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SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1236 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS INTO THE EDWARDS PLATEAU... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected across parts of the southern High Plains into the Hill Country of central Texas this afternoon and evening. Several storms may produce very large hail, and a couple strong tornadoes are possible. ...Southern High Plains to the Hill Country of TX... Water-vapor imagery depicts a low-amplitude short-wave trough off the Baja Peninsula. This feature will advance across northern Mexico by early evening as a 500mb speed max translates toward the Big Bend of west TX, subsequently moving into central TX by 05/12z. A reservoir of very moist/unstable air will reside across south TX/Edwards Plateau into portions of west TX. Robust convection will easily develop ahead of the short wave and quickly become severe during the afternoon. Very large hail and the threat for tornadoes can reasonably be expected. Early this morning, surface pressures are building across the central Plains in the wake of ejecting northern-stream short-wave trough. Surface front will surge across the TX South Plains early in the period, and will likely arc along/near I-20 into southeast NM by 18z. Latest model guidance suggests strong boundary-layer heating will occur ahead of the wind shift across far west TX into the Trans Pecos. Forecast soundings, south of the front, suggest surface parcels will reach their convective temperatures by 20z, just east of the dryline. This feature will be forced deep into west TX and will be one of the foci for convective development, along with the cold front. Latest NAM PFC for INK at 20z exhibits MLCAPE on the order of 3500 J/kg with surface-6km bulk shear around 45kt. Scattered supercells will likely develop by mid afternoon and quickly attain severe levels. This activity will grow upscale and shift downstream, aided by the progressive short wave. In response to the short wave, LLJ is forecast to focus across west TX through early evening then strengthen and shift east toward the I-35 corridor by sunrise Sunday. Initial convective mode will be supercellular and very large hail can be expected. Additionally, moistening boundary layer will support tornadoes, possibly strong, as shear will be strong. With time, MCS is expected to mature and propagate toward central TX during the overnight hours. ..Darrow/Wendt.. 05/04/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1236 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS INTO THE EDWARDS PLATEAU... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected across parts of the southern High Plains into the Hill Country of central Texas this afternoon and evening. Several storms may produce very large hail, and a couple strong tornadoes are possible. ...Southern High Plains to the Hill Country of TX... Water-vapor imagery depicts a low-amplitude short-wave trough off the Baja Peninsula. This feature will advance across northern Mexico by early evening as a 500mb speed max translates toward the Big Bend of west TX, subsequently moving into central TX by 05/12z. A reservoir of very moist/unstable air will reside across south TX/Edwards Plateau into portions of west TX. Robust convection will easily develop ahead of the short wave and quickly become severe during the afternoon. Very large hail and the threat for tornadoes can reasonably be expected. Early this morning, surface pressures are building across the central Plains in the wake of ejecting northern-stream short-wave trough. Surface front will surge across the TX South Plains early in the period, and will likely arc along/near I-20 into southeast NM by 18z. Latest model guidance suggests strong boundary-layer heating will occur ahead of the wind shift across far west TX into the Trans Pecos. Forecast soundings, south of the front, suggest surface parcels will reach their convective temperatures by 20z, just east of the dryline. This feature will be forced deep into west TX and will be one of the foci for convective development, along with the cold front. Latest NAM PFC for INK at 20z exhibits MLCAPE on the order of 3500 J/kg with surface-6km bulk shear around 45kt. Scattered supercells will likely develop by mid afternoon and quickly attain severe levels. This activity will grow upscale and shift downstream, aided by the progressive short wave. In response to the short wave, LLJ is forecast to focus across west TX through early evening then strengthen and shift east toward the I-35 corridor by sunrise Sunday. Initial convective mode will be supercellular and very large hail can be expected. Additionally, moistening boundary layer will support tornadoes, possibly strong, as shear will be strong. With time, MCS is expected to mature and propagate toward central TX during the overnight hours. ..Darrow/Wendt.. 05/04/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1236 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS INTO THE EDWARDS PLATEAU... