Aggregator

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1227 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will be moving northeast through the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest today. In the Southwest, a low-amplitude shortwave will pass by to the south. At the surface, a cold front will move southward into the southern High Plains and push cooler air against the southern Rockies. ...Southwest... Areas of dry and breezy conditions are probable for parts of the region. Perhaps an area where winds will be enhanced is in the southwest New Mexico vicinity. There, modestly stronger mid-level winds will be present along with some surface pressure gradient enhancement near the westward-moving cold front. Though relatively confined, elevated fire weather conditions are possible during the afternoon. Wind of around 15-20 mph and RH of 10-20% are expected. ..Wendt.. 05/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1227 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will be moving northeast through the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest today. In the Southwest, a low-amplitude shortwave will pass by to the south. At the surface, a cold front will move southward into the southern High Plains and push cooler air against the southern Rockies. ...Southwest... Areas of dry and breezy conditions are probable for parts of the region. Perhaps an area where winds will be enhanced is in the southwest New Mexico vicinity. There, modestly stronger mid-level winds will be present along with some surface pressure gradient enhancement near the westward-moving cold front. Though relatively confined, elevated fire weather conditions are possible during the afternoon. Wind of around 15-20 mph and RH of 10-20% are expected. ..Wendt.. 05/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1227 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will be moving northeast through the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest today. In the Southwest, a low-amplitude shortwave will pass by to the south. At the surface, a cold front will move southward into the southern High Plains and push cooler air against the southern Rockies. ...Southwest... Areas of dry and breezy conditions are probable for parts of the region. Perhaps an area where winds will be enhanced is in the southwest New Mexico vicinity. There, modestly stronger mid-level winds will be present along with some surface pressure gradient enhancement near the westward-moving cold front. Though relatively confined, elevated fire weather conditions are possible during the afternoon. Wind of around 15-20 mph and RH of 10-20% are expected. ..Wendt.. 05/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1227 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will be moving northeast through the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest today. In the Southwest, a low-amplitude shortwave will pass by to the south. At the surface, a cold front will move southward into the southern High Plains and push cooler air against the southern Rockies. ...Southwest... Areas of dry and breezy conditions are probable for parts of the region. Perhaps an area where winds will be enhanced is in the southwest New Mexico vicinity. There, modestly stronger mid-level winds will be present along with some surface pressure gradient enhancement near the westward-moving cold front. Though relatively confined, elevated fire weather conditions are possible during the afternoon. Wind of around 15-20 mph and RH of 10-20% are expected. ..Wendt.. 05/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

MD 0625 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 181...182... FOR PARTS OF SOUTHERN NEBRASKA AND ADJACENT NORTH-CENTRAL KANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0625 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1101 PM CDT Fri May 03 2024 Areas affected...parts of southern Nebraska and adjacent north-central Kansas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 181...182... Valid 040401Z - 040500Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 181, 182 continues. SUMMARY...A bowing band of severe storms -- capable of producing damaging wind gusts and possibly a brief tornado -- will continue moving eastward near and just north of the Nebraska/Kansas border. DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a bowing band of strong/severe storms crossing south-central Nebraska at this time. The convection is situated just east of a weak frontal wave, and riding along the surface warm front. With weaker instability with eastward extent, storms may diminish somewhat over the next 1 to 2 hours, though a slight east-southeastward turn -- along the instability gradient -- is also anticipated. Damaging wind gusts will be possible over the next 1 to 2 hours, along with potential for a brief tornado. ..Goss.. 05/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...GID... LAT...LON 39919865 40289850 40719867 40679791 40679751 40209710 39799741 39919865 Read more

