SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Tue May 20 2025 Valid 221200Z - 281200Z An upper-level ridge is expected to amplify as it translates eastward into the Great Plains through the end of the week (Day 5/Saturday), bringing above normal temperatures and dry conditions to much of the Southwest. A subtle, upper-level short wave moving into northern California and northern Great Basin will promote stronger winds across the California Central Valley Day 3/Thursday. Overlap of increased winds and very dry conditions are expected, but fuels capable of fire spread will be limited to dry/cured fine fuels with higher live fuel moisture subduing significant wildfire spread. Nonetheless, Elevated fire weather conditions are likely for portions of the Central Valley for Day 3/Thursday. A more amplified, but still progressive upper-level trough enters California Day 4/Friday, moving into the Intermountain West by Day 5/Saturday. This will introduce a more widespread fire weather threat across the Southwest in terms of increased southwest winds coupled with low relative humidity and dry fuels. A 40 percent Critical probability area has been introduced to highlight the day 4/Friday threat. Muted mid-level flow and a very dry boundary layer bringing breezy and dry conditions remains over New Mexico for Day 5/Saturday supporting at least Elevated fire weather conditions for the area. Pronounced ridging across the western U.S. will support a light wind regime with above normal temperatures beginning early next week Day 6/Sunday. Ensemble guidance shows an impinging upper-level trough into the Pacific Northwest Day 6-7/Sunday Monday. The trough along with some mid-level moisture could promote thunderstorm development across portions of the northern Great Basin and Northern Rockies Day 7-8/Monday-Tuesday although fuel receptiveness to ignition should be limited. ..Williams.. 05/20/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Tue May 20 2025 Valid 221200Z - 281200Z An upper-level ridge is expected to amplify as it translates eastward into the Great Plains through the end of the week (Day 5/Saturday), bringing above normal temperatures and dry conditions to much of the Southwest. A subtle, upper-level short wave moving into northern California and northern Great Basin will promote stronger winds across the California Central Valley Day 3/Thursday. Overlap of increased winds and very dry conditions are expected, but fuels capable of fire spread will be limited to dry/cured fine fuels with higher live fuel moisture subduing significant wildfire spread. Nonetheless, Elevated fire weather conditions are likely for portions of the Central Valley for Day 3/Thursday. A more amplified, but still progressive upper-level trough enters California Day 4/Friday, moving into the Intermountain West by Day 5/Saturday. This will introduce a more widespread fire weather threat across the Southwest in terms of increased southwest winds coupled with low relative humidity and dry fuels. A 40 percent Critical probability area has been introduced to highlight the day 4/Friday threat. Muted mid-level flow and a very dry boundary layer bringing breezy and dry conditions remains over New Mexico for Day 5/Saturday supporting at least Elevated fire weather conditions for the area. Pronounced ridging across the western U.S. will support a light wind regime with above normal temperatures beginning early next week Day 6/Sunday. Ensemble guidance shows an impinging upper-level trough into the Pacific Northwest Day 6-7/Sunday Monday. The trough along with some mid-level moisture could promote thunderstorm development across portions of the northern Great Basin and Northern Rockies Day 7-8/Monday-Tuesday although fuel receptiveness to ignition should be limited. ..Williams.. 05/20/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Tue May 20 2025 Valid 221200Z - 281200Z An upper-level ridge is expected to amplify as it translates eastward into the Great Plains through the end of the week (Day 5/Saturday), bringing above normal temperatures and dry conditions to much of the Southwest. A subtle, upper-level short wave moving into northern California and northern Great Basin will promote stronger winds across the California Central Valley Day 3/Thursday. Overlap of increased winds and very dry conditions are expected, but fuels capable of fire spread will be limited to dry/cured fine fuels with higher live fuel moisture subduing significant wildfire spread. Nonetheless, Elevated fire weather conditions are likely for portions of the Central Valley for Day 3/Thursday. A more amplified, but still progressive upper-level trough enters California Day 4/Friday, moving into the Intermountain West by Day 5/Saturday. This will introduce