SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 508 Status Reports

1 year ago
WW 0508 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 508 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSE ITR TO 55 SW HLC TO 35 NNW RSL TO 45 W CNK TO 35 SSW HSI TO 25 SSW EAR TO 35 S BBW TO 35 SSE ONL. ..MOORE..07/06/24 ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...DDC...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 508 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC051-063-071-089-101-123-135-141-163-165-171-195-203-062340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ELLIS GOVE GREELEY JEWELL LANE MITCHELL NESS OSBORNE ROOKS RUSH SCOTT TREGO WICHITA NEC001-019-035-059-077-079-081-093-099-121-125-129-143-163-169- 181-185-062340- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS BUFFALO CLAY FILLMORE GREELEY HALL HAMILTON HOWARD KEARNEY MERRICK NANCE NUCKOLLS POLK SHERMAN THAYER WEBSTER YORK Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 508

1 year ago
WW 508 SEVERE TSTM KS NE 061725Z - 070100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 508 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1225 PM CDT Sat Jul 6 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Western and Northern Kansas Central and Southern Nebraska * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 1225 PM until 800 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Clusters of storms will continue to develop and intensify, initially near/north of the Interstate 80 corridor in Nebraska early this afternoon, but also across northwest Kansas. Storms should become more scattered/widespread by late afternoon, especially across south-central Nebraska, where large hail and damaging wind potential may be most focused. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles north and south of a line from 65 miles south of Imperial NE to 35 miles east of Grand Island NE. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 29030. ...Guyer Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 510

1 year ago
WW 510 SEVERE TSTM KS 062240Z - 070500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 510 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 540 PM CDT Sat Jul 6 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southwest Kansas * Effective this Saturday afternoon from 540 PM until Midnight CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A cluster of thunderstorms will sag southeastward across the watch area this evening, with a persistent threat of locally damaging wind gusts and hail. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40 statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles south southwest of Garden City KS to 25 miles north northeast of Medicine Lodge KS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 508...WW 509... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 30025. ...Hart Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 509

1 year ago
WW 509 SEVERE TSTM IA KS MO NE 062220Z - 070500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 509 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 520 PM CDT Sat Jul 6 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southwest Iowa Northeast Kansas Northwest Missouri Southeast Nebraska * Effective this Saturday afternoon from 520 PM until Midnight CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A cluster of intense thunderstorms over south-central Nebraska will track eastward through the evening across the watch area. Locally damaging wind gusts and hail are possible with the strongest cells. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles north of Concordia KS to 25 miles east of Falls City NE. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 508... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27025. ...Hart Read more

SPC MD 1544

1 year ago
MD 1544 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 508... FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL NEBRASKA INTO NORTHWEST KANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 1544 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0311 PM CDT Sat Jul 06 2024 Areas affected...much of central Nebraska into northwest Kansas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 508... Valid 062011Z - 062215Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 508 continues. SUMMARY...Scattered severe storms producing mainly large hail persist over much of south-central Nebraska into northwest Kansas. Areas over eastern Nebraska and northeast Kansas will be monitored for additional watch potential, depending on storm trends. DISCUSSION...A cluster of severe hail storms persists along the warm front over southern Nebraska, with additional activity within the warmer air mass into northwest Kansas. Instability is a bit weaker east of the watch, but a continuation of severe risk is expected later this evening as storms become organized with traveling cold pool. Farther south across western Kansas, visible satellite shows high-based CU along the Colorado/Kansas border, and isolated cells may eventually form here producing localized hail and wind. ..Jewell.. 