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected across parts of the southern High Plains into the Hill Country of central Texas this afternoon and evening. Several storms may produce very large hail, and a couple strong tornadoes are possible. ...Southern High Plains to the Hill Country of TX... Water-vapor imagery depicts a low-amplitude short-wave trough off the Baja Peninsula. This feature will advance across northern Mexico by early evening as a 500mb speed max translates toward the Big Bend of west TX, subsequently moving into central TX by 05/12z. A reservoir of very moist/unstable air will reside across south TX/Edwards Plateau into portions of west TX. Robust convection will easily develop ahead of the short wave and quickly become severe during the afternoon. Very large hail and the threat for tornadoes can reasonably be expected. Early this morning, surface pressures are building across the central Plains in the wake of ejecting northern-stream short-wave trough. Surface front will surge across the TX South Plains early in the period, and will likely arc along/near I-20 into southeast NM by 18z. Latest model guidance suggests strong boundary-layer heating will occur ahead of the wind shift across far west TX into the Trans Pecos. Forecast soundings, south of the front, suggest surface parcels will reach their convective temperatures by 20z, just east of the dryline. This feature will be forced deep into west TX and will be one of the foci for convective development, along with the cold front. Latest NAM PFC for INK at 20z exhibits MLCAPE on the order of 3500 J/kg with surface-6km bulk shear around 45kt. Scattered supercells will likely develop by mid afternoon and quickly attain severe levels. This activity will grow upscale and shift downstream, aided by the progressive short wave. In response to the short wave, LLJ is forecast to focus across west TX through early evening then strengthen and shift east toward the I-35 corridor by sunrise Sunday. Initial convective mode will be supercellular and very large hail can be expected. Additionally, moistening boundary layer will support tornadoes, possibly strong, as shear will be strong. With time, MCS is expected to mature and propagate toward central TX during the overnight hours. ..Darrow/Wendt.. 05/04/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1236 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS INTO THE EDWARDS PLATEAU... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected across parts of the southern High Plains into the Hill Country of central Texas this afternoon and evening. Several storms may produce very large hail, and a couple strong tornadoes are possible. ...Southern High Plains to the Hill Country of TX... Water-vapor imagery depicts a low-amplitude short-wave trough off the Baja Peninsula. This feature will advance across northern Mexico by early evening as a 500mb speed max translates toward the Big Bend of west TX, subsequently moving into central TX by 05/12z. A reservoir of very moist/unstable air will reside across south TX/Edwards Plateau into portions of west TX. Robust convection will easily develop ahead of the short wave and quickly become severe during the afternoon. Very large hail and the threat for tornadoes can reasonably be expected. Early this morning, surface pressures are building across the central Plains in the wake of ejecting northern-stream short-wave trough. Surface front will surge across the TX South Plains early in the period, and will likely arc along/near I-20 into southeast NM by 18z. Latest model guidance suggests strong boundary-layer heating will occur ahead of the wind shift across far west TX into the Trans Pecos. Forecast soundings, south of the front, suggest surface parcels will reach their convective temperatures by 20z, just east of the dryline. This feature will be forced deep into west TX and will be one of the foci for convective development, along with the cold front. Latest NAM PFC for INK at 20z exhibits MLCAPE on the order of 3500 J/kg with surface-6km bulk shear around 45kt. Scattered supercells will likely develop by mid afternoon and quickly attain severe levels. This activity will grow upscale and shift downstream, aided by the progressive short wave. In response to the short wave, LLJ is forecast to focus across west TX through early evening then strengthen and shift east toward the I-35 corridor by sunrise Sunday. Initial convective mode will be supercellular and very large hail can be expected. Additionally, moistening boundary layer will support tornadoes, possibly strong, as shear will be strong. With time, MCS is expected to mature and propagate toward central TX during the overnight hours. ..Darrow/Wendt.. 05/04/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1236 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS INTO THE EDWARDS PLATEAU... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected across parts of the southern High Plains into the Hill Country of central Texas this afternoon and evening. Several storms may produce very large hail, and a couple strong tornadoes are possible. ...Southern High Plains to the Hill Country of TX... Water-vapor imagery depicts a low-amplitude short-wave trough off the Baja Peninsula. This feature will advance across northern Mexico by early evening as a 500mb speed max translates toward the Big Bend of west TX, subsequently moving into central TX by 05/12z. A reservoir of very moist/unstable air will reside across south TX/Edwards Plateau into portions of west TX. Robust convection will easily develop ahead of the short wave and quickly become severe during the afternoon. Very large hail and the threat for tornadoes can reasonably be expected. Early this morning, surface pressures are building across the central Plains in the wake of ejecting northern-stream short-wave trough. Surface front will surge across the TX South Plains early in the period, and will likely arc along/near I-20 into southeast NM by 18z. Latest model guidance suggests strong boundary-layer heating will occur ahead of the wind shift across far west TX into the Trans Pecos. Forecast soundings, south of the front, suggest