Official websites use .gov
A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States.
Secure .gov websites use HTTPS
A lock ( ) or https:// means you’ve safely connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites.
Do you still have COVID-19 funeral costs?
Read more
×
FEMA may still be able to help. Visit the COVID-19 Funeral Assistance page. Or to learn more and start an application, call 1-844-684-6333 .
Main navigation
Search
1 year ago
WW 0658 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 658
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DEAN..08/27/24
ATTN...WFO...LOT...MKX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 658
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC007-031-037-043-053-063-075-089-091-093-097-099-103-105-111-
141-197-201-272340-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE COOK DE KALB
DUPAGE FORD GRUNDY
IROQUOIS KANE KANKAKEE
KENDALL LAKE LA SALLE
LEE LIVINGSTON MCHENRY
OGLE WILL WINNEBAGO
INC007-073-089-111-127-272340-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON JASPER LAKE
NEWTON PORTER
WIC059-101-127-272340-
WI
Read more
1 year ago
WW 658 SEVERE TSTM IL IN WI LM 272210Z - 280400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 658
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
510 PM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northern Illinois
Northwest Indiana
Far Southeast Wisconsin
Lake Michigan
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 510 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms should continue to grow in coverage and
intensity this afternoon and evening as they move
east-southeastward. Large hail around 1-2 inches in diameter will be
a threat with any supercells, but severe/damaging winds generally
around 60-70 mph may also occur if thunderstorms can grow into a
small cluster.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles west of Racine
WI to 55 miles southeast of Marseilles IL. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 656...WW 657...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
30025.
...Gleason
Read more
1 year ago
WW 0659 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0659 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
Read more
1 year ago
WW 0659 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0659 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
Read more
1 year ago
WW 659 SEVERE TSTM OH PA LE 272235Z - 280400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 659
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
635 PM EDT Tue Aug 27 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northern Ohio
Far Northwest Pennsylvania
Lake Erie
* Effective this Tuesday night from 635 PM until Midnight EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A line of thunderstorms should continue to pose some
threat for severe/damaging winds up to 60-70 mph as it moves
east-southeastward this evening across parts of northern Ohio and
eventually far northwest Pennsylvania.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 25
statute miles north and south of a line from 15 miles south of
Toledo OH to 20 miles east southeast of Erie PA. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 656...WW 657...WW 658...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
30035.
...Gleason
Read more
1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0447 PM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024
Valid 291200Z - 041200Z
In the wake of a midlevel low advancing eastward across the northern
Plains, an expansive mid/upper-level ridge will temporarily build
over the West through around Day 5/Saturday. While weak surface
winds should generally mitigate fire-weather concerns during that
time, boundary-layer warming and some drying of fuels is expected,
most notably across the Northwest.
Thereafter, a midlevel trough/low will approach the Pacific
Northwest, with weak midlevel height falls beginning to impinge on
coastal OR/WA as early as Day 5/Saturday. Forcing for ascent will
not be particularly strong at that time, though gradually increasing
midlevel moisture/instability may support an isolated thunderstorm
risk along/west of the Cascades (though confidence in this scenario
is low).
On Days 6-7/Sunday-Monday, the midlevel trough/low will continue
east-northeastward across the Northwest, with more substantial
midlevel height falls overspreading the region. Increasing midlevel
moisture atop a relatively warm/dry boundary layer will support
mixed wet/dry thunderstorms, given the ample large-scale ascent.
Confidence in thunderstorm development is currently highest across
portions of OR on Day 7/Monday -- when the strongest ascent should
phase with favorable PW/instability. Dry Thunderstorm probabilities
have been withheld owing to uncertainties regarding fuel
receptiveness and overall timing of thunderstorm development, though
probabilities may eventually be needed as those details become more
clear.
..Weinman.. 08/27/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0447 PM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024
Valid 291200Z - 041200Z
In the wake of a midlevel low advancing eastward across the northern
Plains, an expansive mid/upper-level ridge will temporarily build
over the West through around Day 5/Saturday. While weak surface
winds should generally mitigate fire-weather concerns during that
time, boundary-layer warming and some drying of fuels is expected,
most notably across the Northwest.
