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1 year 1 month ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0401 AM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024
Valid 031200Z - 081200Z
...DISCUSSION...
The extended period will begin with a large amplitude upper-level
ridge across the western CONUS. This ridge will gradually breakdown
on Sunday and Monday with more of a flat ridge by the middle of next
week. Persistent northwesterly flow across the Northern Plains/Upper
Midwest during the extended forecast period may result in some
isolated severe weather threat. However, moisture in the Northern
Plains will lack a Gulf of Mexico connection and thus, will likely
be somewhat low quality, at least initially.
Early next week, as lee troughing returns to the Plains and the
low-level jet strengthens, the severe weather threat may increase
somewhat. Overall, upper-level ridging and no clear strong troughs
during the extended period, suggests any severe weather threat that
materializes will likely remain somewhat localized this weekend and
early next week.
Read more
1 year 1 month ago
WW 0577 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0577 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
Read more
1 year 1 month ago
WW 0577 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0577 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
Read more
1 year 1 month ago
MD 1760 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR NORTHWEST TO CENTRAL SD AND FAR SOUTH-CENTRAL ND
Mesoscale Discussion 1760
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0207 AM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024
Areas affected...Northwest to central SD and far south-central ND
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible
Valid 310707Z - 310900Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent
SUMMARY...A threat for large hail and severe gusts, including
potential for significant severe, may occur as scattered storms
mature over northwest into north-central South Dakota. Some
uncertainty exists on timing of a sustained severe threat, so a
watch issuance is possible.
DISCUSSION...UDX VWP data confirm the presence of near 25-kt
southerly lower-level jet which is aiding in convection developing
across a portion of northwest into north-central SD. This appears to
be occurring to the north/west of a weak surface cyclone in vicinity
of Ziebach/Dewey counties. Upstream, a shortwave trough evident in
water vapor imagery near the Bighorn Mountains will likely enhance
large-scale ascent later this morning. The bulk of evening CAM
guidance suggests this will aid in a more sustained severe threat,
but the HRW-ARW indicated a more earlier threat which is better
timed to the ongoing development. The presence of a rather steep
lapse rate environment and adequate deep-layer shear for supercells
suggest that any sustained updrafts will have the potential to
produce large hail and severe gusts, which may become significant.
This should occur as convection impinges on increasingly larger
buoyancy emanating north from south-central/southeast SD.
..Grams/Guyer.. 07/31/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...FSD...ABR...BIS...UNR...
LAT...LON 45430224 45880161 46240031 46019956 45499890 44819859
44319851 44029900 44010056 44250191 44880236 45430224
Read more
1 year 1 month ago
WW 0576 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 576
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW LWD
TO 30 ENE DNS TO 35 W CID.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1761.
..GRAMS..07/31/24
ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 576
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-007-015-027-039-049-051-053-073-077-099-117-121-123-125-
135-153-157-159-169-175-179-181-185-310940-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR APPANOOSE BOONE
CARROLL CLARKE DALLAS
DAVIS DECATUR GREENE
GUTHRIE JASPER LUCAS
MADISON MAHASKA MARION
MONROE POLK POWESHIEK
RINGGOLD STORY UNION
WAPELLO WARREN WAYNE
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
1 year 1 month ago
WW 0576 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 576
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 E LNK TO
20 W SLB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1761.
..GRAMS..07/31/24
ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 576
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-007-009-015-025-027-029-039-047-049-051-053-073-075-
077-079-083-085-099-117-121-123-125-127-129-133-135-137-153-155-
157-159-161-165-169-171-173-175-179-181-185-187-310840-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS APPANOOSE
AUDUBON BOONE CALHOUN
CARROLL CASS CLARKE
CRAWFORD DALLAS DAVIS
DECATUR GREENE GRUNDY
GUTHRIE HAMILTON HARDIN
HARRISON JASPER LUCAS
MADISON MAHASKA MARION
MARSHALL MILLS MONONA
MONROE MONTGOMERY POLK
POTTAWATTAMIE POWESHIEK RINGGOLD
SAC SHELBY STORY
TAMA TAYLOR UNION
WAPELLO WARREN WAYNE
WEBSTER
Read more
1 year 1 month ago
SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0229 AM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024
Valid 021200Z - 031200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE
OHIO/TENNESSEE VALLEYS TO THE ATLANTIC COAST...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to occasionally severe storms are possible on
Friday from the Ohio/Tennessee Valley to the Atlantic Coast.