surface parcels will reach their convective temperatures by 20z, just east of the dryline. This feature will be forced deep into west TX and will be one of the foci for convective development, along with the cold front. Latest NAM PFC for INK at 20z exhibits MLCAPE on the order of 3500 J/kg with surface-6km bulk shear around 45kt. Scattered supercells will likely develop by mid afternoon and quickly attain severe levels. This activity will grow upscale and shift downstream, aided by the progressive short wave. In response to the short wave, LLJ is forecast to focus across west TX through early evening then strengthen and shift east toward the I-35 corridor by sunrise Sunday. Initial convective mode will be supercellular and very large hail can be expected. Additionally, moistening boundary layer will support tornadoes, possibly strong, as shear will be strong. With time, MCS is expected to mature and propagate toward central TX during the overnight hours. ..Darrow/Wendt.. 05/04/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1236 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS INTO THE EDWARDS PLATEAU... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected across parts of the southern High Plains into the Hill Country of central Texas this afternoon and evening. Several storms may produce very large hail, and a couple strong tornadoes are possible. ...Southern High Plains to the Hill Country of TX... Water-vapor imagery depicts a low-amplitude short-wave trough off the Baja Peninsula. This feature will advance across northern Mexico by early evening as a 500mb speed max translates toward the Big Bend of west TX, subsequently moving into central TX by 05/12z. A reservoir of very moist/unstable air will reside across south TX/Edwards Plateau into portions of west TX. Robust convection will easily develop ahead of the short wave and quickly become severe during the afternoon. Very large hail and the threat for tornadoes can reasonably be expected. Early this morning, surface pressures are building across the central Plains in the wake of ejecting northern-stream short-wave trough. Surface front will surge across the TX South Plains early in the period, and will likely arc along/near I-20 into southeast NM by 18z. Latest model guidance suggests strong boundary-layer heating will occur ahead of the wind shift across far west TX into the Trans Pecos. Forecast soundings, south of the front, suggest surface parcels will reach their convective temperatures by 20z, just east of the dryline. This feature will be forced deep into west TX and will be one of the foci for convective development, along with the cold front. Latest NAM PFC for INK at 20z exhibits MLCAPE on the order of 3500 J/kg with surface-6km bulk shear around 45kt. Scattered supercells will likely develop by mid afternoon and quickly attain severe levels. This activity will grow upscale and shift downstream, aided by the progressive short wave. In response to the short wave, LLJ is forecast to focus across west TX through early evening then strengthen and shift east toward the I-35 corridor by sunrise Sunday. Initial convective mode will be supercellular and very large hail can be expected. Additionally, moistening boundary layer will support tornadoes, possibly strong, as shear will be strong. With time, MCS is expected to mature and propagate toward central TX during the overnight hours. ..Darrow/Wendt.. 05/04/2024 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1227 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHEAST ARIZONA INTO CENTRAL NEW MEXICO... ...Synopsis... A stronger trough will approach the Four Corners on Sunday. As this occurs, a deep surface low will develop in the northern Rockies/High Plains with a trough extending into the southern High Plains. ...Southwest... Surface winds will increase through the day as the surface low/trough deepens. This, in combination with the approach of stronger mid-level winds during the afternoon, will promote elevated to critical fire weather from parts of eastern Arizona into much of central New Mexico. RH of 10-15% will be common with some localized single digit values possible. Winds of 15-25 mph will also be possible--higher speeds being more likely in terrain-favored areas. The eastern extent of the fire weather threat will be determined by how far west moisture pushes as well as where precipitation falls on Saturday. ..Wendt.. 05/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1227 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHEAST ARIZONA INTO CENTRAL NEW MEXICO... ...Synopsis... A stronger trough will approach the Four Corners on Sunday. As this occurs, a deep surface low will develop in the northern Rockies/High Plains with a trough extending into the southern High Plains. ...Southwest... Surface winds will increase through the day as the surface low/trough deepens. This, in combination with the approach of stronger mid-level winds during the afternoon, will promote elevated to critical fire weather from parts of eastern Arizona into much of central New Mexico. RH of 10-15% will be common with some localized single digit values possible. Winds of 15-25 mph will also be possible--higher speeds being more likely in terrain-favored areas. The eastern extent of the fire weather threat will be determined by how far west moisture pushes as well as where precipitation falls on Saturday. ..Wendt.. 