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WW 0295 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 295 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 E PRX TO 35 N FTW TO 35 SW ADM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0892 ..WEINMAN..05/20/25 ATTN...WFO...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 295 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC097-147-181-277-200240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COOKE FANNIN GRAYSON LAMAR THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0295 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 295 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 E PRX TO 35 N FTW TO 35 SW ADM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0892 ..WEINMAN..05/20/25 ATTN...WFO...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 295 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC097-147-181-277-200240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COOKE FANNIN GRAYSON LAMAR THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0295 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 295 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 E PRX TO 35 N FTW TO 35 SW ADM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0892 ..WEINMAN..05/20/25 ATTN...WFO...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 295 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC097-147-181-277-200240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COOKE FANNIN GRAYSON LAMAR THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 295 TORNADO TX 191905Z - 200200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 295 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 205 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of North Texas * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 205 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely Widespread large hail and scattered very large hail events to 4 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely SUMMARY...Supercell thunderstorms will intensify along a dryline over western North Texas this afternoon and track eastward across the Red River Valley. Very large hail and tornadoes are the main concerns. Strong tornadoes are possible. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 40 statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles west northwest of Mineral Wells TX to 10 miles northeast of Paris TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 292...WW 293...WW 294... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 4 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 23030. ...Hart Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...AND FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA... ...SUMMARY... A significant severe weather episode should continue tonight across parts of the South-Central States. Strong tornadoes, scattered to widespread damaging wind swaths, and very large hail remain possible. ...TX/OK to the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley... While extensive overturning has already occurred, there are several primary areas of concern for severe storms tonight. In the near-term, the greatest tornado/wind potential should exist with a pair of supercells embedded within a broad southwest/northeast-oriented QLCS from the Ozark Plateau to the Red River. With the most pronounced low-level shear ahead of this portion of the QLCS, strong tornado and significant severe wind potential should persist into late evening. Despite stronger large-scale ascent focused west, the organized nature of the QLCS suggests that embedded wind gusts of 60-75 mph could produce a potentially widespread damaging wind swath that may persist east-northeast overnight. Have expanded outlook categories farther east across the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley. The trailing portion of the QLCS has been stubborn to accelerate east, but should begin to do so in the next couple hours. Short-term guidance has been insistent on additional convection developing back west with strengthening ascent ahead of the primary shortwave trough from central to eastern OK tonight. This could pose another round of severe hail/wind threat persisting into the early morning. ...KS and the Lower/Mid-MO Valley... Scattered severe storms should generally wane during the late evening. But similar to the OK redevelopment, post-dryline/frontal high-based convection should expand east-northeast and likely impinge on lingering strong to severe storms across eastern KS. This could maintain at least isolated severe storms lingering overnight. ..Grams.. 05/20/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...AND FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA... ...SUMMARY... A significant severe weather episode should continue tonight across parts of the South-Central States. Strong tornadoes, scattered to widespread damaging wind swaths, and very large hail remain possible. ...TX/OK to the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley... While extensive overturning has already occurred, there are several primary areas of concern for severe storms tonight. In the near-term, the greatest tornado/wind potential should exist with a pair of supercells embedded within a broad southwest/northeast-oriented QLCS from the Ozark Plateau to the Red River. With the most pronounced low-level shear ahead of this portion of the QLCS, strong tornado and significant severe wind potential should persist into late evening. Despite stronger large-scale ascent focused west, the organized nature of the QLCS suggests that embedded wind gusts of 60-75 mph could produce a potentially widespread damaging wind swath that may persist east-northeast overnight. Have expanded outlook categories farther east across the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley. The trailing portion of the QLCS has been stubborn to accelerate east, but should begin to do so in the next couple hours. Short-term guidance has been insistent on additional convection developing back west with strengthening ascent ahead of the primary shortwave trough from central to eastern OK tonight. This could pose another round of severe hail/wind threat persisting into the early morning. ...KS and the Lower/Mid-MO Valley... Scattered severe storms should generally wane during the late evening. But similar to the OK redevelopment, post-dryline/frontal high-based convection should expand east-northeast and likely impinge on lingering strong to severe storms across eastern KS. This could maintain at least isolated severe storms lingering overnight. ..Grams.. 