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MD 0370 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 87... FOR NORTH-CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA INTO SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA
Mesoscale Discussion 0370 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0122 PM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024 Areas affected...North-central North Carolina into Southeast Virginia Concerning...Tornado Watch 87... Valid 031822Z - 031945Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 87 continues. SUMMARY...Discrete storms ahead of the cold front will pose the greatest risk for a tornado this afternoon. The northward extent of the risk will depend on how far north the warm front lifts. DISCUSSION...Currently, the mesoscale environment most supportive of a tornado exists near/south of the warm front in north-central North Carolina into southeast Virginia. In particular, a storm near the Granville/Vance County line has intensified in the last hour. This discrete storm will continue northeastward into an area of surface heating through anvil cirrus. The AKQ VAD shows a fairly large low-level hodograph. Discrete storms ahead of the surface font will pose the greatest short term tornado risk. Some northward lifting of the warm front is possible, but uncertain. Tornado risk along the front is also unclear, though the strongest activity has generally tended to be more discrete elements embedded within weaker precipitation. That said, some risk, though lower, will also exist along the front. ..Wendt.. 04/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...RAH...RNK... LAT...LON 35847825 36027888 36227937 36497943 37217807 37517709 37807654 37697618 37157632 36507694 36007750 35877780 35847825 Read more

WW 0087 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 87 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NE GSO TO 30 ESE DAN TO 25 NW AVC TO 25 NW RIC TO 30 SSW DCA TO 5 WSW DCA. ..LYONS..04/03/24 ATTN...WFO...PHI...LWX...AKQ...RNK...RAH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 87 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS DEC001-005-032040- DE . DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE KENT SUSSEX MDC009-011-019-035-037-039-041-045-047-032040- MD . MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALVERT CAROLINE DORCHESTER QUEEN ANNE'S ST. MARYS SOMERSET TALBOT WICOMICO WORCESTER NCC065-069-077-083-127-131-145-181-185-032040- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE EDGECOMBE FRANKLIN GRANVILLE HALIFAX NASH NORTHAMPTON Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 PM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the current D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 04/03/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1249 AM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024/ ...Synopsis... A strong mid-level trough will approach the western CONUS on Thursday with moderate to strong mid-level flow overspreading the Southwest and Great Basin. A deeply mixed airmass is expected in the region and therefore, this stronger mid-level flow is expected to mix to the surface. Widespread 25 to 40 mph winds are expected from northern Arizona into Nevada and Utah with relative humidity of 15 to 20 percent. Despite these very windy and dry conditions in the region, the fire weather threat will remain low due to moist fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 PM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the current D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 04/03/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1249 AM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024/ ...Synopsis... A strong mid-level trough will approach the western CONUS on Thursday with moderate to strong mid-level flow overspreading the Southwest and Great Basin. A deeply mixed airmass is expected in the region and therefore, this stronger mid-level flow is expected to mix to the surface. Widespread 25 to 40 mph winds are expected from northern Arizona into Nevada and Utah with relative humidity of 15 to 20 percent. Despite these very windy and dry conditions in the region, the fire weather threat will remain low due to moist fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 PM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the current D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 04/03/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1249 AM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024/ ...Synopsis... A strong mid-level trough will approach the western CONUS on Thursday with moderate to strong mid-level flow overspreading the Southwest and Great Basin. A deeply mixed airmass is expected in the region and therefore, this stronger mid-level flow is expected to mix to the surface. Widespread 25 to 40 mph winds are expected from northern Arizona into Nevada and Utah with relative humidity of 15 to 20 percent. Despite these very windy and dry conditions in the region, the fire weather threat will remain low due to moist fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 PM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the current D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 04/03/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1249 AM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024/ ...Synopsis... A strong mid-level trough will approach the western CONUS on Thursday with moderate to strong mid-level flow overspreading the Southwest and Great Basin. A deeply mixed airmass is expected in the region and therefore, this stronger mid-level flow is expected to mix to the surface. Widespread 25 to 40 mph winds are expected from northern Arizona into Nevada and Utah with relative humidity of 15 to 20 percent. Despite these very windy and dry conditions in the region, the fire weather threat will remain low due to moist fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 