a more widespread fire weather threat across the Southwest in terms of increased southwest winds coupled with low relative humidity and dry fuels. A 40 percent Critical probability area has been introduced to highlight the day 4/Friday threat. Muted mid-level flow and a very dry boundary layer bringing breezy and dry conditions remains over New Mexico for Day 5/Saturday supporting at least Elevated fire weather conditions for the area. Pronounced ridging across the western U.S. will support a light wind regime with above normal temperatures beginning early next week Day 6/Sunday. Ensemble guidance shows an impinging upper-level trough into the Pacific Northwest Day 6-7/Sunday Monday. The trough along with some mid-level moisture could promote thunderstorm development across portions of the northern Great Basin and Northern Rockies Day 7-8/Monday-Tuesday although fuel receptiveness to ignition should be limited. ..Williams.. 05/20/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Tue May 20 2025 Valid 221200Z - 281200Z An upper-level ridge is expected to amplify as it translates eastward into the Great Plains through the end of the week (Day 5/Saturday), bringing above normal temperatures and dry conditions to much of the Southwest. A subtle, upper-level short wave moving into northern California and northern Great Basin will promote stronger winds across the California Central Valley Day 3/Thursday. Overlap of increased winds and very dry conditions are expected, but fuels capable of fire spread will be limited to dry/cured fine fuels with higher live fuel moisture subduing significant wildfire spread. Nonetheless, Elevated fire weather conditions are likely for portions of the Central Valley for Day 3/Thursday. A more amplified, but still progressive upper-level trough enters California Day 4/Friday, moving into the Intermountain West by Day 5/Saturday. This will introduce a more widespread fire weather threat across the Southwest in terms of increased southwest winds coupled with low relative humidity and dry fuels. A 40 percent Critical probability area has been introduced to highlight the day 4/Friday threat. Muted mid-level flow and a very dry boundary layer bringing breezy and dry conditions remains over New Mexico for Day 5/Saturday supporting at least Elevated fire weather conditions for the area. Pronounced ridging across the western U.S. will support a light wind regime with above normal temperatures beginning early next week Day 6/Sunday. Ensemble guidance shows an impinging upper-level trough into the Pacific Northwest Day 6-7/Sunday Monday. The trough along with some mid-level moisture could promote thunderstorm development across portions of the northern Great Basin and Northern Rockies Day 7-8/Monday-Tuesday although fuel receptiveness to ignition should be limited. ..Williams.. 05/20/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Tue May 20 2025 Valid 221200Z - 281200Z An upper-level ridge is expected to amplify as it translates eastward into the Great Plains through the end of the week (Day 5/Saturday), bringing above normal temperatures and dry conditions to much of the Southwest. A subtle, upper-level short wave moving into northern California and northern Great Basin will promote stronger winds across the California Central Valley Day 3/Thursday. Overlap of increased winds and very dry conditions are expected, but fuels capable of fire spread will be limited to dry/cured fine fuels with higher live fuel moisture subduing significant wildfire spread. Nonetheless, Elevated fire weather conditions are likely for portions of the Central Valley for Day 3/Thursday. A more amplified, but still progressive upper-level trough enters California Day 4/Friday, moving into the Intermountain West by Day 5/Saturday. This will introduce a more widespread fire weather threat across the Southwest in terms of increased southwest winds coupled with low relative humidity and dry fuels. A 40 percent Critical probability area has been introduced to highlight the day 4/Friday threat. Muted mid-level flow and a very dry boundary layer bringing breezy and dry conditions remains over New Mexico for Day 5/Saturday supporting at least Elevated fire weather conditions for the area. Pronounced ridging across the western U.S. will support a light wind regime with above normal temperatures beginning early next week Day 6/Sunday. Ensemble guidance shows an impinging upper-level trough into the Pacific Northwest Day 6-7/Sunday Monday. The trough along with some mid-level moisture could promote thunderstorm development across portions of the northern Great Basin and Northern Rockies Day 7-8/Monday-Tuesday although fuel receptiveness to ignition should be limited. ..Williams.. 