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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0458 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025 Valid 251200Z - 011200Z A potent upper trough is expected to translate east-northeastward from the Desert Southwest into the Northern Plains from Day 3/Friday through Day 6/Monday. Intensifying mid-level flow over ahead of the trough over a dry boundary layer will present a multi-day fire weather threat across portions of the Southwest and adjacent High Plains where anticipated precipitation will be limited over existing dry fuels. ...Southwest and Southern Great Basin... Increasing southwest winds associated with a eastward progressing upper-level trough will couple with low daytime relative humidity to generate several days of Elevated to potentially Critical fire weather conditions across portions of eastern Arizona, New Mexico and adjacent High Plains, where dry fuels remain or are expected to develop. The strongest wind and dry air mass alignment, coinciding with the arrival of the mid-level jet max, will be on Day 5/Sunday across portions of southern and central New Mexico where a 70 percent chance of Critical fire weather conditions were introduced. Model guidance depicts the eastward progression of the upper-trough and subsequent lee surface trough ejection into the Northern Plains by Day 6/Monday. However, forecast uncertainty exists with spatial distribution of southern High Plains convective precipitation which could tame fuel receptiveness to spread across the area. ...Florida... A very dry fuelscape remains across the Florida Panhandle. A cold front descending into the Southeast by early next week with greater probabilities of wetting rains across northern Florida. Continued east-southeast winds along with dry fuels could present at least an Elevated fire weather threat across the southern half of Florida through the forecast period. ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/23/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0458 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025 Valid 251200Z - 011200Z A potent upper trough is expected to translate east-northeastward from the Desert Southwest into the Northern Plains from Day 3/Friday through Day 6/Monday. Intensifying mid-level flow over ahead of the trough over a dry boundary layer will present a multi-day fire weather threat across portions of the Southwest and adjacent High Plains where anticipated precipitation will be limited over existing dry fuels. ...Southwest and Southern Great Basin... Increasing southwest winds associated with a eastward progressing upper-level trough will couple with low daytime relative humidity to generate several days of Elevated to potentially Critical fire weather conditions across portions of eastern Arizona, New Mexico and adjacent High Plains, where dry fuels remain or are expected to develop. The strongest wind and dry air mass alignment, coinciding with the arrival of the mid-level jet max, will be on Day 5/Sunday across portions of southern and central New Mexico where a 70 percent chance of Critical fire weather conditions were introduced. Model guidance depicts the eastward progression of the upper-trough and subsequent lee surface trough ejection into the Northern Plains by Day 6/Monday. However, forecast uncertainty exists with spatial distribution of southern High Plains convective precipitation which could tame fuel receptiveness to spread across the area. ...Florida... A very dry fuelscape remains across the Florida Panhandle. A cold front descending into the Southeast by early next week with greater probabilities of wetting rains across northern Florida. Continued east-southeast winds along with dry fuels could present at least an Elevated fire weather threat across the southern half of Florida through the forecast period. ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/23/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0458 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025 Valid 251200Z - 011200Z A potent upper trough is expected to translate east-northeastward from the Desert Southwest into the Northern Plains from Day 3/Friday through Day 6/Monday. Intensifying mid-level flow over ahead of the trough over a dry boundary layer will present a multi-day fire weather threat across portions of the Southwest and adjacent High Plains where anticipated precipitation will be limited over existing dry fuels. ...Southwest and Southern Great Basin... Increasing southwest winds associated with a eastward progressing upper-level trough will couple with low daytime relative humidity to generate several days of Elevated to potentially Critical fire weather conditions across portions of eastern Arizona, New Mexico and adjacent High Plains, where dry fuels remain or are expected to develop. The strongest wind and dry air mass alignment, coinciding with the arrival of the mid-level jet max, will be on Day 5/Sunday across portions of southern and central New Mexico where a 70 percent chance of Critical fire weather conditions were introduced. Model guidance depicts the eastward progression of the upper-trough and subsequent lee surface trough ejection into the Northern Plains by Day 6/Monday. However, forecast uncertainty exists with spatial distribution of southern High Plains convective precipitation which could tame fuel receptiveness to spread across the area. ...Florida... A very dry fuelscape remains across the Florida Panhandle. A cold front descending into the Southeast by early next week with greater probabilities of wetting rains across northern Florida. Continued east-southeast winds along with dry fuels could present at least an Elevated fire weather threat across the southern half of Florida through the forecast period. ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/23/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0458 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025 Valid 251200Z - 011200Z A potent upper trough is expected to translate east-northeastward from the Desert Southwest into the Northern Plains from Day 3/Friday through Day 6/Monday. Intensifying mid-level flow over ahead of the trough over a dry boundary layer will present a multi-day fire weather threat across portions of the Southwest and adjacent High Plains where anticipated precipitation will be limited over existing dry fuels. ...Southwest and Southern Great Basin... Increasing southwest winds associated with a eastward progressing upper-level trough will couple with low daytime relative humidity to generate several days of Elevated to potentially Critical fire weather conditions across portions of eastern Arizona, New Mexico and adjacent High Plains, where dry fuels remain or are expected to develop. The strongest wind and dry air mass alignment, coinciding with the arrival of the mid-level jet max, will be on Day 5/Sunday across portions of southern and central New Mexico where a 70 percent chance of Critical fire weather conditions were introduced. Model guidance depicts the eastward progression of the upper-trough and subsequent lee surface trough ejection into the Northern Plains by Day 6/Monday. However, forecast uncertainty exists with spatial distribution of southern High Plains convective precipitation which could tame fuel receptiveness to spread across the area. ...Florida... A very dry fuelscape remains across the Florida Panhandle. A cold front descending into the Southeast by early next week with greater probabilities of wetting rains across northern Florida. Continued east-southeast winds along with dry fuels could present at least an Elevated fire weather threat across the southern half of Florida through the forecast period. ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/23/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0458 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025 Valid 251200Z - 011200Z A potent upper trough is expected to translate east-northeastward from the Desert Southwest into the Northern Plains from Day 3/Friday through Day 6/Monday. Intensifying mid-level flow over ahead of the trough over a dry boundary layer will present a multi-day fire weather threat across portions of the Southwest and adjacent High Plains where anticipated precipitation will be limited over existing dry fuels. ...Southwest and Southern Great Basin... Increasing southwest winds associated with a eastward progressing upper-level trough will couple with low daytime relative humidity to generate several days of Elevated to potentially Critical fire weather conditions across portions of eastern Arizona, New Mexico and adjacent High Plains, where dry fuels remain or are expected to develop. The strongest wind and dry air mass alignment, coinciding with the arrival of the mid-level jet max, will be on Day 5/Sunday across portions of southern and central New Mexico where a 70 percent chance of Critical fire weather conditions were introduced. Model guidance depicts the eastward progression of the upper-trough and subsequent lee surface trough ejection into the Northern Plains by Day 6/Monday. However, forecast uncertainty exists with spatial distribution of southern High Plains convective precipitation which could tame fuel receptiveness to spread across the area. ...Florida... A very dry fuelscape remains across the Florida Panhandle. A cold front descending into the Southeast by early next week with greater probabilities of wetting rains across northern Florida. Continued east-southeast winds along with dry fuels could present at least an Elevated fire weather threat across the southern half of Florida through the forecast period. ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/23/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0458 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025 Valid 251200Z - 011200Z A potent upper trough is expected to translate east-northeastward from the Desert Southwest into the Northern Plains from Day 3/Friday through Day 6/Monday. Intensifying mid-level flow over ahead of the trough over a dry boundary layer will present a multi-day fire weather threat across portions of the Southwest and adjacent High Plains where anticipated precipitation will be limited over existing dry fuels. ...Southwest and Southern Great Basin... Increasing southwest winds associated with a eastward progressing upper-level trough will couple with low daytime relative humidity to generate several days of Elevated to potentially Critical fire weather conditions across portions of eastern Arizona, New Mexico and adjacent High Plains, where dry fuels remain or are