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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0443 PM CDT Fri Sep 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 131200Z ...Synopsis... A mid to upper-level trough over the Great Lakes will continue to progress east and northeastward into early next week. Farther west over the Rockies, a shortwave ridge will briefly weaken and then amplify again as a Pacific upper trough deepens and moves onshore around D5/Tuesday. Increasing mid to upper level height gradients across the Intermountain West will accompany this trough into D6/Wednesday. ...D3/Sunday... A mix of dry and wet thunderstorm chances will likely continue near and east of the Cascades by this time. Given the chance of wetting rains over the next couple of days across this region, and a trend towards higher RH via lower temperatures and deepening boundary layer moisture, low probabilities for dry thunderstorms do not appear warranted at this time. This will be monitored closely, however, over the next couple of days considering the highly receptive state of the current fuels. ...D5/Tuesday - D6/Wednesday... Increasing south-southwesterly surface winds are expected to develop from western AZ into southwestern UT, and a portion of the central Rockies early to mid next week. Warm and dry conditions are also anticipated here, though fuels remain relatively unreceptive to ignition and spread. For this reason, low probabilities will not be introduced at this time. ..Barnes.. 09/05/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0443 PM CDT Fri Sep 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 131200Z ...Synopsis... A mid to upper-level trough over the Great Lakes will continue to progress east and northeastward into early next week. Farther west over the Rockies, a shortwave ridge will briefly weaken and then amplify again as a Pacific upper trough deepens and moves onshore around D5/Tuesday. Increasing mid to upper level height gradients across the Intermountain West will accompany this trough into D6/Wednesday. ...D3/Sunday... A mix of dry and wet thunderstorm chances will likely continue near and east of the Cascades by this time. Given the chance of wetting rains over the next couple of days across this region, and a trend towards higher RH via lower temperatures and deepening boundary layer moisture, low probabilities for dry thunderstorms do not appear warranted at this time. This will be monitored closely, however, over the next couple of days considering the highly receptive state of the current fuels. ...D5/Tuesday - D6/Wednesday... Increasing south-southwesterly surface winds are expected to develop from western AZ into southwestern UT, and a portion of the central Rockies early to mid next week. Warm and dry conditions are also anticipated here, though fuels remain relatively unreceptive to ignition and spread. For this reason, low probabilities will not be introduced at this time. ..Barnes.. 09/05/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0443 PM CDT Fri Sep 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 131200Z ...Synopsis... A mid to upper-level trough over the Great Lakes will continue to progress east and northeastward into early next week. Farther west over the Rockies, a shortwave ridge will briefly weaken and then amplify again as a Pacific upper trough deepens and moves onshore around D5/Tuesday. Increasing mid to upper level height gradients across the Intermountain West will accompany this trough into D6/Wednesday. ...D3/Sunday... A mix of dry and wet thunderstorm chances will likely continue near and east of the Cascades by this time. Given the chance of wetting rains over the next couple of days across this region, and a trend towards higher RH via lower temperatures and deepening boundary layer moisture, low probabilities for dry thunderstorms do not appear warranted at this time. This will be monitored closely, however, over the next couple of days considering the highly receptive state of the current fuels. ...D5/Tuesday - D6/Wednesday... Increasing south-southwesterly surface winds are expected to develop from western AZ into southwestern UT, and a portion of the central Rockies early to mid next week. Warm and dry conditions are also anticipated here, though fuels remain relatively unreceptive to ignition and spread. For this reason, low probabilities will not be introduced at this time. ..Barnes.. 09/05/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0443 PM CDT Fri Sep 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 131200Z ...Synopsis... A mid to upper-level trough over the Great Lakes will continue to progress east and northeastward into early next week. Farther west over the Rockies, a shortwave ridge will briefly weaken and then amplify again as a Pacific upper trough deepens and moves onshore around D5/Tuesday. Increasing mid to upper level height gradients across the Intermountain West will accompany this trough into D6/Wednesday. ...D3/Sunday... A mix of dry and wet thunderstorm chances will likely continue near and east of the Cascades by this time. Given the chance of wetting rains over the next couple of days across this region, and a trend towards higher RH via lower temperatures and deepening boundary layer moisture, low probabilities for dry thunderstorms do not appear warranted at this time. This will be monitored closely, however, over the next couple of days considering the highly receptive state of the current fuels. ...D5/Tuesday - D6/Wednesday... Increasing south-southwesterly surface winds are expected to develop from western AZ into southwestern UT, and a portion of the central Rockies early to mid next week. Warm and dry conditions are also anticipated here, though fuels remain relatively unreceptive to ignition and spread. For this reason, low probabilities will not be introduced at this time. ..Barnes.. 