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SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0809 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE SOUTH ACROSS THE CONCHO VALLEY AREA OF TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... All-hazards severe-weather risk will continue this evening and into the overnight hours across portions of the central and southern Plains. ...Central and southern Plains... Widely scattered thunderstorms continue this evening across a broad portion of the central third of the CONUS. For the remainder of the period, two primary areas for severe-weather risk will include the southern Nebraska/northern and central Kansas vicinity, and across parts of Oklahoma southward across much of Texas. Across the Nebraska and Kansas region, a couple of supercell storms persist across western Kansas, while additional convection continues to develop across east-central Colorado. Upscale growth/expansion of the Colorado storms is expected with time in response to a strengthening low-level jet, spreading eastward across southern Nebraska/northern Kansas into the overnight hours. Hail should become the primary severe threat with much of the convection well north of the surface boundary, but locally strong/damaging wind gusts may also occur. Farther south across Texas, a broken band of severe/supercell storms is ongoing from northeastern portions of the Texas Panhandle so the South Plains, in the vicinity of a retreating dryline. Recent reports of severe weather including a tornado near Turkey have been received, and expect risk for very large hail and locally damaging wind gusts, along with a couple of tornadoes, to continue this evening. With time, upscale growth of this convection is expected, in conjunction with the strengthening of the low-level jet, spreading eastward with time along with ongoing severe risk into the overnight hours. Other clusters of strong/severe storms are occurring in the Concho Valley vicinity, over the Hill country, and portions of the Piney Woods region. This convection may also persist/spread eastward with time in the broad warm-advection regime, along with local risk for hail/wind this evening and overnight. ..Goss.. 05/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0809 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE SOUTH ACROSS THE CONCHO VALLEY AREA OF TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... All-hazards severe-weather risk will continue this evening and into the overnight hours across portions of the central and southern Plains. ...Central and southern Plains... Widely scattered thunderstorms continue this evening across a broad portion of the central third of the CONUS. For the remainder of the period, two primary areas for severe-weather risk will include the southern Nebraska/northern and central Kansas vicinity, and across parts of Oklahoma southward across much of Texas. Across the Nebraska and Kansas region, a couple of supercell storms persist across western Kansas, while additional convection continues to develop across east-central Colorado. Upscale growth/expansion of the Colorado storms is expected with time in response to a strengthening low-level jet, spreading eastward across southern Nebraska/northern Kansas into the overnight hours. Hail should become the primary severe threat with much of the convection well north of the surface boundary, but locally strong/damaging wind gusts may also occur. Farther south across Texas, a broken band of severe/supercell storms is ongoing from northeastern portions of the Texas Panhandle so the South Plains, in the vicinity of a retreating dryline. Recent reports of severe weather including a tornado near Turkey have been received, and expect risk for very large hail and locally damaging wind gusts, along with a couple of tornadoes, to continue this evening. With time, upscale growth of this convection is expected, in conjunction with the strengthening of the low-level jet, spreading eastward with time along with ongoing severe risk into the overnight hours. Other clusters of strong/severe storms are occurring in the Concho Valley vicinity, over the Hill country, and portions of the Piney Woods region. This convection may also persist/spread eastward with time in the broad warm-advection regime, along with local risk for hail/wind this evening and overnight. ..Goss.. 05/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0809 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE SOUTH ACROSS THE CONCHO VALLEY AREA OF TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... All-hazards severe-weather risk will continue this evening and into the overnight hours across portions of the central and southern Plains. ...Central and southern Plains... Widely scattered thunderstorms continue this evening across a broad portion of the central third of the CONUS. For the remainder of the period, two primary areas for severe-weather risk will include the southern Nebraska/northern and central Kansas vicinity, and across parts of Oklahoma southward across much of Texas. Across the Nebraska and Kansas region, a couple of supercell storms persist across western Kansas, while additional convection continues to develop across east-central Colorado. Upscale growth/expansion of the Colorado storms is expected with time in response to a strengthening low-level jet, spreading eastward across southern Nebraska/northern Kansas into the overnight hours. Hail should become the primary severe threat with much of the convection well north of the surface boundary, but locally strong/damaging wind gusts may also occur. Farther south across Texas, a broken band of severe/supercell storms is ongoing