Severe Storms

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0428 PM CDT Sun Aug 04 2024 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z ...Synopsis... A mid to upper-level shortwave trough will traverse the Pacific Northwest D3/Tuesday atop an upper ridge, while the ridge is shunted south and slightly eastward. The aforementioned shortwave trough will continue to progress eastward into the Great Plains D4/Wednesday, with some narrow bands of modest mid-level flow accompanying it across the northern Great Basin and Rockies. Generally, weaker flow is expected through most of the troposphere after D4/Wednesday across much of the central and western CONUS through D8/Sunday. ...Dry Thunderstorms... Increasing mid-level ascent associated with a shortwave trough will impact the northern and central Rockies D3/Tuesday. Sufficient monsoonal moisture within and on the northern periphery of the upper ridge, above drier boundary layer conditions, will continue to support dry thunderstorm chances over receptive fuels from southwestern MT, southeastward into WY, eastern UT, and western/northwestern CO. PWATs are expected to fall across these regions into D4/Wednesday, although the area of 10 percent Isolated Dry Thunderstorms will become more confined to western CO and eastern UT by then as the main shortwave trough moves into the Northern Great Plains. ...Dry and Windy... Increasing west-northwesterly surface winds will develop D4/Wednesday across the Upper Snake River Plain/southeast ID and Wyoming Basin via a tightening surface pressure gradient, and momentum transfer from aloft under a belt of relatively stronger mid-level flow. While fuels should remain less receptive across southeast ID during this time, hot and dry conditions will combine with these breezier winds across southwest WY where they should remain more receptive. A small 40 percent Critical area has been introduced there. ..Barnes.. 08/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0428 PM CDT Sun Aug 04 2024 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z ...Synopsis... A mid to upper-level shortwave trough will traverse the Pacific Northwest D3/Tuesday atop an upper ridge, while the ridge is shunted south and slightly eastward. The aforementioned shortwave trough will continue to progress eastward into the Great Plains D4/Wednesday, with some narrow bands of modest mid-level flow accompanying it across the northern Great Basin and Rockies. Generally, weaker flow is expected through most of the troposphere after D4/Wednesday across much of the central and western CONUS through D8/Sunday. ...Dry Thunderstorms... Increasing mid-level ascent associated with a shortwave trough will impact the northern and central Rockies D3/Tuesday. Sufficient monsoonal moisture within and on the northern periphery of the upper ridge, above drier boundary layer conditions, will continue to support dry thunderstorm chances over receptive fuels from southwestern MT, southeastward into WY, eastern UT, and western/northwestern CO. PWATs are expected to fall across these regions into D4/Wednesday, although the area of 10 percent Isolated Dry Thunderstorms will become more confined to western CO and eastern UT by then as the main shortwave trough moves into the Northern Great Plains. ...Dry and Windy... Increasing west-northwesterly surface winds will develop D4/Wednesday across the Upper Snake River Plain/southeast ID and Wyoming Basin via a tightening surface pressure gradient, and momentum transfer from aloft under a belt of relatively stronger mid-level flow. While fuels should remain less receptive across southeast ID during this time, hot and dry conditions will combine with these breezier winds across southwest WY where they should remain more receptive. A small 40 percent Critical area has been introduced there. ..Barnes.. 