Severe Storms

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0113 PM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Potential for thunderstorms will remain low on Friday. ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will move from the lower Colorado Valley into the southern Rockies on Friday. Ahead of this feature, a strong belt of mid-level flow will persist across the southern Plains into the Southeast. Low-amplitude upper ridging will precede the southwestern trough. At the surface, a low will track from Kansas into the Ohio Valley before weakening. A cold front will push into the southern Plains in its wake. As the trough approaches the southern Plains, a surface low will develop along the cold front in Central/South Texas. Some moisture return is expected to occur from the Upper Texas Coast into the central Gulf Coast. However, the persistent southwesterly flow aloft will maintain a capping layer of warmer air and should preclude thunderstorm development in the absence of greater forcing for ascent. Within the core of the upper trough, some weak convection appears possible in south-central/southeast Arizona given the cold temperatures aloft. However, the cool/dry boundary layer conditions suggest coverage should remain well below 10%. ..Wendt.. 03/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0113 PM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Potential for thunderstorms will remain low on Friday. ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will move from the lower Colorado Valley into the southern Rockies on Friday. Ahead of this feature, a strong belt of mid-level flow will persist across the southern Plains into the Southeast. Low-amplitude upper ridging will precede the southwestern trough. At the surface, a low will track from Kansas into the Ohio Valley before weakening. A cold front will push into the southern Plains in its wake. As the trough approaches the southern Plains, a surface low will develop along the cold front in Central/South Texas. Some moisture return is expected to occur from the Upper Texas Coast into the central Gulf Coast. However, the persistent southwesterly flow aloft will maintain a capping layer of warmer air and should preclude thunderstorm development in the absence of greater forcing for ascent. Within the core of the upper trough, some weak convection appears possible in south-central/southeast Arizona given the cold temperatures aloft. However, the cool/dry boundary layer conditions suggest coverage should remain well below 10%. ..Wendt.. 03/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0113 PM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Potential for thunderstorms will remain low on Friday. ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will move from the lower Colorado Valley into the southern Rockies on Friday. Ahead of this feature, a strong belt of mid-level flow will persist across the southern Plains into the Southeast. Low-amplitude upper ridging will precede the southwestern trough. At the surface, a low will track from Kansas into the Ohio Valley before weakening. A cold front will push into the southern Plains in its wake. As the trough approaches the southern Plains, a surface low will develop along the cold front in Central/South Texas. Some moisture return is expected to occur from the Upper Texas Coast into the central Gulf Coast. However, the persistent southwesterly flow aloft will maintain a capping layer of warmer air and should preclude thunderstorm development in the absence of greater forcing for ascent. Within the core of the upper trough, some weak convection appears possible in south-central/southeast Arizona given the cold temperatures aloft. However, the cool/dry boundary layer conditions suggest coverage should remain well below 10%. ..Wendt.. 03/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0113 PM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Potential for thunderstorms will remain low on Friday. ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will move from the lower Colorado Valley into the southern Rockies on Friday. Ahead of this feature, a strong belt of mid-level flow will persist across the southern Plains into the Southeast. Low-amplitude upper ridging will precede the southwestern trough. At the surface, a low will track from Kansas into the Ohio Valley before weakening. A cold front will push into the southern Plains in its wake. As the trough approaches the southern Plains, a surface low will develop along the cold front in Central/South Texas. Some moisture return is expected to occur from the Upper Texas Coast into the central Gulf Coast. However, the persistent southwesterly flow aloft will maintain a capping layer of warmer air and should preclude thunderstorm development in the absence of greater forcing for ascent. Within the core of the upper trough, some weak convection appears possible in south-central/southeast Arizona given the cold temperatures aloft. However, the cool/dry boundary layer conditions suggest coverage should remain well below 10%. ..Wendt.. 03/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0113 PM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Potential for thunderstorms will remain low on Friday. ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will move from the lower Colorado Valley into the southern Rockies on Friday. Ahead of this feature, a strong belt of mid-level flow will persist across the southern Plains into the Southeast. Low-amplitude upper ridging will precede the southwestern trough. At the surface, a low will track from Kansas into the Ohio Valley before weakening. A cold front will push into the southern Plains in its wake. As the trough approaches the southern Plains, a surface low will develop along the cold front in Central/South Texas. Some moisture return is expected to occur from the Upper Texas Coast into the central Gulf Coast. However, the persistent southwesterly flow aloft will maintain a capping layer of warmer air and should preclude thunderstorm development in the absence of greater forcing for ascent. Within the core of the upper trough, some weak convection appears possible in south-central/southeast Arizona given the cold temperatures aloft. However, the cool/dry boundary layer conditions suggest coverage should remain well below 10%. ..Wendt.. 