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SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1257 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE SC/NC COASTAL PLAIN... ...SUMMARY... Tornadoes will be most likely during the morning and remain possible into the afternoon across parts of the Carolinas and Virginia, in association with Tropical Cyclone Helene. ...Carolinas/Virginia... Helene is forecast by NHC to weaken into a tropical storm by the start of the forecast period. Continued weakening and eventual evolution into a post-tropical cyclone is forecast by later tonight, as the cyclone interacts with a mid/upper-level low over the Mid South and curls northwestward toward the Ohio Valley. The associated low-level wind field, coincident with a rich tropical moisture plume (with mid to upper 70s F dewpoints) in the eastern semicircle of the cyclone, will be strongest at the start of the period and substantially weaken during the afternoon. One or more bands of relatively low-topped supercells may be ongoing at the start of the period across parts of the Carolinas, immediately in advance of an increasingly pronounced midlevel dry slot. Low-level shear/SRH will remain quite strong in the morning, and the greatest relative tornado threat is still expected early in the period from the Pee Dee region of SC into the NC Coastal Plain. Convective bands will move northward into the afternoon, with some tornado potential spreading across parts of southern and central Virginia. Weakening low-level flow/shear and increasing influence of the midlevel dry slot should result in decreasing tornado potential by late afternoon into the evening. ..Dean/Barnes.. 09/27/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1257 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE SC/NC COASTAL PLAIN... ...SUMMARY... Tornadoes will be most likely during the morning and remain possible into the afternoon across parts of the Carolinas and Virginia, in association with Tropical Cyclone Helene. ...Carolinas/Virginia... Helene is forecast by NHC to weaken into a tropical storm by the start of the forecast period. Continued weakening and eventual evolution into a post-tropical cyclone is forecast by later tonight, as the cyclone interacts with a mid/upper-level low over the Mid South and curls northwestward toward the Ohio Valley. The associated low-level wind field, coincident with a rich tropical moisture plume (with mid to upper 70s F dewpoints) in the eastern semicircle of the cyclone, will be strongest at the start of the period and substantially weaken during the afternoon. One or more bands of relatively low-topped supercells may be ongoing at the start of the period across parts of the Carolinas, immediately in advance of an increasingly pronounced midlevel dry slot. Low-level shear/SRH will remain quite strong in the morning, and the greatest relative tornado threat is still expected early in the period from the Pee Dee region of SC into the NC Coastal Plain. Convective bands will move northward into the afternoon, with some tornado potential spreading across parts of southern and central Virginia. Weakening low-level flow/shear and increasing influence of the midlevel dry slot should result in decreasing tornado potential by late afternoon into the evening. ..Dean/Barnes.. 09/27/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1257 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE SC/NC COASTAL PLAIN... ...SUMMARY... Tornadoes will be most likely during the morning and remain possible into the afternoon across parts of the Carolinas and Virginia, in association with Tropical Cyclone Helene. ...Carolinas/Virginia... Helene is forecast by NHC to weaken into a tropical storm by the start of the forecast period. Continued weakening and eventual evolution into a post-tropical cyclone is forecast by later tonight, as the cyclone interacts with a mid/upper-level low over the Mid South and curls northwestward toward the Ohio Valley. The associated low-level wind field, coincident with a rich tropical moisture plume (with mid to upper 70s F dewpoints) in the eastern semicircle of the cyclone, will be strongest at the start of the period and substantially weaken during the afternoon. One or more bands of relatively low-topped supercells may be ongoing at the start of the period across parts of the Carolinas, immediately in advance of an increasingly pronounced midlevel dry slot. Low-level shear/SRH will remain quite strong in the morning, and the greatest relative tornado threat is still expected early in the period from the Pee Dee region of SC into the NC Coastal Plain. Convective bands will move northward into the afternoon, with some tornado potential spreading across parts of southern and central Virginia. Weakening low-level flow/shear and increasing influence of the midlevel dry slot should result in decreasing tornado potential by late afternoon into the evening. ..Dean/Barnes.. 09/27/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1257 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE SC/NC COASTAL PLAIN... ...SUMMARY... Tornadoes will be most likely during the morning and remain possible into the afternoon across parts of the Carolinas and Virginia, in association with Tropical Cyclone Helene. ...Carolinas/Virginia... Helene is forecast by NHC to weaken into a tropical storm by the start of the forecast period. Continued weakening and eventual evolution into a post-tropical cyclone is forecast by later tonight, as the cyclone interacts with a mid/upper-level low over the Mid South and curls northwestward toward the Ohio Valley. The associated low-level wind field, coincident with a rich tropical moisture plume (with mid to upper 70s F dewpoints) in the eastern semicircle of the cyclone, will be strongest at the start of the period and substantially weaken during the afternoon. One or more bands of relatively low-topped supercells may be ongoing at the start of the period across parts of the Carolinas, immediately in advance of an increasingly pronounced midlevel dry slot. Low-level shear/SRH will remain quite strong in the morning, and the greatest relative tornado threat is still expected early in the period from the Pee Dee region of SC into the NC Coastal Plain. Convective bands will move northward into the afternoon, with some tornado potential spreading across parts of southern and central Virginia. Weakening low-level flow/shear and increasing influence of the midlevel dry slot should result in decreasing tornado potential by late afternoon into the evening. ..Dean/Barnes.. 