Thereafter, a midlevel trough/low will approach the Pacific
Northwest, with weak midlevel height falls beginning to impinge on
coastal OR/WA as early as Day 5/Saturday. Forcing for ascent will
not be particularly strong at that time, though gradually increasing
midlevel moisture/instability may support an isolated thunderstorm
risk along/west of the Cascades (though confidence in this scenario
is low).
On Days 6-7/Sunday-Monday, the midlevel trough/low will continue
east-northeastward across the Northwest, with more substantial
midlevel height falls overspreading the region. Increasing midlevel
moisture atop a relatively warm/dry boundary layer will support
mixed wet/dry thunderstorms, given the ample large-scale ascent.
Confidence in thunderstorm development is currently highest across
portions of OR on Day 7/Monday -- when the strongest ascent should
phase with favorable PW/instability. Dry Thunderstorm probabilities
have been withheld owing to uncertainties regarding fuel
receptiveness and overall timing of thunderstorm development, though
probabilities may eventually be needed as those details become more
clear.
..Weinman.. 08/27/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0447 PM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024
Valid 291200Z - 041200Z
In the wake of a midlevel low advancing eastward across the northern
Plains, an expansive mid/upper-level ridge will temporarily build
over the West through around Day 5/Saturday. While weak surface
winds should generally mitigate fire-weather concerns during that
time, boundary-layer warming and some drying of fuels is expected,
most notably across the Northwest.
Thereafter, a midlevel trough/low will approach the Pacific
Northwest, with weak midlevel height falls beginning to impinge on
coastal OR/WA as early as Day 5/Saturday. Forcing for ascent will
not be particularly strong at that time, though gradually increasing
midlevel moisture/instability may support an isolated thunderstorm
risk along/west of the Cascades (though confidence in this scenario
is low).
On Days 6-7/Sunday-Monday, the midlevel trough/low will continue
east-northeastward across the Northwest, with more substantial
midlevel height falls overspreading the region. Increasing midlevel
moisture atop a relatively warm/dry boundary layer will support
mixed wet/dry thunderstorms, given the ample large-scale ascent.
Confidence in thunderstorm development is currently highest across
portions of OR on Day 7/Monday -- when the strongest ascent should
phase with favorable PW/instability. Dry Thunderstorm probabilities
have been withheld owing to uncertainties regarding fuel
receptiveness and overall timing of thunderstorm development, though
probabilities may eventually be needed as those details become more
clear.
..Weinman.. 08/27/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0447 PM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024
Valid 291200Z - 041200Z
In the wake of a midlevel low advancing eastward across the northern
Plains, an expansive mid/upper-level ridge will temporarily build
over the West through around Day 5/Saturday. While weak surface
winds should generally mitigate fire-weather concerns during that
time, boundary-layer warming and some drying of fuels is expected,
most notably across the Northwest.
Thereafter, a midlevel trough/low will approach the Pacific
Northwest, with weak midlevel height falls beginning to impinge on
coastal OR/WA as early as Day 5/Saturday. Forcing for ascent will
not be particularly strong at that time, though gradually increasing
midlevel moisture/instability may support an isolated thunderstorm
risk along/west of the Cascades (though confidence in this scenario
is low).
On Days 6-7/Sunday-Monday, the midlevel trough/low will continue
east-northeastward across the Northwest, with more substantial
midlevel height falls overspreading the region. Increasing midlevel
moisture atop a relatively warm/dry boundary layer will support
mixed wet/dry thunderstorms, given the ample large-scale ascent.
Confidence in thunderstorm development is currently highest across
portions of OR on Day 7/Monday -- when the strongest ascent should
phase with favorable PW/instability. Dry Thunderstorm probabilities
have been withheld owing to uncertainties regarding fuel
receptiveness and overall timing of thunderstorm development, though
probabilities may eventually be needed as those details become more
clear.
..Weinman.. 08/27/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0447 PM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024
Valid 291200Z - 041200Z
In the wake of a midlevel low advancing eastward across the northern
Plains, an expansive mid/upper-level ridge will temporarily build
over the West through around Day 5/Saturday. While weak surface
winds should generally mitigate fire-weather concerns during that
time, boundary-layer warming and some drying of fuels is expected,
most notably across the Northwest.
Thereafter, a midlevel trough/low will approach the Pacific
Northwest, with weak midlevel height falls beginning to impinge on
coastal OR/WA as early as Day 5/Saturday. Forcing for ascent will
not be particularly strong at that time, though gradually increasing
midlevel moisture/instability may support an isolated thunderstorm
risk along/west of the Cascades (though confidence in this scenario
is low).