from northeastern portions of the Texas Panhandle so the South Plains, in the vicinity of a retreating dryline. Recent reports of severe weather including a tornado near Turkey have been received, and expect risk for very large hail and locally damaging wind gusts, along with a couple of tornadoes, to continue this evening. With time, upscale growth of this convection is expected, in conjunction with the strengthening of the low-level jet, spreading eastward with time along with ongoing severe risk into the overnight hours. Other clusters of strong/severe storms are occurring in the Concho Valley vicinity, over the Hill country, and portions of the Piney Woods region. This convection may also persist/spread eastward with time in the broad warm-advection regime, along with local risk for hail/wind this evening and overnight. ..Goss.. 05/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0809 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE SOUTH ACROSS THE CONCHO VALLEY AREA OF TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... All-hazards severe-weather risk will continue this evening and into the overnight hours across portions of the central and southern Plains. ...Central and southern Plains... Widely scattered thunderstorms continue this evening across a broad portion of the central third of the CONUS. For the remainder of the period, two primary areas for severe-weather risk will include the southern Nebraska/northern and central Kansas vicinity, and across parts of Oklahoma southward across much of Texas. Across the Nebraska and Kansas region, a couple of supercell storms persist across western Kansas, while additional convection continues to develop across east-central Colorado. Upscale growth/expansion of the Colorado storms is expected with time in response to a strengthening low-level jet, spreading eastward across southern Nebraska/northern Kansas into the overnight hours. Hail should become the primary severe threat with much of the convection well north of the surface boundary, but locally strong/damaging wind gusts may also occur. Farther south across Texas, a broken band of severe/supercell storms is ongoing from northeastern portions of the Texas Panhandle so the South Plains, in the vicinity of a retreating dryline. Recent reports of severe weather including a tornado near Turkey have been received, and expect risk for very large hail and locally damaging wind gusts, along with a couple of tornadoes, to continue this evening. With time, upscale growth of this convection is expected, in conjunction with the strengthening of the low-level jet, spreading eastward with time along with ongoing severe risk into the overnight hours. Other clusters of strong/severe storms are occurring in the Concho Valley vicinity, over the Hill country, and portions of the Piney Woods region. This convection may also persist/spread eastward with time in the broad warm-advection regime, along with local risk for hail/wind this evening and overnight. ..Goss.. 05/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0809 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE SOUTH ACROSS THE CONCHO VALLEY AREA OF TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... All-hazards severe-weather risk will continue this evening and into the overnight hours across portions of the central and southern Plains. ...Central and southern Plains... Widely scattered thunderstorms continue this evening across a broad portion of the central third of the CONUS. For the remainder of the period, two primary areas for severe-weather risk will include the southern Nebraska/northern and central Kansas vicinity, and across parts of Oklahoma southward across much of Texas. Across the Nebraska and Kansas region, a couple of supercell storms persist across western Kansas, while additional convection continues to develop across east-central Colorado. Upscale growth/expansion of the Colorado storms is expected with time in response to a strengthening low-level jet, spreading eastward across southern Nebraska/northern Kansas into the overnight hours. Hail should become the primary severe threat with much of the convection well north of the surface boundary, but locally strong/damaging wind gusts may also occur. Farther south across Texas, a broken band of severe/supercell storms is ongoing from northeastern portions of the Texas Panhandle so the South Plains, in the vicinity of a retreating dryline. Recent reports of severe weather including a tornado near Turkey have been received, and expect risk for very large hail and locally damaging wind gusts, along with a couple of tornadoes, to continue this evening. With time, upscale growth of this convection is expected, in conjunction with the strengthening of the low-level jet, spreading eastward with time along with ongoing severe risk into the overnight hours. Other clusters of strong/severe storms are occurring in the Concho Valley vicinity, over the Hill country, and portions of the Piney Woods region. This convection may also persist/spread eastward with time in the broad warm-advection regime, along with local risk for hail/wind this evening and overnight. ..Goss.. 05/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0809 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE SOUTH ACROSS THE CONCHO VALLEY AREA OF TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... All-hazards severe-weather risk will continue this evening and into the overnight hours across portions of the central and southern Plains. ...Central and southern Plains... Widely scattered thunderstorms continue this evening across a broad portion of the central third of the CONUS. For the remainder of the period, two primary