09/27/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1257 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE SC/NC COASTAL PLAIN... ...SUMMARY... Tornadoes will be most likely during the morning and remain possible into the afternoon across parts of the Carolinas and Virginia, in association with Tropical Cyclone Helene. ...Carolinas/Virginia... Helene is forecast by NHC to weaken into a tropical storm by the start of the forecast period. Continued weakening and eventual evolution into a post-tropical cyclone is forecast by later tonight, as the cyclone interacts with a mid/upper-level low over the Mid South and curls northwestward toward the Ohio Valley. The associated low-level wind field, coincident with a rich tropical moisture plume (with mid to upper 70s F dewpoints) in the eastern semicircle of the cyclone, will be strongest at the start of the period and substantially weaken during the afternoon. One or more bands of relatively low-topped supercells may be ongoing at the start of the period across parts of the Carolinas, immediately in advance of an increasingly pronounced midlevel dry slot. Low-level shear/SRH will remain quite strong in the morning, and the greatest relative tornado threat is still expected early in the period from the Pee Dee region of SC into the NC Coastal Plain. Convective bands will move northward into the afternoon, with some tornado potential spreading across parts of southern and central Virginia. Weakening low-level flow/shear and increasing influence of the midlevel dry slot should result in decreasing tornado potential by late afternoon into the evening. ..Dean/Barnes.. 09/27/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1257 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE SC/NC COASTAL PLAIN... ...SUMMARY... Tornadoes will be most likely during the morning and remain possible into the afternoon across parts of the Carolinas and Virginia, in association with Tropical Cyclone Helene. ...Carolinas/Virginia... Helene is forecast by NHC to weaken into a tropical storm by the start of the forecast period. Continued weakening and eventual evolution into a post-tropical cyclone is forecast by later tonight, as the cyclone interacts with a mid/upper-level low over the Mid South and curls northwestward toward the Ohio Valley. The associated low-level wind field, coincident with a rich tropical moisture plume (with mid to upper 70s F dewpoints) in the eastern semicircle of the cyclone, will be strongest at the start of the period and substantially weaken during the afternoon. One or more bands of relatively low-topped supercells may be ongoing at the start of the period across parts of the Carolinas, immediately in advance of an increasingly pronounced midlevel dry slot. Low-level shear/SRH will remain quite strong in the morning, and the greatest relative tornado threat is still expected early in the period from the Pee Dee region of SC into the NC Coastal Plain. Convective bands will move northward into the afternoon, with some tornado potential spreading across parts of southern and central Virginia. Weakening low-level flow/shear and increasing influence of the midlevel dry slot should result in decreasing tornado potential by late afternoon into the evening. ..Dean/Barnes.. 09/27/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1257 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE SC/NC COASTAL PLAIN... ...SUMMARY... Tornadoes will be most likely during the morning and remain possible into the afternoon across parts of the Carolinas and Virginia, in association with Tropical Cyclone Helene. ...Carolinas/Virginia... Helene is forecast by NHC to weaken into a tropical storm by the start of the forecast period. Continued weakening and eventual evolution into a post-tropical cyclone is forecast by later tonight, as the cyclone interacts with a mid/upper-level low over the Mid South and curls northwestward toward the Ohio Valley. The associated low-level wind field, coincident with a rich tropical moisture plume (with mid to upper 70s F dewpoints) in the eastern semicircle of the cyclone, will be strongest at the start of the period and substantially weaken during the afternoon. One or more bands of relatively low-topped supercells may be ongoing at the start of the period across parts of the Carolinas, immediately in advance of an increasingly pronounced midlevel dry slot. Low-level shear/SRH will remain quite strong in the morning, and the greatest relative tornado threat is still expected early in the period from the Pee Dee region of SC into the NC Coastal Plain. Convective bands will move northward into the afternoon, with some tornado potential spreading across parts of southern and central Virginia. Weakening low-level flow/shear and increasing influence of the midlevel dry slot should result in decreasing tornado potential by late afternoon into the evening. ..Dean/Barnes.. 