Aggregator

WW 0362 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 362 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BROYLES..06/01/24 ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 362 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC031-053-081-095-171-235-267-299-307-319-327-399-411-413-431- 451-010240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BLANCO BURNET COKE CONCHO GILLESPIE IRION KIMBLE LLANO MCCULLOCH MASON MENARD RUNNELS SAN SABA SCHLEICHER STERLING TOM GREEN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 362 SEVERE TSTM TX 312225Z - 010400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 362 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 525 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of West Central Texas * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 525 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...A cluster of intense thunderstorms has formed over west central Texas along a weak boundary. These storms may persist for several hours, tracking southeastward across the watch area. Large hail and damaging winds appear to be the main risks. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles west of San Angelo TX to 90 miles east of Junction TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 360...WW 361... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 30030. ...Hart Read more

WW 0360 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 360 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW TCC TO 25 WSW DHT TO 15 SSE SPD. ..BROYLES..06/01/24 ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 360 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC009-021-037-041-059-010240- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CURRY HARDING QUAY ROOSEVELT UNION OKC025-139-010240- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CIMARRON TEXAS TXC017-069-079-111-117-189-205-219-279-303-341-359-369-375-381- 421-437-010240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAILEY CASTRO COCHRAN DALLAM DEAF SMITH HALE Read more

WW 0360 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 360 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW TCC TO 25 WSW DHT TO 15 SSE SPD. ..BROYLES..06/01/24 ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 360 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC009-021-037-041-059-010240- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CURRY HARDING QUAY ROOSEVELT UNION OKC025-139-010240- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CIMARRON TEXAS TXC017-069-079-111-117-189-205-219-279-303-341-359-369-375-381- 421-437-010240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAILEY CASTRO COCHRAN DALLAM DEAF SMITH HALE Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook RESENT 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0842 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024 Valid 010100Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... A few severe storms with large hail and damaging winds remain possible across the central/southern High Plains into southwest Texas. ...01z Update... Split westerly-flow regime continues across the CONUS this evening. Weak southern branch extends across the Four Corners region into the lower MS Valley, and within this low-latitude belt of modest flow several robust thunderstorm clusters have evolved early this evening. An apparent weak short-wave trough is progressing across the High Plains of CO/NM and this feature appears partly responsible for recent uptick in isolated robust thunderstorms. While west-northwest 500mb flow is modest across this portion of the Plains, low-level inflow is not particularly responsive to this short wave and is seasonally weak, but moist. Isolated thunderstorm clusters will spread southeast this evening with an attendant risk for large hail and gusty winds. Farther south across the Edwards Plateau into the Hill Country of southwest TX, low-level confluence appears to be aiding a few thunderstorm clusters and isolated supercells from Burnet-Concho-MAF region. This activity should propagate slowly southeast this evening with hail being the primary risk. ..Darrow.. 06/01/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook RESENT 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0842 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024 Valid 010100Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... A few severe storms with large hail and damaging winds remain possible across the central/southern High Plains into southwest Texas. ...01z Update... Split westerly-flow regime continues across the CONUS this evening. Weak southern branch extends across the Four Corners region into the lower MS Valley, and within this low-latitude belt of modest flow several robust thunderstorm clusters have evolved early this evening. An apparent weak short-wave trough is progressing across the High Plains of CO/NM and this feature appears partly responsible for recent uptick in isolated robust thunderstorms. While west-northwest 500mb flow is modest across this portion of the Plains, low-level inflow is not particularly responsive to this short wave and is seasonally weak, but moist. Isolated thunderstorm clusters will spread southeast this evening with an attendant risk for large hail and gusty winds. Farther south across the Edwards Plateau into the Hill Country of southwest TX, low-level confluence appears to be aiding a few thunderstorm clusters and isolated supercells from Burnet-Concho-MAF region. This activity should propagate slowly southeast this evening with hail being the primary risk. ..Darrow.. 06/01/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook RESENT 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0842 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024 Valid 010100Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... A few severe storms with large hail and damaging winds remain possible across the central/southern High Plains into southwest Texas. ...01z Update... Split westerly-flow regime continues across the CONUS this evening. Weak southern branch extends across the Four Corners region into the lower MS Valley, and within this low-latitude belt of modest flow several robust thunderstorm clusters have evolved early this evening. An apparent weak short-wave trough is progressing across the High Plains of CO/NM and this feature appears partly responsible for recent uptick in isolated robust thunderstorms. While west-northwest 500mb flow is modest across this portion of the Plains, low-level inflow is not particularly responsive to this short wave and is seasonally weak, but moist. Isolated thunderstorm clusters will spread southeast this evening with an attendant risk for large hail and gusty winds. Farther south across the Edwards Plateau into the Hill Country of southwest TX, low-level confluence appears to be aiding a few thunderstorm clusters and isolated supercells from Burnet-Concho-MAF region. This activity should propagate slowly southeast this evening with hail being the primary risk. ..Darrow.. 