...Synopsis...
A upper low in the Illinois/Indiana vicinity Friday morning will
move slowly east through the day before stalling Friday night. A
surface low in the southern Great Lakes region will weaken during
the day with a diffuse cold front extending from central Ohio to the
Mid-Mississippi Valley.
...Ohio Valley to the Mid-Atlantic and Carolinas...
A very moist airmass will remain across the Ohio Valley/Tennessee
Valley to the Atlantic Coast on Friday. Therefore, moderate to
strong instability is expected across much of the region as
temperatures warm into the 90s. Weak height falls, a weak/diffuse
cold front, and lee troughing east of the Appalachians will all
support widespread thunderstorm activity Friday afternoon/evening.
Shear will be relatively weak (15 to 20 knots), but the strongly
unstable environment and hot/moist boundary layer will support the
threat for some strong to severe storms with a primary threat of
severe wind gusts.
...Southern Arizona...
Some monsoon moisture may move into southern Arizona on Friday which
may lead to some weak to moderate instability as temperatures warm
over 100F. Southeasterly mid-level flow of 15-20 knots around the
southern periphery of the mid-level ridge will aid in some storm
organization and may result in some isolated severe weather threat.
At this time, confidence in storm coverage/intensity remains too low
for a marginal risk.
..Bentley.. 07/31/2024
Read more
1 year 1 month ago
SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0229 AM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024
Valid 021200Z - 031200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE
OHIO/TENNESSEE VALLEYS TO THE ATLANTIC COAST...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to occasionally severe storms are possible on
Friday from the Ohio/Tennessee Valley to the Atlantic Coast.
...Synopsis...
A upper low in the Illinois/Indiana vicinity Friday morning will
move slowly east through the day before stalling Friday night. A
surface low in the southern Great Lakes region will weaken during
the day with a diffuse cold front extending from central Ohio to the
Mid-Mississippi Valley.
...Ohio Valley to the Mid-Atlantic and Carolinas...
A very moist airmass will remain across the Ohio Valley/Tennessee
Valley to the Atlantic Coast on Friday. Therefore, moderate to
strong instability is expected across much of the region as
temperatures warm into the 90s. Weak height falls, a weak/diffuse
cold front, and lee troughing east of the Appalachians will all
support widespread thunderstorm activity Friday afternoon/evening.
Shear will be relatively weak (15 to 20 knots), but the strongly
unstable environment and hot/moist boundary layer will support the
threat for some strong to severe storms with a primary threat of
severe wind gusts.
...Southern Arizona...
Some monsoon moisture may move into southern Arizona on Friday which
may lead to some weak to moderate instability as temperatures warm
over 100F. Southeasterly mid-level flow of 15-20 knots around the
southern periphery of the mid-level ridge will aid in some storm
organization and may result in some isolated severe weather threat.
At this time, confidence in storm coverage/intensity remains too low
for a marginal risk.
..Bentley.. 07/31/2024
Read more
1 year 1 month ago
SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0229 AM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024
Valid 021200Z - 031200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE
OHIO/TENNESSEE VALLEYS TO THE ATLANTIC COAST...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to occasionally severe storms are possible on
Friday from the Ohio/Tennessee Valley to the Atlantic Coast.
...Synopsis...
A upper low in the Illinois/Indiana vicinity Friday morning will
move slowly east through the day before stalling Friday night. A
surface low in the southern Great Lakes region will weaken during
the day with a diffuse cold front extending from central Ohio to the
Mid-Mississippi Valley.
...Ohio Valley to the Mid-Atlantic and Carolinas...