08/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0428 PM CDT Sun Aug 04 2024 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z ...Synopsis... A mid to upper-level shortwave trough will traverse the Pacific Northwest D3/Tuesday atop an upper ridge, while the ridge is shunted south and slightly eastward. The aforementioned shortwave trough will continue to progress eastward into the Great Plains D4/Wednesday, with some narrow bands of modest mid-level flow accompanying it across the northern Great Basin and Rockies. Generally, weaker flow is expected through most of the troposphere after D4/Wednesday across much of the central and western CONUS through D8/Sunday. ...Dry Thunderstorms... Increasing mid-level ascent associated with a shortwave trough will impact the northern and central Rockies D3/Tuesday. Sufficient monsoonal moisture within and on the northern periphery of the upper ridge, above drier boundary layer conditions, will continue to support dry thunderstorm chances over receptive fuels from southwestern MT, southeastward into WY, eastern UT, and western/northwestern CO. PWATs are expected to fall across these regions into D4/Wednesday, although the area of 10 percent Isolated Dry Thunderstorms will become more confined to western CO and eastern UT by then as the main shortwave trough moves into the Northern Great Plains. ...Dry and Windy... Increasing west-northwesterly surface winds will develop D4/Wednesday across the Upper Snake River Plain/southeast ID and Wyoming Basin via a tightening surface pressure gradient, and momentum transfer from aloft under a belt of relatively stronger mid-level flow. While fuels should remain less receptive across southeast ID during this time, hot and dry conditions will combine with these breezier winds across southwest WY where they should remain more receptive. A small 40 percent Critical area has been introduced there. ..Barnes.. 08/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0428 PM CDT Sun Aug 04 2024 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z ...Synopsis... A mid to upper-level shortwave trough will traverse the Pacific Northwest D3/Tuesday atop an upper ridge, while the ridge is shunted south and slightly eastward. The aforementioned shortwave trough will continue to progress eastward into the Great Plains D4/Wednesday, with some narrow bands of modest mid-level flow accompanying it across the northern Great Basin and Rockies. Generally, weaker flow is expected through most of the troposphere after D4/Wednesday across much of the central and western CONUS through D8/Sunday. ...Dry Thunderstorms... Increasing mid-level ascent associated with a shortwave trough will impact the northern and central Rockies D3/Tuesday. Sufficient monsoonal moisture within and on the northern periphery of the upper ridge, above drier boundary layer conditions, will continue to support dry thunderstorm chances over receptive fuels from southwestern MT, southeastward into WY, eastern UT, and western/northwestern CO. PWATs are expected to fall across these regions into D4/Wednesday, although the area of 10 percent Isolated Dry Thunderstorms will become more confined to western CO and eastern UT by then as the main shortwave trough moves into the Northern Great Plains. ...Dry and Windy... Increasing west-northwesterly surface winds will develop D4/Wednesday across the Upper Snake River Plain/southeast ID and Wyoming Basin via a tightening surface pressure gradient, and momentum transfer from aloft under a belt of relatively stronger mid-level flow. While fuels should remain less receptive across southeast ID during this time, hot and dry conditions will combine with these breezier winds across southwest WY where they should remain more receptive. A small 40 percent Critical area has been introduced there. ..Barnes.. 08/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0428 PM CDT Sun Aug 04 2024 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z ...Synopsis... A mid to upper-level shortwave trough will traverse the Pacific Northwest D3/Tuesday atop an upper ridge, while the ridge is shunted south and slightly eastward. The aforementioned shortwave trough will continue to progress eastward into the Great Plains D4/Wednesday, with some narrow bands of modest mid-level flow accompanying it across the northern Great Basin and Rockies. Generally, weaker flow is expected through most of the troposphere after D4/Wednesday across much of the central and western CONUS through D8/Sunday. ...Dry Thunderstorms... Increasing mid-level ascent associated with a shortwave trough will impact the northern and central Rockies D3/Tuesday. Sufficient monsoonal moisture within and on the northern periphery of the upper ridge, above drier boundary layer conditions, will continue to support dry thunderstorm chances over receptive fuels from southwestern MT, southeastward into WY, eastern UT, and western/northwestern CO. PWATs are expected to fall across these regions into D4/Wednesday, although the area of 10 percent Isolated Dry Thunderstorms will become more confined to western CO and eastern UT by then as the main shortwave trough moves into the Northern Great Plains. ...Dry and Windy... Increasing west-northwesterly surface winds will develop D4/Wednesday across the Upper Snake River Plain/southeast ID and Wyoming Basin via a tightening surface pressure gradient, and momentum transfer from aloft under a belt of relatively stronger mid-level flow. While fuels should remain less receptive across southeast ID during this time, hot and dry conditions will combine with these breezier winds across southwest WY where they should remain more receptive. A small 40 percent Critical area has been introduced there. ..Barnes.. 