptive fuels over much of the area, widespread critical fire-weather conditions are expected. Strong midlevel westerly flow trailing the aforementioned trough will persist across NM on Day 5/Sunday, where warm/dry conditions will persist. As a result, elevated to locally critical conditions are expected, before winds decrease across the region through the remainder of the extended forecast period. ..Weinman.. 05/22/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0443 PM CDT Wed May 22 2024 Valid 241200Z - 301200Z ...Day 3/Friday - Southwest... A large-scale trough will move gradually eastward across the western CONUS, while a related belt of moderate west-southwesterly midlevel flow overspreads a dry/deeply mixed air mass over the Southwest. This will promote a deepening surface low over the southern Great Basin, with a tightening pressure gradient across the Southwest. These factors will yield strong/gusty surface winds and low RH across much of AZ and NM, with the best chance for several hours of critical conditions over northeast AZ and northwest NM -- where fuels should be at least modestly receptive to large-fire spread. ...Day 4/Saturday - Southwest and southern High Plains... As the large-scale trough continues eastward across the western CONUS, a strong midlevel jet streak will cross the Southwest and southern High Plains during peak heating. This will result in a deepening lee cyclone over the central High Plains, with a sharpening dryline extending southward over the southern High Plains. West of the dryline, a tightening pressure gradient and deep boundary-layer mixing into the strong flow aloft, will support an expansive area of strong/gusty surface winds and low RH across NM into west TX. Given increasingly dry/receptive fuels over much of the area, widespread critical fire-weather conditions are expected. Strong midlevel westerly flow trailing the aforementioned trough will persist across NM on Day 5/Sunday, where warm/dry conditions will persist. As a result, elevated to locally critical conditions are expected, before winds decrease across the region through the remainder of the extended forecast period. ..Weinman.. 05/22/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0443 PM CDT Wed May 22 2024 Valid 241200Z - 301200Z ...Day 3/Friday - Southwest... A large-scale trough will move gradually eastward across the western CONUS, while a related belt of moderate west-southwesterly midlevel flow overspreads a dry/deeply mixed air mass over the Southwest. This will promote a deepening surface low over the southern Great Basin, with a tightening pressure gradient across the Southwest. These factors will yield strong/gusty surface winds and low RH across much of AZ and NM, with the best chance for several hours of critical conditions over northeast AZ and northwest NM -- where fuels should be at least modestly receptive to large-fire spread. ...Day 4/Saturday - Southwest and southern High Plains... As the large-scale trough continues eastward across the western CONUS, a strong midlevel jet streak will cross the Southwest and southern High Plains during peak heating. This will result in a deepening lee cyclone over the central High Plains, with a sharpening dryline extending southward over the southern High Plains. West of the dryline, a tightening pressure gradient and deep boundary-layer mixing into the strong flow aloft, will support an expansive area of strong/gusty surface winds and low RH across NM into west TX. Given increasingly dry/receptive fuels over much of the area, widespread critical fire-weather conditions are expected. Strong midlevel westerly flow trailing the aforementioned trough will persist across NM on Day 5/Sunday, where warm/dry conditions will persist. As a result, elevated to locally critical conditions are expected, before winds decrease across the region through the remainder of the extended forecast period. ..Weinman.. 05/22/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more