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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 AM CST Sat Feb 01 2025 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Flow aloft will be primarily zonal over the central US through the weekend. In response, lee troughing will persist with west/southwesterly winds over much of the southern Plains. Some fire-weather risk is possible as area fuels dry with warm temperatures and low humidity. However, the overlap of strong winds and low humidity is not expected to support widespread critical concerns. ...Southern High Plains... At least modestly dry and windy conditions should continue into D2/Sunday as the lee low/trough remains over the High Plains. Continued warm and dry conditions will support further drying of area fuels. While zonal flow aloft is expected to be fairly strong, it is displaced to the north. This should keep surface wind speeds modest for much of that period across areas of the drier/more receptive fuels. Localized elevated fire-weather conditions are still possible from southeastern NM into West TX. However, conditions are not expected to be widespread enough to support an Elevated area. ..Lyons.. 02/01/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 AM CST Sat Feb 01 2025 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Flow aloft will be primarily zonal over the central US through the weekend. In response, lee troughing will persist with west/southwesterly winds over much of the southern Plains. Some fire-weather risk is possible as area fuels dry with warm temperatures and low humidity. However, the overlap of strong winds and low humidity is not expected to support widespread critical concerns. ...Southern High Plains... At least modestly dry and windy conditions should continue into D2/Sunday as the lee low/trough remains over the High Plains. Continued warm and dry conditions will support further drying of area fuels. While zonal flow aloft is expected to be fairly strong, it is displaced to the north. This should keep surface wind speeds modest for much of that period across areas of the drier/more receptive fuels. Localized elevated fire-weather conditions are still possible from southeastern NM into West TX. However, conditions are not expected to be widespread enough to support an Elevated area. ..Lyons.. 02/01/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0159 AM CST Sat Feb 01 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...Synopsis... Increasing zonal mid-level flow will become established over the CONUS in the wake of the trough departing the East Coast today. A lee low will strengthen surface winds over parts of the Plains where warm temperatures and low humidity are expected. This could allow for some fire-weather risk over the southern High Plains and NM, though fuels remain a complicating factor. ...Southern Plains and east-central NM... As mostly zonal flow aloft pass over the central Rockies, a lee low is expected to bolster south/southwesterly flow (15-25 mph) over parts of the southern High Plains. Diurnal heating, intermixed with some mid and high-level cloud cover, should favor above normal temperatures. The warm temperatures and westerly surface flow should support gusty winds and RH below 20% across much of the southern Plains. Meteorologically elevated (and localized near critical) conditions are possible across portions of the NM highlands, eastern TX Panhandles and western OK for several hours this afternoon. The primary uncertainty precluding larger and higher categorical areas remains the availability and receptiveness of area fuels. Drying has been noted over the last several days, especially within areas devoid of heavier precipitation (TX Panhandle and western OK). ERCs are expected to gradually increase above normal, but confidence in widespread critical fuels is currently low. Still, the expected drying of fuels could support a risk of increased initial attack within short-hour fuels. Thus, an Elevated area has been added where the best overlap of receptive fuels and sustained meteorological conditions are expected across TX/OK and NM. ..Lyons.. 02/01/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0159 AM CST Sat Feb 01 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...Synopsis... Increasing zonal mid-level flow will become established over the CONUS in the wake of the trough departing the East Coast today. A lee low will strengthen surface winds over parts of the Plains where warm temperatures and low humidity are expected. This could allow for some fire-weather risk over the southern High Plains and NM, though fuels remain a complicating factor. ...Southern Plains and east-central NM... As mostly zonal flow aloft pass over the central Rockies, a lee low is expected to bolster south/southwesterly flow (15-25 mph) over parts of the southern High Plains. Diurnal heating, intermixed with some mid and high-level cloud cover, should favor above normal temperatures. The warm temperatures and westerly surface