08/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0428 PM CDT Sun Aug 04 2024 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z ...Synopsis... A mid to upper-level shortwave trough will traverse the Pacific Northwest D3/Tuesday atop an upper ridge, while the ridge is shunted south and slightly eastward. The aforementioned shortwave trough will continue to progress eastward into the Great Plains D4/Wednesday, with some narrow bands of modest mid-level flow accompanying it across the northern Great Basin and Rockies. Generally, weaker flow is expected through most of the troposphere after D4/Wednesday across much of the central and western CONUS through D8/Sunday. ...Dry Thunderstorms... Increasing mid-level ascent associated with a shortwave trough will impact the northern and central Rockies D3/Tuesday. Sufficient monsoonal moisture within and on the northern periphery of the upper ridge, above drier boundary layer conditions, will continue to support dry thunderstorm chances over receptive fuels from southwestern MT, southeastward into WY, eastern UT, and western/northwestern CO. PWATs are expected to fall across these regions into D4/Wednesday, although the area of 10 percent Isolated Dry Thunderstorms will become more confined to western CO and eastern UT by then as the main shortwave trough moves into the Northern Great Plains. ...Dry and Windy... Increasing west-northwesterly surface winds will develop D4/Wednesday across the Upper Snake River Plain/southeast ID and Wyoming Basin via a tightening surface pressure gradient, and momentum transfer from aloft under a belt of relatively stronger mid-level flow. While fuels should remain less receptive across southeast ID during this time, hot and dry conditions will combine with these breezier winds across southwest WY where they should remain more receptive. A small 40 percent Critical area has been introduced there. ..Barnes.. 08/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

WW 0594 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 594 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..08/04/24 ATTN...WFO...JAX...TBW...MFL...TAE...MLB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 594 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC001-003-007-015-017-019-021-023-027-029-031-035-041-043-047- 049-051-053-055-057-065-067-069-071-073-075-079-081-083-089-093- 095-097-101-103-105-107-109-115-117-119-121-123-125-127-129- 042240- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALACHUA BAKER BRADFORD CHARLOTTE CITRUS CLAY COLLIER COLUMBIA DESOTO DIXIE DUVAL FLAGLER GILCHRIST GLADES HAMILTON HARDEE HENDRY HERNANDO HIGHLANDS HILLSBOROUGH JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LAKE LEE LEON LEVY MADISON MANATEE MARION NASSAU OKEECHOBEE ORANGE OSCEOLA PASCO PINELLAS POLK PUTNAM ST. JOHNS SARASOTA SEMINOLE SUMTER SUWANNEE TAYLOR UNION VOLUSIA WAKULLA Read more

WW 0594 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 594 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..08/04/24 ATTN...WFO...JAX...TBW...MFL...TAE...MLB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 594 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC001-003-007-015-017-019-021-023-027-029-031-035-041-043-047- 049-051-053-055-057-065-067-069-071-073-075-079-081-083-089-093- 095-097-101-103-105-107-109-115-117-119-121-123-125-127-129- 042240- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALACHUA BAKER BRADFORD CHARLOTTE CITRUS CLAY COLLIER COLUMBIA DESOTO DIXIE DUVAL FLAGLER GILCHRIST GLADES HAMILTON HARDEE HENDRY HERNANDO HIGHLANDS HILLSBOROUGH JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LAKE LEE LEON LEVY MADISON MANATEE MARION NASSAU OKEECHOBEE ORANGE OSCEOLA PASCO PINELLAS POLK PUTNAM ST. JOHNS SARASOTA SEMINOLE SUMTER SUWANNEE TAYLOR UNION VOLUSIA WAKULLA Read more

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Sun Aug 4 20:00:18 UTC 2024.