On Days 6-7/Sunday-Monday, the midlevel trough/low will continue
east-northeastward across the Northwest, with more substantial
midlevel height falls overspreading the region. Increasing midlevel
moisture atop a relatively warm/dry boundary layer will support
mixed wet/dry thunderstorms, given the ample large-scale ascent.
Confidence in thunderstorm development is currently highest across
portions of OR on Day 7/Monday -- when the strongest ascent should
phase with favorable PW/instability. Dry Thunderstorm probabilities
have been withheld owing to uncertainties regarding fuel
receptiveness and overall timing of thunderstorm development, though
probabilities may eventually be needed as those details become more
clear.
..Weinman.. 08/27/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0447 PM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024
Valid 291200Z - 041200Z
In the wake of a midlevel low advancing eastward across the northern
Plains, an expansive mid/upper-level ridge will temporarily build
over the West through around Day 5/Saturday. While weak surface
winds should generally mitigate fire-weather concerns during that
time, boundary-layer warming and some drying of fuels is expected,
most notably across the Northwest.
Thereafter, a midlevel trough/low will approach the Pacific
Northwest, with weak midlevel height falls beginning to impinge on
coastal OR/WA as early as Day 5/Saturday. Forcing for ascent will
not be particularly strong at that time, though gradually increasing
midlevel moisture/instability may support an isolated thunderstorm
risk along/west of the Cascades (though confidence in this scenario
is low).
On Days 6-7/Sunday-Monday, the midlevel trough/low will continue
east-northeastward across the Northwest, with more substantial
midlevel height falls overspreading the region. Increasing midlevel
moisture atop a relatively warm/dry boundary layer will support
mixed wet/dry thunderstorms, given the ample large-scale ascent.
Confidence in thunderstorm development is currently highest across
portions of OR on Day 7/Monday -- when the strongest ascent should
phase with favorable PW/instability. Dry Thunderstorm probabilities
have been withheld owing to uncertainties regarding fuel
receptiveness and overall timing of thunderstorm development, though
probabilities may eventually be needed as those details become more
clear.
..Weinman.. 08/27/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0447 PM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024
Valid 291200Z - 041200Z
In the wake of a midlevel low advancing eastward across the northern
Plains, an expansive mid/upper-level ridge will temporarily build
over the West through around Day 5/Saturday. While weak surface
winds should generally mitigate fire-weather concerns during that
time, boundary-layer warming and some drying of fuels is expected,
most notably across the Northwest.
Thereafter, a midlevel trough/low will approach the Pacific
Northwest, with weak midlevel height falls beginning to impinge on
coastal OR/WA as early as Day 5/Saturday. Forcing for ascent will
not be particularly strong at that time, though gradually increasing
midlevel moisture/instability may support an isolated thunderstorm
risk along/west of the Cascades (though confidence in this scenario
is low).
On Days 6-7/Sunday-Monday, the midlevel trough/low will continue
east-northeastward across the Northwest, with more substantial
midlevel height falls overspreading the region. Increasing midlevel
moisture atop a relatively warm/dry boundary layer will support
mixed wet/dry thunderstorms, given the ample large-scale ascent.
Confidence in thunderstorm development is currently highest across
portions of OR on Day 7/Monday -- when the strongest ascent should
phase with favorable PW/instability. Dry Thunderstorm probabilities
have been withheld owing to uncertainties regarding fuel
receptiveness and overall timing of thunderstorm development, though
probabilities may eventually be needed as those details become more
clear.
..Weinman.. 08/27/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0447 PM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024
Valid 291200Z - 041200Z
In the wake of a midlevel low advancing eastward across the northern
Plains, an expansive mid/upper-level ridge will temporarily build
over the West through around Day 5/Saturday. While weak surface
winds should generally mitigate fire-weather concerns during that
time, boundary-layer warming and some drying of fuels is expected,
most notably across the Northwest.
Thereafter, a midlevel trough/low will approach the Pacific
Northwest, with weak midlevel height falls beginning to impinge on
coastal OR/WA as early as Day 5/Saturday. Forcing for ascent will
not be particularly strong at that time, though gradually increasing
midlevel moisture/instability may support an isolated thunderstorm
risk along/west of the Cascades (though confidence in this scenario
is low).