09/05/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0443 PM CDT Fri Sep 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 131200Z ...Synopsis... A mid to upper-level trough over the Great Lakes will continue to progress east and northeastward into early next week. Farther west over the Rockies, a shortwave ridge will briefly weaken and then amplify again as a Pacific upper trough deepens and moves onshore around D5/Tuesday. Increasing mid to upper level height gradients across the Intermountain West will accompany this trough into D6/Wednesday. ...D3/Sunday... A mix of dry and wet thunderstorm chances will likely continue near and east of the Cascades by this time. Given the chance of wetting rains over the next couple of days across this region, and a trend towards higher RH via lower temperatures and deepening boundary layer moisture, low probabilities for dry thunderstorms do not appear warranted at this time. This will be monitored closely, however, over the next couple of days considering the highly receptive state of the current fuels. ...D5/Tuesday - D6/Wednesday... Increasing south-southwesterly surface winds are expected to develop from western AZ into southwestern UT, and a portion of the central Rockies early to mid next week. Warm and dry conditions are also anticipated here, though fuels remain relatively unreceptive to ignition and spread. For this reason, low probabilities will not be introduced at this time. ..Barnes.. 09/05/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0443 PM CDT Fri Sep 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 131200Z ...Synopsis... A mid to upper-level trough over the Great Lakes will continue to progress east and northeastward into early next week. Farther west over the Rockies, a shortwave ridge will briefly weaken and then amplify again as a Pacific upper trough deepens and moves onshore around D5/Tuesday. Increasing mid to upper level height gradients across the Intermountain West will accompany this trough into D6/Wednesday. ...D3/Sunday... A mix of dry and wet thunderstorm chances will likely continue near and east of the Cascades by this time. Given the chance of wetting rains over the next couple of days across this region, and a trend towards higher RH via lower temperatures and deepening boundary layer moisture, low probabilities for dry thunderstorms do not appear warranted at this time. This will be monitored closely, however, over the next couple of days considering the highly receptive state of the current fuels. ...D5/Tuesday - D6/Wednesday... Increasing south-southwesterly surface winds are expected to develop from western AZ into southwestern UT, and a portion of the central Rockies early to mid next week. Warm and dry conditions are also anticipated here, though fuels remain relatively unreceptive to ignition and spread. For this reason, low probabilities will not be introduced at this time. ..Barnes.. 09/05/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0443 PM CDT Fri Sep 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 131200Z ...Synopsis... A mid to upper-level trough over the Great Lakes will continue to progress east and northeastward into early next week. Farther west over the Rockies, a shortwave ridge will briefly weaken and then amplify again as a Pacific upper trough deepens and moves onshore around D5/Tuesday. Increasing mid to upper level height gradients across the Intermountain West will accompany this trough into D6/Wednesday. ...D3/Sunday... A mix of dry and wet thunderstorm chances will likely continue near and east of the Cascades by this time. Given the chance of wetting rains over the next couple of days across this region, and a trend towards higher RH via lower temperatures and deepening boundary layer moisture, low probabilities for dry thunderstorms do not appear warranted at this time. This will be monitored closely, however, over the next couple of days considering the highly receptive state of the current fuels. ...D5/Tuesday - D6/Wednesday... Increasing south-southwesterly surface winds are expected to develop from western AZ into southwestern UT, and a portion of the central Rockies early to mid next week. Warm and dry conditions are also anticipated here, though fuels remain relatively unreceptive to ignition and spread. For this reason, low probabilities will not be introduced at this time. ..Barnes.. 