PM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the current D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 04/03/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1249 AM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024/ ...Synopsis... A strong mid-level trough will approach the western CONUS on Thursday with moderate to strong mid-level flow overspreading the Southwest and Great Basin. A deeply mixed airmass is expected in the region and therefore, this stronger mid-level flow is expected to mix to the surface. Widespread 25 to 40 mph winds are expected from northern Arizona into Nevada and Utah with relative humidity of 15 to 20 percent. Despite these very windy and dry conditions in the region, the fire weather threat will remain low due to moist fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 PM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the current D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 04/03/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1249 AM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024/ ...Synopsis... A strong mid-level trough will approach the western CONUS on Thursday with moderate to strong mid-level flow overspreading the Southwest and Great Basin. A deeply mixed airmass is expected in the region and therefore, this stronger mid-level flow is expected to mix to the surface. Widespread 25 to 40 mph winds are expected from northern Arizona into Nevada and Utah with relative humidity of 15 to 20 percent. Despite these very windy and dry conditions in the region, the fire weather threat will remain low due to moist fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 PM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the current D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 04/03/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1249 AM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024/ ...Synopsis... A strong mid-level trough will approach the western CONUS on Thursday with moderate to strong mid-level flow overspreading the Southwest and Great Basin. A deeply mixed airmass is expected in the region and therefore, this stronger mid-level flow is expected to mix to the surface. Widespread 25 to 40 mph winds are expected from northern Arizona into Nevada and Utah with relative humidity of 15 to 20 percent. Despite these very windy and dry conditions in the region, the fire weather threat will remain low due to moist fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 PM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the current D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 04/03/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1249 AM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024/ ...Synopsis... A strong mid-level trough will approach the western CONUS on Thursday with moderate to strong mid-level flow overspreading the Southwest and Great Basin. A deeply mixed airmass is expected in the region and therefore, this stronger mid-level flow is expected to mix to the surface. Widespread 25 to 40 mph winds are expected from northern Arizona into Nevada and Utah with relative humidity of 15 to 20 percent. Despite these very windy and dry conditions in the region, the fire weather threat will remain low due to moist fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 PM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the current D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 04/03/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1249 AM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024/ ...Synopsis... A strong mid-level trough will approach the western CONUS on Thursday with moderate to strong mid-level flow overspreading the Southwest and Great Basin. A deeply mixed airmass is expected in the region and therefore, this stronger mid-level flow is expected to mix to the surface. Widespread 25 to 40 mph winds are expected from northern Arizona into Nevada and Utah with relative humidity of 15 to 20 percent. Despite these very windy and dry conditions in the region, the fire weather threat will remain low due to moist fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 PM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the current D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 04/03/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1249 AM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024/ ...Synopsis... A strong mid-level trough will approach the western CONUS on Thursday with moderate to strong mid-level flow overspreading the Southwest and Great Basin. A deeply mixed airmass is expected in the region and therefore, this stronger mid-level flow is expected to mix to the surface. Widespread 25 to 40 mph winds are expected from northern Arizona into Nevada and Utah with relative humidity of 15 to 20 percent. Despite these very windy and dry conditions in the region, the fire weather threat will remain low due to moist fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 PM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the current D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 04/03/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1249 AM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024/ ...Synopsis... A strong mid-level trough will approach the western CONUS on Thursday with moderate to strong mid-level flow overspreading the Southwest and Great Basin. A deeply mixed airmass is expected in the region and therefore, this stronger mid-level flow is expected to mix to the surface. Widespread 25 to 40 mph winds are expected from northern Arizona into Nevada and Utah with relative humidity of 15 to 20 percent. Despite these very windy and dry conditions in the region, the fire weather threat will remain low due to moist fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 PM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the current