06/01/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook RESENT 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0842 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024 Valid 010100Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... A few severe storms with large hail and damaging winds remain possible across the central/southern High Plains into southwest Texas. ...01z Update... Split westerly-flow regime continues across the CONUS this evening. Weak southern branch extends across the Four Corners region into the lower MS Valley, and within this low-latitude belt of modest flow several robust thunderstorm clusters have evolved early this evening. An apparent weak short-wave trough is progressing across the High Plains of CO/NM and this feature appears partly responsible for recent uptick in isolated robust thunderstorms. While west-northwest 500mb flow is modest across this portion of the Plains, low-level inflow is not particularly responsive to this short wave and is seasonally weak, but moist. Isolated thunderstorm clusters will spread southeast this evening with an attendant risk for large hail and gusty winds. Farther south across the Edwards Plateau into the Hill Country of southwest TX, low-level confluence appears to be aiding a few thunderstorm clusters and isolated supercells from Burnet-Concho-MAF region. This activity should propagate slowly southeast this evening with hail being the primary risk. ..Darrow.. 06/01/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook RESENT 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0842 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024 Valid 010100Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... A few severe storms with large hail and damaging winds remain possible across the central/southern High Plains into southwest Texas. ...01z Update... Split westerly-flow regime continues across the CONUS this evening. Weak southern branch extends across the Four Corners region into the lower MS Valley, and within this low-latitude belt of modest flow several robust thunderstorm clusters have evolved early this evening. An apparent weak short-wave trough is progressing across the High Plains of CO/NM and this feature appears partly responsible for recent uptick in isolated robust thunderstorms. While west-northwest 500mb flow is modest across this portion of the Plains, low-level inflow is not particularly responsive to this short wave and is seasonally weak, but moist. Isolated thunderstorm clusters will spread southeast this evening with an attendant risk for large hail and gusty winds. Farther south across the Edwards Plateau into the Hill Country of southwest TX, low-level confluence appears to be aiding a few thunderstorm clusters and isolated supercells from Burnet-Concho-MAF region. This activity should propagate slowly southeast this evening with hail being the primary risk. ..Darrow.. 06/01/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook RESENT 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0842 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024 Valid 010100Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... A few severe storms with large hail and damaging winds remain possible across the central/southern High Plains into southwest Texas. ...01z Update... Split westerly-flow regime continues across the CONUS this evening. Weak southern branch extends across the Four Corners region into the lower MS Valley, and within this low-latitude belt of modest flow several robust thunderstorm clusters have evolved early this evening. An apparent weak short-wave trough is progressing across the High Plains of CO/NM and this feature appears partly responsible for recent uptick in isolated robust thunderstorms. While west-northwest 500mb flow is modest across this portion of the Plains, low-level inflow is not particularly responsive to this short wave and is seasonally weak, but moist. Isolated thunderstorm clusters will spread southeast this evening with an attendant risk for large hail and gusty winds. Farther south across the Edwards Plateau into the Hill Country of southwest TX, low-level confluence appears to be aiding a few thunderstorm clusters and isolated supercells from Burnet-Concho-MAF region. This activity should propagate slowly southeast this evening with hail being the primary risk. ..Darrow.. 06/01/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook RESENT 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0842 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024 Valid 010100Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... A few severe storms with large hail and damaging winds remain possible across the central/southern High Plains into southwest Texas. ...01z Update... Split westerly-flow regime continues across the CONUS this evening. Weak southern branch extends across the Four Corners region into the lower MS Valley, and within this low-latitude belt of modest flow several robust thunderstorm clusters have evolved early this evening. An apparent weak short-wave trough is progressing across the High Plains of CO/NM and this feature appears partly responsible for recent uptick in isolated robust thunderstorms. While west-northwest 500mb flow is modest across this portion of the Plains, low-level inflow is not particularly responsive to this short wave and is seasonally weak, but moist. Isolated thunderstorm clusters will spread southeast this evening with an attendant risk for large hail and gusty winds. Farther south across the Edwards Plateau into the Hill Country of southwest TX, low-level confluence appears to be aiding a few thunderstorm clusters and isolated supercells from Burnet-Concho-MAF region. This activity should propagate slowly southeast this evening with hail being the primary risk. ..Darrow.. 