05/20/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...AND FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA... ...SUMMARY... A significant severe weather episode should continue tonight across parts of the South-Central States. Strong tornadoes, scattered to widespread damaging wind swaths, and very large hail remain possible. ...TX/OK to the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley... While extensive overturning has already occurred, there are several primary areas of concern for severe storms tonight. In the near-term, the greatest tornado/wind potential should exist with a pair of supercells embedded within a broad southwest/northeast-oriented QLCS from the Ozark Plateau to the Red River. With the most pronounced low-level shear ahead of this portion of the QLCS, strong tornado and significant severe wind potential should persist into late evening. Despite stronger large-scale ascent focused west, the organized nature of the QLCS suggests that embedded wind gusts of 60-75 mph could produce a potentially widespread damaging wind swath that may persist east-northeast overnight. Have expanded outlook categories farther east across the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley. The trailing portion of the QLCS has been stubborn to accelerate east, but should begin to do so in the next couple hours. Short-term guidance has been insistent on additional convection developing back west with strengthening ascent ahead of the primary shortwave trough from central to eastern OK tonight. This could pose another round of severe hail/wind threat persisting into the early morning. ...KS and the Lower/Mid-MO Valley... Scattered severe storms should generally wane during the late evening. But similar to the OK redevelopment, post-dryline/frontal high-based convection should expand east-northeast and likely impinge on lingering strong to severe storms across eastern KS. This could maintain at least isolated severe storms lingering overnight. ..Grams.. 05/20/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...AND FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA... ...SUMMARY... A significant severe weather episode should continue tonight across parts of the South-Central States. Strong tornadoes, scattered to widespread damaging wind swaths, and very large hail remain possible. ...TX/OK to the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley... While extensive overturning has already occurred, there are several primary areas of concern for severe storms tonight. In the near-term, the greatest tornado/wind potential should exist with a pair of supercells embedded within a broad southwest/northeast-oriented QLCS from the Ozark Plateau to the Red River. With the most pronounced low-level shear ahead of this portion of the QLCS, strong tornado and significant severe wind potential should persist into late evening. Despite stronger large-scale ascent focused west, the organized nature of the QLCS suggests that embedded wind gusts of 60-75 mph could produce a potentially widespread damaging wind swath that may persist east-northeast overnight. Have expanded outlook categories farther east across the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley. The trailing portion of the QLCS has been stubborn to accelerate east, but should begin to do so in the next couple hours. Short-term guidance has been insistent on additional convection developing back west with strengthening ascent ahead of the primary shortwave trough from central to eastern OK tonight. This could pose another round of severe hail/wind threat persisting into the early morning. ...KS and the Lower/Mid-MO Valley... Scattered severe storms should generally wane during the late evening. But similar to the OK redevelopment, post-dryline/frontal high-based convection should expand east-northeast and likely impinge on lingering strong to severe storms across eastern KS. This could maintain at least isolated severe storms lingering overnight. ..Grams.. 05/20/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...AND FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA... ...SUMMARY... A significant severe weather episode should continue tonight across parts of the South-Central States. Strong tornadoes, scattered to widespread damaging wind swaths, and very large hail remain possible. ...TX/OK to the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley... While extensive overturning has already occurred, there are several primary areas of concern for severe storms tonight. In the near-term, the greatest tornado/wind potential should exist with a pair of supercells embedded within a broad southwest/northeast-oriented QLCS from the Ozark Plateau to the Red River. With the most pronounced low-level shear ahead of this portion of the QLCS, strong tornado and significant severe wind potential should persist into late evening. Despite stronger large-scale ascent