A very moist airmass will remain across the Ohio Valley/Tennessee
Valley to the Atlantic Coast on Friday. Therefore, moderate to
strong instability is expected across much of the region as
temperatures warm into the 90s. Weak height falls, a weak/diffuse
cold front, and lee troughing east of the Appalachians will all
support widespread thunderstorm activity Friday afternoon/evening.
Shear will be relatively weak (15 to 20 knots), but the strongly
unstable environment and hot/moist boundary layer will support the
threat for some strong to severe storms with a primary threat of
severe wind gusts.
...Southern Arizona...
Some monsoon moisture may move into southern Arizona on Friday which
may lead to some weak to moderate instability as temperatures warm
over 100F. Southeasterly mid-level flow of 15-20 knots around the
southern periphery of the mid-level ridge will aid in some storm
organization and may result in some isolated severe weather threat.
At this time, confidence in storm coverage/intensity remains too low
for a marginal risk.
..Bentley.. 07/31/2024
Read more
1 year 1 month ago
SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0229 AM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024
Valid 021200Z - 031200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE
OHIO/TENNESSEE VALLEYS TO THE ATLANTIC COAST...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to occasionally severe storms are possible on
Friday from the Ohio/Tennessee Valley to the Atlantic Coast.
...Synopsis...
A upper low in the Illinois/Indiana vicinity Friday morning will
move slowly east through the day before stalling Friday night. A
surface low in the southern Great Lakes region will weaken during
the day with a diffuse cold front extending from central Ohio to the
Mid-Mississippi Valley.
...Ohio Valley to the Mid-Atlantic and Carolinas...
A very moist airmass will remain across the Ohio Valley/Tennessee
Valley to the Atlantic Coast on Friday. Therefore, moderate to
strong instability is expected across much of the region as
temperatures warm into the 90s. Weak height falls, a weak/diffuse
cold front, and lee troughing east of the Appalachians will all
support widespread thunderstorm activity Friday afternoon/evening.
Shear will be relatively weak (15 to 20 knots), but the strongly
unstable environment and hot/moist boundary layer will support the
threat for some strong to severe storms with a primary threat of
severe wind gusts.
...Southern Arizona...
Some monsoon moisture may move into southern Arizona on Friday which
may lead to some weak to moderate instability as temperatures warm
over 100F. Southeasterly mid-level flow of 15-20 knots around the
southern periphery of the mid-level ridge will aid in some storm
organization and may result in some isolated severe weather threat.
At this time, confidence in storm coverage/intensity remains too low
for a marginal risk.
..Bentley.. 07/31/2024
Read more
1 year 1 month ago
SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0229 AM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024
Valid 021200Z - 031200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE
OHIO/TENNESSEE VALLEYS TO THE ATLANTIC COAST...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to occasionally severe storms are possible on
Friday from the Ohio/Tennessee Valley to the Atlantic Coast.
...Synopsis...
A upper low in the Illinois/Indiana vicinity Friday morning will
move slowly east through the day before stalling Friday night. A
surface low in the southern Great Lakes region will weaken during
the day with a diffuse cold front extending from central Ohio to the
Mid-Mississippi Valley.
...Ohio Valley to the Mid-Atlantic and Carolinas...
A very moist airmass will remain across the Ohio Valley/Tennessee
Valley to the Atlantic Coast on Friday. Therefore, moderate to
strong instability is expected across much of the region as
temperatures warm into the 90s. Weak height falls, a weak/diffuse
cold front, and lee troughing east of the Appalachians will all
support widespread thunderstorm activity Friday afternoon/evening.
Shear will be relatively weak (15 to 20 knots), but the strongly
unstable environment and hot/moist boundary layer will support the
threat for some strong to severe storms with a primary threat of
severe wind gusts.
...Southern Arizona...
Some monsoon moisture may move into southern Arizona on Friday which
may lead to some weak to moderate instability as temperatures warm
over 100F. Southeasterly mid-level flow of 15-20 knots around the
southern periphery of the mid-level ridge will aid in some storm
organization and may result in some isolated severe weather threat.