07/06/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD... LAT...LON 39679764 38270159 40890162 42279767 39679764 Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0456 PM CDT Sat Jul 06 2024 Valid 081200Z - 141200Z A large-scale ridge will shift slowly eastward across the Great Basin through much of the extended forecast period. This will promote a continuation of above-average temperatures and low RH across much of the West, where fuels continue to dry. On the western periphery of the ridge, a belt of moderate midlevel southerly flow (with subtle/embedded northward-moving perturbations) will persist across CA into western NV, favoring periods of breezy surface winds in terrain-favored areas each day. While this will likely yield elevated to locally critical conditions across the region (given the hot/dry conditions), confidence in any more than locally critical conditions is too low to add probabilities at this time. However, highlights may eventually be needed as confidence in the exact timing/evolution of the embedded perturbations/stronger midlevel flow increases. Farther north, west-southwesterly midlevel flow will strengthen across the Northwest on Day 5/Wednesday -- between the large-scale ridge and a midlevel trough moving into British Columbia. As a result, surface winds will strengthen amid a hot/dry boundary layer along/east of the Cascades in WA and OR. 40-percent Critical probabilities have been added for these areas, and higher probabilities may eventually be needed as forecast confidence increases. Enhanced midlevel west-southwesterlies will persist across the Northwest through the remainder of the forecast period, with the potential for continued fire-weather concerns. ..Weinman.. 07/06/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0456 PM CDT Sat Jul 06 2024 Valid 081200Z - 141200Z A large-scale ridge will shift slowly eastward across the Great Basin through much of the extended forecast period. This will promote a continuation of above-average temperatures and low RH across much of the West, where fuels continue to dry. On the western periphery of the ridge, a belt of moderate midlevel southerly flow (with subtle/embedded northward-moving perturbations) will persist across CA into western NV, favoring periods of breezy surface winds in terrain-favored areas each day. While this will likely yield elevated to locally critical conditions across the region (given the hot/dry conditions), confidence in any more than locally critical conditions is too low to add probabilities at this time. However, highlights may eventually be needed as confidence in the exact timing/evolution of the embedded perturbations/stronger midlevel flow increases. Farther north, west-southwesterly midlevel flow will strengthen across the Northwest on Day 5/Wednesday -- between the large-scale ridge and a midlevel trough moving into British Columbia. As a result, surface winds will strengthen amid a hot/dry boundary layer along/east of the Cascades in WA and OR. 40-percent Critical probabilities have been added for these areas, and higher probabilities may eventually be needed as forecast confidence increases. Enhanced midlevel west-southwesterlies will persist across the Northwest through the remainder of the forecast period, with the potential for continued fire-weather concerns. ..Weinman.. 07/06/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0456 PM CDT Sat Jul 06 2024 Valid 081200Z - 141200Z A large-scale ridge will shift slowly eastward across the Great Basin through much of the extended forecast period. This will promote a continuation of above-average temperatures and low RH across much of the West, where fuels continue to dry. On the western periphery of the ridge, a belt of moderate midlevel southerly flow (with subtle/embedded northward-moving perturbations) will persist across CA into western NV, favoring periods of breezy surface winds in terrain-favored areas each day. While this will likely yield elevated to locally critical conditions across the region (given the hot/dry conditions), confidence in any more than locally critical conditions is too low to add probabilities at this time. However, highlights may eventually be needed as confidence in the exact timing/evolution of the embedded perturbations/stronger midlevel flow increases. Farther north, west-southwesterly midlevel flow will strengthen across the Northwest on Day 5/Wednesday -- between the large-scale ridge and a midlevel trough moving into British Columbia. As a result, surface winds will strengthen amid a hot/dry boundary layer along/east of the Cascades in WA and OR. 40-percent Critical probabilities have been added for these areas, and higher probabilities may eventually be needed as forecast confidence increases. Enhanced midlevel west-southwesterlies will persist across the Northwest through the remainder of the forecast period, with the potential for continued fire-weather concerns. ..Weinman.. 07/06/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0456 PM CDT Sat Jul 06 2024 Valid 081200Z - 141200Z A large-scale ridge will shift slowly eastward across the Great Basin through much of the extended forecast period. This will promote a continuation of above-average temperatures and low RH across much of the West, where fuels continue to dry. On the western periphery of the ridge, a belt of moderate midlevel southerly flow (with subtle/embedded northward-moving perturbations) will persist across CA into western NV, favoring periods of breezy surface winds in terrain-favored areas each day. While this will likely yield elevated to locally critical conditions across the region (given the hot/dry conditions), confidence in any more than locally critical conditions is too low to add probabilities at this time. However, highlights may eventually be needed as confidence in the exact timing/evolution of the embedded perturbations/stronger midlevel flow increases. Farther north, west-southwesterly midlevel flow will strengthen across the Northwest on Day 5/Wednesday -- between the large-scale ridge and a midlevel trough moving into British Columbia. As a result, surface winds will strengthen amid a hot/dry boundary layer along/east of the Cascades in WA and OR. 40-percent Critical probabilities have been added for these areas, and higher probabilities may eventually be needed as forecast confidence increases. Enhanced midlevel west-southwesterlies will persist across the Northwest through the remainder of the forecast period, with the potential for continued fire-weather concerns. ..Weinman.. 