focused west, the organized nature of the QLCS suggests that embedded wind gusts of 60-75 mph could produce a potentially widespread damaging wind swath that may persist east-northeast overnight. Have expanded outlook categories farther east across the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley. The trailing portion of the QLCS has been stubborn to accelerate east, but should begin to do so in the next couple hours. Short-term guidance has been insistent on additional convection developing back west with strengthening ascent ahead of the primary shortwave trough from central to eastern OK tonight. This could pose another round of severe hail/wind threat persisting into the early morning. ...KS and the Lower/Mid-MO Valley... Scattered severe storms should generally wane during the late evening. But similar to the OK redevelopment, post-dryline/frontal high-based convection should expand east-northeast and likely impinge on lingering strong to severe storms across eastern KS. This could maintain at least isolated severe storms lingering overnight. ..Grams.. 05/20/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...AND FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA... ...SUMMARY... A significant severe weather episode should continue tonight across parts of the South-Central States. Strong tornadoes, scattered to widespread damaging wind swaths, and very large hail remain possible. ...TX/OK to the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley... While extensive overturning has already occurred, there are several primary areas of concern for severe storms tonight. In the near-term, the greatest tornado/wind potential should exist with a pair of supercells embedded within a broad southwest/northeast-oriented QLCS from the Ozark Plateau to the Red River. With the most pronounced low-level shear ahead of this portion of the QLCS, strong tornado and significant severe wind potential should persist into late evening. Despite stronger large-scale ascent focused west, the organized nature of the QLCS suggests that embedded wind gusts of 60-75 mph could produce a potentially widespread damaging wind swath that may persist east-northeast overnight. Have expanded outlook categories farther east across the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley. The trailing portion of the QLCS has been stubborn to accelerate east, but should begin to do so in the next couple hours. Short-term guidance has been insistent on additional convection developing back west with strengthening ascent ahead of the primary shortwave trough from central to eastern OK tonight. This could pose another round of severe hail/wind threat persisting into the early morning. ...KS and the Lower/Mid-MO Valley... Scattered severe storms should generally wane during the late evening. But similar to the OK redevelopment, post-dryline/frontal high-based convection should expand east-northeast and likely impinge on lingering strong to severe storms across eastern KS. This could maintain at least isolated severe storms lingering overnight. ..Grams.. 05/20/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...AND FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA... ...SUMMARY... A significant severe weather episode should continue tonight across parts of the South-Central States. Strong tornadoes, scattered to widespread damaging wind swaths, and very large hail remain possible. ...TX/OK to the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley... While extensive overturning has already occurred, there are several primary areas of concern for severe storms tonight. In the near-term, the greatest tornado/wind potential should exist with a pair of supercells embedded within a broad southwest/northeast-oriented QLCS from the Ozark Plateau to the Red River. With the most pronounced low-level shear ahead of this portion of the QLCS, strong tornado and significant severe wind potential should persist into late evening. Despite stronger large-scale ascent focused west, the organized nature of the QLCS suggests that embedded wind gusts of 60-75 mph could produce a potentially widespread damaging wind swath that may persist east-northeast overnight. Have expanded outlook categories farther east across the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley. The trailing portion of the QLCS has been stubborn to accelerate east, but should begin to do so in the next couple hours. Short-term guidance has been insistent on additional convection developing back west with strengthening ascent ahead of the primary shortwave trough from central to eastern OK tonight. This could pose another round of severe hail/wind threat persisting into the early morning. ...KS and the Lower/Mid-MO Valley... Scattered severe storms should generally wane during the late evening. But similar to the OK redevelopment, post-dryline/frontal high-based convection should expand east-northeast and likely impinge on lingering strong to severe storms across eastern KS. This could maintain at least isolated severe storms lingering overnight. ..Grams.. 