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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0351 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Valid 301200Z - 051200Z ... Large-scale fire-weather conditions look to be minimal over the next week ... A mid-level ridge across the Intermountain West early in the week will give way to a broadly zonal pattern by late week. No synoptic-scale troughs are expected to traverse through the flow, leaving little mid-to-upper-level support for increased surface winds across the Southwest. That said, smaller-scale perturbations in the zonal flow, particularly those moving along the northern periphery of the subtropical ridge, may result in locally elevated-to-critical fire weather conditions on any given day -- especially given the single-digit relative humidity. By early next week (Days 7/8), numerical guidance suggests a larger-scale trough will move through the northern United States. The exact timing/evolution/path of this trough will determine if an increase in synoptic-scale surface winds across the Southwest will occur. Presently, numerical guidance continues to indicate widespread uncertainty in timing/strength/location of this developing trough. Early next week will bear watching in future updates as it pertains to potentially needing probabilities of critical fire weather conditions. ..Marsh.. 05/28/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0351 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Valid 301200Z - 051200Z ... Large-scale fire-weather conditions look to be minimal over the next week ... A mid-level ridge across the Intermountain West early in the week will give way to a broadly zonal pattern by late week. No synoptic-scale troughs are expected to traverse through the flow, leaving little mid-to-upper-level support for increased surface winds across the Southwest. That said, smaller-scale perturbations in the zonal flow, particularly those moving along the northern periphery of the subtropical ridge, may result in locally elevated-to-critical fire weather conditions on any given day -- especially given the single-digit relative humidity. By early next week (Days 7/8), numerical guidance suggests a larger-scale trough will move through the northern United States. The exact timing/evolution/path of this trough will determine if an increase in synoptic-scale surface winds across the Southwest will occur. Presently, numerical guidance continues to indicate widespread uncertainty in timing/strength/location of this developing trough. Early next week will bear watching in future updates as it pertains to potentially needing probabilities of critical fire weather conditions. ..Marsh.. 05/28/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0351 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Valid 301200Z - 051200Z ... Large-scale fire-weather conditions look to be minimal over the next week ... A mid-level ridge across the Intermountain West early in the week will give way to a broadly zonal pattern by late week. No synoptic-scale troughs are expected to traverse through the flow, leaving little mid-to-upper-level support for increased surface winds across the Southwest. That said, smaller-scale perturbations in the zonal flow, particularly those moving along the northern periphery of the subtropical ridge, may result in locally elevated-to-critical fire weather conditions on any given day -- especially given the single-digit relative humidity. By early next week (Days 7/8), numerical guidance suggests a larger-scale trough will move through the northern United States. The exact timing/evolution/path of this trough will determine if an increase in synoptic-scale surface winds across the Southwest will occur. Presently, numerical guidance continues to indicate widespread uncertainty in timing/strength/location of this developing trough. Early next week will bear watching in future updates as it pertains to potentially needing probabilities of critical fire weather conditions. ..Marsh.. 05/28/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0351 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Valid 301200Z - 051200Z ... Large-scale fire-weather conditions look to be minimal over the next week ... A mid-level ridge across the Intermountain West early in the week will give way to a broadly zonal pattern by late week. No synoptic-scale troughs are expected to traverse through the flow, leaving little mid-to-upper-level support for increased surface winds across the Southwest. That said, smaller-scale perturbations in the zonal flow, particularly those moving along the northern periphery of the subtropical ridge, may result in locally elevated-to-critical fire weather conditions on any given day -- especially given the single-digit relative humidity. By early next week (Days 7/8), numerical guidance suggests a larger-scale trough will move through the northern United States. The exact timing/evolution/path of this trough will determine if an increase in synoptic-scale surface winds across the Southwest will occur. Presently, numerical guidance continues to indicate widespread uncertainty in timing/strength/location of this developing trough. Early next week will bear watching in future updates as it pertains to potentially needing probabilities of critical fire weather conditions. ..Marsh.. 