05/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1227 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHEAST ARIZONA INTO CENTRAL NEW MEXICO... ...Synopsis... A stronger trough will approach the Four Corners on Sunday. As this occurs, a deep surface low will develop in the northern Rockies/High Plains with a trough extending into the southern High Plains. ...Southwest... Surface winds will increase through the day as the surface low/trough deepens. This, in combination with the approach of stronger mid-level winds during the afternoon, will promote elevated to critical fire weather from parts of eastern Arizona into much of central New Mexico. RH of 10-15% will be common with some localized single digit values possible. Winds of 15-25 mph will also be possible--higher speeds being more likely in terrain-favored areas. The eastern extent of the fire weather threat will be determined by how far west moisture pushes as well as where precipitation falls on Saturday. ..Wendt.. 05/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1227 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHEAST ARIZONA INTO CENTRAL NEW MEXICO... ...Synopsis... A stronger trough will approach the Four Corners on Sunday. As this occurs, a deep surface low will develop in the northern Rockies/High Plains with a trough extending into the southern High Plains. ...Southwest... Surface winds will increase through the day as the surface low/trough deepens. This, in combination with the approach of stronger mid-level winds during the afternoon, will promote elevated to critical fire weather from parts of eastern Arizona into much of central New Mexico. RH of 10-15% will be common with some localized single digit values possible. Winds of 15-25 mph will also be possible--higher speeds being more likely in terrain-favored areas. The eastern extent of the fire weather threat will be determined by how far west moisture pushes as well as where precipitation falls on Saturday. ..Wendt.. 05/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1227 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHEAST ARIZONA INTO CENTRAL NEW MEXICO... ...Synopsis... A stronger trough will approach the Four Corners on Sunday. As this occurs, a deep surface low will develop in the northern Rockies/High Plains with a trough extending into the southern High Plains. ...Southwest... Surface winds will increase through the day as the surface low/trough deepens. This, in combination with the approach of stronger mid-level winds during the afternoon, will promote elevated to critical fire weather from parts of eastern Arizona into much of central New Mexico. RH of 10-15% will be common with some localized single digit values possible. Winds of 15-25 mph will also be possible--higher speeds being more likely in terrain-favored areas. The eastern extent of the fire weather threat will be determined by how far west moisture pushes as well as where precipitation falls on Saturday. ..Wendt.. 05/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1227 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHEAST ARIZONA INTO CENTRAL NEW MEXICO... ...Synopsis... A stronger trough will approach the Four Corners on Sunday. As this occurs, a deep surface low will develop in the northern Rockies/High Plains with a trough extending into the southern High Plains. ...Southwest... Surface winds will increase through the day as the surface low/trough deepens. This, in combination with the approach of stronger mid-level winds during the afternoon, will promote elevated to critical fire weather from parts of eastern Arizona into much of central New Mexico. RH of 10-15% will be common with some localized single digit values possible. Winds of 15-25 mph will also be possible--higher speeds being more likely in terrain-favored areas. The eastern extent of the fire weather threat will be determined by how far west moisture pushes as well as where precipitation falls on Saturday. ..Wendt.. 05/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1227 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHEAST ARIZONA INTO CENTRAL NEW MEXICO... ...Synopsis... A stronger trough will approach the Four Corners on Sunday. As this occurs, a deep surface low will develop in the northern Rockies/High Plains with a trough extending into the southern High Plains. ...Southwest... Surface winds will increase through the day as the surface low/trough deepens. This, in combination with the approach of stronger mid-level winds during the afternoon, will promote elevated to critical fire weather from parts of eastern Arizona into much of central New Mexico. RH of 10-15% will be common with some localized single digit values possible. Winds of 15-25 mph will also be possible--higher speeds being more likely in terrain-favored areas. The eastern extent of the fire weather threat will be determined by how far west moisture pushes as well as where precipitation falls on Saturday. ..Wendt.. 05/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1227 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHEAST ARIZONA INTO CENTRAL NEW MEXICO... ...Synopsis... A stronger trough will approach the Four Corners on Sunday. As this occurs, a deep surface low will develop in the northern Rockies/High Plains with a trough extending into the southern High Plains. ...Southwest... Surface winds will increase through the day as the surface low/trough deepens. This, in combination with the approach of stronger mid-level winds during the afternoon, will promote elevated to critical fire weather from parts of eastern Arizona into much of central New Mexico. RH of 10-15% will be common with some localized single digit values possible. Winds of 15-25 mph will also be possible--higher speeds being more likely in terrain-favored areas. The eastern extent of the fire weather threat will be determined by how far west moisture pushes as well as where precipitation falls on Saturday. ..Wendt.. 