05/20/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Tue May 20 2025 Valid 221200Z - 281200Z An upper-level ridge is expected to amplify as it translates eastward into the Great Plains through the end of the week (Day 5/Saturday), bringing above normal temperatures and dry conditions to much of the Southwest. A subtle, upper-level short wave moving into northern California and northern Great Basin will promote stronger winds across the California Central Valley Day 3/Thursday. Overlap of increased winds and very dry conditions are expected, but fuels capable of fire spread will be limited to dry/cured fine fuels with higher live fuel moisture subduing significant wildfire spread. Nonetheless, Elevated fire weather conditions are likely for portions of the Central Valley for Day 3/Thursday. A more amplified, but still progressive upper-level trough enters California Day 4/Friday, moving into the Intermountain West by Day 5/Saturday. This will introduce a more widespread fire weather threat across the Southwest in terms of increased southwest winds coupled with low relative humidity and dry fuels. A 40 percent Critical probability area has been introduced to highlight the day 4/Friday threat. Muted mid-level flow and a very dry boundary layer bringing breezy and dry conditions remains over New Mexico for Day 5/Saturday supporting at least Elevated fire weather conditions for the area. Pronounced ridging across the western U.S. will support a light wind regime with above normal temperatures beginning early next week Day 6/Sunday. Ensemble guidance shows an impinging upper-level trough into the Pacific Northwest Day 6-7/Sunday Monday. The trough along with some mid-level moisture could promote thunderstorm development across portions of the northern Great Basin and Northern Rockies Day 7-8/Monday-Tuesday although fuel receptiveness to ignition should be limited. ..Williams.. 05/20/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Tue May 20 2025 Valid 221200Z - 281200Z An upper-level ridge is expected to amplify as it translates eastward into the Great Plains through the end of the week (Day 5/Saturday), bringing above normal temperatures and dry conditions to much of the Southwest. A subtle, upper-level short wave moving into northern California and northern Great Basin will promote stronger winds across the California Central Valley Day 3/Thursday. Overlap of increased winds and very dry conditions are expected, but fuels capable of fire spread will be limited to dry/cured fine fuels with higher live fuel moisture subduing significant wildfire spread. Nonetheless, Elevated fire weather conditions are likely for portions of the Central Valley for Day 3/Thursday. A more amplified, but still progressive upper-level trough enters California Day 4/Friday, moving into the Intermountain West by Day 5/Saturday. This will introduce a more widespread fire weather threat across the Southwest in terms of increased southwest winds coupled with low relative humidity and dry fuels. A 40 percent Critical probability area has been introduced to highlight the day 4/Friday threat. Muted mid-level flow and a very dry boundary layer bringing breezy and dry conditions remains over New Mexico for Day 5/Saturday supporting at least Elevated fire weather conditions for the area. Pronounced ridging across the western U.S. will support a light wind regime with above normal temperatures beginning early next week Day 6/Sunday. Ensemble guidance shows an impinging upper-level trough into the Pacific Northwest Day 6-7/Sunday Monday. The trough along with some mid-level moisture could promote thunderstorm development across portions of the northern Great Basin and Northern Rockies Day 7-8/Monday-Tuesday although fuel receptiveness to ignition should be limited. ..Williams.. 05/20/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Tue May 20 2025 Valid 221200Z - 281200Z An upper-level ridge is expected to amplify as it translates eastward into the Great Plains through the end of the week (Day 5/Saturday), bringing above normal temperatures and dry conditions to much of the Southwest. A subtle, upper-level short wave moving into northern California and northern Great Basin will promote stronger winds across the California Central Valley Day 3/Thursday. Overlap of increased winds and very dry conditions are expected, but fuels capable of fire spread will be limited to dry/cured fine fuels with higher live fuel moisture subduing significant wildfire spread. Nonetheless, Elevated fire weather conditions are likely for portions of the Central Valley for Day 3/Thursday. A more amplified, but still progressive upper-level trough enters California Day 4/Friday, moving into the Intermountain West by Day 5/Saturday. This will introduce a more