Severe Storms

WW 0066 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 66 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BROYLES..03/28/25 ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 66 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC011-019-023-031-069-081-085-115-282340- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU CAMERON DE SOTO NATCHITOCHES RED RIVER SABINE VERNON TXC005-199-241-245-291-347-351-361-373-403-405-419-457-282340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANGELINA HARDIN JASPER JEFFERSON LIBERTY NACOGDOCHES NEWTON ORANGE POLK SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE SHELBY TYLER GMZ430-432-282340- CW Read more

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Fri Mar 28 22:31:02 UTC 2025.

MD 0276 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 66... FOR PARTS OF EAST TX/WESTERN LA
Mesoscale Discussion 0276 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0327 PM CDT Fri Mar 28 2025 Areas affected...Parts of east TX/western LA Concerning...Tornado Watch 66... Valid 282027Z - 282200Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 66 continues. SUMMARY...Some threat for a tornado or two and locally damaging gusts may persist through the remainder of the afternoon. DISCUSSION...One small but long-lived supercell has shown signs of weakening to the southeast of Shreveport, with other transient supercells noted from east TX into far western LA over the last 1-2 hours. While most of these cells have apparently remained sub-severe thus far, the KSHV/KPOE/KLCH VWPs continue to depict rather strong southerly low-level flow and modestly favorable 0-1 km shear/SRH for at least a low probability tornado/wind threat. However, generally weak midlevel lapse rates and only relatively modest deep-layer shear could continue to limit storm organization to some extent. A tornado or two and/or localized damaging gusts remain possible with the ongoing storm cluster near the Sabine River through the remainder of the afternoon, and some threat could extend just north of WW 66. Farther southwest, some increase in low-level flow has been noted on the KHGX VWP, and deep convection continues to increase immediately in advance of a midlevel vorticity maximum approaching east-central TX. A modest increase in storm organization across this area could result in a threat for locally damaging gusts and/or a brief tornado in and near the southwestern portion of WW 66 through the remainder of the afternoon. ..Dean.. 03/28/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX... LAT...LON 29959320 29679352 29429455 28799549 29409535 29619534 29869552 30419509 31179471 31919466 32489445 33049429 32949334 32479323 32049313 31539302 30999292 30509303 29959320 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH Read more

WW 0066 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 66 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BROYLES..03/28/25 ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 66 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC011-019-023-031-069-081-085-115-282240- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU CAMERON DE SOTO NATCHITOCHES RED RIVER SABINE VERNON TXC005-199-241-245-291-347-351-361-373-403-405-419-457-282240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANGELINA HARDIN JASPER JEFFERSON LIBERTY NACOGDOCHES NEWTON ORANGE POLK SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE SHELBY TYLER GMZ430-432-282240- CW Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0420 PM CDT Fri Mar 28 2025 Valid 301200Z - 051200Z An active fire weather pattern is in store for the southern High Plains through at least the middle of next week. A series of mid-level troughs will traverse the central CONUS, encouraging surface low development across the Plains states on multiple days. Dry downslope flow is expected each day across the southern High Plains for Days 3-6 (Sunday-Wednesday), with 40% Critical probabilities introduced. The best chance for surface winds sustained at 20-30 mph amid 10-15 percent RH will be on Days 5-6 (Tuesday-Wednesday), when an intense mid-level jet streak overspreads the southern High Plains amid rapid and pronounced surface cyclone development. Thereafter, medium-range guidance depicts modest surface lee-troughing along the southern High Plains, where dry conditions should persist. However, questions about the strength of the surface wind field Days 7-8 (Thursday-Friday afternoon) preclude Critical probabilities across the southern High Plains this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 03/28/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0420 PM CDT Fri Mar 28 2025 Valid 301200Z - 051200Z An active fire weather pattern is in store for the southern High Plains through at least the middle of next week. A series of mid-level troughs will traverse the central CONUS, encouraging surface low development across the Plains states on multiple days. Dry downslope flow is expected each day across the southern High Plains for Days 3-6 (Sunday-Wednesday), with 40% Critical probabilities introduced. The best chance for surface winds sustained at 20-30 mph amid 10-15 percent RH will be on Days 5-6 (Tuesday-Wednesday), when an intense mid-level jet streak overspreads the southern High Plains amid rapid and pronounced surface cyclone development. Thereafter, medium-range