07/06/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0456 PM CDT Sat Jul 06 2024 Valid 081200Z - 141200Z A large-scale ridge will shift slowly eastward across the Great Basin through much of the extended forecast period. This will promote a continuation of above-average temperatures and low RH across much of the West, where fuels continue to dry. On the western periphery of the ridge, a belt of moderate midlevel southerly flow (with subtle/embedded northward-moving perturbations) will persist across CA into western NV, favoring periods of breezy surface winds in terrain-favored areas each day. While this will likely yield elevated to locally critical conditions across the region (given the hot/dry conditions), confidence in any more than locally critical conditions is too low to add probabilities at this time. However, highlights may eventually be needed as confidence in the exact timing/evolution of the embedded perturbations/stronger midlevel flow increases. Farther north, west-southwesterly midlevel flow will strengthen across the Northwest on Day 5/Wednesday -- between the large-scale ridge and a midlevel trough moving into British Columbia. As a result, surface winds will strengthen amid a hot/dry boundary layer along/east of the Cascades in WA and OR. 40-percent Critical probabilities have been added for these areas, and higher probabilities may eventually be needed as forecast confidence increases. Enhanced midlevel west-southwesterlies will persist across the Northwest through the remainder of the forecast period, with the potential for continued fire-weather concerns. ..Weinman.. 07/06/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0456 PM CDT Sat Jul 06 2024 Valid 081200Z - 141200Z A large-scale ridge will shift slowly eastward across the Great Basin through much of the extended forecast period. This will promote a continuation of above-average temperatures and low RH across much of the West, where fuels continue to dry. On the western periphery of the ridge, a belt of moderate midlevel southerly flow (with subtle/embedded northward-moving perturbations) will persist across CA into western NV, favoring periods of breezy surface winds in terrain-favored areas each day. While this will likely yield elevated to locally critical conditions across the region (given the hot/dry conditions), confidence in any more than locally critical conditions is too low to add probabilities at this time. However, highlights may eventually be needed as confidence in the exact timing/evolution of the embedded perturbations/stronger midlevel flow increases. Farther north, west-southwesterly midlevel flow will strengthen across the Northwest on Day 5/Wednesday -- between the large-scale ridge and a midlevel trough moving into British Columbia. As a result, surface winds will strengthen amid a hot/dry boundary layer along/east of the Cascades in WA and OR. 40-percent Critical probabilities have been added for these areas, and higher probabilities may eventually be needed as forecast confidence increases. Enhanced midlevel west-southwesterlies will persist across the Northwest through the remainder of the forecast period, with the potential for continued fire-weather concerns. ..Weinman.. 07/06/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0456 PM CDT Sat Jul 06 2024 Valid 081200Z - 141200Z A large-scale ridge will shift slowly eastward across the Great Basin through much of the extended forecast period. This will promote a continuation of above-average temperatures and low RH across much of the West, where fuels continue to dry. On the western periphery of the ridge, a belt of moderate midlevel southerly flow (with subtle/embedded northward-moving perturbations) will persist across CA into western NV, favoring periods of breezy surface winds in terrain-favored areas each day. While this will likely yield elevated to locally critical conditions across the region (given the hot/dry conditions), confidence in any more than locally critical conditions is too low to add probabilities at this time. However, highlights may eventually be needed as confidence in the exact timing/evolution of the embedded perturbations/stronger midlevel flow increases. Farther north, west-southwesterly midlevel flow will strengthen across the Northwest on Day 5/Wednesday -- between the large-scale ridge and a midlevel trough moving into British Columbia. As a result, surface winds will strengthen amid a hot/dry boundary layer along/east of the Cascades in WA and OR. 40-percent Critical probabilities have been added for these areas, and higher probabilities may eventually be needed as forecast confidence increases. Enhanced midlevel west-southwesterlies will persist across the Northwest through the remainder of the forecast period, with the potential for continued fire-weather concerns. ..Weinman.. 