MD 1814 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR FAR NORTHERN NEW YORK EASTWARD INTO MAINE
Mesoscale Discussion 1814 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1234 PM CDT Sun Aug 04 2024 Areas affected...far northern New York eastward into Maine Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 041734Z - 042000Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Some storms may produce localized hail, primarily at or below severe levels, over the next several hours. DISCUSSION...On the periphery of an upper trough over Quebec, relatively cool midlevel temperatures extend southward into parts of New England. Daytime heating near a surface trough and also north of a more extensive cirrus shield is resulting in moderate destabilization from northern NY eastward into parts of ME. Wind profiles do not favor particularly organized storms, as winds below 500 mb are weak. However, stronger speeds exist in the upper levels which may aid venting somewhat. Overall, it appears that short-lived, strong storm cores capable of marginally severe hail will be the primary risk with these cells over the next few hours as they travel east/southeast across the narrow instability zone. ..Jewell.. 08/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...BTV...ALY...BGM...BUF... LAT...LON 46146811 45056885 44496990 43337395 43437523 43887520 44297473 44957381 45057191 45567106 46167035 46696902 46486817 46146811 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0247 PM CDT Sun Aug 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...Update... A few minor changes were made to the Isolated Dry Thunderstorm area to include portions of the central Rockies within western CO, and to remove most of the ID panhandle where recent wetting rains occurred. Relative to today PWATs will decrease slightly Monday afternoon across portions of the northern Great Basin and Upper CO River Basin ahead of a shortwave trough. Most fuels within these regions, void of any recent precipitation, remain receptive to lightning ignitions. For additional details, please see the previous discussion. ..Barnes.. 08/04/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0203 AM CDT Sun Aug 04 2024/ ...Synopsis... Several shortwave disturbances moving across the northern periphery of the western US ridge will provide additional chances for thunderstorms across northern Nevada, Utah, Iowa, far western Wyoming, and Montana where a plume of mid-level moisture resides. dry fuels within these regions will support potential for new ignitions. Gusty and erratic outflow will also be possible. Portions of western Montana/Idaho Panhandle may receive wetting rainfall on D1 Sunday. This area may need to be adjusted in coming outlooks based on status of fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0247 PM CDT Sun Aug 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...Update... A few minor changes were made to the Isolated Dry Thunderstorm area to include portions of the central Rockies within western CO, and to remove most of the ID panhandle where recent wetting rains occurred. Relative to today PWATs will decrease slightly Monday afternoon across portions of the northern Great Basin and Upper CO River Basin ahead of a shortwave trough. Most fuels within these regions, void of any recent precipitation, remain receptive to lightning ignitions. For additional details, please see the previous discussion. ..Barnes.. 08/04/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0203 AM CDT Sun Aug 04 2024/ ...Synopsis... Several shortwave disturbances moving across the northern periphery of the western US ridge will provide additional chances for thunderstorms across northern Nevada, Utah, Iowa, far western Wyoming, and Montana where a plume of mid-level moisture resides. dry fuels within these regions will support potential for new ignitions. Gusty and erratic outflow will also be possible. Portions of western Montana/Idaho Panhandle may receive wetting rainfall on D1 Sunday. This area may need to be adjusted in coming outlooks based on status of fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0247 PM CDT Sun Aug 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...Update... A few minor changes were made to the Isolated Dry Thunderstorm area to include portions of the central Rockies within western CO, and to remove most of the ID panhandle where recent wetting rains occurred. Relative to today PWATs will decrease slightly Monday afternoon across portions of the northern Great Basin and Upper CO River Basin ahead of a shortwave trough. Most fuels within these regions, void of any recent precipitation, remain receptive to lightning ignitions. For additional details, please see the previous discussion. ..Barnes.. 