09/27/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1257 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE SC/NC COASTAL PLAIN... ...SUMMARY... Tornadoes will be most likely during the morning and remain possible into the afternoon across parts of the Carolinas and Virginia, in association with Tropical Cyclone Helene. ...Carolinas/Virginia... Helene is forecast by NHC to weaken into a tropical storm by the start of the forecast period. Continued weakening and eventual evolution into a post-tropical cyclone is forecast by later tonight, as the cyclone interacts with a mid/upper-level low over the Mid South and curls northwestward toward the Ohio Valley. The associated low-level wind field, coincident with a rich tropical moisture plume (with mid to upper 70s F dewpoints) in the eastern semicircle of the cyclone, will be strongest at the start of the period and substantially weaken during the afternoon. One or more bands of relatively low-topped supercells may be ongoing at the start of the period across parts of the Carolinas, immediately in advance of an increasingly pronounced midlevel dry slot. Low-level shear/SRH will remain quite strong in the morning, and the greatest relative tornado threat is still expected early in the period from the Pee Dee region of SC into the NC Coastal Plain. Convective bands will move northward into the afternoon, with some tornado potential spreading across parts of southern and central Virginia. Weakening low-level flow/shear and increasing influence of the midlevel dry slot should result in decreasing tornado potential by late afternoon into the evening. ..Dean/Barnes.. 09/27/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1257 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE SC/NC COASTAL PLAIN... ...SUMMARY... Tornadoes will be most likely during the morning and remain possible into the afternoon across parts of the Carolinas and Virginia, in association with Tropical Cyclone Helene. ...Carolinas/Virginia... Helene is forecast by NHC to weaken into a tropical storm by the start of the forecast period. Continued weakening and eventual evolution into a post-tropical cyclone is forecast by later tonight, as the cyclone interacts with a mid/upper-level low over the Mid South and curls northwestward toward the Ohio Valley. The associated low-level wind field, coincident with a rich tropical moisture plume (with mid to upper 70s F dewpoints) in the eastern semicircle of the cyclone, will be strongest at the start of the period and substantially weaken during the afternoon. One or more bands of relatively low-topped supercells may be ongoing at the start of the period across parts of the Carolinas, immediately in advance of an increasingly pronounced midlevel dry slot. Low-level shear/SRH will remain quite strong in the morning, and the greatest relative tornado threat is still expected early in the period from the Pee Dee region of SC into the NC Coastal Plain. Convective bands will move northward into the afternoon, with some tornado potential spreading across parts of southern and central Virginia. Weakening low-level flow/shear and increasing influence of the midlevel dry slot should result in decreasing tornado potential by late afternoon into the evening. ..Dean/Barnes.. 09/27/2024 Read more

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 27 Sep 2024 05:49:32 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 27 Sep 2024 03:35:43 GMT

Issued at 1200 AM CST Fri Sep 27 2024 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 270547 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm John Intermediate Advisory Number 17A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102024 1200 AM CST Fri Sep 27 2024 ...JOHN GRADUALLY WEAKENING AND SLOWLY MOVING TOWARD THE COAST... ...CATASTROPHIC FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1200 AM CST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.5N 102.9W ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM SW OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM SE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 4 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Punta Maldonado to Manzanillo A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1200 AM CST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm John is a little south of the previously estimated position and was located near latitude 17.5 North, longitude 102.9 West. John is moving toward the northwest near 4 mph (6 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through today. On the forecast track, the center of John is forecast move along the coast or just inland of southwestern Mexico later today or tonight. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is expected today, with a faster rate of weakening forecast by tonight while the center begins to interact with the higher terrain of the Sierra Madre Del Sur mountains. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 988 mb (29.18 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Through today, Tropical Storm John is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 10 to 20 inches across portions of the Mexican States of Guerrero and Michoacán. Additional rainfall of 2 to 4 inches with locally up to 6 inches is expected across the Mexican states of Colima and western Oaxaca. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with John, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?rainqpf STORM SURGE: Storm surge is likely to produce coastal flooding near and to the east of where the center makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large waves. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue across coastal portions of the Tropical Storm Warning area through today. SURF: Swells associated with John are forecast to continue to affect the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico through tonight into Saturday, with the potential for dangerous surf and rip currents. Please see local statements for more information. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM CST. $$ Forecaster Roberts

...JOHN GRADUALLY WEAKENING AND SLOWLY MOVING TOWARD THE COAST... ...CATASTROPHIC FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... As of 12:00 AM CST Fri Sep 27 the center of John was located near 17.5, -102.9 with movement NW at 4 mph. The minimum central pressure was 988 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.