05/20/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...AND FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA... ...SUMMARY... A significant severe weather episode should continue tonight across parts of the South-Central States. Strong tornadoes, scattered to widespread damaging wind swaths, and very large hail remain possible. ...TX/OK to the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley... While extensive overturning has already occurred, there are several primary areas of concern for severe storms tonight. In the near-term, the greatest tornado/wind potential should exist with a pair of supercells embedded within a broad southwest/northeast-oriented QLCS from the Ozark Plateau to the Red River. With the most pronounced low-level shear ahead of this portion of the QLCS, strong tornado and significant severe wind potential should persist into late evening. Despite stronger large-scale ascent focused west, the organized nature of the QLCS suggests that embedded wind gusts of 60-75 mph could produce a potentially widespread damaging wind swath that may persist east-northeast overnight. Have expanded outlook categories farther east across the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley. The trailing portion of the QLCS has been stubborn to accelerate east, but should begin to do so in the next couple hours. Short-term guidance has been insistent on additional convection developing back west with strengthening ascent ahead of the primary shortwave trough from central to eastern OK tonight. This could pose another round of severe hail/wind threat persisting into the early morning. ...KS and the Lower/Mid-MO Valley... Scattered severe storms should generally wane during the late evening. But similar to the OK redevelopment, post-dryline/frontal high-based convection should expand east-northeast and likely impinge on lingering strong to severe storms across eastern KS. This could maintain at least isolated severe storms lingering overnight. ..Grams.. 05/20/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...AND FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA... ...SUMMARY... A significant severe weather episode should continue tonight across parts of the South-Central States. Strong tornadoes, scattered to widespread damaging wind swaths, and very large hail remain possible. ...TX/OK to the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley... While extensive overturning has already occurred, there are several primary areas of concern for severe storms tonight. In the near-term, the greatest tornado/wind potential should exist with a pair of supercells embedded within a broad southwest/northeast-oriented QLCS from the Ozark Plateau to the Red River. With the most pronounced low-level shear ahead of this portion of the QLCS, strong tornado and significant severe wind potential should persist into late evening. Despite stronger large-scale ascent focused west, the organized nature of the QLCS suggests that embedded wind gusts of 60-75 mph could produce a potentially widespread damaging wind swath that may persist east-northeast overnight. Have expanded outlook categories farther east across the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley. The trailing portion of the QLCS has been stubborn to accelerate east, but should begin to do so in the next couple hours. Short-term guidance has been insistent on additional convection developing back west with strengthening ascent ahead of the primary shortwave trough from central to eastern OK tonight. This could pose another round of severe hail/wind threat persisting into the early morning. ...KS and the Lower/Mid-MO Valley... Scattered severe storms should generally wane during the late evening. But similar to the OK redevelopment, post-dryline/frontal high-based convection should expand east-northeast and likely impinge on lingering strong to severe storms across eastern KS. This could maintain at least isolated severe storms lingering overnight. ..Grams.. 05/20/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...AND FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA... ...SUMMARY... A significant severe weather episode should continue tonight across parts of the South-Central States. Strong tornadoes, scattered to widespread damaging wind swaths, and very large hail remain possible. ...TX/OK to the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley... While extensive overturning has already occurred, there are several primary areas of concern for severe storms tonight. In the near-term, the greatest tornado/wind potential should exist with a pair of supercells embedded within a broad southwest/northeast-oriented QLCS from the Ozark Plateau to the Red River. With the most pronounced low-level shear ahead of this portion of the QLCS, strong tornado and significant severe wind potential should persist into late evening. Despite stronger large-scale ascent focused west, the organized nature of the QLCS suggests that embedded wind gusts of 60-75 mph could produce a potentially widespread damaging wind swath that may persist east-northeast overnight. Have expanded outlook categories farther east across the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley. The trailing portion of the QLCS has been stubborn to accelerate east, but should begin to do so in the next couple hours. Short-term guidance has been insistent on additional convection developing back west with strengthening ascent ahead of the primary shortwave trough from central to eastern OK tonight. This could pose another round of severe hail/wind threat persisting into the early morning. ...KS and the Lower/Mid-MO Valley... Scattered severe storms should generally wane during the late evening. But similar to the OK redevelopment, post-dryline/frontal high-based convection should expand east-northeast and likely impinge on lingering strong to severe storms across eastern KS. This could maintain at least isolated severe storms lingering overnight. ..Grams.. 