D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 04/03/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1249 AM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024/ ...Synopsis... A strong mid-level trough will approach the western CONUS on Thursday with moderate to strong mid-level flow overspreading the Southwest and Great Basin. A deeply mixed airmass is expected in the region and therefore, this stronger mid-level flow is expected to mix to the surface. Widespread 25 to 40 mph winds are expected from northern Arizona into Nevada and Utah with relative humidity of 15 to 20 percent. Despite these very windy and dry conditions in the region, the fire weather threat will remain low due to moist fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 PM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the current D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 04/03/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1249 AM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024/ ...Synopsis... A strong mid-level trough will approach the western CONUS on Thursday with moderate to strong mid-level flow overspreading the Southwest and Great Basin. A deeply mixed airmass is expected in the region and therefore, this stronger mid-level flow is expected to mix to the surface. Widespread 25 to 40 mph winds are expected from northern Arizona into Nevada and Utah with relative humidity of 15 to 20 percent. Despite these very windy and dry conditions in the region, the fire weather threat will remain low due to moist fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 PM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the current D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 04/03/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1249 AM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024/ ...Synopsis... A strong mid-level trough will approach the western CONUS on Thursday with moderate to strong mid-level flow overspreading the Southwest and Great Basin. A deeply mixed airmass is expected in the region and therefore, this stronger mid-level flow is expected to mix to the surface. Widespread 25 to 40 mph winds are expected from northern Arizona into Nevada and Utah with relative humidity of 15 to 20 percent. Despite these very windy and dry conditions in the region, the fire weather threat will remain low due to moist fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 PM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the current D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 04/03/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1249 AM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024/ ...Synopsis... A strong mid-level trough will approach the western CONUS on Thursday with moderate to strong mid-level flow overspreading the Southwest and Great Basin. A deeply mixed airmass is expected in the region and therefore, this stronger mid-level flow is expected to mix to the surface. Widespread 25 to 40 mph winds are expected from northern Arizona into Nevada and Utah with relative humidity of 15 to 20 percent. Despite these very windy and dry conditions in the region, the fire weather threat will remain low due to moist fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

MD 0369 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 86... FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH/CENTRAL FL
Mesoscale Discussion 0369 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1202 PM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024 Areas affected...Portions of north/central FL Concerning...Tornado Watch 86... Valid 031702Z - 031830Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 86 continues. SUMMARY...An isolated threat for damaging winds and perhaps a couple of tornadoes should continue across parts of north/central Florida. DISCUSSION...Convection across north FL has become more parallel to the mid-level southwesterly flow. This has slowed its southward advance across the FL Peninsula, but additional thunderstorms have also strengthened recently across the eastern Gulf of Mexico along or just ahead of a cold front. Given the mainly linear nature of these thunderstorms, current expectations are for mainly a damaging wind threat to continue through the afternoon as the airmass south of the ongoing activity gradually destabilizes. Strong deep-layer shear of 40-50 kt will help maintain thunderstorm organization/intensity. Sufficient low-level shear is also present to support updraft rotation with embedded circulations and some tornado threat within the line, and with any cells that can develop across the open warm sector. ..Gleason.. 04/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX... LAT...LON 28868322 29358294 30148115 29588084 28858080 28408109 28168213 28248304 28868322 Read more

WW 0086 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 86 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WNW PIE TO 20 E GNV TO 15 WSW SGJ. ..LYONS..04/03/24 ATTN...WFO...JAX...TBW...MLB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 86 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC017-035-053-069-083-095-101-107-109-117-119-127-031940- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CITRUS FLAGLER HERNANDO LAKE MARION ORANGE PASCO PUTNAM ST. JOHNS SEMINOLE SUMTER VOLUSIA AMZ454-550-031940- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0086 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 86 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WNW PIE TO 20 E GNV TO 15 WSW SGJ. ..LYONS..04/03/24 ATTN...WFO...JAX...TBW...MLB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 86 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC017-035-053-069-083-095-101-107-109-117-119-127-031940- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CITRUS FLAGLER HERNANDO LAKE MARION ORANGE PASCO PUTNAM ST. JOHNS SEMINOLE SUMTER VOLUSIA AMZ454-550-031940- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more