widespread fire weather threat across the Southwest in terms of increased southwest winds coupled with low relative humidity and dry fuels. A 40 percent Critical probability area has been introduced to highlight the day 4/Friday threat. Muted mid-level flow and a very dry boundary layer bringing breezy and dry conditions remains over New Mexico for Day 5/Saturday supporting at least Elevated fire weather conditions for the area. Pronounced ridging across the western U.S. will support a light wind regime with above normal temperatures beginning early next week Day 6/Sunday. Ensemble guidance shows an impinging upper-level trough into the Pacific Northwest Day 6-7/Sunday Monday. The trough along with some mid-level moisture could promote thunderstorm development across portions of the northern Great Basin and Northern Rockies Day 7-8/Monday-Tuesday although fuel receptiveness to ignition should be limited. ..Williams.. 05/20/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Tue May 20 2025 Valid 221200Z - 281200Z An upper-level ridge is expected to amplify as it translates eastward into the Great Plains through the end of the week (Day 5/Saturday), bringing above normal temperatures and dry conditions to much of the Southwest. A subtle, upper-level short wave moving into northern California and northern Great Basin will promote stronger winds across the California Central Valley Day 3/Thursday. Overlap of increased winds and very dry conditions are expected, but fuels capable of fire spread will be limited to dry/cured fine fuels with higher live fuel moisture subduing significant wildfire spread. Nonetheless, Elevated fire weather conditions are likely for portions of the Central Valley for Day 3/Thursday. A more amplified, but still progressive upper-level trough enters California Day 4/Friday, moving into the Intermountain West by Day 5/Saturday. This will introduce a more widespread fire weather threat across the Southwest in terms of increased southwest winds coupled with low relative humidity and dry fuels. A 40 percent Critical probability area has been introduced to highlight the day 4/Friday threat. Muted mid-level flow and a very dry boundary layer bringing breezy and dry conditions remains over New Mexico for Day 5/Saturday supporting at least Elevated fire weather conditions for the area. Pronounced ridging across the western U.S. will support a light wind regime with above normal temperatures beginning early next week Day 6/Sunday. Ensemble guidance shows an impinging upper-level trough into the Pacific Northwest Day 6-7/Sunday Monday. The trough along with some mid-level moisture could promote thunderstorm development across portions of the northern Great Basin and Northern Rockies Day 7-8/Monday-Tuesday although fuel receptiveness to ignition should be limited. ..Williams.. 05/20/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Tue May 20 2025 Valid 221200Z - 281200Z An upper-level ridge is expected to amplify as it translates eastward into the Great Plains through the end of the week (Day 5/Saturday), bringing above normal temperatures and dry conditions to much of the Southwest. A subtle, upper-level short wave moving into northern California and northern Great Basin will promote stronger winds across the California Central Valley Day 3/Thursday. Overlap of increased winds and very dry conditions are expected, but fuels capable of fire spread will be limited to dry/cured fine fuels with higher live fuel moisture subduing significant wildfire spread. Nonetheless, Elevated fire weather conditions are likely for portions of the Central Valley for Day 3/Thursday. A more amplified, but still progressive upper-level trough enters California Day 4/Friday, moving into the Intermountain West by Day 5/Saturday. This will introduce a more widespread fire weather threat across the Southwest in terms of increased southwest winds coupled with low relative humidity and dry fuels. A 40 percent Critical probability area has been introduced to highlight the day 4/Friday threat. Muted mid-level flow and a very dry boundary layer bringing breezy and dry conditions remains over New Mexico for Day 5/Saturday supporting at least Elevated fire weather conditions for the area. Pronounced ridging across the western U.S. will support a light wind regime with above normal temperatures beginning early next week Day 6/Sunday. Ensemble guidance shows an impinging upper-level trough into the Pacific Northwest Day 6-7/Sunday Monday. The trough along with some mid-level moisture could promote thunderstorm development across portions of the northern Great Basin and Northern Rockies Day 7-8/Monday-Tuesday although fuel receptiveness to ignition should be limited. ..Williams.. 