areas for severe-weather risk will include the southern Nebraska/northern and central Kansas vicinity, and across parts of Oklahoma southward across much of Texas. Across the Nebraska and Kansas region, a couple of supercell storms persist across western Kansas, while additional convection continues to develop across east-central Colorado. Upscale growth/expansion of the Colorado storms is expected with time in response to a strengthening low-level jet, spreading eastward across southern Nebraska/northern Kansas into the overnight hours. Hail should become the primary severe threat with much of the convection well north of the surface boundary, but locally strong/damaging wind gusts may also occur. Farther south across Texas, a broken band of severe/supercell storms is ongoing from northeastern portions of the Texas Panhandle so the South Plains, in the vicinity of a retreating dryline. Recent reports of severe weather including a tornado near Turkey have been received, and expect risk for very large hail and locally damaging wind gusts, along with a couple of tornadoes, to continue this evening. With time, upscale growth of this convection is expected, in conjunction with the strengthening of the low-level jet, spreading eastward with time along with ongoing severe risk into the overnight hours. Other clusters of strong/severe storms are occurring in the Concho Valley vicinity, over the Hill country, and portions of the Piney Woods region. This convection may also persist/spread eastward with time in the broad warm-advection regime, along with local risk for hail/wind this evening and overnight. ..Goss.. 05/02/2024 Read more

WW 0170 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 170 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE 6R6 TO 50 SSE MAF TO 35 SSE LBB. ..SQUITIERI..05/02/24 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 170 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC033-081-105-151-227-235-335-353-383-413-415-431-435-451- 020240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BORDEN COKE CROCKETT FISHER HOWARD IRION MITCHELL NOLAN REAGAN SCHLEICHER SCURRY STERLING SUTTON TOM GREEN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0170 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 170 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE 6R6 TO 50 SSE MAF TO 35 SSE LBB. ..SQUITIERI..05/02/24 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 170 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC033-081-105-151-227-235-335-353-383-413-415-431-435-451- 020240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BORDEN COKE CROCKETT FISHER HOWARD IRION MITCHELL NOLAN REAGAN SCHLEICHER SCURRY STERLING SUTTON TOM GREEN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0170 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 170 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE 6R6 TO 50 SSE MAF TO 35 SSE LBB. ..SQUITIERI..05/02/24 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 170 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC033-081-105-151-227-235-335-353-383-413-415-431-435-451- 020240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BORDEN COKE CROCKETT FISHER HOWARD IRION MITCHELL NOLAN REAGAN SCHLEICHER SCURRY STERLING SUTTON TOM GREEN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0170 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 170 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE 6R6 TO 50 SSE MAF TO 35 SSE LBB. ..SQUITIERI..05/02/24 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 170 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC033-081-105-151-227-235-335-353-383-413-415-431-435-451- 020240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BORDEN COKE CROCKETT FISHER HOWARD IRION MITCHELL NOLAN REAGAN SCHLEICHER SCURRY STERLING SUTTON TOM GREEN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0170 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 170 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE 6R6 TO 50 SSE MAF TO 35 SSE LBB. ..SQUITIERI..05/02/24 ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 170 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC033-081-105-151-227-235-335-353-383-413-415-431-435-451- 020240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BORDEN COKE CROCKETT FISHER HOWARD IRION MITCHELL NOLAN REAGAN SCHLEICHER SCURRY STERLING SUTTON TOM GREEN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 170 SEVERE TSTM TX 011825Z - 020200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 170 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 125 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of West Texas * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 125 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 80 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will intensify this afternoon along the dryline, tracking eastward through the early evening. Very large hail and damaging winds are possible, along with an isolated tornado or two. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles north northeast of Big Spring TX to 40 miles southwest of Dryden TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 25030. ...Hart Read more

