SPC Tornado Watch 167 Status Reports

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0167 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 167 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0553 ..DEAN..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 167 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC007-139-250340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAVER TEXAS TXC011-045-065-075-087-101-107-125-129-153-169-179-189-191-195- 211-233-263-269-295-303-305-341-345-357-375-381-393-421-433-437- 483-250340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARMSTRONG BRISCOE CARSON CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE CROSBY DICKENS DONLEY FLOYD GARZA GRAY HALE HALL HANSFORD HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON KENT KING LIPSCOMB LUBBOCK LYNN MOORE MOTLEY OCHILTREE POTTER RANDALL Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 167 Status Reports

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0167 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 167 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0553 ..DEAN..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 167 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC007-139-250340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAVER TEXAS TXC011-045-065-075-087-101-107-125-129-153-169-179-189-191-195- 211-233-263-269-295-303-305-341-345-357-375-381-393-421-433-437- 483-250340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARMSTRONG BRISCOE CARSON CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE CROSBY DICKENS DONLEY FLOYD GARZA GRAY HALE HALL HANSFORD HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON KENT KING LIPSCOMB LUBBOCK LYNN MOORE MOTLEY OCHILTREE POTTER RANDALL Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 167 Status Reports

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0167 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 167 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0553 ..DEAN..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 167 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC007-139-250340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAVER TEXAS TXC011-045-065-075-087-101-107-125-129-153-169-179-189-191-195- 211-233-263-269-295-303-305-341-345-357-375-381-393-421-433-437- 483-250340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARMSTRONG BRISCOE CARSON CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE CROSBY DICKENS DONLEY FLOYD GARZA GRAY HALE HALL HANSFORD HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON KENT KING LIPSCOMB LUBBOCK LYNN MOORE MOTLEY OCHILTREE POTTER RANDALL Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 167 Status Reports

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0167 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 167 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0553 ..DEAN..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 167 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC007-139-250340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAVER TEXAS TXC011-045-065-075-087-101-107-125-129-153-169-179-189-191-195- 211-233-263-269-295-303-305-341-345-357-375-381-393-421-433-437- 483-250340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARMSTRONG BRISCOE CARSON CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE CROSBY DICKENS DONLEY FLOYD GARZA GRAY HALE HALL HANSFORD HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON KENT KING LIPSCOMB LUBBOCK LYNN MOORE MOTLEY OCHILTREE POTTER RANDALL Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 167

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 167 TORNADO OK TX 242035Z - 250400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 167 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 335 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Oklahoma Panhandle Texas Panhandle and South Plains * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 335 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 4 inches in diameter likely Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Widely scattered thunderstorms are forecast to rapidly develop this afternoon into the early evening. Environmental shear and buoyancy combinations strongly favor intense, discrete supercells. Large to giant hail will be probable with any supercell. The tornado risk will likely focus for a few hours during the early evening near a residual outflow boundary draped over parts of the Watch area. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles northeast of Guymon OK to 60 miles southeast of Lubbock TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 166... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 4 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 29015. ...Smith Read more

SPC MD 551

4 months 2 weeks ago
MD 0551 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 167... FOR PARTS OF THE TX SOUTH PLAINS
Mesoscale Discussion 0551 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0744 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Areas affected...Parts of the TX South Plains Concerning...Tornado Watch 167... Valid 250044Z - 250215Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 167 continues. SUMMARY...A localized threat of potentially strong tornadoes has evolved to the east/northeast of Lubbock, with very large to giant hail also possible. DISCUSSION...An intense supercell over Floyd and Motley Counties in Texas has propagated southeastward into an increasingly moist boundary layer, accompanied by a notable increase in low-level mesocyclone strength. Rotational velocity and environmental characteristics suggest a strong tornado may have occurred within the last 15-30 minutes. The presence of strong buoyancy (with MLCAPE greater than 3000 J/kg per the modified 00Z AMA sounding), favorable deep-layer shear, and enlarging low-level hodographs suggest a localized threat for strong tornadoes may continue with this cell, and also potentially with an intense supercell currently over Crosby County. Greater than 4 inch hail has also been reported in Floyd County, and a threat for very large to giant hail will likely persist for as long as the ongoing supercells remain semi-discrete this evening. ..Dean.. 04/25/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LUB... LAT...LON 33640149 34110096 34170029 33770008 33370038 33080068 33060144 33640149 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...4.00+ IN Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 169 Status Reports

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0169 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 169 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..HALBERT..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 169 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC009-011-017-025-041-061-063-071-073-089-099-101-250240- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BACA BENT CHEYENNE CROWLEY EL PASO KIOWA KIT CARSON LAS ANIMAS LINCOLN OTERO PROWERS PUEBLO THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 170 Status Reports