On Days 6-7/Sunday-Monday, the midlevel trough/low will continue
east-northeastward across the Northwest, with more substantial
midlevel height falls overspreading the region. Increasing midlevel
moisture atop a relatively warm/dry boundary layer will support
mixed wet/dry thunderstorms, given the ample large-scale ascent.
Confidence in thunderstorm development is currently highest across
portions of OR on Day 7/Monday -- when the strongest ascent should
phase with favorable PW/instability. Dry Thunderstorm probabilities
have been withheld owing to uncertainties regarding fuel
receptiveness and overall timing of thunderstorm development, though
probabilities may eventually be needed as those details become more
clear.
..Weinman.. 08/27/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0447 PM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024
Valid 291200Z - 041200Z
In the wake of a midlevel low advancing eastward across the northern
Plains, an expansive mid/upper-level ridge will temporarily build
over the West through around Day 5/Saturday. While weak surface
winds should generally mitigate fire-weather concerns during that
time, boundary-layer warming and some drying of fuels is expected,
most notably across the Northwest.
Thereafter, a midlevel trough/low will approach the Pacific
Northwest, with weak midlevel height falls beginning to impinge on
coastal OR/WA as early as Day 5/Saturday. Forcing for ascent will
not be particularly strong at that time, though gradually increasing
midlevel moisture/instability may support an isolated thunderstorm
risk along/west of the Cascades (though confidence in this scenario
is low).
On Days 6-7/Sunday-Monday, the midlevel trough/low will continue
east-northeastward across the Northwest, with more substantial
midlevel height falls overspreading the region. Increasing midlevel
moisture atop a relatively warm/dry boundary layer will support
mixed wet/dry thunderstorms, given the ample large-scale ascent.
Confidence in thunderstorm development is currently highest across
portions of OR on Day 7/Monday -- when the strongest ascent should
phase with favorable PW/instability. Dry Thunderstorm probabilities
have been withheld owing to uncertainties regarding fuel
receptiveness and overall timing of thunderstorm development, though
probabilities may eventually be needed as those details become more
clear.
..Weinman.. 08/27/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0447 PM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024
Valid 291200Z - 041200Z
In the wake of a midlevel low advancing eastward across the northern
Plains, an expansive mid/upper-level ridge will temporarily build
over the West through around Day 5/Saturday. While weak surface
winds should generally mitigate fire-weather concerns during that
time, boundary-layer warming and some drying of fuels is expected,
most notably across the Northwest.
Thereafter, a midlevel trough/low will approach the Pacific
Northwest, with weak midlevel height falls beginning to impinge on
coastal OR/WA as early as Day 5/Saturday. Forcing for ascent will
not be particularly strong at that time, though gradually increasing
midlevel moisture/instability may support an isolated thunderstorm
risk along/west of the Cascades (though confidence in this scenario
is low).
On Days 6-7/Sunday-Monday, the midlevel trough/low will continue
east-northeastward across the Northwest, with more substantial
midlevel height falls overspreading the region. Increasing midlevel
moisture atop a relatively warm/dry boundary layer will support
mixed wet/dry thunderstorms, given the ample large-scale ascent.
Confidence in thunderstorm development is currently highest across
portions of OR on Day 7/Monday -- when the strongest ascent should
phase with favorable PW/instability. Dry Thunderstorm probabilities
have been withheld owing to uncertainties regarding fuel
receptiveness and overall timing of thunderstorm development, though
probabilities may eventually be needed as those details become more
clear.
..Weinman.. 08/27/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0447 PM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024
Valid 291200Z - 041200Z
In the wake of a midlevel low advancing eastward across the northern
Plains, an expansive mid/upper-level ridge will temporarily build
over the West through around Day 5/Saturday. While weak surface
winds should generally mitigate fire-weather concerns during that
time, boundary-layer warming and some drying of fuels is expected,
most notably across the Northwest.
Thereafter, a midlevel trough/low will approach the Pacific
Northwest, with weak midlevel height falls beginning to impinge on
coastal OR/WA as early as Day 5/Saturday. Forcing for ascent will
not be particularly strong at that time, though gradually increasing
midlevel moisture/instability may support an isolated thunderstorm
risk along/west of the Cascades (though confidence in this scenario
is low).