At this time, confidence in storm coverage/intensity remains too low
for a marginal risk.
..Bentley.. 07/31/2024
Read more
1 year 1 month ago
SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0229 AM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024
Valid 021200Z - 031200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE
OHIO/TENNESSEE VALLEYS TO THE ATLANTIC COAST...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to occasionally severe storms are possible on
Friday from the Ohio/Tennessee Valley to the Atlantic Coast.
...Synopsis...
A upper low in the Illinois/Indiana vicinity Friday morning will
move slowly east through the day before stalling Friday night. A
surface low in the southern Great Lakes region will weaken during
the day with a diffuse cold front extending from central Ohio to the
Mid-Mississippi Valley.
...Ohio Valley to the Mid-Atlantic and Carolinas...
A very moist airmass will remain across the Ohio Valley/Tennessee
Valley to the Atlantic Coast on Friday. Therefore, moderate to
strong instability is expected across much of the region as
temperatures warm into the 90s. Weak height falls, a weak/diffuse
cold front, and lee troughing east of the Appalachians will all
support widespread thunderstorm activity Friday afternoon/evening.
Shear will be relatively weak (15 to 20 knots), but the strongly
unstable environment and hot/moist boundary layer will support the
threat for some strong to severe storms with a primary threat of
severe wind gusts.
...Southern Arizona...
Some monsoon moisture may move into southern Arizona on Friday which
may lead to some weak to moderate instability as temperatures warm
over 100F. Southeasterly mid-level flow of 15-20 knots around the
southern periphery of the mid-level ridge will aid in some storm
organization and may result in some isolated severe weather threat.
At this time, confidence in storm coverage/intensity remains too low
for a marginal risk.
..Bentley.. 07/31/2024
Read more
1 year 1 month ago
SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0229 AM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024
Valid 021200Z - 031200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE
OHIO/TENNESSEE VALLEYS TO THE ATLANTIC COAST...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to occasionally severe storms are possible on
Friday from the Ohio/Tennessee Valley to the Atlantic Coast.
...Synopsis...
A upper low in the Illinois/Indiana vicinity Friday morning will
move slowly east through the day before stalling Friday night. A
surface low in the southern Great Lakes region will weaken during
the day with a diffuse cold front extending from central Ohio to the
Mid-Mississippi Valley.
...Ohio Valley to the Mid-Atlantic and Carolinas...
A very moist airmass will remain across the Ohio Valley/Tennessee
Valley to the Atlantic Coast on Friday. Therefore, moderate to
strong instability is expected across much of the region as
temperatures warm into the 90s. Weak height falls, a weak/diffuse
cold front, and lee troughing east of the Appalachians will all
support widespread thunderstorm activity Friday afternoon/evening.
Shear will be relatively weak (15 to 20 knots), but the strongly
unstable environment and hot/moist boundary layer will support the
threat for some strong to severe storms with a primary threat of
severe wind gusts.
...Southern Arizona...
Some monsoon moisture may move into southern Arizona on Friday which
may lead to some weak to moderate instability as temperatures warm
over 100F. Southeasterly mid-level flow of 15-20 knots around the
southern periphery of the mid-level ridge will aid in some storm
organization and may result in some isolated severe weather threat.
At this time, confidence in storm coverage/intensity remains too low
for a marginal risk.
..Bentley.. 07/31/2024
Read more
1 year 1 month ago
SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0229 AM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024
Valid 021200Z - 031200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE
OHIO/TENNESSEE VALLEYS TO THE ATLANTIC COAST...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to occasionally severe storms are possible on
Friday from the Ohio/Tennessee Valley to the Atlantic Coast.
...Synopsis...
A upper low in the Illinois/Indiana vicinity Friday morning will
move slowly east through the day before stalling Friday night. A
surface low in the southern Great Lakes region will weaken during
the day with a diffuse cold front extending from central Ohio to the
Mid-Mississippi Valley.
...Ohio Valley to the Mid-Atlantic and Carolinas...