05/20/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...AND FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA... ...SUMMARY... A significant severe weather episode should continue tonight across parts of the South-Central States. Strong tornadoes, scattered to widespread damaging wind swaths, and very large hail remain possible. ...TX/OK to the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley... While extensive overturning has already occurred, there are several primary areas of concern for severe storms tonight. In the near-term, the greatest tornado/wind potential should exist with a pair of supercells embedded within a broad southwest/northeast-oriented QLCS from the Ozark Plateau to the Red River. With the most pronounced low-level shear ahead of this portion of the QLCS, strong tornado and significant severe wind potential should persist into late evening. Despite stronger large-scale ascent focused west, the organized nature of the QLCS suggests that embedded wind gusts of 60-75 mph could produce a potentially widespread damaging wind swath that may persist east-northeast overnight. Have expanded outlook categories farther east across the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley. The trailing portion of the QLCS has been stubborn to accelerate east, but should begin to do so in the next couple hours. Short-term guidance has been insistent on additional convection developing back west with strengthening ascent ahead of the primary shortwave trough from central to eastern OK tonight. This could pose another round of severe hail/wind threat persisting into the early morning. ...KS and the Lower/Mid-MO Valley... Scattered severe storms should generally wane during the late evening. But similar to the OK redevelopment, post-dryline/frontal high-based convection should expand east-northeast and likely impinge on lingering strong to severe storms across eastern KS. This could maintain at least isolated severe storms lingering overnight. ..Grams.. 05/20/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...AND FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA... ...SUMMARY... A significant severe weather episode should continue tonight across parts of the South-Central States. Strong tornadoes, scattered to widespread damaging wind swaths, and very large hail remain possible. ...TX/OK to the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley... While extensive overturning has already occurred, there are several primary areas of concern for severe storms tonight. In the near-term, the greatest tornado/wind potential should exist with a pair of supercells embedded within a broad southwest/northeast-oriented QLCS from the Ozark Plateau to the Red River. With the most pronounced low-level shear ahead of this portion of the QLCS, strong tornado and significant severe wind potential should persist into late evening. Despite stronger large-scale ascent focused west, the organized nature of the QLCS suggests that embedded wind gusts of 60-75 mph could produce a potentially widespread damaging wind swath that may persist east-northeast overnight. Have expanded outlook categories farther east across the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley. The trailing portion of the QLCS has been stubborn to accelerate east, but should begin to do so in the next couple hours. Short-term guidance has been insistent on additional convection developing back west with strengthening ascent ahead of the primary shortwave trough from central to eastern OK tonight. This could pose another round of severe hail/wind threat persisting into the early morning. ...KS and the Lower/Mid-MO Valley... Scattered severe storms should generally wane during the late evening. But similar to the OK redevelopment, post-dryline/frontal high-based convection should expand east-northeast and likely impinge on lingering strong to severe storms across eastern KS. This could maintain at least isolated severe storms lingering overnight. ..Grams.. 05/20/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...AND FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA... ...SUMMARY... A significant severe weather episode should continue tonight across parts of the South-Central States. Strong tornadoes, scattered to widespread damaging wind swaths, and very large hail remain possible. ...TX/OK to the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley... While extensive overturning has already occurred, there are several primary areas of concern for severe storms tonight. In the near-term, the greatest tornado/wind potential should exist with a pair of supercells embedded within a broad southwest/northeast-oriented QLCS from the Ozark Plateau to the Red River. With the most pronounced low-level shear ahead of this portion of the QLCS, strong tornado and significant severe wind potential should persist into late evening. Despite stronger large-scale ascent focused west, the organized nature of the QLCS suggests that embedded wind gusts of 60-75 mph could produce a potentially widespread damaging wind swath that may persist east-northeast overnight. Have expanded outlook categories farther east across the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley. The trailing portion of the QLCS has been stubborn to accelerate east, but should begin to do so in the next couple hours. Short-term guidance has been insistent on additional convection developing back west with strengthening ascent ahead of the primary shortwave trough from central to eastern OK tonight. This could pose another round of severe hail/wind threat persisting into the early morning. ...KS and the Lower/Mid-MO Valley... Scattered severe storms should generally wane during the late evening. But similar to the OK redevelopment, post-dryline/frontal high-based convection should expand east-northeast and likely impinge on lingering strong to severe storms across eastern KS. This could maintain at least isolated severe storms lingering overnight. ..Grams.. 