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0170 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 170 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..HALBERT..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 170 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC007-009-025-033-047-055-057-067-069-075-077-081-083-093-095- 097-101-119-129-135-145-151-155-159-165-171-175-185-187-189- 250240- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARBER BARTON CLARK COMANCHE EDWARDS FINNEY FORD GRANT GRAY HAMILTON HARPER HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY KINGMAN KIOWA LANE MEADE MORTON NESS PAWNEE PRATT RENO RICE RUSH SCOTT SEWARD STAFFORD STANTON STEVENS OKC003-059-151-250240- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALFALFA HARPER WOODS Read more

SPC MD 550

4 months 2 weeks ago
MD 0550 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 170... FOR NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA INTO FAR SOUTHERN KANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0550 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0707 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Areas affected...Northwest Oklahoma into far southern Kansas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 170... Valid 250007Z - 250130Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 170 continues. SUMMARY...The severe weather threat for all hazards (hail, damaging winds, and a tornado or two) continues across WW 170, particularly where supercells have developed and begun to move east-southeast across portions of northern Oklahoma. This threat will continue into the early evening hours. DISCUSSION...Supercells along the Kansas/Oklahoma border have taken on an east-southeast storm motion as mid and low-level mesocyclones have matured. These storms are capable of all hazards, having already produced 2.5" hail and a tornado. VAD wind profiles from KDDC and KVNX don't show an overall abundance of storm-relative helicity, but do indicate some curvature of the hodograph in the lowest levels. Additionally, current surface mesoanalysis indicates these storms exist within an area of locally enhanced surface vorticity. With the onset of the nocturnal low-level jet, in addition to the observed southeastward storm motion, SRH is expected to increase into the early evening and support a continued threat for all hazards, including tornadoes. The greatest short-term threat for continued tornado development will be with the southeastern-most storm, with unimpeded inflow and a favorable storm motion vector. The tornado threat will diminish into the evening hours as the nocturnal boundary layer stabilizes, but all supercells will be capable of 2.0+" hail and 65-85 MPH wind gusts. ..Halbert.. 04/25/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...AMA... LAT...LON 37090027 37300009 37359983 37309940 37199886 37029838 36819810 36649811 36429820 36229839 36179865 36159905 36229940 36369964 36619994 36760014 36930027 37090027 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

SPC MD 549

4 months 2 weeks ago
MD 0549 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 168... FOR TX PERMIAN BASIN/TRANS-PECOS REGION
Mesoscale Discussion 0549 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0656 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Areas affected...TX Permian Basin/Trans-Pecos region Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 168... Valid 242356Z - 250130Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 168 continues. SUMMARY...Supercells with large to very large hail remain possible this evening. DISCUSSION...Scattered strong to severe storms are ongoing at 2345 UTC across the TX Permian Basin vicinity. Despite generally modest large-scale forcing, strong buoyancy (with MLCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg) and moderate deep-layer shear will continue to support splitting supercells within the weakly capped environment through early evening. Large to very large hail will likely be the primary hazard, especially with any persistent left-movers, while strong to locally severe outflow winds will also be possible in the vicinity of the strongest cells. Increasing MLCINH should result in a gradual decrease in the severe threat later this evening. ..Dean.. 04/24/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SJT...MAF... LAT...LON 31510158 30000222 29290319 29480348 29810354 30190351 31720303 32870252 32940190 32890166 32470149 31610153 31510158 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 168 Status Reports

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0168 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 168 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0549 ..DEAN..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 168 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC025-250240- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LEA TXC003-033-043-079-103-105-115-135-151-165-173-219-227-279-317- 329-335-371-383-415-443-445-461-475-495-501-250240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN BREWSTER COCHRAN CRANE CROCKETT DAWSON ECTOR FISHER GAINES GLASSCOCK HOCKLEY HOWARD LAMB MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL PECOS REAGAN SCURRY TERRELL TERRY UPTON WARD WINKLER YOAKUM Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 168 Status Reports

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0168 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 168 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0549 ..DEAN..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 168 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC025-250240- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LEA TXC003-033-043-079-103-105-115-135-151-165-173-219-227-279-317- 329-335-371-383-415-443-445-461-475-495-501-250240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN BREWSTER COCHRAN CRANE CROCKETT DAWSON ECTOR FISHER GAINES GLASSCOCK HOCKLEY HOWARD LAMB MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL PECOS REAGAN SCURRY TERRELL TERRY UPTON WARD WINKLER YOAKUM Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 168 Status Reports

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0168 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 168 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0549 ..DEAN..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 168 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC025-250240- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LEA TXC003-033-043-079-103-105-115-135-151-165-173-219-227-279-317- 329-335-371-383-415-443-445-461-475-495-501-250240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN BREWSTER COCHRAN CRANE CROCKETT DAWSON ECTOR FISHER GAINES GLASSCOCK HOCKLEY HOWARD LAMB MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL PECOS REAGAN SCURRY TERRELL TERRY UPTON WARD WINKLER YOAKUM Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 168 Status Reports