09/05/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0443 PM CDT Fri Sep 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 131200Z ...Synopsis... A mid to upper-level trough over the Great Lakes will continue to progress east and northeastward into early next week. Farther west over the Rockies, a shortwave ridge will briefly weaken and then amplify again as a Pacific upper trough deepens and moves onshore around D5/Tuesday. Increasing mid to upper level height gradients across the Intermountain West will accompany this trough into D6/Wednesday. ...D3/Sunday... A mix of dry and wet thunderstorm chances will likely continue near and east of the Cascades by this time. Given the chance of wetting rains over the next couple of days across this region, and a trend towards higher RH via lower temperatures and deepening boundary layer moisture, low probabilities for dry thunderstorms do not appear warranted at this time. This will be monitored closely, however, over the next couple of days considering the highly receptive state of the current fuels. ...D5/Tuesday - D6/Wednesday... Increasing south-southwesterly surface winds are expected to develop from western AZ into southwestern UT, and a portion of the central Rockies early to mid next week. Warm and dry conditions are also anticipated here, though fuels remain relatively unreceptive to ignition and spread. For this reason, low probabilities will not be introduced at this time. ..Barnes.. 09/05/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0443 PM CDT Fri Sep 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 131200Z ...Synopsis... A mid to upper-level trough over the Great Lakes will continue to progress east and northeastward into early next week. Farther west over the Rockies, a shortwave ridge will briefly weaken and then amplify again as a Pacific upper trough deepens and moves onshore around D5/Tuesday. Increasing mid to upper level height gradients across the Intermountain West will accompany this trough into D6/Wednesday. ...D3/Sunday... A mix of dry and wet thunderstorm chances will likely continue near and east of the Cascades by this time. Given the chance of wetting rains over the next couple of days across this region, and a trend towards higher RH via lower temperatures and deepening boundary layer moisture, low probabilities for dry thunderstorms do not appear warranted at this time. This will be monitored closely, however, over the next couple of days considering the highly receptive state of the current fuels. ...D5/Tuesday - D6/Wednesday... Increasing south-southwesterly surface winds are expected to develop from western AZ into southwestern UT, and a portion of the central Rockies early to mid next week. Warm and dry conditions are also anticipated here, though fuels remain relatively unreceptive to ignition and spread. For this reason, low probabilities will not be introduced at this time. ..Barnes.. 09/05/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0443 PM CDT Fri Sep 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 131200Z ...Synopsis... A mid to upper-level trough over the Great Lakes will continue to progress east and northeastward into early next week. Farther west over the Rockies, a shortwave ridge will briefly weaken and then amplify again as a Pacific upper trough deepens and moves onshore around D5/Tuesday. Increasing mid to upper level height gradients across the Intermountain West will accompany this trough into D6/Wednesday. ...D3/Sunday... A mix of dry and wet thunderstorm chances will likely continue near and east of the Cascades by this time. Given the chance of wetting rains over the next couple of days across this region, and a trend towards higher RH via lower temperatures and deepening boundary layer moisture, low probabilities for dry thunderstorms do not appear warranted at this time. This will be monitored closely, however, over the next couple of days considering the highly receptive state of the current fuels. ...D5/Tuesday - D6/Wednesday... Increasing south-southwesterly surface winds are expected to develop from western AZ into southwestern UT, and a portion of the central Rockies early to mid next week. Warm and dry conditions are also anticipated here, though fuels remain relatively unreceptive to ignition and spread. For this reason, low probabilities will not be introduced at this time. ..Barnes.. 09/05/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0443 PM CDT Fri Sep 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 131200Z ...Synopsis... A mid to upper-level trough over the Great Lakes will continue to progress east and northeastward into early next week. Farther west over the Rockies, a shortwave ridge will briefly weaken and then amplify again as a Pacific upper trough deepens and moves onshore around D5/Tuesday. Increasing mid to upper level height gradients across the Intermountain West will accompany this trough into D6/Wednesday. ...D3/Sunday... A mix of dry and wet thunderstorm chances will likely continue near and east of the Cascades by this time. Given the chance of wetting rains over the next couple of days across this region, and a trend towards higher RH via lower temperatures and deepening boundary layer moisture, low probabilities for dry thunderstorms do not appear warranted at this time. This will be monitored closely, however, over the next couple of days considering the highly receptive state of the current fuels. ...D5/Tuesday - D6/Wednesday... Increasing south-southwesterly surface winds are expected to develop from western AZ into southwestern UT, and a portion of the central Rockies early to mid next week. Warm and dry conditions are also anticipated here, though fuels remain relatively unreceptive to ignition and spread. For this reason, low probabilities will not be introduced at this time. ..Barnes.. 09/05/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