A very moist airmass will remain across the Ohio Valley/Tennessee
Valley to the Atlantic Coast on Friday. Therefore, moderate to
strong instability is expected across much of the region as
temperatures warm into the 90s. Weak height falls, a weak/diffuse
cold front, and lee troughing east of the Appalachians will all
support widespread thunderstorm activity Friday afternoon/evening.
Shear will be relatively weak (15 to 20 knots), but the strongly
unstable environment and hot/moist boundary layer will support the
threat for some strong to severe storms with a primary threat of
severe wind gusts.
...Southern Arizona...
Some monsoon moisture may move into southern Arizona on Friday which
may lead to some weak to moderate instability as temperatures warm
over 100F. Southeasterly mid-level flow of 15-20 knots around the
southern periphery of the mid-level ridge will aid in some storm
organization and may result in some isolated severe weather threat.
At this time, confidence in storm coverage/intensity remains too low
for a marginal risk.
..Bentley.. 07/31/2024
Read more
1 year 1 month ago
SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0229 AM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024
Valid 021200Z - 031200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE
OHIO/TENNESSEE VALLEYS TO THE ATLANTIC COAST...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to occasionally severe storms are possible on
Friday from the Ohio/Tennessee Valley to the Atlantic Coast.
...Synopsis...
A upper low in the Illinois/Indiana vicinity Friday morning will
move slowly east through the day before stalling Friday night. A
surface low in the southern Great Lakes region will weaken during
the day with a diffuse cold front extending from central Ohio to the
Mid-Mississippi Valley.
...Ohio Valley to the Mid-Atlantic and Carolinas...
A very moist airmass will remain across the Ohio Valley/Tennessee
Valley to the Atlantic Coast on Friday. Therefore, moderate to
strong instability is expected across much of the region as
temperatures warm into the 90s. Weak height falls, a weak/diffuse
cold front, and lee troughing east of the Appalachians will all
support widespread thunderstorm activity Friday afternoon/evening.
Shear will be relatively weak (15 to 20 knots), but the strongly
unstable environment and hot/moist boundary layer will support the
threat for some strong to severe storms with a primary threat of
severe wind gusts.
...Southern Arizona...
Some monsoon moisture may move into southern Arizona on Friday which
may lead to some weak to moderate instability as temperatures warm
over 100F. Southeasterly mid-level flow of 15-20 knots around the
southern periphery of the mid-level ridge will aid in some storm
organization and may result in some isolated severe weather threat.
At this time, confidence in storm coverage/intensity remains too low
for a marginal risk.
..Bentley.. 07/31/2024
Read more
1 year 1 month ago
SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0229 AM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024
Valid 021200Z - 031200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE
OHIO/TENNESSEE VALLEYS TO THE ATLANTIC COAST...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to occasionally severe storms are possible on
Friday from the Ohio/Tennessee Valley to the Atlantic Coast.
...Synopsis...
A upper low in the Illinois/Indiana vicinity Friday morning will
move slowly east through the day before stalling Friday night. A
surface low in the southern Great Lakes region will weaken during
the day with a diffuse cold front extending from central Ohio to the
Mid-Mississippi Valley.
...Ohio Valley to the Mid-Atlantic and Carolinas...
A very moist airmass will remain across the Ohio Valley/Tennessee
Valley to the Atlantic Coast on Friday. Therefore, moderate to
strong instability is expected across much of the region as
temperatures warm into the 90s. Weak height falls, a weak/diffuse
cold front, and lee troughing east of the Appalachians will all
support widespread thunderstorm activity Friday afternoon/evening.
Shear will be relatively weak (15 to 20 knots), but the strongly
unstable environment and hot/moist boundary layer will support the
threat for some strong to severe storms with a primary threat of
severe wind gusts.
...Southern Arizona...
Some monsoon moisture may move into southern Arizona on Friday which
may lead to some weak to moderate instability as temperatures warm
over 100F. Southeasterly mid-level flow of 15-20 knots around the
southern periphery of the mid-level ridge will aid in some storm
organization and may result in some isolated severe weather threat.