WW 0174 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0174 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0174 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0174 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0174 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0174 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0171 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 171 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 N BGS TO 30 E LBB TO 20 NNW PVW. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0596 ..SQUITIERI..05/02/24 ATTN...WFO...AMA...OUN...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 171 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC007-009-045-055-057-065-129-153-020240- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAVER BECKHAM ELLIS GREER HARMON JACKSON ROGER MILLS WOODWARD TXC011-045-065-075-087-101-107-125-129-153-155-169-179-191-195- 197-211-233-263-269-275-295-345-357-393-433-437-483-020240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARMSTRONG BRISCOE CARSON CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE CROSBY DICKENS DONLEY FLOYD FOARD GARZA GRAY HALL HANSFORD HARDEMAN HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON KENT KING KNOX Read more

WW 0172 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 172 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SQUITIERI..05/02/24 ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...GLD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 172 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC007-009-025-033-047-051-055-057-063-067-069-081-083-093-097- 101-109-119-135-145-151-165-167-171-175-185-189-195-203- 020140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARBER BARTON CLARK COMANCHE EDWARDS ELLIS FINNEY FORD GOVE GRANT GRAY HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY KIOWA LANE LOGAN MEADE NESS PAWNEE PRATT RUSH RUSSELL SCOTT SEWARD STAFFORD STEVENS TREGO WICHITA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

MD 0593 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 170... FOR SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0593 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0658 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024 Areas affected...southwestern Texas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 170... Valid 012358Z - 020100Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 170 continues. SUMMARY...Severe threat continues within WW170. Instances of severe hail and damaging wind will continue over the next couple of hours. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm activity continues in the northern and southern portions of WW170. To the north, clustered cell activity with transient supercell structures will continue to support risk of instances of large hail and damaging wind. Recent reports of hail as large as 1.5 in and gusts 50+ mph have been noted in this region. Further south, storms have made attempts to grow upscale along outflow, which will likely support a shift to increase in threat for damaging wind (possibly as high as 70 mph) threat in the short term, though instances of large hail will be possible. Activity is largely supported dryline forcing and will likely wane in coverage after sunset with the end of daytime heating. The propensity for anvil spread downwind has also likely limited the threat of further development with eastern extent, as witnessed by meager development along a northward moving outflow boundary near Upton and Reagan Counties. ..Thornton/Guyer.. 05/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF... LAT...LON 30130285 30890251 32380238 32890232 33020170 32930130 31940128 31340140 30550159 30080179 29820190 29750208 29750239 29880286 30130285 Read more

WW 0173 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0173 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

MD 0592 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 171... FOR EASTERN TX PANHANDLE...FAR NORTHWESTERN TX...FAR SOUTHWESTERN/WESTERN OK
Mesoscale Discussion 0592 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0607 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024 Areas affected...Eastern TX Panhandle...Far Northwestern TX...Far Southwestern/Western OK Concerning...Tornado Watch 171... Valid 012307Z - 020030Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 171 continues. SUMMARY...Threat for all severe hazards, including very large hail from 2.5" to 3.5" in diameter, strong gusts up to 75 mph, and tornadoes continues across the eastern TX Panhandle. DISCUSSION...Several supercells are currently ongoing across the eastern TX Panhandle, including a pair of tornadic storms, one over Roberts Ochiltree Counties in the northeast TX Panhandle and the other farther south in Briscoe and Hail Counties. Both of these storms, as well as the other supercells developing southwestward from the Panhandle into the Texas South Plains, are in a favorable environment for persistence. Main factor influencing overall updraft maintenance and storm persistence will be storm mergers/interactions. Some secondary influence from anvil shading and resulting boundary-layer cooling is possible, although this could be offset by continuing low-level moisture advection. The general expectation is for storms to persist, with perhaps one substantial storm eventually emerging out of the cluster over Briscoe and Hall Counties. Given the unimpeded inflow and anticipated strengthening of low-level flow, this storm would likely represent the best candidate for a significant severe weather, including very large hail, strong gusts, and tornadoes, over the next hour or two. Storm motion has been relatively slow thus far, generally 15 to 20 kt, with a few storm moving even slower. As such, this activity will likely remain in the eastern TX Panhandle (i.e. within Tornado Watch 171) for the next few hours. Even so, trends will be monitored for faster storm motion and the potential for activity to move into western OK earlier. ..Mosier.. 05/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA... LAT...LON 36030139 36650085 36369982 34399974 33330031 33380173 35130151 36030139 Read more