03/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0113 PM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Potential for thunderstorms will remain low on Friday. ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will move from the lower Colorado Valley into the southern Rockies on Friday. Ahead of this feature, a strong belt of mid-level flow will persist across the southern Plains into the Southeast. Low-amplitude upper ridging will precede the southwestern trough. At the surface, a low will track from Kansas into the Ohio Valley before weakening. A cold front will push into the southern Plains in its wake. As the trough approaches the southern Plains, a surface low will develop along the cold front in Central/South Texas. Some moisture return is expected to occur from the Upper Texas Coast into the central Gulf Coast. However, the persistent southwesterly flow aloft will maintain a capping layer of warmer air and should preclude thunderstorm development in the absence of greater forcing for ascent. Within the core of the upper trough, some weak convection appears possible in south-central/southeast Arizona given the cold temperatures aloft. However, the cool/dry boundary layer conditions suggest coverage should remain well below 10%. ..Wendt.. 03/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0113 PM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Potential for thunderstorms will remain low on Friday. ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will move from the lower Colorado Valley into the southern Rockies on Friday. Ahead of this feature, a strong belt of mid-level flow will persist across the southern Plains into the Southeast. Low-amplitude upper ridging will precede the southwestern trough. At the surface, a low will track from Kansas into the Ohio Valley before weakening. A cold front will push into the southern Plains in its wake. As the trough approaches the southern Plains, a surface low will develop along the cold front in Central/South Texas. Some moisture return is expected to occur from the Upper Texas Coast into the central Gulf Coast. However, the persistent southwesterly flow aloft will maintain a capping layer of warmer air and should preclude thunderstorm development in the absence of greater forcing for ascent. Within the core of the upper trough, some weak convection appears possible in south-central/southeast Arizona given the cold temperatures aloft. However, the cool/dry boundary layer conditions suggest coverage should remain well below 10%. ..Wendt.. 03/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0113 PM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Potential for thunderstorms will remain low on Friday. ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will move from the lower Colorado Valley into the southern Rockies on Friday. Ahead of this feature, a strong belt of mid-level flow will persist across the southern Plains into the Southeast. Low-amplitude upper ridging will precede the southwestern trough. At the surface, a low will track from Kansas into the Ohio Valley before weakening. A cold front will push into the southern Plains in its wake. As the trough approaches the southern Plains, a surface low will develop along the cold front in Central/South Texas. Some moisture return is expected to occur from the Upper Texas Coast into the central Gulf Coast. However, the persistent southwesterly flow aloft will maintain a capping layer of warmer air and should preclude thunderstorm development in the absence of greater forcing for ascent. Within the core of the upper trough, some weak convection appears possible in south-central/southeast Arizona given the cold temperatures aloft. However, the cool/dry boundary layer conditions suggest coverage should remain well below 10%. ..Wendt.. 03/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0113 PM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Potential for thunderstorms will remain low on Friday. ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will move from the lower Colorado Valley into the southern Rockies on Friday. Ahead of this feature, a strong belt of mid-level flow will persist across the southern Plains into the Southeast. Low-amplitude upper ridging will precede the southwestern trough. At the surface, a low will track from Kansas into the Ohio Valley before weakening. A cold front will push into the southern Plains in its wake. As the trough approaches the southern Plains, a surface low will develop along the cold front in Central/South Texas. Some moisture return is expected to occur from the Upper Texas Coast into the central Gulf Coast. However, the persistent southwesterly flow aloft will maintain a capping layer of warmer air and should preclude thunderstorm development in the absence of greater forcing for ascent. Within the core of the upper trough, some weak convection appears possible in south-central/southeast Arizona given the cold temperatures aloft. However, the cool/dry boundary layer conditions suggest coverage should remain well below 10%. ..Wendt.. 03/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0113 PM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Potential for thunderstorms will remain low on Friday. ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will move from the lower Colorado Valley into the southern Rockies on Friday. Ahead of this feature, a strong belt of mid-level flow will persist across the southern Plains into the Southeast. Low-amplitude upper ridging will precede the southwestern trough. At the surface, a low will track from Kansas into the Ohio Valley before weakening. A cold front will push into the southern Plains in its wake. As the trough approaches the southern Plains, a surface low will develop along the cold front in Central/South Texas. Some moisture return is expected to occur from the Upper Texas Coast into the central Gulf Coast. However, the persistent southwesterly flow aloft will maintain a capping layer of warmer air and should preclude thunderstorm development in the absence of greater forcing for ascent. Within the core of the upper trough, some weak convection appears possible in south-central/southeast Arizona given the cold temperatures aloft. However, the cool/dry boundary layer conditions suggest coverage should remain well below 10%. ..Wendt.. 