05/20/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Tue May 20 2025 Valid 221200Z - 281200Z An upper-level ridge is expected to amplify as it translates eastward into the Great Plains through the end of the week (Day 5/Saturday), bringing above normal temperatures and dry conditions to much of the Southwest. A subtle, upper-level short wave moving into northern California and northern Great Basin will promote stronger winds across the California Central Valley Day 3/Thursday. Overlap of increased winds and very dry conditions are expected, but fuels capable of fire spread will be limited to dry/cured fine fuels with higher live fuel moisture subduing significant wildfire spread. Nonetheless, Elevated fire weather conditions are likely for portions of the Central Valley for Day 3/Thursday. A more amplified, but still progressive upper-level trough enters California Day 4/Friday, moving into the Intermountain West by Day 5/Saturday. This will introduce a more widespread fire weather threat across the Southwest in terms of increased southwest winds coupled with low relative humidity and dry fuels. A 40 percent Critical probability area has been introduced to highlight the day 4/Friday threat. Muted mid-level flow and a very dry boundary layer bringing breezy and dry conditions remains over New Mexico for Day 5/Saturday supporting at least Elevated fire weather conditions for the area. Pronounced ridging across the western U.S. will support a light wind regime with above normal temperatures beginning early next week Day 6/Sunday. Ensemble guidance shows an impinging upper-level trough into the Pacific Northwest Day 6-7/Sunday Monday. The trough along with some mid-level moisture could promote thunderstorm development across portions of the northern Great Basin and Northern Rockies Day 7-8/Monday-Tuesday although fuel receptiveness to ignition should be limited. ..Williams.. 05/20/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Tue May 20 2025 Valid 221200Z - 281200Z An upper-level ridge is expected to amplify as it translates eastward into the Great Plains through the end of the week (Day 5/Saturday), bringing above normal temperatures and dry conditions to much of the Southwest. A subtle, upper-level short wave moving into northern California and northern Great Basin will promote stronger winds across the California Central Valley Day 3/Thursday. Overlap of increased winds and very dry conditions are expected, but fuels capable of fire spread will be limited to dry/cured fine fuels with higher live fuel moisture subduing significant wildfire spread. Nonetheless, Elevated fire weather conditions are likely for portions of the Central Valley for Day 3/Thursday. A more amplified, but still progressive upper-level trough enters California Day 4/Friday, moving into the Intermountain West by Day 5/Saturday. This will introduce a more widespread fire weather threat across the Southwest in terms of increased southwest winds coupled with low relative humidity and dry fuels. A 40 percent Critical probability area has been introduced to highlight the day 4/Friday threat. Muted mid-level flow and a very dry boundary layer bringing breezy and dry conditions remains over New Mexico for Day 5/Saturday supporting at least Elevated fire weather conditions for the area. Pronounced ridging across the western U.S. will support a light wind regime with above normal temperatures beginning early next week Day 6/Sunday. Ensemble guidance shows an impinging upper-level trough into the Pacific Northwest Day 6-7/Sunday Monday. The trough along with some mid-level moisture could promote thunderstorm development across portions of the northern Great Basin and Northern Rockies Day 7-8/Monday-Tuesday although fuel receptiveness to ignition should be limited. ..Williams.. 05/20/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Tue May 20 2025 Valid 221200Z - 281200Z An upper-level ridge is expected to amplify as it translates eastward into the Great Plains through the end of the week (Day 5/Saturday), bringing above normal temperatures and dry conditions to much of the Southwest. A subtle, upper-level short wave moving into northern California and northern Great Basin will promote stronger winds across the California Central Valley Day 3/Thursday. Overlap of increased winds and very dry conditions are expected, but fuels capable of fire spread will be limited to dry/cured fine fuels with higher live fuel moisture subduing significant wildfire spread. Nonetheless, Elevated fire weather conditions are likely for portions of the Central Valley for Day 3/Thursday. A more amplified, but still progressive upper-level trough enters California Day 4/Friday, moving into the Intermountain West by Day 5/Saturday. This will introduce a more widespread fire