guidance depicts modest surface lee-troughing along the southern High Plains, where dry conditions should persist. However, questions about the strength of the surface wind field Days 7-8 (Thursday-Friday afternoon) preclude Critical probabilities across the southern High Plains this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 03/28/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0420 PM CDT Fri Mar 28 2025 Valid 301200Z - 051200Z An active fire weather pattern is in store for the southern High Plains through at least the middle of next week. A series of mid-level troughs will traverse the central CONUS, encouraging surface low development across the Plains states on multiple days. Dry downslope flow is expected each day across the southern High Plains for Days 3-6 (Sunday-Wednesday), with 40% Critical probabilities introduced. The best chance for surface winds sustained at 20-30 mph amid 10-15 percent RH will be on Days 5-6 (Tuesday-Wednesday), when an intense mid-level jet streak overspreads the southern High Plains amid rapid and pronounced surface cyclone development. Thereafter, medium-range guidance depicts modest surface lee-troughing along the southern High Plains, where dry conditions should persist. However, questions about the strength of the surface wind field Days 7-8 (Thursday-Friday afternoon) preclude Critical probabilities across the southern High Plains this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 03/28/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0420 PM CDT Fri Mar 28 2025 Valid 301200Z - 051200Z An active fire weather pattern is in store for the southern High Plains through at least the middle of next week. A series of mid-level troughs will traverse the central CONUS, encouraging surface low development across the Plains states on multiple days. Dry downslope flow is expected each day across the southern High Plains for Days 3-6 (Sunday-Wednesday), with 40% Critical probabilities introduced. The best chance for surface winds sustained at 20-30 mph amid 10-15 percent RH will be on Days 5-6 (Tuesday-Wednesday), when an intense mid-level jet streak overspreads the southern High Plains amid rapid and pronounced surface cyclone development. Thereafter, medium-range guidance depicts modest surface lee-troughing along the southern High Plains, where dry conditions should persist. However, questions about the strength of the surface wind field Days 7-8 (Thursday-Friday afternoon) preclude Critical probabilities across the southern High Plains this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 03/28/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0420 PM CDT Fri Mar 28 2025 Valid 301200Z - 051200Z An active fire weather pattern is in store for the southern High Plains through at least the middle of next week. A series of mid-level troughs will traverse the central CONUS, encouraging surface low development across the Plains states on multiple days. Dry downslope flow is expected each day across the southern High Plains for Days 3-6 (Sunday-Wednesday), with 40% Critical probabilities introduced. The best chance for surface winds sustained at 20-30 mph amid 10-15 percent RH will be on Days 5-6 (Tuesday-Wednesday), when an intense mid-level jet streak overspreads the southern High Plains amid rapid and pronounced surface cyclone development. Thereafter, medium-range guidance depicts modest surface lee-troughing along the southern High Plains, where dry conditions should persist. However, questions about the strength of the surface wind field Days 7-8 (Thursday-Friday afternoon) preclude Critical probabilities across the southern High Plains this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 03/28/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0420 PM CDT Fri Mar 28 2025 Valid 301200Z - 051200Z An active fire weather pattern is in store for the southern High Plains through at least the middle of next week. A series of mid-level troughs will traverse the central CONUS, encouraging surface low development across the Plains states on multiple days. Dry downslope flow is expected each day across the southern High Plains for Days 3-6 (Sunday-Wednesday), with 40% Critical probabilities introduced. The best chance for surface winds sustained at 20-30 mph amid 10-15 percent RH will be on Days 5-6 (Tuesday-Wednesday), when an intense mid-level jet streak overspreads the southern High Plains amid rapid and pronounced surface cyclone development. Thereafter, medium-range guidance depicts modest surface lee-troughing along the southern High Plains, where dry conditions should persist. However, questions about the strength of the surface wind field Days 7-8 (Thursday-Friday afternoon) preclude Critical probabilities across the southern High Plains this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 03/28/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0420 PM CDT Fri Mar 28 2025 Valid 301200Z - 051200Z An active fire weather pattern is in store for the southern High Plains through at least the middle of next week. A series of mid-level troughs will traverse the central CONUS, encouraging surface low development across the Plains states on multiple days. Dry downslope flow is expected each day across the southern High Plains for Days 3-6 (Sunday-Wednesday), with 40% Critical probabilities introduced. The best chance for