08/04/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0203 AM CDT Sun Aug 04 2024/ ...Synopsis... Several shortwave disturbances moving across the northern periphery of the western US ridge will provide additional chances for thunderstorms across northern Nevada, Utah, Iowa, far western Wyoming, and Montana where a plume of mid-level moisture resides. dry fuels within these regions will support potential for new ignitions. Gusty and erratic outflow will also be possible. Portions of western Montana/Idaho Panhandle may receive wetting rainfall on D1 Sunday. This area may need to be adjusted in coming outlooks based on status of fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0247 PM CDT Sun Aug 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...Update... A few minor changes were made to the Isolated Dry Thunderstorm area to include portions of the central Rockies within western CO, and to remove most of the ID panhandle where recent wetting rains occurred. Relative to today PWATs will decrease slightly Monday afternoon across portions of the northern Great Basin and Upper CO River Basin ahead of a shortwave trough. Most fuels within these regions, void of any recent precipitation, remain receptive to lightning ignitions. For additional details, please see the previous discussion. ..Barnes.. 08/04/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0203 AM CDT Sun Aug 04 2024/ ...Synopsis... Several shortwave disturbances moving across the northern periphery of the western US ridge will provide additional chances for thunderstorms across northern Nevada, Utah, Iowa, far western Wyoming, and Montana where a plume of mid-level moisture resides. dry fuels within these regions will support potential for new ignitions. Gusty and erratic outflow will also be possible. Portions of western Montana/Idaho Panhandle may receive wetting rainfall on D1 Sunday. This area may need to be adjusted in coming outlooks based on status of fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0247 PM CDT Sun Aug 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...Update... A few minor changes were made to the Isolated Dry Thunderstorm area to include portions of the central Rockies within western CO, and to remove most of the ID panhandle where recent wetting rains occurred. Relative to today PWATs will decrease slightly Monday afternoon across portions of the northern Great Basin and Upper CO River Basin ahead of a shortwave trough. Most fuels within these regions, void of any recent precipitation, remain receptive to lightning ignitions. For additional details, please see the previous discussion. ..Barnes.. 08/04/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0203 AM CDT Sun Aug 04 2024/ ...Synopsis... Several shortwave disturbances moving across the northern periphery of the western US ridge will provide additional chances for thunderstorms across northern Nevada, Utah, Iowa, far western Wyoming, and Montana where a plume of mid-level moisture resides. dry fuels within these regions will support potential for new ignitions. Gusty and erratic outflow will also be possible. Portions of western Montana/Idaho Panhandle may receive wetting rainfall on D1 Sunday. This area may need to be adjusted in coming outlooks based on status of fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0247 PM CDT Sun Aug 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...Update... A few minor changes were made to the Isolated Dry Thunderstorm area to include portions of the central Rockies within western CO, and to remove most of the ID panhandle where recent wetting rains occurred. Relative to today PWATs will decrease slightly Monday afternoon across portions of the northern Great Basin and Upper CO River Basin ahead of a shortwave trough. Most fuels within these regions, void of any recent precipitation, remain receptive to lightning ignitions. For additional details, please see the previous discussion. ..Barnes.. 08/04/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0203 AM CDT Sun Aug 04 2024/ ...Synopsis... Several shortwave disturbances moving across the northern periphery of the western US ridge will provide additional chances for thunderstorms across northern Nevada, Utah, Iowa, far western Wyoming, and Montana where a plume of mid-level moisture resides. dry fuels within these regions will support potential for new ignitions. Gusty and erratic outflow will also be possible. Portions of western Montana/Idaho Panhandle may receive wetting rainfall on D1 Sunday. This area may need to be adjusted in coming outlooks based on status of fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0247 PM CDT Sun Aug 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...Update... A few minor changes were made to the Isolated Dry Thunderstorm area to include portions of the central Rockies within western CO, and to remove most of the ID panhandle where recent wetting rains occurred. Relative to today PWATs will decrease slightly Monday afternoon across portions of the northern Great Basin and Upper CO River Basin ahead of a shortwave trough. Most fuels within these regions, void of any recent precipitation, remain receptive to lightning ignitions. For additional details, please see the previous discussion. ..Barnes.. 