weather threat across the Southwest in terms of increased southwest winds coupled with low relative humidity and dry fuels. A 40 percent Critical probability area has been introduced to highlight the day 4/Friday threat. Muted mid-level flow and a very dry boundary layer bringing breezy and dry conditions remains over New Mexico for Day 5/Saturday supporting at least Elevated fire weather conditions for the area. Pronounced ridging across the western U.S. will support a light wind regime with above normal temperatures beginning early next week Day 6/Sunday. Ensemble guidance shows an impinging upper-level trough into the Pacific Northwest Day 6-7/Sunday Monday. The trough along with some mid-level moisture could promote thunderstorm development across portions of the northern Great Basin and Northern Rockies Day 7-8/Monday-Tuesday although fuel receptiveness to ignition should be limited. ..Williams.. 05/20/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Tue May 20 2025 Valid 221200Z - 281200Z An upper-level ridge is expected to amplify as it translates eastward into the Great Plains through the end of the week (Day 5/Saturday), bringing above normal temperatures and dry conditions to much of the Southwest. A subtle, upper-level short wave moving into northern California and northern Great Basin will promote stronger winds across the California Central Valley Day 3/Thursday. Overlap of increased winds and very dry conditions are expected, but fuels capable of fire spread will be limited to dry/cured fine fuels with higher live fuel moisture subduing significant wildfire spread. Nonetheless, Elevated fire weather conditions are likely for portions of the Central Valley for Day 3/Thursday. A more amplified, but still progressive upper-level trough enters California Day 4/Friday, moving into the Intermountain West by Day 5/Saturday. This will introduce a more widespread fire weather threat across the Southwest in terms of increased southwest winds coupled with low relative humidity and dry fuels. A 40 percent Critical probability area has been introduced to highlight the day 4/Friday threat. Muted mid-level flow and a very dry boundary layer bringing breezy and dry conditions remains over New Mexico for Day 5/Saturday supporting at least Elevated fire weather conditions for the area. Pronounced ridging across the western U.S. will support a light wind regime with above normal temperatures beginning early next week Day 6/Sunday. Ensemble guidance shows an impinging upper-level trough into the Pacific Northwest Day 6-7/Sunday Monday. The trough along with some mid-level moisture could promote thunderstorm development across portions of the northern Great Basin and Northern Rockies Day 7-8/Monday-Tuesday although fuel receptiveness to ignition should be limited. ..Williams.. 05/20/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Tue May 20 2025 Valid 221200Z - 281200Z An upper-level ridge is expected to amplify as it translates eastward into the Great Plains through the end of the week (Day 5/Saturday), bringing above normal temperatures and dry conditions to much of the Southwest. A subtle, upper-level short wave moving into northern California and northern Great Basin will promote stronger winds across the California Central Valley Day 3/Thursday. Overlap of increased winds and very dry conditions are expected, but fuels capable of fire spread will be limited to dry/cured fine fuels with higher live fuel moisture subduing significant wildfire spread. Nonetheless, Elevated fire weather conditions are likely for portions of the Central Valley for Day 3/Thursday. A more amplified, but still progressive upper-level trough enters California Day 4/Friday, moving into the Intermountain West by Day 5/Saturday. This will introduce a more widespread fire weather threat across the Southwest in terms of increased southwest winds coupled with low relative humidity and dry fuels. A 40 percent Critical probability area has been introduced to highlight the day 4/Friday threat. Muted mid-level flow and a very dry boundary layer bringing breezy and dry conditions remains over New Mexico for Day 5/Saturday supporting at least Elevated fire weather conditions for the area. Pronounced ridging across the western U.S. will support a light wind regime with above normal temperatures beginning early next week Day 6/Sunday. Ensemble guidance shows an impinging upper-level trough into the Pacific Northwest Day 6-7/Sunday Monday. The trough along with some mid-level moisture could promote thunderstorm development across portions of the northern Great Basin and Northern Rockies Day 7-8/Monday-Tuesday although fuel receptiveness to ignition should be limited. ..Williams.. 