At this time, confidence in storm coverage/intensity remains too low
for a marginal risk.
..Bentley.. 07/31/2024
Read more
1 year 1 month ago
SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0229 AM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024
Valid 021200Z - 031200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE
OHIO/TENNESSEE VALLEYS TO THE ATLANTIC COAST...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to occasionally severe storms are possible on
Friday from the Ohio/Tennessee Valley to the Atlantic Coast.
...Synopsis...
A upper low in the Illinois/Indiana vicinity Friday morning will
move slowly east through the day before stalling Friday night. A
surface low in the southern Great Lakes region will weaken during
the day with a diffuse cold front extending from central Ohio to the
Mid-Mississippi Valley.
...Ohio Valley to the Mid-Atlantic and Carolinas...
A very moist airmass will remain across the Ohio Valley/Tennessee
Valley to the Atlantic Coast on Friday. Therefore, moderate to
strong instability is expected across much of the region as
temperatures warm into the 90s. Weak height falls, a weak/diffuse
cold front, and lee troughing east of the Appalachians will all
support widespread thunderstorm activity Friday afternoon/evening.
Shear will be relatively weak (15 to 20 knots), but the strongly
unstable environment and hot/moist boundary layer will support the
threat for some strong to severe storms with a primary threat of
severe wind gusts.
...Southern Arizona...
Some monsoon moisture may move into southern Arizona on Friday which
may lead to some weak to moderate instability as temperatures warm
over 100F. Southeasterly mid-level flow of 15-20 knots around the
southern periphery of the mid-level ridge will aid in some storm
organization and may result in some isolated severe weather threat.
At this time, confidence in storm coverage/intensity remains too low
for a marginal risk.
..Bentley.. 07/31/2024
Read more
1 year 1 month ago
WW 0576 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 576
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GRAMS..07/31/24
ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 576
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-007-009-015-025-027-029-039-047-049-051-053-073-075-
077-079-083-085-099-117-121-123-125-127-129-133-135-137-153-155-
157-159-161-165-169-171-173-175-179-181-185-187-310740-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS APPANOOSE
AUDUBON BOONE CALHOUN
CARROLL CASS CLARKE
CRAWFORD DALLAS DAVIS
DECATUR GREENE GRUNDY
GUTHRIE HAMILTON HARDIN
HARRISON JASPER LUCAS
MADISON MAHASKA MARION
MARSHALL MILLS MONONA
MONROE MONTGOMERY POLK
POTTAWATTAMIE POWESHIEK RINGGOLD
SAC SHELBY STORY
TAMA TAYLOR UNION
WAPELLO WARREN WAYNE
WEBSTER
NEC021-023-037-039-053-055-153-155-167-173-177-310740-
Read more
1 year 1 month ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0128 AM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024
Valid 011200Z - 021200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...Synopsis...
Along the western periphery of an expansive mid/upper-level ridge
over the West, a belt of moderate midlevel south-southwesterly flow
will overspread portions of northern CA and western OR. Here,
boundary-layer mixing into the enhanced flow aloft will promote
locally dry/breezy conditions during the afternoon -- especially
within terrain-favored areas such as the Shasta Valley. Overall, the
breezy surface winds appear too localized for an Elevated area,
owing to a weak surface pressure gradient across the area.
..Weinman.. 07/31/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year 1 month ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0128 AM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024
Valid 011200Z - 021200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...Synopsis...
Along the western periphery of an expansive mid/upper-level ridge
over the West, a belt of moderate midlevel south-southwesterly flow
will overspread portions of northern CA and western OR. Here,
boundary-layer mixing into the enhanced flow aloft will promote
locally dry/breezy conditions during the afternoon -- especially
within terrain-favored areas such as the Shasta Valley. Overall, the
breezy surface winds appear too localized for an Elevated area,
owing to a weak surface pressure gradient across the area.
..Weinman.. 07/31/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
Checked
5 years 11 months ago
Storm Prediction Center
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