flow should support gusty winds and RH below 20% across much of the southern Plains. Meteorologically elevated (and localized near critical) conditions are possible across portions of the NM highlands, eastern TX Panhandles and western OK for several hours this afternoon. The primary uncertainty precluding larger and higher categorical areas remains the availability and receptiveness of area fuels. Drying has been noted over the last several days, especially within areas devoid of heavier precipitation (TX Panhandle and western OK). ERCs are expected to gradually increase above normal, but confidence in widespread critical fuels is currently low. Still, the expected drying of fuels could support a risk of increased initial attack within short-hour fuels. Thus, an Elevated area has been added where the best overlap of receptive fuels and sustained meteorological conditions are expected across TX/OK and NM. ..Lyons.. 02/01/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0159 AM CST Sat Feb 01 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...Synopsis... Increasing zonal mid-level flow will become established over the CONUS in the wake of the trough departing the East Coast today. A lee low will strengthen surface winds over parts of the Plains where warm temperatures and low humidity are expected. This could allow for some fire-weather risk over the southern High Plains and NM, though fuels remain a complicating factor. ...Southern Plains and east-central NM... As mostly zonal flow aloft pass over the central Rockies, a lee low is expected to bolster south/southwesterly flow (15-25 mph) over parts of the southern High Plains. Diurnal heating, intermixed with some mid and high-level cloud cover, should favor above normal temperatures. The warm temperatures and westerly surface flow should support gusty winds and RH below 20% across much of the southern Plains. Meteorologically elevated (and localized near critical) conditions are possible across portions of the NM highlands, eastern TX Panhandles and western OK for several hours this afternoon. The primary uncertainty precluding larger and higher categorical areas remains the availability and receptiveness of area fuels. Drying has been noted over the last several days, especially within areas devoid of heavier precipitation (TX Panhandle and western OK). ERCs are expected to gradually increase above normal, but confidence in widespread critical fuels is currently low. Still, the expected drying of fuels could support a risk of increased initial attack within short-hour fuels. Thus, an Elevated area has been added where the best overlap of receptive fuels and sustained meteorological conditions are expected across TX/OK and NM. ..Lyons.. 02/01/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0159 AM CST Sat Feb 01 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...Synopsis... Increasing zonal mid-level flow will become established over the CONUS in the wake of the trough departing the East Coast today. A lee low will strengthen surface winds over parts of the Plains where warm temperatures and low humidity are expected. This could allow for some fire-weather risk over the southern High Plains and NM, though fuels remain a complicating factor. ...Southern Plains and east-central NM... As mostly zonal flow aloft pass over the central Rockies, a lee low is expected to bolster south/southwesterly flow (15-25 mph) over parts of the southern High Plains. Diurnal heating, intermixed with some mid and high-level cloud cover, should favor above normal temperatures. The warm temperatures and westerly surface flow should support gusty winds and RH below 20% across much of the southern Plains. Meteorologically elevated (and localized near critical) conditions are possible across portions of the NM highlands, eastern TX Panhandles and western OK for several hours this afternoon. The primary uncertainty precluding larger and higher categorical areas remains the availability and receptiveness of area fuels. Drying has been noted over the last several days, especially within areas devoid of heavier precipitation (TX Panhandle and western OK). ERCs are expected to gradually increase above normal, but confidence in widespread critical fuels is currently low. Still, the expected drying of fuels could support a risk of increased initial attack within short-hour fuels. Thus, an Elevated area has been added where the best overlap of receptive fuels and sustained meteorological conditions are expected across TX/OK and NM. ..Lyons.. 