05/20/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Tue May 20 2025 Valid 221200Z - 281200Z An upper-level ridge is expected to amplify as it translates eastward into the Great Plains through the end of the week (Day 5/Saturday), bringing above normal temperatures and dry conditions to much of the Southwest. A subtle, upper-level short wave moving into northern California and northern Great Basin will promote stronger winds across the California Central Valley Day 3/Thursday. Overlap of increased winds and very dry conditions are expected, but fuels capable of fire spread will be limited to dry/cured fine fuels with higher live fuel moisture subduing significant wildfire spread. Nonetheless, Elevated fire weather conditions are likely for portions of the Central Valley for Day 3/Thursday. A more amplified, but still progressive upper-level trough enters California Day 4/Friday, moving into the Intermountain West by Day 5/Saturday. This will introduce a more widespread fire weather threat across the Southwest in terms of increased southwest winds coupled with low relative humidity and dry fuels. A 40 percent Critical probability area has been introduced to highlight the day 4/Friday threat. Muted mid-level flow and a very dry boundary layer bringing breezy and dry conditions remains over New Mexico for Day 5/Saturday supporting at least Elevated fire weather conditions for the area. Pronounced ridging across the western U.S. will support a light wind regime with above normal temperatures beginning early next week Day 6/Sunday. Ensemble guidance shows an impinging upper-level trough into the Pacific Northwest Day 6-7/Sunday Monday. The trough along with some mid-level moisture could promote thunderstorm development across portions of the northern Great Basin and Northern Rockies Day 7-8/Monday-Tuesday although fuel receptiveness to ignition should be limited. ..Williams.. 05/20/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Tue May 20 2025 Valid 221200Z - 281200Z An upper-level ridge is expected to amplify as it translates eastward into the Great Plains through the end of the week (Day 5/Saturday), bringing above normal temperatures and dry conditions to much of the Southwest. A subtle, upper-level short wave moving into northern California and northern Great Basin will promote stronger winds across the California Central Valley Day 3/Thursday. Overlap of increased winds and very dry conditions are expected, but fuels capable of fire spread will be limited to dry/cured fine fuels with higher live fuel moisture subduing significant wildfire spread. Nonetheless, Elevated fire weather conditions are likely for portions of the Central Valley for Day 3/Thursday. A more amplified, but still progressive upper-level trough enters California Day 4/Friday, moving into the Intermountain West by Day 5/Saturday. This will introduce a more widespread fire weather threat across the Southwest in terms of increased southwest winds coupled with low relative humidity and dry fuels. A 40 percent Critical probability area has been introduced to highlight the day 4/Friday threat. Muted mid-level flow and a very dry boundary layer bringing breezy and dry conditions remains over New Mexico for Day 5/Saturday supporting at least Elevated fire weather conditions for the area. Pronounced ridging across the western U.S. will support a light wind regime with above normal temperatures beginning early next week Day 6/Sunday. Ensemble guidance shows an impinging upper-level trough into the Pacific Northwest Day 6-7/Sunday Monday. The trough along with some mid-level moisture could promote thunderstorm development across portions of the northern Great Basin and Northern Rockies Day 7-8/Monday-Tuesday although fuel receptiveness to ignition should be limited. ..Williams.. 05/20/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Tue May 20 2025 Valid 221200Z - 281200Z An upper-level ridge is expected to amplify as it translates eastward into the Great Plains through the end of the week (Day 5/Saturday), bringing above normal temperatures and dry conditions to much of the Southwest. A subtle, upper-level short wave moving into northern California and northern Great Basin will promote stronger winds across the California Central Valley Day 3/Thursday. Overlap of increased winds and very dry conditions are expected, but fuels capable of fire spread will be limited to dry/cured fine fuels with higher live fuel moisture subduing significant wildfire spread. Nonetheless, Elevated fire weather conditions are likely for portions of the Central Valley for Day 3/Thursday. A more amplified, but still progressive upper-level trough enters California Day 4/Friday, moving into the Intermountain West by Day 5/Saturday. This will introduce a more widespread fire weather threat