05/28/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0351 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Valid 301200Z - 051200Z ... Large-scale fire-weather conditions look to be minimal over the next week ... A mid-level ridge across the Intermountain West early in the week will give way to a broadly zonal pattern by late week. No synoptic-scale troughs are expected to traverse through the flow, leaving little mid-to-upper-level support for increased surface winds across the Southwest. That said, smaller-scale perturbations in the zonal flow, particularly those moving along the northern periphery of the subtropical ridge, may result in locally elevated-to-critical fire weather conditions on any given day -- especially given the single-digit relative humidity. By early next week (Days 7/8), numerical guidance suggests a larger-scale trough will move through the northern United States. The exact timing/evolution/path of this trough will determine if an increase in synoptic-scale surface winds across the Southwest will occur. Presently, numerical guidance continues to indicate widespread uncertainty in timing/strength/location of this developing trough. Early next week will bear watching in future updates as it pertains to potentially needing probabilities of critical fire weather conditions. ..Marsh.. 05/28/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0351 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Valid 301200Z - 051200Z ... Large-scale fire-weather conditions look to be minimal over the next week ... A mid-level ridge across the Intermountain West early in the week will give way to a broadly zonal pattern by late week. No synoptic-scale troughs are expected to traverse through the flow, leaving little mid-to-upper-level support for increased surface winds across the Southwest. That said, smaller-scale perturbations in the zonal flow, particularly those moving along the northern periphery of the subtropical ridge, may result in locally elevated-to-critical fire weather conditions on any given day -- especially given the single-digit relative humidity. By early next week (Days 7/8), numerical guidance suggests a larger-scale trough will move through the northern United States. The exact timing/evolution/path of this trough will determine if an increase in synoptic-scale surface winds across the Southwest will occur. Presently, numerical guidance continues to indicate widespread uncertainty in timing/strength/location of this developing trough. Early next week will bear watching in future updates as it pertains to potentially needing probabilities of critical fire weather conditions. ..Marsh.. 05/28/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0351 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Valid 301200Z - 051200Z ... Large-scale fire-weather conditions look to be minimal over the next week ... A mid-level ridge across the Intermountain West early in the week will give way to a broadly zonal pattern by late week. No synoptic-scale troughs are expected to traverse through the flow, leaving little mid-to-upper-level support for increased surface winds across the Southwest. That said, smaller-scale perturbations in the zonal flow, particularly those moving along the northern periphery of the subtropical ridge, may result in locally elevated-to-critical fire weather conditions on any given day -- especially given the single-digit relative humidity. By early next week (Days 7/8), numerical guidance suggests a larger-scale trough will move through the northern United States. The exact timing/evolution/path of this trough will determine if an increase in synoptic-scale surface winds across the Southwest will occur. Presently, numerical guidance continues to indicate widespread uncertainty in timing/strength/location of this developing trough. Early next week will bear watching in future updates as it pertains to potentially needing probabilities of critical fire weather conditions. ..Marsh.. 05/28/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0351 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Valid 301200Z - 051200Z ... Large-scale fire-weather conditions look to be minimal over the next week ... A mid-level ridge across the Intermountain West early in the week will give way to a broadly zonal pattern by late week. No synoptic-scale troughs are expected to traverse through the flow, leaving little mid-to-upper-level support for increased surface winds across the Southwest. That said, smaller-scale perturbations in the zonal flow, particularly those moving along the northern periphery of the subtropical ridge, may result in locally elevated-to-critical fire weather conditions on any given day -- especially given the single-digit relative humidity. By early next week (Days 7/8), numerical guidance suggests a larger-scale trough will move through the northern United States. The exact timing/evolution/path of this trough will determine if an increase in synoptic-scale surface winds across the Southwest will occur. Presently, numerical guidance continues to indicate widespread uncertainty in timing/strength/location of this developing trough. Early next week will bear watching in future updates as it pertains to potentially needing probabilities of critical fire weather conditions. ..Marsh.. 