surface winds sustained at 20-30 mph amid 10-15 percent RH will be on Days 5-6 (Tuesday-Wednesday), when an intense mid-level jet streak overspreads the southern High Plains amid rapid and pronounced surface cyclone development. Thereafter, medium-range guidance depicts modest surface lee-troughing along the southern High Plains, where dry conditions should persist. However, questions about the strength of the surface wind field Days 7-8 (Thursday-Friday afternoon) preclude Critical probabilities across the southern High Plains this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 03/28/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0420 PM CDT Fri Mar 28 2025 Valid 301200Z - 051200Z An active fire weather pattern is in store for the southern High Plains through at least the middle of next week. A series of mid-level troughs will traverse the central CONUS, encouraging surface low development across the Plains states on multiple days. Dry downslope flow is expected each day across the southern High Plains for Days 3-6 (Sunday-Wednesday), with 40% Critical probabilities introduced. The best chance for surface winds sustained at 20-30 mph amid 10-15 percent RH will be on Days 5-6 (Tuesday-Wednesday), when an intense mid-level jet streak overspreads the southern High Plains amid rapid and pronounced surface cyclone development. Thereafter, medium-range guidance depicts modest surface lee-troughing along the southern High Plains, where dry conditions should persist. However, questions about the strength of the surface wind field Days 7-8 (Thursday-Friday afternoon) preclude Critical probabilities across the southern High Plains this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 03/28/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0420 PM CDT Fri Mar 28 2025 Valid 301200Z - 051200Z An active fire weather pattern is in store for the southern High Plains through at least the middle of next week. A series of mid-level troughs will traverse the central CONUS, encouraging surface low development across the Plains states on multiple days. Dry downslope flow is expected each day across the southern High Plains for Days 3-6 (Sunday-Wednesday), with 40% Critical probabilities introduced. The best chance for surface winds sustained at 20-30 mph amid 10-15 percent RH will be on Days 5-6 (Tuesday-Wednesday), when an intense mid-level jet streak overspreads the southern High Plains amid rapid and pronounced surface cyclone development. Thereafter, medium-range guidance depicts modest surface lee-troughing along the southern High Plains, where dry conditions should persist. However, questions about the strength of the surface wind field Days 7-8 (Thursday-Friday afternoon) preclude Critical probabilities across the southern High Plains this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 03/28/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0420 PM CDT Fri Mar 28 2025 Valid 301200Z - 051200Z An active fire weather pattern is in store for the southern High Plains through at least the middle of next week. A series of mid-level troughs will traverse the central CONUS, encouraging surface low development across the Plains states on multiple days. Dry downslope flow is expected each day across the southern High Plains for Days 3-6 (Sunday-Wednesday), with 40% Critical probabilities introduced. The best chance for surface winds sustained at 20-30 mph amid 10-15 percent RH will be on Days 5-6 (Tuesday-Wednesday), when an intense mid-level jet streak overspreads the southern High Plains amid rapid and pronounced surface cyclone development. Thereafter, medium-range guidance depicts modest surface lee-troughing along the southern High Plains, where dry conditions should persist. However, questions about the strength of the surface wind field Days 7-8 (Thursday-Friday afternoon) preclude Critical probabilities across the southern High Plains this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 03/28/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0420 PM CDT Fri Mar 28 2025 Valid 301200Z - 051200Z An active fire weather pattern is in store for the southern High Plains through at least the middle of next week. A series of mid-level troughs will traverse the central CONUS, encouraging surface low development across the Plains states on multiple days. Dry downslope flow is expected each day across the southern High Plains for Days 3-6 (Sunday-Wednesday), with 40% Critical probabilities introduced. The best chance for surface winds sustained at 20-30 mph amid 10-15 percent RH will be on Days 5-6 (Tuesday-Wednesday), when an intense mid-level jet streak overspreads the southern High Plains amid rapid and pronounced surface cyclone development. Thereafter, medium-range guidance depicts modest surface lee-troughing along the southern High Plains, where dry conditions should persist. However, questions about the strength of the surface wind field Days 7-8 (Thursday-Friday afternoon) preclude Critical probabilities across the southern High Plains this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 03/28/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0420 PM CDT Fri Mar 28 2025 Valid 301200Z - 051200Z An active fire weather pattern is in store for the southern High Plains through at least the middle of next week. A series of mid-level troughs will traverse the central CONUS, encouraging