03/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0113 PM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Potential for thunderstorms will remain low on Friday. ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will move from the lower Colorado Valley into the southern Rockies on Friday. Ahead of this feature, a strong belt of mid-level flow will persist across the southern Plains into the Southeast. Low-amplitude upper ridging will precede the southwestern trough. At the surface, a low will track from Kansas into the Ohio Valley before weakening. A cold front will push into the southern Plains in its wake. As the trough approaches the southern Plains, a surface low will develop along the cold front in Central/South Texas. Some moisture return is expected to occur from the Upper Texas Coast into the central Gulf Coast. However, the persistent southwesterly flow aloft will maintain a capping layer of warmer air and should preclude thunderstorm development in the absence of greater forcing for ascent. Within the core of the upper trough, some weak convection appears possible in south-central/southeast Arizona given the cold temperatures aloft. However, the cool/dry boundary layer conditions suggest coverage should remain well below 10%. ..Wendt.. 03/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0113 PM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Potential for thunderstorms will remain low on Friday. ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will move from the lower Colorado Valley into the southern Rockies on Friday. Ahead of this feature, a strong belt of mid-level flow will persist across the southern Plains into the Southeast. Low-amplitude upper ridging will precede the southwestern trough. At the surface, a low will track from Kansas into the Ohio Valley before weakening. A cold front will push into the southern Plains in its wake. As the trough approaches the southern Plains, a surface low will develop along the cold front in Central/South Texas. Some moisture return is expected to occur from the Upper Texas Coast into the central Gulf Coast. However, the persistent southwesterly flow aloft will maintain a capping layer of warmer air and should preclude thunderstorm development in the absence of greater forcing for ascent. Within the core of the upper trough, some weak convection appears possible in south-central/southeast Arizona given the cold temperatures aloft. However, the cool/dry boundary layer conditions suggest coverage should remain well below 10%. ..Wendt.. 03/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0113 PM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Potential for thunderstorms will remain low on Friday. ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will move from the lower Colorado Valley into the southern Rockies on Friday. Ahead of this feature, a strong belt of mid-level flow will persist across the southern Plains into the Southeast. Low-amplitude upper ridging will precede the southwestern trough. At the surface, a low will track from Kansas into the Ohio Valley before weakening. A cold front will push into the southern Plains in its wake. As the trough approaches the southern Plains, a surface low will develop along the cold front in Central/South Texas. Some moisture return is expected to occur from the Upper Texas Coast into the central Gulf Coast. However, the persistent southwesterly flow aloft will maintain a capping layer of warmer air and should preclude thunderstorm development in the absence of greater forcing for ascent. Within the core of the upper trough, some weak convection appears possible in south-central/southeast Arizona given the cold temperatures aloft. However, the cool/dry boundary layer conditions suggest coverage should remain well below 10%. ..Wendt.. 03/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0113 PM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Potential for thunderstorms will remain low on Friday. ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will move from the lower Colorado Valley into the southern Rockies on Friday. Ahead of this feature, a strong belt of mid-level flow will persist across the southern Plains into the Southeast. Low-amplitude upper ridging will precede the southwestern trough. At the surface, a low will track from Kansas into the Ohio Valley before weakening. A cold front will push into the southern Plains in its wake. As the trough approaches the southern Plains, a surface low will develop along the cold front in Central/South Texas. Some moisture return is expected to occur from the Upper Texas Coast into the central Gulf Coast. However, the persistent southwesterly flow aloft will maintain a capping layer of warmer air and should preclude thunderstorm development in the absence of greater forcing for ascent. Within the core of the upper trough, some weak convection appears possible in south-central/southeast Arizona given the cold temperatures aloft. However, the cool/dry boundary layer conditions suggest coverage should remain well below 10%. ..Wendt.. 03/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0113 PM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Potential for thunderstorms will remain low on Friday. ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will move from the lower Colorado Valley into the southern Rockies on Friday. Ahead of this feature, a strong belt of mid-level flow will persist across the southern Plains into the Southeast. Low-amplitude upper ridging will precede the southwestern trough. At the surface, a low will track from Kansas into the Ohio Valley before weakening. A cold front will push into the southern Plains in its wake. As the trough approaches the southern Plains, a surface low will develop along the cold front in Central/South Texas. Some moisture return is expected to occur from the Upper Texas Coast into the central Gulf Coast. However, the persistent southwesterly flow aloft will maintain a capping layer of warmer air and should preclude thunderstorm development in the absence of greater forcing for ascent. Within the core of the upper trough, some weak convection appears possible in south-central/southeast Arizona given the cold temperatures aloft. However, the cool/dry boundary layer conditions suggest coverage should remain well below 10%. ..Wendt.. 