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0168 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 168 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0549 ..DEAN..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 168 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC025-250240- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LEA TXC003-033-043-079-103-105-115-135-151-165-173-219-227-279-317- 329-335-371-383-415-443-445-461-475-495-501-250240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN BREWSTER COCHRAN CRANE CROCKETT DAWSON ECTOR FISHER GAINES GLASSCOCK HOCKLEY HOWARD LAMB MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL PECOS REAGAN SCURRY TERRELL TERRY UPTON WARD WINKLER YOAKUM Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 168 Status Reports

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0168 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 168 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0549 ..DEAN..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 168 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC025-250240- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LEA TXC003-033-043-079-103-105-115-135-151-165-173-219-227-279-317- 329-335-371-383-415-443-445-461-475-495-501-250240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN BREWSTER COCHRAN CRANE CROCKETT DAWSON ECTOR FISHER GAINES GLASSCOCK HOCKLEY HOWARD LAMB MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL PECOS REAGAN SCURRY TERRELL TERRY UPTON WARD WINKLER YOAKUM Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 168 Status Reports

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0168 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 168 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0549 ..DEAN..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 168 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC025-250240- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LEA TXC003-033-043-079-103-105-115-135-151-165-173-219-227-279-317- 329-335-371-383-415-443-445-461-475-495-501-250240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN BREWSTER COCHRAN CRANE CROCKETT DAWSON ECTOR FISHER GAINES GLASSCOCK HOCKLEY HOWARD LAMB MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL PECOS REAGAN SCURRY TERRELL TERRY UPTON WARD WINKLER YOAKUM Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 168

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 168 SEVERE TSTM NM TX 242100Z - 250300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 168 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 400 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Far Southeast New Mexico West Texas * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 400 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Isolated thunderstorms are forecast to develop through the late afternoon and early evening. The stronger storms will likely become supercellular and pose mainly a threat for large to very large hail. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles east and west of a line from 65 miles north northwest of Big Spring TX to 25 miles west southwest of Dryden TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 166...WW 167... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 31015. ...Smith Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 167 Status Reports

4 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0167 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 167 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0551 ..DEAN..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 167 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC007-139-250240- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAVER TEXAS TXC011-045-065-075-087-101-107-125-129-153-169-179-189-191-195- 211-233-263-269-295-303-305-341-345-357-375-381-393-421-433-437- 483-250240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARMSTRONG BRISCOE CARSON CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE CROSBY DICKENS DONLEY FLOYD GARZA GRAY HALE HALL HANSFORD HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON KENT KING LIPSCOMB LUBBOCK LYNN MOORE MOTLEY OCHILTREE POTTER RANDALL Read more

SPC MD 548

4 months 2 weeks ago
MD 0548 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 167... FOR TX/OK PANHANDLES INTO THE TX SOUTH PLAINS
Mesoscale Discussion 0548 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0634 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Areas affected...TX/OK Panhandles into the TX South Plains Concerning...Tornado Watch 167... Valid 242334Z - 250100Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 167 continues. SUMMARY...Supercells with very large hail and tornado potential may increase into this evening. DISCUSSION...A supercell northeast of Lubbock in Floyd County has recently intensified and turned right, with a confirmed tornado at around 2315 UTC. Other cells are gradually intensifying across the TX Panhandle and South Plains, within a weakly capped and strongly unstable (MLCAPE in excess of 2500 J/kg) environment. The 20Z AMA sounding was rather dry (with PW of 0.58 inches), but otherwise was quite favorable for organized storms with steep midlevel lapse rates and favorable deep-layer shear. Some increase in low-level moisture quality is expected due to backing surface winds, and multiple intense supercells may eventually evolve into early evening. Any mature supercell within this environment will pose a threat of very large hail (possibly baseball-size or larger), given the favorable thermodynamic profile. A strengthening low-level jet will also enlarge low-level hodographs, resulting in an increasing conditional tornado threat with time, if any supercells can propagate east-southeastward into an increasingly moist environment. ..Dean.. 04/24/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA... LAT...LON 33130204 34270185 34980180 35910191 36380195 36650165 36710079 35060038 34460028 33700044 33170055 33090155 33130204 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.75-4.25 IN Read more

SPC Apr 25, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

4 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0746 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 250100Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE TO SOUTH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms remain possible this evening from from eastern Colorado and southwest Kansas into western Oklahoma, the Panhandles and West Texas. Very large hail is possible, along with a few tornadoes. ...Central and southern Plains... Scattered severe storms persist this evening over West TX including the Panhandle, with very large/damaging hail in progress. Other severe cells, some with tornadic circulation, persist over northwest OK within a cluster, also with damaging hail and wind potential. Given the uncapped air mass across most of these areas, storms should persist for a few hours, and the increasing 850 mb winds out of the south may favor right moving supercells. The 00Z AMA sounding confirms the lack of inhibition, showing steep lapse rates through a deep layer. Isolated marginally severe storms also persist over eastern CO, and north of the tornadic northwest OK cluster into southwest KS. For more information, see mesoscale discussions 548, 549, 550, 551. ..Jewell.. 04/25/2025 Read more