08/04/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0203 AM CDT Sun Aug 04 2024/ ...Synopsis... Several shortwave disturbances moving across the northern periphery of the western US ridge will provide additional chances for thunderstorms across northern Nevada, Utah, Iowa, far western Wyoming, and Montana where a plume of mid-level moisture resides. dry fuels within these regions will support potential for new ignitions. Gusty and erratic outflow will also be possible. Portions of western Montana/Idaho Panhandle may receive wetting rainfall on D1 Sunday. This area may need to be adjusted in coming outlooks based on status of fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0247 PM CDT Sun Aug 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...Update... A few minor changes were made to the Isolated Dry Thunderstorm area to include portions of the central Rockies within western CO, and to remove most of the ID panhandle where recent wetting rains occurred. Relative to today PWATs will decrease slightly Monday afternoon across portions of the northern Great Basin and Upper CO River Basin ahead of a shortwave trough. Most fuels within these regions, void of any recent precipitation, remain receptive to lightning ignitions. For additional details, please see the previous discussion. ..Barnes.. 08/04/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0203 AM CDT Sun Aug 04 2024/ ...Synopsis... Several shortwave disturbances moving across the northern periphery of the western US ridge will provide additional chances for thunderstorms across northern Nevada, Utah, Iowa, far western Wyoming, and Montana where a plume of mid-level moisture resides. dry fuels within these regions will support potential for new ignitions. Gusty and erratic outflow will also be possible. Portions of western Montana/Idaho Panhandle may receive wetting rainfall on D1 Sunday. This area may need to be adjusted in coming outlooks based on status of fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0247 PM CDT Sun Aug 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...Update... A few minor changes were made to the Isolated Dry Thunderstorm area to include portions of the central Rockies within western CO, and to remove most of the ID panhandle where recent wetting rains occurred. Relative to today PWATs will decrease slightly Monday afternoon across portions of the northern Great Basin and Upper CO River Basin ahead of a shortwave trough. Most fuels within these regions, void of any recent precipitation, remain receptive to lightning ignitions. For additional details, please see the previous discussion. ..Barnes.. 08/04/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0203 AM CDT Sun Aug 04 2024/ ...Synopsis... Several shortwave disturbances moving across the northern periphery of the western US ridge will provide additional chances for thunderstorms across northern Nevada, Utah, Iowa, far western Wyoming, and Montana where a plume of mid-level moisture resides. dry fuels within these regions will support potential for new ignitions. Gusty and erratic outflow will also be possible. Portions of western Montana/Idaho Panhandle may receive wetting rainfall on D1 Sunday. This area may need to be adjusted in coming outlooks based on status of fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0247 PM CDT Sun Aug 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...Update... A few minor changes were made to the Isolated Dry Thunderstorm area to include portions of the central Rockies within western CO, and to remove most of the ID panhandle where recent wetting rains occurred. Relative to today PWATs will decrease slightly Monday afternoon across portions of the northern Great Basin and Upper CO River Basin ahead of a shortwave trough. Most fuels within these regions, void of any recent precipitation, remain receptive to lightning ignitions. For additional details, please see the previous discussion. ..Barnes.. 08/04/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0203 AM CDT Sun Aug 04 2024/ ...Synopsis... Several shortwave disturbances moving across the northern periphery of the western US ridge will provide additional chances for thunderstorms across northern Nevada, Utah, Iowa, far western Wyoming, and Montana where a plume of mid-level moisture resides. dry fuels within these regions will support potential for new ignitions. Gusty and erratic outflow will also be possible. Portions of western Montana/Idaho Panhandle may receive wetting rainfall on D1 Sunday. This area may need to be adjusted in coming outlooks based on status of fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more