expected to develop. The strongest wind and dry air mass alignment, coinciding with the arrival of the mid-level jet max, will be on Day 5/Sunday across portions of southern and central New Mexico where a 70 percent chance of Critical fire weather conditions were introduced. Model guidance depicts the eastward progression of the upper-trough and subsequent lee surface trough ejection into the Northern Plains by Day 6/Monday. However, forecast uncertainty exists with spatial distribution of southern High Plains convective precipitation which could tame fuel receptiveness to spread across the area. ...Florida... A very dry fuelscape remains across the Florida Panhandle. A cold front descending into the Southeast by early next week with greater probabilities of wetting rains across northern Florida. Continued east-southeast winds along with dry fuels could present at least an Elevated fire weather threat across the southern half of Florida through the forecast period. ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/23/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0458 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025 Valid 251200Z - 011200Z A potent upper trough is expected to translate east-northeastward from the Desert Southwest into the Northern Plains from Day 3/Friday through Day 6/Monday. Intensifying mid-level flow over ahead of the trough over a dry boundary layer will present a multi-day fire weather threat across portions of the Southwest and adjacent High Plains where anticipated precipitation will be limited over existing dry fuels. ...Southwest and Southern Great Basin... Increasing southwest winds associated with a eastward progressing upper-level trough will couple with low daytime relative humidity to generate several days of Elevated to potentially Critical fire weather conditions across portions of eastern Arizona, New Mexico and adjacent High Plains, where dry fuels remain or are expected to develop. The strongest wind and dry air mass alignment, coinciding with the arrival of the mid-level jet max, will be on Day 5/Sunday across portions of southern and central New Mexico where a 70 percent chance of Critical fire weather conditions were introduced. Model guidance depicts the eastward progression of the upper-trough and subsequent lee surface trough ejection into the Northern Plains by Day 6/Monday. However, forecast uncertainty exists with spatial distribution of southern High Plains convective precipitation which could tame fuel receptiveness to spread across the area. ...Florida... A very dry fuelscape remains across the Florida Panhandle. A cold front descending into the Southeast by early next week with greater probabilities of wetting rains across northern Florida. Continued east-southeast winds along with dry fuels could present at least an Elevated fire weather threat across the southern half of Florida through the forecast period. ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/23/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0458 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025 Valid 251200Z - 011200Z A potent upper trough is expected to translate east-northeastward from the Desert Southwest into the Northern Plains from Day 3/Friday through Day 6/Monday. Intensifying mid-level flow over ahead of the trough over a dry boundary layer will present a multi-day fire weather threat across portions of the Southwest and adjacent High Plains where anticipated precipitation will be limited over existing dry fuels. ...Southwest and Southern Great Basin... Increasing southwest winds associated with a eastward progressing upper-level trough will couple with low daytime relative humidity to generate several days of Elevated to potentially Critical fire weather conditions across portions of eastern Arizona, New Mexico and adjacent High Plains, where dry fuels remain or are expected to develop. The strongest wind and dry air mass alignment, coinciding with the arrival of the mid-level jet max, will be on Day 5/Sunday across portions of southern and central New Mexico where a 70 percent chance of Critical fire weather conditions were introduced. Model guidance depicts the eastward progression of the upper-trough and subsequent lee surface trough ejection into the Northern Plains by Day 6/Monday. However, forecast uncertainty exists with spatial distribution of southern High Plains convective precipitation which could tame fuel receptiveness to spread across the area. ...Florida... A very dry fuelscape remains across the Florida Panhandle. A cold front descending into the Southeast by early next week with greater probabilities of wetting rains across northern Florida. Continued east-southeast winds along with dry fuels could present at least an Elevated fire weather threat across the southern half of Florida through the forecast period. ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/23/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0458 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025 Valid 251200Z - 011200Z A potent upper trough is expected to translate east-northeastward from the Desert Southwest into the Northern Plains from Day 3/Friday through Day 6/Monday. Intensifying mid-level flow over ahead of the trough over a dry boundary layer will present a multi-day fire weather threat across portions of the Southwest and adjacent High Plains where anticipated precipitation will be limited over existing dry fuels. ...Southwest and Southern Great Basin... Increasing southwest winds associated with a eastward progressing upper-level trough will couple with low daytime relative humidity to generate several days of Elevated to potentially Critical fire weather conditions across portions of eastern Arizona, New Mexico and adjacent High Plains, where dry fuels remain or are expected to develop. The strongest wind and dry air mass alignment, coinciding with the arrival of the mid-level jet max, will be on Day 5/Sunday across portions of southern and central New Mexico where a 70 percent chance of Critical fire weather conditions were introduced. Model guidance depicts the eastward progression of the upper-trough and subsequent lee surface trough ejection into the Northern Plains by Day 6/Monday. However, forecast uncertainty exists with spatial distribution of southern High Plains convective precipitation which could tame fuel receptiveness to spread across the area. ...Florida... A very dry fuelscape remains across the Florida Panhandle. A cold front descending into the Southeast by early next week with greater probabilities of wetting rains across northern Florida. Continued east-southeast winds along with dry fuels could present at least an Elevated fire weather threat across the southern half of Florida through the forecast period. ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/23/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0458 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025 Valid 251200Z - 011200Z A potent upper trough is expected to translate east-northeastward from the Desert Southwest into the Northern Plains from Day 3/Friday through Day 6/Monday. Intensifying mid-level flow over ahead of the trough over a dry boundary layer will present a multi-day fire weather threat across portions of the Southwest and adjacent High Plains where anticipated precipitation will be limited over existing dry fuels. ...Southwest and Southern Great Basin... Increasing southwest winds associated with a eastward progressing upper-level trough will couple with low daytime relative humidity to generate several days of Elevated to potentially Critical fire weather conditions across portions of eastern Arizona, New Mexico and adjacent High Plains, where dry fuels remain or are expected to develop. The strongest wind and dry air mass alignment, coinciding with the arrival of the mid-level jet max, will be on Day 5/Sunday across portions of southern and central New Mexico where a 70 percent chance of Critical fire weather conditions were introduced. Model guidance depicts the eastward progression of the upper-trough and subsequent lee surface trough ejection into the Northern Plains by Day 6/Monday. However, forecast uncertainty exists with spatial distribution of southern High Plains convective precipitation which could tame fuel receptiveness to spread across the area. ...Florida... A very dry fuelscape remains across the Florida Panhandle. A cold front descending into the Southeast by early next week with greater probabilities of wetting rains across northern Florida. Continued east-southeast winds along with dry fuels could present at least an Elevated fire weather threat across the southern half of Florida through the forecast period. ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/23/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0458 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025 Valid 251200Z - 011200Z A potent upper trough is expected to translate east-northeastward from the Desert Southwest into the Northern Plains from Day 3/Friday through Day 6/Monday. Intensifying mid-level flow over ahead of the trough over a dry boundary layer will present a multi-day fire weather threat across portions of the Southwest and adjacent High Plains where anticipated precipitation will be limited over existing dry fuels. ...Southwest and Southern Great Basin... Increasing southwest winds associated with a eastward progressing upper-level trough will couple with low daytime relative humidity to generate several days of Elevated to potentially Critical fire weather conditions across portions of eastern Arizona, New Mexico and adjacent High Plains, where dry fuels remain or are expected to develop. The strongest wind and dry air mass alignment, coinciding with the arrival of the mid-level jet max, will be on Day 5/Sunday across portions of southern and central New Mexico where a 70 percent chance of Critical fire weather conditions were introduced. Model guidance depicts the eastward progression of the upper-trough and subsequent lee surface trough ejection into the Northern Plains by Day 6/Monday. However, forecast uncertainty exists with spatial distribution of southern High Plains convective precipitation which could tame fuel receptiveness to spread across the area. ...Florida... A very dry fuelscape remains across the Florida Panhandle. A cold front descending into the Southeast by early next week with greater probabilities of wetting rains across northern Florida. Continued east-southeast winds along with dry fuels could present at least an Elevated fire weather threat across the southern half of Florida through the forecast period. ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/23/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0458 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025 Valid 251200Z - 011200Z A potent upper trough is expected to translate east-northeastward from the Desert Southwest into the Northern Plains from Day 3/Friday through Day 6/Monday. Intensifying mid-level flow over ahead of the trough over a dry boundary layer will present a multi-day fire weather threat across portions of the Southwest and adjacent High Plains where anticipated precipitation will be limited over existing dry fuels. ...Southwest and Southern Great Basin... Increasing southwest winds associated with a eastward progressing upper-level trough will couple with low daytime relative humidity to generate several days of Elevated to potentially Critical fire weather conditions across portions of eastern Arizona, New Mexico and adjacent High Plains, where dry fuels remain or are expected to develop. The strongest wind and dry air mass alignment, coinciding with the arrival of the mid-level jet max, will be on Day 5/Sunday across portions of southern and central New Mexico where a 70 percent chance of Critical fire weather conditions were introduced. Model guidance depicts the eastward progression of the upper-trough and subsequent lee surface trough ejection into the Northern Plains by Day 6/Monday. However, forecast uncertainty exists with spatial distribution of southern High Plains convective precipitation which could tame fuel receptiveness to spread across the area. ...Florida... A very dry fuelscape remains across the Florida Panhandle. A cold front descending into the Southeast by early next week with greater probabilities of wetting rains across northern Florida. Continued east-southeast winds along with dry fuels could present at least an Elevated fire weather threat across the southern half of Florida through the forecast period. ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/23/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

The Jones Road Wildfire began in Ocean County on Tuesday, April 22. The blaze quickly engulfed 12,000 acres, caused the Garden State Parkway to be closed when the fire jumped the roadway, and led to the evacuation of 5,000 people. Drought, strong winds and warm weather contributed to the fire. ABC News, April 23, 2025

The East Brunswick Office of Emergency Management declared a drought in the township on Wednesday, April 23. Many water supplies for the community remained below normal levels. The aim of a drought warning was to conserve and safeguard available water supplies in an effort to prevent a more serious water shortage in the future. East Brunswick, NJ Patch, April 23, 2025

WW 0163 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0163 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0163 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0163 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0163 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0163 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0163 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0163 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

MD 0527 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR FAR SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0527 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0214 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025 Areas affected...far southwestern Texas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 231914Z - 232115Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...Risk for gusty winds and large hail possible this afternoon. DISCUSSION...Deepening cumulus is observed across the Davis Mountains and ahead of the surface dryline across far western Texas. Temperatures have warmed into the upper 70s to 80s which has led to weakening of MLCIN across the region. Convective initiation should occur in the next 1-2 hours. Ahead of the dryline, MLCAPE around 1000-2000 J/kg with deep layer shear around 35-40 kts. This will support supercells capable of large hail (some very large) and damaging winds, given steep lapse rates around 8-9 C/km. A watch may be needed in the coming hour. ..Thornton/Hart.. 04/23/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF... LAT...LON 30330471 30990414 31950309 32260227 32150132 31850105 31120102 30030192 29950220 29710318 29590373 29610402 29750447 30330471 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

WW 163 SEVERE TSTM CO KS 232050Z - 240400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 163 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 350 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Eastern Colorado Western Kansas * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 350 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will increase in coverage through the late afternoon and evening across the watch area, with a few supercells possible. Large hail is the primary concern, however a tornado or two could occur later this evening as well. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles northeast of Goodland KS to 5 miles east of Elkhart KS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 162... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 26030. ...Hart Read more