02/01/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0159 AM CST Sat Feb 01 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...Synopsis... Increasing zonal mid-level flow will become established over the CONUS in the wake of the trough departing the East Coast today. A lee low will strengthen surface winds over parts of the Plains where warm temperatures and low humidity are expected. This could allow for some fire-weather risk over the southern High Plains and NM, though fuels remain a complicating factor. ...Southern Plains and east-central NM... As mostly zonal flow aloft pass over the central Rockies, a lee low is expected to bolster south/southwesterly flow (15-25 mph) over parts of the southern High Plains. Diurnal heating, intermixed with some mid and high-level cloud cover, should favor above normal temperatures. The warm temperatures and westerly surface flow should support gusty winds and RH below 20% across much of the southern Plains. Meteorologically elevated (and localized near critical) conditions are possible across portions of the NM highlands, eastern TX Panhandles and western OK for several hours this afternoon. The primary uncertainty precluding larger and higher categorical areas remains the availability and receptiveness of area fuels. Drying has been noted over the last several days, especially within areas devoid of heavier precipitation (TX Panhandle and western OK). ERCs are expected to gradually increase above normal, but confidence in widespread critical fuels is currently low. Still, the expected drying of fuels could support a risk of increased initial attack within short-hour fuels. Thus, an Elevated area has been added where the best overlap of receptive fuels and sustained meteorological conditions are expected across TX/OK and NM. ..Lyons.. 02/01/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1252 AM CST Sat Feb 01 2025 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm activity is forecast to be minimal across the U.S. on Sunday. ...Synopsis... Zonal flow pattern aloft will prevail across the U.S. on Sunday. Farther north, a short-wave trough/low is forecast to move across/out of southern portions of the Canadian Prairie into/across Ontario through the period. In tandem with this Canadian feature, a surface low is progged to cross Ontario, reaching the James Bay vicinity by Monday morning. A trailing cold front will sharpen/shift slowly southward across the northern Intermountain region/northern Plains, and eventually southeastward across the Upper Great Lakes region. With continental/stable air forecast to prevail across the country, thunderstorms are not expected CONUS-wide. ..Goss.. 02/01/2025 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1252 AM CST Sat Feb 01 2025 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm activity is forecast to be minimal across the U.S. on Sunday. ...Synopsis... Zonal flow pattern aloft will prevail across the U.S. on Sunday. Farther north, a short-wave trough/low is forecast to move across/out of southern portions of the Canadian Prairie into/across Ontario through the period. In tandem with this Canadian feature, a surface low is progged to cross Ontario, reaching the James Bay vicinity by Monday morning. A trailing cold front will sharpen/shift slowly southward across the northern Intermountain region/northern Plains, and eventually southeastward across the Upper Great Lakes region. With continental/stable air forecast to prevail across the country, thunderstorms are not expected CONUS-wide. ..Goss.. 02/01/2025 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1252 AM CST Sat Feb 01 2025 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm activity is forecast to be minimal across the U.S. on Sunday. ...Synopsis... Zonal flow pattern aloft will prevail across the U.S. on Sunday. Farther north, a short-wave trough/low is forecast to move across/out of southern portions of the Canadian Prairie into/across Ontario through the period. In tandem with this Canadian feature, a surface low is progged to cross Ontario, reaching the James Bay vicinity by Monday morning. A trailing cold front will sharpen/shift slowly southward across the northern Intermountain region/northern Plains, and eventually southeastward across the Upper Great Lakes region. With continental/stable air forecast to prevail across the country, thunderstorms are not expected CONUS-wide. ..Goss.. 02/01/2025 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1252 AM CST Sat Feb 01 2025 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm activity is forecast to be minimal across the U.S. on Sunday. ...Synopsis... Zonal flow pattern aloft will prevail across the U.S. on Sunday. Farther north, a short-wave trough/low is forecast to move across/out of southern portions of the Canadian Prairie into/across Ontario through the period. In tandem with this Canadian feature, a surface low is progged to cross Ontario, reaching the James Bay vicinity by Monday morning. A trailing cold front will sharpen/shift slowly southward across the northern Intermountain region/northern Plains, and eventually southeastward across the Upper Great Lakes region. With continental/stable air forecast to prevail across the country, thunderstorms are not expected CONUS-wide. ..Goss.. 02/01/2025 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1252 AM CST Sat Feb 01 2025 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm activity is forecast to be minimal across the U.S. on