WW 0606 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0606 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

No watches are valid as of Fri Sep 5 21:35:02 UTC 2025.

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 05 Sep 2025 20:56:40 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 05 Sep 2025 21:22:21 GMT

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 05 Sep 2025 20:56:40 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 05 Sep 2025 20:56:40 GMT

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 05 Sep 2025 20:46:05 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 05 Sep 2025 20:46:05 GMT

Issued at 1100 AM HST Fri Sep 05 2025 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 052044 TCDEP1 Hurricane Kiko Discussion Number 23 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112025 Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 1100 AM HST Fri Sep 05 2025 The satellite presentation of Kiko has shown significant improvement since the last advisory, with the eye clearing out and its coldest cloud tops more fully encircling it. The most recent subjective Dvorak current intensity estimates from TAFB and SAB were T6.0/115 kt and T5.5/102 kt. Objective estimates from UW-CIMSS have been increasing, with the latest ADT estimate up to to 115 knots. Considering the continuing improvement since the time of the 1800 UTC fixes, the intensity has been set at 115 kts, which could be conservative as the eye continues to clear out. Kiko continues to move to the west-northwest, or 290 degrees, at 9 kt. The western extent of a subtropical ridge to the north of the cyclone is eroding due to a developing upper-level low north of Hawaii. This general west-northwestward motion along with a gradual increase in forward speed is forecast into early next week, as Kiko moves along the southwest periphery of this subtropical ridge and towards the upper-level low to the north and northwest of the Hawaiian Islands. The track forecast has shifted northward due to the slightly more northward initial motion, and poleward shift in the track guidance. Based on the forecast track Kiko is expected to cross 140W into the central Pacific Ocean overnight into Saturday morning. The track forecast remains close to the HCCA consensus aid. By the end of the forecast track, Kiko may turn more westward as it becomes increasingly steered by the low-level flow. The hurricane will remain over warm waters of 27–28C for the next 12 hours, while influenced by light northeasterly vertical wind shear embedded in a drier than normal mid-level environment. These environmental factors should keep Kiko a smaller than average sized storm as the dry air prevents more prominent outer rain bands from forming. Conditions still appear favorable for additional intensification, so the latest intensity and given the current improving structure, more intensification is shown than before, well above all of the available guidance. This forecast also fits in with the possibility for Kiko developing annular structure which could keep it stronger than the forecast intensity guidance. Thereafter, Kiko will move over cooler waters and an even drier mid-level environment. After 48 hours, west-southwesterly vertical wind shear increases steadily, exceeding 30 kt by Wednesday. This shear may help import the nearby environmental dry air into Kiko's small core. Thus, rapid weakening of the tropical cyclone is forecast as Kiko passes to the northeast of the Hawaiian Islands by the end of the forecast. After the initial bump in short-term intensity, this forecast trends back to the middle of the consensus envelope early next week, and then trends lower by the end of the forecast period. Key Messages: 1. Kiko is forecast to approach the Hawaiian Islands during the early to the middle portion of next week. Impacts from rain and wind remain a possibility, but it is too soon to determine the exact location or magnitude of these impacts, and interests there should continue to monitor the progress of this storm. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 05/2100Z 14.5N 137.8W 115 KT 130 MPH 12H 06/0600Z 14.9N 139.1W 125 KT 145 MPH 24H 06/1800Z 15.6N 141.0W 120 KT 140 MPH 36H 07/0600Z 16.3N 143.0W 115 KT 130 MPH 48H 07/1800Z 17.2N 145.0W 100 KT 115 MPH 60H 08/0600Z 18.2N 147.0W 90 KT 105 MPH 72H 08/1800Z 19.4N 149.1W 75 KT 85 MPH 96H 09/1800Z 21.7N 153.5W 50 KT 60 MPH 120H 10/1800Z 23.7N 158.2W 35 KT 40 MPH $$ Forecaster Roth/Papin

Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 05 2025 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 052041 PWSEP1 HURRICANE KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112025 ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 2100 UTC FRI SEP 05 2025 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 137.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 115 KTS...130 MPH...215 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 140W 34 70 30(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 15N 140W 50 14 75(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) 15N 140W 64 3 65(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) 20N 140W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 145W 34 X 1( 1) 11(12) 18(30) 3(33) X(33) X(33) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 15N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 16(30) 1(31) X(31) 20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 20N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 59(60) 19(79) X(79) 20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 19(42) X(42) 20N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 9(18) X(18) 25N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 33(33) 31(64) X(64) 20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 22(27) X(27) 20N 151W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) X(10) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) X(11) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) 1(18) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) 18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 4(12) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) 21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) BARKING SANDS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) JOINT BASE PHH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 26N 159W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 25N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) $$ FORECASTER ROTH/PAPIN

Issued at 1100 AM HST Fri Sep 05 2025 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 052041 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Hurricane Kiko Advisory Number 23 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112025 Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 1100 AM HST Fri Sep 05 2025 ...KIKO QUICKLY RE-INTENSIFIES INTO A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.5N 137.8W ABOUT 1195 MI...1925 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII ABOUT 1400 MI...2255 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...951 MB...28.09 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should monitor the progress of Kiko. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Kiko was located near latitude 14.5 North, longitude 137.8 West. Kiko is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue over the next few days. On the forecast track, Kiko is expected to move into the central Pacific basin by tomorrow morning. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher gusts. Kiko is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Additional strengthening is expected this afternoon and tonight before slow weakening begins on Saturday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 951 mb (28.09 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Kiko can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1 and WMO header WTPZ41 KNHC. SURF: Swells generated by Hurricane Kiko could begin reaching the Hawaiian Islands towards the end of this weekend. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip currents. Please consult products by the National Weather Service in Honolulu, Hawaii. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM HST. $$ Forecaster Roth/Papin

...KIKO QUICKLY RE-INTENSIFIES INTO A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN... As of 11:00 AM HST Fri Sep 05 the center of Kiko was located near 14.5, -137.8 with movement WNW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 951 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 130 mph.