05/28/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0351 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Valid 301200Z - 051200Z ... Large-scale fire-weather conditions look to be minimal over the next week ... A mid-level ridge across the Intermountain West early in the week will give way to a broadly zonal pattern by late week. No synoptic-scale troughs are expected to traverse through the flow, leaving little mid-to-upper-level support for increased surface winds across the Southwest. That said, smaller-scale perturbations in the zonal flow, particularly those moving along the northern periphery of the subtropical ridge, may result in locally elevated-to-critical fire weather conditions on any given day -- especially given the single-digit relative humidity. By early next week (Days 7/8), numerical guidance suggests a larger-scale trough will move through the northern United States. The exact timing/evolution/path of this trough will determine if an increase in synoptic-scale surface winds across the Southwest will occur. Presently, numerical guidance continues to indicate widespread uncertainty in timing/strength/location of this developing trough. Early next week will bear watching in future updates as it pertains to potentially needing probabilities of critical fire weather conditions. ..Marsh.. 05/28/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0351 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Valid 301200Z - 051200Z ... Large-scale fire-weather conditions look to be minimal over the next week ... A mid-level ridge across the Intermountain West early in the week will give way to a broadly zonal pattern by late week. No synoptic-scale troughs are expected to traverse through the flow, leaving little mid-to-upper-level support for increased surface winds across the Southwest. That said, smaller-scale perturbations in the zonal flow, particularly those moving along the northern periphery of the subtropical ridge, may result in locally elevated-to-critical fire weather conditions on any given day -- especially given the single-digit relative humidity. By early next week (Days 7/8), numerical guidance suggests a larger-scale trough will move through the northern United States. The exact timing/evolution/path of this trough will determine if an increase in synoptic-scale surface winds across the Southwest will occur. Presently, numerical guidance continues to indicate widespread uncertainty in timing/strength/location of this developing trough. Early next week will bear watching in future updates as it pertains to potentially needing probabilities of critical fire weather conditions. ..Marsh.. 05/28/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0351 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Valid 301200Z - 051200Z ... Large-scale fire-weather conditions look to be minimal over the next week ... A mid-level ridge across the Intermountain West early in the week will give way to a broadly zonal pattern by late week. No synoptic-scale troughs are expected to traverse through the flow, leaving little mid-to-upper-level support for increased surface winds across the Southwest. That said, smaller-scale perturbations in the zonal flow, particularly those moving along the northern periphery of the subtropical ridge, may result in locally elevated-to-critical fire weather conditions on any given day -- especially given the single-digit relative humidity. By early next week (Days 7/8), numerical guidance suggests a larger-scale trough will move through the northern United States. The exact timing/evolution/path of this trough will determine if an increase in synoptic-scale surface winds across the Southwest will occur. Presently, numerical guidance continues to indicate widespread uncertainty in timing/strength/location of this developing trough. Early next week will bear watching in future updates as it pertains to potentially needing probabilities of critical fire weather conditions. ..Marsh.. 05/28/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0351 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Valid 301200Z - 051200Z ... Large-scale fire-weather conditions look to be minimal over the next week ... A mid-level ridge across the Intermountain West early in the week will give way to a broadly zonal pattern by late week. No synoptic-scale troughs are expected to traverse through the flow, leaving little mid-to-upper-level support for increased surface winds across the Southwest. That said, smaller-scale perturbations in the zonal flow, particularly those moving along the northern periphery of the subtropical ridge, may result in locally elevated-to-critical fire weather conditions on any given day -- especially given the single-digit relative humidity. By early next week (Days 7/8), numerical guidance suggests a larger-scale trough will move through the northern United States. The exact timing/evolution/path of this trough will determine if an increase in synoptic-scale surface winds across the Southwest will occur. Presently, numerical guidance continues to indicate widespread uncertainty in timing/strength/location of this developing trough. Early next week will bear watching in future updates as it pertains to potentially needing probabilities of critical fire weather conditions. ..Marsh.. 05/28/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

MD 1049 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL TX AND THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST
Mesoscale Discussion 1049 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0159 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Areas affected...portions of south-central TX and the Middle Texas Coast Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 281859Z - 282100Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Thunderstorms may pose a risk for strong gusts and hail through late afternoon. Trends are being monitored for possible watch issuance. DISCUSSION...Isolated thunderstorms are ongoing along an outflow boundary approaching the Middle Texas Coast vicinity. Visible satellite shows towering cumulus developing westward along the boundary across south-central TX. A similar environment to that across southeast TX where widespread severe is ongoing is present across this area as well. A hot (mid/upper 90s) and very moist (70s F dewpoints) boundary-layer is contributing to strong instability (2000-3500 J/kg MLCAPE). A pocket of steep low-level lapse rates is also present in latest SPC Mesoanalysis data. Initial thunderstorm activity has struggled to intensify and it is unclear if additional storms will develop. If more storms develop and clustering occurs, damaging wind potential will exist. Trends will be monitored for possible watch issuance. ..Leitman/Hart.. 05/28/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...HGX...CRP...EWX... LAT...LON 27659694 27619733 27729786 27909827 28559890 29339951 29819947 29679852 29529692 28679627 28229641 27659694 Read more

WW 0343 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 343 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N BPT TO 40 NE LCH TO 45 NW HUM. ..LEITMAN..05/28/24 ATTN...WFO...LCH... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 343 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC001-019-023-045-053-055-099-101-113-282140- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ACADIA CALCASIEU CAMERON IBERIA JEFFERSON DAVIS LAFAYETTE ST. MARTIN ST. MARY VERMILION GMZ432-435-436-450-452-455-282140- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE CALCASIEU LAKE VERMILION BAY COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM Read more

WW 0342 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 342 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW PSX TO 15 NW GLS TO 25 ESE BPT. ..LEITMAN..05/28/24 ATTN...WFO...HGX...EWX...LCH... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 342 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC039-167-321-282140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRAZORIA GALVESTON MATAGORDA GMZ335-355-430-282140- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE GALVESTON BAY COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM SABINE LAKE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0342 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 342 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW PSX TO 15 NW GLS TO 25 ESE BPT. ..LEITMAN..05/28/24 ATTN...WFO...HGX...EWX...LCH... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 342 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC039-167-321-282140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRAZORIA GALVESTON MATAGORDA GMZ335-355-430-282140- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE GALVESTON BAY COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM SABINE LAKE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0342 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 342 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW PSX TO 15 NW GLS TO 25 ESE BPT. ..LEITMAN..05/28/24 ATTN...WFO...HGX...EWX...LCH... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 342 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC039-167-321-282140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRAZORIA GALVESTON MATAGORDA GMZ335-355-430-282140- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE GALVESTON BAY COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM SABINE LAKE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0342 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 342 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW PSX TO 15 NW GLS TO 25 ESE BPT. ..LEITMAN..05/28/24 ATTN...WFO...HGX...EWX...LCH... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 342 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC039-167-321-282140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRAZORIA GALVESTON MATAGORDA GMZ335-355-430-282140- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE GALVESTON BAY COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM SABINE LAKE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0342 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 342 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW PSX TO 15 NW GLS TO 25 ESE BPT. ..LEITMAN..05/28/24 ATTN...WFO...HGX...EWX...LCH... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 342 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC039-167-321-282140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRAZORIA GALVESTON MATAGORDA GMZ335-355-430-282140- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE GALVESTON BAY COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM SABINE LAKE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0342 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 342 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW PSX TO 15 NW GLS TO 25 ESE BPT. ..LEITMAN..05/28/24 ATTN...WFO...HGX...EWX...LCH... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 342 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC039-167-321-282140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRAZORIA GALVESTON MATAGORDA GMZ335-355-430-282140- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE GALVESTON BAY COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM SABINE LAKE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more