Sunday. ...Synopsis... Zonal flow pattern aloft will prevail across the U.S. on Sunday. Farther north, a short-wave trough/low is forecast to move across/out of southern portions of the Canadian Prairie into/across Ontario through the period. In tandem with this Canadian feature, a surface low is progged to cross Ontario, reaching the James Bay vicinity by Monday morning. A trailing cold front will sharpen/shift slowly southward across the northern Intermountain region/northern Plains, and eventually southeastward across the Upper Great Lakes region. With continental/stable air forecast to prevail across the country, thunderstorms are not expected CONUS-wide. ..Goss.. 02/01/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1150 PM CST Fri Jan 31 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the continental U.S. today or tonight. ...DISCUSSION... At mid-levels, a trough will move into the western Atlantic today, as a trough moves through the central U.S., and flow becomes westerly over much of the nation. At the surface, high pressure will be entrenched across much of the central and eastern U.S., which will keep a dry and cool airmass in place. This will limit moisture return over the U.S. making conditions unfavorable for thunderstorms today and tonight. ..Broyles/Lyons.. 02/01/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1150 PM CST Fri Jan 31 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the continental U.S. today or tonight. ...DISCUSSION... At mid-levels, a trough will move into the western Atlantic today, as a trough moves through the central U.S., and flow becomes westerly over much of the nation. At the surface, high pressure will be entrenched across much of the central and eastern U.S., which will keep a dry and cool airmass in place. This will limit moisture return over the U.S. making conditions unfavorable for thunderstorms today and tonight. ..Broyles/Lyons.. 02/01/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1150 PM CST Fri Jan 31 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the continental U.S. today or tonight. ...DISCUSSION... At mid-levels, a trough will move into the western Atlantic today, as a trough moves through the central U.S., and flow becomes westerly over much of the nation. At the surface, high pressure will be entrenched across much of the central and eastern U.S., which will keep a dry and cool airmass in place. This will limit moisture return over the U.S. making conditions unfavorable for thunderstorms today and tonight. ..Broyles/Lyons.. 02/01/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1150 PM CST Fri Jan 31 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the continental U.S. today or tonight. ...DISCUSSION... At mid-levels, a trough will move into the western Atlantic today, as a trough moves through the central U.S., and flow becomes westerly over much of the nation. At the surface, high pressure will be entrenched across much of the central and eastern U.S., which will keep a dry and cool airmass in place. This will limit moisture return over the U.S. making conditions unfavorable for thunderstorms today and tonight. ..Broyles/Lyons.. 02/01/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1150 PM CST Fri Jan 31 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the continental U.S. today or tonight. ...DISCUSSION... At mid-levels, a trough will move into the western Atlantic today, as a trough moves through the central U.S., and flow becomes westerly over much of the nation. At the surface, high pressure will be entrenched across much of the central and eastern U.S., which will keep a dry and cool airmass in place. This will limit moisture return over the U.S. making conditions unfavorable for thunderstorms today and tonight. ..Broyles/Lyons.. 02/01/2025 Read more

The number of wildfires and acres burned were higher than normal in December and January, according to the S.C. Forestry Commission. As of Jan. 30, the Forestry Commission had responded to 200 wildfires that burned more than 531 acres. The number of fires in January was twice the five-year average, and the number of acres burned was 41% above the five-year average. Wildfire activity in the state typically peaks from February through April, as vegetation from the previous growing season was dormant and cured. The Sumter Item (S.C.), Jan 31, 2025

The South Carolina Drought Response Committee met via conference call on Jan. 31 and decided to continue incipient drought for 32 counties that include the Upstate, Pee Dee and parts of the Lowcountry. Normal drought conditions were kept for 14 counties from the Midlands to the southeast corner of the state. The Drought Response Committee will meet again on Feb. 26. The Sumter Item (S.C.), Jan 31, 2025

The lack of snow in Cache Valley may mean that there will not be an adequate water supply in the spring and summer. Local dairy operators were worried about the lack of snow and their ability to grow hay for their livestock. FOX 13 (Salt Lake City, Utah), Jan 31, 2025