05/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1227 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHEAST ARIZONA INTO CENTRAL NEW MEXICO... ...Synopsis... A stronger trough will approach the Four Corners on Sunday. As this occurs, a deep surface low will develop in the northern Rockies/High Plains with a trough extending into the southern High Plains. ...Southwest... Surface winds will increase through the day as the surface low/trough deepens. This, in combination with the approach of stronger mid-level winds during the afternoon, will promote elevated to critical fire weather from parts of eastern Arizona into much of central New Mexico. RH of 10-15% will be common with some localized single digit values possible. Winds of 15-25 mph will also be possible--higher speeds being more likely in terrain-favored areas. The eastern extent of the fire weather threat will be determined by how far west moisture pushes as well as where precipitation falls on Saturday. ..Wendt.. 05/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1227 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will be moving northeast through the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest today. In the Southwest, a low-amplitude shortwave will pass by to the south. At the surface, a cold front will move southward into the southern High Plains and push cooler air against the southern Rockies. ...Southwest... Areas of dry and breezy conditions are probable for parts of the region. Perhaps an area where winds will be enhanced is in the southwest New Mexico vicinity. There, modestly stronger mid-level winds will be present along with some surface pressure gradient enhancement near the westward-moving cold front. Though relatively confined, elevated fire weather conditions are possible during the afternoon. Wind of around 15-20 mph and RH of 10-20% are expected. ..Wendt.. 05/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1227 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will be moving northeast through the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest today. In the Southwest, a low-amplitude shortwave will pass by to the south. At the surface, a cold front will move southward into the southern High Plains and push cooler air against the southern Rockies. ...Southwest... Areas of dry and breezy conditions are probable for parts of the region. Perhaps an area where winds will be enhanced is in the southwest New Mexico vicinity. There, modestly stronger mid-level winds will be present along with some surface pressure gradient enhancement near the westward-moving cold front. Though relatively confined, elevated fire weather conditions are possible during the afternoon. Wind of around 15-20 mph and RH of 10-20% are expected. ..Wendt.. 05/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1227 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will be moving northeast through the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest today. In the Southwest, a low-amplitude shortwave will pass by to the south. At the surface, a cold front will move southward into the southern High Plains and push cooler air against the southern Rockies. ...Southwest... Areas of dry and breezy conditions are probable for parts of the region. Perhaps an area where winds will be enhanced is in the southwest New Mexico vicinity. There, modestly stronger mid-level winds will be present along with some surface pressure gradient enhancement near the westward-moving cold front. Though relatively confined, elevated fire weather conditions are possible during the afternoon. Wind of around 15-20 mph and RH of 10-20% are expected. ..Wendt.. 05/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1227 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will be moving northeast through the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest today. In the Southwest, a low-amplitude shortwave will pass by to the south. At the surface, a cold front will move southward into the southern High Plains and push cooler air against the southern Rockies. ...Southwest... Areas of dry and breezy conditions are probable for parts of the region. Perhaps an area where winds will be enhanced is in the southwest New Mexico vicinity. There, modestly stronger mid-level winds will be present along with some surface pressure gradient enhancement near the westward-moving cold front. Though relatively confined, elevated fire weather conditions are possible during the afternoon. Wind of around 15-20 mph and RH of 10-20% are expected. ..Wendt.. 05/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1227 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will be moving northeast through the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest today. In the Southwest, a low-amplitude shortwave will pass by to the south. At the surface, a cold front will move southward into the southern High Plains and push cooler air against the southern Rockies. ...Southwest... Areas of dry and breezy conditions are probable for parts of the region. Perhaps an area where winds will be enhanced is in the southwest New Mexico vicinity. There, modestly stronger mid-level winds will be present along with some surface pressure gradient enhancement near the westward-moving cold front. Though relatively confined, elevated fire weather conditions are possible during the afternoon. Wind of around 15-20 mph and RH of 10-20% are expected. ..Wendt.. 05/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more