07/06/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0456 PM CDT Sat Jul 06 2024 Valid 081200Z - 141200Z A large-scale ridge will shift slowly eastward across the Great Basin through much of the extended forecast period. This will promote a continuation of above-average temperatures and low RH across much of the West, where fuels continue to dry. On the western periphery of the ridge, a belt of moderate midlevel southerly flow (with subtle/embedded northward-moving perturbations) will persist across CA into western NV, favoring periods of breezy surface winds in terrain-favored areas each day. While this will likely yield elevated to locally critical conditions across the region (given the hot/dry conditions), confidence in any more than locally critical conditions is too low to add probabilities at this time. However, highlights may eventually be needed as confidence in the exact timing/evolution of the embedded perturbations/stronger midlevel flow increases. Farther north, west-southwesterly midlevel flow will strengthen across the Northwest on Day 5/Wednesday -- between the large-scale ridge and a midlevel trough moving into British Columbia. As a result, surface winds will strengthen amid a hot/dry boundary layer along/east of the Cascades in WA and OR. 40-percent Critical probabilities have been added for these areas, and higher probabilities may eventually be needed as forecast confidence increases. Enhanced midlevel west-southwesterlies will persist across the Northwest through the remainder of the forecast period, with the potential for continued fire-weather concerns. ..Weinman.. 07/06/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0456 PM CDT Sat Jul 06 2024 Valid 081200Z - 141200Z A large-scale ridge will shift slowly eastward across the Great Basin through much of the extended forecast period. This will promote a continuation of above-average temperatures and low RH across much of the West, where fuels continue to dry. On the western periphery of the ridge, a belt of moderate midlevel southerly flow (with subtle/embedded northward-moving perturbations) will persist across CA into western NV, favoring periods of breezy surface winds in terrain-favored areas each day. While this will likely yield elevated to locally critical conditions across the region (given the hot/dry conditions), confidence in any more than locally critical conditions is too low to add probabilities at this time. However, highlights may eventually be needed as confidence in the exact timing/evolution of the embedded perturbations/stronger midlevel flow increases. Farther north, west-southwesterly midlevel flow will strengthen across the Northwest on Day 5/Wednesday -- between the large-scale ridge and a midlevel trough moving into British Columbia. As a result, surface winds will strengthen amid a hot/dry boundary layer along/east of the Cascades in WA and OR. 40-percent Critical probabilities have been added for these areas, and higher probabilities may eventually be needed as forecast confidence increases. Enhanced midlevel west-southwesterlies will persist across the Northwest through the remainder of the forecast period, with the potential for continued fire-weather concerns. ..Weinman.. 07/06/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0456 PM CDT Sat Jul 06 2024 Valid 081200Z - 141200Z A large-scale ridge will shift slowly eastward across the Great Basin through much of the extended forecast period. This will promote a continuation of above-average temperatures and low RH across much of the West, where fuels continue to dry. On the western periphery of the ridge, a belt of moderate midlevel southerly flow (with subtle/embedded northward-moving perturbations) will persist across CA into western NV, favoring periods of breezy surface winds in terrain-favored areas each day. While this will likely yield elevated to locally critical conditions across the region (given the hot/dry conditions), confidence in any more than locally critical conditions is too low to add probabilities at this time. However, highlights may eventually be needed as confidence in the exact timing/evolution of the embedded perturbations/stronger midlevel flow increases. Farther north, west-southwesterly midlevel flow will strengthen across the Northwest on Day 5/Wednesday -- between the large-scale ridge and a midlevel trough moving into British Columbia. As a result, surface winds will strengthen amid a hot/dry boundary layer along/east of the Cascades in WA and OR. 40-percent Critical probabilities have been added for these areas, and higher probabilities may eventually be needed as forecast confidence increases. Enhanced midlevel west-southwesterlies will persist across the Northwest through the remainder of the forecast period, with the potential for continued fire-weather concerns. ..Weinman.. 07/06/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0456 PM CDT Sat Jul 06 2024 Valid 081200Z - 141200Z A large-scale ridge will shift slowly eastward across the Great Basin through much of the extended forecast period. This will promote a continuation of above-average temperatures and low RH across much of the West, where fuels continue to dry. On the western periphery of the ridge, a belt of moderate midlevel southerly flow (with subtle/embedded northward-moving perturbations) will persist across CA into western NV, favoring periods of breezy surface winds in terrain-favored areas each day. While this will likely yield elevated to locally critical conditions across the region (given the hot/dry conditions), confidence in any more than locally critical conditions is too low to add probabilities at this time. However, highlights may eventually be needed as confidence in the exact timing/evolution of the embedded perturbations/stronger midlevel flow increases. Farther north, west-southwesterly midlevel flow will strengthen across the Northwest on Day 5/Wednesday -- between the large-scale ridge and a midlevel trough moving into British Columbia. As a result, surface winds will strengthen amid a hot/dry boundary layer along/east of the Cascades in WA and OR. 40-percent Critical probabilities have been added for these areas, and higher probabilities may eventually be needed as forecast confidence increases. Enhanced midlevel west-southwesterlies will persist across the Northwest through the remainder of the forecast period, with the potential for continued fire-weather concerns. ..Weinman.. 07/06/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more