WW 0686 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 686 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BROYLES..09/27/24 ATTN...WFO...JAX...MLB...TBW...TAE... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 686 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC001-003-007-009-015-017-019-023-027-029-031-035-041-047-049- 053-055-057-065-067-069-071-075-079-081-083-089-095-097-101-103- 105-107-109-115-117-119-121-123-125-127-270640- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALACHUA BAKER BRADFORD BREVARD CHARLOTTE CITRUS CLAY COLUMBIA DESOTO DIXIE DUVAL FLAGLER GILCHRIST HAMILTON HARDEE HERNANDO HIGHLANDS HILLSBOROUGH JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LAKE LEE LEVY MADISON MANATEE MARION NASSAU ORANGE OSCEOLA PASCO PINELLAS POLK PUTNAM ST. JOHNS SARASOTA SEMINOLE SUMTER SUWANNEE TAYLOR UNION VOLUSIA GAC001-003-005-017-019-025-027-039-049-065-069-071-075-101-127- 155-161-173-185-229-275-277-287-299-305-321-270640- Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1238 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Increasing southerly surface winds are expected to develop across the Great Basin Saturday afternoon, as a mid-level shortwave trough within relatively stronger southerly flow approaches the CA coast. Relative humidity in the low teens will coincide with these higher wind speeds (around 15 mph sustained) yielding at least localized elevated fire weather conditions near and south of the Toiyabe National Forest of NV, where 100-hour fuel moisture continues to decrease. Given the very localized nature of any higher wind potential, however, an Elevated area will not be included in the forecast at this time. ..Barnes.. 09/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1238 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Increasing southerly surface winds are expected to develop across the Great Basin Saturday afternoon, as a mid-level shortwave trough within relatively stronger southerly flow approaches the CA coast. Relative humidity in the low teens will coincide with these higher wind speeds (around 15 mph sustained) yielding at least localized elevated fire weather conditions near and south of the Toiyabe National Forest of NV, where 100-hour fuel moisture continues to decrease. Given the very localized nature of any higher wind potential, however, an Elevated area will not be included in the forecast at this time. ..Barnes.. 09/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1238 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Increasing southerly surface winds are expected to develop across the Great Basin Saturday afternoon, as a mid-level shortwave trough within relatively stronger southerly flow approaches the CA coast. Relative humidity in the low teens will coincide with these higher wind speeds (around 15 mph sustained) yielding at least localized elevated fire weather conditions near and south of the Toiyabe National Forest of NV, where 100-hour fuel moisture continues to decrease. Given the very localized nature of any higher wind potential, however, an Elevated area will not be included in the forecast at this time. ..Barnes.. 09/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1238 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Increasing southerly surface winds are expected to develop across the Great Basin Saturday afternoon, as a mid-level shortwave trough within relatively stronger southerly flow approaches the CA coast. Relative humidity in the low teens will coincide with these higher wind speeds (around 15 mph sustained) yielding at least localized elevated fire weather conditions near and south of the Toiyabe National Forest of NV, where 100-hour fuel moisture continues to decrease. Given the very localized nature of any higher wind potential, however, an Elevated area will not be included in the forecast at this time. ..Barnes.. 09/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1238 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Increasing southerly surface winds are expected to develop across the Great Basin Saturday afternoon, as a mid-level shortwave trough within relatively stronger southerly flow approaches the CA coast. Relative humidity in the low teens will coincide with these higher wind speeds (around 15 mph sustained) yielding at least localized elevated fire weather conditions near and south of the Toiyabe National Forest of NV, where 100-hour fuel moisture continues to decrease. Given the very localized nature of any higher wind potential, however, an Elevated area will not be included in the forecast at this time. ..Barnes.. 09/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1238 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Increasing southerly surface winds are expected to develop across the Great Basin Saturday afternoon, as a mid-level shortwave trough within relatively stronger southerly flow approaches the CA coast. Relative humidity in the low teens will coincide with these higher wind speeds (around 15 mph sustained) yielding at least localized elevated fire weather conditions near and south of the Toiyabe National Forest of NV, where 100-hour fuel moisture continues to decrease. Given the very localized nature of any higher wind potential, however, an Elevated area will not be included in the forecast at this time. ..Barnes.. 09/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1238 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Increasing southerly surface winds are expected to develop across the Great Basin Saturday afternoon, as a mid-level shortwave trough within relatively stronger southerly flow approaches the CA coast. Relative humidity in the low teens will coincide with these higher wind speeds (around 15 mph sustained) yielding at least localized elevated fire weather conditions near and south of the Toiyabe National Forest of NV, where 100-hour fuel moisture continues to decrease. Given the very localized nature of any higher wind potential, however, an Elevated area will not be included in the forecast at this time. ..Barnes.. 09/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more