03/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0113 PM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Potential for thunderstorms will remain low on Friday. ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will move from the lower Colorado Valley into the southern Rockies on Friday. Ahead of this feature, a strong belt of mid-level flow will persist across the southern Plains into the Southeast. Low-amplitude upper ridging will precede the southwestern trough. At the surface, a low will track from Kansas into the Ohio Valley before weakening. A cold front will push into the southern Plains in its wake. As the trough approaches the southern Plains, a surface low will develop along the cold front in Central/South Texas. Some moisture return is expected to occur from the Upper Texas Coast into the central Gulf Coast. However, the persistent southwesterly flow aloft will maintain a capping layer of warmer air and should preclude thunderstorm development in the absence of greater forcing for ascent. Within the core of the upper trough, some weak convection appears possible in south-central/southeast Arizona given the cold temperatures aloft. However, the cool/dry boundary layer conditions suggest coverage should remain well below 10%. ..Wendt.. 03/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0113 PM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Potential for thunderstorms will remain low on Friday. ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will move from the lower Colorado Valley into the southern Rockies on Friday. Ahead of this feature, a strong belt of mid-level flow will persist across the southern Plains into the Southeast. Low-amplitude upper ridging will precede the southwestern trough. At the surface, a low will track from Kansas into the Ohio Valley before weakening. A cold front will push into the southern Plains in its wake. As the trough approaches the southern Plains, a surface low will develop along the cold front in Central/South Texas. Some moisture return is expected to occur from the Upper Texas Coast into the central Gulf Coast. However, the persistent southwesterly flow aloft will maintain a capping layer of warmer air and should preclude thunderstorm development in the absence of greater forcing for ascent. Within the core of the upper trough, some weak convection appears possible in south-central/southeast Arizona given the cold temperatures aloft. However, the cool/dry boundary layer conditions suggest coverage should remain well below 10%. ..Wendt.. 03/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0113 PM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Potential for thunderstorms will remain low on Friday. ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will move from the lower Colorado Valley into the southern Rockies on Friday. Ahead of this feature, a strong belt of mid-level flow will persist across the southern Plains into the Southeast. Low-amplitude upper ridging will precede the southwestern trough. At the surface, a low will track from Kansas into the Ohio Valley before weakening. A cold front will push into the southern Plains in its wake. As the trough approaches the southern Plains, a surface low will develop along the cold front in Central/South Texas. Some moisture return is expected to occur from the Upper Texas Coast into the central Gulf Coast. However, the persistent southwesterly flow aloft will maintain a capping layer of warmer air and should preclude thunderstorm development in the absence of greater forcing for ascent. Within the core of the upper trough, some weak convection appears possible in south-central/southeast Arizona given the cold temperatures aloft. However, the cool/dry boundary layer conditions suggest coverage should remain well below 10%. ..Wendt.. 03/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0113 PM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Potential for thunderstorms will remain low on Friday. ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will move from the lower Colorado Valley into the southern Rockies on Friday. Ahead of this feature, a strong belt of mid-level flow will persist across the southern Plains into the Southeast. Low-amplitude upper ridging will precede the southwestern trough. At the surface, a low will track from Kansas into the Ohio Valley before weakening. A cold front will push into the southern Plains in its wake. As the trough approaches the southern Plains, a surface low will develop along the cold front in Central/South Texas. Some moisture return is expected to occur from the Upper Texas Coast into the central Gulf Coast. However, the persistent southwesterly flow aloft will maintain a capping layer of warmer air and should preclude thunderstorm development in the absence of greater forcing for ascent. Within the core of the upper trough, some weak convection appears possible in south-central/southeast Arizona given the cold temperatures aloft. However, the cool/dry boundary layer conditions suggest coverage should remain well below 10%. ..Wendt.. 03/05/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0113 PM CST Wed Mar 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Potential for thunderstorms will remain low on Friday. ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will move from the lower Colorado Valley into the southern Rockies on Friday. Ahead of this feature, a strong belt of mid-level flow will persist across the southern Plains into the Southeast. Low-amplitude upper ridging will precede the southwestern trough. At the surface, a low will track from Kansas into the Ohio Valley before weakening. A cold front will push into the southern Plains in its wake. As the trough approaches the southern Plains, a surface low will develop along the cold front in Central/South Texas. Some moisture return is expected to occur from the Upper Texas Coast into the central Gulf Coast. However, the persistent southwesterly flow aloft will maintain a capping layer of warmer air and should preclude thunderstorm development in the absence of greater forcing for ascent. Within the core of the upper trough, some weak convection appears possible in south-central/southeast Arizona given the cold temperatures aloft. However, the cool/dry boundary layer conditions suggest coverage should remain well below 10%. ..Wendt.. 03/05/2025 Read more