06/01/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook RESENT 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0842 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024 Valid 010100Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... A few severe storms with large hail and damaging winds remain possible across the central/southern High Plains into southwest Texas. ...01z Update... Split westerly-flow regime continues across the CONUS this evening. Weak southern branch extends across the Four Corners region into the lower MS Valley, and within this low-latitude belt of modest flow several robust thunderstorm clusters have evolved early this evening. An apparent weak short-wave trough is progressing across the High Plains of CO/NM and this feature appears partly responsible for recent uptick in isolated robust thunderstorms. While west-northwest 500mb flow is modest across this portion of the Plains, low-level inflow is not particularly responsive to this short wave and is seasonally weak, but moist. Isolated thunderstorm clusters will spread southeast this evening with an attendant risk for large hail and gusty winds. Farther south across the Edwards Plateau into the Hill Country of southwest TX, low-level confluence appears to be aiding a few thunderstorm clusters and isolated supercells from Burnet-Concho-MAF region. This activity should propagate slowly southeast this evening with hail being the primary risk. ..Darrow.. 06/01/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook RESENT 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0842 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024 Valid 010100Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... A few severe storms with large hail and damaging winds remain possible across the central/southern High Plains into southwest Texas. ...01z Update... Split westerly-flow regime continues across the CONUS this evening. Weak southern branch extends across the Four Corners region into the lower MS Valley, and within this low-latitude belt of modest flow several robust thunderstorm clusters have evolved early this evening. An apparent weak short-wave trough is progressing across the High Plains of CO/NM and this feature appears partly responsible for recent uptick in isolated robust thunderstorms. While west-northwest 500mb flow is modest across this portion of the Plains, low-level inflow is not particularly responsive to this short wave and is seasonally weak, but moist. Isolated thunderstorm clusters will spread southeast this evening with an attendant risk for large hail and gusty winds. Farther south across the Edwards Plateau into the Hill Country of southwest TX, low-level confluence appears to be aiding a few thunderstorm clusters and isolated supercells from Burnet-Concho-MAF region. This activity should propagate slowly southeast this evening with hail being the primary risk. ..Darrow.. 06/01/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook RESENT 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0842 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024 Valid 010100Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... A few severe storms with large hail and damaging winds remain possible across the central/southern High Plains into southwest Texas. ...01z Update... Split westerly-flow regime continues across the CONUS this evening. Weak southern branch extends across the Four Corners region into the lower MS Valley, and within this low-latitude belt of modest flow several robust thunderstorm clusters have evolved early this evening. An apparent weak short-wave trough is progressing across the High Plains of CO/NM and this feature appears partly responsible for recent uptick in isolated robust thunderstorms. While west-northwest 500mb flow is modest across this portion of the Plains, low-level inflow is not particularly responsive to this short wave and is seasonally weak, but moist. Isolated thunderstorm clusters will spread southeast this evening with an attendant risk for large hail and gusty winds. Farther south across the Edwards Plateau into the Hill Country of southwest TX, low-level confluence appears to be aiding a few thunderstorm clusters and isolated supercells from Burnet-Concho-MAF region. This activity should propagate slowly southeast this evening with hail being the primary risk. ..Darrow.. 06/01/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook RESENT 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0842 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024 Valid 010100Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... A few severe storms with large hail and damaging winds remain possible across the central/southern High Plains into southwest Texas. ...01z Update... Split westerly-flow regime continues across the CONUS this evening. Weak southern branch extends across the Four Corners region into the lower MS Valley, and within this low-latitude belt of modest flow several robust thunderstorm clusters have evolved early this evening. An apparent weak short-wave trough is progressing across the High Plains of CO/NM and this feature appears partly responsible for recent uptick in isolated robust thunderstorms. While west-northwest 500mb flow is modest across this portion of the Plains, low-level inflow is not particularly responsive to this short wave and is seasonally weak, but moist. Isolated thunderstorm clusters will spread southeast this evening with an attendant risk for large hail and gusty winds. Farther south across the Edwards Plateau into the Hill Country of southwest TX, low-level confluence appears to be aiding a few thunderstorm clusters and isolated supercells from Burnet-Concho-MAF region. This activity should propagate slowly southeast this evening with hail being the primary risk. ..Darrow.. 06/01/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook RESENT 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0842 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024 Valid 010100Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... A few severe storms with large hail and damaging winds remain possible across the central/southern High Plains into southwest Texas. ...01z Update... Split westerly-flow regime continues across the CONUS this evening. Weak southern branch extends across the Four Corners region into the lower MS Valley, and within this low-latitude belt of modest flow several robust thunderstorm clusters have evolved early this evening. An apparent weak short-wave trough is progressing across the High Plains of CO/NM and this feature appears partly responsible for recent uptick in isolated robust thunderstorms. While west-northwest 500mb flow is modest across this portion of the Plains, low-level inflow is not particularly responsive to this short wave and is seasonally weak, but moist. Isolated thunderstorm clusters will spread southeast this evening with an attendant risk for large hail and gusty winds. Farther south across the Edwards Plateau into the Hill Country of southwest TX, low-level confluence appears to be aiding a few thunderstorm clusters and isolated supercells from Burnet-Concho-MAF region. This activity should propagate slowly southeast this evening with hail being the primary risk. ..Darrow.. 