05/20/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...AND FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA... ...SUMMARY... A significant severe weather episode should continue tonight across parts of the South-Central States. Strong tornadoes, scattered to widespread damaging wind swaths, and very large hail remain possible. ...TX/OK to the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley... While extensive overturning has already occurred, there are several primary areas of concern for severe storms tonight. In the near-term, the greatest tornado/wind potential should exist with a pair of supercells embedded within a broad southwest/northeast-oriented QLCS from the Ozark Plateau to the Red River. With the most pronounced low-level shear ahead of this portion of the QLCS, strong tornado and significant severe wind potential should persist into late evening. Despite stronger large-scale ascent focused west, the organized nature of the QLCS suggests that embedded wind gusts of 60-75 mph could produce a potentially widespread damaging wind swath that may persist east-northeast overnight. Have expanded outlook categories farther east across the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley. The trailing portion of the QLCS has been stubborn to accelerate east, but should begin to do so in the next couple hours. Short-term guidance has been insistent on additional convection developing back west with strengthening ascent ahead of the primary shortwave trough from central to eastern OK tonight. This could pose another round of severe hail/wind threat persisting into the early morning. ...KS and the Lower/Mid-MO Valley... Scattered severe storms should generally wane during the late evening. But similar to the OK redevelopment, post-dryline/frontal high-based convection should expand east-northeast and likely impinge on lingering strong to severe storms across eastern KS. This could maintain at least isolated severe storms lingering overnight. ..Grams.. 05/20/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...AND FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA... ...SUMMARY... A significant severe weather episode should continue tonight across parts of the South-Central States. Strong tornadoes, scattered to widespread damaging wind swaths, and very large hail remain possible. ...TX/OK to the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley... While extensive overturning has already occurred, there are several primary areas of concern for severe storms tonight. In the near-term, the greatest tornado/wind potential should exist with a pair of supercells embedded within a broad southwest/northeast-oriented QLCS from the Ozark Plateau to the Red River. With the most pronounced low-level shear ahead of this portion of the QLCS, strong tornado and significant severe wind potential should persist into late evening. Despite stronger large-scale ascent focused west, the organized nature of the QLCS suggests that embedded wind gusts of 60-75 mph could produce a potentially widespread damaging wind swath that may persist east-northeast overnight. Have expanded outlook categories farther east across the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley. The trailing portion of the QLCS has been stubborn to accelerate east, but should begin to do so in the next couple hours. Short-term guidance has been insistent on additional convection developing back west with strengthening ascent ahead of the primary shortwave trough from central to eastern OK tonight. This could pose another round of severe hail/wind threat persisting into the early morning. ...KS and the Lower/Mid-MO Valley... Scattered severe storms should generally wane during the late evening. But similar to the OK redevelopment, post-dryline/frontal high-based convection should expand east-northeast and likely impinge on lingering strong to severe storms across eastern KS. This could maintain at least isolated severe storms lingering overnight. ..Grams.. 05/20/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...AND FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA... ...SUMMARY... A significant severe weather episode should continue tonight across parts of the South-Central States. Strong tornadoes, scattered to widespread damaging wind swaths, and very large hail remain possible. ...TX/OK to the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley... While extensive overturning has already occurred, there are several primary areas of concern for severe storms tonight. In the near-term, the greatest tornado/wind potential should exist with a pair of supercells embedded within a broad southwest/northeast-oriented QLCS from the Ozark Plateau to the Red River. With the most pronounced low-level shear ahead of this portion of the QLCS, strong tornado and significant severe wind potential should persist into late evening. Despite stronger large-scale ascent focused west, the organized nature of the QLCS suggests that embedded wind gusts of 60-75 mph could produce a potentially widespread damaging wind swath that may persist east-northeast overnight. Have expanded outlook categories farther east across the Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley. The trailing portion of the QLCS has been stubborn to accelerate east, but should begin to do so in the next couple hours. Short-term guidance has been insistent on additional convection developing back west with strengthening ascent ahead of the primary shortwave trough from central to eastern OK tonight. This could pose another round of severe hail/wind threat persisting into the early morning. ...KS and the Lower/Mid-MO Valley... Scattered severe storms should generally wane during the late evening. But similar to the OK redevelopment, post-dryline/frontal high-based convection should expand east-northeast and likely impinge on lingering strong to severe storms across eastern KS. This could maintain at least isolated severe storms lingering overnight. ..Grams.. 05/20/2025 Read more