On Days 6-7/Sunday-Monday, the midlevel trough/low will continue
east-northeastward across the Northwest, with more substantial
midlevel height falls overspreading the region. Increasing midlevel
moisture atop a relatively warm/dry boundary layer will support
mixed wet/dry thunderstorms, given the ample large-scale ascent.
Confidence in thunderstorm development is currently highest across
portions of OR on Day 7/Monday -- when the strongest ascent should
phase with favorable PW/instability. Dry Thunderstorm probabilities
have been withheld owing to uncertainties regarding fuel
receptiveness and overall timing of thunderstorm development, though
probabilities may eventually be needed as those details become more
clear.
..Weinman.. 08/27/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0447 PM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024
Valid 291200Z - 041200Z
In the wake of a midlevel low advancing eastward across the northern
Plains, an expansive mid/upper-level ridge will temporarily build
over the West through around Day 5/Saturday. While weak surface
winds should generally mitigate fire-weather concerns during that
time, boundary-layer warming and some drying of fuels is expected,
most notably across the Northwest.
Thereafter, a midlevel trough/low will approach the Pacific
Northwest, with weak midlevel height falls beginning to impinge on
coastal OR/WA as early as Day 5/Saturday. Forcing for ascent will
not be particularly strong at that time, though gradually increasing
midlevel moisture/instability may support an isolated thunderstorm
risk along/west of the Cascades (though confidence in this scenario
is low).
On Days 6-7/Sunday-Monday, the midlevel trough/low will continue
east-northeastward across the Northwest, with more substantial
midlevel height falls overspreading the region. Increasing midlevel
moisture atop a relatively warm/dry boundary layer will support
mixed wet/dry thunderstorms, given the ample large-scale ascent.
Confidence in thunderstorm development is currently highest across
portions of OR on Day 7/Monday -- when the strongest ascent should
phase with favorable PW/instability. Dry Thunderstorm probabilities
have been withheld owing to uncertainties regarding fuel
receptiveness and overall timing of thunderstorm development, though
probabilities may eventually be needed as those details become more
clear.
..Weinman.. 08/27/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0447 PM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024
Valid 291200Z - 041200Z
In the wake of a midlevel low advancing eastward across the northern
Plains, an expansive mid/upper-level ridge will temporarily build
over the West through around Day 5/Saturday. While weak surface
winds should generally mitigate fire-weather concerns during that
time, boundary-layer warming and some drying of fuels is expected,
most notably across the Northwest.
Thereafter, a midlevel trough/low will approach the Pacific
Northwest, with weak midlevel height falls beginning to impinge on
coastal OR/WA as early as Day 5/Saturday. Forcing for ascent will
not be particularly strong at that time, though gradually increasing
midlevel moisture/instability may support an isolated thunderstorm
risk along/west of the Cascades (though confidence in this scenario
is low).
On Days 6-7/Sunday-Monday, the midlevel trough/low will continue
east-northeastward across the Northwest, with more substantial
midlevel height falls overspreading the region. Increasing midlevel
moisture atop a relatively warm/dry boundary layer will support
mixed wet/dry thunderstorms, given the ample large-scale ascent.
Confidence in thunderstorm development is currently highest across
portions of OR on Day 7/Monday -- when the strongest ascent should
phase with favorable PW/instability. Dry Thunderstorm probabilities
have been withheld owing to uncertainties regarding fuel
receptiveness and overall timing of thunderstorm development, though
probabilities may eventually be needed as those details become more
clear.
..Weinman.. 08/27/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
1 year ago
WW 0656 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 656
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ESE AZO
TO 25 WNW JXN TO 20 WNW OSC.
..LYONS..08/27/24
ATTN...WFO...GRR...APX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 656
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MIC069-075-272240-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
IOSCO JACKSON
LHZ363-272240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO
US/CANADIAN BORDER
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
1 year ago
WW 0656 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 656
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ESE AZO
TO 25 WNW JXN TO 20 WNW OSC.
..LYONS..08/27/24
ATTN...WFO...GRR...APX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 656
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MIC069-075-272240-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
IOSCO JACKSON
LHZ363-272240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO
US/CANADIAN BORDER
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
Checked
5 years 11 months ago
Storm Prediction Center
Subscribe to Severe Storms feed