06/01/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook RESENT 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0842 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024 Valid 010100Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... A few severe storms with large hail and damaging winds remain possible across the central/southern High Plains into southwest Texas. ...01z Update... Split westerly-flow regime continues across the CONUS this evening. Weak southern branch extends across the Four Corners region into the lower MS Valley, and within this low-latitude belt of modest flow several robust thunderstorm clusters have evolved early this evening. An apparent weak short-wave trough is progressing across the High Plains of CO/NM and this feature appears partly responsible for recent uptick in isolated robust thunderstorms. While west-northwest 500mb flow is modest across this portion of the Plains, low-level inflow is not particularly responsive to this short wave and is seasonally weak, but moist. Isolated thunderstorm clusters will spread southeast this evening with an attendant risk for large hail and gusty winds. Farther south across the Edwards Plateau into the Hill Country of southwest TX, low-level confluence appears to be aiding a few thunderstorm clusters and isolated supercells from Burnet-Concho-MAF region. This activity should propagate slowly southeast this evening with hail being the primary risk. ..Darrow.. 06/01/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook RESENT 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0842 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024 Valid 010100Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... A few severe storms with large hail and damaging winds remain possible across the central/southern High Plains into southwest Texas. ...01z Update... Split westerly-flow regime continues across the CONUS this evening. Weak southern branch extends across the Four Corners region into the lower MS Valley, and within this low-latitude belt of modest flow several robust thunderstorm clusters have evolved early this evening. An apparent weak short-wave trough is progressing across the High Plains of CO/NM and this feature appears partly responsible for recent uptick in isolated robust thunderstorms. While west-northwest 500mb flow is modest across this portion of the Plains, low-level inflow is not particularly responsive to this short wave and is seasonally weak, but moist. Isolated thunderstorm clusters will spread southeast this evening with an attendant risk for large hail and gusty winds. Farther south across the Edwards Plateau into the Hill Country of southwest TX, low-level confluence appears to be aiding a few thunderstorm clusters and isolated supercells from Burnet-Concho-MAF region. This activity should propagate slowly southeast this evening with hail being the primary risk. ..Darrow.. 06/01/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook RESENT 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0842 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024 Valid 010100Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... A few severe storms with large hail and damaging winds remain possible across the central/southern High Plains into southwest Texas. ...01z Update... Split westerly-flow regime continues across the CONUS this evening. Weak southern branch extends across the Four Corners region into the lower MS Valley, and within this low-latitude belt of modest flow several robust thunderstorm clusters have evolved early this evening. An apparent weak short-wave trough is progressing across the High Plains of CO/NM and this feature appears partly responsible for recent uptick in isolated robust thunderstorms. While west-northwest 500mb flow is modest across this portion of the Plains, low-level inflow is not particularly responsive to this short wave and is seasonally weak, but moist. Isolated thunderstorm clusters will spread southeast this evening with an attendant risk for large hail and gusty winds. Farther south across the Edwards Plateau into the Hill Country of southwest TX, low-level confluence appears to be aiding a few thunderstorm clusters and isolated supercells from Burnet-Concho-MAF region. This activity should propagate slowly southeast this evening with hail being the primary risk. ..Darrow.. 06/01/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook RESENT 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0842 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024 Valid 010100Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... A few severe storms with large hail and damaging winds remain possible across the central/southern High Plains into southwest Texas. ...01z Update... Split westerly-flow regime continues across the CONUS this evening. Weak southern branch extends across the Four Corners region into the lower MS Valley, and within this low-latitude belt of modest flow several robust thunderstorm clusters have evolved early this evening. An apparent weak short-wave trough is progressing across the High Plains of CO/NM and this feature appears partly responsible for recent uptick in isolated robust thunderstorms. While west-northwest 500mb flow is modest across this portion of the Plains, low-level inflow is not particularly responsive to this short wave and is seasonally weak, but moist. Isolated thunderstorm clusters will spread southeast this evening with an attendant risk for large hail and gusty winds. Farther south across the Edwards Plateau into the Hill Country of southwest TX, low-level confluence appears to be aiding a few thunderstorm clusters and isolated supercells from Burnet-Concho-MAF region. This activity should propagate slowly southeast this evening with hail being the primary risk. ..Darrow.. 06/01/2024 Read more