WW 0181 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 181 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E HLC TO 35 SE HSI TO 25 ENE HSI TO 30 NNW GRI. ..GOSS..05/04/24 ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 181 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC089-123-141-163-183-040540- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE JEWELL MITCHELL OSBORNE ROOKS SMITH NEC035-059-081-121-129-169-185-040540- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLAY FILLMORE HAMILTON MERRICK NUCKOLLS THAYER YORK THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0181 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 181 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E HLC TO 35 SE HSI TO 25 ENE HSI TO 30 NNW GRI. ..GOSS..05/04/24 ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 181 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC089-123-141-163-183-040540- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE JEWELL MITCHELL OSBORNE ROOKS SMITH NEC035-059-081-121-129-169-185-040540- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLAY FILLMORE HAMILTON MERRICK NUCKOLLS THAYER YORK THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0181 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 181 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E HLC TO 35 SE HSI TO 25 ENE HSI TO 30 NNW GRI. ..GOSS..05/04/24 ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 181 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC089-123-141-163-183-040540- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE JEWELL MITCHELL OSBORNE ROOKS SMITH NEC035-059-081-121-129-169-185-040540- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLAY FILLMORE HAMILTON MERRICK NUCKOLLS THAYER YORK THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0181 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 181 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E HLC TO 35 SE HSI TO 25 ENE HSI TO 30 NNW GRI. ..GOSS..05/04/24 ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 181 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC089-123-141-163-183-040540- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE JEWELL MITCHELL OSBORNE ROOKS SMITH NEC035-059-081-121-129-169-185-040540- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLAY FILLMORE HAMILTON MERRICK NUCKOLLS THAYER YORK THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0181 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 181 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E HLC TO 35 SE HSI TO 25 ENE HSI TO 30 NNW GRI. ..GOSS..05/04/24 ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 181 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC089-123-141-163-183-040540- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE JEWELL MITCHELL OSBORNE ROOKS SMITH NEC035-059-081-121-129-169-185-040540- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLAY FILLMORE HAMILTON MERRICK NUCKOLLS THAYER YORK THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 181 SEVERE TSTM CO KS NE 032250Z - 040500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 181 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 450 PM MDT Fri May 3 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northeast Colorado Northern Kansas Southwest and Central Nebraska * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 450 PM until 1100 PM MDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Bands of storms will continue to increase in coverage and intensity through early/mid-evening, initially across southwest Nebraska and far northeast Colorado into northwest Kansas. Damaging winds and severe hail are the primary hazards. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles north of Burlington CO to 30 miles east southeast of Hastings NE. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 178...WW 179...WW 180... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27025. ...Guyer Read more

WW 0182 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 182 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..GOSS..05/04/24 ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...OAX...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 182 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC009-017-027-029-041-053-061-077-079-095-105-113-115-117-127- 131-143-149-155-157-159-161-167-169-173-191-197-201-040540- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARTON CHASE CLAY CLOUD DICKINSON ELLSWORTH GEARY HARPER HARVEY KINGMAN LINCOLN MCPHERSON MARION MARSHALL MORRIS NEMAHA OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE RENO REPUBLIC RICE RILEY RUSSELL SALINE SEDGWICK SUMNER WABAUNSEE WASHINGTON NEC067-095-097-109-131-133-151-159-040540- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GAGE JEFFERSON JOHNSON LANCASTER OTOE PAWNEE SALINE SEWARD Read more

WW 0182 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 182 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..GOSS..05/04/24 ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...OAX...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 182 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC009-017-027-029-041-053-061-077-079-095-105-113-115-117-127- 131-143-149-155-157-159-161-167-169-173-191-197-201-040540- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARTON CHASE CLAY CLOUD DICKINSON ELLSWORTH GEARY HARPER HARVEY KINGMAN LINCOLN MCPHERSON MARION MARSHALL MORRIS NEMAHA OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE RENO REPUBLIC RICE RILEY RUSSELL SALINE SEDGWICK SUMNER WABAUNSEE WASHINGTON NEC067-095-097-109-131-133-151-159-040540- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GAGE JEFFERSON JOHNSON LANCASTER OTOE PAWNEE SALINE SEWARD Read more

WW 0182 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 182 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..GOSS..05/04/24 ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...OAX...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 182 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC009-017-027-029-041-053-061-077-079-095-105-113-115-117-127- 131-143-149-155-157-159-161-167-169-173-191-197-201-040540- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARTON CHASE CLAY CLOUD DICKINSON ELLSWORTH GEARY HARPER HARVEY KINGMAN LINCOLN MCPHERSON MARION MARSHALL MORRIS NEMAHA OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE RENO REPUBLIC RICE RILEY RUSSELL SALINE SEDGWICK SUMNER WABAUNSEE WASHINGTON NEC067-095-097-109-131-133-151-159-040540- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GAGE JEFFERSON JOHNSON LANCASTER OTOE PAWNEE SALINE SEWARD Read more

WW 0182 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 182 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..GOSS..05/04/24 ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...OAX...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 182 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC009-017-027-029-041-053-061-077-079-095-105-113-115-117-127- 131-143-149-155-157-159-161-167-169-173-191-197-201-040540- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARTON CHASE CLAY CLOUD DICKINSON ELLSWORTH GEARY HARPER HARVEY KINGMAN LINCOLN MCPHERSON MARION MARSHALL MORRIS NEMAHA OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE RENO REPUBLIC RICE RILEY RUSSELL SALINE SEDGWICK SUMNER WABAUNSEE WASHINGTON NEC067-095-097-109-131-133-151-159-040540- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GAGE JEFFERSON JOHNSON LANCASTER OTOE PAWNEE SALINE SEWARD Read more