surface low development across the Plains states on multiple days. Dry downslope flow is expected each day across the southern High Plains for Days 3-6 (Sunday-Wednesday), with 40% Critical probabilities introduced. The best chance for surface winds sustained at 20-30 mph amid 10-15 percent RH will be on Days 5-6 (Tuesday-Wednesday), when an intense mid-level jet streak overspreads the southern High Plains amid rapid and pronounced surface cyclone development. Thereafter, medium-range guidance depicts modest surface lee-troughing along the southern High Plains, where dry conditions should persist. However, questions about the strength of the surface wind field Days 7-8 (Thursday-Friday afternoon) preclude Critical probabilities across the southern High Plains this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 03/28/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0420 PM CDT Fri Mar 28 2025 Valid 301200Z - 051200Z An active fire weather pattern is in store for the southern High Plains through at least the middle of next week. A series of mid-level troughs will traverse the central CONUS, encouraging surface low development across the Plains states on multiple days. Dry downslope flow is expected each day across the southern High Plains for Days 3-6 (Sunday-Wednesday), with 40% Critical probabilities introduced. The best chance for surface winds sustained at 20-30 mph amid 10-15 percent RH will be on Days 5-6 (Tuesday-Wednesday), when an intense mid-level jet streak overspreads the southern High Plains amid rapid and pronounced surface cyclone development. Thereafter, medium-range guidance depicts modest surface lee-troughing along the southern High Plains, where dry conditions should persist. However, questions about the strength of the surface wind field Days 7-8 (Thursday-Friday afternoon) preclude Critical probabilities across the southern High Plains this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 03/28/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0420 PM CDT Fri Mar 28 2025 Valid 301200Z - 051200Z An active fire weather pattern is in store for the southern High Plains through at least the middle of next week. A series of mid-level troughs will traverse the central CONUS, encouraging surface low development across the Plains states on multiple days. Dry downslope flow is expected each day across the southern High Plains for Days 3-6 (Sunday-Wednesday), with 40% Critical probabilities introduced. The best chance for surface winds sustained at 20-30 mph amid 10-15 percent RH will be on Days 5-6 (Tuesday-Wednesday), when an intense mid-level jet streak overspreads the southern High Plains amid rapid and pronounced surface cyclone development. Thereafter, medium-range guidance depicts modest surface lee-troughing along the southern High Plains, where dry conditions should persist. However, questions about the strength of the surface wind field Days 7-8 (Thursday-Friday afternoon) preclude Critical probabilities across the southern High Plains this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 03/28/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0420 PM CDT Fri Mar 28 2025 Valid 301200Z - 051200Z An active fire weather pattern is in store for the southern High Plains through at least the middle of next week. A series of mid-level troughs will traverse the central CONUS, encouraging surface low development across the Plains states on multiple days. Dry downslope flow is expected each day across the southern High Plains for Days 3-6 (Sunday-Wednesday), with 40% Critical probabilities introduced. The best chance for surface winds sustained at 20-30 mph amid 10-15 percent RH will be on Days 5-6 (Tuesday-Wednesday), when an intense mid-level jet streak overspreads the southern High Plains amid rapid and pronounced surface cyclone development. Thereafter, medium-range guidance depicts modest surface lee-troughing along the southern High Plains, where dry conditions should persist. However, questions about the strength of the surface wind field Days 7-8 (Thursday-Friday afternoon) preclude Critical probabilities across the southern High Plains this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 03/28/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0420 PM CDT Fri Mar 28 2025 Valid 301200Z - 051200Z An active fire weather pattern is in store for the southern High Plains through at least the middle of next week. A series of mid-level troughs will traverse the central CONUS, encouraging surface low development across the Plains states on multiple days. Dry downslope flow is expected each day across the southern High Plains for Days 3-6 (Sunday-Wednesday), with 40% Critical probabilities introduced. The best chance for surface winds sustained at 20-30 mph amid 10-15 percent RH will be on Days 5-6 (Tuesday-Wednesday), when an intense mid-level jet streak overspreads the southern High Plains amid rapid and pronounced surface cyclone development. Thereafter, medium-range guidance depicts modest surface lee-troughing along the southern High Plains, where dry conditions should persist. However, questions about the strength of the surface wind field Days 7-8 (Thursday-Friday afternoon) preclude Critical probabilities across the southern High Plains this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 03/28/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more