across the Southwest in terms of increased southwest winds coupled with low relative humidity and dry fuels. A 40 percent Critical probability area has been introduced to highlight the day 4/Friday threat. Muted mid-level flow and a very dry boundary layer bringing breezy and dry conditions remains over New Mexico for Day 5/Saturday supporting at least Elevated fire weather conditions for the area. Pronounced ridging across the western U.S. will support a light wind regime with above normal temperatures beginning early next week Day 6/Sunday. Ensemble guidance shows an impinging upper-level trough into the Pacific Northwest Day 6-7/Sunday Monday. The trough along with some mid-level moisture could promote thunderstorm development across portions of the northern Great Basin and Northern Rockies Day 7-8/Monday-Tuesday although fuel receptiveness to ignition should be limited. ..Williams.. 05/20/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Tue May 20 2025 Valid 221200Z - 281200Z An upper-level ridge is expected to amplify as it translates eastward into the Great Plains through the end of the week (Day 5/Saturday), bringing above normal temperatures and dry conditions to much of the Southwest. A subtle, upper-level short wave moving into northern California and northern Great Basin will promote stronger winds across the California Central Valley Day 3/Thursday. Overlap of increased winds and very dry conditions are expected, but fuels capable of fire spread will be limited to dry/cured fine fuels with higher live fuel moisture subduing significant wildfire spread. Nonetheless, Elevated fire weather conditions are likely for portions of the Central Valley for Day 3/Thursday. A more amplified, but still progressive upper-level trough enters California Day 4/Friday, moving into the Intermountain West by Day 5/Saturday. This will introduce a more widespread fire weather threat across the Southwest in terms of increased southwest winds coupled with low relative humidity and dry fuels. A 40 percent Critical probability area has been introduced to highlight the day 4/Friday threat. Muted mid-level flow and a very dry boundary layer bringing breezy and dry conditions remains over New Mexico for Day 5/Saturday supporting at least Elevated fire weather conditions for the area. Pronounced ridging across the western U.S. will support a light wind regime with above normal temperatures beginning early next week Day 6/Sunday. Ensemble guidance shows an impinging upper-level trough into the Pacific Northwest Day 6-7/Sunday Monday. The trough along with some mid-level moisture could promote thunderstorm development across portions of the northern Great Basin and Northern Rockies Day 7-8/Monday-Tuesday although fuel receptiveness to ignition should be limited. ..Williams.. 05/20/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Tue May 20 2025 Valid 221200Z - 281200Z An upper-level ridge is expected to amplify as it translates eastward into the Great Plains through the end of the week (Day 5/Saturday), bringing above normal temperatures and dry conditions to much of the Southwest. A subtle, upper-level short wave moving into northern California and northern Great Basin will promote stronger winds across the California Central Valley Day 3/Thursday. Overlap of increased winds and very dry conditions are expected, but fuels capable of fire spread will be limited to dry/cured fine fuels with higher live fuel moisture subduing significant wildfire spread. Nonetheless, Elevated fire weather conditions are likely for portions of the Central Valley for Day 3/Thursday. A more amplified, but still progressive upper-level trough enters California Day 4/Friday, moving into the Intermountain West by Day 5/Saturday. This will introduce a more widespread fire weather threat across the Southwest in terms of increased southwest winds coupled with low relative humidity and dry fuels. A 40 percent Critical probability area has been introduced to highlight the day 4/Friday threat. Muted mid-level flow and a very dry boundary layer bringing breezy and dry conditions remains over New Mexico for Day 5/Saturday supporting at least Elevated fire weather conditions for the area. Pronounced ridging across the western U.S. will support a light wind regime with above normal temperatures beginning early next week Day 6/Sunday. Ensemble guidance shows an impinging upper-level trough into the Pacific Northwest Day 6-7/Sunday Monday. The trough along with some mid-level moisture could promote thunderstorm development across portions of the northern Great Basin and Northern Rockies Day 7-8/Monday-Tuesday although fuel receptiveness to ignition should be limited. ..Williams.. 05/20/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more