WW 0182 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 182 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..GOSS..05/04/24 ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...OAX...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 182 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC009-017-027-029-041-053-061-077-079-095-105-113-115-117-127- 131-143-149-155-157-159-161-167-169-173-191-197-201-040540- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARTON CHASE CLAY CLOUD DICKINSON ELLSWORTH GEARY HARPER HARVEY KINGMAN LINCOLN MCPHERSON MARION MARSHALL MORRIS NEMAHA OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE RENO REPUBLIC RICE RILEY RUSSELL SALINE SEDGWICK SUMNER WABAUNSEE WASHINGTON NEC067-095-097-109-131-133-151-159-040540- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GAGE JEFFERSON JOHNSON LANCASTER OTOE PAWNEE SALINE SEWARD Read more

WW 182 SEVERE TSTM KS NE OK 040245Z - 040900Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 182 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 945 PM CDT Fri May 3 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Central and Northeast Kansas Southeast Nebraska Northern Oklahoma * Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 945 PM until 400 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Multiple well-organized squall lines will continue to progress eastward into the overnight within an increasingly moist air mass across southern Nebraska/far northern Kansas as well as central Kansas. Other areas of strong to severe storms will likely persist across northern Oklahoma. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles north northeast of Beatrice NE to 85 miles southwest of Enid OK. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 178...WW 179...WW 180...WW 181... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 26035. ...Guyer Read more

MD 0624 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 179... FOR PORTIONS OF THE EDWARDS PLATEAU OF TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0624 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0938 PM CDT Fri May 03 2024 Areas affected...portions of the Edwards Plateau of Texas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 179... Valid 040238Z - 040445Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 179 continues. SUMMARY...Local severe risk may continue for another 1 to 2 hours. While a local extension of the WW in time may be needed locally, new WW issuance is not expected. DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows storms gradually diminishing in general across the region, in and near WW 179. The strongest storms are ongoing now over the Kimble county vicinity, where large hail is indicated per recent WSR-88D data. While an overall decrease in storms should continue, and is supported by various CAMs, the Kimble county convection may continue for the next hour or two, shifting slowly southward/south-southeastward with time. Severe risk in this area appears sufficient to warrant a local extension of WW 179 beyond its scheduled 04/03Z expiration. ..Goss.. 05/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT... LAT...LON 29700017 30740041 30899982 30739938 30329924 29939919 29700017 Read more

MD 0623 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH LIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA...CENTRAL KANSAS...SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA
Mesoscale Discussion 0623 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0926 PM CDT Fri May 03 2024 Areas affected...Portions of northwest Oklahoma...central Kansas...southeast Nebraska Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely Valid 040226Z - 040430Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...The environment should remain supportive of large hail and severe wind gusts over the next few hours. A low-end tornado threat will also exist, particularly for remaining discrete storms. A new severe thunderstorm watch is likely. DISCUSSION...Convection within the central/southern Plains continues to move eastward this evening. Regional VAD wind show and increase in the low-level jet (40-50 kts). Along with the low-level jet, 60+ F dewpoints and observed steep mid-level lapse rates will continue to support some threat for large hail and severe wind gusts. Low-level hodograph curvature is evident on VAD wind profiles as well. Some tornado threat will exist, though the primarily linear storm mode should limit a greater threat. A new severe thunderstorm watch will likely be needed for at least parts of areas from northwest Oklahoma into southeast Nebraska. ..Wendt/Guyer.. 05/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...ICT...OUN...GID...DDC...AMA... LAT...LON 39759800 40359737 40629696 40469657 39489649 38579701 37399791 35949880 35549936 35419993 36060004 37129925 38239881 39759800 Read more

WW 0180 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 180 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE CAO TO 30 SW SPD TO 25 SE LHX TO 45 NW GCK TO 25 SW HLC. ..GOSS..05/04/24 ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...DDC...ABQ...AMA... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 180 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC009-099-040440- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BACA PROWERS KSC007-025-033-047-051-055-057-063-067-069-075-081-083-093-097- 101-119-129-135-145-151-165-171-175-185-187-189-195-040440- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARBER CLARK COMANCHE EDWARDS ELLIS FINNEY FORD GOVE GRANT GRAY HAMILTON HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY KIOWA LANE MEADE MORTON NESS PAWNEE PRATT RUSH SCOTT SEWARD STAFFORD STANTON STEVENS TREGO Read more